research scipts
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Ya3teekom 2l 3afye, menra77eb fiku marra 2o5ra and
first of all I am VERYY happy to see you again and to
have the honor to teach you this course in your third
year (its an honor for us dr.), I was happy to teach
you three of the most important courses that are
needed basically for each dentist student; oral
histology, dental anatomy and oral physiology.Congratulation for those how could pass the second
year and are now studying in the third year, I will teach
you another course which has a different topic, it is
related to create from you a Researcher and this course
is called Research Methodology or Research
Design in this curse we will teach you how to havethe ability or how to handle the basic principles of
research methodology, because we dont want you just
to practice dentistry we also want these dentist to do
researches, and it is because of research that
developing takes place, without research, believe it or
not, the dentistry profession will stop at some stages!
As a university lecturer, I am not only a lecturer, I amalso a researcher, but unfortunately a lecturer in the
developing countries like Jordan are more lecturers than
researchers, but in fact if you go to any lecturer in any
western country, you will find that this lecturer is also to
fifty percent a researcher, but we are trying our best to
do researches.
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I am doing now a number of researches, and actually
we are achieving big success in researches, the biggest
success of my researches was while I was teaching you,
it was about the Chronology of tooth eruption, so lastyear we studied the timing of tooth eruption according
to studies found in Europe and America but we didnt
have any studies done in Jordan so I did the first one,
this will be available soon inshalla, so those who are
now in the second year will learn the chronology of
eruption according to the Jordanian population.
Slide (2): Research fields in medicine
In medicine we have different sciences; we have
biological sciences, clinical sciences, population
sciences, and health service sciences
B iological sciences: like anatomy and physiologyand etc
Those sciences, which are related to diseases, focus
on the basic knowledge and information in a specific
field, for example when I tough you dental anatomy I
was providing you every information that you need to
know about the shape of the teeth. And you will learn
the information about how a disease occurs in thefield of oral pathology; these are examples of
biological science.
Clinical sciences : is when you start to apply theinformation
that we toughed you in the clinics. For example the
science of making a filling (restorative dentistry) or
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the science of treating an inflamed gingiva
(periodontics) are clinical sciences, they will serve
individual patients and you are trying to benefit that
particular patient.
Among the clinical science is what we call clinical
epidemiology; epidemiology, in general, is the study
of disease occurring in human population, for
example AIDS, H1N1, gingivitisetc, IF the disease
that I am studying will serve individual patients it will
be called clinicalepidemiology.
Health services: it is the Study of how non-biological factors affect
the patients health. An example of non-biological
factors is the lack of health services, for example if an
ambulance needs two hours to take a patient and
bring him to the hospital the patient may die. So
studying the effect of the lack of services on the
health of the patient is called health services science.
Slide (3): Clinical epidemiology
Clinical epidemiology: It is the science of making
predictions about individual patients; we want to study
the progress of a disease in an individual patient.
It is done by counting clinical events of similarpatients; for example I will examine people havinggingivitis and I will study the clinical events, and Iwill try to count these events by using strongscientific methods, so I cant just study and giveestimation and thats it! After collecting data from
the people I am examining, I have to build goodanalysis and good statistics which are based on
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scientific methodology, it cannot be donehaphazardly! Because the information that thisresearch give, will benefit the individual patient, wedo that because we want to ensure that the
predictions are accurate.So depending on the information provided by thisexamination we can predict what will happen foranother patient suffering from the same disease, soif we are treating another group of patients withgingivitis, we can predict that they will be healthyfor example in three month of treatment.
For any field to be considered as clinical science,the final outcomes have to be applied to individualpatience.
Slide (4): Purpose of clinicalepidemiology
Purpose of clinical epidemiology is to:
1- Develop and apply methods of clinical observationthat will lead to valid conclusions, by avoiding beingmisled by systematic error and the play of chance.
All the time as any researcher you have enemies,the enemy of any researcher is the error andchance, we dont want the chance and thesystematic error to play a role in our analysis ofdata, all the time we try to minimize the role ofthem as much as possible, and eliminating themwill be the best, by avoiding this you will get trueresults.
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2- To obtain the kind of information that the cliniciansneed to make good decision in the care of patients.
After doing a research on the treatment of gingivitis
we could say that people suffering from gingivitiswill be healthy after three month of treatment, thispiece of information is important, it is a conclusionthat will be used by another dentist working byanother place, because he will know that in aprevious research that people undergoing gingivaltreatment will become healthy in three month, sohe will try to apply this conclusion on his patient. Soclinical epidemiology is important for helping theclinicians in making good decisions in the care oftheir patients.
Slide (5): Clinical epidemiology
Why is clinical epidemiology clinical?
Because it answers clinical questions, and it guides
clinicians for making decisions.
Slide (6): Evidence-based medicine
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Evidence-based medicine: is a term that we use
when we apply clinical epidemiology to the care of the
patient.
