risk analysis for better policies

Society for Risk Analysis

Risk Analysis for Better Policies

2013 Annual Meeting8-11 December

Hilton BaltimoreBaltimore, Maryland

Final Program

Prospectusof exhibitor and sponsorship opportunities

33rd Annual Meeting of the Society for Risk Analysis

8-11 December 2013 • Hilton Baltimore

www.SRA.orgSRA Headquarters, 1313 Dolley Madison Boulevard, Suite 402, McLean, Virginia 22101

703.790.1745; FAX: 703.790.2672 [email protected]

2013 CouncilPresident: George Gray

President-Elect: Ortwin RennSecretary: Cristina McLaughlin

Treasurer: Katherine von StackelbergPast-Treasurer: Jeff Lewis

Past President: Ann BostromExecutive Secretary: David Drupa

Councilors:Robin CantorSeth Guikema

Margot KuttschreuterMargaret MacDonellKatherine McComas

Lisa RobinsonJo Anne ShatkinAkihiro Tokai

Marcelo Wolansky

2013 Program CommitteeOrtwin Renn, President-Elect and Chair

Christian BeaudrieNancy Beck

Richard BelzerFrederic BouderGail Charnley

Matteo ConvertinoRobin Dillon-Merrill

Julie Fitzpatrick

Robert ScofieldAudrey TurleyPaul Turnham

Jane Van DorenTrina von Stackelberg

Henry WillisRobyn Wilson

Royce FrancisElisabeth Gilmore

George GraySara Henry

Stanley LevinsonSteven Lewis

Cameron MacKenzieMyriam Merad

1

Hilton Baltimore401 W Pratt Street

Baltimore, Maryland 21201443-573-8700; Fax: 443-683-8841

Table of ContentsAward Winners . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2Registration Hours/Conference Events/Highlights . . . . . . . . . . . 3Specialty Group Meetings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4Specialty Group Mixers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4Exhibitors/Exhibition Hours . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5Workshops . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6Plenary Sessions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11Monday Schedule at a Glance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12Tuesday Schedule at a Glance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14Wednesday Schedule at a Glance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16Scientific Program Sessions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18-23, 30-45Poster Reception/Session . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24-29Author Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46Hilton Baltimore Floor Plan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52

Meeting HighlightsMeeting Events! - All events take place at the Hilton Baltimore.Start with the opening reception on Sunday in the Key Ballroom South Foyer (8 December, 6:00-7:30 pm, Cash Bar), and continue to the closing Die Hard Risk Analyst - DHRA - T-Shirt Giveaway on Wednesday (11 December, 5:00-5:30 pm). The meeting includes three Plenary Sessions, and lunch on all three days.

Poster Reception!This year’s meeting will feature a poster reception with food and drinks in the Key Ballroom 7-12, on Monday evening from 6:00 to 8:00 pm. Poster set up starts at 3:00 pm, and poster presenters will be at their posters for questions and discussion during the reception. Vote for the best poster awards. Don’t miss it!

AGAIN! Business Networking Breakfast - Tuesday, December 10, 7:30-8:15 am, Key Ballroom 12. All those interested in making business connections while attending SRA, come prepared with your 30 second commercial. Each partici-pant will have 30 seconds to stand and let others know what type of business they’re in, who their prospects are, and how others present can help them con-nect the dots. Make YOUR SRA experience really pay off! A continental break-fast will be available. Bring your business cards!

Society For Risk Analysis Annual Meeting2013 Final Program

Oral Presenter’s Reminder - See Page 4 for HoursIf you are an Oral Presenter at the meeting, don’t forget to upload your presentation in the

Speaker Ready Room (Mencken Room) at least 24 hours prior to your presentation. If you have already uploaded your talk, come by the Ready Room to ensure it has been received and uploaded correctly.

2

SRA 2013 Student & International Award Winners

Mohammad Sepehr AssadianRaghavendhran Avanasi Narasimhan

Hiba BaroudChristian Beaudrie

Marissa BellDjillali BenouarCasey CanfieldWenwei Che

Elizabeth ConnellyMichelle DeveauAmine El Haimar

Eric Guy EllerMustafa Elmontsri

Kang-Chih FanRaul FigueroaPeiqiu GuanMiao Guo

Kerry HamiltonDaniel HerreraFrauke Hoss

Tomohisa IshimaruNicole KainKale KponeeArti Kundu

Hsuan Chi LinLexin LinSu-Yu-LiuXiang Liu

SRA 2013 Specialty GroupMerit Award Winners

Decision Analysis & RiskMaryam Tabibzadeh

Dose-ResponseMichelle Deveau

Tomohisa Ishimaru

Ecological Risk AssessmentJeffrey Song

Economics and Benefits AnalysisDaniel Herrera

Emerging Nanoscale MaterialsDwaipayan Mukherjee

Microbial Risk AnalysisArti KunduMiao Wang

Risk and DevelopmentCamila Zacharias

Risk Policy & LawXiang Liu

Security & DefensePeiqiu Guan

Dana LoomisHang Lu

Mahalia MillerAbhinav MishraTomoko Okada

Raghav PantAbel Pinto

David Nicolas PluessBidya PrasadCyren Rico

Claude SaegermanRyan ScottTyler ScottPiet Sellke

Mohamed ShereifDimitrios Stavrou

Maria Camila Suarez PabaMaryam Tabibzadeh

Kerton VictoryMiao Wang

Chia-yun WuTsung-Ta Wu

Junrui XuAn Gie Yong

Krista Danielle YuCamila Zacharias

Kejun Zhu

3

Registration HoursHilton Baltimore - East Foyer Sunday 8 December 4:00 - 6:00 PM Monday 9 December 7:00 AM - 5:00 PM Tuesday 10 December 8:00 AM - 5:00 PM Wednesday 11 December 8:00 AM - 4:00 PM

Sunday 8 DecemberMembership Committee8:00-9:00 AM - BrentSRA Council Meeting Noon–5:00 PM - Calloway A&BEditorial Staff Meeting2:00–4:00 PM - Poe A&BPublications Committee 4:00–5:00 PM - Poe A/BEditorial Board Meeting 5:00-6:00 PM - Poe A/BSRA Welcome Reception – (Cash Bar) 6:00–7:30 PM - Key Ballroom South FoyerWorld Congress 2015 Meeting7:45–8:30 PM - Chase

Conference Events, Committee Meetings

Monday 9 DecemberNew Member, Fellows and International Members Breakfast 7:00-8:00 AM - Key Ballroom #4All SRA Fellows as well as 2012 and 2013 New Members (badges with a New Member ribbon) are welcome to attend.Regional Organization Chairs Breakfast/Meeting7:30-8:30 AM - HopkinsCommunications Committee7:30-8:30 AM - StoneConferences and Workshops Committee7:30-8:30 AM - ChaseOpening Plenary Session8:30-10:00 AM - Key Ballroom #7-12Specialty Group Meetings - Pick up your box lunch by the SRA Registration Desk12:05-1:30 PM - See Page 4Risk Management SG Officers3:30-4:30 PM - Peale CDecision Analysis and Risk SG5:00-6:30 PM - StonePoster Reception 6:00–8:00 PM - Key Ballroom #7-12

Tuesday 10 DecemberGrad Student Breakfast7:00-8:00 AM - Peale CAudit Committee7:00-8:30 AM- ChaseBusiness Networking Breakfast7:30-8:15 AM - Key Ballroom #12Specialty Group Chairs Breakfast7:30-8:30 AM - StoneFinance Committee8:00-10:00 AM - HopkinsSRA Awards Luncheon and Business MeetingNoon-1:30 PM - Key Ballroom #7-12

SRA Council Meeting 6:30-10:00 PM - Key Ballroom #12

Wednesday 11 DecemberPlenary Session8:30-10:00 AM - Key Ballroom #7-12Plenary LuncheonNoon-1:30 PM - Key Ballroom #7-12

T-Shirt GiveawayBe a Die Hard Risk Analyst - Stay until the end of the sessions and receive a t-shirt5:00–5:30 PM - East Foyer

4

Specialty Group Meetings Monday, 12:05-1:30 PMAll Specialty Group Meetings will take place during lunch time on Monday 9 December. Pick up your box lunch near the Registration desk and attend the meeting(s) of your choice.

12:05-12:30 pmDose Response, Johnson A&BEconomics & Benefits Analysis, LatrobeOccupational Health & Safety, Key Ballroom 6Risk Communication, Peale A&BSecurity & Defense, Ruth

12:35-1:00 pmEcological Risk Assessment, Johnson A&BExposure Assessment, LatrobeFoundations of Risk, Key Ballroom 6Risk, Policy & Law, RuthRisk & Development, Peale A&B

1:05-1:30 pmDecision Analysis & Risk, Johnson A&BEmerging Nanoscale Materials, LatrobeEngineering & Infrastructure, RuthMicrobial Risk Analysis, Peale A&B

Key to Specialty Group Designations

DARSG = Decision Analysis and RiskDRSG = Dose-ResponseEASG = Exposure AssessmentEBASG = Economics & Benefits AnalysisEISG = Engineering and InfrastructureENMSG = Emerging Nanoscale MaterialsERASG - Ecological Risk Assessment

FRSG = Foundations of Risk MRASG = Microbial Risk AnalysisOHSSG = Occupational Health & Safety RCSG = Risk CommunicationRDSG = Risk & DevelopmentRPLSG = Risk Policy and LawSDSG = Security and Defense

Speaker Ready Room HoursHilton Baltimore - Mencken Sunday 3:00 - 8:00 PM Monday & Tuesday 7:00 AM - 5:00 PM Wednesday 7:00 AM - 12:00 PM

Specialty Group MixersTuesday 10 December6:00 - 7:30 PM

DRSG, EASG, ERASG, MRASG, OHSSG - Tubman ADARSG, EISG, RDSG, SDSG - Carroll AEBASG, ENMSG, RCSG, RPLSG - Carroll B

6:00 - 8:00 PMNational Capital Area Chapter (NCAC) - Tubman B

5

Exhibition - Key Ballroom South FoyerMonday 9 December .......................................................................9:45 AM - 3:30 PM Poster Reception .................................................................6:00 - 8:00 PMTuesday 10 December .....................................................................9:45 AM - 3:30 PMWednesday 11 December ................................................................9:45 AM - 3:30 PM

ExhibitorsABT Associates Booth 155 Wheeler StreetCambridge, MA 02138617-520-2425; Fax: 617-492-5219www.abtassociates.com

Abt Associates is a mission-driven, global leader in research and program implemen-tation in the fields of health, social and environmental policy, and international develop-ment. Known for its rigorous approach to solving complex challenges, Abt Associates is regularly ranked as one of the top 20 global research firms and one of the top 40 international development innovators. The company has multiple offices in the U.S. and program offices in more than 40 countries.

Bergeson & Campbell, PC and the Acta Group Booth 122200 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW, Suite 100WWashington, DC 20037202-557-3812; Fax: 202-557-3836www.lawbc.com

Bergeson & Campbell, P.C. (B&C®) is a Washington, D.C. law firm focusing on conventional, biobased, and nanoscale industrial, agricultural, and specialty chemical product regulation and approval matters. The Acta Group, B&C’s scientific and regula-tory consulting arm with offices in Washington, D.C., Manchester, England, and Beijing, China, provides strategic, comprehensive support for global chemical registration, regula-tion, and sustained compliance.

ICF International Booth 119300 Lee HighwayFairfax VA 22031703-934-3000; Fax: 703-934-3740www.icfi.com

Since 1969, ICF International (NASDAQ:ICFI) has been serving government at all levels, major corporations, and multilateral institutions. With more than 50 offices and more than 4,500 employees worldwide, we bring deep domain expertise, problem-solving capabilities, and a results-driven approach to deliver strategic value across the lifecycle of client programs. At ICF, we partner with clients to conceive and implement solutions and

Join us to discuss the

2015 World CongressSunday 8 December

7:45-8:30 pm, Chase Room

services that protect and improve the quality of life, providing lasting answers to society’s most challenging management, technology, and policy issues. As a company and individu-ally, we live this mission, as evidenced by our commitment to sustainability and carbon neutrality, contribution to the global community, and dedication to employee growth. Our website is www.icfi.com.

Toxicology Excellence for Risk Assessment (TERA) Booth 132300 Montana Avenue, Suite 409Cincinnati, OH 45211513-542-7475; FAX: 513-542-8674www.tera.org

TERA is a non-profit organized for scientific and educational purposes. Our mis-sion is to support the protection of public health by developing, reviewing and commu-nicating risk assessment values and analyses; improving risk methods through research; and, educating risk assessors, managers, and the public on risk assessment issues.

US Environmental Protection Agency (US EPA) Booth 101200 Pennsylvania Avenue NWMaildrop 8601PWashington, DC 20460703-347-8545www.epa.gov/ncea/

EPA’s National Center for Environmental Assessment (NCEA) is a leader in the science of human health and ecological risk assessment. NCEA addresses the needs of stakeholders by preparing technical reports and assessments that integrate and evaluate the most up-to-date research. These products serve as a major component of the scien-tific foundation supporting EPA’s regulations and policies.

6

Sunday 8 December Full Day – 8:30 am-5:30 pm(Lunch is on your own, 12:30-1:30 pm)

Workshop 1S: Benchmark Dose Modeling – Basic Methodologies Organizer: J. Allen Davis, MSPH, U.S. Environmental Protection AgencyInstructors: J. Allen Davis, MSPH, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Jeff Gift, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Jay Zhao, Ph.D., U.S. Environmental Protection AgencyCost: Onsite $325

The objective of this full-day workshop is to provide participants with interactive training on the use of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) Benchmark Dose Software (BMDS) and its application to risk assess-ment. Use of BMD methods addresses many of the limitations of the tradi-tional No Observed Adverse Effect Level (NOAEL) approach. BMD modeling involves fitting mathematical models to dose-response data in order to identify points of departure for use in human health risk assessments. In this interac-tive training workshop, EPA instructors will present: the basic theory of BMD modeling (including selection of a benchmark response level, model fitting and comparison), a demonstration of EPA’s BMDS 2.4, and individual and group modeling exercises. Instructors will focus on the use of the new Excel-based BMDS Wizard templates that are provided with BMDS 2.4. The BMDS Wizard streamlines BMD analyses by allowing users to build BMDS inputs, run models, and import results in Excel. In addition to importing all results, it is capable of recommending best-fitting models using customizable decision criteria.

Participants are not required to have any previous BMD experience, but it is recommended that they familiarize themselves with basic concepts through the online tutorial and training materials provided on the EPA BMDS website (http://epa.gov/ncea/bmds/training/index.html).

Participants need to bring their own laptops to the workshop with BMDS 2.4 installed. The latest version of the software program can be found at: http://epa.gov/ncea/bmds/. In order to use the BMDS Wizard templates, Microsoft Excel must be installed on the user’s laptops.

Workshops - Sunday, 8 DecemberWorkshop 2: Cumulative Risk Assessment: Addressing Combined Environmental StressorsOrganizer: Linda K. Teuschler, M.S., U.S. Environmental Protection AgencyInstructors: Linda K. Teuschler, M.S., U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Amanda Evans, MSPH, Association of Schools of Public Health Research Fellow; Richard C. Hertzberg, PhD, Biomathematics Consulting; Margaret MacDonell, PhD, Argonne Na-tional Laboratory; Moiz Mumtaz, PhD, Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry; Glenn E. Rice, ScD, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Jane Ellen Simmons, PhD. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; J. Michael Wright, PhD. U.S. Environmental Pro-tection AgencyCost: Onsite $400

Cumulative risk assessment (CRA) addresses the impacts of multiple chemical and nonchemical stressors on real world individuals and communities, resulting in complex exposures for individuals and populations with a variety of vulnerabilities, in applications that range from environmental justice and com-munity sustainability to individual health promotion and protection. Nonchemi-cal stressors include biological and physical agents (e.g., microbes and noise) as well as socioeconomic stressors and psychosocial conditions (e.g., associated with natural disasters). Public concerns that can initiate CRAs include (1) el-evated environmental measurements or biomonitoring data; (2) multiple sources of pollutants or stressors; and (3) changes in disease rates or patterns (e.g., leuke-mia cluster) or ecological effects (e.g., loss of wildlife diversity). This workshop focuses on human health and begins with an overview of three CRA elements: analysis, characterization, and quantification (as feasible) of the combined risks from multiple stressors. Teaching methods include lectures and hands-on exer-cises. Presentations highlight basic concepts, methods, and resources for con-ducting a population-based CRA. A central theme is integrating exposure and dose-response information with population characteristics during planning and scoping based on initiating factors. Vulnerability factors are addressed, e.g., diet/nutritional status, behaviors, genetic traits, socioeconomic status, sensitivities, and psychosocial stress. Methods for estimating human health risks are discussed and applied, including epidemiologic approaches and assessing the joint toxicity of chemical mixtures. In the exercises, participants develop chemical, biological and physical stressor groups using exposure and toxicity factors, link them with population vulnerability factors and conduct a risk characterization. Participants are asked to bring a calculator.

http://epa.gov/ncea/bmds/training/index.html

http://epa.gov/ncea/bmds/

7

Workshop 3S: Probabilistic Risk Analysis with Hardly Any DataOrganizers & Instructors: Scott Ferson, Ph.D., Applied Biomathematics; Kevin Shoemaker, Ph.D., Stony Brook UniversityCost: Onsite $325

This full-day tutorial introduces and compares methods for developing a probabilistic risk analysis when little or no empirical data are available to inform the risk model. The talks are organized around the basic problems that risk ana-lysts face: not knowing the input distributions, not knowing their correlations, not being sure about the model itself, or even which variables should be consid-ered. Possible strategies include traditional approximative methods and recent robust and bounding methods. Numerical examples are given that illustrate the use of various methods including traditional moment propagation, PERT, maxi-mum entropy, uniformity principle, probability bounds analysis, confidence box-es, Bayesian model averaging, and sensitivity analysis. All of the approaches can be used to develop a fully probabilistic estimate useful for screening decisions and other planning. The advantages and drawbacks of the various approaches are examined. Essentially, the drawbacks are that bounding approaches may say too little about risks, and the rough and ready approximate methods may say too much. The discussion addresses how defensible decisions can be made even when little information is available, and when one should break down and collect some data and, in that case, what data to look for. The presentation style will be casual and interactive. Participants will receive a handout and CD of the illustra-tions used during the tutorial.

Workshop 4: Introduction to Monte Carlo Simulation for Exposure Assessments with Freeware Excel ToolsOrganizers & Instructors: Tom Armstrong, CIH, PhD, TWA8HR Occupational Hygiene Consulting, LLC; Mike Jayjock, PhD, CIH, Jayjock Associates, LLCCost: Onsite $400

This workshop provides background and working experience with Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) methods with a focus on exposure modeling assess-ments for consumer, general population and environmental applications. MCS methods generally 1) define calculation input probability distributions for a cal-culation algorithm, 2) generate random values of the inputs from selected prob-ability distributions, 3) perform the modeling calculations using those random inputs and 4) aggregate and statistically evaluate the results. MCS methods have use in exposure assessment practice for estimating exposures, past, present or future from mathematical models. The results, as probability distributions, have utility in risk assessment by comparison to metrics of acceptable exposure.

The workshop will review basic MCS methods, and provide a synopsis of available software, both commercial and freeware options. Instructors will provide examples of the use of MCS methods in estimating exposures to toxic agents. Following the presentation of examples, participants will have increas-ingly detailed exercises designed for them to learn the use of the software, selec-tion of input distributions, completion of the calculations, and interpretation of the calculation results. Prior to the course start, participants will be asked to pro-vide examples for consideration for several selected to work through as in-class case studies. An understanding of the quantitative sensitivity analysis, as well as the difference of and need for additional uncertainty analyses will be developed. The critical relationship between variability and epistemic uncertainty as it relates to the inputs, results and final analysis will be covered in detail.

Participants will be expected to bring their own notebook PC with MS Excel and ability to enable macros, in order to keep notes on the handouts, and to run the software for the participant case studies.

Workshop 5: Eliciting Judgments to Inform DecisionmakingOrganizers: Aylin Sertkaya, Ph.D., Eastern Research Group, Inc.; Cristina McLaughlin, US Food and Drug AdministrationInstructors: Aylin Sertkaya, Ph.D., Eastern Research Group, Inc.; Cristina McLaughlin, US Food and Drug Administration; Frank Hearl, M.S., PE, National Institute for Oc-cupational Safety and Health (NIOSH); Michael Davis, Ph.D., Independent ConsultantCost: Onsite $350

Decision makers must frequently rely on data or information that is incom-plete or inadequate in one way or another. Judgment, often from experts and occasionally from non-experts, then plays a critical role in the interpretation and characterization of those data as well as in the completion of information gaps. But how experts or other stakeholders are selected and their judgments elicited matters – they can also strongly influence the opinions obtained and the analysis on which they rely. Several approaches to eliciting judgments have evolved. The workshop will cover topics ranging from recruitment, elicitation protocol de-sign, different elicitation techniques (e.g., individual elicitations, Delphi method, nominal group technique, etc.) to aggregation methods for combining opinions of multiple individuals. The role of judgment elicitation and its limitations, prob-lems, and risks in policy analysis will also be addressed. The workshop will in-clude presentation of two case studies that will include a discussion of the selec-tion process; elicitation protocol development, elicitation technique utilized, and the various issues that arose before, during, and after the elicitation process and

8

the manner in which they were resolved. The class will conclude with a hands-on exercise where participants will learn about calibration of experts using a mobile application.

Sunday Half Day Afternoon – 1 pm-5 pmWorkshop 10: Stakeholder’s Involvement through Scientific Rea-soning: Communicating Risk without Risk CommunicationOrganizers & Instructors: José Palma-Oliveira, Ph.D., University of Lisbon; Igor Linkov, Ph.D., US Army Engineer R&D CenterCost: Onsite $325

The way risk communication is usually conceptualized and implemented has stakeholder persuasion as a primary objective, either explicitly or implicitly. The focus is on the “proper” way of communicating risk information given the quality of the scientific evidence of risk even though multiple ways of framing the information based on the psychometric, cultural or even mental models ap-proaches, traditional approach to risk communication has failed in many cases resulting in significant stakeholder unease and stress. Stakeholders can be pro-foundly distrustful in relation to the conclusions of science and technological “computations”, however they are sensitive to scientific reasoning, particularly when integrated in formal hypothesis generation and testing, data collection and decision modeling. These issues will be discussed in the workshop.

This workshop will focus on alternative approaches of bringing stakehold-ers on board in projects where risk is a significant driver for decision. This was proven to be successful in sorting environmental conflicts. Tools of decision analysis and risk communications will be presented and discussed in the con-text of siting problems in Portugal and Tunisia where the communities strongly show their opposition (even with riots with military forces involved) and envi-ronmental management decisions in the US. These cases will show how they were able to overcome the opposition and radically diminish or eliminate the psychosocial stress. Presentations and discussions will be done at basic level ap-pealing to a broad audience with diverse background.

Workshop 11: Fundamental Concepts of Risk Assessment, Risk Perception and Risk CommunicationOrganizer: Branden B. JohnsonInstructors: Branden B. Johnson, Decision Research, Inc.; Darrell W. Donahue, Maine Mari-time AcademyCost: Onsite $350

Meetings and publications of the Society for Risk Analysis can be daunting to newcomers. More generally, risk analysis incorporates and spans many disci-plines. It is often difficult for people, even those who work on some topic within risk analysis—be it toxicology, terrorist threat assessment or human behavior—to understand how their work fits into the risk analysis “big picture.” Likewise, disciplinary training does not prepare people to understand, much less converse with, fellow practitioners. This workshop, taught by two experts with extensive histories in practice, government and academia, is designed to fill that gap. We in-troduce fundamental risk analysis concepts and terminology, including elements of risk management, risk assessment, and risk perception and communication. Exercises (microbial risk focused) will be used to allow the participants to apply these basic concepts of risk analysis. Upon completion of this course, students will understand the fundamental concepts of risk analysis. The workshop is suit-able for first time Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting attendees, as well as all individuals new to risk analysis and those who have been involved in only a limited aspect of risk analysis. They will be prepared to engage comfortably in the range of conversations that distinguish Society for Risk Analysis Annual Conferences.

Workshop 12: Methods and Case Studies to Integrate Lifecycle As-sessment (LCA) and Risk AnalysisOrganizer: Elisabeth Gilmore, Ph.D., School of Public Policy, University of MarylandInstructors: Joule Bergerson, Ph.D., Institute for Sustainable Energy, Environment and Econ-omy, University of Calgary; Elisabeth Gilmore, Ph.D., School of Public Policy, University of Maryland; Paulina Jaramillo, Ph.D., Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University; Ketra Schmitt, Ph.D., Centre for Engineering in Society, Concordia University; Eric Williams, Ph.D. Golisano Institute for Sustainability, Rochester Institute of TechnologyCost: Onsite $325

This workshop aims to provide an introduction or refresher on lifecycle as-sessment (LCA) with hands-on activities and examples for how to integrate LCA into risk and decision analysis tools. LCA is a fundamental technique for evaluat-ing the environmental effects associated with all stages of a process, product or

9

technology from the extraction of raw materials to disposal, known as a “cradle-to-grave” perspective. As a result, LCAs can extend the scope of characterizing risks for products and processes. In the first part of the workshop, we provide an overview of theory and tools for LCA. Second, we run a hands-on activity with the participants to conduct simple LCAs with process and economic input output methods and learn about the associated tools and databases. We look at coal with carbon capture and storage and personal computers. Third, we will compare the results from a series of recent case studies on shale gas to examine different approaches, data, and uncertainty. We conclude with a discussion of how LCA can be integrated into benefit-cost and risk analysis, including an ex-ample of carbon capture and storage. After this workshop, participants should be able to conceptualize and conduct a simple LCA using existing tools, evaluate and critique the results of LCAs, and apply LCAs for decision and economic analysis. Participants need to bring a laptop.

Thursday Full Day 8:30 am-5:30 pmWorkshop 1T: Benchmark Dose Modeling – Advanced TopicsOrganizer: J. Allen Davis, MSPH, U.S. Environmental Protection AgencyInstructors: J. Allen Davis, MSPH, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Jeff Gift, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Jay Zhao, Ph.D., U.S. Environmental Protection AgencyRegistration: Onsite $325

The objectives of this full-day workshop are to provide participants with training on how to use the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) Benchmark Dose Modeling Software (BMDS) and related software programs to facilitate advanced BMD analyses. Advanced dose-response models can be used when incorporating the following specialized data types into human health risk assessments:

• Data on multiple independent tumors in a single bioassay (the MS_Combo model)

• Cancer data where survival rates differ due to exposure (the Multistage Weibull Time-to-Tumor [MSW] model)

• Repeated response data common to many neurotoxicity test guidelines (the Toxicodiffusion model)

• Concentration × time data (the ten Berge model)

• Categorical data on multiple endpoints from multiple bioassays and multiple species (the Categorical Regression [CatReg] model)

Specifically, EPA instructors will present: the theory behind each of the above advanced models, a demonstration of the various software packages used to run these models, and individual class modeling exercises.

