Dr. Dimitrios Kanellopoulos

6th November 2015

Give me a good reason to support renewable development in the world

http://willemhoekstra.aminus3.com/portfolio/?p=P8aSn

•Energy use today and future trends, what drives them? •Have citizens & investors change their attitudes for energy from fossil fuels? •Do we need goals? •Can we identify the bottlenecks? •Is it a utopia to think that the world can run on 100% RES?

2

The European Environment State and Outlook 2015, SOER-2015

In 2015 EU stands roughly halfway between the initiation of EU environmental policy in the early 1970’s and the EU’s vision of living well within the limits of the planet.

3

Global figures: population trends 1950-2100

4

Global figures: projected economic growth 2000-2050

5

Global projections: ENERGY consumption till 2040, IEA

“All

economies

should build

on a sound

global eco-

environment,

and green,

low-carbon

circular

sustainable

development

should be

pursued.”

President Xi

Jinping of

China,

28.9.2015

6

BP: primary energy consumption for electricity production in the world, 2012-2013

-

2000,0

4000,0

6000,0

8000,0

10000,0

12000,0

14000,0

Oil Natural Gas Coal Nuclear Energy Hydroelectric Renewables Total

millio

n t

of

oil e

qu

ivale

nt

7

EU facts: percentage share of RES

Above 25%

GR D UK

8

EU facts: Share of renewables in gross final energy consumption, 2013 and 2020 (%)

2013 : electricity generated from renewable energy sources

contributed more than one quarter (25.4 %) of the EU-28’s gross

electricity consumption. In Austria (68.1 %) and Sweden (61.8 %)

GR D

UK

S A

9

EU facts: Electricity Generation, TWh

•Biomass

•Solar

•wind

Hydro = 45.5% of total RES in

2013

10

Leonardo Di Caprio Joins Divestment Call as Fossil Fuels Could Lose Billions in Investment

Sixth Avenue during the 2014 People's Climate in New York. (Photo: Timothy A. Clary/AFP/Getty Images)

Over the past year, investors holding $2.6 trillion in

assets have pledged to divest from companies that

produce coal, oil, and natural gas,

11

Spiritual leaders call for strong Paris climate deal to limit warming

Islamic Declaration on

Global Climate Change

In the name of Allah,

Most Merciful, Most

Compassionate

UN climate conference 30 Nov - 11 Dec 2015

12

Big Banks Call For 'Strong' Climate Deal

Bank of America, Citi, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo arguing in a joint release that government action, in addition to private business investment, is needed to address climate change.

The banks said that putting a price on carbon emissions is crucial to increasing investments in clean energy. The right policy frameworks, they wrote, "can help unlock the incremental public and private capital needed to ensure" that the estimated $90 trillion in new infrastructure investments projected over the next 15 years will help reduce, not increase, carbon emissions.

Without government action, private investment won't be enough. September 2015

13

Source: Munich RE Extreme weather

14

Source:DWD, Hamburg-Dresden-Frankfurt am Main-Mannheim-Munich

1950

year 1980 2000

15

Temperature rise update 1.10.2015 ?

48

The United Nations launches a landmark new

framework for sustainable development that will

aim to end poverty and build a life of dignity for

all, leaving no one behind.

Transforming Our World: the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development ,

composed of 17 goals and 169 targets to wipe out poverty, fight inequality and

tackle climate over the next 15 years.

• SUSTAINABLE

ENERGY-HELPS

TO END POVERTY

AND ADVANCES

CLIMATE JUSTICE

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uSGEWw_zW58 www.youtube.com/watch?v=uSGEWw_zW58

•Universal accessibility to modern energy sources, •Double the world wide rate of energy efficiency improvement, •Double the global share of renewable energy

19

UN: Energy - Framework for action

We reaffirm support for the implementation of national and subnational policies and strategies, based on individual national circumstances and development aspirations, using an appropriate energy mix to meet developmental needs, including through increased use of renewable energy sources and other low-emission technologies,

the more efficient use of energy, greater reliance on advanced energy technologies, including cleaner fossil fuel technologies, and the sustainable use of traditional energy resources.

We commit to promoting sustainable modern energy services for all through national and subnational efforts, inter alia, on electrification and dissemination of sustainable cooking and heating solutions, including through collaborative actions to share best practices and adopt policies, as appropriate.

We urge governments to create enabling environments that facilitate public and private sector investment in relevant and needed cleaner energy technologies.

20

IEA

Electrification of transport

Centralized power &

heat generation

RES Smart transmissions

& distribution

Storage

21

IEA, Market Analysis and forecasts to 2020

Is it possible to develop RES only within the market

rules?

More investors are beginning to realize the risk

posed by climate change. Analyses from Citigroup,

HSBC, the IEA, Bank of England, and others have

yielded evidence of a “significant, quantifiable risk

to portfolios exposed to fossil fuel assets

23

•COST of Energy in a 100% WWS system= cost TODAY. •Barriers to a 100% conversion to WWS power worldwide are primary social and political, not technological or even economic.

Evaluating the feasibility of providing all energy for all purposes from Wind Water and the Sun, WWS.

ICELAND

Population:330.000

72% hydroelectricity,

28% geothermal, wind, solar power,

less than 0.1% combustible fuel

Norway

Population:5.14 million

96% hydroelectricity,

2% combustible fuel,

2% geothermal, wind, and solar

Samso, Denmark

Population:3800

net greater than 100% wind power

and biomass, connected to

mainland for balance and backup

power

Denmark's wind power flowering: A small country

with big dreams of a fossil-free future

Energy ministers from the G20 countries and heads of IGOs affirmed their

commitment to renewable energy at the first-ever G20 Energy Ministers Meeting in

Istanbul. The high-level participants endorsed a Communiqué, which included the

adoption of a renewable energy toolkit, which provides options for G20 countries to

take a long-term, integrated and sustainable approach towards enhanced deployment

of renewable energy.

FIRST time renewable energy was on the agenda 2.10.2015

In July 2015, a report by the US

Defense Department called

climate change an "urgent and

growing threat" to national

security, and this week NATO's

parliament demanded stronger

action by member states to

tackle a warming planet.

"Climate change is a threat to peace," said French Foreign Minister Laurent

Fabius, describing a world where floods, desertification and droughts will intensify

conflicts over ever-scarcer resources and spark a massive wave of environmental

refugees, 10.2015

IMF chief Christine Lagarde has warned of dire consequences if we fail to take action on climate change. She also advocated introducing a carbon tax to generate more funds to sponsor poorer countries' climate goals. Lima-Peru. 10.2015

Global warming will have us 'roasted

and toasted'

World Bank Group President, Jim Kim

announced that the World Bank Group will

provide about $29 billion per year by 2020 to

help fight climate change.

coal coal

hydro

solar

2 degrees scenario

Thanks for your

attention

We live well within the limits of the planet.

Award-winning climate expert Mojib Latif:

'I am not afraid of the future'