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    Ya3teekom 2l 3afye, menra77eb fiku marra 2o5ra and

    first of all I am VERYY happy to see you again and to

    have the honor to teach you this course in your third

    year (its an honor for us dr.), I was happy to teach

    you three of the most important courses that are

    needed basically for each dentist student; oral

    histology, dental anatomy and oral physiology.Congratulation for those how could pass the second

    year and are now studying in the third year, I will teach

    you another course which has a different topic, it is

    related to create from you a Researcher and this course

    is called Research Methodology or Research

    Design in this curse we will teach you how to havethe ability or how to handle the basic principles of

    research methodology, because we dont want you just

    to practice dentistry we also want these dentist to do

    researches, and it is because of research that

    developing takes place, without research, believe it or

    not, the dentistry profession will stop at some stages!

    As a university lecturer, I am not only a lecturer, I amalso a researcher, but unfortunately a lecturer in the

    developing countries like Jordan are more lecturers than

    researchers, but in fact if you go to any lecturer in any

    western country, you will find that this lecturer is also to

    fifty percent a researcher, but we are trying our best to

    do researches.

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    I am doing now a number of researches, and actually

    we are achieving big success in researches, the biggest

    success of my researches was while I was teaching you,

    it was about the Chronology of tooth eruption, so lastyear we studied the timing of tooth eruption according

    to studies found in Europe and America but we didnt

    have any studies done in Jordan so I did the first one,

    this will be available soon inshalla, so those who are

    now in the second year will learn the chronology of

    eruption according to the Jordanian population.

    Slide (2): Research fields in medicine

    In medicine we have different sciences; we have

    biological sciences, clinical sciences, population

    sciences, and health service sciences

    B iological sciences: like anatomy and physiologyand etc

    Those sciences, which are related to diseases, focus

    on the basic knowledge and information in a specific

    field, for example when I tough you dental anatomy I

    was providing you every information that you need to

    know about the shape of the teeth. And you will learn

    the information about how a disease occurs in thefield of oral pathology; these are examples of

    biological science.

    Clinical sciences : is when you start to apply theinformation

    that we toughed you in the clinics. For example the

    science of making a filling (restorative dentistry) or

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    the science of treating an inflamed gingiva

    (periodontics) are clinical sciences, they will serve

    individual patients and you are trying to benefit that

    particular patient.

    Among the clinical science is what we call clinical

    epidemiology; epidemiology, in general, is the study

    of disease occurring in human population, for

    example AIDS, H1N1, gingivitisetc, IF the disease

    that I am studying will serve individual patients it will

    be called clinicalepidemiology.

    Health services: it is the Study of how non-biological factors affect

    the patients health. An example of non-biological

    factors is the lack of health services, for example if an

    ambulance needs two hours to take a patient and

    bring him to the hospital the patient may die. So

    studying the effect of the lack of services on the

    health of the patient is called health services science.

    Slide (3): Clinical epidemiology

    Clinical epidemiology: It is the science of making

    predictions about individual patients; we want to study

    the progress of a disease in an individual patient.

    It is done by counting clinical events of similarpatients; for example I will examine people havinggingivitis and I will study the clinical events, and Iwill try to count these events by using strongscientific methods, so I cant just study and giveestimation and thats it! After collecting data from

    the people I am examining, I have to build goodanalysis and good statistics which are based on

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    scientific methodology, it cannot be donehaphazardly! Because the information that thisresearch give, will benefit the individual patient, wedo that because we want to ensure that the

    predictions are accurate.So depending on the information provided by thisexamination we can predict what will happen foranother patient suffering from the same disease, soif we are treating another group of patients withgingivitis, we can predict that they will be healthyfor example in three month of treatment.

    For any field to be considered as clinical science,the final outcomes have to be applied to individualpatience.

    Slide (4): Purpose of clinicalepidemiology

    Purpose of clinical epidemiology is to:

    1- Develop and apply methods of clinical observationthat will lead to valid conclusions, by avoiding beingmisled by systematic error and the play of chance.