Participants are expected to have a firm understanding of basic benchmark dose methods, either through work-related experience, or completion of at least the introductory portion of online training courses (http://epa.gov/ncea/bmds/training/index.html).

Participants need to bring their own laptops to the workshop with BMDS 2.4, the Multistage Weibull executable, and the R statistical package (version 2.15.0 or greater) installed (with necessary administrative rights). The latest version of the software programs can be found at: http://epa.gov/ncea/bmds/, epa.gov/ncea/catreg, and http://www.r-project.org/. Specific in-stallation instructions for the software programs can be found on the websites or in documentation that can be downloaded from the websites.

Workshop 3T: Probabilistic Risk Analysis with Hardly Any DataOrganizers & Instructors: Scott Ferson, Ph.D., Applied Biomathematics; Kevin Shoemaker, Ph.D., Stony Brook UniversityCost: Onsite $325

This full-day tutorial introduces and compares methods for developing a probabilistic risk analysis when little or no empirical data are available to inform the risk model. The talks are organized around the basic problems that risk ana-lysts face: not knowing the input distributions, not knowing their correlations, not being sure about the model itself, or even which variables should be consid-ered. Possible strategies include traditional approximative methods and recent robust and bounding methods. Numerical examples are given that illustrate the use of various methods including traditional moment propagation, PERT, maxi-mum entropy, uniformity principle, probability bounds analysis, confidence box-es, Bayesian model averaging, and sensitivity analysis. All of the approaches can be used to develop a fully probabilistic estimate useful for screening decisions and other planning. The advantages and drawbacks of the various approaches are examined. Essentially, the drawbacks are that bounding approaches may say too little about risks, and the rough and ready approximate methods may say too much. The discussion addresses how defensible decisions can be made even when little information is available, and when one should break down and collect

Workshops - Thursday, 12 December



http://epa.gov/ncea/bmds/, epa.gov/ncea/catreg

http://epa.gov/ncea/bmds/, epa.gov/ncea/catreg

http://www.r-project.org/

10

some data and, in that case, what data to look for. The presentation style will be casual and interactive. Participants will receive a handout and CD of the illustra-tions used during the tutorial.

Thursday Half Day Morning – 8 am-NoonWorkshop 13: Advanced Workshop on Nanoscale Materials – What Can We Learn from Big Data Sets?Organizers & Instructors: Jo Anne Shatkin, Vireo Advisors; Christine O. Hendren, Ph.D., Duke University, Center for the Environmental Implications of NanoTechnology (CEINT)Cost: Onsite $350

The field of emerging nanoscale risk assessment is by nature one in which data, methods and policies are developing in parallel to address unique aspects of nanotechnology and nanomaterials that may require novel approaches to risk analysis. Therefore, to enable intelligent prioritization of research investments, assessment of risks, and ultimately decision-making for manufactured nanoma-terials, iterative feedback is needed between researchers, risk assessors, decision makers, and those affected by decisions. This workshop will provide an immer-sive experience where participants can experience and contribute to this feed-back process at the leading edge of the field of nano risk assessment.

This workshop is part of an investigation into the use of alternative test-ing strategies (ATS) in risk analysis for nanoscale materials. We will convene a diverse group of international experts to discuss how existing and novel in vitro assays may be applied in a “multiple models” approach to inform the risk assess-ment of novel nanoscale materials in assessing hazard, potency and exposure potential. This effort builds on a number of recent expert meetings regarding the development and use of high throughput screening (HTS) by examining the availability and applicability of existing and novel ATS methods for a multiple models approach to toxicity, environmental and exposure analysis of emerging nanoscale materials (ENM) in the risk analysis paradigm.

Through a collaboration with the OECD Working Party on Nanomateri-als, SRA is evaluating the potential for a multiple models approach involving alternative testing strategies (ATS) for nanomaterial risk assessment. Examples of these strategies will be discussed, and findings from a preliminary analysis of data sets using ATS will inform a lively discussion how these methods may be used to inform risk assessment for nanomaterials in a multiple models approach. Speakers from U.S. and Canadian governmental agencies will frame this issues. Workshop participants will learn about the current and emerging testing strate-gies for nanomaterials, and how they can be used to inform a weight of evidence approach, incorporating them in risk assessment.

The main objectives of the workshop are to provide an interactive learning experience where participants work to collectively: 1) understand continuing critical gaps in understanding of the health and environmental risks posed by the use of ENM, and propose methods for filling the gaps, and 2) organize these gaps in terms of the decisions the information would ultimately support.

11

Plenary SeSSionSAll Plenary Sessions will be held in the Key Ballroom #7-12, Hilton Baltimore

Opening Plenary SessionMonday 9 December 8:30 – 10:00 AM, Key Ballroom #7-12

“Advice to Policy Makers: The Role of Risk Analysis”Chairs: Robin Cantor, Berkeley Research Group, LLC; and Ortwin Renn, Stuttgart Research Center for Interdisciplinary Risk and Innovation Studies

Panelists Include: Luis Cifuentes, Catholic University of Santiago City;

Anne Glover, Chief Science Advisor to the EU; Sir Mark Walport, Chief Science Advisor to the UK Government

Discussion led by: Ragnar Löfstedt, Kings College, London

George Gray, President, SRA

Wednesday 11 December, Morning Plenary, 8:30 – 10:00 AM, Key Ballroom #7-12“Exploring Risk, Ethics, and Decision-Making: Three Cases”

Introduction of Session and Speakers: Ortwin Renn, University of Stuttgart, GermanySheri Fink, New America Foundation

“Hurricane Katrina: Hard Lessons on Ethical Emergency Medical Response in the Face of Disaster”

Raina McIntyre and Joanne Travaglia, University of New South Wales, Australia“Experiences in Asia: Challenges and Trade-offs in Risk Management, Decision-Making and Public Health Responses to Natural Disasters”

Andreas Klinke, University of Newfoundland, Canada“Designing Technology and Environmental Policies: Merits and Pitfalls of Participation and Deliberation in the Handling of Epistemic

and Ethical Challenges in Risk Governance”

Comments: Sally M. Kane, Independent Consultant and University of New South Wales“Questions for the Risk Community”

Wednesday 11 December, Plenary Luncheon, Noon – 1:30 PM, Key Ballroom #7-12“Risk and Opportunity: Managing Risk for Development”

Norman Loayza, The World Bank; Director, World Development Report 2014

12

7:00-8:00 AM New Member, Fellows and International Members Breakfast - Key Ballroom #4

8:30-10:00 AM Plenary Session, “Advice to Policy Makers: The Role of Risk Analysis” - Key Ballroom #7-12 Panelists Include: Luis Cifuentes, Anne Glover, Sir Mark Walport

10:00-10:30 AM Coffee Break - Key Ballroom South Foyer

Key Ballroom #1M2-A Symposium: Cross-Disciplinary Methods for Research Synthesis, Part I

Key Ballroom #2M2-B Symposium: Integrating Diverse Streams of Evidence for Chemical Assessments: Getting from Association to Causation, Part I

Key Ballroom #3M2-C: Individual and Societal Risks and Morality

Key Ballroom #4M2-D: Modeling for Chemical Risk Assessment (PBPK, Cumulative)

Key Ballroom #5M2-E Symposium: World Cafe, Literally: Global Burden of Disease Caused by Foodborne Toxins

M3-A Poster Platform: Applications in the Expanding Field of Risk Management

Pick up your box lunch near the Registration desk and attend the specialty group meeting(s) of your choice. See page 4 for details.12:05-12:30 PM - Dose-Response, Economics & Benefits, Occupational Health & Safety, Risk Communication, and Security & Defense Specialty Groups12:35-1:00 PM - Ecological Risk Assessment, Exposure Assessment, Foundations of Risk, Risk Policy & Law, and Risk & Development Specialty Groups1:05-1:30 PM - Decision Analysis and Risk, Emerging Nanoscale Materials, Engineering & Infrastructure, and Microbial Risk Analysis Specialty Groups

10:3

0 A

M-

Noo

nN

oon-

1:30

PM

1:30

-3:

00 P

M

M3-B: Integrating Diverse Streams of Evidence for Chemical Assessments: Getting from Association to Causation, Part II

M3-C Symposium: Foundational Issues in Risk Analysis, Part I

M3-D: Improving Quantitative Risk Assessment: New Strategies

M3-E: Fine Particulates: New Measurements and Questions Answered

3:00-3:30 PM Coffee Break - Key Ballroom South Foyer

3:30

-5:

00 P

M

M4-A Symposium: Understanding Human Health Risks from Dietary Arsenic Exposure

M4-B Symposium: A New Look at the Toxicity of Bisphenol A and Public Health

M4-C Symposium: Foundational Issues in Risk Analysis, Part II

M4-D Symposium: Expecting the Unexpected: Risk Informed Policies & Procedures to Predict, Detect & Control Emerging Food Safety Risk

M4-E: Fuel, Asbestos, Dust, Spores & Death

Monday 9 December 2013

6:00-8:00 PM Poster Reception, Key Ballroom #7-12

13

7:00-8:00 AM New Member, Fellows and International Members Breakfast - Key Ballroom #4

8:30-10:00 AM Plenary Session, “Advice to Policy Makers: The Role of Risk Analysis” - Key Ballroom #7-12 Panelists Include: Luis Cifuentes, Anne Glover, Sir Mark Walport


Key Ballroom #6M2-F: Global Scale Risks: Models & Processes of Risk Analysis

Peale A&BM2-G: Public Understanding of New Technology

Johnson A&BM2-H: Bioterrorism Application

LatrobeM2-I Symposium: Advances in Risk Models for Infrastruc-ture Management and Invest-ment

Pick up your box lunch near the Registration desk and attend the specialty group meeting(s) of your choice. See page 4 for details.12:05-12:30 PM - Dose-Response, Economics & Benefits, Occupational Health & Safety, Risk Communication, and Security & Defense Specialty Groups12:35-1:00 PM - Ecological Risk Assessment, Exposure Assessment, Foundations of Risk, Risk Policy & Law, and Risk & Development Specialty Groups1:05-1:30 PM - Decision Analysis and Risk, Emerging Nanoscale Materials, Engineering & Infrastructure, and Microbial Risk Analysis Specialty Groups

10:3

0 A

M-

Noo

nN

oon-

1:30

PM

1:30

-3:

00 P

M

M3-F: Risk & Environmental Governance

M3-G Symposium: Risk Perception & Responses to Weather Hazards

M3-H Roundtable: Risk in Changed Circumstances: Views of the News Editors

M3-I Symposium: Risks of Transportation Disruptions and Transporting Dangerous Goods


M4-F Symposium: Panel Discussion: Communicating Risk Uncertainty: What Have We Learned and Where Are We Going?

M4-H: Informing Policy with Risk Perception and Management

3:30

-5:

00 P

M

M4-I: Risk and Rewards of Natural Resources and Natural Disasters

Monday 9 December 2013

6:00-8:00 PM Poster Reception, Key Ballroom #7-12

RuthM2-J: Sustainability and Ecosystems

M3-J Symposium: Risk, Costs & Benefits of Low Carbon Energy Technologies

M4-J Symposium: Who Ben-efits? Measuring the Distribu-tion of Risk Policy Impacts

M4-G: Public Response to Natural and Technological Disasters

14

Tuesday 10 December 2013

7:30-8:15 AM Networking Breakfast - Key Ballroom #12

Key Ballroom #1T1-A Poster Platform: Traditional and Social Media Effects

Key Ballroom #2T1-B: EPA’S IRIS: It’s A New Program, Part I

Key Ballroom #3T1-C: Managing Disasters I

Key Ballroom #4T1-D: Zoonotic Diseases: Risk & Characterization of Human Illness

Key Ballroom #5T1-E: Modeling Toxicants in the Environment

T3-A: Infrastructure Safety

Noon-1:30 PM SRA Awards Luncheon and Business Meeting - Key Ballroom 7-12 Includes all SRA Awards, and the 5 Best Poster Award Winners from Monday’s Poster Reception. (Included in Registration Fee)

8:30

-10:

00

AM

1:30

-3:

00 P

M

T3-B Symposium: Proposed Methods for U.S. EPA’s CRA Guidelines, Part I

T3-C: Authors Meet Critics: The Risk Society Revisited

T3-D: Understanding & Mitigating Risk of Illness: Pathogens in Human & Pet Food

T3-E Symposium: Risk 21 Tiered Approach for Exposure Estimation for Human Risk Assessments


3:30

-5:

00 P

M

T4-A: PRA & Statistical Modeling Applications

T4-B Symposium: Proposed Methods for U.S. EPA’s CRA Guidelines, Part II

T4-C: Public Health Risk & Sources

T4-D: Informing Risk Assessments of Engineered Nano-materials: Frameworks and Analysis

T4-E: Nano, Synthetic Biology, Animal Feed

T2-A Symposium: Cross-Disciplinary Methods for Research Synthesis, Part II

T2-B: EPA’S IRIS: It’s A New Program, Part II

T2-C: Managing Disasters II T2-D: Microbial Pathogens in the Environment: Assessment of Public Health Risks

T2-E: Big Data Application: Patterns & Effects

10:3

0 A

M-

Noo

n


5:00-6:00 PM T5-C Symposium: Risk Analysis: Past, Present and Future, Key Ballroom #36:00-7:30 PM Specialty Group Mixers **New this year - The National Capitol Area Chapter Mixer - see page 4 for details**

15

Tuesday 10 December 2013

7:30-8:15 AM Networking Breakfast - Key Ballroom #12

Key Ballroom #6T1-F Symposium: Coping with Emerging Threats I: New Approaches

Peale A&BT1-G Symposium: Social Aspects of Climate Change Governance

Johnson AT1-H: Advances in Risk Modeling for Security and Defense

LatrobeT1-I: Networked Infra-structure with Applications to Transportation and Energy

T3-F Symposium: Modernizing the Tools & Approaches to Improve Data Availability & Transparency

T3-G: Information Processing in Risk Communication: A Round-table Discussion

T3-H Symposium: Total Risk Associated with Chemicals and Materials in the Department of Defense

T3-I: Simulation Techniques and Applications to Explore Uncertainty and Risk

T4-F: Regulation, Risk & Transparency in the Pharmaceutical Sector

T4-G: Risk Information Seeking & Processing Behavior

T4-H Symposium: Validating Models of Adver-sary Behavior

T4-I: Risks of Nuclear Power Generation

RuthT1-J Symposium: New and Improved Regulatory Impact Analysis

T4-J Symposium: Tighten-ing the Connection Between Risk Assessment, Decisions and Outcomes

Johnson BT1-K: Tools for Assessing & Managing Risk

T3-J Symposium: Does Regulation Kill Jobs? Authors of a New Book Discuss the Evidence and Policy Responses

T4-K Symposium: Risks in Social & Cultural Perspective: In Memory of Gene Rosa

T2-F Symposium: Coping with Emerging Threats II: New Approaches

T2-G: Temporal Issues in Risk Communication

T2-H Symposium: Risk and Strategic Decision Making in the Pentagon

T2-I: Multi-Criteria Decision Making for Infrastructure Management and Investment

T2-J: Updates in Ecological Risk Assessment Models

8:30

-10:

00

AM

1:30

-3:

00 P

M3:

30-

5:00

PM

10:3

0 A

M-

Noo

n


Noon-1:30 PM SRA Awards Luncheon and Business Meeting - Key Ballroom 7-12 Includes all SRA Awards, and the 5 Best Poster Award Winners from Monday’s Poster Reception. (Included in Registration Fee)


5:00-6:00 PM T5-C Symposium: Risk Analysis: Past, Present and Future, Key Ballroom #36:00-7:30 PM Specialty Group Mixers **New this year - The National Capitol Area Chapter Mixer - see page 4 for details**

T2-K: Assessing Risks & Chemical Regulation

16

Wednesday 11 December 2013

8:30-10:00 AM Morning Plenary, “Exploring Risk, Ethics, and Decision Making: Three Cases” - Key Ballroom #7-12 Speakers Include: Sheri Fink, Raina McIntyre, Joanne Travaglia, Andreas Klinke, Sally Kane


Key Ballroom #1W2-A: Improving Risk Analysis & Information Quality

Key Ballroom #2W2-B Symposium: Evaluating Causality in Epidemiological Studies

Key Ballroom #3W2-C: Emerging Risk Assessment Challenges & Opportunities for the Developing Countries, Part I

Key Ballroom #4W2-D Symposium: Multi-Criteria Analysis of Foodborne Zoonotic Disease Risks - International Per-spectives

Key Ballroom #5W2-E: Ground & Drinking Waters: New Methods, New Analysis

W4-A Symposium: Characterizing Causality for Policy Decisions

1:30

-3:

00 P

M

W4-B: Integration of the Science Necessary for Assessing Potential Carcinogenicity of Formaldehyde, Part II

W4-C: Risk Analysis Uncertainty & Decision-Making

W4-D Symp: Strategic Research Planning for Multiwalled Carbon Nanotubes (MWCNTs): Moving Towards RA that Inform Future MWCNT Risk Mgmt Decisions

W4-E Symposium: Occupational Exposure Assessment: Risk Characterization and Risk Communication


3:30

-5:

00 P

M

W3-A Symposium: Risk Assessment, Policy Learning & Economic Opportunities in Safer Chemical Decision-Making

W3-B Symposium: Integration of the Science Necessary for Assessing Potential Carcinogenicity of Formaldehyde, Part I

W3-C Symposium: Emerging Risk Assessment Challenges & Opportu-nities for the Developing Countries, Part II

W3-D: New Attributory Prioritiza-tion of Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment Methods

W3-E: Bioavailability & Biomonitoring

10:3

0 A

M-

Noo

n

Noon-1:30 PM Plenary Luncheon, “Risk and Opportunity: Managing Risk for Development” - Key Ballroom #7-12 Key Ballroom. Featuring: Norman Loayza, The World Bank, Director, World Development Report 2014

5:00-5:30 PM T-Shirt Giveaway - Registration Area, East Foyer Stay and receive a free T-Shirt!

17

Wednesday 11 December 2013

8:30-10:00 AM Morning Plenary, “Exploring Risk, Ethics, and Decision Making: Three Cases” - Key Ballroom #7-12 Speakers Include: Sheri Fink, Raina McIntyre, Joanne Travaglia, Andreas Klinke, Sally Kane


Key Ballroom #6W2-F Symposium: What’s New in Agency Peer Review: Best Practices Supporting Risk Assessment

Peale A&BW2-G Panel Discussion: Effective Risk Communica-tion

Johnson AW2-H: Improving Risk Models for Security and Defense

LatrobeW2-I Roundtable: Could, and Should, SRA do more to promote the Creation and Use of Living Risk Assessments?

W4-F Symposium: Global Risk Governance

W4-G Symposium: The Naphthalene Research Program: from Problem Formulation to Risk Assessment

W4-H: Presenting Uncertainty to Inform Decision-Making

RuthW2-J: Decision Frameworks for Invasive Species and Water Quality

Johnson BW2-K: Building More Resilient Infrastructure

W4-J Symposium: Evaluating the Risk Reduction Outcomes of Regulation

W3-F Symposium: Global Catastrophic Risk

W3-H: All Hazards Modeling W3-I: Integrating Human Factors into Engineering Risks

W3-J Symposium: Improving Maritime Risk Estimates Supporting Federal Regulatory and Policy Decisions

W3-K Symposium: Foundational Issues in Risk Analysis, Part III


Noon-1:30 PM Plenary Luncheon, “Risk and Opportunity: Managing Risk for Development” - Key Ballroom #7-12 Key Ballroom. Featuring: Norman Loayza, The World Bank, Director, World Development Report 2014

1:30

-3:

00 P

M3:

30-

5:00

PM

10:3

0 A

M-

Noo

n

5:00-5:30 PM T-Shirt Giveaway - Registration Area, East Foyer Stay and receive a free T-Shirt!

18

Monday

10:30 AM- NoonKey Ballroom #1

M2-A Symposium: Cross-Disciplinary Methods for Research Synthesis, Part I

Chair: Lisa Robinson10:30 am M2-A.1Hypothesis-based weight of evidence: an approach to assessing causation and its application to regulatory toxicologyRhomberg LR, Bailey EAGradient

10:50 am M2-A.2 Metals, mixtures, pathways: systematic review to support risk assessmentvon Stackelberg K, Guzy E, Claus-Henn BHarvard School of Public Health

11:10 am M2-A.3Adapting expert elicitation methods for global study of foodborne diseaseHoffmann SA, Hald T, Cooke R, Aspinall W, Havelaar AUSDA Economic Research Service, Techni-cal University of Denmark, Resources for the Future, University of Bristol University, Utrecht

11:30 am M2-A.4A novel approach to attributing illness to food using consumption data and expert elicitationJessup A, Sertkaya A, Morgan KDepartment of Health and Human Ser-vices/OASPE


M2-B Symposium: Integrating Diverse Streams of Evidence for Chemical Assessments: Getting from Association to Causation,

Part IChair: Kimberly Wise

10:30 am M2-B.1Evolution of weight of evidence as-sessment in mode of action analysisMeek MEUniversity of Ottawa

10:50 am M2-B.2Judging the quality of evidence for REACHLewis RJ, Money C, Boogaard PJExxonMobil Biomedical Sciences, Inc.

11:10 am M2-B.3On the utility of criteria-based meth-ods of causal inferenceWeed DLDLW Consulting Services, LLC

11:30 am M2-B.4Integrating evidence: the importance of exposure and framing the questionShirley SH, Grant RL, Honeycutt MTexas Commission on Environmental Quality


M2-C Individual and Societal Risks and Morality

Chair: Frauke Hoss10:30 am M2-C.1Moral aspects in the perception of so-cietal risksBassarak C, Pfister HR, Böhm GLeuphana University Lueneburg; University Bergen

10:50 am M2-C.2What do government and non-profit stakeholders want to know about nu-clear fuel cycle? A semantic network analysis approachLi N, Brossard D*, Scheufele DA University of Wisconsin-Madison

11:10 am M2-C.3Involuntary personal, individual and societal risk in relation to risk control policiesHartford W, Hartford DHartfit Division of Nutritional Health Education

11:30 am M2-C.4What guides spending on risk mitiga-tion: perceptions or statistics?Hoss F, Vaishnav PCarnegie Mellon University


M2-D Modeling for Chemical Risk Assessment

(PBPK, Cumulative)Chair: Audrey Turley

10:30 am M2-D.1A harmonized PBPK model of hexavalent chromium in rats and mice Sasso AF, Schlosser PMUS Environmental Protection Agency

10:50 am M2-D.2Multiscale mechanistic modeling of the respiratory toxicodynamics of en-gineered nanoparticlesMukherjee D, Botelho D, Sarkar S, Gow AJ, Schwander SS, Chung KF, Tetley TT, Zhang J, Georgopoulos PGChemical Engineering, Rutgers University

11:10 am M2-D.3Development of a PBPK model for ETBE and TBA in rats and its applica-tion to discern relative contributions to liver and kidney effectsBrinkerhoff CJ, Salazar KD, Lee JS, Chiu WAOak Ridge Institute for Science & Educa-tion, ORD/NCEA-IRIS, US EPA, Washington DC, US EPA, Research Tri-angle Park, NC

11:30 am M2-D.4Considering buffers in cumulative risk assessmentsEvans AM, Rice GE, Teuschler LK, Wright JMOak Ridge Institute of Science and Educa-tion, US Environmental Protection Agency

10:30 AM- 12:10 PMKey Ballroom #5

M2-E Symposium: World Cafe, Literally: Global Burden

of Disease Caused by Foodborne Toxins

Chair: Felicia Wu10:30 am M2-E.1Foodborne epidemiology reference group: chemical and toxins task forceGibb HJTetra Tech Sciences

10:50 am M2-E.2Lead: global burden of diseaseCarrington CUS Food and Drug Administration

11:10 am M2-E.3Cadmium: parameters for the estima-tion of global burden of diseaseZang Y, Carrington CDUS FDA-CFSAN

11:30 am M2-E.4Aflatoxin and cyanide: global burden of diseaseWu F, Liu YMichigan State University

11:50 am M2-E.5Peanut allergen: global burden of dis-easeBolger PM, Ezendam JExponent, Washington DC, National Insti-tute for Public Health and the Environment, The Netherlands

Technical ProgramPresenter’s name is asterisked (*) if other than first author.

