resilience.io - cities alliance africa strategy workshop - sept 2016

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1 Stephen Passmore La-Palm Royal Beach Hotel Accra 15 th September 2016 Introduction to resilience.io

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1

Stephen Passmore

La-Palm Royal Beach Hotel Accra

15th September 2016

Introduction to resilience.io

2

The Ecological Sequestration Trust

• UK Charity 2011 speed up and scale up transformative city-region development• Operate in space between private, public, knowledge and civil society sectors• Leading experts foster integrated systems thinking and collaborative approaches• Develop tools and demonstrators to support implementation of post 2030 agenda

3

What is resilience.io ?

National, city-region scale integrated systems platform

1) Build Open-source modelPopulation/processes

2) Develop scenariosTechnology/policy

3) Collaborate on solutions4) Generate results

5

Practical value

• Social and Physical

• Data driven

• Evidence for investment

• Performance based procurement

• Metrics for SDG delivery

6

GAMA – Water and Sanitation

Prototype debut - Ghana

WASH prototype● Model development

● Set of specifications – http://resilience.io● 50 Process blocks developed that describe

input output, energy, material and labour● Computer modules built and tested

● ABM & RTN

● Three Use cases developedwith the GTG to demonstratefunctionality and benefits

● Visualisations for decision support andbasic user interface

● Data● 200 plus data sets collected

that describe WASH in GAMAas well as socio-economic, GIS,process and technology.

GAMA Technical Group

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

June Aug Sept Nov Jan Mar May

Co

un

t

Month 2015-16

TEST/CA StaffGAMA Stakeholders

MLGRD “helps to consider the complexities and difficulties faced in planning and implementation of WASH sector”Private Sector “Can use resilience.io to better evaluate resilient initiatives and work in PPP to deliver new infrastructure around GAMA”

Very well received..MLGRD - Good tool in the development of the urban areas, we need such a model.

UoG - resilience.io prototype gives a faster and more accurate solutions for development (urban) planning

AMA - Is important to help in decision making and inform policy

Training - The model is very good, and can help us to improve and prioritise quality decisions in my Assembly

• 3 results workshops including live model runs– 97% think the resilience.io prototype is functional

– 71% think resilience.io is suitable to inform policy/investment decision making (high degree)

• Training and installation session– 90% like to be involved in further development & 100% like to use as part of their role/institution

• High level debut event– It’s a great thing for GAMA, a great thing for Ghana, and I believe it will be a great thing for

Africa Robert Ansah - AMA

using resilience.io

1.1 Question: What technologies and capacity can meet future needs?

Additional treatment needs capacity

needs by 2025 : 200,000 m3/day

1.1 Question: How will the proposed system(s) affect other

sectors?

New desalination plant substantially

increases electricity needs:

350,000 kWh /day

1.1 Question: What will be the cost and is it affordable?

Population and Demands 2015 2025

Population 4.39 million 5.68 million

Faecal Sludge Generation 6,651 m3/day 8,708 m3/day

Waste-Water Treatment Needs 243 thousand m3/day 423 thousand m3/day

1.1 Question: What will be the cost and is it affordable?

Population and Demands 2015 2025

Population 4.39 million 5.68 million

Faecal Sludge Generation 6,651 m3/day 8,708 m3/day

Waste-Water Treatment Needs 243 thousand m3/day 423 thousand m3/day

1.1 Question: What will be the cost for GAMA?

Population and Demands 2015 2025

Population 4.39 million 5.68 million

Faecal Sludge Generation 6,651 m3/day 8,708 m3/day

Waste-Water Treatment Needs 243 thousand m3/day 423 thousand m3/day

Public Decentralised (million USD) 2010-2015 2015-2025

Expenditure for treatment capacity 90 260

Expenditure for public toilets 42 192

Total Capital Costs 132 352

1.1 Question: Will it be affordable?

GAMA – 15 MMDA values 2015 (million USD) 2025 (million USD)

Total operational costs per year 55.6 80.5

Revenues from public toilet use 33.0 82.0

Costs per Citizen per year (USD) 12.7 11.6

GAMA – 15 MMDA values 2015 2025

Greenhouse emissions in tonnes per year 2011 7516

Total jobs for sewerage system 82 625

17

Scale up..

Model

in Ghana

in Africa

Planned next steps

Next steps

Key:Proposed plan of urban investment Traditional investment Quality assurance / evidence / technical support

Collaboratory• Independent • Cross sector• Quality assurance• Transparency• Procurement• Data in/output

UDIF• Investors: private equity,

pensions, impact investors, development banks

• Public, private or mix• Unlimited revolving fund• One major full cost loan

type to keep costs low• Local needs determine

transformational change

Implementing Entity

Projects

Sustained finance for equitable green growth Infrastructure investment

Municipalities

INVESTORS / FUNDERS e.g. GCF, Bonds, Private

LOCAL COLLABOR-

ATORY

Portfolio of projects

UDIF

ROI

Implementing Entity

Reduced project costSpeeding up delivery

design

#roadmap2030http://ecosequestrust.org/roadmap2030

• Enabling environment to create smart partnerships between national and municipal government, civil society, academia, faiths and the private sector

• How to implement the urban agenda• Addresses 16 cross-cutting themes in an integrated approach

Thank you

@stephenpassmore

@ResilienceIO

http://resilience.io

Dream it… Plan it… Live it…