roadmap to achieve the (renewable) h2 economy...
TRANSCRIPT
RoadMap to Achieve the (Renewable) H2 Economy
June 3, 2019
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Key Factors Required for a Renewable Hydrogen Economy
Source: Hydrogen Council
Achieving Scale and a Roadmap to Value Chain Profitability
A Level Paying Field relative to other forms of Alternative Energy
Global Collaboration between Public and Private Sectors
A Predictable and Sustained Commitment from Governments
Hydrogen Council Vision: The Hydrogen Economy in 20502050 Hydrogen Vision
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Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry
METI Headquarters 1-3-1 Kasumigaseki, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-8901, Japan
Minister Responsible
•Hiroshige Sekō, Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry
Japan’s Responsibility for Energy Transition
Energy trilemma:
Energy Security
Environment (Sustainability)
Economic Affordability (Cost)
3 “E” + Safety
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Iwatani Corporation
ENERGY47%
MATERIALS20%
AGRI-BIO FOODS & OTHER
6%
INDUSTRIAL GASES & MACHINERY
27%
Established May 5, 1930
Consolidated Net Sales: ¥ 670.7B / $6.7B (FY 2017)
Employees: 9,453 (3/2018)
CEO: Akiji Makino
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Iwatani’s Commitment to Hydrogen in Japan
27 Fueling StationsManufacturing Plants Distribution Equipment
Leading Market Position
Vertically Integrated Supply Chain
Significant Focus on Safety
Extensive Investment in R&D
Iwatani is Investing Significant Capital in the US Hydrogen Infrastructure
Source : California Energy Commission
Entering the Light Duty Hydrogen Fueling Station Market in California
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Future Opportunities
Renewable Energy
Production
Renewable Hydrogen Production
Medium & Heavy DutyZEV Fueling
Hydrogen’s Role and Contribution to Japan’s 3E + Safety Policy
Energy Security Mitigates dependence on specific countries
Environment (Sustainability) De-carbonized energy source
Economic Affordability (Cost) High priority: Access to low-cost feedstock
Oil(40%)
Coal(27%)
Gas(27%)
HydroNuclear
Renewables
Japan’s Sources of Energy: 2016
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Japan’s “Basic Hydrogen Strategy”
Prime Minister Abe’s H2 Initiatives
Establish World’s 1st National H2 Strategy
2050 Vision: Position H2 as a new energy option
Affordable H2
$3/kg by 2020
$2/kg by 2050
Essential Enablers
Achieve Scale across the entire Supply Chain
Leverage untapped resources
Encourage / Incentivize Mass Adoption
Mobility
Power Generation
Tokyo Statement Agenda Outcomes
Harmonization of Regulation, Codes and Standards
International Joint R&D emphasizing Safety
Study and evaluate Hydrogen’sPotential
Communication, Education and Outreach
Examples of Some of the Global De-carbonized Hydrogen Projects
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Today’s High-level Hydrogen Supply Chain for Fueling Stations
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H2 Production Processes
Reforming (SMR) Gasification Electrolysis
Feedstock Options
Natural Gas Chemical Biomass Coal (w/ sequestration) Water Nuclear Residuals Others
H2 Conversion/Handling
Liquefaction Compression
H2 Distribution
Liquid Trailer Tube Trailer (Gas)
H2 Dispensing
Vaporized Liquid Compressed Gas
Anticipated Future State Hydrogen Supply Chain: Gaps / Challenges
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Gap: Increased Reliance on Renewable Power Generation
Challenge: Price of Power / Timing of Investments
• Gap: Significant % H2 Feedstock Required to be Derived from Renewable Sources / Low Carbon Intensity Pathways
• Challenge: Significant Cost Reduction Required; Definitions / Incentive Programs & Capital
Gap: Cost Parity of H2 at Dispenser with Gasoline
Challenge: Upstream H2 Capital Investment will likely require ROI / T&C’s to compensate for Downstream Risks
Gap: Significant Increase in Liquid H2 Production & Transport Equipment Required