Evidence-based means that we need to have evidence,
we cannot build a conclusion without evidence.
It has been already proved that smoking is the
cause of lung cancer, we cannot say that just
because we note that people who smoke have lung
cancer, they may have lung cancer because of anothercause, so we took samples and we tried to isolate all the
other factors and we studied the effect of smoking
particularly in the effect of lung cancer, and we proved
by strong methodological evidence that smoking causes
lung cancer, so it has to be evidence based, you cannot
provide a conclusion of a research without an evidence.
Slide (7): Basic principles
The basic principles of any clinical research include first
of all the (1) clinical questions, you have to ask a
question before you start any research, and then you
have to identify the (2) variables.
In my research The chronology of tooth eruption in
Jordanian population the question that was needed is
Do we need to know the timing of eruption in the
Jordanian population? and the answer was YES,
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because we dont have any data for the eruption in the
Jordanian population, the variables that we have are for
example the age, because we will examine people
belonging to different ages, gender is another examplebecause we will examine females and males, we may
want to target for example the private schools only, this
is a variable too, so we have generally two types of
variable, dependent and independent, I dont want to
discuss the difference between these two now, but it
will be covered in one of the coming lectures 2nshalla .
Now after the question and identifying the variables you
will see the (3) outcomes of the research, are the
outcomes important? Are you doing a significant
research?
Is it important to know who is taller, the males or
females?? No, because we already know that males
are taller than females (HE3 :P), so any research
about this topic is not important! It doesnt need all this
amount of money and all that effort to do, so this is a
stupid research and has no outcomes on the health at
all. But in my research (the timing of eruption) does ithave any health outcomes? For example if a patient
comes to you and say my son is one year old and no
teeth came out till now! When I referred to the
European data we discovered that this is abnormal, but
referring to the Jordanian data this was normal, so by
knowing your data in specific, you will check if the child
is having a problem or not, so this is a significantresearch.
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Then we have to look at the (4) numbers that we have
in the research, and the probabilities, we will discuss
this soon.
Slide (8): Clinical question
Each research has at least one question, what question
can be asked?
Is the patient sick or well, is he abnormal or
normal?
How accurate are tests used to diagnose disease
(diagnosis)
How often does a disease occur (frequency)
What factors are associated with an increased risk
of disease (risk)
What are the consequences of having a disease
(prognosis)
How does treatment change the course of disease
(treatment)
Does an intervention on well people keep disease
from arising (prevention)
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did a study on people suffering from liver cancers,
isolating all the others factors, and then he notes that
90 percent of these people died, we built the probability
on a clinical study done previously, thats why we needresearches to help us in treating our patients.
Slide (11): Population and samples
Population: All people in a defined setting with certain
defined characteristics. for example if we want to study
the Jordanian population without any specific
characteristics we say the Jordanian population, it
includes anybody who live in the Jordanian population,
but lets say I dont want to study only the Jordanian
population, I want to study a specific population, I wantto study those Jordanians who are living in irbeT (:P), so
this is a specific population so you have to define the
settings, if you dont define it, this may mean the whole
population of the universe!
Examples are general population (all the population) orhospitalized population (people in a hospital), or if I
want to study those who have a clicky TMJ, this is a
population with a specific disease or observation.
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Slide (12): Population and samples
Sample: Is a subset of people in the definedpopulation, not the whole population, it is not practical
to test all the population.
In my research, the ideal situation was to examine all
the Jordanians whose teeth are in the erupting process,
but can I study three million people!!! Impossible, so I
selected a sample from this population and this sample
needs to be represented in the research.
Selection should not be haphazard; it has to be based
on scientific method, thats why clinical research is all
the time carried out on samples.
The samples make inference about the population So
when we study the sample, the conclusion that we get
from that sample can be applied to that population, and
in my research (the chronology of eruption) I studied all
the schools in Jordan, HOW? I selected randomly fife
schools from Irbed, Zarqa, Ammanetc, so I select
certain number of schools, and then for each school I
dont examine the whole school, I took three students
from each class, so this is a sample, and a sample has
to be randomized and has to be represented, so a good
research is the one whose sample is 100 percent
representative of the population.
Slide (13): Population and samples
Two important points in selecting the sample (1) Are theconclusions of the research correct for the people in the
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sample?? This is important, first of all the conclusions
that I have, have to be correct for that sample, now if
actually the results are correct for that sample then I
ask the second question(2)Does the sample representfairly the population of interest? If yes, then the
conclusion of that sample will be the same as the
conclusion of the whole population.
Slide (14): A sample is representative
A sample is representative: that Depends on how a
sample was selected, if I for example selected justpeople in Irbed, I cannot say that this represent the
whole population, because the sample was not properly
selected, there should be equal chance for all members
to be selected.
Computerized programs now are available for giving
you the principles of how to select a sample.
