republic hydrometeorological service of serbia hidmet.rs meteoalarm.rs
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Republic hydrometeorological service of Serbia www.hidmet.gov.rs www.meteoalarm.rs. RHMS of Serbia Hydro-Meteorological Warning System. Slobodan Sovilj [email protected]. Republic hydrometeorological service of Serbia. Legislative framework. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
RHMS OF SERBIA
HYDRO-METEOROLOGICAL WARNING SYSTEM
Republic hydrometeorological service of Serbia
www.hidmet.gov.rs www.meteoalarm.rs
Slobodan [email protected]
s
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• Law on meteorological and hydrological activities (“Official Gazette of RS”, No. 88/10),• Law on Emergency Situations (“Official Gazette of RS”, No. 111/09),• Water Law (“Official Gazette of RS”, No. 30/10).
RHMSS – Center for hyd-met early warning and alerts is primary national authority and official source for issuing warning and alerts
Responsibility: early warning and alerts on the hydro-meteorological hazards
Legislative framework
Republic hydrometeorological service of Serbia
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Basic components of hydrometeorological early warning system
• Meteorological and Hydrological observing system
• Analytical – forecasting system
• Computing - telecommunication system
Computer and Telecommunication system of the NMS of Serbia
Internet
Router
Router
Router
NisNovi Sad
Regional observatory
Terminalserver
Modems
ECMWF
Domestic Subscribers
Civil aviation
Army
Pilot Met Briefing
Airport 2Airport 1
Special User access toIntra Web server
Receiver
AWS Upper-airstation
Radarnetwork
Lightningdetector
Surface observations
SADIS DWD SatMETEOSATEUMETCast,
LAN
VPN
NMC data servers
GTS Message Switching
TV / Press
Offenbach DWD FTP Server backup connection
Montenegro
RouterFirewall
Satellite Imagery
Climatological Database
Alerts RSS feeds
Satellite modem
Router
SADIS 2G Receiver
LNB
Meteo Web Server
Intra Web Server
RMDCN512 kbps
NWP HPC Cluster
Forecaster Workstation
FTP Server Mail Server
DNS Servers
Proxy Server
RMDCN Server
VMWare ESX Virtual Cluster
WiennaBudapest
NowcastingWarning Editor
Router
RMDCN data servers
Leased linesWirelles,VPN
Government
Data Storage
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• Main met stations• AMS
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• Climatological program 66
• Precipitation program 650
• Air quality and precipitation chemistry program
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• Radioactivity program 8
• Upper air observations 1
• Phenological program 52
• Soil Moisture Measurement AT Delta-T (Profile probe type PR2)
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Meteorological Observing System
Republic hydrometeorological service of Serbia
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Numerical Operational Models in use
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Criteria and thresholds:
Climatological extremes
Impacts on activities and propertiesDamages caused by severe event
Warning degree:
No serious event
Potentially serious event
Serious event
Extreme event
WARNING
Hydrometeorological support after the event
Advices concerning the event (before, during, after)
The example for wind speed
No serious event < 17 m/s
Potentially serious event<24 m/s
Serious event < 28 m/s
Extreme event >28 m/s
The process of forming announcements and warnings
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MeteoAlarm and HydroAlarm are the core of Hydro-Meteorological Warning System.
Colour coded map in combination with special symbols for dangerous meteorological elements and phenomena provides a quick overview forecast of dangerous meteorological elements and phenomena.
For the universality of weather warning system we use the logic of European MeteoAlarm with the same graphic and colour symbols.
Four levels of risk are identified. Each colour represents one level of the risk.
Green - no risk, Yellow - the weather is potentially dangerous, Orange - the weather is dangerous andRed - the weather is very dangerous.