Don’t forget to attend the Specialty Group Meeting of your choice12:05 - 1:30 pm (see page 4 for details)

after picking up your box lunch at the SRA Registration Desk

19

Monday

10:30 AM- NoonJohnson A&B

M2-H Bioterrorism Application

Chair: Steve Bennett10:30 am M2-H.1A second look at bioterrorism scenar-ios for the Bioterrorism Risk Assess-ment (BTRA)Middleton JK, Stoeckel DM, Nilsen M, Winkel D, Anderson D, Pals TBattelle, Department of Homeland Security, Science and Technology Directorate

10:50 am M2-H.2Indicators and warnings for biologi-cal events: enhanced biosurveillance through the fusion of pre-hospital dataBennett SP, Waters JF, Howard K, Baker H, McGinn TJ, Wong DYUS Department of Homeland Security

11:10 am M2-H.3Adversarial risk analysis with incom-plete information: a level-k approachRothschild C, McLay LA*, Guikema SDUniversity of Wisconsin-Madison


M2-F Global Scale Risks: Models & Processes of Risk

AnalysisCo-Chairs: Mark Stillman,

Gregory Kiker10:30 am M2-F.2An integration of multiple paradigms for integrated assessment of climate policyGerst MD, Wang P, Ding P, Borsuk ME*Dartmouth College

10:50 am M2-F.3Florida, sea level rise and decision analysis: choosing between the devil and the deep blue seaKiker GA, Linhoss A, Munoz-Carpena R, Frank K, Fischer R, Linkov IUniversity of Florida, Mississippi State Uni-versity, US Army Corps of Engineers

11:10 am M2-F.4Project fox: taming asteroid risksReinhardt JC, Chen X, Liu W, Manchev P, Paté-Cornell MEStanford University

11:30 am M2-F.5Risk-based need assessments to en-hance enterprise program manage-ment officesStillman MConsultant

10:30 AM- NoonPeale A&B

M2-G Public Understanding of New Technology

Co-Chairs: Cindy Jardine, Dominic Way10:30 am M2-G.1Recycled water and risk communica-tion: how citizens evaluate new tech-nologies for municipal water systemsBinder AR, Zechman EMNorth Carolina State University

10:50 am M2-G.2Informing science teachers’ knowl-edge and preferences of low-carbon electricity technologies through a con-tinuing education workshopFleishman LA, Bruine de Bruin W, Mor-gan MGCarnegie Mellon University

11:10 am M2-G.3Fractured discourse: social representa-tions of shale gas development in the USA and CanadaEvensen DT, Stedman RCCornell University

11:30 am M2-G.4Transition, trauma, and information: immigrant women’s relationship with immunization risk communicationKowal SP, Jardine CG, Bubela TMUniversity of Alberta

10:30 AM- NoonLatrobe

M2-I Symposium: Advances in Risk Models for

Infrastructure Management and InvestmentChair: Shital Thekdi

10:30 am M2-I.1Building an integrated assessment methodology for national infrastruc-ture risk assessment due to climate hazardsPant R, Thacker S, Hall JW, Barr S, Al-derson DUniversity of Oxford, Newcastle University

10:50 am M2-I.2Developing a multi-phase, iterative and collaborative decision coordina-tion process for transportation infra-structure managementAndrijcic E, Haimes YYRose-Hulman Institute of Technology, Uni-versity of Virginia

11:10 am M2-I.3An iterative value of information ap-proach using scenario-based prefer-ences for risk analysis of infrastructure systemsHamilton MC, Lambert JHUniversity of Virginia

11:30 am M2-I.4Robust supply chain investments for disaster preparedness and community resilience: an application to Rio de Ja-neiro, BrazilConnelly EB, Lambert JH, Thekdi SAUniversity of Virginia, University of Rich-mond

10:30 AM- NoonRuth

M2-J Sustainability and Ecosystems

Chair: Wayne Landis10:30 am M2-J.1Health, risk, and sustainability: a tax-onomy of relationshipsGuidotti TLMedical Advisory Services

10:50 am M2-J.2Value of information models and data collection in conservation biologyColyvan MUniversity of Sydney

11:10 am M2-J.3Ecological risk and hydraulic fractur-ing: perception, assessment, and realityJones SM, Smith DWConestoga-Rovers & Associates

Technical ProgramPresenter’s name is asterisked (*) if other than first author.

20

Monday 1:30 PM - 3:00 PM

Key Ballroom #1M3-A Poster Platform:

Applications in the Expanding Field of Risk

ManagementChair: Steve Ackerlund

M3-A.1 Applying terrorism risk management concepts to enhance ISO 31000 risk managementLathrop JFInnovative Decisions, Inc.

M3-A.2 Cyber-security risk manage-mentPanjwani STHANE Inc

M3-A.3 An overview of applications of risk management principles in food safety and nutritionMojduszka EMUSDA/OCE/ORACBA

M3-A.5 EPA promotes risk based asset management as deployed in Springfield, MassachusettsSchimmel JD, Lovely RKSpringfield Water and Sewer, Kleinfelder

M3-A.7 Analyzing and managing risks in research labs: how it is done (also presented during Poster Session)Pluess DN, Groso A, Meyer TSwiss Federal Institute of Technology Lau-sanne

1:30 PM - 3:00 PMKey Ballroom #2

M3-B Integrating Diverse Streams of Evidence for Chemical Assessments:

Getting from Association to Causation, Part II

Chair: Kimberly Wise1:30 pm M3-B.1Bradford Hill viewpoints and hypoth-esis-based weight of evidenceGoodman JE, Rhomberg LRGradient

1:50 pm M3-B.2Integration three ways: classical versus mode of action approaches to weight of evidence determinationsBorgert CJApplied Pharmacology and Toxicology

2:10 pm M3-B.3The EPA causality framework for assessment of air pollution-related health effectsRoss MA, Owens BO, Vandenberg JMUS Environmental Protection Agency

2:30 pm M3-B.4Discussion: pulling the pieces togetherBeck NBAmerican Chemistry Council


M3-C Symposium: Foundational Issues in Risk

Analysis, Part ICo-Chairs: Terje Aven, Tony Cox

1:30 pm M3-C.1Foundational issues in risk assessment and managementAven T, Zio EUniversity of Stavanger, Norway

1:50 pm M3-C.2Adapting risk management to reduce regretCox TCox Associates and University of Colorado

2:10 pm M3-C.3Is risk analysis predictive? Prediction, validation, and the purpose(s) of risk analysisGuikema SDJohns Hopkins University

2:30 pm M3-C.4What military strategy can teach us about risk-management and uncer-taintyBen-Haim YTechnion


M3-D Improving Quantitative Risk

Assessment: New StrategiesChair: Aamir Fazil

1:30 pm M3-D.1The influence of dosing schedule on rabbit responses to aerosols of Bacil-lus anthracisBartrand TA, Marks HM, Coleman ME, Donahue D, Hines SA, Comer JE, Taft SCTetra Tech

1:50 pm M3-D.2Risk-based sampling: I don’t want to weight in vainPowell MRUS Department of Agriculture

2:10 pm M3-D.3Specifying input distributions: no method solves all problemsO’Rawe J, Ferson S*, Sugeno M, Shoemaker K, Balch M, Goode JApplied Biomathematics

2:30 pm M3-D.4Mixing good data with badShoemaker K, Siegrist J, Ferson SStony Brook University, Applied Biomath-ematics


M3-E Fine Particulates: New Measurements and Questions

AnsweredChair: Christopher Frey

1:30 pm M3-E.1Comparison of predicted exposures versus ambient fine particulate matter concentrationsJiao W, Frey HCNorth Carolina State University

1:50 pm M3-E.2Measurement and comparison of PM2.5 and CO microenvironmental exposure concentrations for selected transportation modesJiao W, Frey HC*North Carolina State University

2:10 pm M3-E.3Sensitivity of estimated children PM2.5 exposure to activity patterns, and geographic and seasonal variations Che WW, Frey HC, Lau AKHThe Hong Kong University of Science & Technology, North Carolina State University

2:30 pm M3-E.4Mortality risk from personal exposure to PM2,5 and UFP in different trans-portation modes: travel by bus, drive a car, take the metro or ride a bicycle? Aguila IE, Jimenez RB*, Ruiz PUniversidad Andres Bello

Monday Sessions Sponsored by Specialty GroupsM2-A EBASGM2-B DRSGM2-C DASGM2-H SDSGM2-I EISGM3-B DRSGM3-C DASGM3-D MRASG

M4-F RCSGM4-H SDSGM4-I EISG, RDSGM4-J EBASG, Society for Benefit-Cost Analysis

M3-E EASGM3-F RPLSGM3-G RCSGM3-I EISGM3-J EBASGM4-A DRSGM4-B DRSGM4-E EASG

21


Key Ballroom #6M3-F Risk & Environmental

GovernanceChair: Frederic Bouder

1:30 pm M3-F.1Risk analysis for better policies - en-vironmental risk governance for the green economyPollard SJT, Mauelshagen C, Prpich G, Lickorish F, Delgado JC, Jude SCranfield University

1:50 pm M3-F.2Co-evolution of beliefs and networks in environmental risk policy: an advo-cacy coalition framework approachHenry AD, Dietz T*University of Arizona

2:10 pm M3-F.3New conceptual considerations on dynamic governance handling risks in public policyKlinke A, Renn OMemorial University of Newfoundland, University of Stuttgart

2:30 pm M3-F.4Mapping the municipal risk informa-tion flow: a study based on the prac-tice of risk and vulnerability analysis in Lund, SwedenLin LLund University

1:30 PM - 3:00 PMPeale A&B

M3-G Symposium: Risk Perception & Responses to

Weather HazardsChair: Julie Demuth

1:30 pm M3-G.1Examining the role of personal expe-rience on weather risk perceptions and responsesDemuth JLNCAR and CSU

1:50 pm M3-G.2Understanding public responses to hurricane risk messagesMorss RE, Demuth JL, Lazo JK, Dickin-son K, Lazrus H, Morrow BHNational Center for Atmospheric Research

2:10 pm M3-G.3Modeling hurricane preparedness and evacuation intentionTrumbo CW, Peek L, Meyer MA, Marlatt H, McNoldy B, Gruntfest E, Schubert WColorado State University, University of Miami, University of Colorado, Colorado Springs

2:30 pm M3-G.4“Every single summer”: mental mod-els of hurricane risks, forecasts and warnings in MiamiBostrom A, Morss RE, Lazo JK, Demuth JL, Lazrus HUniversity of Washington

1:30 PM - 3:00 PMJohnson A&B

M3-H Roundtable: Risk in Changed Circumstances:

Views of the News EditorsChair: Steve Gibb

This session will focus on how risk assessment issues – whether emerg-ing or long-standing concerns – are covered and communicated by key environmental news publications. A panel of science policy journalists will discuss trends in their coverage, whether risk assessment as a focus is being marginalized by other environ-mental concerns such as sustainability, and their view of the future evolution of risk approaches in light of recent National Academies’ reports on har-monizing cancer and non-cancer ap-proaches, the initiation of new EPA Cumulative Risk Assessment Guide-lines, and emerging toxicity testing technologies. The editors will reflect on the challenges of covering conten-tious issues such as Bisphenol A (BPA) and climate change, how agency press policies may be changing their access to scientists and their ability to gather information, and how recent budget cuts are affecting federal risk assess-ment efforts. Each editor will present for 10 minutes and a moderated ques-tion and answer session will follow.

Science -- Erik Stokstad M.S. – Staff writer joined Science magazine in 1997. He covers environmental re-search and policy with a focus on natu-ral resources and sustainability.

Risk Policy Report – Maria Hegs-tad M.S.J. – Managing Editor joined the publication in 2008 and manages all aspects of coverage including re-

searching, writing and editing stories, covering SRA conferences, and writ-ing for the InsideEPA.com website.

Chemical and Engineering News – Cheryl Hogue M.S. – Senior Correspon-dent, focuses on articles and social media regarding EPA regulation of chemicals and research, international climate change policy, and federal reg-ulatory policies.

1:30 PM - 3:00 PMLatrobe

M3-I Symposium: Risks of Transportation Disruptions

and Transporting Dangerous Goods

Chair: Cameron MacKenzie1:30 pm M3-I.1A case study in estimating mitigated risk for safety regulators: hazardous materials transportationLocke MSPipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration

1:50 pm M3-I.2Alternative strategies to Positive Train Control (PTC) for reducing hazardous materials transportation riskLiu X, Saat MR*, Barkan CPLUniversity of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

2:10 pm M3-I.3Using PortSec for policy-making and risk-benefit balancingOrosz M, Salazar D, Chatterjee S, Wei D, Zhao YUniversity of Southern California

2:30 pm M3-I.4Modeling resilience stochastic metrics with bayesian kernel methods: applica-tion to inland waterway networksBaroud H, Barker KUniversity of Oklahoma

1:30 PM - 3:00 PMRuth

M3-J Symposium: Risk, Costs & Benefits of Low Carbon

Energy TechnologiesChair: Danya McLamb

1:30 pm M3-J.1The risk of increased GHG emissions from hydropower development in the Brazilian AmazonFaria F, Jaramillo P*Carnegie Mellon University

1:50 pm M3-J.2Large-scale biomass feedstocks: a potentially intermittent renewable re-source with economic risk for biofuel producersMorrow WR, Gopal ALawerence Berkeley National Laboratory

2:10 pm M3-J.3Evaluating proliferation resistance of small modular nuclear reactorsGilmore EA, Hendrickson PUniversity of Maryland

2:30 pm M3-J.4Electricity and development: a risk based analysis of grid extension and distributed energy resources.Murphy PMGeorge Washington University

22


Key Ballroom #1M4-A Symposium:

Understanding Human Health Risks from Dietary

Arsenic ExposureChair: Gail Charnley

3:30 pm M4-A.1Dietary exposure to inorganic arsenic from food in general and rice in par-ticular. Fitzpatrick S, Carrington CUS Food and Drug Administration

3:50 pm M4-A.2Metabolism and the toxicity of arsenicThomas DUS EPA

4:10 pm M4-A.3A common mode of action for arseni-cal toxicityCohen SMUniversity of Nebraska Medical Center

4:30 pm M4-A.4A risk assessment approach for inor-ganic arsenic that considers its mode of actionClewell HJ, Gentry PR, Yager JWHamner Institutes for Health Sciences, EN-VIRON International, University of New Mexico

4:50 pm M4-A.5Noncancer risk assessment of epide-miological studies of arsenic and car-diovascular diseasePerez V, Garry MR, Alexander DD, Tsuji JSExponent


M4-B Symposium: A New Look at the Toxicity of Bisphenol A and Public

HealthCo-Chairs: Sara Henry, Rita Schoeny

3:30 pm M4-B.1Regulation and science of BPAAungst JLUS Food and Drug Administration

3:50 pm M4-B.2Human health risks related to the pres-ence of BPA in foodstuffs: the assess-ment of the European Food Safety Authority (EFSA)Castoldi AF, Husøy T, Leclercq C, Theo-bald A, Pratt IEFSA, Italy, Norwegian Scientific Com-mittee for Food Safety, Norway, Council for Research and experimentation in Agriculture, Italy

4:10 pm M4-B.3Challenges and approaches for evi-dence integration regarding endocrine disruption, exemplified by the case of bisphenol ARhomberg LRGradient

4:30 pm M4-B.4BPA by the numbers: how the media framed riskButterworth TGeorge Mason University

4:50 pm M4-B.5A new look at the toxicity of bisphe-nol A and public health policy makingHenry SH, Aungst J, Castoldi AF, Rhom-berg L, Butterworth T, Fitzpatrick JRetired FDA, US FDA, European Food Safety Authority, Gradient Corp, Science journalist/investigative reporter,

5:10 pm M4-B.6Panel discussion for a new look at the toxicity of bisphenol A and public health policyHenry SH, Aungst J, Castoldi AF, Rhom-berg L, Butterworth JRetired FDA, US FDA, European Food Safety Authority, Gradient Corp, Science journalist/investigative reporter


M4-C Symposium: Foundational Issues in Risk

Analysis, Part IICo-Chairs: Elisabeth Pate-Cornell,

Roger Flage3:30 pm M4-C.1Concerns, challenges and directions of development for the issue of repre-senting uncertainty in risk assessmentFlage R, Aven T, Zio E, Baraldi PUniversity

3:50 pm M4-C.2On black swans and perfect stormsPate-Cornell MEStanford University

4:10 pm M4-C.3How often should safety critical valves be tested?Abrahamsen EB, Asche F, Gelyani A*, Guikema SUniversity of Stavanger, Norway, Johns Hopkins University

4:30 pm M4-C.4What are the effects on safety of us-ing safety standards in major hazard industries?Abrahamsen EB, Asche F, Milazzo MFUniversity of Messina


M4-D Symposium: Expecting the Unexpected: Risk Informed Policies &

Procedures to Predict, Detect & Control Emerging Food

Safety RiskChair: Karin Hoelzer

3:30 pm M4-D.1Risk communication: preparing for the unexpectedDeWaal CSCenter for Science in the Public Interest

3:50 pm M4-D.2Produce industry perspective: predict-ing the unpredictableGombas DUnited Fresh

4:10 pm M4-D.3Application of quantitative microbial risk assessments to address critical and emerging food safety issues Pradhan AKUniversity of Maryland, College Park

4:30 pm M4-D.4Using geospatial risk assessment to forecast produce contamination po-tentialOryang D, Fanaselle F, Anyamba A, Small JFood and Drug Administration, Center for Food Safety and Applied Nutrition, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center

4:50 pm M4-D.5Listeria monocytogenes and produce - a previously discounted public health riskHoelzer K, Pouillot RFDA, Center for Food Safety and Applied Nutrition


M4-E Fuel, Asbestos, Dust, Spores & DeathChair: Shawn Sager

3:30 pm M4-E.1Specific Consumer Exposure Deter-minants (SCEDs) for fuel and lubri-cant scenariosZaleski RT, Qian H, Money CM, Rohde AExxonMobil Biomedical Sciences Inc., CONCAWE

3:50 pm M4-E.2Cumulative exposures to asbestos fi-bers from dropped ceiling installation and maintenanceBoelter FW, Xia Y, Persky JDENVIRON International

4:10 pm M4-E.3Evaluation of a simple steady-state model: estimating resuspended par-ticles in indoor airNemickas H, Sager S*, Navon D, Hub-bard TARCADIS

4:30 pm M4-E.4A risk model for inhaled toxins and spores associated with Stachybotrys chartarumPrasad B, Sungar N, Lennon EDrexel University

23


Key Ballroom #6M4-F Symposium: Panel

Discussion: Communicating Risk Uncertainty: What Have We Learned and Where Are

We Going?Chair: Cindy Jardine

3:30 PM M4-F.1Strategies to engage knowledge users in understanding best practices for communicating about risk character-ized by uncertaintyDriedger SM, Jardine CGUniversity of Manitoba

3:50 PM M4-F.2Communicating environmental health risk uncertainty: a systematic review of the literatureJardine CG, Driedger SMUniversity of Alberta


M4-G Public Response to Natural and Technological

DisastersCo-Chairs: Andrew Binder, Ann Bostrom

3:30 pm M4-G.2Risky business: engaging the public in policy discourse on sea-level rise and inundationAkerlof K, Rowan KE, La Porte T, Ernst H, Nataf D, Batten B, Rajasekar M, Dolan DGeorge Mason University, US Naval Acad-emy, Center for the Study of Local Issues, Anne Arundel Community College

3:50 pm M4-G.3Do I stay or do I go? Risk attitudes and evacuation decisions during a wildfire eventWilson RS, McCaffrey SThe Ohio State University, USDA Forest Service

4:10 pm M4-G.4A comparison of spontaneous asso-ciations with nuclear power underly-ing its acceptance before and after the Fukushima disaster, and of asso-ciations with nuclear and solar energy resourcesKeller C, Sütterlin B, Siegrist METH Zurich

4:30 pm M4-G.5A longitudinal study of risk percep-tion: the case of ChileZacharias CA, Bronfman NC, Cifuentes LA, Jimenez RBPontificia Universidad Catolica De Chile

4:50 pm M4-G.6Risk-informed decision framework for built-environment: the role of am-biguityCha EJ, Wang YGeorgia Tech

3:30 PM - 5:10 PMJohnson A&B

M4-H Informing Policy with Risk Perception and

ManagementChair: Heather Rosoff

3:30 pm M4-H.1Structuring public private partnerships to encourage near-miss reportingDillon-Merrill RL, Tinsley CHGeorgetown University

3:50 pm M4-H.2Public response to the terrorist attacks on BostonBurns WJ, Slovic P, Sellnow T, Rosoff H, John RDecision Research, University of Kentucky

4:10 pm M4-H.3Public perceptions and trade-offs re-lated to randomized security schedulesJohn RS, Scurich NUniversity of Southern California, Univer-sity of California, Irivine

4:30 pm M4-H.4To transaction online or to not trans-action online: dilemmas involving pri-vacy, security and identify theftRosoff H, John R, Cui TUniversity of Southern California

4:50 pm M4-H.5DHS’ Risk-Informed Quadrennial Homeland Security Review (QHSR)Hawkins NL, Elkins DA, Janca A, Si-mons J, Montezemolo M, Piper J, Lesely T, Cox P, Susel I, Brzymialkiewicz CDepartment of Homeland Security


M4-I Risk and Rewards of Natural Resources and

Natural DisastersChair: Royce Francis

3:30 pm M4-I.1Confronting risks and benefits of en-ergy system improvements in develop-ing communities: the case of Canada’s Northwest TerritoriesKenney L, Arvai JUniversity of Calgary

3:50 pm M4-I.2Estimating the probability of extreme low-wind periods in the central United StatesRose SM, Handschy MA, Apt JCarnegie Mellon University, Enduring En-ergy LLC

4:10 pm M4-I.3An assessment of the risks of building collapse for the City of Nairobi based on an investigation into East Africa’s construction quality control processes. Figueroa RH, Morgan MG, Fischbeck PSCarnegie Mellon University

4:30 pm M4-I.4Forensic disaster investigations (FO-RIN), a new approach to learn lessons from disasters: a case study of the 2001 Algiers (Algeria) flood and debris flowBenouar D, Rovins JUniversity of Science and Technology Houari Boumediene (USTHB)

4:50 pm M4-I.5Bayesian multiscale modeling of spa-tial infrastructure performance predic-tionsReilly AC, Guikema SDJohns Hopkins University

3:30 PM - 5:10 PMRuth

M4-J Symposium: Who Benefits? Measuring the

Distribution of Risk Policy Impacts

Chair: Jonathan Levy3:30 pm M4-J.1Barriers to assessing the distribution of regulatory impactsRobinson LA, Hammitt JK, Zeckhauser R, Linhart MHarvard University

3:50 pm M4-J.2Ranking distributions of environmen-tal outcomes across population groupsSheriff G, Maguire K*US Environmental Protection Agency

4:10 pm M4-J.3Characterizing the distribution of re-cent and projected air pollution risk among vulnerable and susceptible in-dividualsFann NF, Fulcher CM, Baker KR, Roman HA*, Gentile MAUS Environmental Protection Agency, In-dustrial Economics Incorporated

4:30 pm M4-J.4Distributive weights: a defenseAdler MDDuke University

4:50 pm M4-J.5Using inequality measures to incorpo-rate environmental justice into regula-tory analyses at the US Environmental Protection AgencyHarper S, Ruder E*, Roman HA, Geggel A, Nweke O, Payne-Sturges D, Levy JIIndustrial Economics, Incorporated

24

Monday 6:00 - 8:00 PM

Key Ballroom #7-12Poster Session

Caring for ConsumersP.1 Approach for developing Spe-cific Consumer Exposure Determi-nants (SCEDs) for fuel and lubricant scenariosQian H, Zaleski R, Money CExxonMobil Biomedical Sciences, Inc.

P.2 Developing Specific Consumer Exposure Determinants (SCEDs) for assessing risk from chemicals used in consumer productsMoney C, Corea N, Rodriguez C, Ingram J, Zaleski RT (Presented by Lewis J*)ExxonMobil, SC Johnson, Procter and Gamble, Unilever

Decision Analysis & RiskP.3 Mercury at Oak Ridge: out-comes from risk evaluations can differ depending upon objectives and meth-odologiesBurger J, Gochfeld M, Powers CW, Kosson D, Clarke J, Brown KRutgers University, Consortium for Risk Evaluation with Stakeholder Participation, Vanderbilt University

P.4 Food safety? A supply chain matter: probabilistic risk model based on the agro-food trade networkConvertino MC, Liang SLUniversity of Minnesota, Emerging Patho-gens Institute at the University of Florida

P.6 Spatial analysis of risk percep-tion. The case of Nuclear Power PlantDumitrescu A, Lemyre L, Pincent CUniversity of Ottawa

P.7 Risk perception in Libya: an overview Elmontsri MEHigher Institute of Occupational Safety and Health

P.8 Using quantitative bias analysis to characterize the uncertainty of in-puts based on epidemiological dataForshee RA, Lu Y, Izurieta H, Egger J, Cooney D, Lash T, Fox M, Brown JUS Food and Drug Administration, SciMetrika LLC, Emory University, Bos-ton University, Harvard Pilgrim,

P.9 Analyzing the effects of unin-tended uses of commodities on phy-tosanitary risk: the example of US po-tato exports to MexicoFowler G, Erikson L, Ahern R, Caton B, Gutierrez W, Griffin RUnited States Department of Agriculture

P.10 Interim action values for man-agement of contaminants in soils for protection of human health risksGilmore J, Martinez C, Pagliarulo MOntario Ministry of Environment

P.11 Toxidromes - a decision-mak-ing tool for early response to chemical mass exposure incidentsKirk M, Hakkinen P, Ignacio J, Kroner O, Maier A, Patterson JUniversity of Virginia

P.12 Risk analysis for networks with cooperative gamesMohri H, Takeshita JWaseda University, National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology

P.13 Development of practical risk evaluation method with the example of traffic relevant environmental mea-sures Tokai A, Nakazawa K, Nakakubo T, Yamaguchi H, Kojima N, Sakagami M, Higuchi Y, Nagata Y, Ishimaru TOsaka University

P.14 Air pollution in Salvador, BA, Brazil: an experience of risk analysisVianna NA, Saldiva PHNUniversity of Sao Paulo

P.15 Practice makes perfect: lessons and outcomes based on mode of ac-tion/human relevance framework ap-plication to case studiesWillis AM, Maier A, Reichard J, Haber L, Patterson JToxicology Excellence for Risk Assessment (TERA)

P.16 Weight-of-evidence evaluation of short-term ozone exposure and cardiovascular effectsSax S, Prueitt R, Goodman JGradient

P.18 A Bayesian Belief Network (BBN) for modeling risk of adverse events due to the particulate matter in injectablesKazemi R, Rahaman F, Urban JUS FDA

Dose ResponseP.19 Determining a concentration-response relationship suitable for esti-mating adult benefits of reduced lead exposureBrown LPM, Lynch MK, Post ES, Belova AAbt Associates, Inc.

