research article attribute synthetic evaluation model for ...model cbm recoverability can be...

7
Research Article Attribute Synthetic Evaluation Model for the CBM Recoverability and Its Application Xiao-gang Xia and Yun-feng Yang School of Science, Xiโ€™an University of Science and Technology, Xiโ€™an 710054, China Correspondence should be addressed to Xiao-gang Xia; [email protected] Received 30 September 2015; Revised 24 October 2015; Accepted 25 October 2015 Academic Editor: Muhammad N. Akram Copyright ยฉ 2015 X.-g. Xia and Y.-f. Yang. is is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. e coal-bed methane (CBM) recoverability is the basic premise of CBM development practice; in order to e๏ฌ€ectively evaluate the CBM recoverability, the attribute synthetic evaluation model is established based on the theory and method of attribute mathematics. Firstly, ๏ฌve indexes are chosen to evaluate the recoverability through analyzing the in๏ฌ‚uence factors of CBM, including seam thickness, gas saturation, permeability, reservoir pressure gradient, and hydrogeological conditions. Secondly, the attribute measurement functions of each index are constructed based on the attribute mathematics theory, and the calculation methods of the single index attribute measurement and the synthetic attribute measurement also are provided. Meanwhile, the weight of each index is given with the method of similar number and similar weight; the evaluation results also are determined by the con๏ฌdence criterion reliability code. At last, according to the application results of the model in some coal target area of Fuxin and Hancheng mine, the evaluation results are basically consistent with the actual situation, which proves that the evaluation model can be used in the CBM recoverability prediction, and an e๏ฌ€ective method of the CBM recoverability evaluation is also provided. 1. Introduction e CBM reserves are the most basic material basis and the most critical geological control factor of CBM development. e CBM recoverability is the basic premise of CBM development practice, and it is also the bottleneck technology which constrains the development of China CBM. CBM, as a wealth unconventional resource, plays an important role in the national economic development. China has rich coal-bed methane resources. e total reserves in the shallow depth of 2000 m are about 30 ร— 10 1 โˆผ35 ร— 10 12 m 3 according to some incomplete statistics according to literature [1]. With the development of technology and the reduction of production cost, CBM has realized its industrialized mass production, and it has become an emerging industry. In addition, the research and development of coal-bed methane industries is an important study ๏ฌeld to solve the energy crisis, protect the global environment, and promote coal mine safety production, and it is also supported and encouraged by the international (CDM protocol) and the state. ere are broad prospects and signi๏ฌcance according to literature [2]. ere are many factors in๏ฌ‚uencing the CBM recoverabil- ity; the traditional predicting or evaluating method has great limitations in the practical application due to the di๏ฌ€erences of complicated geological conditions in di๏ฌ€erent regions. In order to solve the evaluation of the CBM recoverability, many researchers have conducted a lot of researches, and some advanced mathematical methods are also introduced to the CBM evaluation research work. Wang et al. [3] and Tang et al. [4] established the fuzzy prediction model of CBM recover- ability by applying fuzzy mathematics theory. Zhang et al. [5] used the synthetic evaluation method combining multifactor weighed analysis and reservoir numerical simulation to study the CBM recoverability. Wang et al. [6] establish the predic- tion model of CBM recoverability of Fengcheng mine in the gray system theory through calculating the gray correlation degree of each index. Attribute mathematics is a new mathematical theory put forward by Mr. Cheng Qiansheng in the 1990s; the theory of attribute synthetic evaluation focuses on discussing and solv- ing the problem of qualitative description measure and order partition class recognition, which provides a theoretical basis Hindawi Publishing Corporation Mathematical Problems in Engineering Volume 2015, Article ID 434583, 6 pages http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/434583

Upload: others

Post on 26-Jan-2021

2 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • Research ArticleAttribute Synthetic Evaluation Model for the CBMRecoverability and Its Application

    Xiao-gang Xia and Yun-feng Yang

    School of Science, Xiโ€™an University of Science and Technology, Xiโ€™an 710054, China

    Correspondence should be addressed to Xiao-gang Xia; [email protected]

    Received 30 September 2015; Revised 24 October 2015; Accepted 25 October 2015

    Academic Editor: Muhammad N. Akram

    Copyright ยฉ 2015 X.-g. Xia and Y.-f. Yang. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons AttributionLicense, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properlycited.

