resilient like a fox
DESCRIPTION
Slides from my talk at LIFT13 in Geneva.TRANSCRIPT
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resilient like a fox
venkatesh raoribbonfarm.comLIFT 13, Geneva
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You are resilient if you keep getting up after getting punched down
Mnemonic image: classic Paul Newman scene from Cool Hand Luke
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HOW do you get back up?
WHY do you get back up?
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“The fox knows many things, the hedgehog knows one big thing.”
-- Archilocus
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Attributions:Fox: Rob LeeHedgehog: Lars KarlssonTurkey: Yathin S Krishnappa
Gets up for new adventure Gets up for old passion
Gets up out of habit
After being punched down…
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Story 1: The three stonecutters and the cathedral
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Story 2: The three stonecutters at Chesterton’s Fence
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Story 3: The three stonecutters and the Dogs of VUCA*
* Viciously Unpleasant Canine Adversaries
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Moral of the story
It is not clear whether it is better to be a fox or a hedgehog.
Just don’t be a turkey.
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Resilience 101 Concepts
• Fox vs. Hedgehog vs. Turkey• VUCA -- Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity, Ambiguity• Illegibility and Chesterton’s Fence• Cathedral vs. Bazaar• Leadership vs. Collaboration
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Fox vs. Hedgehog
• Seven Little Comparisons • …And one BIG comparison
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Hedgehog resilience in nature: Panda
Knows one thing: how to look cute for wildlife photographers
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Foxy Resilience in nature: sea birds at Mira Flores
Know: “4-Hour Fishing” by Tim Seagull Ferriss
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Hedgehog Resilience for humansTransition Village, Val David, Quebec
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Foxy Resilience for humansJugaad Movement, India
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HedgehogMind
Backyardchickens
and rabbits
Drones and 3D printers
Locavorism
ConservationMindset
Permaculture
Autonomy
One identity for all
situations
Learn for fundamentals
Single modelthinking
Carry one lifestyle
everywhere
ConsistentValues
First-PrinciplesThinking
REALLY bad at
prediction
Theory of Everything
Creates by eliminating contradictions
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ChangeableIdentity
Globalism
ExpedientValues
Embrace Transience
Arbitrage,“4 hour week”
Interdependence
FoxyMind
Adapt lifestyle to
location
Run towards
opportunity
Run away from trouble
Multiple-ModelThinking
DisposabilityMindset
Learn for leverage
“get rich quick” schemes
Hacking
Better at prediction
than hedgehogs
PointillistThinking
Creates by accepting
contradictions
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(with apologies to Tolstoi)
Resilient hedgehogs are all alike. Every resilient fox is resilient in its own way.
Hedgehogs are predictableFoxes are unpredictable
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And speaking of Tolstoi…
“[Isaiah Berlin] postulated that while Tolstoi had the talents of a fox, he believed that one ought to be a hedgehog”
-- Wikipedia
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Fox Hedgehog
Hedgehog
Fox
Pure FoxesShakespeareBruce SterlingJustin PickardNate SilverTim FerrissPhilip Tetlock
AntitolstoisNicholas Nassim Taleb:Thomas “Bazaar” JeffersonJohn Boyd (OODA loop)
TolstoisSome startup foundersThomas FriedmanNeal Stephenson
Pure HedgehogsDanteAsimov, ClarkeJames Collins (Good to Great)Steve Blank (Four Steps…)Alexander “Cathedral” Hamilton
Talents
Valu
es
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Fox
Hedgehog
Hedgehog
Fox
Open-mindedResourcefulAdaptableWorldlyInterestingAdventurousImaginative
DoctrinaireMiserlyHypocriticalNaïveBoringHomebodyPredictable
InconsistentUnreliableDuplicitousSelfishIrresponsibleSchemingGullible
ConsistentConscientiousJustCommunitarianResponsibleTrustworthySkeptical
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Fox Hedgehog
Cathedrals(Hamiltonian)
Bazaars(Jeffersonian)
FAVELA CHIC CARGO CULTS
GOTHIC HIGH TECH
TOWER OF BABEL
Startu
ps
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Fox Hedgehog
Profane
Sacred
Adventure Love
Boredom Betrayal
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Law 1: Build on contradictions, not valuesLaw 2: Preserve memories, not identitiesLaw 3: Seek motifs, not axiomsLaw 4: Pursue adventure, not love
four laws for foxy resilience
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Mission: To go boldly where no man has gone before!
BUT: Prime Directive! Don’t interfere with pre-warp cultures
Law 1: build on contradictions, not values
Remember: “Enterprise” meant “adventurous voyage” (Sinbad the Sailor) before it meant “institution.”
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Wabi-sabi bowl, courtesy web-japan.com (valued by Foxes)
More damage = higher value
Mint condition 1918 Russian stamp(valued by Hedgehogs)
More damage = lower value
Law 2: preserve memories, not identities
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Law 3: seek motifs, not truths
Globalization understood through container as motifvs.
Globalization understood through World is Flat axiom
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Global Orbiting Device (GOD) Strongest weapon in the world (WMH – Weapon of Mass Happiness)
Two pieces of art by Hojun Song
Law 4: pursue adventure, not love
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Consequence 1: Build on contradictions, values will emergeConsequence 2: Preserve memories, identity will emergeConsequence 3: Seek motifs, truths will emergeConsequence 4: Pursue adventure, love will emerge
Act like a fox, your inner hedgehog will emerge!
(but seriously, don’t be a turkey)
four consequences of foxy resilience
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Thank you!
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