rina-focus on risk management
TRANSCRIPT
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June 2010 - Issue no. 2
Information magazine
FOCUS ON
risk management
In this Issue:
- RISK MANAGEMENT
- LOW SULPHUR FUEL
- SHIP MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT
- HEALTH & SAFETY
- CASE STUDIES
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In this second issue of our magazine, it is important to
introduce the basic concepts of risk. You can count this one
as a sort of preface of an interesting thriller book in order to
find the murderer, i.e the undesired event.
Well speak about a few elementary notions: hazard, risk,
analysis, HAZID, FMECA, fault tree, MTTF, minimal cut set,
Markov techniques, HAZOP, QRA, CFD, Boolean algebra,
cancerous and mutagen substances, ergonomics, etc.
Its a joke, dont worry! Only the bare necessities.
Risk is intrinsic in every human activity, in other words there is
no work without risk. The maritime field is no exception.
Safety must be the basic guidance in each phase of ship life:
design, construction, operation, maintenance, lay up.
In order to guarantee safety to any involved actor (workers,
environment, public and assets) you have to assess and
manage the risk.
Assessment and management, as the words themselves
explain, are different. Thinking in quality jargon,
the assessment is a part of the first step (the planning) of the
overall management process.Risk assessment, in turn, is the overall process of risk
analysis and risk evaluation: risk analysis is the identification
of hazard and the risk estimation, whereas risk evaluation is
the judgment, on the basis of risk analysis, of whether a risk
is tolerable.
Summarizing, risk assessment starts with hazardidentification, continues with risk estimation andevaluation and ends with recommendations for decision-making.Now that the process is clear (we hope), lets see two key
definitions: hazard and risk.
Hazard is a potential source of harm to personnel,
environment and assets or to a combination of these, regardless
of how likely or unlikely such an occurrence might be.
Risk (R)is a combination of the probability (P) of an event and
the consequences (C) of the event.
Usually risk is estimated as a product of probability and
consequences. When eliminating the risk at source is
unfeasible, we must reduce the risk of the event. There are
two possible ways: prevention and protection. The first one is
to be preferred. Preventing means decreasing the probability of
the event, protecting means decreasing the consequences ofthe event.
R I S K M A N A G E M E N T
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R I S K M A N A G E M E N T & I N T E R N A T I O N A L R U L E S
Resolution MSC 273(85) adopted
the latest amendments to the
International Safety Management
Code in December 2008. Date of
entry into force is 1st July 2010.
Among the modifications to the
wording of the ISM CODE, the one
we deem will have the most
significant impact on the shipping
world is the replacement of the
existing subparagraph 2 of
paragraph 1.2.2 regarding the
Safety Management objectives of
the company.
The existing subparagraph is
establish safeguards against all
identified risks and it will be
replaced by:
assess all identified risks to its
ships, personnel and the
environment and establish
appropriate safeguards.
Since the adoption of the new
amendments, RINA has been
giving assistance to shipowners in
the preparation of a risk assessment
of their fleets which takes into
account all safety and environmental
procedures already implemented
by each company.
ISM Code
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R I S K M A N A G E M E N T - F O C U S O N T A N K E R S
page 3
Tanker Management and Self-Assessment (TMSA) programme published by the Oil Companies
International Marine Forum (OCIMF) provides tanker operators with a means to audit and
improve their own operational, safety, quality and environmental management
system. The programme introduces four self-assessment levels 1 being the lowest and 4
the highest. A company that is currently fully compliant with the letter and spirit of the ISM
Code would be able to rate itself as at least 1.
The programme identifies 12 elements of a management system:
1) management, leadership and accountability;
2) recruitment and management of shore-based personnel;
3) recruitment and management of ship personnel;
4) reliability and maintenance standards;
5) navigational safety;
6) cargo, ballast and mooring operations;
7) management of change;
8) incident investigation and analysis;
9) safety management;
10) environmental management;
11) emergency preparedness and contingency planning; and
12) measurement, analysis and improvement.
Risk assessment constitutes a cornerstone of the TMSA approach. In particular, it is explicitly
required in several of the 12 above elements. The most significant applications are envisagedin elements 4, 7, 9 and 10.
Element 4 (reliability and maintenance standards)prescribes the identification of critical
equipment, i.e. a risk assessment of the ship.
Element 7 (management of change)requires the identification of potential consequences of a
change together with any necessary mitigation measures in order to ensure that safety and
environmental standards are not compromised.
Element 9 (Safety management) and 10 (Environmental management) require a hazard
identification and risk assessment on board and ashore.
