Roberta CameraValerie Cogan

Beirut 12 | 06 | 03

Requirements and Constraints Analysis

D01.1

2

R & C Analysis: Objectives

Objectives

– Key Issues

– Key Stakeholders

– Data Requirements

– Data Availability

– Constraints

Okam’s Razor

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W P 01R equ irem ents a nd C onstra in ts A na lysisF EEM Ita ly

W P 02S ocio-Econom ic F ra m ew ork & G u idelinesEIA Por tuga l

W P 03A na lytica l Tools a nd M odelsS O G R EA H F ra nce

W P 04D a ta C omp ila tion a nd A na lysisS U M ER Tu rkey

W P 05 R egiona l C a se Study: T U R K EYS U M ER Tu rkey

W P 06 R egiona l C a se Study: C ED A R E Egypt

EG Y P T

W P 07 R egiona l C a se Study: N C R S L eba non

L EBA N O N

W P 08 R egiona l C a se Study: U O J Jorda n

JO R D A N

W P 09 R egiona l C a se Study: C N T D Tun isia

T U N IS IA

W P 10C om pa ra tive Policy A na lysisF EEM Ita ly

W P 11D issem ina tion a nd Exp loita tionES S A ustr ia

W P 00P roject C oordina tion a nd A dm in istra tionES S A ustr ia

M ET H O D O L O G Y

CA SE ST U DIES

FEEM contributions

Next Step

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Case Study Profile

Main elements:

•Overview of the Area

•Water Supply & Demand

•Key Issues

•Key Stakeholders

•Case Study Objective

POPULATION

2.000.000 Abu Kir BayEXTENT

1338.223km2133,822.3ha

HYDROGRAPHIC

BOUNDARIES

AND

RIVER BASIN

OBJECTS

THE OVERALL AIM OF SMART PROJECT IS TO DEVELOP, IMPLEMENT AND

TEST A NEW, PARTICIPATORY BUT SCIENTIFICALLY SOUND AND RATIONAL

APPROACH TO PLANNING AND MANAGEMENT OF THE COASTAL ZONE THAT

CAN HELP TO RECONCILE CONFLICTING DEMANDS ON SCARCE NATURAL

RESOURCE

LOCATION

N: 30°00’30°30’

E:31°00’31°30’

CURRENT WATER SUPPLY CURRENT WATER DEMANDSURFACE

xGROUND TREATED RAINFALL

X

AGRICULTURE

X

INDUSTRY

xENV

xDOMESTIC

X

TOURISM

xKEY ISSUES

Salt water intrusion; Rising water table and increasing soil salinityMarine and water pollutionDemographic Development: High Rates of population growth/ Increased rates of unemploymentLand Use Change: Uncontrolled urbanizationTechnological Change : Building of a new harbour and natural gas liquefaction plantInstitutional Evolution : Shortage of institutional capabilities of monitoring and land use changes. Thelegislation doesn’t establish water price for irrigation as yet. Traditional water rights for irrigation are ensuredby law. In general there is low legislation on water quality. The main characteristics of water regulations are setby Law 4/1994 for Marine pollution in general and from land based sources which requires treatment beforedisposal and sets limits on possible discharge in the marine environment. Concerning water allocation, freshwater regulations are enforced through the Law 48/1982. Distribution is the responsibility of Ministry of PublicWorks.

STAKEHOLDERSSURFACE WATER GROUNDWATER WASTEWATER AG RETURNS

K

EY

ST

AK

EH

OL

DE

RS

Pla

n (

bas

in-l

evel

)

Allo

cate

Wat

er

Con

stru

ct F

acili

ties

Dis

trib

ute

Wat

er

Mai

nta

in F

acili

ties

Mon

itor

Qu

ality

Ens

ure

Qu

ality

Pro

tect

Aga

inst

Flo

odin

gP

rote

ct E

colo

gy

Pla

n (

bas

in-l

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)