    The coal-bed methane (CBM) recoverability is the basic premise of CBM development practice; in order to effectively evaluatethe CBM recoverability, the attribute synthetic evaluation model is established based on the theory and method of attributemathematics. Firstly, five indexes are chosen to evaluate the recoverability through analyzing the influence factors of CBM, includingseam thickness, gas saturation, permeability, reservoir pressure gradient, and hydrogeological conditions. Secondly, the attributemeasurement functions of each index are constructed based on the attribute mathematics theory, and the calculation methods ofthe single index attribute measurement and the synthetic attribute measurement also are provided. Meanwhile, the weight of eachindex is given with the method of similar number and similar weight; the evaluation results also are determined by the confidencecriterion reliability code. At last, according to the application results of the model in some coal target area of Fuxin and Hanchengmine, the evaluation results are basically consistent with the actual situation, which proves that the evaluation model can be usedin the CBM recoverability prediction, and an effective method of the CBM recoverability evaluation is also provided.

    1. Introduction

    The CBM reserves are the most basic material basis and themost critical geological control factor of CBM development.The CBM recoverability is the basic premise of CBMdevelopment practice, and it is also the bottleneck technologywhich constrains the development of China CBM. CBM, asa wealth unconventional resource, plays an important role inthe national economic development. China has rich coal-bedmethane resources. The total reserves in the shallow depth of2000m are about 30 ร— 101โˆผ35 ร— 1012m3 according to someincomplete statistics according to literature [1]. With thedevelopment of technology and the reduction of productioncost, CBM has realized its industrialized mass production,and it has become an emerging industry. In addition, theresearch and development of coal-bed methane industriesis an important study field to solve the energy crisis, protectthe global environment, and promote coal mine safetyproduction, and it is also supported and encouraged by theinternational (CDM protocol) and the state. There are broadprospects and significance according to literature [2].

    There are many factors influencing the CBM recoverabil-ity; the traditional predicting or evaluating method has greatlimitations in the practical application due to the differencesof complicated geological conditions in different regions. Inorder to solve the evaluation of the CBM recoverability, manyresearchers have conducted a lot of researches, and someadvanced mathematical methods are also introduced to theCBMevaluation researchwork.Wang et al. [3] and Tang et al.[4] established the fuzzy prediction model of CBM recover-ability by applying fuzzy mathematics theory. Zhang et al. [5]used the synthetic evaluation method combining multifactorweighed analysis and reservoir numerical simulation to studythe CBM recoverability. Wang et al. [6] establish the predic-tion model of CBM recoverability of Fengcheng mine in thegray system theory through calculating the gray correlationdegree of each index.

    Attribute mathematics is a new mathematical theory putforward by Mr. Cheng Qiansheng in the 1990s; the theory ofattribute synthetic evaluation focuses on discussing and solv-ing the problem of qualitative description measure and orderpartition class recognition, which provides a theoretical basis

    Hindawi Publishing CorporationMathematical Problems in EngineeringVolume 2015, Article ID 434583, 6 pageshttp://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/434583

  • 2 Mathematical Problems in Engineering

    for solving such problems. Cheng [7], Cheng [8], andWen [9]pointed out that the synthetic evaluation model system canbe divided into three subsystems: the single index attributemeasure system, the multi-index synthetic attribute measuresystem, and attribute recognition.The specificmethod of howto build the single index attribute measure system and themulti-index synthetic attribute measure system and how toimplement the ultimate attribute recognition was given.

    Taking the qualitative description measure and the orderpartition class recognition characteristics of CBM recov-erability evaluation into account, it can been studied byattribute synthetic evaluation method. Based on analyzingthe factors which influence the CBM recoverability, thesynthetic evaluation model system was used to evaluate theCBM recoverability in the theory and method of attributemathematics. At the same time, each evaluation index wasobjectively weighted in similar number method. Ultimately,the CBMmeasurement and recognitionwere realized. At last,according to the application results of the model in somecoal target area of Fuxin and Hancheng mine, the evaluationresults are basically consistentwith the actual situation, whichproves that the evaluation model can be used in the CBMrecoverability prediction, and an effective method of theCBM recoverability evaluation is also provided.

    2. The Construction of Evaluation IndexSystem of CBM Recoverability

    The CBM recoverability is the combined result of manyfactors. According to research results of related literature,five indexes are chosen to evaluate the CBM recoverability,including coal depth, gas saturation, permeability, reservoirpressure gradient, and hydrogeological conditions accordingto literature [3โ€“6].