    All the time as any researcher you have enemies,the enemy of any researcher is the error andchance, we dont want the chance and thesystematic error to play a role in our analysis ofdata, all the time we try to minimize the role ofthem as much as possible, and eliminating themwill be the best, by avoiding this you will get trueresults.

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    2- To obtain the kind of information that the cliniciansneed to make good decision in the care of patients.

    After doing a research on the treatment of gingivitis

    we could say that people suffering from gingivitiswill be healthy after three month of treatment, thispiece of information is important, it is a conclusionthat will be used by another dentist working byanother place, because he will know that in aprevious research that people undergoing gingivaltreatment will become healthy in three month, sohe will try to apply this conclusion on his patient. Soclinical epidemiology is important for helping theclinicians in making good decisions in the care oftheir patients.

    Slide (5): Clinical epidemiology

    Why is clinical epidemiology clinical?

    Because it answers clinical questions, and it guides

    clinicians for making decisions.

    Slide (6): Evidence-based medicine

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    Example

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    Evidence-based medicine: is a term that we use

    when we apply clinical epidemiology to the care of the

    patient.

    Evidence-based means that we need to have evidence,

    we cannot build a conclusion without evidence.

    It has been already proved that smoking is the

    cause of lung cancer, we cannot say that just

    because we note that people who smoke have lung

    cancer, they may have lung cancer because of anothercause, so we took samples and we tried to isolate all the

    other factors and we studied the effect of smoking

    particularly in the effect of lung cancer, and we proved

    by strong methodological evidence that smoking causes

    lung cancer, so it has to be evidence based, you cannot

    provide a conclusion of a research without an evidence.

    Slide (7): Basic principles

    The basic principles of any clinical research include first

    of all the (1) clinical questions, you have to ask a

    question before you start any research, and then you

    have to identify the (2) variables.

    In my research The chronology of tooth eruption in

    Jordanian population the question that was needed is

    Do we need to know the timing of eruption in the

    Jordanian population? and the answer was YES,

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    Example

    Example

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    because we dont have any data for the eruption in the

    Jordanian population, the variables that we have are for

    example the age, because we will examine people

    belonging to different ages, gender is another examplebecause we will examine females and males, we may

    want to target for example the private schools only, this

    is a variable too, so we have generally two types of

    variable, dependent and independent, I dont want to

    discuss the difference between these two now, but it

    will be covered in one of the coming lectures 2nshalla .

    Now after the question and identifying the variables you

    will see the (3) outcomes of the research, are the

    outcomes important? Are you doing a significant

    research?

    Is it important to know who is taller, the males or

    females?? No, because we already know that males

    are taller than females (HE3 :P), so any research

    about this topic is not important! It doesnt need all this

    amount of money and all that effort to do, so this is a

    stupid research and has no outcomes on the health at

    all. But in my research (the timing of eruption) does ithave any health outcomes? For example if a patient

    comes to you and say my son is one year old and no

    teeth came out till now! When I referred to the

    European data we discovered that this is abnormal, but

    referring to the Jordanian data this was normal, so by

    knowing your data in specific, you will check if the child

    is having a problem or not, so this is a significantresearch.

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    Example

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    Then we have to look at the (4) numbers that we have

    in the research, and the probabilities, we will discuss

    this soon.

    Slide (8): Clinical question

    Each research has at least one question, what question

    can be asked?

    Is the patient sick or well, is he abnormal or

    normal?

    How accurate are tests used to diagnose disease

    (diagnosis)

    How often does a disease occur (frequency)

    What factors are associated with an increased risk

    of disease (risk)

    What are the consequences of having a disease

    (prognosis)

    How does treatment change the course of disease

    (treatment)

    Does an intervention on well people keep disease

    from arising (prevention)

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    did a study on people suffering from liver cancers,

    isolating all the others factors, and then he notes that

    90 percent of these people died, we built the probability

    on a clinical study done previously, thats why we needresearches to help us in treating our patients.

