rest in peace: global warming hysteria (1988-2017)global warming hysteria (1988-2017) gordon j....

56
Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: [email protected] April 20, 2017 Oregon Federation Republican Women Rest in Peace:

Upload: others

Post on 28-Mar-2020

3 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

Global Warming Hysteria(1988-2017)

Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago

Contact: [email protected]

April 20, 2017

Oregon Federation Republican Women

Rest in Peace:

Page 2: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

The Prime Movers(Hansen, Gore, Obama, and Trump)

Page 3: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

“Few challenges facing America andthe world are more urgent than combating

climate change. The science is beyonddispute and the facts are clear.”

PRESIDENT-ELECT BARACK OBAMA, NOVEMBER 19, 2008

The Political Case for Global Warming

Page 4: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

With all due respect Mr. President,

that is not true.

Robert M. Carter, PhD, James Cook UniversityIan Clark, PhD, University of OttawaJoseph D'Aleo, PhD, Fellow, American Meteorological SocietyChristopher Essex, PhD University of Western OntarioGordon J. Fulks, PhD, Gordon Fulks and AssociatesGerhard Gerlich, PhD, Technische Universitat BraunschweigIvar Giaever, PhD Nobel Laureate, PhysicsWill Happer, PhD Princeton UniversityKiminori Itoh, PhD Yokohama National UniversityRichard Lindzen, PhD Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyRoss McKitrick, PhD University of GuelphPatrick J. Michaels, PhD University of VirginiaNils-Axel Morner, PhD Stockholm UniversityAntonio Zichichi, PhD President, World Federation Scientists

PLUSMORETHAN100OTHERSCIENTISTS

Page 5: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

CO2 is remarkably BENEFICIAL

1) Major 'Gas of Life'2) Minor Greenhouse Gas3) Warmer is better anyway!4) At 400 ppm, near low of 200 ppm needed to support life5) Current level helps feed mankind6) US Navy submarines at 5,000 ppm7) Previous levels up to 7,500 ppm8) We exhale 40,000 ppm

Page 6: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

The Infamous 'Hockey Stick' Graphfrom Michael Mann

Media claim: “New studies indicate that temperatures in recent decades are higher than at any time in the past 1000 years……with the 1990’s as the warmest decade and 1998 as the warmest year”

The Wegman Report cited serious errors by Michael Mann, but the UN IPCC continues to use it

COOKINGTHE BOOKS

Page 7: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

Corrected version of the Infamous Hockey Stick(from McKitrick and McIntyre)

Page 8: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

COOKING THE BOOKS – Latest Chapter(to meet immediate political needs)

Page 9: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

The Big Lie that sells climate hysteria

“There is 97 percent agreement among climate scientists that humans are causing global warming.”

John Cook, “PhD candidate in cognitive psychology,researching how people think about climate change.”

He has become the chief propagandist for the scam.

Page 10: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

at Oregon Universities

Page 11: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

Are we captive of a technological elite?

● “The prospect of domination of the nation's scholars by Federal employment, project allocations, and the power of money is ever present -- and is gravely to be regarded.

● Yet, in holding scientific research and discovery in respect, as we should, we must also be alert to the equal and opposite danger that public policy could itself become the captive of a scientific-technological elite.”

Dwight David Eisenhower

Page 12: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

WHAT IS SCIENCE?

Science is PURE Logic and Evidence

The Royal Society's motto 'Nullius in verba' roughly translates as 'take nobody's word for it'. It is an expression of the determination of Fellows to withstand the domination of authority and to verify all statements by an appeal to facts determined by experiment.

Page 13: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

"In questions of science,

the authority of a thousandis not worth the humble reasoningof a single individual."

Galileo Galilei (1564-1643)

Individuals trump Authority

Page 14: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

Obama's official “Lines of Evidence”

1) Unusual warming RECENTLY

2) Clearly from Greenhouse Gases

3) Climate models are ultimate 'proof'

Page 15: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

“If it disagrees with experiment, IT IS WRONG.In that simple statement is the key to science.”