P.20 Assessing the impact of human metabolic variability on the health risks of occupational and environmental exposures to chloroformDeveau M, Krewski D, Nong AUniversity of Ottawa, Health Canada

P.21 Ambient air pollution and aller-gic disease among childrenFan KC, Ho WC, Lin MH, Caffrey JL, Wu TT, Pan SC, Chen PC, Wu TN, Sung FC, Lin RSChina Medical University

P.23 Assessment of benzo(a)pyrene (a tobacco smoke toxicant) as a driver of genotoxicityFiebelkorn SA, Bishop EL, Breheny D, Cunningham FH, Dillon DM, Meredith CBritish American Tobacco, Group R&D

P.24 A decision tool for assessing polymers and polymeric substances with potential hazards to human healthGadagbui B, Maier A, Nance P, JayJock M, Franklin CToxicology Excellence for Risk Assessment

P.25 Development of chemical-spe-cific adjustment factors for long-lived chemicals: PFOS as a model chemicalHaber LT, Dourson ML, Mohapatra ATERA

P.26 Ambient air pollution and At-tention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) among childrenLin MH, Ho WC, Caffrey JL, Fan KC, Wu TT, Chen PC, Lin CC, Wu TN, Sung FC, Lin RSChina Medical University

P.27 Birth weight, household smok-ing and the risk of wheezing in adoles-cents: a retrospective cohort studyHo WC, Lin MH, Caffrey JL, Lin YS, Fan KC, Wu TT, Chen PC, Wu TN, Sung FC, Lin RS China Medical University, Taiwan

P.28 Development of practical quantifying method applicable for risk assessment of metabolic inhibition during co-exposure in workplaces by applying a PBPK model in humansIshimaru T, Yamaguchi H, Tokai A, Na-kakubo TOsaka University

P.29 The role of dietary zinc in cad-mium nephrotoxicityLin YS, Caffrey JL, Ho WC, Bayliss D, Sonawane BUS Environmental Protection Agency

P.30 Assessment of the occupational exposure limit of p-Phenylenediamine for hairdressers Lin HC, Guo YL, Wu KYInstitute of Occupational Medicine and In-dustrial Hygiene, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan

P.31 The relationship of mercury exposure, omega-3 intake, and risk of chronic kidney diseaseLin YS, Ginsberg G, Sonawane BUS EPA

P.32 Workplace Environmental Ex-posure Level (WEEL) methodology with Octamethylcyclotetrasiloxane (D4) as a case studyParker AL, Nance PM, Maier AToxicology Excellence for Risk Assessment

25

Monday P.33 Workshop on lessons learned, challenges, and opportunities: the US Endocrine Disruptor Screening Pro-gramPatterson J, Becker R, Borghoff S, Casey W, Dourson M, Fowle J, Hartung T, Holsapple M, Jones B, Juberg D, Kroner O, Lamb J, Marty S, Mihaich E, Rinckel L, Van Der Kraak G, Wade M, Willett CToxicology Excellence for Risk Assessment (TERA), American Chemistry Council, Integrated Laboratory Systems (ILS), Na-tional Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, Independent Consultant, Johns Hopkins University, Battelle, Dow Agro-Sciences, Exponent, Inc., The Dow Chemi-cal Company, ER2, University of Guelph, Health Canada, Humane Society of the United States

P.34 Air pollution patterns may modify the effect of weight gain on lung function among adolescentsWu TT, Chen LH, Ho WC, Lin MH, Pan SC, Fan KC, Chen PC, Wu TN, Sung FC, Lin RSChina Medical University

P.35 Residential and occupational exposure to wood treating operations and risk of non-hodgkin lymphoma: a meta-analysisWilliams BH, Pierce JS, Glynn ME, Johns LE, Adhikari R, Finley BLCardno ChemRisk

P.36 Residential and occupational exposure to wood treating operations and bladder cancer: a meta-analysisGlynn ME, Pierce JS, Williams B, Johns LE, Adhikari R, Finley BLCardno ChemRisk

Ecological RiskP.37 Identifying regional features of temperature variability using cluster analysis and quantile regression ap-plied to the daily surface level observa-tionsTimofeev AA, Sterin AMRIHMI-WDC

P.38 Determining detection rates of environmental DNA sampling for monitoring the risk of invasive fish speciesSong JW, Small MJCarnegie Mellon University

P.40 Long-term variability of wind regime in the atmosphere over the Arctic Agurenko AO, Khokhlova AVRIHMI-WDC

P.41 Metacommunity resilience of the Amazon Tropical Forest facing human and natural stressorsConvertino M, Munoz-Carpena R, Kiker G, Perz SUniversity of Minnesota, Emerging Patho-gens Institute at the University of Florida

P.42 Design of ecosystem monitor-ing networks by value of information optimization: experiment in the Ama-zonConvertino M, Munoz-Carpena R, Kiker G, Perz SUniversity of Minnesota, Emerging Patho-gens Institute at the University of Florida

Economic & Benefit AnalysisP.43 Can game theory predict the human behavior on safety? From the viewpoint of an economic experimentMakino R, Takeshita JAIST

P.44 Cost-effectiveness of the de-contamination activities in the evacu-ation zones due to the Fukushima nuclear accidentOka TFukui Prefectural University

P.45 Evaluating the timing of bene-fits from abatement of short and long lived climate change speciesZheng JM, Gilmore EA, Sarofim MCUniversity of Maryland

P.46 Real systematic risk for model-ing weighted prices as an asset for de-cision makingAnyika E, Weke PO, Achia TNUniversity of Nairobi

P.47 Design of institutional mecha-nisms for effective risk management: assignment of responsibility in the case of waste disposalFarber GSUS EPA

Engineering & InfrastructureP.48 Exploring the concept of trans-portation systems risksChikaraishi M, Fischbeck P, Chen MThe University of Tokyo

P.49 Recovery estimation model of thermal power plants damaged by complex hazards - case of the 2011 Tohoku-oki EarthquakeYuyama A, Kajitani YCentral Research Institute of Electric Power Industry

P.50 Constraint analysis for siting so-lar energy projectsReid R, Loftis B, Dwyer SKleinfelder, Inc.

P.51 Hydraulic fracturing failure rates – key to understanding actual risksPawlisz AVConestoga-Rovers & Associates

Give me Some Numbers! Tox and Uncertainty ValuesP.52 Provisional Advisory Level (PAL) development for superwarfa-rins (Brodifacoum and Bromidalone)Stewart D, Glass-Mattie D, Dorman D, McConnell E, Adeshina FUniversity of Tennessee, Oak Ridge Na-tional Laboratory

P.54 Probabilistic cancer risk assess-ment for Aflatoxin B 1 with Bayesian statistics markov chain Monte Carlo Simulation Liu SY, Chang CS, Chung YC, Chen CC, Wu KYNational Taiwan University

P.55 Potential impacts of uncertain-ty in the C8 Science panel exposure as-sessment for perfluorooctanoateAvanasi Narasimhan R, Shin HM, Vieira VM, Bartell SMUCI, UCD

Methods, Models & Data: PotpourriP.56 Proposing a framework of QAAR approaches for predicting the toxicity of chemical substances: a case study on predicting and extrapolating the missing NOEL valuesTakeshita J, Gamo MNational Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology (AIST)

P.57 Comparative study of risk with nursing work in Japan and ChinaMaeda Y, Marui R, Yamauchi H, Yamaki NShizuoka University

P.58 Environmental attitudes and behaviours of university students: a case of study at a Chilean universityHeyl ME, Moyano E, Cornejo F, Cifuentes LAFaculty of Enginnering, Pontifical Catholic University of Chile

P.59 DRAGON: a single risk assess-ment database to promote transpar-ency and data sharingHenning CC, Overton AJ, Marin K, Cle-land JC, Turley ATICF International

P.60 Implementing systematic review for chemicals with large databasesTurley AT, Overton AJ, Marin K, Henning CCICF International

P.61 A pragmatic way of achieving High Sustainable Organization: gov-ernance and organizational learning in action in the public French sector Merad M, Marcel F INERIS

Microbial Risk AssessmentP.62 Modeling the relationship be-tween post-vaccination hemagglutina-tion inhibition (HI) titer and protec-tion against influenzaHuang Y, Anderson S, Yang HThe US Food and Drug Administration

P.63 Risk factors identification for Toxoplasma gondii infection in meat products destined for human con-sumptionGuo M, Buchanan RL, Dubey JP, Hill D, Gamble HR, Jones J, Pradhan AKUniversity of Maryland

26

Monday P.64 Scald and food safety risks posed by unsafe water, refrigerator, and freezer temperatures in residences of Meals On Wheels recipients in 4 US statesHallman WK, Cuite CL, McWilliams RM, Senger-Mersich ARutgers, The State University of New Jersey

P.65 Biological weapons and bioter-rorism threat assessmentJyothikumar VUniversity of Virginia

P.66 Foodborne pathogens in leafy greens: data, predictive models, and quantitative risk assessments Mishra A, Lambertini E, Pradhan AKUniversity of Maryland College Park

P.67 Quantitative risk assessment for Escherichia coli O157:H7 in fresh-cut lettucePang H, Buchanan RL, Schaffner DW, Pradhan AKUniversity of Maryland, College Park, Rut-gers University

P.69 Risk Assessments for Listeria monocytogenes and Salmonella spp. in MelonsWang M, Lambertini E, Micallef SA, Pradhan AKUniversity of Maryland, College Park

Probabilistic Risk: Staff, Water and StatisticsP.70 Probabilistic risk assessment with the bayesian statistics markov chain Monte Carlo simulationWu KY, Chung YC, Chen CC, Hsiao CHNational Taiwan University

P.71 Probabilistic risk assessment of cisplatin for medical staff of medical centers in TaiwanChen YT, Chang CH, Chung YC, Chen CC, Wang GS, Wu KYNational Taiwan University

P.72 Probabilistic assessment of can-cer risk for N-Nitrosodimethylamine in drinking water by using bayesian statistics with MarKov Chain Monte Carlo simulationChang CH, Chuang YC, Chen CC, Wu KY*National Taiwan University

P.73 Assessing the health risks of di-methylformamide in an occupational settingWu CH, Huang YF, Wu KYNational Taiwan University

Risk CommunicationP.74 Atrazine effects on amphibians: is it safe to go back into the water?Smith DWConestoga-Rovers & Associates

P.75 Public risk perception towards urban air pollutionZhu KJ, Xu JHPeking University

P.76 Applying Mental Modeling Technology™ to developing the com-munications research and analytics roadmap for Census BureauKovacs DC, Thorne SL, Butte GE, Wro-blewski MJDecision Partners, United States Census Census Bureau

P.77 The constitutive role of com-munication for coordinated safety behavior in an organization managing high-hazardous processesMarynissen H, Ladkin D, Denyer D, Pil-beam CCranfield University

P.80 Irrational fears for radioactivity: qualitative and quantitative evaluationAoyagi M, Kanamori Y, Yoshida ANational Institute for Environmental Studies

P.81 Progress in new tools for partic-ipatory vulnerability analysis to climate stressorsWebler TW, Tuler SPSocial and Environmental Research Institute

P.82 Challenges associated with communicating multidimensional risk data to a diverse set of stakeholders Wilson P, Kubatko A, Hawkins B, Cox J, Gooding R, Whitmire MBattelle Memorial Institute, Department of Homeland Security Chemical Security Anal-ysis Center

P.84 Utilizing need for affect and need for cognition from a dual-pro-cessing framework: measuring envi-ronmental policy preference by experi-mental design studiesKim S-JColorado State University

P.85 Improving natural disaster risk communication strategies: characteriz-ing public trust in institutions involved in natural disaster management in ChileZacharias CA, Jimenez RB, Bronfman NCUniversidad Andres Bello

P.86 Risk communication activities of health risks by the Japan EMF in-formation centerOhkubo CJapan EMF Information Center

P.87 Kids + chemical safety: a tool for educating the public about chemi-calsNance P, Kroner O, Dourson MToxicology Excellence for Risk Assessment

P.88 Effect of information trust-worthiness on cancer risk perception after a nuclear disasterKuroda Y, Iwamitsu Y, Takemura K, Ban N, Sakura O, Sakata N, Tsubono K, Na-kagawa KThe University of Tokyo, Kitasato Univer-sity, Waseda University

P.89 Investigating “consumer aware-ness” in evaluating food safety hazards related to beef in JapanKumagai Y, Hosono H, Sekizaki TThe University of Tokyo

P.90 Effects of changing frequency of heterogeneous stimuli over time on estimation of frequencyKugihara NGraduate School of Human Sciences, Osaka University

P.91 Rethinking risk data: ITER 2.0Kroner O, Wullenweber A, Willis AMToxicology Excellence for Risk Assessment (TERA)

P.92 Managing communication in times of crisis through ambiguity: a framework for crisis communicationEller EG, Calderon AAStephenson Disaster Management Institute, Louisiana State University

P.93 Uneven recall and inaccurate risk assessments from reading bal-anced news articles of controversial risk topics: the role of exemplars and affectDixon GNCornell University

P.94 “Magical thinking” in high risk cancer families Flander LB, Keogh LA, Ugoni A, Ait Oaukrim D, Gaff C, Jenkins MAUniversity of Melbourne

P.95 Two years since Fukushima ac-cident. Do people still willing to sup-port for the affected area?Hosono H, Kumagai Y, Sekizaki TThe University of Tokyo

P.96 Burgers or tofu? Eating be-tween two worlds: risk information seeking and processing during dietary acculturationLu HMarquette University

P.97 Exploring the impact of nega-tive emotions on information seeking about radioactive food contamination in Japan after March 11, 2011Okada T, Inaba THitotsubashi University

P.98 Numeracy and beliefs about the preventability of cancerSteinhardt JS, Niederdeppe J, Lee TCornell University

P.99 Alternating hydrologic ex-tremes: risk communication and weather whiplashTrumbo CW, Peek L, Laituri MColorado State University

P.100 Risk perception of drinking water quality in a US-Mexico Border communityVictory K, Cabrera N, Larson D, Reynolds K, Latura J, Beamer PUniversity of Arizona, Mariposa Commu-nity Health Center

P.101 Natural disaster cognitive ap-praisals and disaster preparedness in immigrants and native-born in the Canadian context: a need for psycho-social considerationsYong AG, Lemyre L, Pinsent C, Krewski DUniversity of Ottawa

27

Monday P.102 Public collaboration on a 30-year commitment to assess superfund health outcomes in Butte, MontanaAckerlund WSKleinfelder

P.103 Public response to informa-tion about the risk of cancer after the nuclear disaster in FukushimaSakata N, Kuroda Y, Tsubono K, Nak-agawa KThe University of Tokyo

P.104 Crisis and emergency risk com-munication to family physicians in CanadaKain NAUniversity of Alberta

Risk & DevelopmentP.106 Risk management in Colombia: the challenge of developmentOrozco GUniversidad del Norte

P.107 Selection of next-generation low global-warming-potential refriger-ants by using a risk trade-off frame-workKajihara HNational Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology

P.108 Contamination risks and effects on suburban areas by a ceramic and tiles factories: a case of studyColon L, Monzon A, Demichelis SNational University of Lanus

Risk, Policy & LawP.109 Setting a regulatory cleanup level for the emerging contaminant sulfolane Farris AM, Buss SD, Cardona-Marek TAlaska Department of Environmental Conservation and SPB Consulting

P.110 The role of statistical models in drinking water distribution system as-set managementRao V, Francis RThe George Washington University

P.111 SafeWater CBX: incorporating uncertainty and variability in benefits analysisStedge J, Brad FAbt Associates

P.112 The balance between protec-tion of human health and compliance with regulatory standardsSager SL, Locey BJ, Schlekat THARCADIS U.S., Inc.

Risky EatingP.113 Probabilistic risk assessment for 2-Amino-1-Methyl- 6-Phenyl-imidazo[4,5-b]- Pyridine (PhIP) through daily consumption of high-temperature processed meats and fishes in TaiwanLiu LH, Chan CC, Wu KYNational Taiwan University

P.114 An exposure and health risk as-sessment of metals in apple juiceBanducci AM, Tvermoes B, Bebenek I, Monnot A, Devlin K, Madl ACardno Chemrisk

P.115 Dietary, occupational, and eco-logical risk assessment of carbaryl and dimethoateChiang SY, Chang-Chien GP, Horng CY, Wu KY China Medical U., Taiwan

P.117 Questionnaire survey on water ingestion rates for various types of liquid and the seasonal differences be-tween summer and winterOhno K, Asami M, Matsui YNational Institute of Public Health, Hok-kaido University, Japan

P.118 Measurement of hand to mouth lead transfer efficiency - a sim-ulation studySahmel J, Devlin KD, Hsu EICardno Chemrisk

P.119 Probabilistic assessment of lifetime cancer risk for acrylamide through daily consumption of high-temperature processed foods in Tai-wan with Bayesian Statistics Markov Chain Monte Carlo SimulationWu CY, Chang CH, Chung YC, Chen CC, Wu KYNational Taiwan University

Security & DefenseP.120 Phase I Impact assessment re-sults for 1-bromopropane and 3-nitro-1,2,4-triazol-5-one (NTO)Rak A, Vogel CM, Bass NNoblis Inc., US Army Public Health Com-mand

P.121 Quantitative approach to risk on fuel transportation pipelinesParra LM, Munoz FUniversidad de los Andes

Late Breaking PostersP.122 A new endophyte risk assess-ment modelBromfield KB, Rowe AJ, Atapattu AAEnvironmental Protection Authority

P.123 Nanoscale risk assessment and uncertainty quantification in atomistic simulationsWang YGeorgia Institute of Technology

P.124 Using portfolio optimization to select an optimal set of water security countermeasuresBates ME, Shoaf H, Keisler JM, Dokukin D, Linkov IUS Army Corps of Engineers, Engineer Research and Development Center

P.125 Application of multi-criteria decision analysis to humanitarian as-sistance and disaster response: site suitability analysisBates ME, Linkov I, Clark TL, Curran RW, Bell HMUS Army Corps of Engineers - Engineer Research and Development Center, Pacific Disaster Center

P.126 Microbial contamination in poultry chillers estimated by Monte Carlo simulationsHolser RARussell Research Center

P.127 Challenges associated with prac-tical environmental restoration risk as-sessment and management decisions for Perfluoroalkyl Substances (PFASs)Phillips JK, Anderson JKTRC Solutions; US Air Force

P.128 Application of socio-economic analysis for restriction and authoriza-tion of chemical in KoreaLee YJ, Yang JI, Lee GW, Shin DCYonsei University

P.129 Development of exposure guidelines for chronic health effects following acute exposures to TICsWinkel DJ, Hawkins BE, Roszell LEBattelle Memorial Institute, US Army Pub-lic Health Command

P.130 Understanding risk: applying the CAUSE model in a content analy-sis of emergency management organi-zations coverage of hurricane SandyKowalek DHoward University

P.131 Communicating conservation with labels: experiment on the effec-tiveness of using IUCN categories for advocacySong H, Underhill JC, Schuldt JPCornell University, Johns Hopkins Univer-sity

P.132 Treed exponential models for evaluating factors affecting nanomate-rial dose-response and setting occupa-tional exposure limitsGernand JM, Casman EAPenn State University

P.133 Quantitative assessment of in vivo toxicological interactions from criteria pollutant mixtures containing oxides of nitrogenDatko-Williams L, Young B, Wilkie A, Madden M, Dubois JJ, Wichers Stanek L, Johns D, Oesterling Owens BUS Environmental Protection Agency, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

P.134 Trust in a wide variety of risk managers after a catastrophic disasterNakayachi KDoshisha University

P.135 Diminishing risks of soil pol-lution in public spaces: a proposal for remediationValentini M, Curra C, Demichelis SO*Environment Laboratory, DDPY - UNLA

P.136 Bad decisions increases health risks: reopening of an abandoned as-phalt plant a case of studyBracca M, Monzon A, Demichelis SO*Environment Laboratory, DDPY - UNLA

28

Monday P.137 Kinetics and micromechanics associated with crack growth in brittle materialsDjouder S, Chabaat M*, Touati MBuilt Environment Research Labora-tory, University of Sciences and Technology Houari Boumediene

P.138 Keeping track of nanotechnol-ogy in your everyday life: the nano-technology consumer products inven-tory 2.0Kuiken T, Quadros MWoodrow Wilson Center, Virginia Tech

P.139 Review of health effects and toxicological interactions of air pol-lutant mixtures containing oxides of nitrogenMadden M, Young B, Datko-Williams L, Wilkie A, Dubois JJ, Stanek LW, Johns D, Owens EOORISE, US EPA-ORD, US CDC-NIOSH

P.140 Public risk perception towards urban air pollutionZhu KJ, Xu JHPeking University

P.141 Analysis of U.S. soil lead (Pb) studies from 1970-2012Wilkie A, Datko-Williams L, Richmond-Bryant JORISE, US EPA

P.142 Model validation in disaster re-lief partner selection and maintenanceColes JB, Zhuang JUniversity at Buffalo

P.143 A probabilistic model of U.S. intra-day tap water exposure and its application in PBPK modelingSchlosser PM, Isaacs K, Sasso AF, Gift JSUS Environmental Protection Agency

Mark yourCalendar!

SRA invites you:

7-10 December 2014Denver, Colorado

6-9 December 2015Arlington, Virginia

See you there!

P.144 A tool to facilitate the incorpo-ration of metagenomic data into envi-ronmental microbial decision-making and risk analysisSmith MN, Port JA, Cullen AC, Wallace JC, Faustman EM*University of Washington

P.145 Decision aiding for extreme event evacuationChen NC, Yates JYTexas A&M University

P.146 Sensitivity of regulatory ozone risk assessment to improved exposure and response modelsOllison W, Capel J, Johnson TAmerican Petroleum Institute, Consultant, Durham, NC, TRJ Environmental, Inc.

P.147 Evaluating long term inactiva-tion of bacillus spores on common surfacesEnger KS, Murali B, Birdsell D, Gurian P, Wagner DM, Mitchell J*Michigan State University

P.148 Robust approval process in the face of strategic adversaries and nor-mal applicantsZhuang J, Wang X*, Song C, Xu JUniversity at Buffalo, SUNY

P.149 Modeling and validating multi-period, multi-type, and multi-target attacker-defender gamesZhang J, Zhuang JUniversity at Buffalo, SUNY

P.150 Incentives in government provi-sion of emergency preparedness and disaster reliefGuan P, Shan X, He F, Zhuang JUniversity at Buffalo, SUNY

P.151 Modeling attacker-defender games with risk preferencesZhuang J, Fu J*, Jose VRRUniversity at Buffalo, SUNY

P.152 First conference on validating models of adversary behaviorZhuang J, Bier V, Zhang J*University at Buffalo, SUNY, University of Wisconsin-Madison

P.153 Simulating non-dietary inges-tion of listeria monocytogenes from residential surfacesCanales RA, Sinclair RG, Soto-Beltran M, Reynolds KThe University of Arizona

P.154 Comparing bioactivity profiles of diverse nanomaterials based on high-throughput screening (HTS) in ToxCast™Wang A, Filer D, Shah I, Kleinstreuer N, Berg E, Mosher S, Rotroff D, Marinakos S, El-Badawy A, Houck KBioSeek Inc., North Carolina State Univer-sity, Duke University

P.155 Ammonia removal from waste water from cattle and livestock and its reuseCabrera VB, De Las Pozas CUniversidad San Sebastian

P.156 Mutagenic mode of action in-consistent with tumor response in >40,000 trout exposed to the potent mutagen dibenzo[a,l]pyrene, contrary to Somatic mutation cancer theoryBogen KEponent

Poster Platform - Shown During Session Time ListedM3-A.7 Analyzing and managing risks in research labs: how it is donePluess DN, Groso A, Meyer TSwiss Federal Institute of Technology Lau-sanne

T1-A.1 Findings words that work: assessing media coverage of water is-sues across IowaMiles S, Dalrymple K, Madsen P, Krajewski JUniversity of Iowa

T1-A.5 Nuclear media discourse post-Fukushima: the state of media coverage pertaining to nuclear energy before and after the Fukushima 2011 nuclear incidentBell MZ, Yang ZJState University of New York at Buffalo

T1-A.6 Controversy in energy tech-nology innovation: contrasting com-munity perspectives of the alleged leak at the Weyburn carbon capture and storage demonstration projectBoyd ADUniversity of Calgary

2929

Notes

30

Tuesday 8:30 AM - 10:00 AM

Key Ballroom #1T1-A Poster Platform: Traditional and Social

Media EffectsChair: Nicole Kain

T1-A.1 Findings words that work: assessing media coverage of water is-sues across Iowa (also presented during Poster Session)Miles S, Dalrymple K, Madsen P, Krajewski JUniversity of Iowa

T1-A.3 Social media and food crisis communicationCuite CL, Hallman WKRutgers, The State University

T1-A.4 To fortify or not, a structural analysis of the public advisory policy on folic acid in FranceHerrera DAToulouse School of Economics

T1-A.5 Nuclear media discourse post-Fukushima: the state of media coverage pertaining to nuclear energy before and after the Fukushima 2011 nuclear incident (also presented during Poster Session)Bell MZ, Yang ZJState University of New York at Buffalo

T1-A.6 Controversy in energy tech-nology innovation: contrasting com-munity perspectives of the alleged leak at the Weyburn carbon capture and storage demonstration project (also pre-sented during Poster Session)Boyd ADUniversity of Calgary

T1-A.7 What has Google reported about nanotechnology risks?Friedman SM, Egolf BPLehigh University

T1-A.8 Getting information to un-derserved communities using twitter: lessons from Hurricane SandyLachlan KA, Spence PR, Lin XUniversity of Massachusetts Boston, Univer-sity of Kentucky

8:30 AM - 10:00 AMKey Ballroom #2

T1-B EPA’S IRIS: It’s A New Program, Part I

Co-Chairs: Kenneth Olden, Richard Becker8:30 AM T1-B.1Advancing human health risk assess-ment at the United States Environ-mental Protection AgencyOlden K, Vandenberg J, Kadry A, Deener KUS Government

8:50 AM T1-B.2Enhancing IRIS: progress to date and future actionsCogliano VUS Government

9:10 AM T1-B.3IRIS improvements: getting the bal-ance right in scientific quality, timeli-ness, stakeholder engagement and peer reviewDenison REnvironmental Defense Fund

9:30 AM T1-B.4IRIS improvements: meeting the needs of CaliforniaMarty MA, Zeise L, Salmon AGCal/EPA, Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment


T1-C Managing Disasters IChair: Michael Greenberg

8:30 AM T1-C.3The clients of the National Weather Service: does the current use of river forecasts fully exploit their potential to decrease flood risk?Hoss FCarnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh

8:50 AM T1-C.4Predicting individual risk-reducing be-haviors before, during and after major hazard events Greenberg MRRutgers University


T1-D Zoonotic Diseases: Risk & Characterization of

Human IllnessChair: Sarah Taft

8:30 AM T1-D.1Use of an administrative database to characterize babesiosis occurrence in the United States, 2006-2008Walderhaug MO, Menis M, Anderson SAUS FDA CBER

8:50 AM T1-D.2Modelling the species jump: spatially ranking influenza A virus ability to cross species barrier and infect hu-mansHill AA, Kosmider RD, Dewe T, Kelly L, De Nardi M, Havelaar A, Von Dob-scheutz S, Stevens K, Staerk KAnimal Health and Veterinary Laborato-ries Agency, Royal Veterinary College, Istitu-to Zooprofilattico Sperimentale delle Venezie

9:10 AM T1-D.3Zoonotic diseases from companion animals: risk of salmonellosis associ-ated with pet foodLambertini E, Buchanan RL, Narrod C, Pradhan AKUniversity of Maryland, Joint Institute for Food Safety and Applied Nutrition

9:30 AM T1-D.4Modelling the risks of introduction of ticks infected with Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever virus into GBEngland M, Brouwer A, Gale PAHVLA


T1-E Modeling Toxicants in the Environment

Chair: Jeff Gift8:30 AM T1-E.1The importance of within dose-group variance in BMD analyses for continu-ous response dataShao K, Gift JSNCEA, USEPA

8:50 AM T1-E.2Toxicity review of technical grade di-nitrotoluene and identification of its critical effects Yan Z, Zhao QORISE

9:10 AM T1-E.3Predicting long-term benchmark dose from short-term studies in national toxicology program toxicity testsWang B, Gray GMGeorge Washington University

9:30 AM T1-E.4A Bayesian semi-parametric dose re-sponse estimation in radiation risk as-sessmentFurukawa KRadiation Effects Research Foundation


T1-F Symposium: Coping with Emerging Threats I:

New ApproachesChair: Marion Dreyer

8:30 AM T1-F.1Emerging risks: concepts and ap-proachesRenn OUniversity of Stuttgart

8:50 AM T1-F.2Aligning approaches to management of emerging risks – the new European CEN CWA pre-standardJovanovic ASZIRIUS, University of Stuttgart & EU-VRi, Stuttgart, Germany

9:10 AM T1-F.3Knowledge transfer of simulation-based knowledge from science to policy makers Scheer DUniversity Stuttgart

9:30 AM T1-F.4Emerging health risks: early participa-tion in hospital restructuring conflictsWachinger G, Renn O, Wuthe J, Wiehe FUniversity of Stuttgart, ZIRIUS

31

Tuesday 8:30 AM - 10:10 AM

Peale A&BT1-G Symposium: Social

Aspects of Climate Change Governance

Chair: Pia-Johanna Schweizer8:30 AM T1-G.1Social learning for climate change gov-ernanceDietz T, Henry ADMichigan State University

8:50 AM T1-G.2Social trust and frackingKasperson RClark University

9:10 AM T1-G.3Resilience polices and applications to climate changeLinkov I, Eisenberg DA, Bates MEUS Army Engineer Research and Devel-opment Center, MS, Contractor to the US Army Research and Development Center

9:30 AM T1-G.4The politics of climate science and policyMcCright AMMichigan State University

9:50 AM T1-G.5Requirements for climate change gov-ernanceSchweizer PJUniversity of Stuttgart

8:30 AM - 10:00 AMJohnson A

T1-H Advances in Risk Modeling for Security and

DefenseChair: John Lathrop

8:30 AM T1-H.1Prioritizing homeland security using a deliberative method for ranking risksLundberg RP, Willis HHPardee RAND Graduate School

8:50 AM T1-H.2Frequency-severity relationships for human-caused extreme eventsChatterjee S, Salazar D, Hora SCREATE, University of Southern Cali-fornia

9:10 AM T1-H.3Making risk-informed decisions us-ing the next generation algorithms for cyber-security and Cyber-Physical Sys-tems (CPS) risk assessmentPanjwani STHANE Inc

9:30 AM T1-H.4Applying concepts of quality of posi-tion to terrorism risk managementLathrop JFInnovative Decisions, Inc.