    Slide (11): Population and samples

    Population: All people in a defined setting with certain

    defined characteristics. for example if we want to study

    the Jordanian population without any specific

    characteristics we say the Jordanian population, it

    includes anybody who live in the Jordanian population,

    but lets say I dont want to study only the Jordanian

    population, I want to study a specific population, I wantto study those Jordanians who are living in irbeT (:P), so

    this is a specific population so you have to define the

    settings, if you dont define it, this may mean the whole

    population of the universe!

    Examples are general population (all the population) orhospitalized population (people in a hospital), or if I

    want to study those who have a clicky TMJ, this is a

    population with a specific disease or observation.

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    Slide (12): Population and samples

    Sample: Is a subset of people in the definedpopulation, not the whole population, it is not practical

    to test all the population.

    In my research, the ideal situation was to examine all

    the Jordanians whose teeth are in the erupting process,

    but can I study three million people!!! Impossible, so I

    selected a sample from this population and this sample

    needs to be represented in the research.

    Selection should not be haphazard; it has to be based

    on scientific method, thats why clinical research is all

    the time carried out on samples.

    The samples make inference about the population So

    when we study the sample, the conclusion that we get

    from that sample can be applied to that population, and

    in my research (the chronology of eruption) I studied all

    the schools in Jordan, HOW? I selected randomly fife

    schools from Irbed, Zarqa, Ammanetc, so I select

    certain number of schools, and then for each school I

    dont examine the whole school, I took three students

    from each class, so this is a sample, and a sample has

    to be randomized and has to be represented, so a good

    research is the one whose sample is 100 percent

    representative of the population.

    Slide (13): Population and samples

    Two important points in selecting the sample (1) Are theconclusions of the research correct for the people in the

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    sample?? This is important, first of all the conclusions

    that I have, have to be correct for that sample, now if

    actually the results are correct for that sample then I

    ask the second question(2)Does the sample representfairly the population of interest? If yes, then the

    conclusion of that sample will be the same as the

    conclusion of the whole population.

    Slide (14): A sample is representative

    A sample is representative: that Depends on how a

    sample was selected, if I for example selected justpeople in Irbed, I cannot say that this represent the

    whole population, because the sample was not properly

    selected, there should be equal chance for all members

    to be selected.

    Computerized programs now are available for giving

    you the principles of how to select a sample.

    Slide (15): Bias

    Bias: A process at any stage of inference tending to

    produce results that depart systematically from the true

    values; so any factor during the conducting of aresearch that leads to give untrue values is called bias,

    for example in my research about the timing of

    eruption, if I only included males, and then I published

    my research as it was based on males and females, this

    is bias, because it is not true, females may have

    different eruption time than males, this leads to the lack

    of truth.

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    Or it can be defined as any trend in the collection,

    analysis, interpretation, publication, or review of the

    data that can lead to conclusions that are systematically

    different from the truth.

    Categories of bias:

    Selection bias

    Measurement bias

    Confounding bias

    Slide (17): Selecting bias

    Selection bias: Occurs when comparisons are made

    between groups of patients that differ in ways other

    than the main factors under study.

    For example if you are examining dental caries among

    dental age groups, it is not correct to examine caries

    among different age groups together, and then publish

    the results, because the rate of caries in children is

    different from the rate of caries in the old people, so Ihave to study caries in the young people, and I have to

    specify an age group.

    Another example is if you are examining the periodontal

    tissue without adjustment for smoking, or the gingival

    health without looking for smoking, smoking is

    important!!! (the doctor said that I swear :D ), so if I

    want to study the gingival health I have to isolate

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    smokers from non smoker, I cant mix them, because

    smoking affect the health of the gingiva, so it has to be

    considered. So any bias based on the methodology in

    selecting is called selecting bias.