TMSA
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R I S K M A N A G E M E N T - F O C U S O N T A N K E R S
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I N T E R V I E W W I T H A N D R E A C O G L I O L O
What are the latest rules on marine fuel?
The maximum sulphur content ofmarine fuels provided by EU Directive
2005/33/EC came into force on 1st
January 2010. The directive prescribes
that ships use marine fuels with
sulphur content not exceeding 0.1% by
mass when at berth in EU ports allowing
sufficient time for the crew to complete
any necessary fuel-changeover operation
as soon as possible after arrival at berth
and as late as possible before
departure.
The rule doesnt apply to ships that are
at berth for less than two hours or to
ships which switch off all engines and
use shore-side electricity while at berth
in ports.
Its a big revolution impacting on the
marine field.
Yes, but it is not the only one. Id like
to recall that Annex VI of Marpol 73/78requires ships to use marine fuels with
sulphur content not exceeding 4.5% m/m
and 1.5% m/m in SOx emission control
areas (known as SECA).California requires vessel operators to
use either marine gas oil (MGO or DMA)
with a sulphur limit of 1.5% or marine
diesel oil (MDO or DMB) with a sulphur
limit of 0.5% or less when ships are in
Californian waters and 24 nautical
miles from the Californian Baseline.
Moreover, both IMO and California have
already approved more and more
restrictive requirements which will
enter in force according to a defined
schedule.
What are the problems tied to the use of
LSF?
The properties of fuels with low sulphur
content are different from the marine
fuels normally used on board. The main
issues are:
- low viscosity
- poor lubricity- unacceptable or undesirable blend
components
- potential power shortfall
- engine starting problems- attention to pre-heating control
- correct setting for boiler safety and
combustion control systems
- problem for storage of different fuels
and changeover procedure.
Its fundamental for shipping
companies to carry out a risk
assessment and implement the
necessary technical solutions
(modification to piping systems and/or
equipment, instruction and training for
the crew, etc).
The European Commission, aware of
difficulties that may be encountered in
complying with Directive 2005/33/EC
requirements, on 21st December 2009
invited the Member States to consider
the existence of an approved retrofit
plan when assessing the degree of
penalties to be applied to non-complying
ships.
Low Sulphur Fuel
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Andrea COGLIOLO
Head of Machinery, Electrical, Automation
and Risk Analysis Sector - RINA Technical Department
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What support can RINA Services provide?
Our technicians can support shipping companies by
cooperating in the risk assessment phase and, obviously,
by approving the modified drawings (if the fuel piping
system or other class related systems are affected by
modifications).
Moreover, we are ready to approve the retrofit plans
mentioned in the Commission Recommendation of 21
December 2009 on the safe implementation of the use of
low sulphur fuel by ships at berth in Community ports.
The documentation to be submitted is:
contracts with the manufacturer, including foreseen
data for completion of the modification to be carried
out on board
class approved retrofit drawings
fuel changeover procedures
final date of completion of the whole retrofit actions,
including final survey on board.
Finally, RINA has issued the new additional class notation
LSF (Low Sulphur Fuels) that is assigned to new and
existing ships for which the Society has evidence that Low
Sulphur Fuels may be used by some or all on-board fuel oil
consumers to be recorded in the ships status, together
with the relevant percentage, in weight, of the fuel sulphur
content (e.g. 1%, 0.5%, 0.1%).
It is to be noted that responsibility for ensuring that the
ship is suitable for safe operation using the fuels required
by the applicable national or international legislation
remains with the operator.
I N T E R V I E W W I T H A N D R E A C O G L I O L O
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Low Sulphur Fuel
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S H I P M A C H I N E R Y & E Q U I P M E N T
Machinery Maintenance accordingto Class Rules
The traditional approach to machinery
overhaul on board ship has long been
based on calendar time. Normally, the
rules of IACS Classification societies
envisage the overhaul of class-related
equipment within a 5-year time
window (CMS regime).
This approach is being increasingly
superseded by the introduction of the
PMS, in which the overhauls are
allowed to be based on running hours
instead of calendar time, obviously for
equipment that operates for long
periods. To be granted the PMS,
owners are required to manage their
maintenance with a Computerized
Maintenance Management System
(CMMS) software tool. Experience has
demonstrated that this approach pays
dividends in terms of flexibility and better
organization of maintenance.Once an owner has switched from CMS
to PMS, a further natural step forward
is the adoption of a Condition-Based
Maintenance (CBM) program.
Until recently, however, this approach
was viewed as too sophisticated for the
merchant marine world.