8:30 AM - 10:00 AMLatrobe

T1-I Networked Infrastructure with

Applications to Transportation and Energy

Chair: Rapik Saat8:30 AM T1-I.1Network approaches to assess critical infrastructure risksZimmerman RNew York University

8:50 AM T1-I.2Managing the risk of crude oil trans-portation by rail Liu X, Serrano JA, Saat MR, Christopher CPLUniversity of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

9:10 AM T1-I.3Submarine Power Cables (SPCs): the laying procedure, the fleet and reli-ability analysis of Medium Voltage NetworkStavrou DI, Ventikos NPSchool of Naval Architecture and Marine Engineer in Technical University of Athens

8:30 AM - 10:00 AMRuth

T1-J Symposium: New and Improved Regulatory Impact

AnalysisChair: Chris Carrigan

8:30 AM T1-J.1What’s wrong with the back of the en-velope? A call for simple (and timely) cost-benefit analysisCarrigan C, Shapiro S*George Washington University, Rutgers Uni-versity

8:50 AM T1-J.2Good practices, bad practices, benefits and costsNardinelli CFood and Drug Administration

9:10 AM T1-J.3A retrospective cost-benefit analysis of the bar code ruleLew N, Nardinelli C, Schick A, Ashley EUS Food and Drug Administration, Office of Management and Budget

9:30 AM T1-J.4Integrating risk and economic perfor-mance measures for cybersecurity Farrow SUMBC

8:30 AM - 10:00 AMJohnson B

T1-K Tools for Assessing & Managing RiskChair: Shaye Friesen

8:30 AM T1-K.1EPA’s framework for human health risk assessment to inform decision makingFitzpatrick JW, Schoeny R, Gallagher K, Ohanian EVUS Environmental Protection Agency

8:50 AM T1-K.2Development of a practical approach to rank the relative health and environ-mental risks of industrial facilities in Abu DhabiMokhtari A, Beaulieu SM, Lloyd JM, Akl S, Money ES, Turner MB, Al Hajeri K, Al Mehairi A, Al Qudah A, Gelle KRTI International, Environment Agency-Abu Dhabi

9:10 AM T1-K.3Using a Relative Health Indicator (RHI) metric to estimate health risk reductions in drinking water Alfredo KA, Roberson JA, Ghosh A, Seidel CAmerican Water Works Association; Jacobs Engineering

9:30 AM T1-K.4Release of OSRTI’s online risk calcu-latorGalloway L, Dolislager F, Stewart D, Tuck-er KUniversity of Tennessee, Knoxville

Join us at theSRA Awards Luncheon and Business Meeting

Noon - 1:30 pm, Key Ballroom 7-12Includes all SRA Awards, and the 5 Best Poster Award Winners

from Monday’s Poster Reception. (Luncheon is included in Registration Fee)

32

Tuesday 10:30 AM- Noon

Key Ballroom #1T2-A Symposium: Cross-Disciplinary Methods for

Research Synthesis, Part IIChair: Lisa Robinson

10:30 AM T2-A.1Strengths and limitations of meta-ana-lytic approaches for developing multi-stressor dose-response functions Levy JI, Fabian MP, Peters JLBoston University School of Public Health

10:50 AM T2-A.2Characterizing the long-term PM2.5 concentration response function: a comparison of estimates from expert judgment, meta-analysis, and integrat-ed research estimatesFann NL, Walker KW, Gilmore EA*US Environmental Protection Agency

11:10 AM T2-A.3Rethinking meta-analysis: applications for air pollution data and beyondGoodman JE, Sax SN, Thakali S, Beyer LGradient

11:30 AM T2-A.4Energy technology expert elicitations: their use in models and what can we learn from workshops and metaanaly-sisAnadon LD, Bosetti V, Chan G, Nemet GF, Verdolini EHarvard University


T2-B EPA’S IRIS: It’s A New Program, Part II

Co-Chairs: Kenneth Olden, Richard Becker10:30 AM T2-B.1IRIS improvements: meeting the needs of TexasHoneycutt ME, Haney JTState Government

10:50 AM T2-B.2Getting the science right on mode of action: an essential element for IRIS improvementWise K, Beck N, Fischer D, Pottenger LH, Beatty P, Cruzan G, Becker RAAmerican Chemistry Council, The Dow Chemical Company, American Petroleum Institute, ToxWorks

11:10 AM T2-B.3The power of scientific peer review and IRISPhilbert MA, Cory-Slechta DA*University of Michigan School of Public Health, University of Rochester School of Medicine

11:30 AM T2-B.4Progress made in improving IRIS: a panel discussionBecker RA, Olden KAmerican Chemistry Council, US Environ-mental Protection Agency


T2-C Managing Disasters IIChair: Myriam Merad

10:30 AM T2-C.1Modeling dynamic behavior of com-plex systems operating crew during accidentsAzarkhil M, Mosleh AReliability Engineering Program, University of Maryland at College Park

10:50 AM T2-C.3The federal all hazards risk assess-ment: integrating strategic risk into emergency management planning – a Canadian perspectiveCheung C, Friesen S*Government of Canada

11:10 AM T2-C.4Modeling public-private partnerships in disaster management—a sequential game with prospect utilitiesGuan PQ, Zhuang JUniversity at Buffalo-SUNY


T2-D Microbial Pathogens in the Environment: Assessment

of Public Health RisksChair: David Oryang

10:30 AM T2-D.1Estimating risk of intestinal nematode infection from exposure to ambient waters using quantitative microbial risk assessment (QMRA) in Salta, Argen-tinaKundu AUniversity of California, Davis

10:50 AM T2-D.2Risk of cryptosporidium infection to recreational swimmers in swimming poolsSuppes L, Canales R, Gerba C, Reynolds KThe University of Wisconsin - Eau Claire and The University of Arizona

11:10 AM T2-D.3Assessment of relative potential for Legionella species inhalation exposure from common water usesTaft SC, Hines SA, Chappie DJ, Janke RJ, Lindquist HA, Ernst HSU.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Bat-telle Memorial Institute

11:30 AM T2-D.4Monitoring and mapping conditions associated with enteric pathogens us-ing rainfall and satellite vegetation in-dex dataAnyamba A, Small J, Oryang D, Fanaselle WNASA Goddard Space Flight Center


T2-E Big Data Application: Patterns & Effects

Chair: Seth Guikema10:30 AM T2-E.1Enriching environmental risk based decision support models with large scale, high resolution population dataStewart RN, Bright EA, Rose AN, Mc-Ginn CW, Bhaduri BLOak Ridge National Laboratory

10:50 AM T2-E.2Predicting the effects of urban design on public health: a case study in Ra-leigh, North CarolinaDennerlein T, Rodriguez D, MacDonald-Gibson JUniversity of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

11:10 AM T2-E.3Measuring health impacts from breaks in water distribution systems using in-ternet search dataShortridge JE, Guikema SDThe Johns Hopkins University

11:30 AM T2-E.4Geographic and demographic pat-terns of health risks associated with chemical and non-chemical stressor exposures in a low-income communityLevy JI, Fabian MP, Peters JL, Korrick SABoston University School of Public Health; Channing Division of Network Medicine, Brigham and Women’s Hospital

33

Tuesday 10:30 AM- Noon

Key Ballroom #6T2-F Symposium: Coping with Emerging Threats II:

New ApproachesChair: Dick Scheer

10:30 AM T2-F.1Public information responses after ter-rorist events Sellke P, Amlot R, Rogers B, Pearce J, Ru-bin J, Mowbray FDialogik non-profit institute

10:50 AM T2-F.2Social unrests as systemic risks Renn O, Jovanovic A, Schroeter R*University of Stuttgart

11:10 AM T2-F.3Decision-making and participation with a special focus on energy policy and climate change: how to integrate the knowledge of citizens and associa-tionsSchetula VSDialogik Non Profit Institute for Communi-cation and Cooperation Research

11:30 AM T2-F.4Pharmaceutical residues in the water cycle: a case for communicating ‘risk’ to the public?Dreyer M, Kuhn RDialogik non-profit institute for communica-tion and cooperation research


T2-G Temporal Issues in Risk Communication

Chair: John Besley10:30 AM T2-G.1The effects of psychological distance on risk perception, behavioral inten-tion, and mitigation behaviorZwickle A, Wilson RThe Ohio State University

10:50 AM T2-G.2Climate change and related risks: per-sonal or impersonal?Kirby-Straker R, Turner MUniversity of Maryland, College Park, George Washington University

11:10 AM T2-G.3Perils and promises of one health risk messages about lyme diseaseRoh S, McComas K*, Decker D, Rickard LCornell University

11:30 AM T2-G.4Where there’s a will: can highlighting future youth-targeted marketing build support for health policy initiatives?Roh S, Schuldt JPCornell University

10:30 AM- NoonJohnson A

T2-H Symposium: Risk and Strategic Decision Making in

the PentagonChair: Jay Rouse

10:30 AM T2-H.1US Air Force risk assessment frame-workBoerman DA, Gallagher MHeadquarters, US Air Force

10:50 AM T2-H.2Defining risk to the defense strategyDuMont MKOffice of the Secretary of Defense

11:10 AM T2-H.3The Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff: risk assessment systemRouse JFArete Associates, Joint Staff

11:30 AM T2-H.4Identification of Hidden Risks and Associated Costs using Integrated Life Cycle Impact and Cost Assessment (ILCICA)Risz Y, Reich-Weiser C, Cammarata CEnviance Inc.


T2-I Multi-Criteria Decision Making for Infrastructure

Management and InvestmentChair: Shital Thekdi

10:30 AM T2-I.1Addressing uncertainties of avoided crash risk, travel time savings, and lifecycle costs in transportation access management Xu J, Lambert JHUniversity of Virginia

10:50 AM T2-I.2Applying multi-criteria decision analy-sis and life cycle approaches to direct engineering research regarding the selection of CZTS back-contacts for thin film solar photovoltaics Scott RP, Cullen ACUniversity of Washington

11:10 AM T2-I.3A fuzzy-VIKOR model for risk as-sessment of environmental manage-ment system implementation in con-struction projectsAssadian MS, Sadeghi FIsfahan Regional Center for Business Incuba-tors & Science Parks Development

11:30 AM T2-I.4Risk-based investment for prison in-frastructure systemsThekdi SAUniversity of Richmond

10:30 AM- NoonRuth

T2-J Updates in Ecological Risk Assessment Models

Chair: Katherine von Stackelberg10:30 AM T2-J.1Review of marine mammal inhalation toxicity for petroleum-related com-pounds: potential applications to risk assessmentRosenstein AB, Mori CS, Collier TK, Ruder ERisk Assessment Consultant, Industrial Economics Incorporated (IEc)

10:50 AM T2-J.2Analysis of the exposure-effects re-lationships from concentration-re-sponse curves for ecological risk as-sessmentLandis WG, Johns AWestern Washington University

11:10 AM T2-J.3Probabilistic methods to address eco-logical risk of secondary ingestion ex-posure to chemicalsKashuba R, Fairbrother A, Kane Driscoll S, Tinsworth RExponent

11:30 AM T2-J.4Updates to ecological preliminary re-mediation goals for soils at the Los Alamos National LaboratoryWald-Hopkins P, Ryti RTNeptune and Company, Inc.

10:30 AM- NoonJohnson B

T2-K Assessing Risks & Chemical Regulation

Chair: Ragnar Lofstedt10:30 AM T2-K.1The substitution principle in chemical regulation: a constructive critiqueLofstedt RKings College London

10:50 AM T2-K.2Distinguishing between risks and haz-ards: a case study of Bisphenol ALemay JC, Prueitt RL, Hixon ML, Good-man JEGradient

11:10 AM T2-K.3Comparing science policy choices in chemical risk assessments across orga-nizationsHolman E, Francis R, Gray GUS Environmental Protection Agency, George Washington University

11:30 AM T2-K.4How many substances are illegally listed in the biennial report on carcino-gens?Belzer RBRegulatory Checkbook

34

Tuesday 1:30 PM - 3:00 PM

Key Ballroom #1T3-A Infrastructure Safety

Chair: Royce Francis1:30 PM T3-A.1Risk-informed regulatory compliance enforcement model for technical in-frastructure in public domainVeeramany A, Mangalam STechnical Standards and Safety Authority

1:50 PM T3-A.2A qualitative safety risk assessment method to construction industry in-corporating uncertainties by the use of fuzzy setsPinto ASafe@Plant

2:10 PM T3-A.3Development and sensitivity analysis of an indirect risk model for the port of RotterdamKoks EE, Bockarjova M, De Moel H, Aerts JCJHVU University Amsterdam

2:30 PM T3-A.4Risk management in international construction joint ventures: lessons learned from a case study in IranSadeghi F, Assadian MSPardazesh Samaneh Farboud Consulting Co.


T3-B Symposium: Proposed Methods for U.S. EPA’s CRA

Guidelines, Part ICo-Chairs: Julie Fitzpatrick,

Wendy O’Brien1:30 PM T3-B.1Overview of the Environmental Pro-tection Agency (EPA) Cumulative Risk Assessment (CRA) guidelines ef-fort and its scientific challengesMartin LR, Teuschler LK, O’Brien WUS Environmental Protection Agency

1:50 PM T3-B.2Stakeholder involvement and risk communication in CRA planning, scoping and problem formulation MacDonell M, Garrahan K, Hertzberg RArgonne National Laboratory, US EPA, Emory University

2:10 PM T3-B.3Using directed acyclic graphs in cumu-lative risk assessment (CRA)Brewer LE, Teushler L, Rice G, Wright JM, Neas LORISE Fellow in the Research Participation Program at the US EPA, Office of the Sci-ence Advisor, US EPA, National Center for Environmental Assessment, US EPA, National Health and Environmental Effects Research Laboratory

2:30 PM T3-B.4Developing effect-based conceptual models for Cumulative Risk Assess-ment (CRA) that can accommodate diverse stressorsMenzie C, Kashuba RExponent


T3-D Understanding & Mitigating Risk of Illness: Pathogens in Human &

Pet FoodChair: Abani Pradhan

1:30 PM T3-D.1Surveillance of salmonella prevalence in pet food, pet treats and pet nu-tritional supplements by the United States Food and Drug Administration in 2002 – 2012Li X, Lovell RA, Proescholdt TA, Benz SA, McChesney DGDivision of Animal Feeds, Office of Surveil-lance and Compliance, Center for Veterinary Medicine, Food and Drug Administration

1:50 PM T3-D.2FDA risk profile on pathogens and filth in spicesVan Doren JM, Kleinmeier D, Ziobro GC, Parish M, Hammack TS, Gill V, Nsofor O, Westerman AUS Food and Drug Administration

2:10 PM T3-D.3Risk assessment model for Shiga-toxin-producing Escherichia coli and Salmonella in ground beef in France: efficiency of different strategies of in-tervention and sampling beef trimMoez SANSES, French Agency for Food, En-vironmental and Occupational Health & Safety

2:30 PM T3-D.4Reducing the potential for norovirus foodborne illness through surface dis-infectionFanaselle WL, Hoelzer KFDA, CFSAN


T3-E Symposium: Risk 21 Tiered Approach for

Exposure Estimation for Human Risk Assessments

Chair: Jennifer Tanir1:30 PM T3-E.1Optimizing a tiered exposure frame-work to aid risk assessment decision-makingGaborek BJ, Bellin CA, Dellarco M, Egeghy P, Heard N, Jensen E, Lander DR, Tanir JY*, Zaleski RT, Sunger NDuPont

1:50 PM T3-E.2Exposure bands for tiered exposure assessment decision-making Zaleski R, Gaborek BJ, Qian H, Bellin CA, Dellarco M, Egeghy P, Heard N, Jol-liet O, Lander DR, Tanir JYExxonMobil Biomedical Sciences, Inc.

2:10 PM T3-E.3Product stewardship for a new prod-uct: RISK 21 tiered exposure frame-work in practice Lander DR, Heard NE, Dellarco MDuPont, Syngenta, NIH

2:30 PM T3-E.4Water chemicals case study using the RISK21 tiered exposure framework Jensen E, Bellin C, Embry M*, Gaborek B, Lander D, Tanir JY, Wolf D, Zaleski RDow Corning Corporation


T3-C Authors Meet Critics:The Risk Society Revisited

The Risk Society: Theoretical Ap-proaches, New Insights, Future Ap-plicationsAaron McCright, Ortwin Renn

Commentaries by: Thomas Dietz, Robert Goble, Ragnar Löfstedt, Roger KaspersonRisk is a part of life. How we handle un-certainty and deal with potential threats influence decision making throughout our lives. In The Risk Society Revisited, Eugene A. Rosa, Ortwin Renn, and Aaron M. McCright offer the first book to present an integrated theory of risk and governance. The session “Authors Meet Critics” is an opportunity to start a dialogue between the authors (McCright and Renn) and risk scholars who have been asked to provide commentaries to the new book. It is also a tribute to Eugene Rosa who was diagnosed with cancer during the production of the book and unfortunately did not live long enough to see the published version. The book is dedicated to him.The authors examine our sociological understanding of risk and how we rec-oncile modern human conditions with our handling of risk in our quest for im-proved quality of life. They build a new framework for understanding risk—one that provides an innovative connection between social theory and the gover-nance of technological and environmen-tal risks, and the sociopolitical challenges they pose for a sustainable future. Show-ing how our consciousness affects risk in the decisions we make—as individuals and as members of a democratic soci-ety—The Risk Society Revisited makes an important contribution to the litera-ture of risk research.

35


Key Ballroom #6T3-F Symposium:

Modernizing the Tools & Approaches to Improve Data Availability & Transparency

Chair: Nancy Beck1:30 PM T3-F.1The importance of access to underly-ing dataMason AM, Risotto S, Wise KAmerican Chemistry Council

1:50 PM T3-F.2Existing tools for accessing federal dataMarks PDLaw Firm

2:10 PM T3-F.3The NIH BD2K initiative: enabling biomedical research & raising the prominence of dataHuerta MFNational Library of Medicine, National Institutes of Health

2:30 PM T3-F.4Updating on-line resources: new tools and approaches being used by NIH to make information more accessibleHakkinen PJNational Library of Medicine, National Institutes of Health


T3-G Information Processing in Risk Communication: A

Roundtable DiscussionCo-Chairs: Robyn Wilson, Joe Arvai

Roundtable Panelists include: Paul Slovic, Decision Research

Joe Arvai, University of CalgaryKatherine McComas, Cornell University

Michael Siegrist, ETH Zurich Janet Yang, State University of New York

at BuffaloNathan Dieckmann, Oregon Health and

Science University

1:30 PM - 3:00 PMJohnson A

T3-H Symposium: Total Risk Associated with Chemicals

and Materials in the Department of Defense

Chair: Andrew Rak1:30 PM T3-H.1There’s more than one type of risk for chemicals and materials in DoDYaroschak PJOffice of the Deputy Under Secretary of De-fense (I&E)

1:50 PM T3-H.2Identifying and mitigating worker health risks from lead exposure in the Department of DefenseScanlon KA, Yaroschak PJConsultant

2:10 PM T3-H.3Case study on new chemicals and ma-terials: incorporating environmental, health and safety information into the defense acquisition processUnderwood PM, Rak AOffice of the Deputy Under Secretary of De-fense (I&E), Noblis Inc.

2:30 PM T3-H.4Health risk assessment/risk manage-ment case study: managing project uncertainty presented by the IRIS tri-chloroethylene reference concentra-tion published in IRISMeyer AK, Groher DM, Cain LGEnvironmental and Munitions Center of Expertise, Army Corps of Engineers, New England District, Army Corps of Engineers


T3-I Simulation Techniques and Applications to Explore

Uncertainty and RiskChair: Daniel Salazar

1:30 PM T3-I.1Long-term hurricane impact on US power systemsStaid A, Guikema SD, Nateghi R, Quiring SM, Gao MZ, Yang ZJohns Hopkins University

1:50 PM T3-I.2Simulation approaches for assessing the impacts on equity in a region due to earthquakesMiller MK, Baker JWStanford University

2:10 PM T3-I.3Information processing modes and risk judgment qualityLee E, Dunwoody SUniversity of Pennsylvania, University of Wisconsin, Madison

2:30 PM T3-I.4Deploying simulation to compare among different risk reduction strate-gies for supply chainsMacKenzie CANaval Postgraduate School

1:30 PM - 3:00 PMRuth

T3-J Symposium: Does Regulation Kill Jobs? Authors of a New Book Discuss the

Evidence and Policy Responses

Chair: Adam Finkel1:30 PM T3-J.1Why politicians think regulation kills jobs...when economists don’tCoglianese C, Carrigan C*University of Pennsylvania

1:50 PM T3-J.2Lessons from risk assessment contro-versies for the “job-killing regulations” debateFinkel AMUniversity of Pennsylvania Law School

2:10 PM T3-J.3Employment impacts in benefit-cost analysesMcGartland A, Ferris AEnvironmental Protection Agency

2:30 PM T3-J.4Employment and human welfare: do jobs count in benefit-cost analysis?Mannix BFGeorge Washington University

36


Key Ballroom #1T4-A PRA & Statistical Modeling Applications

Chair: Adam Finkel3:30 PM T4-A.1Quantitative risk analysis of severe ac-cidents in fossil energy chains using bayesian hierarchical modelsSpada M, Burgherr PLaboratory for Energy Systems Analysis, Paul Scherrer Institute, Switzerland

3:50 PM T4-A.2Stochastic input-output modeling of influenza pandemic effects on interde-pendent workforce sectorsEl Haimar AE, Santos JSThe George Washington University

4:10 PM T4-A.4A Probabilistic Risk Analysis (PRA) framework for modeling risk in global drug supply chainKazemi RK, Rahaman FR, Urban JU, Carter WUSFDA

4:30 PM T4-A.5Using statistical profiling to improve OSHA’s capability to locate workplac-es posing grave risksFinkel AM, Berk RAUniversity of Pennsylvania Law School


T4-B Symposium: Proposed Methods for U.S. EPA’s CRA

Guidelines, Part IICo-Chairs: Julie Fitzpatrick,

Wendy O’Brien3:30 PM T4-B.1Using secondary data to evaluate di-verse groups of chemical and non-chemical stressors in cumulative risk assessmentEvans AM, Rice GE, Teuschler LK, Wright JMOak Ridge Institute of Science and Education

3:50 PM T4-B.2Grouping of diverse stressors for cu-mulative risk analysis (CRA) by media, time and toxicity Rice GE, Teuschler LKNational Center for Environmental Assess-ment/ORD/US EPA

4:10 PM T4-B.3Adapting chemical mixture risk assess-ment methods to assess chemical and non-chemical stressor combinationsTeuschler LK, Rice GE, Mumtaz M, Hertzberg RCUS Environmental Protection Agency

4:30 PM T4-B.4Using existing study data or method-ologies from epidemiology and toxi-cology to evaluate diverse stressorsRhomberg LRGradient

4:50 PM T4-B.5Special considerations for risk charac-terization in a cumulative risk assess-mentHertzberg RC, Burkhardt EA, MacDonell MMEmory University

5:10 PM Discussion


T4-C Public Health Risk & Sources

Chair: Jason Sacks3:30 PM T4-C.2Identifying populations at-risk of air pollution-induced health effects through the use of a novel classifica-tion schemeSacks JD, Vinikoor-Imler LC, Ross MUS Environmental Protection Agency

3:50 PM T4-C.3Flexible framework for the study of dispersion scenarios by accidental events in the transportation of hazard-ous materialSuarez M, Muñoz FUniversidad de los Andes

4:10 PM T4-C.4Blood transfusion public health risk to explore limitations of the common risk matrix Vatanpour S, Hrudey SE, Dinu IUniversity of Alberta

4:30 pm T4-C.5Recent findings from human health and ecological risk assessments of waste to energy technologies Foster SA, Chrostowski PC*CPF Associates, Inc.