    2.1. The Seam Thickness. The seam thickness is the place ofCBM storage (reservoir), which is the premise of high yieldand enrichment of CBM. The seam thickness mainly deter-mines the contained gas in the CBM reservoir, permeability,and so forth. Under normal circumstances, the more theseams that are developed, the more the broad prospects thatit has in its exploration.Therefore, seam depth should be in areasonable range. Experience from abroad and home practiceshows that the high yield would be possible if the thickness ofa single seam is more than 3m.

    2.2. The Gas Saturation. Less attention has been paid to thegas saturation in the previous CBM exploration and pilotdevelopment test, but the exploration of practice and researchresults in recent years show that the gas saturation of theCBMreservoir is one of themain geologic factors which control theCBM recoverability.The CBM single well gas production rateis relatively low due to the low gas saturation, which restrictsthe commercial development of CBM in China.

    2.3. The Original Seam Permeability. The original seam per-meability is one of the most important parameters whichcan be used to evaluate CBM exploration and development

    potential of a region, and it is also one of the main geo-logic factors which control the CBM recoverability. The loworiginal seam permeability is the major cause which leadsto the low CBM single well gas production rate. Under thecircumstance of same basic geological characteristics, theCBM reservoirs with medium permeability and low meta-morphic grade is better than that with the high metamorphicgrade. According to the CBM geological characteristics inChina, the CBM reservoirs withmediummetamorphic gradepermeability is generally more than 1md, and the highmetamorphic grade is around 1md. In this condition, theCBM development can be carried out.

    2.4. The Seam Pressure Gradient. The seam pressure gradientor reservoirs pressure saturation is considered one of theparameters which can measure the difficulty of the CBMdevelopment. The smaller the reservoir pressure saturation,the more difficult its development. Therefore, the adsorptiongas can be stripped and output only when the seam pressureis reduced to the critical desorption pressure. But, to reducethe coal reservoir pressure, higher demands on the pressurereducing measures are needed to be adopted, and it meansthat the longer time needs to be spent. A large quantity offield observation data show that the reservoir pressure andsaturation pressure in China are obviously at a disadvantagecompared with conventional oil and gas. They are generallyin the undervoltage condition. So it is difficult to achievethe CBM successful development only relying on the originalgeological pressure. The CBM can be produced only afterdrainage and pressure reduction. Therefore, it has importanttheoretical and practical significance to the reasonable pre-diction of seam reservoir pressure according to literature [6].

    2.5. The Hydrogeological Conditions. The hydrogeologicalconditions have much influence on the CBM occurrence andmigration, and they are critical for CBM development. Thefield development practice and a large number of studiesshow that the hydrogeological conditions of seam havegreat influence on the CBM development.The hydrogeologicconditions have its duality, which could control gas or lead tothe CBM dissipate, and play a role to save and gather CBM.In particular, when the seamhydrogeological condition is in aconfined area and high gas content, CBM can be output easilyaccording to literature [10].

    3. The Attribute Synthetic Evaluation Systemand the Attribute Synthetic EvaluationModel of CBM Recoverability

    Assuming ๐‘‹ as the evaluation object space, the sample ๐‘ฅ๐‘–

    (๐‘– = 1, 2, . . . , ๐‘›) of valuation object space has ๐‘š indexes ๐ผ๐‘—

    (๐‘— = 1, 2, . . . , ๐‘š). The measure value ๐‘ฅ๐‘–๐‘—of each index ๐ผ

    ๐‘—

    belonging to ๐‘ฅ๐‘–has ๐พ evaluation grades ๐ถ

    ๐‘˜(๐‘˜ = 1, 2, . . . , ๐พ).

    Attribute space ๐น = {๐ถ1, ๐ถ2, . . . , ๐ถ

    ๐พ}, and each status is called

    an attribute set of attribute space. The attribute syntheticevaluation includes three aspects: the single index attributemeasure system, the multi-index synthetic attribute measuresystem, and attribute recognition.

  • Mathematical Problems in Engineering 3

    Table 1: Grade division of single index.