Allo

cate

Wat

er

Con

stru

ct F

acili

ties

With

draw

/Dis

trib

ute

Wat

erM

aint

ain

Fac

ilitie

s

Mon

itor

Qu

ality

Ens

ure

Qu

ality

Pla

n (

bas

in-l

evel

)

Con

stru

ct F

acili

ties

Ope

rate

Fac

ilitie

s

Mai

nta

in F

acili

ties

Mon

itor

Qu

ality

Enf

orce

Qua

lity

Con

stru

ct F

acili

ties

Mai

nta

in F

acili

ties

Mon

itor

Qu

ality

Enf

orce

Qua

lity

Fishermen Farmers Tourism services Ministry ofEnvironment

Investors LocalGovernment

Industries Ministry of Publicworks

NGOs Bank of theProvinces (IB)

CASE STUDY OBJECTIVE

To develop an ICZM approach that favours the development of tourist activities in the case study area, thatplans for the conservation of the biodiversity in the bay and that foresees and avoids potential conflictsbetween different demands on the available water supply. This involves three main tasks:

1. Satellite image change analysis, ground based surveys and building and analysing a GIS system2. Presenting an integrated plan for integrated coastal zone management of the region3. Carrying out a strategic environmental assessment of the plans

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Key issues

What are the Water Issues in our Case Studies?

Supply (61mm) Demand (49.6mm) : No water left for allocation whereas Domestic demand increases at a rate of 0.15 mm/year (%2) and industrial demand increases at a rate of 0.3 mm/year (%10). %60 percent of surface water

and %30 percent of groundwater are in IV class according to Turkish water

quality classification

Quantity

Quality

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Integrated Management

System Boundary

Discovering the levers

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Key issues of change 1

Demographic Development Basin population is growing at a rate of 1.5%. There is considerable internal migration and rapid urbanisation. Total basin population increased from 1.100.000 in 1970 to 1.700.000 in 1997.

Land Use Change Urban areas are increasing at a rate of %2, Industrial areas are growing at a rate of %10 (Related to increasing water demand). Urban population is increasing at a rate of %2; rural population is decreasing at a rate of %0.7.

Technological Change New irrigation technologies are encouraged to improve irrigation efficiency (reduction in water looses, change of irrigation methods, etc.). That may reduce irrigation demand or may cause an increase in irrigated areas, using the same amount of water.

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Institutional Evolution

Shortage of institutional capabilities of monitoring and land use changes. The legislation doesn’t establish water price for irrigation as yet. Traditional water rights for irrigation are ensured by law. In general there is low legislation on water quality. The main characteristics of water regulations are set by Law 4/1994 for Marine pollution in general and from land based sources which requires treatment before disposal and sets limits on possible discharge in the marine environment. Concerning water allocation, fresh water regulations are enforced through the Law 48/1982. Distribution is the responsibility of Ministry of Public Works.

Key issues of change 2

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Assessing Institutional FrameworkWEIGHTSCRITERIA

HIGH MEDIUM LOW

PolicyWater Price Represents (76% -

100%) cost recoveryRepresents (51% -75%) cost recovery

Represents (50% orless) cost recovery

Water Quality Combined approachusing Emission LimitValueandWater QualityObjective

Emission Limit ValueOrWater QualityObjective

No approach defined

Water AllocationConsumptive uses:domestic, industrial, touristand agriculturalNon- consumptive uses:hydropower generation,fishery, recreation andnature conservation

2:1 Ratio 4:1 Ratio 1:0 Ratio

PlanningNumber of plans Fragmentation low Fragmentation medium Fragmentation highHydrographicBoundaries

High % of plans Medium % of plans Low % of plans

Decentralisation Devolution Delegation DeconcentrationParticipation High representation of

different stakeholdersin RBMP

Medium representationof differentstakeholders in RBMP

Low representation ofdifferent stakeholdersin RBMP

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Identified stakeholders

Institutional Stakeholders Private sector stakeholders NGOsCase Studies National Regional Local Industry Tourism Farmers Various

TURKEY Gediz 2 3 2 2 1EGYPT Abu Kir 2 1 3 1 1 1 1LEBANON Abou Ali 4 1 3 1JORDAN Aqaba 4 3 1 1 1TUNISIA Tabarka 11 3 1 1TUNISIA Hammamet 11 3 1 1TUNISIA Gabes 11 3 1 1

Which are the “Key” Stakeholders?