Challenge: Timing of Capital Investment with Demand Realization
Iwatani’s Vision: To Create a Global Scale CO2-Free H2 Supply Chain
Renewable Energy & H2 Production
Import & Distribute H2Throughout Japan
Ocean Transport
Solar, Wind, Hydro, Bio-Waste Recovery & Others
Electrolyzer & Other Renewable Hydrogen
Sources
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Hydrogen FC Vehicles Turbines for Power Generation Back-up Power Generation Fuel Cell Powered Equipment
CA H2 Supply Chain Challenge: Scale Alone Might not be Enough
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Expanding Liquid H2 Supply
World Class Plant: 30 TPD / $125 MM+
To achieve Long Term CA LD Goals could require 20+ New LH2 Plants, massive increases in storage capacity and Significant investment in new Distribution Equipment
Building Standalone Merchant LH2 Plants are Speculative Investments and present Supply Agreements reflect this reality
Unlike gasoline, there are no LH2 Racks today and H2 Costs are relatively less transparent
Renewable Power Generation & Grid kWh Cost
$/kWh Grid Price puts Electrolizers at a disadvantage in many markets
Scale projects have likelihood of proceeding where new Utility Islands can be created utilizing Hydro, Solar and Wind Power Generation (i.e.. Canada)
Shift to Renewable H2 Sources
Visibility into timing of capacity additions, potential for grid integration, reliability enhancements, proximity and Gov’t policy/commitment are key factors
Regulatory Agency Commitment to Definitions of Renewable Pathways are essential to De-Risk Project Investments
Achieving Cost Parity at the Pump for Drivers
$3.50/gasoline gallon / 27 MPG = $0.13/Mile* Today $14/Kg H2 / 66 MKg = $0.21/Mile* Cost Parity would require roughly $8/Kg H2*
How long will Automobile OEM’s subsidize fuel purchases?
Positive NPV at LT Target H2 Cost at Dispenser requires subsidies
Vertically Integrated Competitors will likely have a significant advantage
*Source: CEC & CARB Staff Report on AB8
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Innovation is Driving Demand for H2…But it is a Long Term Play
Support from Government & Public Sectors is Essential
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Achieving Scale leads to a Sustainable Industry
Harmonization of Codes & Standards enables economies of scale via equipment procurement savings, station design and inter-operability across national boundaries
Promote Development of Light AND Heavy-Duty ZEV Infrastructure
Support Transportation Initiatives: Maritime, Bridges & Tunnel Crossings
Encourage All Forms of Renewable Hydrogen Production
Create a Level Playing Field Across All Alternative Fuel Modes
Support Programs that Encourage Collaboration between Public and Private Sectors (e.g. Japan & California Model)
Predictable and Sustained Commitment Allows for Long-Term Investment, Planning and De-Risks Projects
Many Challenges…but Japan and California are Two Bright Spots
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Significant Government Agency Support & Constructive Engagement and Financial Commitment
CEC, CARB, BAAQMD, SCAQMD, GO-Biz, DOT, DOE, NREL, SANDIA, Local Municipalities & Others
METI, New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization (NEDO) and Japan External Trade Organization (JETRO)
High Private Industry Commitment and Investment
Automobile OEM’s, Industrial Gas & Energy Company’s, Capital Equipment Suppliers and Entrepreneurs
Trade Organizations creating platforms for constructive collaboration and overcoming the chicken and egg dilemma
Hydrogen Council, JHyM, California Fuel Cell Partnership, CHBC & Others
University Support and Talent Pipeline
Hydrogen on a World Platform: G20 Ministerial Meeting
Energy Transitions & Global Environment for Sustainable Growth
June 15 & 16, 2019
Karuizawa, Japan
Anticipated Outcome:
Communique
Action Plan
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Thank you
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