retro commissioning evaluation in massachusetts nstar ......questions related to specific materials,...

17
RetroCommissioning Evaluation in Massachusetts – NSTAR Perspectives Erik C. Mellen, Senior Research Analyst – Northeast Utilities

Upload: others

Post on 01-Aug-2020

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Retro Commissioning Evaluation in Massachusetts NSTAR ......Questions related to specific materials, methods, and services will be addressed at the conclusion of this presentation

Retro‐Commissioning Evaluation in Massachusetts –NSTAR Perspectives

Erik C. Mellen, Senior Research Analyst – Northeast Utilities

Page 2: Retro Commissioning Evaluation in Massachusetts NSTAR ......Questions related to specific materials, methods, and services will be addressed at the conclusion of this presentation

AIA Quality Assurance

The Building Commissioning Association is a Registered Provider with The American Institute of Architects Continuing Education Systems (AIA/CES). Credit(s) earned on completion of this program will be reported to AIA/CES for AIA members. Certificates of the Completion for both AIA members and non-AIA members are available upon request.

This program is registered with AIA/CES for continuing professional education. As such, it does not include content that may be deemed or construed to be an approval or endorsement by the AIA of any material of construction or any method or manner of handling, using, distributing, or dealing in any material or product.

Questions related to specific materials, methods, and services will be addressed at the conclusion of this presentation.

2

Page 3: Retro Commissioning Evaluation in Massachusetts NSTAR ......Questions related to specific materials, methods, and services will be addressed at the conclusion of this presentation

3

Evaluation of Utility EBCx Programs

At the end of this session participants will be able to:

1. Compare EBCx programs in participants’ regions using actual savings data from top performing programs

2. Evaluate the effect of commissioning services, program costs and customer incentives that vary from program to program

3. Identify programs with higher than average energy savings and lower than average program costs.

4. Determine how certain program features may be contributing to high program savings and low program costs.

Session Learning Objectives

Page 4: Retro Commissioning Evaluation in Massachusetts NSTAR ......Questions related to specific materials, methods, and services will be addressed at the conclusion of this presentation

4

At the end of this presentation participants will be able to:

• Understand Massachusetts utilities’ evaluation involvement in RCx

• Understand how well Massachusetts RCx projects have performed, lessons learned from other evaluations and recommendations

Presentation Learning Objectives

Page 5: Retro Commissioning Evaluation in Massachusetts NSTAR ......Questions related to specific materials, methods, and services will be addressed at the conclusion of this presentation

5

Overview / Agenda

•Summary of RCx Activity in Massachusetts

•Evaluation Activity in Massachusetts & Connecticut

•Evaluation Results and Problem Areas

•Lessons Learned and Implementing Them

Page 6: Retro Commissioning Evaluation in Massachusetts NSTAR ......Questions related to specific materials, methods, and services will be addressed at the conclusion of this presentation

0

20,000,000

40,000,000

60,000,000

80,000,000

100,000,000

120,000,000

140,000,000

160,000,000

180,000,000

200,000,000

RCx (kWh)

C&I Retrofit(Total kWh)

6

NSTAR RCx Savings – It’s peanuts….for now

0

20,000,000

40,000,000

60,000,000

80,000,000

100,000,000

120,000,000

140,000,000

160,000,000

180,000,000

200,000,000

2013E

Compressed Air

Refrigeration

Process

RCx

VSD

CHP

HVAC

Lighting

RCx = 0.5% ‐ 2.5%

Page 7: Retro Commissioning Evaluation in Massachusetts NSTAR ......Questions related to specific materials, methods, and services will be addressed at the conclusion of this presentation

7

Implications for Evaluation in Massachusetts?

Evaluation priorities generally a function of savings weight

• Small Savings = low probability of focused evaluation• However, projects captured in sample of “Custom” HVAC evaluations

• 2010 Custom HVAC Impact Evaluation (DNV GL)

• 2012 Custom HVAC Impact Evaluation (DNV GL, ongoing)

NU peers in CT have taken a focused, census approach to evaluation

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

Office (1 Site) Manufacturing(1 Site)

School (1 Site)

Realization Rate(Massachusetts, 2010)

Page 8: Retro Commissioning Evaluation in Massachusetts NSTAR ......Questions related to specific materials, methods, and services will be addressed at the conclusion of this presentation

8

Commercial & Industrial Evaluation Process ‐MA & CT

Initial Population Analysis – examination of population, project stratification is conducted and sample is drawn

Site Plans & Outreach – application materials reviewed, site plans worked up and site outreach initiated 