    Indexes Grades๐ถ1

    ๐ถ2

    โ‹… โ‹… โ‹… ๐ถ๐พโˆ’1

    ๐ถ๐พ

    ๐ผ1

    ๐‘Ž10โˆ’ ๐‘Ž11

    ๐‘Ž11โˆ’ ๐‘Ž12

    โ‹… โ‹… โ‹… ๐‘Ž1๐พโˆ’2

    โˆ’ ๐‘Ž1๐พโˆ’1

    > or ( or ( or ( ๐‘Ž๐‘—1> โ‹… โ‹… โ‹… > ๐‘Ž

    ๐‘—๐พ; let us assume ๐‘Ž

    ๐‘—0< ๐‘Ž๐‘—1< โ‹… โ‹… โ‹… <

    ๐‘Ž๐‘—๐พ. Consider

    ๐‘๐‘—๐‘˜=

    ๐‘Ž๐‘—๐‘˜โˆ’1

    + ๐‘Ž๐‘—๐‘˜

    2

    (๐‘˜ = 1, 2, . . . , ๐พ) ,

    ๐‘‘๐‘—๐‘˜= min {

    ๐‘๐‘—๐‘˜โˆ’ ๐‘Ž๐‘—๐‘˜

    ,

    ๐‘๐‘—๐‘˜+1

    โˆ’ ๐‘Ž๐‘—๐‘˜

    }

    (๐‘˜ = 1, 2, . . . , ๐พ โˆ’ 1) .

    (1)

    Let ๐‘ฅ be the ๐‘—st index value of ๐‘ฅ; then, the attributemeasure function ๐œ‡

    ๐‘ฅ๐‘—๐‘˜(๐‘ก) of single index can be determined

    by the following formula:

    ๐œ‡๐‘ฅ๐‘—1

    (๐‘ก) =

    {{{{{

    {{{{{

    {

    1, ๐‘ก < ๐‘Ž๐‘—1โˆ’ ๐‘‘๐‘—1

    ๐‘Ž๐‘—1โˆ’ ๐‘‘๐‘—1โˆ’ ๐‘ก

    2๐‘‘๐‘—1

    , ๐‘Ž๐‘—1โˆ’ ๐‘‘๐‘—1โ‰ค ๐‘ก โ‰ค ๐‘Ž

    ๐‘—1+ ๐‘‘๐‘—1

    0 ๐‘ก > ๐‘Ž๐‘—1+ ๐‘‘๐‘—1,

    ๐œ‡๐‘ฅ๐‘—๐พ

    (๐‘ก)

    =

    {{{{{

    {{{{{

    {

    1, ๐‘ก < ๐‘Ž๐‘—๐พโˆ’1

    โˆ’ ๐‘‘๐‘—๐พโˆ’1

    ๐‘ก โˆ’ ๐‘Ž๐‘—๐พโˆ’1

    + ๐‘‘๐‘—๐พโˆ’1

    2๐‘‘๐‘—๐พโˆ’1

    , ๐‘Ž๐‘—๐พโˆ’1

    โˆ’ ๐‘‘๐‘—๐พโˆ’1

    โ‰ค ๐‘ก โ‰ค ๐‘Ž๐‘—๐พโˆ’1

    + ๐‘‘๐‘—๐พโˆ’1

    0 ๐‘ก > ๐‘Ž๐‘—๐พโˆ’1

    + ๐‘‘๐‘—๐พโˆ’1

    ,

    ๐œ‡๐‘ฅ๐‘—๐‘˜

    (๐‘ก)

    =

    {{{{{{{{{{{{{

    {{{{{{{{{{{{{

    {

    0 ๐‘ก < ๐‘Ž๐‘—๐‘˜โˆ’1

    โˆ’ ๐‘‘๐‘—๐‘˜โˆ’1

    ๐‘ก โˆ’ ๐‘Ž๐‘—๐‘˜โˆ’1

    + ๐‘‘๐‘—๐‘˜โˆ’1

    2๐‘‘๐‘—๐‘˜โˆ’1

    ๐‘Ž๐‘—๐‘˜โˆ’1

    โˆ’ ๐‘‘๐‘—๐‘˜โˆ’1

    ๐‘ก โ‰ค ๐‘Ž๐‘—๐‘˜โˆ’1

    + ๐‘‘๐‘—๐‘˜โˆ’1

    1 ๐‘Ž๐‘—๐‘˜โˆ’1

    + ๐‘‘๐‘—๐‘˜โˆ’1

    < ๐‘ก < ๐‘Ž๐‘—๐‘˜โˆ’ ๐‘‘๐‘—๐‘˜

    ๐‘Ž๐‘—๐‘˜+ ๐‘‘๐‘—๐‘˜โˆ’ ๐‘ก

    2๐‘‘๐‘—๐‘˜

    ๐‘Ž๐‘—๐‘˜โˆ’ ๐‘‘๐‘—๐‘˜โ‰ค ๐‘ก โ‰ค ๐‘Ž

    ๐‘—๐‘˜+ ๐‘‘๐‘—๐‘˜

    0 ๐‘ก > ๐‘Ž๐‘—๐‘˜+ ๐‘‘๐‘—๐‘˜.

