ricardo zibas 16 00

Sustentar 2012

Política Nacional de Resíduos Sólidos e as Megaforças da Sustentabilidade

23 de maio de 2012

Belo Horizonte – MG

Ricardo Zibas

2© [year] [legal member firm name], registered with the trade register in [country] under number [number], is a subsidiary of KPMG Europe LLP and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (‘KPMG International’), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in [country]. The KPMG name, logo and ‘cutting through complexity’ are registered trademarks of KPMG International.

GlobalizationInternational trade and foreign

investments tripled

Digital connectivityMobile phone and internet use

exploded (up 20,000%)

Accelerated consumptionOur population has grown by one

quarter

Disparate prosperity1.3 billion people have no access to

energy

Resource scarcity4 billion people are affected by water

scarcity

Ecological decline80% of fish stocks are over, or fully,

exploited

Source: The World Bank, World Development Indicators (2011). Source: UNEP: Keeping Track of our Changing Environment (2011). Source: United Nations Population Fund, The State of the World Population (2011).

Source: IEA, World Energy Outlook (2011). Source: Heinberg. Peak Everything. (2007). Source: UNFAO. World Review of Fisheries & Agriculture. (2010)

Changes to the global business environment How the world changed since the 1992 Rio Earth Summit


(23)%

(21)%

26%

26%

27%

28%

30%

32%

39%

41%

45%

45%

45%

45%

47%

47%

60%

71%

73%

75%

80%

100%

100%

120%

130%

135%

142%

163%

170%

230%

CO2 emissions/GDP

Resource intensity

Meat consumption

World population

Per cap natural resource consumption

Global ecological footprint

Petroleum consumption

Fish and seafood consumption

Global CO2 emissions

Total materials extraction

Food production

Urban population

Natural gas consumption

Coal consumption

Livestock production

Total energy consumption

Industrial metals use

Electricity production

International tourist departures

Soybean land area

Construction materials use

Steel production

Air passenger transport

Palm oil land area

Plastics production

Nitrogen fertilizer use

Merchandise exports

Gross domestic product

Cement production

Air freight transport

Source: UNEP, World Bank, Worldwatch Vital Signs, WWF, SERI, UNDP, FAO, IEA.

Changes to the global business environment Our accelerating human footprint


Global sustainability megaforcesAwareness and comprehension of each is vital


Business-as-usual global projections to 2035

172%Middle class purchasing power Wealth

Amazon forest loss Deforestation 55%

Aggregate food demand Food 50%

Urban population Urbanization 44%

Demand for water withdrawal Water 53%

Raw materials extraction Material Resources 55%

Primary energy demand Energy & Fuel 30%

Energy-related CO2 emissions Climate Change 20%

Total population Population 20%

Human ecological footprint Ecosystems 13%

Source: IEA, SERI, Water Resources Group, UN, OECD, FAO, Global Footprint Network, WWF.

Global sustainability megaforcesMegaforce impact to increase over next 20 years


2010 EBITDA 2010 total environment cost as a % of EBITDA

Source: Trucost 2012.

22

153

84100

223

89 97

26

134

670

482

0

100

200

300

400

Airlines Automobiles Beverages Chemicals Electricity Food Producers

Industrial Metals

Marine Transportation

Mining Oil & Gas Producers

Telecom & Internet

US

$ in

bill

ions

800

700

600

500

52%22% 42% 43%

87% 224%

71%

59%

64%23%

2.5%

Implications for businessAverage external environmental costs 41 US cents per US$ of earnings


Key: Size of circle depicts the sector’s total external environmental costs in 2010 in USD. Source: Trucost 2012.

Environmental intensity

(40)% (20)% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160%

120%

100%

80%

60%

40%

20%

(20)%

(40)%

(60)%

(80)%

Food ProducersFood Producers

Mining

Beverages

Marine Transportation

Telecom & Internet

Industrial Metals

Oil & Gas Oil & Gas ProducersProducers

Airlines

ElectricityElectricityChemicals

Automobiles

2002-2010 growth in environmental costs

2002

-201

0 pe

rcen

tage

impr

ovem

ent i

n en

viro

nmen

tal i

nten

sity

Implications for businessAutomobiles, chemicals and electricity closest to decoupling economic growth from environmental impact


8

Experiência Brasil

• Como atender uma demanda crescente (e legítima) de bens e

serviços de uma classe média emergente?

• Como o custo da adequada disposição dos resíduos impacta o

consumidor? Como fornecer sustentabilidade econômica ao modelo?

• Como adaptar outras experiências bem sucedidas a um País de

dimensões continentais?

• Postura ativa x reativa (organizações, empresas, consumidores)

• Fabricantes nacionais, importadores e “free riders”

© 2012 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved

The KPMG name, logo and “cutting through complexity” are registered trademarks or trademarks of KPMG International.

The information contained herein is of a general nature and is not intended to address the circumstances of any particular individual or entity. Although we endeavor to provide accurate and timely information, there can be no guarantee that such information is accurate as of the date it is received or that it will continue to be accurate in the future. No one should act on such information without appropriate professional advice after a thorough examination of the particular situation.

The KPMG name, logo and “cutting through complexity” are registered trademarks or trademarks of KPMG International.

Ricardo Zibas

Gerente SêniorMudanças Climáticas & Sustentabilidade

+55 11 2183 1795

[email protected]

Obrigado !