    Slide (18): Measurement bias

    Measurement bias: you have already selected the

    sample, and now you want to measure that sample, thisbias Occurs when the methods of measurement are not

    similar among different groups of patient.

    How do we examine dental caries? We examine it

    either clinically (looking to the patients mouth), or we

    can take radiographs, it is wrong to do research wereactually you have examine one group clinically, and

    another group radiographically, you have to isolate this

    factor.

    Another example is when you are examining the

    working length of the roots using different techniques.

    in root canal treatment we have to measure the length

    of the root, we call it the working length, so we havedifferent methodology in estimating the working length,

    if you want for example to study the working length in

    some tooth, you have to use only one methodology, or

    you can use two methodology but you have finally to

    compare the results.

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    Example

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    Slide (19): Confounding bias

    Confounding bias: Occurs when two factors orprocesses are associated or "travel together and the

    effect of one is confused with or distorted by the effect

    of the other, here we have a factor that has been

    studied and you didnt pay attention to another factor

    which is important and can affect your results.

    Example: triglycerides (TG) and cholesterol levels are

    associated with risk for coronary heart disease, so if wewant to study the effect of cholesterol on coronary heart

    disease it is important to remember that TG can affect

    the level of cholesterol, so we cannot study only the

    cholesterol on heart disease without studying the TG.

    Another Example: Education and/or income with good

    health, generally educated people have good health,but why do they have this good health? Is it because

    they have better income and they can look after their

    body? Or is it because the income allows them to be

    educated, to become aware about their health? So we

    cannot study the effect of education on good health

    without studying the role of income, so we cannot

    ignore the important role of income when you study thesignificance of education on good health.

    Another good example is the effect of the people taking

    folic acid to lower the rates of colon cancer, we actually

    ignore an important thing, people who take folic acid

    usually take multivitamin, so these are people who areaware about their health, because of that those people

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    actually eat properly, do exercise, and know how to look

    after their body, so here we ignore the health

    awareness because we only study folic acid and know

    that it lower the rates of colon cancer without lookingthat these people are already educated, so it is one of

    the confounding bias.

    Slide (20): Confounding bias

    A variable is not confounded if it is directly along the

    path from cause to effect, if you get a variable that is

    directly from cause to effect and no other factors affect

    this pass then it will not be confounded, but if there is

    any variable that will affect the pass it will be

    confounded.

    A confounding variable is not necessarily a cause itself,it can be an effect, for example the healthy people look

    after their body, and thats why the take folic acid and

    have lower rates of cancer, now the health awareness

    has nothing to do with colon cancer but it Is associated

    with it, so it is not necessarily the cause of avoiding the

    colon cancer.

    Slide (21-22-23-24)

    Selection bias is an issue in patients selection for an

    observation, and so it is important in the design of a

    study.

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    Confounding bias is an issue in analysis of the data, and

    measurement bias is an issue when you are measuring

    in your patients.

    So each bias is related to some stages in a research, the

    first stage which is the selection of samples or research

    design deals with the selection bias, the second stage

    which is the collecting of data and measuring this data

    this is measurement bias, and the final stage of

    interpretation of the results is the confounding bias.

    Often in the same study more than one bias operates,sometimes we have more than one bias not necessarily

    just one of them, in some cases you may have the three

    bias together.

    A distinction must be made between the potential for

    bias and the actual presence of bias in a particular

    study; we need to be able to say if there is an actual

    bias in your study or there is a possibility of a bias in

    your study, you need to be able to distinguish between

    these two things.

    Dealing with bias: as a good researcher you have to

    be able to identify the presence of bias, and then you

    have to measure the effect of the bias on your

    conclusion, if you think that the effect is very small youchange the conclusions in a clinically meaningful way,

    BUT if you think that the effect of this bias is huge than

    you have to modify the research design.

    THE END

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    This work is dedicated for our amazing dof3a

    And especially for the medicine student mo7ammadziad darabseh

    DONE BY:

    AMMAR ANAGREH

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