    (2)

    In the above formulas, ๐‘— = 1, 2, . . . , ๐‘š and ๐‘˜ = 1, 2, . . . , ๐พ โˆ’ 1.

    3.2. Multi-Indexes Synthetic Attribute Measure. Syntheticattribute measure ๐œ‡

    ๐‘ฅ๐‘˜can be calculated by the following

    formula:

    ๐œ‡๐‘ฅ๐‘˜=

    ๐‘š

    โˆ‘

    ๐‘—=1

    ๐œ”๐‘—๐œ‡๐‘ฅ๐‘—๐‘˜

    (๐œ”๐‘—โ‰ฅ 0,

    ๐‘š

    โˆ‘

    ๐‘—=1

    ๐œ”๐‘—= 1) , (3)

    where ๐œ”๐‘—is the weight of the ๐‘—st index ๐ผ

    ๐‘—.

    In this paper, the weight of each evaluation index is givenby the method of using similar number to define similarweight. Firstly, assume that the weights of each index arethe same; namely, the weights of each index are 1/๐‘š. In thiscase, the attribute measure evaluation matrix (๐œ‡

    ๐‘ฅ๐‘˜)๐‘›ร—๐พ

    canbe obtained by formula (4). At the same time, the similaritycoefficients and similar weights can be calculated by formulas(5) and (6). Consider

    ๐œ‡๐‘ฅ๐‘˜=

    1

    ๐‘š

    ๐‘š

    โˆ‘

    ๐‘—=1

    ๐œ‡๐‘ฅ๐‘—๐‘˜, (4)

    ๐‘Ÿ๐‘—=

    1

    ๐‘›

    ๐‘›

    โˆ‘

    ๐‘–=1

    (๐œ‡๐‘–๐‘—1, ๐œ‡๐‘–๐‘—2, . . . , ๐œ‡

    ๐‘–๐‘—๐พ) โ‹… (๐œ‡๐‘–1, ๐œ‡๐‘–2, . . . , ๐œ‡

    ๐‘–๐พ)๐‘‡

    =

    1

    ๐‘›

    ๐‘›

    โˆ‘

    ๐‘–=1

    ๐พ

    โˆ‘

    ๐‘˜=1

    ๐œ‡๐‘–๐‘—๐‘˜โ‹… ๐œ‡๐‘–๐‘˜,

    (5)

    ๐œ”๐‘—=

    ๐‘Ÿ๐‘—

    โˆ‘๐‘š

    ๐‘—=1๐‘Ÿ๐‘—

    . (6)

    3.3. Attribute Recognition. The purpose of attribute recog-nition is to judge which evaluation grade ๐‘ฅ belongs to bysynthetic attribute measure ๐œ‡

    ๐‘ฅ๐‘˜, and it can be realized by

    confidence criterion.

    3.3.1. Confidence Criterion. Assume that the evaluation set isan ordered set of attributes space; ๐œ† is the confidence degree(0.5 < ๐œ† โ‰ค 1), generally taken in 0.6โˆผ0.7 [7โ€“9]. Consider

    When ๐ถ1> ๐ถ2> โ‹… โ‹… โ‹… > ๐ถ

    ๐พ,

    if meets ๐‘˜0= min{๐‘˜ :

    ๐‘˜

    โˆ‘

    ๐‘™=1

    ๐œ‡๐‘ฅ๐‘™โ‰ฅ ๐œ†, 1 โ‰ค ๐‘˜ โ‰ค ๐พ}

    (7)

    or ๐‘˜0= ๐‘› โˆ’min{๐‘˜ :

    ๐‘˜

    โˆ‘

    ๐‘™=0

    ๐œ‡๐‘ฅ๐‘›โˆ’๐‘™

    โ‰ฅ ๐œ†, 0 โ‰ค ๐‘˜ โ‰ค ๐พ โˆ’ 1} . (8)

    So, consider ๐‘ฅ belonging to ๐ถ๐‘˜0.

    3.4.TheAttribute Synthetic EvaluationModel of CBMRecover-ability. The CBM recoverability evaluation is a syntheticevaluation system, it canmake the recognition and predictionof CBM recoverability real by analyzing the influence factors.In this paper, attribute space๐น = {the grades of CBM recover-ability}; the CBM recoverability can be graded as I, II, III,IV, and V, which rules ๐ถ

    1= {I} = {recoverability bad},

    ๐ถ2= {II} = {recoverability comparatively bad}, ๐ถ

    3= {III} =

    {recoverability moderate}, ๐ถ4= {IV} = {recoverability com-

    paratively good}, and ๐ถ5= {V} = {recoverability good}.