Nobel LaureateRichard Feynman

Page 16: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

UN Computer Simulations of Climate areComputer Games USELESS in Predicting the Future

Professor of Mathematical and Theoretical Physics, Gerhard Gerlich:

“To derive climate catastrophes from these computer games and to scare Mankind to death is a crime.”

“It cannot be overemphasized that even if the [fluid] equations are simplified considerably, one cannotdetermine numerical solutions, even for small space regions and even for small time intervals.This situation will not change in the next 1000 years regardless of progress made in computer hardware.As the extremely simplified one-fluid equations are unsolvable, the many-fluid equations would be moreunsolvable, the equations that include the averaged equations describing the turbulence would be yet moreunsolvable, if “unsolvable" had a comparative.”

“Hence, the computer simulations of global climatology are not based onphysical laws.”

Page 17: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

The UN IPCC's understanding of Climatewas better years ago

Page 18: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

Nobel Laureate in Physics Richard Feynmanon Scientific Honesty

It’s a kind of scientific integrity, a principle of scientific thought that corresponds to a kind of utter honesty – a kind of leaning over backwards. For example, if you’re doing an experiment, you shouldreport everything that you think might make it invalid–not only what you think is right about it:other causes that could possibly explain your results; and things you thought of that you’ve eliminated by some other experiment, and how they worked – to make sure the other fellow can tell they have been eliminated.

Details that could throw doubt on your interpretation must be given, if you know them. You must do the best you can – if you know anything at all wrong, or possibly wrong – to explain it.If you make a theory, for example, and advertise it, or put it out, then you must also put down all the facts that disagreewith it, as well as those that agree with it....

In summary, the idea is to try to give all of the information to help others to judge the value of your contribution; not just the information that leads to judgment in one particular direction or another.

Page 19: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

FRAUD

Global Warming Climate Change

Climate Disruption Climate Ignorance Climate Deception

Climate Propaganda Climate Greed

Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming

Page 20: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that
Page 21: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

Phil Mote's Infamous 'Shrinking' NW Snow PackA case of not showing you all the data

(Upper graph from Mote, Lower Graph is complete record)

COOKINGTHE BOOKS

Page 22: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

Temperature at Vostok, Antarctica from 450,000 BC

Note Regular Pattern of Ice Ages

Holocene

Ice AgeIce AgeIce Age Ice Age

Page 23: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

Temperature at Vostok, Antarctica from 450,000 BPwith CO2 Concentration

Page 24: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

Jupiter with 'Red Spot' (NASA / JPL)

Page 25: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

Temperature in Central Greenland from 50,000 BC

Ice AgeHoloceneClimate

Optimum

Modern

Page 26: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

Temperature in Central Greenland from 3000 BC

Modern Warm Period peaked below Medieval, Roman, Minoan

Minoan

Roman

Medieval

Modern

Page 27: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that
Page 28: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that
Page 29: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

The Gold Standard for Global Temperature

Page 30: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

The Gold Standard for Global Temperature

Page 31: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

Pacific Decadal Oscillation (warm/cold water pattern) explains global temperaturevariations over 20th Century – Great Pacific Climate Shift occurred 1977 and 2007

Page 32: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that
Page 33: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

Worldwide Record High Temperatureswere set long ago

Page 34: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

Complete Annual PNW Temperatures

Page 35: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

“Cooked” PNW Temperatures

Page 36: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

Complete Annual PNW Precipitation

Page 37: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

Prediction versus Reality: Missing Hot SpotMultiple robust data sets say EPA is wrong

Page 38: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

Obama's official “Lines of Evidence”

1) Unusual warming RECENTLY

2) Clearly from Greenhouse Gases

3) Climate models are ultimate 'proof'

Page 39: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

Antarctic Ice Sheet GAINS Mass

FROM NASA:

“The Antarctic ice sheet showed a net gain of 112 billion tons of ice a year from 1992 to 2001. That net gain slowed to 82 billion tons of ice per year between 2003 and 2008.”