T4-D Informing Risk Assessments of Engineered Nanomaterials: Frameworks

and AnalysisChair: Ron White

3:30 PM T4-D.1Nanotechnology risk screening using a Structured Decision Making (SDM) approachBeaudrie CB, Kandlikar M, Long G, Greg-ory R, Wilson T, Satterfield TCompass Resource Management Ltd.

3:50 PM T4-D.2Complementary use of life cycle as-sessment and risk assessment for engi-neered nanomaterials: lessons learned from chemicals?Grieger KD, Laurent A, Miseljic M, Chris-tensen F, Baun A, Olsen SIRTI International, Technical University of Denmark (DTU), COWI A/S

4:10 PM T4-D.3Prioritizing hazard research for three nanomaterials through value of infor-mation analysisBates ME, Keisler JM, Wender BA, Zussb-latt N, Linkov IUS Army Corps of Engineers

4:30 PM T4-D.4Life cycle risk assessment of nanocel-lulosic materialsShatkin JAVireo Advisors

4:50 PM T4-D.5Sustainable nanotechnologies (SUN)Hristozov DH, Wohlleben W, Steinfeldt M, Nowack B, Scott-Fordsmand J, Jensen KA, Stone V, Costa A, Linkov I, Marcomini AUniversity of Ca’Foscari of Venice, Italy


T4-E Nano, Synthetic Biology, Animal Feed

Chair: Mary Bartholomew3:30 PM T4-E.1An extensible multi-compartment model for nanoparticle risk assessmentDale A, Barton L, Therezien M, Lowry G, Casman ECarnegie Mellon University, Duke Univer-sity

3:50 PM T4-E.2The interaction of CeO2 nanoparti-cles with rice: impacts on productivity and nutritional valueRico CM, Barrios AC, Hong J, Morales MI, McCreary R, Lee WY, Peralta-Videa JR, Gardea-Torresdey JLThe University of Texas at El Paso, Univer-sity of California Center for Environmental Implications of Nanotechnology

4:10 PM T4-E.3Synthetic biology: prospective prod-ucts and applications for food/feed and requirements for regulationFlari V, Kerins GFood and Environment Research Agency

4:30 PM T4-E.4Risk-ranking model for hazards in ani-mal feedOkelo PO, Hooberman B, Graber G, Bar-tholomew MJ, Stewart KNFDA Center for Veterinary Medicine, FDA Office of Foods and Veterinary Medicine, AFSS Consulting

4:50 PM T4-E.5Ranking contaminants in swine and poultry feedBartholomew MJ, Hooberman B, Stewart KN*, Okelo PO, Graber GFDA Center for Veterinary Medicine, FDA Office of Foods and Veterinary Medicine, AFSS Consulting

37


Key Ballroom #6T4-F Regulation, Risk &

Transparency in the Pharmaceutical Sector

Chair: Sweta Chakraborty3:30 PM T4-F.1Regulation, law, and pharmaceutical safetyChakraborty SUniversity of Oxford

3:50 PM T4-F.2Managing pharmacogenomic risks through litigationMarchant GE, Lindor RAArizona State University

4:10 PM T4-F.3A risk assessment for an informed decision-making for non-traditional pharmacy compoundingOkwesili P, Mazzuchi T, Sarkani SGWU, FDA

4:30 PM T4-F.4Fighting influenza: should European regulators stockpile?Bouder FE, Way D, Lofstedt REMaastricht University

4:50 PM T4-F.5Transparency and risk communication in the European pharmaceutical sectorWay DHP, Bouder FKing’s College London, Maastricht Univer-sity


T4-G Risk Information Seeking & Processing

BehaviorChair: Craig Trumbo

3:30 PM T4-G.1Extending RISP: from message elabo-ration to support for climate change mitigation policyYang ZJ, Rickard LN, Seo M, Harrison TUniversity at Buffalo, SUNY College of Environmental Science and Forestry, Univer-sity at Albany

3:50 PM T4-G.2The “I” in climate: the role of indi-vidual responsibility in systematic pro-cessing of climate change informationYang ZJ, Rickard L*, Seo M, Harrison TUniversity at Buffalo, SUNY College of Environmental Science and Forestry, Univer-sity at Albany

4:10 PM T4-G.3Actively seeking versus taking notice of risk information: the case of food risksKuttschreuter M, Hilverda MD, Pieniak ZDepartment Psychology of Conflict, Risk and Safety, University of Twente

4:30 PM T4-G.4Ecological risk communication and environmental values: predicting pub-lic interest in participating in federal rulemaking concerning pesticide riskJenkins F, Rowan KEGeorge Mason University

4:50 PM T4-G.5Learning from SARS and H1N1: A comparison of survey data from nurs-es in Alberta, CanadaKain NA, Jardine CG, Wong JUniversity of Alberta


T4-H Symposium: Validating Models of Adversary

BehaviorChair: Jun Zhuang

3:30 PM T4-H.1Stackelberg games in security domains: evaluating effectiveness of real-world deploymentsTambe M, Shieh EUniversity of Southern California

3:50 PM T4-H.2Beyond risk-neutrality in attacker-defender games: expected utility and cumulative prospect theoriesJose VRR, Zhuang JGeorgetown University

4:10 PM T4-H.3Validation of adversary utility assess-ment by proxyJohn RS, Rosoff HRUniversity of Southern California

4:30 PM T4-H.4Modeling terrorism risk to the air transportation system: an independent assessment of TSA’s risk management analysis tool and associated methodsMorral AR, Price CC, Ortiz DS, Wilson B, LaTourrette T, Mobley BW, McKay S, Willis HHRAND Corporation

4:50 PM T4-H.5Modeling and validating multi-period, multi-type, and multi-target attacker-defender gamesZhang J, Zhuang JSUNY at Buffalo


T4-I Risks of Nuclear Power Generation

Chair: Cameron MacKenzie3:30 PM T4-I.2Improving nuclear power plant con-struction cost learning curves by implementing organizational learning tools for risk identification and risk as-sessmentTalabi SCarnegie Mellon Unversity

3:50 PM T4-I.3Drought forecasting and resilience analysis of nuclear power plants infra-structureBekera B, Francis RA, Omitaomu OGWU, ORNL

4:10 PM T4-I.4Operational reliability of power plants and energy shortage risk in Japan after the March 11 earthquake and tsunamiKajitani Y, Yuyama ACentral Reserach Institute of Electric Power Industry

4:30 PM T4-I.5Cost and effectiveness of decontami-nation options in special decontamina-tion areas in FukushimaNaito W, Yasutaka TNational Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology

3:30 PM - 5:10 PMRuth

T4-J Symposium: Tightening the Connection Between Risk

Assessment, Decisions and Outcomes

Chair: Elisabeth Gilmore3:30 PM T4-J.1Risk management to achieve priorities: linking risk interventions to outcomesMorgan KM, Bertoni MJUS Food and Drug Administration

3:50 PM T4-J.2Outcome informed departures from a default science policy assumptionBrand KUniversity of Ottawa

4:10 PM T4-J.3Recent efforts for aligning risk assess-ment and economic analysis at EPAAxelrad DA, Chiu W, Dockins C*US EPA

4:30 PM T4-J.4Modeling incentives for the develop-ment of new antibacterial drugsSertkaya A, Jessup A, Wong HEastern Research Group, HHS Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation

4:50 PM T4-J.5(Almost) all gainZerbe R, Scott T*University of Washinton

38

Tuesday 3:30 - 5:00 PM

Johnson BT4-K Symposium: Risks in

Social & Cultural Perspective: In Memory of Gene RosaCo-Chairs: Ortwin Renn, Tom Dietz

3:30 pm T4-K.1Design principles for governing risks from emerging technologiesStern PCNational Research Council

3:50 pm T4-K.2Opportunities and dilemmas in man-aging risk uncertaintyKasperson RKClark University

4:10 pm T4-K.3Socioeconomic dimensions of geo-engineering and carbon sequestration: requirements for sustainable risk gov-ernanceRenn OState University of Stuttgart

4:30 pm T4-K.5Gene Rosa: dedication to a humane societal developmentDietz TMichigan State University


T5-C Symposium: Risk Analysis: Past, Present and

FutureChair: Tony Cox

5.00 PM T5-C.1Possible Futures for Risk AnalysisCox TCox Associates and University of Colorado

5.20 PM T5-C.2Creating a field that mattersAnderson ELExponent

Tuesday Sessions Sponsored by Specialty GroupsT1-A RCSGT1-B DRSGT1-C DASGT1-D MRASGT1-E DRSGT1-F RPLSGT1-G RCSGT1-H SDSGT1-I EISGT1-J EBASG, Society for Benefit-Cost AnalysisT1-K DASGT2-A EBASGT2-B DRSGT2-C DASGT2-D MRASGT2-E EASG

T2-F RPLSGT2-G RCSGT2-H SDSGT2-I EISGT2-J ERASGT2-K RPLSGT3-A DASGT3-D MRASGT3-E EASGT3-I EISGT3-J EBASG, Society for Benefit-Cost AnalysisT4-A DASGT4-E EASGT4-H SDSGT4-I EISGT4-J EBASG

Be sure to stop by any of theSpecialty Group Mixers

6:00 - 7:30 PMDRSG, EASG, ERASG, MRASG, OHSSG - Tubman ADARSG, EISG, RDSG, SDSG - Carroll AEBASG, ENMSG, RCSG, RPLSG - Carroll B

6:00 - 8:00 PMNational Capital Area Chapter (NCAC) - Tubman B

39

Mark your calendar! Dates for the 2014 and 2015 Annual Meetings:

7-10 December 2014Denver, Colorado

6-9 December 2015Arlington, Virginia

www.SRA.orgSRA Headquarters, 1313 Dolley Madison Boulevard, Suite 402, McLean, Virginia 22101

703.790.1745; FAX: 703.790.2672 [email protected]

40

Wednesday 10:30 AM- Noon

Key Ballroom #1W2-A Improving Risk

Analysis & Information Quality

Chair: Randall Lutter10:30 AM W2-A.1Establishing guidelines for more ob-jective risk assessmentsCalabrese E, Yazigi DUniversity of Massachusetts/Mercatus Center

10:50 AM W2-A.2Too many rules, too much risk Williams RAMercatus Center at George Mason Univer-sity

11:10 AM W2-A.3See no evil, hear no evil: political incen-tives in agency risk tradeoff analysis Abdukadirov SMercatus Center, George Mason University

11:30 AM W2-A.4Analysis of regulatory effectiveness: the case of mandatory information disclosureFraas A, Lutter RResources for the Future, Washington D.C.


W2-B Symposium: Evaluating Causality in Epidemiological

StudiesCo-Chairs: Carol Burns, Mike Wright

10:30 AM W2-B.1Sources of uncertainty in epidemio-logical studies and their impact on hu-man health risk assessmentsBateson TUS EPA

10:50 AM W2-B.2Evaluating uncertainty due to expo-sure assessment in epidemiologic stud-ies used in risk assessmentLuben TJ, Milhan G, Autrup H, Baxter L, Blair A, Kromhout H, Ritter L, Stayner L, Symanski E, Wright JMUS EPA

11:10 AM W2-B.3On the future of epidemiologic meth-ods in context of risk assessmentBurstyn IDrexel University

11:30 AM W2-B.4Panel discussion on the integration of workshop recommendations to move risk assessment forward Burns CJ, Wright JM, Pierson JThe Dow Chemical Company

10:30-11:30 AMKey Ballroom #3

W2-C Emerging Risk Assessment Challenges &

Opportunities for the Developing Countries, Part I

Co-Chairs: Abdel Kadry, Mohamed Shereif

10:30 AM W2-C.2Toxicological and public health impli-cations of the use of scrap rubber tires for smoking meat in AfricaAfriyie-Gyawu E, Shankar P, Adu-Oppong A, Hsu J-PUniversity of Georgia Southern

10:50 AM W2-C.3Analysis and monitoring of criteria air pollutants in selected areas of Riyadh City, Saudi ArabiaShereif M, Monshi M, Alharbi BKing Saud University

11:10 AM W2-C.4A global collaborative approach to hu-man health risk assessment: the WHO chemical risk assessment networkHughes K, Vickers C, Clark B, Kadry AUS EPA


W2-D Symposium: Multi-Criteria Analysis of

Foodborne Zoonotic Disease Risks - International

PerspectivesChair: Valerie Davidson

10:30 AM W2-D.1Ranking foodborne parasites: out-comes of an expert-based multi-crite-ria analysisBatz MB, Robertson LJ, van der Giessen JW, Dixon BR, Caipo ML, Kojima M, Cahill SUniversity of Florida

10:50 AM W2-D.2Development of a multifactorial risk prioritization framework for food-borne pathogensFazil APublic Health Agency of Canada

11:10 AM W2-D.3A multidisciplinary and evidence-based methodology applied to priori-tize diseases of food-producing ani-mals and zoonosesHumblet MF, Vandeputte S, Albert A, Gosset C, Kirschvink N, Haubruge E, Fech-er-Bourgeois F, Pastoret PP, Saegerman C*University of Liege

11:30 AM W2-D.4MCDA-ranking of food safety issues to inform policy-makers in UgandaDavidson VJ, Kenny MF, Fazil A, Cahill S, Clarke RUniversity of Guelph, Food & Agricultural Organization of the United Nations, Public Health Agency of Canada, FAO


W2-E Ground & Drinking Waters: New Methods,

New AnalysisChair: Donna Vorhees

10:30 AM W2-E.1Computer-based exposure modeling to support drinking water guidanceGreene CW, Wilkes C, Koontz M, Shubat PJMinnesota Department of Health, Versar, Inc.

10:50 AM W2-E.2Pesticides in groundwater of the Unit-ed States: occurrence and decadal-scale changesToccalino PL, Gilliom RJ, Lindsey BD, Ru-pert MGUS Geological Survey

11:10 AM W2-E.3Evaluating public health benefits from reductions in drinking water lead levels at US SchoolsTriantafyllidou S, Le TH, Gallagher DL*, Edwards MAVirginia Tech

11:30 AM W2-E.4Exposure to highly contaminated drinking water in a rural Nigerian vil-lageKponee K, Vorhees D, Heiger-Benays WBoston University School of Public Health

Wednesday Sessions Sponsored by Specialty Groups

W2-A DASGW2-D MRASGW2-E EASGW2-I EISGW3-A DASGW3-E EASGW3-F RPLSGW3-I EISG

W3-J EBASG, Society for Benefit-Cost AnalysisW4-A DASGW4-E EASGW4-F RPLSGW4-H RCSGW4-J EBASG, Society for Benefit-Cost Analysis

41

Wednesday 10:30 AM- Noon

Key Ballroom #6W2-F Symposium: What’s

New in Agency Peer Review: Best Practices Supporting

Risk AssessmentChair: Jacqueline Patterson

10:30 AM W2-F.1Legal context for US federal agency peer reviewsConrad JW, Jr, Paulson G, Reiss R, Pat-terson JConrad Law & Policy Counsel

10:50 AM W2-F.2Developments in scientific peer re-view at EPAPaulson G, Brennan T*US Environmental Protection Agency

11:10 AM W2-F.3What can we learn and apply from journal peer review? Reiss RExponent

11:30 AM W2-F.4Best practices for independent peer reviewsPatterson J, Nance P, Dourson MToxicology Excellence for Risk Assessment


W2-G Panel Discussion: Effective Risk

CommunicationChair: Louie Rivers

Speakers Include:Joe Arvai, Roger Kasperson, Robyn Wilson, Cindy Jardine, Lauren Fleishman, Fred-eric Bouder, Julie Downs, Ragnar Lofstedt, Adam Zwickle and others

The field of risk communica-tion is at a crossroads. Interest in risk communication across multiple fields is considerable, and research and prac-tice focused on it continues to unfold at a rapid pace. However, there is still little agreement among scholars and practitioners about what constitutes effective risk communication. The goal for this roundtable discussion, spurred by the release of Effective Risk Com-munication a new book from EarthS-can, is to begin a critical examination of the current state of risk commu-nication. We will explore the past and future of risk communication focus-ing on what we have learned from past work, and what is needed to push the field forward. The roundtable will take a broad view of risk communication, presenting perspectives from multiple disciplines (psychology, communica-tions, risk sciences, decision sciences, etc.), a diversity of practitioners, and a range of contexts. The roundtable will feature contributors to the book, each offering a unique perspective toward the study and practice of risk com-munication. The roundtable will also provide a forum for dialogue between the roundtable participants and the audience moderated by the editors of the book.

10:30 AM- NoonJohnson A

W2-H Improving Risk Models for Security and

DefenseChair: Jun Zhuang

10:30 AM W2-H.1A vector approach to measuring deter-rence in adversary informed, scenario based risk analysesMunns JSchafer Corporation

10:50 AM W2-H.2Robust screening policy—balancing congestion and security in the pres-ence of strategic applicants with pri-vate informationXu J, Song C, Zhuang JJUniversity at Buffalo, SUNY

11:10 AM W2-H.3Conquering the iron triangle of SME elicitation Nilsen M, Hawkins B, Cox J, Gooding R, Whitmire MBattelle Memorial Institute, Department of Homeland Security Chemical Security Anal-ysis Center

11:30 AM W2-H.4Probabilistic coherence weighting for increasing accuracy of expert judg-mentOlson KC, Karvetski CWGeorge Mason University


W2-I Roundtable: Could, and Should, SRA do more to pro-mote the Creation and Use of

Living Risk Assessments?Chair: Rob Goble

Panelists include: Vicki Bier, University of Wisconsin-Madison

Frederic Bouder, Maastricht UniversityDavid Bussard, US EPARobin Cantor, Exponent

Louis Anthony Cox, Jr., Cox AssociatesAdam Finkel, University of Pennsylvania and University of Medicine and Dentistry of

New JerseyOrtwin Renn, University of Stuttgart

10:30-11:30 AMRuth

W2-J Decision Frameworks for Invasive Species and

Water QualityChair: Patricia Wald-Hopkins

10:30 AM W2-J.1Estimating the risk of rabies entry into the state of HawaiiFitzpatrick BG, Angelis E, Polidan EJTempest Technologies

10:50 AM W2-J.2Putting eggs in different baskets: diver-sification in early planning of invasive species surveillance proramsYemshanov D, Koch FH, Lu B, Haack RACanadian Forest Service, USDA Forest Ser-vice, Research Triangle Park, USDA Forest Service, East Lansing

11:10 AM W2-J.3Assessing and managing ANS risk in Great Lakes and Mississippi RiverYoe CENotre Dame of Maryland University

10:30 AM- NoonJohnson B

W2-K Building More Resilient Infrastructure

Chair: Eva Andrijcic10:30 AM W2-K.1Mapping societal functions, flows and dependencies to strengthen commu-nity resilience – results from an initial studyHassel H, Johansson J*Lund University

10:50 AM W2-K.2Power outage analysis for Hurricane IsaacTonn GL, Guikema SDJohns Hopkins University

11:10 AM W2-K.3Managing risk through resilience and recovery in seaport operationsSalazar DE, Chatterjee SUniversity of Southern California

11:30 AM W2-K.4Building a more resilient water sector by assessing and responding to poten-tial vulnerabilitiesBaranowski CUS Environmental Protection Agency

Plenary LuncheonNoon-1:30 PMKey Ballroom

“Risk and Opportunity: Managing Risk for

Development”(Luncheon is included

in Registration fee)

42

Wednesday 1:30 PM - 3:00 PM

Key Ballroom #1W3-A Symposium: Risk

Assessment, Policy Learning & Economic Opportunities in

Safer Chemical Decision-Making

Chair: George Gray1:30 PM W3-A.1Competing considerations for making safer chemical decisionsFrancis RA, Gray GM, Tanir JYGeorge Washington University

1:50 PM W3-A.2Comparative risk, life-cycle impact, and alternatives assessments: concepts and perspectivesMcKone TEUniversity of California, Berkeley

2:10 PM W3-A.3Policy learning, chemicals, and risk: can policy innovation keep up with technology change?Fiorino DAmerican University


W3-B Symposium: Integration of the Science Necessary for Assessing

Potential Carcinogenicity of Formaldehyde, Part I

Co-Chairs: Joseph Rodricks, Paolo Boffetta1:30 PM W3-B.1Integration of the science necessary for assessing potential carcinogenicity of formaldehyde: introductionRodricks JV, Kaden DAENVIRON International Corp

1:50 PM W3-B.2Review of the epidemiologic evidence for formaldehyde as a human leuke-mogenCheckoway H, Boffetta P, Mundt KA, Mundt D, Lees PUniversity of Washington, Seattle, Mt. Sinai Hospital, ENVIRON International Cor-poration, John Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health

2:10 PM W3-B.3Mode of action studies on inhaled formaldehyde causing leukemiaSwenberg J, Moeller M, Lu K, Yu R, An-drews Kingon G, Lai Y, Edrissi B, Dedon PUniversity of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Massachussetts Institute of Technology

2:30 PM W3-B.4Pharmacokinetics of formaldehyde and the impact of endogenous levels on uptakeClewell, III HJ, Andersen M, Gentry PRThe Hamner Institutes for Health Sciences, ENVIRON International Corporation


W3-C Symposium: Emerging Risk Assessment Challenges & Opportunities for the De-veloping Countries, Part II

Co-Chairs: Abdel Kadry, Mohamed Shereif

1:30 PM W3-C.1A preliminary characterization of pub-lic health risks from industrial opera-tions in JubailAntoniou G, Gebrayel A, Mhanna P, Sarri M, Stylianou K, Kouis P*Cyprus International Institute, Cyrus Uni-versity of Technology

1:50 PM W3-C.2A global calculator for estimating the benefits of urban fine particulate mat-ter reductionsGreco SL, Belova A, Huang J, Ghio CAbt Associates

2:10 PM W3-C.3A framework to assess aflatoxin public health impacts in developing countries with application to Nigeria and Tanza-niaBelova A*, Narayan T*, Brown L, Haskell J, Bozeman S, Lamb JAbt Associates Inc

2:30 PM W3-C.4Unveiling the spatio-temporal cholera outbreak in Cameroon: a model for public health engineeringConvertino MC, Liang SLUniversity of Minnesota, University of Florida


W3-D New Attributory Prioritization of Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment

MethodsChair: Moez Sanaa

1:30 PM W3-D.1Using time series analysis to investigate food causes of foodborne illnessesHoffmann SA, Ashton L, Berck P, Todd JUSDA Economic Research Service, Unvier-sity of California, Berkeley

1:50 PM W3-D.2FDA’s risk assessment model for des-ignating high-risk foods pertaining to product tracing required by FSMAChen Y, Dennis S, McGarry SFood and Drug Administration

2:10 PM W3-D.3Prioritization of roof-harvested rain-water pathogens to guide treatment and use Hamilton KH, Haas CNDrexel University

2:30 PM W3-D.4A swift quantitative microbiological risk assessment (sQMRA) - tool: im-proved versionEvers EG, Chardon JENational Institute for Public Health and the Environment


W3-E Bioavailability & BiomonitoringChair: Robert Scofield

1:30 PM W3-E.1Application of lead and arsenic bio-availability in human health risk assess-ment for a sediment site Liu CL, Luke NLCDM Smith

1:50 PM W3-E.2Evaluating the risk of human expo-sure to environmental PCDD/Fs us-ing biomonitorsAugusto S, Pinho P, Botelho MJ, Palma-Oliveira JM*, Branquinho CUniversity of Lisbon

2:10 PM W3-E.3Evaluation of population-based bio-monitoring data for risk assessment: an environmental-wide association study approachLe HQ, Lander DR, Starks SE, Kreck-mann KH, Symons JMDuPont Epidemiology Program, DuPont Haskell Global Centers for Health and En-vironmental Sciences

2:30 PM W3-E.4Are epidemiological associations of higher chemical concentrations in blood with health effects meaningful?Clewell HJ, Yoon M, Wu H, Verner MA, Longnecker MPThe Hamner Institutes for Health Sciences, Harvard Medical School, Boston

43


Key Ballroom #6W3-F Symposium: Global

Catastrophic RiskChair: Anthony Barrett

1:30 PM W3-F.1Risk communcation and information needs for anticipated catastrophic threats by NEOsRace MSSETI Institute

1:50 PM W3-F.2Analyzing and reducing the risks of inadvertent nuclear war between the United States and RussiaBarrett AMGlobal catastrophic risk institute

2:10 PM W3-F.3Assessing the consequences of nu-clear weapons use: the challenge of incomplete knowledgeFrankel MJ, Scouras J*, Ullrich GWJohns Hopkins University, Penn State Uni-versity, Shafer Corporation

2:30 PM W3-F.4The resilience of human civilization in the face of global catastrophesBaum SGlobal Catastrophic Risk Institute

2:50 PM W3-F.5Christian apocalyptic literature in theological scholarship & the ‘prepper’ movementFusco MPGlobal Catastrophe Research Institute


W3-H All Hazards ModelingChair: Jiyoung Park

1:30 PM W3-H.1Hurricane Sandy and lost four days in the U.S. economyPark J, Son M, Park C, Richardson HState University of New York at Buffalo

1:50 PM W3-H.3Managing disaster risk strategies in economic systems based on sectoral vulnerability analysisYu KS, Tan RR, Santos JRDe La Salle University, The George Wash-ington University

2:10 PM W3-H.4Ideal disaster relief?: Using the IFRC code of conduct in model develop-mentColes JB, Zhuang JUniversity at Buffalo


W3-I Integrating Human Factors into Engineering

RisksChair: Raul Figueroa

1:30 PM W3-I.1Heuristics in policy relevant science: an analytical framework for character-ising the strengths and limits of formal risk and decision analysis MacGillivray BHCardiff University

1:50 PM W3-I.2A model-based, scenario-driven hu-man reliability analysis methodEkanem NJ, Mosleh AUniversity of Maryland

2:10 PM W3-I.3A risk analysis study to systematically address the critical role of human and organizational factors in negative pressure test for the offshore drilling industryTabibzadeh M, Meshkati NUniversity of Southern California

2:30 PM W3-I.4Beyond the ideal – Obstacles to risk management and ways to overcome themHallegatte SWorld Bank

1:30 PM - 3:00 PMRuth

W3-J Symposium: Improving Maritime Risk Estimates

Supporting Federal Regulatory and Policy

DecisionsChair: Jennifer Baxter

1:30 PM W3-J.1Quantitative adjustments addressing under-reporting of baseline risks asso-ciated with recreational boating using national health care databasesBaxter J, Robinson L, Metz D, Bolthrunis SIndustrial Economics Inc, Havard School of Public Health

1:50 PM W3-J.3The development and use of the bu-reau of ocean energy management’s Offshore Environmental Cost Model (OECM) to evaluate the environmen-tal risks of offshore energy develop-mentPrice JC, Strellec KIndustrial Economics, Inc., Bureau of Ocean Energy Management

2:10 PM W3-J.4Econometric model estimating the ef-fectiveness of life jacket wear in recre-ational boating using data from Coast Guard’s Marine Information Safety and Law Enforcement (MISLE) da-tabaseViauroux C, Gungor AUniversity of Maryland, Baltimore County, US Coast Guard

1:30 PM - 3:00 PMJohnson B

W3-K Symposium: Foundational Issues in Risk

Analysis, Part IIIChair: Torbjorn Bjerga

1:30 PM W3-K.1Probability theory for inductive rea-soning: the “necessarist” viewpoint as an alternative, and supplement, to sub-jective probabilityNorth DWNorthWorks, Inc.