Slide (15): Bias
Bias: A process at any stage of inference tending to
produce results that depart systematically from the true
values; so any factor during the conducting of aresearch that leads to give untrue values is called bias,
for example in my research about the timing of
eruption, if I only included males, and then I published
my research as it was based on males and females, this
is bias, because it is not true, females may have
different eruption time than males, this leads to the lack
of truth.
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Or it can be defined as any trend in the collection,
analysis, interpretation, publication, or review of the
data that can lead to conclusions that are systematically
different from the truth.
Categories of bias:
Selection bias
Measurement bias
Confounding bias
Slide (17): Selecting bias
Selection bias: Occurs when comparisons are made
between groups of patients that differ in ways other
than the main factors under study.
For example if you are examining dental caries among
dental age groups, it is not correct to examine caries
among different age groups together, and then publish
the results, because the rate of caries in children is
different from the rate of caries in the old people, so Ihave to study caries in the young people, and I have to
specify an age group.
Another example is if you are examining the periodontal
tissue without adjustment for smoking, or the gingival
health without looking for smoking, smoking is
important!!! (the doctor said that I swear :D ), so if I
want to study the gingival health I have to isolate
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smokers from non smoker, I cant mix them, because
smoking affect the health of the gingiva, so it has to be
considered. So any bias based on the methodology in
selecting is called selecting bias.
Slide (18): Measurement bias
Measurement bias: you have already selected the
sample, and now you want to measure that sample, thisbias Occurs when the methods of measurement are not
similar among different groups of patient.
How do we examine dental caries? We examine it
either clinically (looking to the patients mouth), or we
can take radiographs, it is wrong to do research wereactually you have examine one group clinically, and
another group radiographically, you have to isolate this
factor.
Another example is when you are examining the
working length of the roots using different techniques.
in root canal treatment we have to measure the length
of the root, we call it the working length, so we havedifferent methodology in estimating the working length,
if you want for example to study the working length in
some tooth, you have to use only one methodology, or
you can use two methodology but you have finally to
compare the results.
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Slide (19): Confounding bias
Confounding bias: Occurs when two factors orprocesses are associated or "travel together and the
effect of one is confused with or distorted by the effect
of the other, here we have a factor that has been
studied and you didnt pay attention to another factor
which is important and can affect your results.
Example: triglycerides (TG) and cholesterol levels are
associated with risk for coronary heart disease, so if wewant to study the effect of cholesterol on coronary heart
disease it is important to remember that TG can affect
the level of cholesterol, so we cannot study only the
cholesterol on heart disease without studying the TG.
Another Example: Education and/or income with good
health, generally educated people have good health,but why do they have this good health? Is it because
they have better income and they can look after their
body? Or is it because the income allows them to be
educated, to become aware about their health? So we
cannot study the effect of education on good health
without studying the role of income, so we cannot
ignore the important role of income when you study thesignificance of education on good health.
Another good example is the effect of the people taking
folic acid to lower the rates of colon cancer, we actually
ignore an important thing, people who take folic acid
usually take multivitamin, so these are people who areaware about their health, because of that those people
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actually eat properly, do exercise, and know how to look
after their body, so here we ignore the health
awareness because we only study folic acid and know
that it lower the rates of colon cancer without lookingthat these people are already educated, so it is one of
the confounding bias.
Slide (20): Confounding bias
A variable is not confounded if it is directly along the
path from cause to effect, if you get a variable that is
directly from cause to effect and no other factors affect
this pass then it will not be confounded, but if there is
any variable that will affect the pass it will be
confounded.
A confounding variable is not necessarily a cause itself,it can be an effect, for example the healthy people look
after their body, and thats why the take folic acid and
have lower rates of cancer, now the health awareness
has nothing to do with colon cancer but it Is associated
with it, so it is not necessarily the cause of avoiding the
colon cancer.
Slide (21-22-23-24)
Selection bias is an issue in patients selection for an
observation, and so it is important in the design of a
study.
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Confounding bias is an issue in analysis of the data, and
measurement bias is an issue when you are measuring
in your patients.
So each bias is related to some stages in a research, the
first stage which is the selection of samples or research
design deals with the selection bias, the second stage
which is the collecting of data and measuring this data
this is measurement bias, and the final stage of
interpretation of the results is the confounding bias.
Often in the same study more than one bias operates,sometimes we have more than one bias not necessarily
just one of them, in some cases you may have the three
bias together.
A distinction must be made between the potential for
bias and the actual presence of bias in a particular
study; we need to be able to say if there is an actual
bias in your study or there is a possibility of a bias in
your study, you need to be able to distinguish between
these two things.
Dealing with bias: as a good researcher you have to
be able to identify the presence of bias, and then you
have to measure the effect of the bias on your
conclusion, if you think that the effect is very small youchange the conclusions in a clinically meaningful way,
BUT if you think that the effect of this bias is huge than
you have to modify the research design.
THE END
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This work is dedicated for our amazing dof3a
And especially for the medicine student mo7ammadziad darabseh
DONE BY:
AMMAR ANAGREH
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