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Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

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Page 1: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Revenue Sharing

By Elaine SmithArizona Department of Revenue

Office of Economic Research and AnalysisAugust 5, 2015

Page 2: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Revenue Sharing to Cities and Counties

Components of the Revenue Sharing Bases

Trends for Revenue Sharing Special Census

Page 3: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Revenue Sharing to Cities and Counties

For FY16, the official Estimate of Revenue Sharing to cities is:

TPT: $ 480 million ($121 per capita)

URS: $ 605 million ($96 per capita)

Note: The population used is the 2010 Decennial Census. The URS is subject to a minimum population of 1,500.

Page 4: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Revenue Sharing to Cities and Counties

For FY16, the official Estimate of Revenue Sharing to counties is:

TPT: $780 million ($155 per capita)

Note: The population used is the 2010 Decennial Census.

Page 5: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Components of Revenue Sharing

What makes up the pool of money that is shared with the counties and the cities?

Page 6: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Components of TPT Revenue Sharing

Using the Retail category as an example,

the current state tax rate for retail is 5.6%. Of that:

2% goes to the Distribution Base pool

3% is Non-shared 0.6% goes to Education Tax

Page 7: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Components of TPT Revenue Sharing

Of the Distribution Base, 25% goes to the Cities 40.51% goes to the Counties 34.49% goes to the state general

fund

Page 8: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Components of TPT Revenue Sharing

The percentage each category contributes to the Distribution Base differs. For the larger contributors:

Utilities, Communications and Contracting contribute 1% to the Distribution Base.

Restaurants & Bars, Amusements, Retail, Personal Property Rentals contribute 2% to the Distribution Base.

Page 9: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Components of TPT Revenue Sharing

Mining Severance contributes 2% of it’s 2.5% rate to the Distribution Base.

Hotel/Motel contributes 2.75% to the Distribution Base.

Page 10: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Components of TPT Revenue Sharing

Of course, the volume of activity in each category factored by the percentage contributing to the Distribution Base is ultimately what dictates the pool of money available for revenue sharing to cities, towns and counties

Page 11: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

FY16 TPT Revenue Sharing Components

Contracting

Printing

Rental of Personal Property

Retail

Amusements

Communications

Restaurant & Bar

Transient Lodging

Utilities

Other

Page 12: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Components of TPT Revenue Sharing

In FY15, the Retail category component comprised 63.7% of the Distribution Base pool. In FY05 it was 61.6%; in FY10 it was 60.1%. It is safe to say that the Retail category is, and will continue to be the largest contributor to the Distribution Base Pool.

Page 13: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Components of TPT Revenue Sharing

In FY15, the Contracting category component comprised 5.8% of the Distribution Base pool. In FY05 it was 10.6% and in FY10 it was 6.5%.

It is safe to say that the Contracting category has diminished it’s role as a strong contributor to the Distribution Base pool.

Page 14: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Components of TPT Revenue Sharing

The other strong contributors to the Distribution Base during FY15:

Utilities 5.37% Restaurant & Bars 13.3% Rental of Personal Property 3.76% Hotel/Motel 4.01%

Page 15: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Components of Urban Revenue Sharing

Urban Revenue Sharing (URS) is comprised of 15% of the Net* Income Tax collections from two years prior.

So, for FY16, the URS base is the net income tax collections from FY14.

The income tax collections from FY16 will be distributed in FY18.

*after refunds

Page 16: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Percentage1974-1993 1972-1991 15.00%

1993 1991 12.80% $183,667,152 1994 1992 12.80% $185,405,279 1995 1993 12.80% $205,607,060 1996 1994 12.80% $218,543,272 1997 1995 13.60% $257,800,548 1998 1996 15.00% $291,243,578 1999 1997 15.00% $340,310,656 2000 1998 15.80% $377,710,988 2001 1999 15.00% $396,452,640 2002 2000 15.00% $421,876,573 2003 2001 $430,559,053 2004 2002 14.8% / 15.0% $365,065,158 2005 2003 15.00% $373,072,580 2006 2004 15.00% $425,228,927 2007 2005 15.00% $551,230,661 2008 2006 15.00% $684,538,927 2009 2007 Appropriation of

$727.68m$727,677,400

2010 2008 15.00% $628,644,630 2011 2009 15.00% $474,006,520 2012 2010 15.00% $424,423,442 2014 2012 15.00% $513,584,045 2015 2013 15.00% $561,001,195 2016 2014 15.00% $605,634,332

Distribution Year-fiscal

Collection Year-fiscal

Distribution

Urban Revenue Sharing History

Page 17: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Components of Urban Revenue Sharing

Components of Net Income Tax Revenue

Source FY05 FY10 FY15

Withholding 73.9% 106% 83.5%

Individual* 6.2% (20.6%) 1.4%

Net Individual 80.2% 85.4% 84.9%

Corporate 19.8% 14.6% 15.1%

*final payments minus refunds

Page 18: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Components of Urban Revenue Sharing

What to watch to in order to anticipate Urban Revenue Sharing?

Withholding Corporate Credits

Page 19: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Components of Urban Revenue SharingThe impact of credits on Urban Revenue Sharing:

Tax Year Corp Credit

Individual

Total Reduction in URS

2006 $109 m $286 m $373 m $56 m

2007 $108 m $265 m $356 m $53 m

2008 $73 m $247 m $328 m $49 m

2009 $55 m $244 m $299 m $45 m

2010 $88 m $253 m $341 m $51 m

2011 $116 m $263 m $379 m $57 m

2012 $115 m $285 m $400 m $60 mData from all tax years is subject to change.

Page 20: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Forecasts for Revenue Sharing

TPT for FY17 Cities $515 m Counties $835 m

URS for FY17

Page 21: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Impact of Special Census on Revenue Sharing

By statute we use the decennial census counts starting July 1 in years ending in 1. 1991, 2001, 2011 for example.

Permanently in statute is the option for a jurisdiction to conduct a Special Census with the new counts to be used starting July 1 in years ending in 6. 1996, 2006 and 2016 for example.

Page 22: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Impact of Special Census on Revenue Sharing In prior mid decade periods, (1995 and

2005 at least) temporary statutes were enacted to allow the use of counts determined using other methods in place of a full blown Special Census. Those alternative methods were either free or at least less expensive than a full blown Special Census.

For 2015, no such legislation is currently in place.

Page 23: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Impact of Special Census on Revenue Sharing

We understand that the following cities have contracted for a 2015 Special Census:

Gilbert Peoria Chandler Buckeye Maricopa Queen Creek Goodyear

Page 24: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Questions?

Page 25: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Contact Information

Contact Information Elaine Smith – Senior Economist

Arizona Department of RevenueOffice of Economic Research & Analysis

Email: [email protected]: 602-716-6924

Page 26: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Additional Contact Information

Department of Revenue website: www.azdor.gov

County and city revenue sharing: Elaine Smith [email protected]; Karen Jacobs [email protected]

Program Cities: Cities Unit [email protected]

TPT Licenses: DOR License and Registration www.azdor.gov

Page 27: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Additional Contact Information Tax base estimates: Elaine Smith

[email protected] ; Levy Limits: Darlene Teller dteller

@azdor.gov Expenditure Limits: Karen Jacobs

[email protected]

Page 28: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Additional Contact Information

Bonded Indebtedness This has been taken over by the State

Treasurer’s Office

Page 29: Revenue Sharing By Elaine Smith Arizona Department of Revenue Office of Economic Research and Analysis August 5, 2015

Additional Contact Information

License Compliance Services: Peggy Creamer [email protected]

Property tax services: Property Tax Division 602-716-6843