reverse convertible tesla rbc

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  • 8/12/2019 Reverse Convertible Tesla RBC

    1/4

    Medium

    RiskYield

    Enhancement

    Reverse Convertible on TSLA

    Investment Terms

    Issuer RBC

    Notional- $1,116,000.00

    Unit Size-1116 units

    CUSIP-78010UF28

    Underlying- Tesla Motors,

    Inc.

    Pricing date- 6/26/2014

    Maturity data-9/30/2014

    Max Return- 113.75%

    Minimum Return- 0%

    Issuer Details

    Issuer - RBC S&P Credit Rating.

    Market capitalization 115

    Bn

    CDS 5y spread 70 bps

    Investment underlying opportunity: Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) stock had been performing well

    over the last few months. The stock rose from $149.56 to $224.54 by July 24th, 2014 increasing

    almost 50% since January.This is due to variety of new strategic developments that have resulted

    in the stock price growth. Notable news the open sourcing of its patents and the introduction of

    the CUV known as Model X and a smaller sedan known as the Model III. This stock might pull

    back temporarily but has good potential for appreciation. This would suggest stock has high

    probability to move with in a narrow range.

    Further analysisGatickGlobalsolutions:www

    .gatick.com

  • 8/12/2019 Reverse Convertible Tesla RBC

    2/4

    Risk Return Dashboard

    Expected

    Return

    12.883 %

    Volatility 16%

    Risk Score 3

    Capital

    Guaranteed

    No

    Maximum

    Loss

    100% of

    investment

    Performance Measure

    Expected

    Return

    High

    Market Risk High

    Issuer Risk Low

    Complexity Low

    TSLA statistics

    Beta 1.37

    P/E N/A

    RoE -18.7%

    Current Ratio 1.9

    Leverage Ratio 3.6

    Altman's Z-Score 10.36

    Dividend Yield 0.0

    Total Debt/Equity 0.91

    Structured note investment underlying

    has beta of 1.37, the Z-score

    is 10.36, and it has high debt

    to equity.

    Currently TSLA shares are at $223.54 its

    competators Toyota( TM ) , General Motors (GM)

    and Ford (F) are at $119.38, $35.74 and $19.60

    respectively.

    This is a company that is about 4 years old.

    This note has three months to maturity.

    The expected return is good. Reverse

    convertible has a payoff similar to

    acovered strangle position.This

    position pays limited amount on

    the upside with potential to loss

    all of the initial investment . This is a

    good investment if the underlying

    stock moves with in anarrow range.

    Investment Metrics

    GatickGlobalsolutions:www

    .gatick.com

    -35

    -30

    -25

    -20

    -15

    -10

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    -100 -50 0 50 100 150 200 250

    Note Return

    Note Return

  • 8/12/2019 Reverse Convertible Tesla RBC

    3/4

    Note Performance

    (Historical)

    Note Performance

    (Future Stress test)

    Return 12.883% per annum 12.883 per annum

    Note Payoff 113.75 113.75

    Probability of Gain 94.8 94.8

    Risk Score 3 3

    Volatility 16% 16%

    Probability of Loss 5.18 5.18

    Expected Maturity 3 months 3 months

    This note has returned 12.883% per annum historically with a probability of gain of 94.8.

    Therefore from a mathematical perspective, this note is most certain to deliver theexpected return without losing the principal.

    Investment Performance

    GatickGlobalsolutions:www

    .gatick.com

    -100

    -50

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    6/29/2010 1/15/2011 8/3/2011 2/19/2012 9/6/2012 3/25/201310/11/20134/29/2014

    Historical Analysis

    Asset performance

    Note Return

  • 8/12/2019 Reverse Convertible Tesla RBC

    4/4

    Recommendation: Metrics and historical analysis concludes this investment is a risky one for a

    conservative investor. In current market environment for an adventurous investor this investment will

    definitely help to obtain 12.883% per annum with protection up to a 20% decline in the stock price.

    Pros Cons

    Note provides a coupon of 12.883%

    as long as note is above 80% of initial

    level

    Note offers exciting opportune

    exposure to Tesla Motors stockNote offers a pre packed approach to

    combine a covered call and covered

    put strategy.

    Note has potential to loss entire

    invested principal if markets decline

    below 80% of initial level

    Historically this note has lost money

    many timesIf the stock performs extremely well

    or bad then note returns are limited

    on upside to losing all of the invested

    amount

    Score Card: Reverse Convertible on Tesla

    Market Direction (SP 500):

    Market Vol (SP 500):

    Underlying Direction:

    Underlying Vol:

    Issuer Credit (CDS):

    Investor Risk Appetite:

    Investment Recommendation

    GatickGlobalsolutions:www

    .gatick.com

    Disclaimer: This report is prepared by Gatick Global solutions team. This is

    not an investment advise.

    Contact Details:

    Karthik Misra and Chandra S Khandrika for further details and questions

    Bearish Bullish

    Low High

    Bearish Bullish

    Low High

    Low High

    Low High