  • 4 Mathematical Problems in Engineering

    Table 2: Recoverability evaluation indexes of CBM and its grades.

    Evaluation indexes Recoverability gradesBad Comparatively bad Moderate Comparatively good Good

    Seam thickness (m) 8Gas saturation (m3/t) 20Original seam permeability (10โˆ’3 ๐œ‡m2) 5Reservoir pressure gradient (Mpa/100) 1.0Hydrogeological conditions 1 2 3 4 5

    Table 3: CBM resources mining parameters measured results.

    Mine Seam thickness(m)Gas saturation

    (m3/t)Original seampermeability

    Reservoir pressuregradient (Mpa/100)

    Hydrogeologicalconditions

    Liujia mine 8.9 9.0 1.1 0.95 5Wangyingzi mine 6.6 9.0 0.7 0.88 5Dongliang mine 5.1 9.6 1.8 1.08 3Yiyou mine 7.6 9.7 3.5 1.25 3Qinghemen mine 4.7 9.6 6.0 0.55 2North of Hangcheng mine 3.1 11.2 0.7 0.42 3South of Hangcheng mine 4.4 17.2 0.7 0.72 3

    Based on the above grade division, firstly, set up thesingle index measure function of CBM recoverability. Sec-ondly, build the multi-indexes synthetic measure function ofCBM recoverability. At last, the attribute synthetic evaluationmodel CBM recoverability can be obtained by attributerecognition.

    4. Engineering Application

    The single index attribute measure function can be built bythe definition of single index attribute measure function andTable 2.

    On the basis of the grade standard of Table 2, the singleindex attribute measure function can be built according toformula (1). In the case of seam thickness, the attributemeasure functions are as follows (other index attributemeasure functions can be similarly established, can be limitedto space, and differ a list):

    ๐œ‡๐‘–11(๐‘ก) =

    {{{{

    {{{{

    {

    1 ๐‘ก < 3.5

    4.5 โˆ’ ๐‘ก 3.5 โ‰ค ๐‘ก โ‰ค 4.5

    0 ๐‘ก > 4.5;

    ๐œ‡๐‘–12(๐‘ก) =

    {{{{{{{

    {{{{{{{

    {

    0 ๐‘ก < 3.5

    ๐‘ก โˆ’ 3.5 3.5 โ‰ค ๐‘ก โ‰ค 4.5

    5.5 โˆ’ ๐‘ก 4.5 < ๐‘ก โ‰ค 5.5

    0 ๐‘ก > 5.5;

    ๐œ‡๐‘–13(๐‘ก) =

    {{{{{{{

    {{{{{{{

    {

    0 ๐‘ก < 4.5

    ๐‘ก โˆ’ 4.5 4.5 โ‰ค ๐‘ก โ‰ค 5.5

    6.5 โˆ’ ๐‘ก 5.5 < ๐‘ก โ‰ค 6.5

    0 ๐‘ก > 6.5;

    ๐œ‡๐‘–14(๐‘ก) =

    {{{{{{{{{{

    {{{{{{{{{{

    {

    0 ๐‘ก < 5.5

    ๐‘ก โˆ’ 5.5 5.5 โ‰ค ๐‘ก โ‰ค 6.5

    1 6.5 < ๐‘ก โ‰ค 7.5

    7.5 โˆ’ ๐‘ก 7.5 < ๐‘ก โ‰ค 8.5

    0 ๐‘ก > 8.5;

    ๐œ‡๐‘–15(๐‘ก) =

    {{{{

    {{{{

    {

    0 ๐‘ก < 7.5

    7.5 โˆ’ ๐‘ก 7.5 โ‰ค ๐‘ก โ‰ค 8.5

    1 ๐‘ก > 8.5.

    (9)The CBM resources and test wells emissions mining data

    are chosen as evaluation parameters of seven regions whichare Liujia mine, Wangyingzi mine, Dongliang mine, Yiyoumine, Qinghemenmine of Fuxin region, and north and southof Hancheng mine of China according to literature (see [3]and [11]). See Table 3.

    The single index attribute measure evaluation matricesof each evaluation object can be obtained according to themeasured data in Table 3 and the single index attributemeasure functions which have been built in this paper.

  • Mathematical Problems in Engineering 5

    Table 4: Results of evaluation.

