results from >2,300 patients in the source tavi registry: changes in patient populations with...
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Results from >2,300 Patients in The SOURCE TAVI Registry: Changes in
Patient Populations with time.
Dr Martyn Thomas on behalf of the SOURCE investigators.
Clinical Director, Cardiovascular Services
St Thomas’ Hospital
Kings Health Partner’s
London
Disclosure Statement of Financial Interest
• Grant/Research Support• Consulting Fees/Honoraria
• Edwards Lifesciences• Boston Scientific• Cordis
Within the past 12 months, I or my spouse/partner have had a financial interest/arrangement or affiliation with the organization(s) listed below.
Affiliation/Financial Relationship Company
Background:THE SOURCE Registry describes the outcomes in the first group of TAVI patients treated with the Edwards SAPIEN Valve in Europe.
COHORT 1:Nov 07 to Jan 0934 Centres with 1123 patients
The SOURCE Registry has: 100% procedure data
30D Data: COH1 – 99.9% | COH2 – 98%1Yr Data: COH1 – 98% | COH2 – Avail 2011
All consecutively enrolled
Excluded: 2 Centres / 85 patients• Unable to obtain Ethic Cte approval or
administrative issues.
3Data Extract – 17MAY2010, 30JUL2010
32 Centres with 1038 patients
COHORT 2: Feb 09 to Dec 0940 Centres with 1306 patients
TOTAL:
38 Centres with 2344 patients
=
2 Centres• Elected not to participate. –
–
+
=
Methods:Consecutive Patients
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• The current data is from centres who could provide data on 100% of their consecutively treated patients during this time.
• Centres that could not provide this were excluded.
• Transfemoral, Transapical, and [(trans-axillary & trans-aortic)=5] cases are included in this consecutive series.
• The SOURCE Registry used the 23mm and 26mm Edwards SAPIEN THV requiring 22/24F Transfemoral sheaths and 26F Transapical sheaths.
Methods
• This is a clinical registry. All events and values are site reported and there are no core labs.
• The SOURCE Registry Principal Investigators reviewed and adjudicated all clinical and adverse events reported into the Medidata Rave Database.
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Site Name Pts Site Name PtsKarlsruhe/Städisches Klinikum + Herzklinik – G Schymik, H Schroefel 204 Frankfurt/Uniklinik – V Schächinger, M Doss 50
Leipzig/Herzzentrum – T Walther, G Schuler 162 Zurich/KlinikimPark + Hirslanden – W Amann, F Bernet 50London/St Thomas’ + King’s – M Thomas, O Wendler 149 Lund/Universitetssjukhuset – G Olivecrona, P Johnsson 42Milan/Monzino – P Bigliogli, M Fusari 113 Jena/Uniklinik – K Hekmat, M Ferrari 39Hamburg/Uniklink – H Treede, O Franzen 109 Leiden/ – M Schalij, A de Weger 37Munich/DHZ – R Lange 106 A Coruna/ – N Vazquez, J Cuenca 36Paris/Bichat – D Himbert, P Nataf 98 Paris/HEGP – D Blanchard, JN Fabiani 34Mercogliano/Clinica Montevergine – P Rubino, G Sorrogpago 91 Leuven/Gasthuisberg – C Dubois, P Herijgers 32
Massy/Jacques Cartier – T Lefèvre, M Romano 84 Lübeck/Uniklinik – ED Kraatz, H Sier 30Essen/Uniklinik – H Eggebrecht, M Thielmann 82 Torino/ – I Sheiban, M Rinaldi 30Münster – H Baumgartner, H Reinecke 80 Padova/ – G Isabella, G Gerosa 28Madrid/S Carlos – C Macaya, E Rodriguez 79 Innsbruck/Uniklinik – L Mueller, T Bartel 26Milan/S Raff – I Michev, F Maisano 79 Cambridge/Papworth – C Densem, P Calvert 22Aarhus/Skejby – HR Andersen, KE Klaaborg 71 Utrecht/ – P Stella, J Kluin 19Rouen/CHU – H Eltchaninoff, JP Bessou 66 Barcelona/ – J Angel, A Igual, 17Bern/Inselspital – P Wenaweser, T Carrel 60 Tampere/ – P Kosonen, M Kohonen 15Bruxelles/St Luc – P Astarci, J Kefer 59 Vigo/ – A Inigues, G Pradas 14Athens/Onassis – K Spargias, G Stavridis 55 London/Brompton – M Mullen, N Moat 13San Sebastian/Gipuzkoa – J Goiti, M Larman 53 University of Hradec Kralove/ – J Stasek, J Vojacek 10
TOTAL 2344
The SOURCE Registry – Total Enrollment
6Data Extract – 17MAY2010, 30JUL2010
The Logistic EuroSCORE overestimates but does categorise risk
Don’t dismiss the value of EuroSCORE to categorise risk
Patient Groupings of Interest in theSOURCE Registry
Hypothesis: Patient indication may have changed over the time course of the SOURCE registry.