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Warnings and forecasts on the WEB
Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia: www.hidmet.gov.rsMeteoalarm: www.meteoalarm.rs and www.meteoalarm.euRegional Climate Change Center: www.seevccc.rs
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Extremely (in the cases of severe weather event) - warnings for:
Emergency services (services for monitoring and notification) Ministry of Internal Affairs, Department for Protection and Rescue Serbian Government, Media (radio and TV stations) Local authority and public utilities Ways of notification: on briefing, by fax (special bulletins), by phone, by E-male,
Website, FTP, SMS.
Phenomena and dissemination
Extreme low Extreme low temperaturetemperature
ForestfireForestfireThunderstorThunderstormsms
RainRain
Extreme high Extreme high temperaturetemperature
FogFogSnow/ IceSnow/ IceWindWind
Extreme low Extreme low temperaturetemperature
ForestfireForestfireThunderstorThunderstormsms
RainRain
Extreme high Extreme high temperaturetemperature
FogFogSnow/ IceSnow/ IceWindWind
Extreme low Extreme low temperaturetemperature
ForestfireForestfireThunderstorThunderstormsms
RainRain
Extreme high Extreme high temperaturetemperature
FogFogSnow/ IceSnow/ IceWindWind
Extreme low Extreme low temperaturetemperature
ForestfireForestfireThunderstorThunderstormsms
RainRain
Extreme high Extreme high temperaturetemperature
FogFogSnow/ IceSnow/ IceWindWind
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Bulletin for Sector for emergency management
• Operational Bulletin - early warning and forecast for next 5 days & general forecast for D+6 to D+10 - Country level;
• Bulletin of warning - warning for currently day and tomorrow – Regions\Districts level and
• Warning - warning for next 2-6 hours - Districts level
Serbia = 11 Regions or 29 Districts
The meteorological warning system is compatible with Meteoalarm – phenomena and level of awareness (www.meteoalarm.rs, www.meteoalarm.eu )
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• Meteorological data from main meteorological stations
• Weather forecast and alerts for five days ahead and general forecast for ten days ahead.
• Monthly weather forecast
• Seasonal weather forecast
• Observed hydrological data
• Hydrological forecast and warnings
www.hidmet.gov.rswww.hidmet.gov.rs
Operational hydrometeorological bulletin
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Weather forecast with warning and level of awareness Date Forecast Warning/Probability of weather
phenomena
13.02.2012.Monday
Cloudy with snow. Becoming mostly cloudy and dry in western and southwestern part at first from the middle of the day. Northwesterly wind light to moderate. Minimum temperatures between -11°С and -7°С, maximum from -7°С to -2°С.
Minimum temperature less than -10°C. The weather is dangerous.
80%
14.02.2012.Tuesday
Very cold and mostly dry. Light snow on hills. Minimum temperatures from -16°С to -10°С, locally -20°С, maximum between -8°С and -4°С.
Minimum temperature less than -15°C. The weather is very dangerous.
80%
15.02.2012.Wednesday
Becoming increasingly cloudy and windy with snow in the north at first. Over others part of country during the day. Blizzard and snow causes in southeastern part and on hills and mountains. Minimum temperatures between -12°С and -5°С, locally -15°С, maximum temperatures from -3°С to +2°С.
Minimum temperature less than -15°C. The weather is very dangerous.
80%
16.02.2012.Thursday
Cloudy and windy with snow, especially on hills and mountains with blizzard and snow causes. Northwest wind moderate to strong. Minimum temperatures from -11°С to -5°С, maximum temperatures between -3°С and +1°С.
Minimum temperature less than -10°C. The weather is dangerous.
70%
Gust wind ≥ 17 m/s (≥60 km/h).The weather may be hazardous.
70%
17.02.2012.Friday
Cloudy and windy with snow, especially on hills and mountains with blizzard and snow causes. Northwest wind moderate to strong, becoming light to moderate by evening. Minimum temperatures between -10°С and -5°С, maximum temperatures from -5°С to 0°С.
Minimum temperature less than -10°C. The weather is dangerous.
70%
Gust wind ≥ 17 m/s (≥60 km/h).The weather may be hazardous.
