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RISKS & RESOLUTIONS: THE “DAY AFTER” FOR FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS APRIL 15, 2009 Lessons Learned 1

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Page 1: RISKS & RESOLUTIONS: THE “DAY AFTER” FOR FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS APRIL 15, 2009 Lessons Learned 1

RISKS & RESOLUTIONS: THE “DAY AFTER” FOR FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS

APRIL 15, 2009

Lessons Learned1

Page 2: RISKS & RESOLUTIONS: THE “DAY AFTER” FOR FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS APRIL 15, 2009 Lessons Learned 1

Key Points

Financial system developments and leverageOriginate to distribute business modelInterconnections in the financial systemRole of the unregulated or “shadow” banking

systemIncentives

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Page 3: RISKS & RESOLUTIONS: THE “DAY AFTER” FOR FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS APRIL 15, 2009 Lessons Learned 1

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Page 4: RISKS & RESOLUTIONS: THE “DAY AFTER” FOR FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS APRIL 15, 2009 Lessons Learned 1

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Page 6: RISKS & RESOLUTIONS: THE “DAY AFTER” FOR FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS APRIL 15, 2009 Lessons Learned 1

Originate-to-Distribute Model

Market largely shut downKey lessons learned:

Underwriting matters Does the market understand what it is buying Transparency, disclosure

Complexity or simplicity?Sustainable business model?

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Page 7: RISKS & RESOLUTIONS: THE “DAY AFTER” FOR FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS APRIL 15, 2009 Lessons Learned 1

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Page 8: RISKS & RESOLUTIONS: THE “DAY AFTER” FOR FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS APRIL 15, 2009 Lessons Learned 1

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Page 9: RISKS & RESOLUTIONS: THE “DAY AFTER” FOR FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS APRIL 15, 2009 Lessons Learned 1

Interconnections

Complexity of financial systemTransformation of risksLessons learned:

Need to look in more than one place for risks Stress testing and scenario analysis – what if? Correlations Left hand and right hand are in sync

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Page 10: RISKS & RESOLUTIONS: THE “DAY AFTER” FOR FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS APRIL 15, 2009 Lessons Learned 1

Role of unregulated financial system

Nonbank world – how much of a driver are they?

Lessons learned: General consistency in practices very important Risks can build up in places you don’t expect “Save us from ourselves”

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Page 11: RISKS & RESOLUTIONS: THE “DAY AFTER” FOR FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS APRIL 15, 2009 Lessons Learned 1

Incentives

What drives risk taking?What drives risk management?Critical to understanding incentives

Bank and nonbank sector practices What is the right balance?

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