road traffic noise and risk for cardiovascular disease and diabetes mette sørensen, senior...
TRANSCRIPT
Road traffic noise and risk for cardiovascular disease and
diabetes
Mette Sørensen, Senior Researcher
Danish Cancer Society Research Centre
Road traffic noise and MI
No adjustment for air pollution
Wolfgang Babisch, Noise and Health, 2008
• Meta-analyses of 7 case-control and cohort studies on road traffic noise and myocardial infarction (MI)
• Dose-response relationship
Babisch W, Noise and Health 2008; 10:27-33
Road traffic noise and MI
Two studies after 2008 included both road traffic noise and air pollution:
1. Selander, Epidemiology, 2009Road traffic noise increase risk for incident MI after adjustment for air pollution (modeled NO2)
2. Beelen, Occup Environ Med, 2009Before air pollution adjustment weak tendency to higher risk for mortality from IHD at road traffic noise > 65 dBAfter adjustment (BS, traffic intensity) no association
Lund, April 2013
Stroke and diabetes
Lund, April 2013
STROKE• Many risk factors in
common with MI• Major risk factor is
hypertension• WHO: 15 million people
suffer stroke each year
DIABETES• Stress and sleep
disturbances has been associated with• Insulin resistance• High morning glucose• Appetite regulation• Type 2 diabetes
• WHO: at least 171 million people worldwide have diabetes
Hypotheses
Exposure to road traffic noise increase the risk for:• Incident myocardial infarction
• Incident stroke
• Diabetes
-> also after adjusting for air pollution
Lund, April 2013
The cohort
Diet, Cancer and Health cohort• Enrolment in 1993-1997
• 160 725 persons aged 50-64 years invited
• Copenhagen and Aarhus
• 57 053 participated
• Questionnaire (diet, smoking, alcohol, education etc.)
• Weight, height and waist circumference measured
Lund, April 2013
Noise exposure
Addresses• Central Population Registry
• Since 1971 all residents addresses (incl. change of address) recorded
• All residential addresses between 1987 and 2006 using the PIN
• Complete address history for ≈ 54 000 participants
• All in all ≈ 62 000 addresses
• Geocoded
Lund, April 2013
Noise exposure
SoundPLAN – the Nordic Prediction Method• Geographical coordinates for each address (≈ 62 000 addresses)
• Height (floor) for each address
• Building polygons
• All road lines with > 1000 vehicles
• Traffic composition (heavy/light)
• Yearly average daily traffic
• Traffic speed
Lund, April 2013
Road noise at enrolment
Lden, dB N Percent
< 50 5541 10
50 – 55 16389 31
55 – 60 12684 24
60 – 65 10011 19
65 – 70 5728 11
70 – 75 2490 5
≥ 75 319 1
Lund, April 2013
Air pollution
Danish AirGIS modeling system• Dispersion model
• At each address from 1987 until 2006
• Calculates the sum of: local, urban background and
regional background contributions
• NOx: indicator of air pollution; correlates with traffic such
as ultrafine particles (r = 0.93) and PM10 (r = 0.70)
Lund, April 2013
Identification of cases
Myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke• Danish National Hospital Registry (1977):
• registers ALL discharges from Danish hospitals• follow-up cohort using PIN (censoring in 2006)
• MI: also validation using medical records• Primary event - exclude participants with stroke/MI before
enrolment• In total 1881 stroke cases and 1600 MI cases
Lund, April 2013
Identification of cases
Diabetes• The National Diabetes Registry (1995)
• Registers all diabetes based on information from other registers:• Hospital admission (National Hospital Registry)• Medication (National Prescription Registry)• Reimbursement for chiropody due to diabetes (National Health
Service Registry) • Blood glucose tests (National Health Service Registry)
• In total 3869 cases• Exclude participants with diabetes before enrolment (questionnaire)
Lund, April 2013
DesignCox proportional hazard model• Follow-up until: stroke/MI/diabetes (event), death, emigration or
censoring (June 2006)
• Age underlying time
• Road traffic noise: time-varying - annual mean of Lden at the address at
time of diagnosis (5-y preceding diagnosis)
• Adjustment:
• sex, calendar-year, socioeconomic factors, railways and airport noise,
air pollution (NOx)
• Lifestyle confounders, e.g. smoking status, BMI and intake of fruit,
vegetables and alcoholLund, April 2013
Results, stroke/MI
Lden, per 10 dB
Stroke Cases
StrokeAdjusted IRR
(95% CI)
MICases
MIAdjusted IRR
(95% CI)
All 1881 1.14 (1.03–1.25) 1600 1.12 (1.02-1.22)
Sex
Men 1109 1.14 (1.02–1.27) 1188 1.14 (1.03-1.26)
Women 772 1.13 (1.00–1.28) 412 1.06 (0.91-1.23)
Age at event
< 65 y 952 1.02 (0.91–1.14)* 871 1.06 (0.95-1.18)
≥ 65 y 929 1.27 (1.13–1.43)* 729 1.19 (1.06-1.34)
* P interaction (< 0.001)
Lund, April 2013
Adjusted for age, sex, BMI, lifestyle habits, socioeconomic factors, railway and airport noise, air pollution
Results, rcs
Stroke Myocardial infarction
Lund, April 2013
Results, stroke age
Lund, April 2013
Results, diabetes
Lund, April 2013
Road traffic noiseLden, per 10 dB
Diabetes Cases
DiabetesAdjusted IRR
(95% CI)
All diabetes
Noise at diagnosis 3 869 1.08 (1.02-1.14)
5-y noise average preceding diagnosis 3 869 1.11 (1.05-1.18)
Confirmed diabetes *
Noise at diagnosis 2 752 1.11 (1.03-1.19)
5-y noise average preceding diagnosis 2 752 1.14 (1.06-1.22)
* Exclusion of cases only included in the National Diabetes Registry based on blood glucose tests.Adjusted for age, sex, BMI, waist circumference, lifestyle habits, socioeconomic factors, railway and airport noise, air pollution
Results, diabetes
Lund, April 2013
Conclusions
• Exposure to residential road traffic noise was associated
with a higher risk for stroke, MI and diabetes
• For stroke the association was strongest among the oldest
• For stroke indications of threshold limit around 60 dB
• For MI no threshold limit
• For diabetes indications of level off around 65 dB
Lund, April 2013
Strenghts
• Large study with good power
• Prospective design
• Follow-up in nationwide registers
• For MI – validation by medical records
• Historical address information
• Adjustment for air pollution
Lund, April 2013
Weaknesses
• No information on noise barriers
• No information on the bedroom location
• Stroke – no information on subtype (hemorrhagic/ischemic)
• Diabetes – unknown whether type I or II (though exclusion of
all diabetes before age 50)
Lund, April 2013
Co-authorsDanish Cancer Society:
Ole Raaschou-Nielsen, Zorana Andersen, Rikke Baastrup, Anne Tjønneland
Danish EPA: Jørgen Jakobsen
Aarhus University, Denmark: Kim Overvad, Martin Hvidberg, Steen Jensen
Rambøll, Denmark: Kenneth Lillelund
Utrecht University, The Netherlands: Rob Beelen
FUNDING:
• Danish EPA
• Research Centre for Environmental Health, Danish Ministry of the Interior and Health
• European Research Council, EU 7th Research Framework Programme (grant 281760)
Lund, April 2013
Thank you for your attention