Onsite Walkthroughs – observation of operating conditions, discussions with site personnel and installation of power loggers

Metered Data Analysis – power loggers retrieved, final conversations with site staff had and initial data analysis begins

Presentation Of Results – individual site reports are presented and overall impact evaluation report finalized and presented

Page 9: Retro Commissioning Evaluation in Massachusetts NSTAR ......Questions related to specific materials, methods, and services will be addressed at the conclusion of this presentation

9

Evaluation of RCx in CL&P Operations ‐ Electric

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

1,800,000

2,000,000

S1 S2 S3 S4 S5 S6 S7 S8 S9 S10 S11 S12 S13 S14 S15 S16 S17

Forecasted Sample (kWh)

Metered Sample (kWh)

Realization Rate

Some trending around 70%

Additional trending around 40%

Page 10: Retro Commissioning Evaluation in Massachusetts NSTAR ......Questions related to specific materials, methods, and services will be addressed at the conclusion of this presentation

10

Evaluation of RCx in CL&P Operations ‐ Gas

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

S1 S2 S3 S4

Forecasted Sample (CCF) Metered Sample (CCF) Realization Rate

•Larger sites seem to show some trending

•However, large site sample points exhibit correlation biases

•Additional data points needed to draw conclusions

Page 11: Retro Commissioning Evaluation in Massachusetts NSTAR ......Questions related to specific materials, methods, and services will be addressed at the conclusion of this presentation

11

CL&P Segment Results – Electric

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

3,500,000

Schools (10 Sites) Offices (6 Sites) Medical (1 Site)

Forecasted Sample (kWh)

Metered Sample (kWh)

Realization Rate

Page 12: Retro Commissioning Evaluation in Massachusetts NSTAR ......Questions related to specific materials, methods, and services will be addressed at the conclusion of this presentation

12

CL&P Segment Results – Gas

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

Schools (4 Sites)

Forecasted Sample (CCF)

Metered Sample (CCF)

Realization Rate

Page 13: Retro Commissioning Evaluation in Massachusetts NSTAR ......Questions related to specific materials, methods, and services will be addressed at the conclusion of this presentation

13

Feedback From Evaluators – What’s the Problem?

Documentation• Errors consistently observed• Impact = Minor

Installed Quantities• Differences between scoped and evaluated quantities exist in a few instances

• Impact = Minor

Operations• Discrepancies between scoped and evaluated frequently observed 

• Impact = MAJOR!!!!

Biggest problem for RCx projects

Page 14: Retro Commissioning Evaluation in Massachusetts NSTAR ......Questions related to specific materials, methods, and services will be addressed at the conclusion of this presentation

14

Operational Issues – Specific Onsite Observations

“The measures are no longer functioning or not functioning as designed.”

“Equipment (turned) off was brought back online.”

“Some lighting controls not implemented, and AHU schedules not fully implemented.”

“The user would need to switch over the schedule manually. Based on the data collected, this manual switch‐over has not occurred.”

Page 15: Retro Commissioning Evaluation in Massachusetts NSTAR ......Questions related to specific materials, methods, and services will be addressed at the conclusion of this presentation

15

Operations Effect On Savings Persistence–It’s Not GreatBehavioral Issues

•Many installations necessitate the customer manage the equipment properly, but as previously indicated, in many instances they aren’t•No matter how well savings are estimated, customer behavior dictates performance for installations involving hands on management and influences evaluated realization rates

Suggestions?•Customers need to have some “skin in the game,” or have their own interests aligned with the utilities’ interests•To a certain extent, utilities need to hedge their exposure to this behavioral risk until the situation improves

Page 16: Retro Commissioning Evaluation in Massachusetts NSTAR ......Questions related to specific materials, methods, and services will be addressed at the conclusion of this presentation

16

Implementing Lessons Learned in Massachusetts

Aligning Customer Interests With Utility Interests• Requirement for continuous monitoring helps ensure projects are well 

managed• “Pay for performance” incentivizes customers to manage RCx

measures well

Hedging Our Exposure• Projects receive short measure lives to account for lower savings 

persistence, 3 years• In comparison to other commercial & industrial efficiency incentives, 

RCx receives a lower incentive, $0.07/kWh

Looking Forward• Ongoing study of RCx “best practices” is being conducted with results 

anticipated soon• Possible training programs to educate customers on use of equipment 

/ installations

Page 17: Retro Commissioning Evaluation in Massachusetts NSTAR ......Questions related to specific materials, methods, and services will be addressed at the conclusion of this presentation

Erik C. Mellen, Senior Research Analyst

781‐441‐[email protected]