70%
Forecast for next five days (from 18.02. 2012. to 22.02.2012)
Remaining with light snow at times in the north and on hills and mountains on Saturday. Otherwise dry with morning frost and possibility of fog mainly in a valley. Daytime temperatures slightly increasing and becoming above zero. Wind light to moderate backing South to Southeast. Snow cover will start to melt, particularly in western part of Serbia.
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Impacts according of warning and level of awareness
Republic hydrometeorological service of Serbia
Minimum temperature less than -10°C: A very dangerous weather situation when continues for several consecutive days. Endangered lives of people and animals, problems in thermal and electric power supply, road and river traffic problems, forestry damages, problems in civil engineering construction works and damages of other weather dependent sectors of economy.
Minimum temperature less than -15°C: Extreme dangerous weather situation when continues for several consecutive days. Endangered lives of people and animals (high risk of body cooling, frostbites or even death), problems in thermal and electric power supply, road and river traffic problems, forestry damages and damages of other weather dependent sectors of economy.
Gust wind ≥ 17 m/s (≥60 km/h): Possible damage of properties, problems in transportation (cars veer on road), forest damage, damage of trees in parks and individual trees (some twigs broken from trees, some branches break off trees), problems in civil engineering construction works - especially works with cranes, indirect impact on the safety of people and animals, makes already existing dangerous security situations more complicated (forest and other fires, environmental disasters, disturbance of rescue actions). Impacts apply to facilities built of hard materials, facilities that are well maintained on healthy trees and the like.
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Water level forecast warningRiver Hydrological forecast Warning
Dunav Danube water level will be in stagnation to the end of the period Currently no warnings
Tisa Tisa water level will be in stagnation to the end of the period Currently no warnings
Banatski vodotoci Water level on the Banat streams will be in stagnation until the end of the second decade of February and than in slight increase
Currently no warnings
Sava Sava water level will be in stagnation and small increase until the end of the second decade of February and than in slight increase
Currently no warnings
Drina Drina water level will be in stagnation until the end of the second decade of February and than in slight increase
Currently no warnings
Republic hydrometeorological service of Serbia
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Ice forecast with ice defense levelRiver Sum of negative daily mean air temperature for the period until
17. February 2012. Ice defense level
Dunav On Danube from Bezdan to Prahovo will be in range from -1520С to -1600С
Extraordinary ice defense
Tisa On Tisa to -1880С Extraordinary ice defense
Velika Morava On Velika Morava to -1980С Extraordinary ice defense
Banatski vodotoci On Banat streams to -1840С Extraordinary ice defense
Sava On Sava to -1950С Extraordinary ice defense
Ice forecast until 17. February 2012. Retain the existing appearance of the ice with an increase of the ice thickness and density of floating and stationary ice .
Ice forecast from 18. to 22. February 2012.During that period we will have retain of the existing ice conditions.
WARNING: The following ten days ice phenomena on rivers will be retained, with the increase in the percentage of coverage of water ice and mirrors with increasing thickness of the ice. This phenomenon can be dangerous for the hydro facilities. Boating on the river was stopped. In the next seven days there are no conditions for floods in Serbia. From 20 February 2012 it is expected slight water levels rise due to the gradual melting of snow.
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Bulletin of warning
Region District Level of awareness Phenomena
Backa Severno BackiThe weather is
potentially dangerousWind gusts over 17 m/sZapadno Backi
Juzno BackiBanat Severno Banatski
The weather is very dangerous
Wind gusts over 28 m/sSrednje BanatskiЈужно Банатски
Srem Sremski The weather is potentially dangerous
Wind gusts over 17 m/s
Belgrade Belgrade city The weather is dangerous
Wind gusts over 24 m/s
West Serbia MacvanskiNo awareness
No phenomenaKolubarski
Sumadia Sumadijski The weather is potentially dangerous
Wind gusts over 17 m/s
Pomoravlje PodunavskiNo awareness
No phenomenaBranicevskiPomoravski
East Serbia BorskiNo awareness
No phenomenaZajecarski
Southeast Serbia Rasinski
No awarenessNo phenomena
NisavskiToplickiPirotski
Jablanicki
Republic Hydrometeorological Service of SerbiaCenter for hydrometeorological system of early warning and alerts
WARNING OF IMPACTS EXTRAORDINARY OR HAZARD PHENOMENAFor Sector of emergency management
Date issuing: May 03. 2013. Validity period from: 00:00 May 04. 2013 to: 00:00 May 05. 2013.