1:50 PM W3-K.2Reflections on how to conceptualize and assess the performance and risk of different types of complex systemsNateghi RJohns Hopkins University

2:10 PM W3-K.3Adaptive risk management using the new risk perspectives – an example from the oil and gas industryBjerga T, Aven TUniversity of Stavanger

2:30 PM W3-K.4Decision criteria for updating test in-tervals for well barriersGelyani AM, Abrahamsen EB, Selvik JTUniversity of Stavanger, Norway, Interna-tional Research Institute of Stavanger, Nor-way

44


Key Ballroom #1W4-A Symposium:

Characterizing Causality for Policy Decisions

Chair: Beth Osterling Owens3:30 PM W4-A.1Determining causality in environmen-tal assessmentsVandenberg J, Cogliano V, Owens EO, Cooper G, Ross MNational Center for Environmental Assess-ment, US Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, and Washington, DC

3:50 PM W4-A.2Evaluation of causality in the IARC monographsLoomis D, Straif KInternational Agency for Research on Cancer

4:10 PM W4-A.3Incorporation of weight-of-evidence best practices in the National Ambient Air Quality Standards review processGoodman JE, Prueitt RL, Sax SN, Bailey LA, Rhomberg LRGradient

4:30 PM W4-A.4Transparently implementing the causal framework in the EPA NAAQS re-viewPatel M, Owens EO, Kirrane E, Ross MNational Center for Environmental Assess-ment, US Environmental Protection Agency


W4-B Integration of the Science Necessary for

Assessing Potential Carcinogenicity of

Formaldehyde, Part IICo-Chairs: Joseph Rodricks, Paolo Botfetta

3:30 PM W4-B.1Relevance of genetic changes in circu-lating blood cells following formalde-hyde exposureAlbertini RJ, Thirman MJUniversity of Vermont, University of Chi-cago

3:50 PM W4-B.2Predicting the risk of Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML) using peripheral blood cells or cells in culture has ques-tionable biological relevanceIrons RD, Kerzic PJFudan University, China, Cinpathogen, University of Colorado Health Sciences Cen-ter

4:10 PM W4-B.3Integrating toxicological & epidemio-logical evidence of carcinogenicity: Application of Epid-Tox framework for evaluating relationships between formaldehyde & nasopharyngeal can-cer & myeloid leukemiaBoffetta P, Mundt KA, Mundt DJ, Checko-way H, Swenberg J, Adami H-OIcahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, ENVIRON International Corporation, University of Washington, Seattle, Uni-versity of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Harvard University School of Public Health

4:30 PM Discussion


W4-C Risk Analysis Uncertainty &

Decision-MakingChair: Myriam Merad

3:30 PM W4-C.1From exotic to endemic : a stakehold-er-driven framework examining dis-ease prioritisation and the biosecurity continuum.Brookes VJ, Hernández-Jover M, Cowled B, Holyoake PK, Ward MPUniversity of Sydney, Australia, Charles Sturt University, Australia, AusVet Ani-mal Health Services, Australia, Department of Environment and Primary Industries, Australia

3:50 PM W4-C.2Determining risk-related patterns in human operator error analysis Yemelyanov AMGSW State University

4:10 PM W4-C.3A decision support framework for de-veloping regional energy strategiesBessette DL, Campbell-Arvai V, Arvai JLUniversity of Calgary

4:30 PM W4-C.4A risk assessment approach that facili-tates site redevelopment and remedia-tion when future site uses are uncertainLong KL, Nielsen JM, Ramacciotti FC, Sandvig RM, Song SENVIRON International Corporation

4:50 PM W4-C.5Is it possible to assess the quality of the governance? Conclusions of the national working group on gover-nance of sustainability within public organizationsMerad M , Marcel F INERIS


W4-D Symposium: Strategic Research Planning for Multiwalled Carbon

Nanotubes (MWCNTs): Moving Towards Risk

Analyses that Inform Future MWCNT Risk Management

DecisionsChair: Christina Powers

3:30 PM W4-D.1Comprehensive environmental assess-ment: strategically linking research, as-sessment and risk management — ap-plied to multiwalled carbon nanotubesPowers CM, Lehmann G, Gift J, Grieger K, Money M, Hendren CO, Beaudrie C, Davis JMUS EPA

3:40 PM W4-D.2Toxicological and health effects as-sessment efforts for MWCNTs in NCNHIR ConsortiumNadadur SNIEHS

3:50 PM W4-D.3Risk assessment and management of multiwalled carbon nanotubes: recent developments in regulatory approach-esMorris J, Sayre P, Alwood J*US Environmental Protection Agency

4:00 PM W4-D.4Closing research gaps for safer de-sign principles for multiwalled carbon nanotubes; molecule, process, and productsGeraci CLNational Institute for Occupational Safety and Health

4:10 PM W4-D.5Life cycle considerations for nano-enabled products containing multi-walled carbon nanotubes (MWCNTs): research to inform future risk analyses and risk managementSayes CMRTI International

4:20 PM Discussion

T-Shirt GiveawayBe a Die Hard Risk

Analyst (DHRA) 5:00–5:30 PM, Registration Area

Stay to the end of the sessions and receive a free T-shirt!

45


Key Ballroom #5W4-E Symposium:

Occupational Exposure Assessment: Risk

Characterization and Risk Communication

Chair: Frank Hearl3:30 PM W4-E.1Pandemic response for workers: con-trolling occupational riskHearl FJNational Institute for Occupational Safety and Health

3:50 PM W4-E.2Risk assessment as a core competency for industrial hygieneBoelter FBENVIRON International

4:10 PM W4-E.3Lessons for information exchange in occupational risk science: the OARS InitiativeMaier A, Nance P*, Ross CSToxicology Excellence for Risk Assessment

4:30 PM W4-E.4Risk of occupational asbestos disease based on biomarkersHearl F, Boelter F, Armstrong T, Rasmuson J*, Meier AChemistry & Industrial Hygiene, Inc.

4:50 PM W4-E.5Estimates of legionnaires disease risk from whirlpool spasArmstrong TWTWA8HR Occupational Hygiene Consult-ing, LLC


W4-F Symposium: Global Risk Governance

Chair: Seth Baum3:30 PM W4-F.1Global Risk Governance for Genome EditingKuzma JNorth Carolina State University

3:50 PM W4-F.2Minimizing global catastrophic and existential risks from emerging tech-nologies through international lawWilson GSGlobal Catastrophic Risk Institute

4:10 PM W4-F.3Past the threshold for existential risks: balancing existential risk uncertainty and governance Tonn BE, Stiefel D, Feldman DUniversity of Tennessee-Knoxville

4:30 PM W4-F.5Global risks, catastrophes, crises, regu-lation and liabilityWiener JBDuke University


W4-G Symposium: The Naphthalene Research

Program: From Problem Formulation to Risk

AssessmentChair: Jo Anne Shatkin

3:30 PM W4-G.1Naphthalene rodent inhalation bioas-says and assessment of risk to exposed humans: problem formulationReitman F, Sun T-J, Beatty P, LeHuray AP, Hammon TL, Juba MH, Palermo C, Lewis RJ, White RDShell, Chevron, American Petroleum Insti-tute, Naphthalene Council, ConocoPhillips, Koppers, Inc., ExxonMobil Biomedical Sci-ences, Inc.

3:50 PM W4-G.2Hypothesis-based weight-of-evidence and dose-response evaluation for naphthalene carcinogenicityRhomberg LR, Bailey LA, Nascarella MAGradient

4:10 PM W4-G.3Assessing the Human Health Risks from Exposure to NaphthaleneFlowers L, Keshava C, Chiu WUSEPA, Washington, DC


W4-H Presenting Uncertainty to Inform Decision-Making

Chairs Joe Arvai3:30 PM W4-H.1How do maps influence perceived ac-curacy and validity and how do these perceptions influence risk beliefs?Severtson DJUniversity of Wisconsin-Madison

3:50 PM W4-H.2The impact of narrative messages on prospect theory framing effects.Steinhardt JS, Shapiro MACornell University

4:10 PM W4-H.3The motivated evaluation of numeri-cal uncertainty rangesDieckmann N, Peters E, Gregory ROregon Health & Science University, Deci-sion Research, The Ohio State University

4:30 PM W4-H.4Risk-related uncertainty and its re-lationship with citizens’ demand for regulation and institutional trustPoortvliet PM, Lokhorst AMWageningen University

4:50 PM W4-H.5Designing an electricity bill to motivate savings: the effect of format on re-sponses to electricity use information Canfield CI, Bruine de Bruin W, Wong-Parodi GCarnegie Mellon University, Leeds Univer-sity Business School

3:30 PM - 5:10 PMRuth

W4-J Symposium: Evaluating the Risk Reduction

Outcomes of RegulationChair: Susan Dudley

3:30 PM W4-J.1Moving forward in looking back: how to improve retrospective regulatory reviewCoglianese CUniversity of Pennsylvania

3:50 PM W4-J.2Regulatory improvement commission: a politically viable approach to US reg-ulatory reformMandel M, Carew DProgressive Policy Institute

4:10 PM W4-J.3Have historical reductions in ozone and fine particulate matter caused re-ductions in mortality rates?Cox TCox Associates, University of Colorado

4:30 PM W4-J.4Do changes in exposure lead to changes in outcomes? Challenges in ascertaining benefits from reductions in environmental exposure levelsAylward LLSummit Toxicology, LLP

4:50 PM W4-J.5A look back at regulatory lookback ef-fortsDudley SEThe George Washington University

46

Author IndexAAbdukadirov S .............................. 40Abrahamsen EB .....................22, 43Achia TN ....................................... 25Ackerlund WS ............................... 27Adami H-O ................................... 44Adeshina F .................................... 25Adhikari R ..................................... 25Adler MD ...................................... 23Adu-Oppong A ............................ 40Aerts JCJH .................................... 34Afriyie-Gyawu E .......................... 40Aguila IE ....................................... 20Agurenko AO ............................... 25Ahern R ......................................... 24Ait Oaukrim D ............................. 26Akerlof K ...................................... 23Akl S ............................................... 31Albert A ......................................... 40Albertini RJ ................................... 44Alderson D .................................... 19Alexander DD .............................. 22Alfredo KA ................................... 31Al Hajeri K .................................... 31Alharbi B ....................................... 40Al Mehairi A ................................. 31Al Qudah A ................................... 31Alwood J ........................................ 44Amlot R ......................................... 33Anadon LD ................................... 32Andersen M................................... 42Anderson D .................................. 19Anderson EL ................................ 38Anderson JK ................................. 27Anderson S .................................... 25Anderson SA ................................. 30Andrews Kingon G ..................... 42Andrijcic E .................................... 19Angelis E ....................................... 41Antoniou G ................................... 42Anyamba A .............................22, 32Anyika E ........................................ 25Aoyagi M ....................................... 26

Apt J ............................................... 23Armstrong TW ............................. 45Arvai JL....................................23, 44Asami M ........................................ 27Asche F .......................................... 22Ashley E ........................................ 31Ashton L ........................................ 42Aspinall W ..................................... 18Assadian MS ............................33, 34Atapattu AA .................................. 27Augusto S ...................................... 42Aungst JL ....................................... 22Autrup H ....................................... 40Avanasi Narasimhan R ................ 25Aven T ...............................20, 22, 43Axelrad DA ................................... 37Aylward LL .................................... 45Azarkhil M ..................................... 32

BBailey EA ....................................... 18Bailey LA .................................44, 45Baker H .......................................... 19Baker JW ........................................ 35Baker KR ....................................... 23Balch M .......................................... 20Ban N ............................................. 26Banducci AM ................................ 27Baranowski C ................................ 41Barkan CPL ................................... 21Barker K ........................................ 21Baroud H ....................................... 21Barr S ............................................. 19Barrett AM .................................... 43Barrios AC ..................................... 36Bartell SM ...................................... 25Bartholomew MJ .......................... 36Barton L......................................... 36Bartrand TA .................................. 20Bass N ............................................ 27Bassarak C ..................................... 18Bates ME ...........................27, 31, 36Bateson T ...................................... 40

Batten B ......................................... 23Batz MB ......................................... 40Baum S ........................................... 43Baun A ........................................... 36Baxter J .......................................... 43Baxter L ......................................... 40Bayliss D ........................................ 24Beamer P ....................................... 26Beatty P ....................................32, 45Beaudrie CB ............................36, 44Beaulieu SM .................................. 31Bebenek I ...................................... 27Beck NB ..................................20, 32Becker RA ...............................25, 32Bekera B......................................... 37Bell HM ......................................... 27Bell MZ ....................................28, 30Bellin CA ....................................... 34Belova A ..................................24, 42Belzer RB ....................................... 33Ben-Haim Y .................................. 20Bennett SP ..................................... 19Benouar D ..................................... 23Benz SA ......................................... 34Berck P ........................................... 42Berg E ............................................ 28Berk RA ......................................... 36Bertoni MJ ..................................... 37Bessette DL ................................... 44Beyer L ........................................... 32Bhaduri BL .................................... 32Bier V ............................................. 28Binder AR...................................... 19Birdsell D....................................... 28Bishop EL ..................................... 24Bjerga T ......................................... 43Blair A ............................................ 40Bockarjova M ................................ 34Boelter FB ..................................... 45Boelter FW .................................... 22Boerman DA ................................. 33Boffetta P ................................42, 44Bogen K......................................... 28

Böhm G ......................................... 18Bolger PM ..................................... 18Bolthrunis S .................................. 43Boogaard PJ .................................. 18Borgert CJ ..................................... 20Borghoff S .................................... 25Borsuk ME .................................... 19Bosetti V ........................................ 32Bostrom A ..................................... 21Botelho D ...................................... 18Botelho MJ .................................... 42Bouder FE ..................................... 37Boyd AD ..................................28, 30Bozeman S .................................... 42Bracca M ........................................ 27Brad F ............................................ 27Brand K ......................................... 37Branquinho C ............................... 42Breheny D ..................................... 24Brennan T ..................................... 41Brewer LE ..................................... 34Bright EA ...................................... 32Brinkerhoff CJ.............................. 18Bromfield KB ............................... 27Bronfman NC .........................23, 26Brookes VJ .................................... 44Brossard D .................................... 18Brouwer A ..................................... 30Brown J .......................................... 24Brown K ........................................ 24Brown L ......................................... 42Brown LPM .................................. 24Bruine de Bruin W .................19, 45Brzymialkiewicz C ........................ 23Bubela TM ..................................... 19Buchanan RL ....................25, 26, 30Burger J .......................................... 24Burgherr P ..................................... 36Burkhardt EA ............................... 36Burns CJ ........................................ 40Burns WJ ....................................... 23Burstyn I ........................................ 40Buss SD ......................................... 27

Butte GE ....................................... 26Butterworth T ............................... 22

CCabrera N ...................................... 26Cabrera VB .................................... 28Caffrey JL ...................................... 24Cahill S ........................................... 40Cain LG ......................................... 35Caipo ML....................................... 40Calabrese E ................................... 40Calderon AA ................................. 26Cammarata C ................................ 33Campbell-Arvai V ........................ 44Canales RA ..............................28, 32Canfield CI .................................... 45Capel J ............................................ 28Cardona-Marek T ......................... 27Carew D ......................................... 45Carrigan C ...............................31, 35Carrington CD ........................18, 22Carter W ........................................ 36Casey W ......................................... 25Casman EA .............................27, 36Castoldi AF ................................... 22Caton B .......................................... 24Cha EJ ............................................ 23Chabaat M ..................................... 28Chakraborty S ............................... 37Chan CC ........................................ 27Chan G .......................................... 32Chang CH ................................26, 27Chang CS ....................................... 25Chang-Chien GP .......................... 27Chappie DJ .................................... 32Chardon JE ................................... 42Chatterjee S .......................21, 31, 41Che WW ........................................ 20Checkoway H ..........................42, 44Chen CC ............................25, 26, 27Chen LH ........................................ 25Chen M .......................................... 25Chen NC........................................ 28

47

Chen PC ..................................24, 25Chen X ........................................... 19Chen Y ........................................... 42Chen YT ........................................ 26Cheung C ....................................... 32Chiang SY ...................................... 27Chikaraishi M ................................ 25Chiu WA ............................18, 37, 45Christensen F ................................ 36Christopher CPL .......................... 31Chrostowski PC ............................ 36Chuang YC .................................... 26Chung KF ...................................... 18Chung YC ..........................25, 26, 27Cifuentes LA ...........................23, 25Clark B ........................................... 40Clark TL ........................................ 27Clarke J ........................................... 24Clarke R ......................................... 40Claus-Henn B ............................... 18Cleland JC ...................................... 25Clewell HJ ................................22, 42Clewell, III HJ ............................... 42Coglianese C ...........................35, 45Cogliano V ..............................30, 44Cohen SM ...................................... 22Coleman ME ................................. 20Coles JB ...................................28, 43Collier TK ..................................... 33Colon L .......................................... 27Colyvan M ..................................... 19Comer JE ....................................... 20Connelly EB .................................. 19Conrad JW ..................................... 41Convertino MC .................24, 25, 42Cooke R ......................................... 18Cooney D ...................................... 24Cooper G ....................................... 44Corea N ......................................... 24Cornejo F ...................................... 25Cory-Slechta DA .......................... 32Costa A .......................................... 36Cowled B ....................................... 44Cox J .........................................26, 41Cox P .............................................. 23

Cox T .................................20, 38, 45Cruzan G ....................................... 32Cui T .............................................. 23Cuite CL ..................................26, 30Cullen AC ................................28, 33Cunningham FH .......................... 24Curra C .......................................... 27Curran RW .................................... 27

DDale A ............................................ 36Dalrymple K ...........................28, 30Datko-Williams L ...................27, 28Davidson VJ .................................. 40Davis JM ........................................ 44Decker D ....................................... 33Dedon P ........................................ 42Deener K ....................................... 30De Las Pozas C ............................ 28Delgado JC .................................... 21Dellarco M .................................... 34Demichelis SO .............................. 27De Moel H .................................... 34Demuth JL .................................... 21De Nardi M ................................... 30Denison R ..................................... 30Dennerlein T ................................. 32Dennis S ........................................ 42Denyer D ....................................... 26Deveau M ...................................... 24Devlin KD .................................... 27DeWaal CS .................................... 22Dewe T .......................................... 30Dickinson K .................................. 21Dieckmann N ............................... 45Dietz T ...............................21, 31, 38Dillon DM ..................................... 24Dillon-Merrill RL ......................... 23Ding P ............................................ 19Dinu I ............................................. 36Dixon BR ...................................... 40Dixon GN ..................................... 26Djouder S ...................................... 28Dockins C ...................................... 37Dokukin D .................................... 27

Dolan D ......................................... 23Dolislager F ................................... 31Donahue D ................................... 20Dorman D ..................................... 25Dourson ML .............. 24, 25, 26, 41Dreyer M ....................................... 33Driedger SM .................................. 23Dubey JP ....................................... 25Dubois JJ .................................27, 28Dudley SE ..................................... 45Dumitrescu A ............................... 24DuMont MK ................................. 33Dunwoody S ................................. 35Dwyer S ......................................... 25

EEdrissi B ........................................ 42Edwards MA ................................. 40Egeghy P ........................................ 34Egger J ........................................... 24Egolf BP ....................................... 30Eisenberg DA ............................... 31Ekanem NJ .................................... 43El-Badawy A ................................. 28El Haimar AE ............................... 36Elkins DA ...................................... 23Eller EG ........................................ 26Elmontsri ME ............................... 24Embry M ....................................... 34Enger KS ....................................... 28England M ..................................... 30Erikson L ....................................... 24Ernst HS ..................................23, 32Evans AM ................................18, 36Evensen DT .................................. 19Evers EG ....................................... 42Ezendam J ..................................... 18

FFabian MP ..................................... 32Fairbrother A ................................ 33Fan KC .....................................24, 25Fanaselle F ..................................... 22Fanaselle W ................................... 32Fanaselle WL ................................. 34

Fann NF ........................................ 23Fann NL ........................................ 32Farber GS ...................................... 25Faria F ............................................ 21Farris AM ...................................... 27Farrow S ........................................ 31Faustman EM ............................... 28Fazil A ............................................ 40Fecher-Bourgeois F ...................... 40Feldman D ..................................... 45Ferris A .......................................... 35Ferson S ......................................... 20Fiebelkorn SA ............................... 24Figueroa RH .................................. 23Filer D ............................................ 28Finkel AM................................35, 36Finley BL ....................................... 25Fiorino D ....................................... 42Fischbeck PS ...........................23, 25Fischer D ....................................... 32Fischer R ........................................ 19Fitzpatrick BG .............................. 41Fitzpatrick JW .........................22, 31Fitzpatrick S .................................. 22Flander LB .................................... 26Flari V ............................................ 36Fleishman LA ............................... 19Flowers L ....................................... 45Forshee RA ................................... 24Foster SA ....................................... 36Fowle J ........................................... 25Fowler G ........................................ 24Fox M ............................................. 24Fraas A ........................................... 40Francis RA .................. 27, 33, 37, 42Frank K .......................................... 19Frankel MJ ..................................... 43Franklin C ...................................... 24Frey HC ......................................... 20Friedman SM ................................ 30Friesen S ........................................ 32Fu J ................................................. 28Fulcher CM ................................... 23Furukawa K................................... 30Fusco MP ...................................... 43

GGaborek BJ ................................... 34Gadagbui B ................................... 24Gaff C ............................................ 26Gale P ............................................ 30Gallagher DL ................................ 40Gallagher K ................................... 31Galloway L .................................... 31Gamble HR ................................... 25Gamo M ........................................ 25Gao MZ ......................................... 35Gardea-Torresdey JL ................... 36Garrahan K ................................... 34Garry MR ...................................... 22Gebrayel A .................................... 42Geggel A ........................................ 23Gelle K ........................................... 31Gelyani AM .............................22, 43Gentile MA ................................... 23Gentry PR ...............................22, 42Georgopoulos PG ........................ 18Geraci CL ...................................... 44Gerba C ......................................... 32Gernand JM .................................. 27Gerst MD ...................................... 19Ghio C ........................................... 42Ghosh A ........................................ 31Gibb HJ ......................................... 18Gift JS ................................28, 30, 44Gill V .............................................. 34Gilliom RJ ..................................... 40Gilmore EA ......................21, 25, 32Gilmore J ....................................... 24Ginsberg G ................................... 24Glass-Mattie D ............................. 25Glynn ME ..................................... 25Gochfeld M ................................... 24Gombas D ..................................... 22Goode J ......................................... 20Gooding R ...............................26, 41Goodman JE ........20, 24, 32, 33, 44Gopal A ......................................... 21Gosset C ........................................ 40Gow AJ .......................................... 18Graber G ....................................... 36

48

Grant RL ....................................... 18Gray GM ...........................30, 33, 42Greco SL ....................................... 42Greenberg MR .............................. 30Greene CW ................................... 40Gregory R................................36, 45Grieger KD .............................36, 44Griffin R ........................................ 24Groher DM ................................... 35Groso A ...................................20, 28Gruntfest E ................................... 21Guan P ........................................... 28Guan PQ ....................................... 32Guidotti TL ................................... 19Guikema SD ............19, 20, 22, 23, 32,.......................................................... 35, 41Gungor A ...................................... 43Guo M ........................................... 25Guo YL .......................................... 24Gurian P ........................................ 28Gutierrez W .................................. 24Guzy E ........................................... 18

HHaack RA ...................................... 41Haas CN ........................................ 42Haber LT ....................................... 24Haimes YY .................................... 19Hakkinen P .................................... 24Hakkinen PJ .................................. 35Hald T ............................................ 18Hallegatte S ................................... 43Hall JW .......................................... 19Hallman WK ...........................26, 30Hamilton KH ................................ 42Hamilton MC ................................ 19Hammack TS ................................ 34Hammitt JK .................................. 23Hammon TL ................................. 45Handschy MA ............................... 23Haney JT ........................................ 32Harper S......................................... 23Harrison T ..................................... 37Hartford D .................................... 18Hartford W ................................... 18

Hartung T ...................................... 25Haskell J ......................................... 42Hassel H ........................................ 41Haubruge E ................................... 40Havelaar A ...............................18, 30Hawkins BE ......................26, 27, 41Hawkins NL .................................. 23He F ............................................... 28Heard NE ...................................... 34Hearl FJ ......................................... 45Hegstad M ..................................... 23Heiger-Benays W .......................... 40Hendren CO ................................. 44Hendrickson P .............................. 21Henning CC .................................. 25Henry AD................................21, 31Henry SH ...................................... 22Hernández-Jover M ..................... 44Herrera DA ................................... 30Hertzberg RC ..........................34, 36Heyl ME ........................................ 25Higuchi Y ...................................... 24Hill AA ........................................... 30Hill D ............................................. 25Hilverda MD ................................. 37Hines SA ..................................20, 32Hixon ML ...................................... 33Ho WC .....................................24, 25Hoelzer K ................................22, 34Hoffmann SA .........................18, 42Hogue C......................................... 23Holman E ...................................... 33Holsapple M .................................. 25Holser RA ..................................... 27Holyoake PK ................................. 44Honeycutt ME ........................18, 32Hong J ............................................ 36Hooberman B ............................... 36Hora S ............................................ 31Horng CY ...................................... 27Hosono H ..................................... 26Hoss F ......................................18, 30Houck K ........................................ 28Howard K ...................................... 19Hristozov DH ............................... 36

Hrudey SE ..................................... 36Hsiao CH ....................................... 26Hsu EI ........................................... 27Hsu J-P .......................................... 40Huang J .......................................... 42Huang YF ................................25, 26Hubbard T..................................... 22Huerta MF ..................................... 35Hughes K ...................................... 40Humblet MF ................................. 40Husøy T ......................................... 22