“The research challenges the conclusions of …. the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) 2013 report, which says that Antarctica is overall losing land ice.”

Page 40: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

The Frozen Northern Hemisphere in Jan. 2015

Cold View from North Pole

● Extensive Northern Hemisphere snow cover

● Arctic Basin sea ice normal

● Bering sea ice (low)

● Summit Station -46C

● Worldwide sea ice normal

Page 41: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

Sea Level trend based on observational facts (blue)versus IPCC (purple) and Satellite (orange and green)

Page 42: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

Measured Ocean pH VariationsFrom Hawaii to Alaska

Page 43: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

15 June 201315 June 2013 Climate change reconsidered Bejing ChinaClimate change reconsidered Bejing China

Are Extreme Weather Are Extreme Weather (EW) events on the rise? (EW) events on the rise?

Madhav KhandekarMadhav KhandekarIPCC 2007 Expert IPCC 2007 Expert

ReviewerReviewerTORONTO CANADA TORONTO CANADA

Page 44: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

15 June 2013 Climate change reconsidered Bejing China

Deadliest heat wave in Canada; 1100 people died July 1936

Page 45: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

Major Hurricanes are frequent when THC is StrongNOT when the Global Air Temperature is High

Page 46: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

15 June 2013 Climate change reconsidered Bejing China

Are EW on the rise?Are EW on the rise?

A short answer: NO!A short answer: NO!

A Long answer: NO! NO! NO! A Long answer: NO! NO! NO!

EW events have always occurred in the earth’s EW events have always occurred in the earth’s climate!climate!

Present concern re: EW/Global Warming (GW) Present concern re: EW/Global Warming (GW) link is more media hype than reality!link is more media hype than reality!

Present or future EW events posePresent or future EW events pose NO [increasing] threat to humanity! NO [increasing] threat to humanity!

Page 47: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

Habibullo Abdussamatov, Dr. Sc.

Head of Space research laboratory of the Pulkovo Observatory

“The Sun defines the Climate”

Experts of the United Nations in regular reports publish data said to show that the Earth is approaching a catastrophic global warming,

caused by increasing emissions of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere. However, observations of the Sun show that as for the increase in temperature, carbon dioxide is "not guilty" and as for what lies ahead in the upcoming decades, it is not catastrophic warming, but a global and very prolonged temperature drop.

Page 48: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

Sunspots are Manifestations of Solar Magnetic Activity

Page 49: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

Sunspot data from 1611 with forecast to 2080

Page 50: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

The Threat is Global Cooling

Toward another 'Little Ice Age' THIS CENTURY

Into a 100,000 year 'Big Ice Age' THIS MILLENNIUM

Page 51: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

Edward Teller's support ofthe Petition Project

Page 52: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that
Page 53: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

A very widespread problem

“Many/most areas of science are in (silent) crisis. Over 90% of claims in epidemiology do not replicate...We really don't know the limits of the problem...There is little or no supervision or oversight in universities.”

● Stanley Young, PhD● National Institute of Statistical Sciences

Page 54: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

Michael Crichton on Propaganda

“The greatest challenge facing mankind is the challenge of distinguishing reality from fantasy, truth from propaganda. Perceiving the truth has always been a challenge to mankind, but in the information age (or as I think of it, the disinformationage) it takes on a special urgency and importance”

Michael CrichtonAuthor and MD

Harvard University

Page 55: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyProfessor of Meteorology Richard LindzenIs widely recognized as the greatest meteorologist alive today:

What do the Best and the Brightest say aboutGlobal Warming?

“The need to courageously resist hysteria is clear.”

Page 56: Rest in Peace: Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017)Global Warming Hysteria (1988-2017) Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago Contact: ... “New studies indicate that

““Two things are infinite: the Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the and I’m not sure about the universe.universe.” ” Albert EinsteinAlbert Einstein. .

Was Einstein talking about Global Warming?