• Log EuroSCORE >20 (“standard risk”)• Log EuroSCORE <20 (usually patients with
risk factors not captured by Log EuroSCORE – potentially “lower risk”……..but unclear)
• Other patients including “Valve in Valve” to treat degenerative aortic bioprosthesis.
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Changes in patient groups with time(Numbers of patients per category)
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Patient Number / Percentage
CategoryCohort 1 (N=1038)
Cohort 2 (N=1306)
P-Value
Log EuroSCORE >20 695 / 66.9% 734 / 56.2% <.0001 Log EuroSCORE < 20 340 / 32.8% 568 / 43.5% <.0001
Data Extract – 17MAY2010, 30JUL2010
CategoryCohort 1 (N=1038)
Cohort 2 (N=1306)
P-Value
Mean Log EuroSCORE 27.6 ± 15.5 25.5 ± 21.9 0.0079
CategoryCohort 1 (N=1038)
Cohort 2 (N=1306)
P-Value
SAPIEN in prior aortic bioprosthesis
2 / 0.2% 26 / 1.9% <.0001
(4 patients included in database outside Cohort 1 and Cohort 2 have been excluded)This was not anticipated!!
Has the different patient population resulted in a change in 30 day survival?
10Data Extract – 17MAY2010, 30JUL2010
Cohort 1 Cohort 2
30 day survival 91.2% 89.9%
30 Day Survival: “standard risk”Cohort 1 vs. Cohort 2 with ES>20
Patient Number / Percentage
Category Cohort 1 (N=1038) Cohort 2 (N=1306) P-Value
Log EuroSCORE >20 695 / 66.9% 734 / 56.2% <.0001
11Data Extract – 17MAY2010, 30JUL2010
Survival
Category Cohort 1 (N=1038) Cohort 2 (N=1306) All (N=2344) P-Value
Log EuroSCORE >20 90.1% 88.2% 89.1% 0.2504
30 Day Survival: Cohort 1 vs. Cohort 2 with ES<20
Patient Number / Percentage
Category Cohort 1 (N=1038) Cohort 2 (N=1306) P-Value
Log EuroSCORE <20 340 / 32.8% 568 / 43.5% <.0001
12Data Extract – 17MAY2010, 30JUL2010
Survival Category Cohort 1 (N=1038) Cohort 2 (N=1306) All (N=2344) P-Value
Log EuroSCORE <20 94.1% 92.7% 93.3% 0.4272
Demographics and Risk Factors – Overall Group <20 & >20Why TAVI for <20?
13Data Extract – 17MAY2010, 30JUL2010
Risk FactorAll Treatments < 20
(N=908)All Treatments >= 20
(N=1429)All Treatments p-
valueNYHA Class IV 83 ( 9.14%) 244 (17.07%) <.0001
Female 523 (57.60%) 815 (57.03%) 0.6345
Age >= 80 Years 526 (57.93%) 1016 (71.10%) <.0001
Smoking 207 (22.80%) 263 (18.40%) 0.0110
Coronary Artery Disease 396 (43.61%) 838 (58.64%) <.0001
Congestive Heart Failure 218 (24.01%) 499 (34.92%) <.0001
Myocardial Infarction 99 (10.90%) 262 (18.33%) <.0001
Carotid artery stenosis (over 50%) 63 ( 6.94%) 218 (15.26%) <.0001
Porcelain Aorta 91 (10.02%) 95 ( 6.65%) 0.0037
Mitral valve disease 260 (28.63%) 448 (31.35%) 0.1803
Cancer 182 (20.04%) 186 (13.02%) <.0001
Pulmonary disease 206 (22.69%) 389 (27.22%) 0.0149
Pulmonary disease: FEV1 less than 1.0 32 ( 3.52%) 29 ( 2.03%) 0.0327
Renal insufficiency / Failure 195 (21.48%) 476 (33.31%) <.0001
Post thoracic radiation therapy 14 ( 1.54%) 6 ( 0.42%) 0.0396
Peripheral vascular disease (non carotid) 123 (13.55%) 346 (24.21%) <.0001
PTCA / stent 203 (22.36%) 420 (29.39%) 0.0002
CABG 108 (11.89%) 392 (27.43%) <.0001
Carotid endarterectomy / Carotid stent 20 ( 2.20%) 70 ( 4.90%) 0.0009
Prior surgical aortic bioprosthesis in place? (VIV) 6 ( 0.66%) 20 ( 1.40%) 0.0166
“Frailty” not measuredin the SOURCE database
Comparison of <20 patient demographics and risk factors in Cohort 1 and 2: Has the pattern of risk
changed?