IIgnacio J ......................................... 24Inaba T ........................................... 26Ingram J ......................................... 24Irons RD........................................ 44Isaacs K ......................................... 28Ishimaru T ..................................... 24Iwamitsu Y .................................... 26Izurieta H ...................................... 24

JJanca A ........................................... 23Janke RJ ......................................... 32Jaramillo P ..................................... 21Jardine CG .........................19, 23, 37JayJock M ....................................... 24Jenkins F ........................................ 37Jenkins MA .................................... 26Jensen E ......................................... 34Jensen KA ..................................... 36Jessup A ...................................18, 37Jiao W ............................................. 20Jimenez RB........................20, 23, 26Johansson J .................................... 41John RS ....................................23, 37Johns A .......................................... 33Johns D ....................................27, 28Johns LE ........................................ 25Johnson T ...................................... 28Jolliet O .......................................... 34Jones B ........................................... 25Jones J ............................................ 25Jones SM ........................................ 19

Jose VRR .................................28, 37Jovanovic AS ...........................30, 33Juba MH ........................................ 45Juberg D ........................................ 25Jude S ............................................. 21Jyothikumar V ............................... 26

KKaden DA ..................................... 42Kadry A ...................................30, 40Kain NA ..................................27, 37Kajihara H ..................................... 27Kajitani Y ................................25, 37Kanamori Y .................................. 26Kandlikar M .................................. 36Kane Driscoll S ............................ 33Karvetski CW ............................... 41Kashuba R ...............................33, 34Kasperson RK ........................31, 38Kazemi RK .............................24, 36Keisler JM ................................27, 36Keller C .......................................... 23Kelly L ............................................ 30Kenney L ....................................... 23Kenny MF ..................................... 40Keogh LA ...................................... 26Kerins G ........................................ 36Kerzic PJ ........................................ 44Keshava C ...................................... 45Khokhlova AV .............................. 25Kiker GA .................................19, 25Kim S-J .......................................... 26Kirby-Straker R ............................. 33Kirk M ........................................... 24Kirrane E ....................................... 44Kirschvink N ................................ 40Kleinmeier D ................................ 34Kleinstreuer N .............................. 28Klinke A......................................... 21Koch FH ........................................ 41Kojima M ...................................... 40Kojima N ....................................... 24Koks EE ........................................ 34Koontz M ...................................... 40Korrick SA .................................... 32

Kosmider RD ............................... 30Kosson D ...................................... 24Kouis P .......................................... 42Kovacs DC .................................... 26Kowalek D .................................... 27Kowal SP ....................................... 19Kponee K ...................................... 40Krajewski J ..............................28, 30Kreckmann KH ............................ 42Krewski D ...............................24, 26Kromhout H ................................. 40Kroner O ...........................24, 25, 26Kubatko A ..................................... 26Kugihara N .................................... 26Kuhn R .......................................... 33Kuiken T ........................................ 28Kumagai Y .................................... 26Kundu A ........................................ 32Kuroda Y .................................26, 27Kuttschreuter M ........................... 37Kuzma J ......................................... 45

LLachlan KA ................................... 30Ladkin D ........................................ 26Lai Y ............................................... 42Laituri M ........................................ 26Lamb J......................................25, 42Lambert JH .............................19, 33Lambertini E ...........................26, 30Lander DR ..............................34, 42Landis WG .................................... 33La Porte T ..................................... 23Larson D........................................ 26Lash T ............................................ 24Lathrop JF ...............................20, 31LaTourrette T ............................... 37Latura J .......................................... 26Lau AKH ....................................... 20Laurent A ...................................... 36Lazo JK .......................................... 21Lazrus H ........................................ 21Le HQ ............................................ 42Le TH ............................................. 40Leclercq C ..................................... 22

49

Lee E .............................................. 35Lee GW ......................................... 27Lee JS ............................................. 18Lee T .............................................. 26Lee WY .......................................... 36Lee YJ ............................................ 27Lees P ............................................. 42Lehmann G ................................... 44LeHuray AP .................................. 45Lemay JC ....................................... 33Lemyre L .................................24, 26Lennon E ....................................... 22Lesely T .......................................... 23Levy JI ......................................23, 32Lewis J ............................................ 24Lewis RJ ...................................18, 45Lew N ............................................ 31Li N ................................................ 18Li X ................................................. 34Liang SL ...................................24, 42Lickorish F .................................... 21Lin CC ............................................ 24Lin HC ........................................... 24Lin L ............................................... 21Lin MH ....................................24, 25Lin RS ......................................24, 25Lin X .............................................. 30Lin YS ............................................ 24Lindor RA ..................................... 37Lindquist HA ................................ 32Lindsey BD ................................... 40Linhart M ...................................... 23Linhoss A ...................................... 19Linkov I ...................... 19, 27, 31, 36Liu CL ............................................ 42Liu LH ........................................... 27Liu SY ............................................ 25Liu W ............................................. 19Liu X ........................................21, 31Liu Y .............................................. 18Lloyd JM ........................................ 31Locey BJ ........................................ 27Locke MS ....................................... 21Lofstedt RE .............................33, 37Loftis B .......................................... 25

Lokhorst AM ................................ 45Long G ........................................... 36Long KL ........................................ 44Longnecker MP ............................ 42Loomis D ...................................... 44Lovell RA....................................... 34Lovely RK ..................................... 20Lowry G ........................................ 36Lu B ................................................ 41Lu H ............................................... 26Lu K ............................................... 42Lu Y................................................ 24Luben TJ ........................................ 40Luke NL ........................................ 42Lundberg RP ................................. 31Lutter R .......................................... 40Lynch MK ..................................... 24

MMacDonald-Gibson J .................. 32MacDonell MM ......................34, 36MacGillivray BH........................... 43MacKenzie CA ............................. 35Madden M ...............................27, 28Madl A ........................................... 27Madsen P .................................28, 30Maeda Y ......................................... 25Maguire K ...................................... 23Maier A ....................................24, 45Makino R ....................................... 25Manchev P ..................................... 19Mandel M ...................................... 45Mangalam S ................................... 34Mannix BF..................................... 35Marcel F ...................................25, 44Marchant GE ................................ 37Marcomini A ................................. 36Marinakos S ................................... 28Marin K ......................................... 25Marks HM ..................................... 20Marks PD ...................................... 35Marlatt H ....................................... 21Martinez C ..................................... 24Martin LR ...................................... 34Marty MA ...................................... 30

Marty S ........................................... 25Marui R .......................................... 25Marynissen H ................................ 26Mason AM .................................... 35Matsui Y ........................................ 27Mauelshagen C ............................. 21Mazzuchi T .................................... 37McCaffrey S .................................. 23McChesney DG ............................ 34McComas K .................................. 33McConnell E ................................. 25McCreary R ................................... 36McCright AM ................................ 31McGarry S ..................................... 42McGartland A ............................... 35McGinn CW.................................. 32McGinn TJ .................................... 19McKay S ........................................ 37McKone TE .................................. 42McLay LA ...................................... 19McNoldy B .................................... 21McWilliams RM ............................ 26Meek ME ....................................... 18Meier A .......................................... 45Menis M ......................................... 30Menzie C ........................................ 34Merad M ..................................25, 44Meredith C .................................... 24Meshkati N .................................... 43Metz D ........................................... 43Meyer AK ...................................... 35Meyer MA ..................................... 21Meyer T....................................20, 28Mhanna P ...................................... 42Micallef SA ................................... 26Middleton JK ................................ 19Mihaich E ...................................... 25Milazzo MF ................................... 22Miles S ......................................28, 30Milhan G ....................................... 40Miller MK ...................................... 35Miseljic M ...................................... 36Mishra A ........................................ 26Mitchell J........................................ 28Mobley BW ................................... 37

Moeller M ...................................... 42Moez S ........................................... 34Mohapatra A ................................. 24Mohri H ......................................... 24Mojduszka EM ............................. 20Mokhtari A .................................... 31Money CM ........................18, 22, 24Money ES ...................................... 31Money M ....................................... 44Monnot A ...................................... 27Monshi M ...................................... 40Montezemolo M ........................... 23Monzon A ..................................... 27Morales MI .................................... 36Morgan KM ............................18, 37Morgan MG ............................19, 23Mori CS .......................................... 33Morral AR ..................................... 37Morris J .......................................... 44Morrow BH .................................. 21Morrow WR .................................. 21Morss RE....................................... 21Mosher S ........................................ 28Mosleh A .................................32, 43Mowbray F .................................... 33Moyano E ...................................... 25Mukherjee D ................................. 18Mumtaz M ..................................... 36Mundt DJ ................................42, 44Mundt KA ...............................42, 44Munns J ......................................... 41Munoz-Carpena R ..................19, 25Muñoz F ..................................27, 36Murali B ......................................... 28Murphy PM ................................... 21

NNadadur S ...................................... 44Nagata Y ........................................ 24Naito W ......................................... 37Nakagawa K ............................26, 27Nakakubo T .................................. 24Nakayachi K .................................. 27Nakazawa K .................................. 24Nance PM .................. 24, 26, 41, 45

Narayan T ...................................... 42Nardinelli C ................................... 31Narrod C ....................................... 30Nascarella MA .............................. 45Nataf D ......................................... 23Nateghi R.................................35, 43Navon D ........................................ 22Neas L ............................................ 34Nemet GF ..................................... 32Nemickas H .................................. 22Niederdeppe J ............................... 26Nielsen JM ..................................... 44Nilsen M ..................................19, 41Nong A .......................................... 24Nowack B ...................................... 36Nsofor O ....................................... 34Nweke O ....................................... 23

OO’Brien W ..................................... 34Oesterling Owens B ..................... 27Ohanian EV .................................. 31Ohkubo C ...................................... 26Ohno K ......................................... 27Okada T ......................................... 26Oka T ............................................. 25Okelo PO ...................................... 36Okwesili P ..................................... 37Olden K ...................................30, 32Ollison W ...................................... 28Olsen SI ......................................... 36Olson KC ...................................... 41Omitaomu O ................................ 37O’Rawe J ........................................ 20Orosz M......................................... 21Orozco G ...................................... 27Ortiz DS ........................................ 37Oryang D.................................22, 32Overton AJ .................................... 25Owens BO ..................................... 20Owens EO ..............................28, 44

PPagliarulo M .................................. 24Palermo C ...................................... 45

50

Palma-Oliveira JM ........................ 42Pals T .............................................. 19Pan SC ......................................24, 25Pang H ........................................... 26Panjwani S ...............................20, 31Pant R ............................................. 19Parish M ......................................... 34Park C............................................. 43Park J .............................................. 43Parker AL ...................................... 24Parra LM ........................................ 27Pastoret PP .................................... 40Paté-Cornell ME .......................... 19Patel M ........................................... 44Patterson J .........................24, 25, 41Paulson G ...................................... 41Pawlisz AV ..................................... 25Payne-Sturges D ........................... 23Pearce J .......................................... 33Peek L ......................................21, 26Peralta-Videa JR ........................... 36Perez V ........................................... 22Persky JD ....................................... 22Perz S ............................................. 25Peters E .......................................... 45Peters JL ........................................ 32Pfister HR ...................................... 18Philbert MA .................................. 32Phillips JK ..................................... 27Pieniak Z........................................ 37Pierce JS ......................................... 25Pierson J ........................................ 40Pilbeam C ...................................... 26Pincent C ....................................... 24Pinho P .......................................... 42Pinsent C ....................................... 26Pinto A ........................................... 34Piper J ............................................ 23Pluess DN ...............................20, 28Polidan EJ ...................................... 41Pollard SJT .................................... 21Poortvliet PM................................ 45Port JA ........................................... 28Post ES .......................................... 24Pottenger LH ................................ 32

Pouillot R ....................................... 22Powell MR ..................................... 20Powers CM .................................... 44Powers CW .................................... 24Pradhan AK ............... 22, 25, 26, 30Prasad B ......................................... 22Pratt I ............................................. 22Price CC ......................................... 37Price JC .......................................... 43Proescholdt TA ............................ 34Prpich G ........................................ 21Prueitt RL ..........................24, 33, 44

QQian H ...............................22, 24, 34Quadros M .................................... 28Quiring SM .................................... 35

RRace MS ......................................... 43Rahaman FR ...........................24, 36Rajasekar M ................................... 23Rak A .......................................27, 35Ramacciotti FC ............................. 44Rao V ............................................. 27Rasmuson J ................................... 45Reichard J ...................................... 24Reich-Weiser C ............................. 33Reid R ............................................. 25Reilly AC ........................................ 23Reinhardt JC .................................. 19Reiss R............................................ 41Reitman F ...................................... 45Renn O........................ 21, 30, 33, 38Reynolds K ........................26, 28, 32Rhomberg LR ... 18, 20, 22, 36, 44, 45Rice GE .............................18, 34, 36Richardson H ................................ 43Richmond-Bryant J ...................... 28Rickard L .................................33, 37Rickard LN .................................... 37Rico CM ......................................... 36Rinckel L ........................................ 25Risotto S ........................................ 35Risz Y ............................................. 33

Ritter L ........................................... 40Roberson JA .................................. 31Robertson LJ ................................. 40Robinson LA ...........................23, 43Rodricks JV ................................... 42Rodriguez C .................................. 24Rodriguez D .................................. 32Rogers B ........................................ 33Rohde A ......................................... 22Roh S .............................................. 33Roman HA .................................... 23Rose AN ........................................ 32Rose SM ......................................... 23Rosenstein AB .............................. 33Rosoff HR ..............................23, 37Ross CS .......................................... 45Ross MA ............................20, 36, 44Roszell LE ..................................... 27Rothschild C.................................. 19Rotroff D ...................................... 28Rouse JF ........................................ 33Rovins J .......................................... 23Rowan KE ...............................23, 37Rowe AJ ......................................... 27Rubin J ........................................... 33Ruder E ....................................23, 33Ruiz P ............................................. 20Rupert MG .................................... 40Ryti RT ........................................... 33

SSaat MR ...................................21, 31Sacks JD ......................................... 36Sadeghi F .................................33, 34Saegerman C ................................. 40Sager SL ...................................22, 27Sahmel J ......................................... 27Sakagami M ................................... 24Sakata N ...................................26, 27Sakura O ........................................ 26Salazar DE .........................21, 31, 41Salazar KD .................................... 18Saldiva PHN .................................. 24Salmon AG .................................... 30Sandvig RM ................................... 44

Santos JR ....................................... 43Santos JS ........................................ 36Sarkani S ........................................ 37Sarkar S .......................................... 18Sarofim MC ................................... 25Sarri M ........................................... 42Sasso AF ..................................18, 28Satterfield T ................................... 36Sax SN................................24, 32, 44Sayes CM ....................................... 44Sayre P............................................ 44Scanlon KA ................................... 35Schaffner DW ............................... 26Scheer D ........................................ 30Schetula VS ................................... 33Scheufele DA ................................ 18Schick A ......................................... 31Schimmel JD ................................. 20Schlekat TH .................................. 27Schlosser PM...........................18, 28Schoeny R ...................................... 31Schroeter R .................................... 33Schubert W .................................... 21Schuldt JP ................................27, 33Schwander SS ................................ 18Schweizer PJ .................................. 31Scott-Fordsmand J ....................... 36Scott RP ......................................... 33Scott T............................................ 37Scouras J ........................................ 43Scurich N ....................................... 23Seidel C .......................................... 31Sekizaki T ...................................... 26Sellke P ........................................... 33Sellnow T ....................................... 23Selvik JT ......................................... 43Senger-Mersich A ......................... 26Seo M ............................................. 37Serrano JA ..................................... 31Sertkaya A ................................18, 37Severtson DJ ................................. 45Shah I ............................................. 28Shan X............................................ 28Shankar P ....................................... 40Shao K ........................................... 30

Shapiro MA ................................... 45Shapiro S ........................................ 31Shatkin JA ...................................... 36Shereif M ....................................... 40Sheriff G ....................................... 23Shieh E ........................................... 37Shin DC ......................................... 27Shin HM ........................................ 25Shirley SH ...................................... 18Shoaf H ......................................... 27Shoemaker K ................................ 20Shortridge JE ................................ 32Shubat PJ ....................................... 40Siegrist J ......................................... 20Siegrist M ....................................... 23Simons J ......................................... 23Sinclair RG .................................... 28Slovic P .......................................... 23Small J ......................................22, 32Small MJ ........................................ 25Smith DW................................19, 26Smith MN ...................................... 28Son M ............................................. 43Sonawane B ................................... 24Song C ......................................28, 41Song H ........................................... 27Song JW ......................................... 25Song S ............................................ 44Soto-Beltran M ............................. 28Spada M ......................................... 36Spence PR ..................................... 30Staerk K ......................................... 30Staid A ............................................ 35Stanek LW ..................................... 28Starks SE ....................................... 42Stavrou DI ..................................... 31Stayner L ........................................ 40Stedge J .......................................... 27Stedman RC .................................. 19Steinfeldt M ................................... 36Steinhardt JS ............................26, 45Sterin AM ...................................... 25Stern PC ......................................... 38Stevens K ....................................... 30Stewart D .................................25, 31

51

Stewart KN ................................... 36Stewart RN .................................... 32Stiefel D ......................................... 45Stillman M ..................................... 19Stoeckel DM ................................. 19Stokstad E ..................................... 23Stone V .......................................... 36Straif K .......................................... 44Strellec K ....................................... 43Stylianou K .................................... 42Suarez M ........................................ 36Sugeno M ...................................... 20Sun T-J ........................................... 45Sungar N ........................................ 22Sunger N ........................................ 34Sung FC ...................................24, 25Suppes L ........................................ 32Susel I ............................................. 23Sütterlin B ...................................... 23Swenberg J ...............................42, 44Symanski E .................................... 40Symons JM .................................... 42

TTabibzadeh M ............................... 43Taft SC .....................................20, 32Takemura K .................................. 26Takeshita J ...............................24, 25Talabi S .......................................... 37Tambe M ....................................... 37Tan RR ........................................... 43Tanir JY....................................34, 42Tetley TT ....................................... 18Teuschler LK ....................18, 34, 36Thacker S ....................................... 19Thakali S ........................................ 32Thekdi SA................................19, 33Theobald A ................................... 22Therezien M .................................. 36Thirman MJ .................................. 44Thomas D ..................................... 22Thorne SL ..................................... 26Timofeev AA ................................ 25Tinsley CH .................................... 23Tinsworth R .................................. 33

Toccalino PL ................................. 40Todd J............................................. 42Tokai A .......................................... 24Tonn BE ........................................ 45Tonn GL ........................................ 41Touati M ........................................ 28Triantafyllidou S ........................... 40Trumbo CW ............................21, 26Tsubono K ..............................26, 27Tsuji JS ........................................... 22Tucker K ........................................ 31Tuler SP ......................................... 26Turley AT ...................................... 25Turner MB ...............................31, 33Tvermoes B ................................... 27

UUgoni A ......................................... 26Ullrich GW .................................... 43Underhill JC .................................. 27Underwood PM ............................ 35Urban JU .................................24, 36

VVaishnav P ..................................... 18Valentini M .................................... 27Vandenberg JM .................20, 30, 44Vandeputte S ................................. 40van der Giessen JW...................... 40Van Der Kraak G ......................... 25Van Doren JM .............................. 34Vatanpour S ................................... 36Veeramany A ................................. 34Ventikos NP .................................. 31Verdolini E .................................... 32Verner MA .................................... 42Vianna NA .................................... 24Viauroux C .................................... 43Vickers C ....................................... 40Victory K ....................................... 26Vieira VM ...................................... 25Vinikoor-Imler LC ....................... 36Vogel CM....................................... 27Von Dobscheutz S ....................... 30von Stackelberg K ........................ 18Vorhees D ..................................... 40

WWachinger G ................................. 30Wade M .......................................... 25Wagner DM ................................... 28Walderhaug MO ........................... 30Wald-Hopkins P ........................... 33Walker KW .................................... 32Wallace JC ...................................... 28Wang A .......................................... 28Wang B ........................................... 30Wang GS ........................................ 26Wang M .......................................... 26Wang P ........................................... 19Wang X .......................................... 28Wang Y ....................................23, 27Ward MP ........................................ 44Waters JF ....................................... 19Way D ............................................ 37Way DHP ...................................... 37Webler TW .................................... 26Weed DL ....................................... 18Wei D ............................................. 21Weke PO ........................................ 25Wender BA .................................... 36Westerman A ................................ 34White RD ...................................... 45Whitmire M .............................26, 41Wichers Stanek L.......................... 27Wiehe F .......................................... 30Wiener JB ...................................... 45Wilkes C ......................................... 40Wilkie A ...................................27, 28Willett C ......................................... 25Williams BH .................................. 25Williams RA .................................. 40Willis AM .................................24, 26Willis HH .................................31, 37Wilson B ........................................ 37Wilson GS ..................................... 45Wilson P ........................................ 26Wilson R ........................................ 33Wilson RS ...................................... 23Wilson T ........................................ 36Winkel DJ ................................19, 27Wise K .....................................32, 35

Wohlleben W ................................ 36Wolf D ........................................... 34Wong DY ....................................... 19Wong H.......................................... 37Wong J ........................................... 37Wong-Parodi G ............................. 45Wright JM ................... 18, 34, 36, 40Wroblewski MJ ............................. 26Wu CH ........................................... 26Wu CY ........................................... 27Wu F ............................................... 18Wu H .............................................. 42Wu KY ........................ 24, 25, 26, 27Wu TN .....................................24, 25Wu TT ......................................24, 25Wullenweber A ............................. 26Wuthe J .......................................... 30

XXia Y .............................................. 22Xu J ....................................28, 33, 41Xu JH .......................................26, 28

YYager JW ........................................ 22Yamaguchi H ................................ 24Yamaki N ....................................... 25Yamauchi H................................... 25Yan Z.............................................. 30Yang H ........................................... 25Yang JI ........................................... 27Yang Z ........................................... 35Yang ZJ ..............................28, 30, 37Yaroschak PJ ................................. 35Yasutaka T ..................................... 37Yates JY ......................................... 28Yazigi D ......................................... 40Yemelyanov AM ........................... 44Yemshanov D ............................... 41Yoe CE ........................................... 41Yong AG ........................................ 26Yoon M .......................................... 42Yoshida A ...................................... 26Young B ...................................27, 28Yu KS ............................................. 43

Yu R ................................................ 42Yuyama A ................................25, 37

ZZacharias CA ..........................23, 26Zaleski RT .........................22, 24, 34Zang Y ........................................... 18Zechman EM ................................ 19Zeckhauser R ................................ 23Zeise L ........................................... 30Zerbe R .......................................... 37Zhang J ..............................18, 28, 37Zhao Q .......................................... 30Zhao Y ........................................... 21Zheng JM ...................................... 25Zhu KJ .....................................26, 28Zhuang J ..................... 28, 32, 37, 43Zhuang JJ....................................... 41Zimmerman R .............................. 31Zio E ........................................20, 22Ziobro GC .................................... 34Zussblatt N ................................... 36Zwickle A ...................................... 33

52

Hilt

on B

alti

mor

e -

Fir

st F

loor

Hilt

on B

alti

mor

e -

Seco

nd F

loor

Hilt

on B

alti

mor

e -

Thi

rd F

loor

FloorplansWiley is proud to publish

Risk Analysis, the official journal received by all members of the SRA, provides a focal point for new developments in the theory and practice of risk analysis for researchers and practitioners from a wide range of disciplines. Its research and perspective articles focus on risk assessment, management, perception, and communication in the topic areas of human health, safety, and the environment.

Read these featured issues from 2013 online: Special Series: The Fish Invasiveness Screening Kit (FISK) for Non-native Freshwater FishesVolume 33, Issue 8

Special Issue: Modeling Poliovirus Risks Volume 33, Issue 4

Special Virtual Issue: Risk Analysis of InfluenzaSpring 2013

SRA 2013 Annual Meeting attendees receive 35% discount on the following books*:

Alternative Ecological Risk Assessment Lawrence Tannenbaum

Uncertainty in Risk Assessment Terje Aven, Enrico Zio, Piero Baraldi, Roger Flage

Handbook of Decision Analysis Gregory S. Parnell, Terry Bresnick, Steven N. Tani, Eric R. Johnson

Chemical Risk Assessment Peter Fisk

BiosecurityRyan Burnette

Climate Forcing of Geological Hazards Bill McGuire, Mark A. Maslin

To receive the discount, please enter the code SRA13 in the shopping cart when checking out on wiley.com. Discount is available globally until April 1, 2014.

Edited By: L. Anthony Cox, Jr.ISI Journal Citation Reports © Ranking 2012: 4/45 (Social Sciences Mathematical Methods);12/93 (Mathematics Interdisciplinary Applications)

2.278 Impact Factor

wileyonlinelibrary.com/journal/risk

Wiley is proud to publish

Risk Analysis, the official journal received by all members of the SRA, provides a focal point for new developments in the theory and practice of risk analysis for researchers and practitioners from a wide range of disciplines. Its research and perspective articles focus on risk assessment, management, perception, and communication in the topic areas of human health, safety, and the environment.

Read these featured issues from 2013 online: Special Series: The Fish Invasiveness Screening Kit (FISK) for Non-native Freshwater FishesVolume 33, Issue 8

Special Issue: Modeling Poliovirus Risks Volume 33, Issue 4

Special Virtual Issue: Risk Analysis of InfluenzaSpring 2013

SRA 2013 Annual Meeting attendees receive 35% discount on the following books*:

Alternative Ecological Risk Assessment Lawrence Tannenbaum

Uncertainty in Risk Assessment Terje Aven, Enrico Zio, Piero Baraldi, Roger Flage

Handbook of Decision Analysis Gregory S. Parnell, Terry Bresnick, Steven N. Tani, Eric R. Johnson

Chemical Risk Assessment Peter Fisk

BiosecurityRyan Burnette

Climate Forcing of Geological Hazards Bill McGuire, Mark A. Maslin

To receive the discount, please enter the code SRA13 in the shopping cart when checking out on wiley.com. Discount is available globally until April 1, 2014.

Edited By: L. Anthony Cox, Jr.ISI Journal Citation Reports © Ranking 2012: 4/45 (Social Sciences Mathematical Methods);12/93 (Mathematics Interdisciplinary Applications)

2.278 Impact Factor

wileyonlinelibrary.com/journal/risk

Thanks for coming!

See you next year in

Denver, Colorado7-10 December 2014

risk analysis for better policies

Documents