This was true in the past, when
interpretation of the results of the
measurements was restricted to a few
specialists that had to extract the
useful information through a
mathematical process (in the case of
vibrations) or to carry burdensome
equipment (in the case of thermography)totally unsuitable for the arrangements
of a ship.
These negative points now belong to
the past: expertise is available through
specialized service suppliers and the
equipment is now both handy and
user-friendly. These considerations
have brought RINA to advocate this
approach among owners, and to
introduce a new CBM section in its Rules
(RINA, 2010), along with a
dedicated guide (RINA, 2008).
The goal is to provide basic criteria to
support those companies who want to
undertake CBM on ships.
Additionally, if a company decides to
put a group of machinery under CBM,
the relevant ship can be granted
the additional Class notations PMS-CM
(PROP), PMS-CM (CARGO), PMS-CM
(HVAC), PMS-CM (FDS), PMS-CM(ELE) corresponding to propulsion
machinery, cargo equipment, air
conditioning system, fire detection
system and electrical switchboard
respectively; it can be seen that RINA
is aware of the usefulness of the
approach not only to Class items, but
also to those commercially sensitive
systems (e.g. HVAC on passenger
ships, cargo system on tankers, etc.) that
are not fully covered by Class rules.
Implementation of a Pilot CBMSystem on a Tanker Fleet
RINA, with the support of a qualified
CBM service supplier (SPM Instrument
Srl of Italy) has assisted the
implementation of a CBM program
covering on-board machinery of
Tekn-managed Finaval vessels.
The equipment under CBM is
mostly rotating machinery (pumps,
electrical motors, compressors etc.), the
maker of which defines no mandatory
maintenance schedule, leaving it to
the owner, according to the type of
utilization. Diesel engines were excluded,
as they are maintained under a strict
PMS program set forth by the
manufacturer.
It was decided to adopt vibration
techniques, postponing thermography
to after the consolidation of this first
CBM approach among the dedicated
operators.Tekn decided to undertake CBM by
regular manual measurements obtained
from portable instruments.
In addition to vibrations, the RINA
rules and guide require the prognostic
information to be completed by
monitoring a series of machine-specific
parameters like temperature, pressure,
current absorption etc., which are
acquired and recorded in the
instrument for graphical processing.
Tekn decided to rely on SPM for an
page 7
The support of a class society in the applicationof Condition-Based Maintenanceon board commercial ships
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S H I P M A C H I N E R Y & E Q U I P M E N T
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extensive training program for ship and
shore personnel, so as to enable thecrew to perform the measurements and
transfer them to the shore technical
office. A particularly time-consuming but
essential task was the identification of the
measurement points of every item and
the storage of the many transponder
placards for the automatic detection of
machines: this task was carried out by
the crew under SPM indications.
Once the data are acquired by
personnel and transferred to the
dedicated software, the crew in charge
saves them in a back-up safety copy (as
also required by RINA) and creates anexport file ready to be transferred via
e-mail to the shore technical office,
which takes care of the necessary
checks (i.e. acceptability and trend),
and, if relevant, gives the ships
feedback in terms of maintenance
actions to be performed.
Lastly, the data relevant to each piece
of machinery can be progressively
stored in the CMMS software.
The Class-related equipment under
CBM is specified in the PMS manual
approved by RINA, which will audit the
adequacy and continuity of the CBM inthe yearly surveys.
The main advantage of well-implemented
CBM is of course the prompt detection
of incipient failures, enabling
preventive/corrective maintenance
strategies to be adjusted. So far, on the
ships under CBM, Tekn has
experienced no events so serious as to
challenge the predictive capabilities of
the technique. The vibration amplitude
trend analysis has shown some
anomalies on a few machines, however.
Continued on page 9...
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S H I P M A C H I N E R Y & E Q U I P M E N T
The implementation of a CBM program on a system is
beneficial if undertaken seriously from the beginning, and
maintained throughout the lifetime of the system.
It is therefore to be viewed as a mid-term investment.
Successful implementation inevitably implies some
difficulties that have to be solved up front, as for
example: crew training, selection of equipment to be
monitored and the choice of tools (portable or permanent).
In particular, the selection of equipment is based on its
criticality; the criticality of on-board equipment should be
evaluated by means of risk assessment techniques
(nowadays quite commonly applied due to legislative and
commercial obligations) and on the basis of historical
records of preventive and corrective maintenance.
Another essential issue is the build-up of a robust baseline
of measurements for all the equipment involved, which is
instrumental to providing the reference starting point of the
physical parameters against which the trends will be
verified. On ships, no two identical pieces of equipment
behave the same way: a machine can display apparentlyhigh vibration levels, but this may not constitute an
incipient failure if the vibrations do not change in time.