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Warning massagesWARNINGTime of issuing: DD.MM.YYYY hh:mmPeriod of duration phenomena, Region/District and PhenomenaFor more information visit www.meteoalarm.rs Forecaster: Name and Surnamephone: +381 11 2542 184WarningTime of issuing May 22, 2013 14:50
In the next hour hailstorm with gusty winds in Sumadija district will move toward the west, in Pomoravski district, and then becomes weak.
For more information visit www.meteoalarm.rs Forecaster: Slobodan SoviljPhone: +381 11 2542 184
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Republic hydrometeorological service of Serbia
FWI index on www.hidmet.gov.rs
Forecast weather conditions for forest firewww.meteoalarm.rs/ciril/fwi_p.php
Bulletin for forecast weather conditions • For forest fires• For Serbia and Balkan peninsula
Extraordinary Bulletin for forecast weather conditions • Area affected by fire• Every day during forest fires
Weather forecast by SMS • Area affected by fire• Every day during forest fires
Activities of RHMSS during forest fires
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Extreme meteorological and hydrological events during 2012.Cold wave, snow cover and ice river on February 2012.
Heat wave, fires forest and drought
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Emergence situation in Serbia, February 2012Ice on rivers
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Emergence situation in Serbia, February 2012
In Belgrade woman was killed by Icicles.
Icicle of 300 kg weight was fallen from the roof into apartment.
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In the eastern and central parts of the continent in the period from 5th to 11th February temperature was in average 9°C lower than multi annual average, and maximum daily temperature did not exceed -15°C
Snow cover in Serbia was from 60 cm (lowland landscapes) to 150 cm (Mountain regions).Snowdrift was from 2 m to 3 m.
Cold wave from 29. January to 15. February 2012.
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The Serbian government declared an emergency situation
Official Gazette of the Republic of Serbia No 9 from February 5th 2012
The meeting of the Republican Headquarters for Emergency Situations
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Summer 2012. – One of the warmestHeat waves: 16. - 24.June, 29.June – 15.July and 19.- 26. AugustAt some stations exceeded the historical max. number of tropical days and nights.Consequences: high to extreme (agro-meteorological and hydrological) drought, numerous forest fires (July-August)
Summer 2012. - Heat waves Republic hydrometeorological service of Serbia
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The RCM model from RHMSS/SEEVCCC signalled a very warm summer and precipitation deficit as early as in April. Therefore, climate watch and heat waves and drought warnings were issued by RHMSS MHEWS services timely.
SEEVCCC seasonal forecast of mean temperature and precipitation anomalies for the Jun-July-August 2012 season, published on April 1, 2012
Summer 2012. - Heat waves and drought Republic hydrometeorological service of Serbia
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Moisture conditions in Serbia estimated on the basis of the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI).
29.07.2012. 16.09.2012.Summer 2012. – Drought
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In 2012. observed 18.115 fires.Number of fires in the open from year to year increases in 2007. there were eight major forest fire in 2011. age 14, in 2012. The 20 large wildfires.
In the open fires this year killed 16 and injured 79 people.In firefighting daily approximately 700 firefighters participated, out of 3000 as there are in Serbia.
Summer 2012. – Forest fires Republic hydrometeorological service of Serbia
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THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION!
Republic hydrometeorological service of Serbia
www.hidmet.gov.rs www.meteoalarm.rs
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