14Data Extract – 17MAY2010, 30JUL2010
Comorbidity / Risk FactorCohort 1(N=340)
Cohort 2(N=568)
P-Value by Cohort
Female 192 ( 56.47%) 331 ( 58.27%) 0.6273
Coronary Artery Disease 141 ( 41.47%) 255 ( 44.89%) 0.3333
Congestive Heart Failure 60 ( 17.65%) 158 ( 27.82%) 0.0005
Carotid artery stenosis (over 50%) 24 ( 7.06%) 39 ( 6.87%) 0.8937
Porcelain Aorta 38 ( 11.18%) 53 ( 9.33%) 0.4242
Mitral valve disease 68 ( 20.00%) 192 ( 33.80%) <.0001
Pulmonary disease 82 ( 24.12%) 124 ( 21.83%) 0.4613
Renal insufficiency / Failure 62 ( 18.24%) 133 ( 23.42%) 0.0669
Peripheral vascular disease (non carotid) 49 ( 14.41%) 74 ( 13.03%) 0.5497
CABG 43 ( 12.65%) 65 ( 11.44%) 0.5976
“True risk” in Cohort 2 may have gone “up”.
1 Year Kaplan Meier Survival: when is Euroscore reflected in survival benefit?
Cohort 1 – ES <20 vs. >20
15Data Extract – 17MAY2010, 30JUL2010
P=0.0529
Cohort 1 ES<20 ES>20
1 year survival 79.7% 74.2%
“Valve in valve”: an indication for TAVI?
• In The SOURCE Registry trans-catheter valve therapy appears to be an emerging indication for the treatment of a failing surgical aortic bioprosthesis.
• Can we categorise these patients?
• Is there “gold standard” surgical data for redo surgery?
“Valve In Valve” Patient DemographicsTHE SOURCE Registry
17Data Extract – 17MAY2010, 30JUL2010
Risk Factor
Total Prior Surgical Bioprosthesis
(N=28)
Age 78.73 + 6.99
Female 12 (46.15%)
EuroSCORE 34.06
Peripheral vascular disease (non carotid) 6 (23.08%)
Coronary Artery Disease 11 (42.31%)
Congestive Heart Failure 8 (30.77%)
Myocardial Infarction 6 (23.08%)
Mitral valve disease 12 (46.15%)
PTCA / stent 6 (23.08%)
CABG 7 (26.92%)
VERY HIGH RISK GROUP OF PATIENTS
26/28 TAapproach
Surgical redo AVRPatient Demographics
Contemporary Surgical literature is limited
Age 56
Ejection Fraction 57%
Age 63.5
Ejection fraction 58%
Perioperative Risk of Redo Aortic Valve ReplacementAnn Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 2009Christiansen et al
Operative risk of reoperative aortic valve replacementJ Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 2005Potter et al
Appears “low risk” patient population
Age 56
Ejection Fraction 53%Reoperative surgery for degenerated aortic bioprostheses: predictors for
emergencySurgery and reoperative mortality: Vogt et al
Eur J Cardiothoarac Surg 2000
Risk factors for operative mortality of repeat heart surgery.
Repeat heart valve surgery: Risk factors for operative mortality.J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 2001Jones et al
• Factors associated with operative mortality
- age
- associated coronary bypass grafting
- valve thrombosis or endocarditis
- replacement of mechanical heart valve
Mean age 54.7yrs
Risk factors for operative mortality of repeat heart surgery.
Risk Factor Operative Mortality
Gender MaleFemale
4.6%13.3%
Age at reop <6060-70>70
0%8.5%12.6%
Ejection Fraction > 50%< 50%
6.5%15.4%
NYHA class I/IIIIIIV
2.0%4.2%16.0%
Predictive risk factors of re-operative AVR mortality
Re-operation for bioprosthetic aortic structural failure – risk assessment.Jamieson et al. Eur J Cardiothorac Surgery 2003
The SOURCE Registry: “Valve in Valve”What valves have been treated? Where next?
• Previous bioprostheses include Carpentier Edwards, Hancock, Mitraflow and Mosaic (21-25mm valves).
• This patient population was not anticipated at the outset of the SOURCE registry.
• Careful data collection planned for this group in the SOURCE XT registry.
• Because the patient populations undergoing surgical redo AVR and trans-catheter treatment appear so different it will be difficult to compare outcomes. Ideally a randomised trial would resolve this but patient numbers are now relatively small.
Changes in Patient Populations with time:CONCLUSIONS 1
• There has been a change in the patient population of TAVI patients between Cohort 1 and Cohort 2 of the SOURCE Registry.
• This is reflected by an increased number of patients with a Log EuroSCORE of <20 in Cohort 2. However the true “risk” of Cohort 2 may well have gone up, reflected by increased patients with heart failure and mitral regurgitation. 30 day outcomes for Cohort 1 and 2 are the same.
• Urgent need for the development of “TAVI risk score” to include other factors ie. Frailty; as EuroSCORE may not be truly assessing “risk”.
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Changes in Patient Populations with time:CONCLUSIONS 2
• “Valve in valve” appears an emerging indication for
TAVI.• The “valve in valve” patients in SOURCE are very
high risk.• The contemporary data for redo surgical AVR as a
comparator is limited but does suggest a completely different patient population.
• Comparison of these two treatment options will be
difficult in the absence of randomised data.