The correct appraisal of the behavior of each item takes
time (at least some months), but allows customization of
the maintenance strategy: neglecting this fact, and
referring to standard values just to save time, may lead to
erroneous conclusions about the health of an item.
In short, the CBM approach adopted by Tekn is founded
on the proper allocation of resources, expertise and
technology; the early involvement of RINA was
necessary and beneficial to start the initiative, through the
definition of the acceptance criteria of Class-related
equipment, the equipment selection, etc.
The results of a couple of years experience have exceeded
expectations.
The crew members in charge of the CBM tasks on board
have accepted the new approach with great interest and
use it regularly with a periodicity that even exceeds RINA
requirements. The shore technical office examines trends
regularly, allowing some incipient anomalies to be detected
and fixed before getting serious.
RINA, on its part, is ready to accept the adoption of
condition-based overhauls for the machinery under CBM,
in lieu of calendar-based or running-hours-based overhauls.
It is RINAs firm belief that this experience has realistically
demonstrated the feasibility of on-board CBM, so far
deemed to be suitable only for onshore or hi-tech
applications.
It has paved the way for an increase in the adoption of
CBM in the near future, and RINA will continue to promote
such initiatives among its clients.
....continued from page 8
page 9
Star-Mach Class NotationRINA assigns an Additional Class Notation - STARMACH - to those vessels
components of propulsion, electric production and steering gear system
detected by means of typical risk analysis techniques and mana
accordance with tailored maintenance procedures.
SHIP SYSTEMS
At owners request, other criti
added to those recommend
FORMAL
SAFETY ASSESSMENT
Risk Analysis techniques for the
detection of critical components
CRITICAL COMPONENTS MANAGEMENT
ANALYSIS RESULTS
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H E A L T H & S A F E T Y
page 10
e
e
n
ECTION
stems may be
the Society
The identification of ship hazards that can
impact on the safety and health of crew and
passengers and the definition of steps to be taken
to improve procedures and reduce detected
possible risks is achieved using risk analysis
techniques, such as Hazard Identification.
A typical application of Health & Safety Risk
analysis is related to the evaluation requested by
Italian national laws for the protection of crew
health.
Health & Safety Risk Assessment
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page 11
R C M & R A M
Reliability Centered Maintenance (RCM)
Reliability Availability Maintainability (RAM)
RCM is a technique based on the statistical analysis of
the failure and repair data of critical components in order
to optimize the preventive maintenance intervals in
terms of cost.
It is based on tailoring, as far as possible, the actual
preventive maintenance tasks to the frequency and
consequences of failures. It can be performed starting
with a Reliability Availability Maintainability (RAM)analysis, preferably from the design stage, through the
whole lifetime. The process allows specifications of RAM
requirements to be given to designers and, once the
system is operating, can be applied to optimize
maintenance by selecting the most appropriate strategy,
i.e.:
spare part allocation
condition monitoring
dedicated test and inspection programs
re-design
To diffuse this approach in the shipping field, RINA has
developed the Additional Class Notation STAR-MACH.
(see focus on page 10)
Three key parameters can be used to gauge theperformance of systems: Reliability, Availability and
Maintainability (RAM).
Reliability quantifies what fails and how often. It is the
measure of the probability that a piece of equipment or
a system will perform a required function under stated
conditions for a defined period of time.
Maintainability is generally defined as the probability that a
piece of equipment or a system will be retained in or
restored to a specified condition within a given period of
time when maintenance is performed in accordance with
prescribed procedures and resources.
Availability identifies the most effective actions available
to keep a system or equipment operational. It is defined
as the probability that a system will be available and
capable of performing its intended function at any
random point in time. It stems from a combination of
reliability and maintainability.
RINA can perform or assist RAM analyses to identify and, ifpossible, quantify the systems weak spots in relation to the
defined success criteria.
The RAM analysis will also support the designer of
machinery, electrical or automation systems to achieve a
more effective and fault-tolerant design and/or a proper
maintenance policy (e.g., in terms of spares supply), or
to compare the effectiveness of alternative solutions.
If the analysis highlights some critical groups, a revision
of the design is to be carried out.
In general terms, an Availability / Reliability analysis
consists in decomposing the plant into levels (groups,
subgroups) from the highest one to component level;
each active component is assigned its Mean Time To
Failure (MTTF) and Mean Time To Repair (MTTR - the MTTR
only in the case of an availability analysis) value then the
analysis, starting from the components, proceeds
through a bottom up calculation of each level and of the
whole plant.