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Case Study Objective

The overall objective of the SMART project is to develop, implement and test a new, participatory but scientifically sound and rational approach to planning and management of the coastal zone that can help to reconcile conflicting demands on scarce water.

In essence:

the project is concerned with testing a strategy for solving water demand conflicts

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WaterwareData requirements and availability

Data Availability in Case StudiesWaterware DataRequirements Turkey

GedizRiverBasin

EgyptAbu Kir

Bay

LebanonAbou Ali

Basin

JordanGulf ofAqaba

TunisiaTabarka

TunisiaGulf of

Hammamet

TunisiaGulf ofGabes

Application domain

Hydrometeorology

GIS data

River Basin Objects NA

Water Resourcesnetworks

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TELEMACData requirements and availability

Data Availability in Case StudiesTELEMACDataRequirements

TurkeyGedizRiverBasin

EgyptAbu Kir

Bay

LebanonAbou Ali

Basin

JordanGulf ofAqaba

TunisiaTabarka

TunisiaGulf of

Hammamet

TunisiaGulf ofGabes

Bathymetrical data NA

Initial conditions NA*

Water quality data NA*

Calibration of thehydrodynamicmodel

NA*

Calibration of thewater qualitymodel

NA*

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Socio- economic frameworkData requirements and availability

Data Availability in Case StudiesSocio-EconomicframeworkDataRequirements

TurkeyGedizRiverBasin

EgyptAbu Kir

Bay

LebanonAbou Ali

Basin

JordanGulf ofAqaba

TunisiaTabarka

TunisiaGulf of

Hammamet

TunisiaGulf ofGabes

Table 1 OfficialData in the CaseStudies

Table 2 DataNeeds forDemographicAnalysis

Table 3DemographicPolitical Matrix

Table 4 Guidelinesfor the PolicyFrame Matrix

NA

Table 5 EconomicData Needs

Table 6 Waterdemand DataNeeds

Table 7 DataNeeds forEconomicAnalysis

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Constraints?

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Making our R&C Analysis better?

General confirmation/criticism

Key Issues described with numbers

Key Stakeholders and participation

Institutional framework

Glossary

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OPEN QUESTIONS

Key issues? Are the categories identified relevant for each of the case studies?

Strategy for participation process, when, how, who?

Only institutional stakeholders for the participation process?

Are the data for socio-economic analysis available in each case study area?

Are costs of data and source of information really relevant?

Confirmation of data compilation methodology.

Confirmation of interrelation between methodologies.

Is the list of River Basin Objects identified in the Report relevant?

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GLOSSARY

How do you would like to organise the glossary?

What does it mean demographic development?

What does it mean technological change?

Who are stakeholders for SMART Project?

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COMMON QUESTIONS TO ALL CASE STUDIES

Do you confirm your CSP?

Which key issues are more relevant in your case study area?

Are other important issues in your area that we have not considered yet?

Could you specify the most relevant key water issues in a quantitative way, using the example provided by Turkey?

(except for Turkey and Lebanon) Could you specify the most relevant key issues of change in a quantitative way, using the example provided by Turkey?

It is possible to express your case objective in quantitative way taking into account the Turkish example?

Do you have a map of case study area that shows the Hydrographic boundaries and the river basin objects?

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Do you confirm the list of river basin objects?

Do you confirm the list of specific issues to be modelled by the TELEMAC System? Which of those issues are more relevant in your case study area?

Do you confirm the list of identified stakeholders to be involved in the participatory process?

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