    Mine Synthetic attribute measure ActualsituationEvaluation results in

    this paperEvaluation results of fuzzysynthetic evaluation๐ถ

    1๐ถ2

    ๐ถ3

    ๐ถ4

    ๐ถ5

    Liujia mine 0 0.1614 0 0.4473 0.3393 V V VWangyingzi mine 0 0.1614 0.2897 0.4448 0.0520 V V VDongliang mine 0 0.0906 0.2591 0.2655 0.2182 V V VYiyou mine 0 0 0.1085 0.4695 0.2651 V V VQinghemen mine 0 0.2339 0.1543 0.2655 0 III IV IVNorth of Hangcheng mine 0.2266 0.1975 0.4269 0 0 III III IVSouth of Hangcheng mine 0 0.2660 0.4847 0.2826 0 II III III

    In the case of Liujia mine, the single index attribute measureevaluation matrix ๐œ‚

    1can be calculated by substituting the

    index value into the single index attribute measure function:

    ๐œ‚1=((

    (

    0 0 0 0 1

    0 1 0 0 0

    0 0 0 1 0

    0 0 0 0.75 0.25

    0 0 0 0 0.5

    ))

    )

    . (10)

    The single index attribute measure evaluation matrices ofother mines can be similarly established.

    Taking into account the status and the importance differ-ences of each index in the evaluation process, the weights ofeach index need to be determined. Reasonable selection andcorrect determination of the index weight will directly affectthe evaluation process and the evaluation effectiveness. Com-bining the single attributemeasure function and formula (4)โ€“(6) in this paper, the similarity coefficient can be calculated asfollows:

    ๐‘Ÿ๐‘—= (1.8180 1.2945 2.1300 1.9450 0.8350) (11)

    and the similar weight ๐œ”๐‘—

    =

    (0.2266 0.1614 0.2655 0.2424 0.1041).The multi-indexes attribute measure evaluation vector

    ๐‘’ = [0 0.1614 0 0.4473 0.3393] of Liujia mine can becalculated according to the single index evaluation matrix ๐œ‚

    1

    and formula (3).Take ๐œ† = 0.65; the attribute synthetic evaluation results

    can be obtained according to formula (7), formula (8), andattribute recognition.The evaluation results, the actual situa-tion, and the fuzzy synthetic evaluation results are compared,and the comparison results are in Table 4. It can be seen fromTable 4 that attribute recognition results are consistent withactual situation and have good consistency with the results offuzzy synthetic evaluation according to literature [3, 4].

    5. Conclusions

    (1) In this paper, the CBM recoverability evaluation indexsystem is constructed, and the influence of each index onCBM recoverability is also analyzed.

    (2) The attribute synthetic evaluation model and theattribute measurement functions of each index are estab-lished based on the theory and method of attribute mathe-matics. Five indexes are chosen to evaluate the recoverabilitythrough analyzing the influence factors of CBM, includingseam thickness, gas saturation, permeability, reservoir pres-sure gradient, and hydrogeological conditions. The similarnumber method is used to determine the similar weight ofeach index in the evaluation process, and it overcomes thesubjective factors influencing the traditional empowermentmethod. At last, the CBM recoverability evaluation results areobtained with confidence recognition criteria judgement.

    (3)Themodel is verified through engineering application.At the same time, the evaluation results, the actual situation,and the fuzzy synthetic evaluation results are compared, andthe comparison results show that the property evaluationresults were basically consistent with the actual situation; italso has good consistency with the results of fuzzy syntheticevaluation; an effective method of the CBM recoverabilityevaluation is provided.

    Conflict of Interests

    The authors declare that there is no conflict of interestsregarding the publication of this paper.

    Acknowledgments

    The authors receive the financial support from NSFC(71473194, 71103143, and 51174156) andNSFS (2013KJXX-40).

    References

    [1] G. M. Zhai andW. Y. He, โ€œOccurrence features and explorationorientation of coalbed methane gas in China,โ€ Natural GasIndustry, vol. 30, no. 11, pp. 1โ€“4, 2010.

    [2] J. Yun, G. J. Qin, F. Y. Xu, X. Ch. Li, N. N. Zhong, and W. T.Wu, โ€œDevelopment and utilization prospects of unconventionalnatural gas in China from a low-carbon perspective,โ€ ActaPetrolei Sinica, vol. 33, no. 3, pp. 526โ€“532, 2012.

    [3] Q. X. Wang, W. J. Sun, B. Liang, and H. Y. Li, โ€œFuzzymathematics-based assessment of recoverability of coalbedmethane in the Fuxin Basin,โ€ Natural Gas Industry, vol. 28, no.7, pp. 39โ€“42, 2008.