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page 12
C A S E S T U D Y n o . 1
Case Study:Reliability analysis of a sea water cooling
system using the in-house developed
R&M Fault Tree software tool
The results illustrate the MTTF allocation among the sea water cooling
system groups. It can be seen that, in this case, the
reliability allocation doesnt particularly stress critical groups
MTTF (%) Allocation
Sea Chests AUX: Hydraulic Pumpsea Water Discharge ME: Hydraulic Pumps ME: Heat ExchangerAUX: Heat Exchanger
Sea Water Cooling system: Reliability (MTTF) Allocation
Groups MTTF [ Hours ] MTTF [ % ]
Sea Chests 12533 26,58
ME: Hydraulic Pumps 16208 20,55
ME: Heat Exchanger 29223 11,40
Sea Water discharge 34979 9,52
AUX: Hydraulic Pumps 16208 20,55
AUX: Heat Exchanger 29223 11,40
Sea Water Plant 3331
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page 14
C A S E S T U D Y n o . 2
Case Study:FMECA analysis of a sea
water cooling system plant
FAILURE MODE CRITICALITY AND EFFECTS ANALYSIS (FMECA) - WORKSHEET
Assessment Ref. N: 1 Assessed system: Sea Water Cooling System
Assessmentversion N: 1 Review date: 15 Nov. 08
Reference drawing:Assessor:
Signed:
ITEM ID CODEFAULURE
MODE
FAILURE EFFECTS
DETECTION RECOVERY ALARP NOTES
LOCAL ON THE SHIP
Sea Chest ObstructionNone: the other is sufficient to
provide SWNone 1 1
High temperature of central
cooler
Cleanup when possible,
after isolating the chest2 TOLERABLE
Sea Chest
StrainersMR002/1-2 Obstruction
None: the other is sufficient to
provide SWNone 1 1
Cleanup when possible,
after isolating the sea
chest strainer
2 TOLERABLE
S.W.
Pump for
M/E
66 A/B/C Fail to run Startup of the standby pump None 1 1 Bilge alarms
If possible, isolate the
failed section by manual
valves
2 TOLERABLE
S.W.Pump for
AUX
67 A/B/C Fail to run Startup of the standby pump None 1 1 Bilge alarmsIf possible, isolate thefailed section by manual
valves
2 TOLERABLE
Crossover
Header400-MR-01
Significant
leakage or
rupture
Loss of sea water flow to FW
coolers
If not restored, black-out and
flooding of engine room1 4 Bilge alarms
If possible, isolate the
failed section by manual
valves
5 TOLERABLE
PipingSingle line to M/E
(200-MR-13)
Significant
leakage or
rupture
Loss of sea water flow to M/E
central cooler 71A
Loss of propulsion and flooding
of engine room1 4
Bilge alarms, M/E
instruments, rounds in E.R.
Close the valves MR033/1
upstream of 71A5 TOLERABLE
PipingSingle line to G/E
(125-MR-37/04)
Significant
leakage or
rupture
Loss of sea water flow to G/EBlack-out and flooding of
engine room1 4
Bilge alarms, G/E
instruments, rounds in E.R.
Close the valves MR006/2
upstream of G/E5 TOLERABLE
PipingBranch line to non-
essential users
Significant
leakage or
rupture
Loss of sea water and flooding of
engine room
If not corrected, eventual
black-out and flooding of
engine room
1 3
Temperature increase of
users, bilge alarms, rounds
in E.R.
Isolation by closing the
valves upstream of the
affected user
4 TOLERABLE
Piping
Branch line to
FRAMO power pack
100-MR-54
Significant
leakage or
rupture
Loss of sea water to user and
flooding of engine room
If not corrected, unavailability
of cargo system and flooding
of engine room
1 3 Bilge alarms, rounds in E.R.
Isolation by closing the
valves upstream of the
202 exchanger
4 TOLERABLE
Antifoulung
system
Fails to
operateReduction of cleaning efficiency
If not corrected, in the long run
may lead to fouling of the
exchangers on the users
1 2 Temperature increaseCorrective maintenance;
preventive checks3 TOLERABLE
SEVERITY
PROBABILITY
QUALITATIVE
PROBABILITY
QUANTITATIVE
For each identified Item which can be subjected to failure
in the FMECA worksheet the following are reported:
1. The Items failure modes and the failure effect
2. The failure modes severity
3. The failure modes frequency or occurrence probability4. The failure modes detection probability
5. The Hazards risk level based on the criticality matrix
6. Report the suggested corrective action for the critical items
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