  • 6 Mathematical Problems in Engineering

    [4] Sh. H. Tang, W. Yue, Ch. H. Cui, and Y. Cai, โ€œAssessmentof coal bedmethane workability through fuzzy mathematics,โ€Geological Review, vol. 46, supplement 1, pp. 284โ€“287, 2000.

    [5] P. H. Zhang, Q. Zhang, B. Y. Wang, B. Y. Wang, G. F. Li, and Y.Tian, โ€œIntegrated methods of CBM recover-ability evaluation: acase study from Panzhuang mine,โ€ Coal Geology & Exploration,vol. 34, no. 1, pp. 21โ€“25, 2006.

    [6] H. M. Wang, Y. M. Zhu, W. Li, J. Sh. Zhang, and Y. Luo, โ€œTwomajor geological control factors of occurrence characteristics ofCBM,โ€ Journal of China Coal society, vol. 36, no. 7, pp. 1129โ€“1134,2011.

    [7] Q. Sh. Cheng, โ€œAttribute mathematics-attribute measure andattribute statistics,โ€Mathematics in Practice andTheory, vol. 22,no. 2, pp. 97โ€“107, 1998.

    [8] Q. Sh. Cheng, โ€œAttribute recognition theoretical model withapplication,โ€ Acta Scientiarum Naturalism Universities Pekinen-sis, vol. 33, no. 1, pp. 12โ€“20, 1997.

    [9] Ch. P.Wen, โ€œApplication of attribute synthetic evaluation systemin prediction of possibility and classification of outburst,โ€Engineering Mechanics, vol. 25, no. 6, pp. 153โ€“158, 2008.

    [10] J. P. Ye, Q. Wu, and Z. H. Wang, โ€œControlled characteristics ofhydrogeological conditions on the coal bed methane migrationand accumulation,โ€Meitan Xuebao, vol. 26, no. 5, pp. 459โ€“462,2001.

    [11] D. M. Ma and Y. Ge, Investigation and Evaluation of Coal BedMethane in Hangcheng Mining Area, China United CoalbedMethane Corporation, Xiโ€™anUniversity of Science and Technol-ogy, 2006.

  • Submit your manuscripts athttp://www.hindawi.com

    Hindawi Publishing Corporationhttp://www.hindawi.com Volume 2014

    MathematicsJournal of

    Hindawi Publishing Corporationhttp://www.hindawi.com Volume 2014

    Mathematical Problems in Engineering

    Hindawi Publishing Corporationhttp://www.hindawi.com

    Differential EquationsInternational Journal of

    Volume 2014

    Applied MathematicsJournal of

    Hindawi Publishing Corporationhttp://www.hindawi.com Volume 2014

    Probability and StatisticsHindawi Publishing Corporationhttp://www.hindawi.com Volume 2014

    Journal of

    Hindawi Publishing Corporationhttp://www.hindawi.com Volume 2014

    Mathematical PhysicsAdvances in

    Complex AnalysisJournal of

    Hindawi Publishing Corporationhttp://www.hindawi.com Volume 2014

    OptimizationJournal of

    Hindawi Publishing Corporationhttp://www.hindawi.com Volume 2014

    CombinatoricsHindawi Publishing Corporationhttp://www.hindawi.com Volume 2014

    International Journal of

    Hindawi Publishing Corporationhttp://www.hindawi.com Volume 2014

    Operations ResearchAdvances in

    Journal of

    Hindawi Publishing Corporationhttp://www.hindawi.com Volume 2014

    Function Spaces

    Abstract and Applied AnalysisHindawi Publishing Corporationhttp://www.hindawi.com Volume 2014

    International Journal of Mathematics and Mathematical Sciences

    Hindawi Publishing Corporationhttp://www.hindawi.com Volume 2014

    The Scientific World JournalHindawi Publishing Corporation http://www.hindawi.com Volume 2014

    Hindawi Publishing Corporationhttp://www.hindawi.com Volume 2014

    Algebra

    Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society

    Hindawi Publishing Corporationhttp://www.hindawi.com Volume 2014

    Hindawi Publishing Corporationhttp://www.hindawi.com Volume 2014

    Decision SciencesAdvances in

    Discrete MathematicsJournal of

    Hindawi Publishing Corporationhttp://www.hindawi.com

    Volume 2014 Hindawi Publishing Corporationhttp://www.hindawi.com Volume 2014

    Stochastic AnalysisInternational Journal of