robin chase-climate change future of transportation

8/6/2019 Robin Chase-Climate Change Future of Transportation

1/30

Climate Change

&the Future of Personal Transportation

Robin Chase


2/30

90%? 50% 0%

2008 2015 2018 2020 2050

.. Technology, Research, New Infrastructure .Behavior

If worldwide CO2 emissions tip in 2015, we have

a 50% chance of averting catastrophic effects -- John Holdren

Business as usual, for another 10 years, no chance

of averting catastrophic effects -- James HansenCO2 emissions

peak ASAP


3/30


4/30


5/30

Per Capita tons/year

World Avg 4.5

China 5.8

France 6.3US 17.7


6/30

6

Road transport is 20% of world CO2 emissions


7/30

Next 0-5 years Next 5-10 years Next 10-15 years Next 15+ years

Everyone

Ur

ban

Su

bur

ban

Rura

l

Congestion PricingMarket-rate ParkingCar sharing

Telecommuting

Alternative fuels

Subway

Walkablecommunities

Train

Light railBus

BicyclePedestrian

Fuel Efficiency

When we will feel the CO2 reduction benefits of actions taken today


8/30

Telecommuting

Gas taxes..Road PricingCarbon TaxesRide Sharing

Alternative fuels

Market-rate ParkingCar sharing

Subway

Walkablecommunities

Train

Light rail

Next 0-5 years Next 5-10 years Next 10-15 years Next 15+ years

Everyone

Ur

ban

Su

bur

ban

Rura

l

Bus

BicyclePedestrian

Congestion Pricing

Fuel Efficiency

When we will feel the CO2 reduction benefits of actions taken today

Moving Minds Moving Matters


9/30

9

BEHAVIOR


10/30

Today, 6000 euros = average cost/car/year

Major long-term trends increase cost of car transportation

Benefits of car ownership Cost of car ownership

increasing urbanization adds cars increases in: fossil fuel

rising incomes adds cars parking

congestion slows pace toll roads

alternative modes better for some trips congestion pricing

ROI worse as fewer hours/trips used carbon taxes


11/30

Therefore


12/30

Greater mode share to

cheaper, more space- & fuel-efficient alternatives:

Foot, bike, transit


13/30

Personal motorized vehicles will be cheaper, lighter, smaller, more fuel efficient

to reduce depreciation, road pricing, congestion pricing, parking, carbon taxes


14/30

Shared vehicles will be the right-size for the trip

And full


15/30

Larger vehicles will be shared vehicles

(car sharing)


16/30


17/30

Auto-Preneurs

17

See a need/niche for carsharing;

create your own in 5 minutes


18/30

18

+560,000

+8000+8000

- 219gallons/person

112,000

336,000

166,000,000 gallons

1.16 million metric tons

of CO2


19/30

How much is 1,160,000 metric tons

?

1weekof New York City annual CO2 emissions

(58 million metric

tons)

NYC = 1% of all U.S. CO2 emissions.

So Zipcar alone reduces US CO2 by 0.02%nationally. And the company is still growing.


20/30


21/30


22/30

Owners Perspec ve

Add mycar to the

network

Make moneyoff

mycar!

----

----

Drivers:

Reserve bythehour or

daywithappCarsreallyeverywhere KeyExchange Cheaper than tradi onal

carsharing

- - - -- - - -- - - -

Gogolf

Treillires


23/30

Owners Perspec ve

Add mycar to the

network

Make moneyoff

mycar!

----

----

Drivers:



carsharing

- - - -- - - -- - - -


24/30

Owners Perspec ve

Add mycar to the

network

Make moneyoff

mycar!

----

----

Drivers:



carsharing

- - - -- - - -- - - -

RondoudouNantes


25/30


26/30

Buzzcar: empowered people;

the power of diversity

26


27/30

Technology makes

the cost of sharing cheap& the effort of sharing easy


28/30

+


29/30

The future of the car?

Part of a complete mobility network Shared Right sized Full (includes ride sharing) Based on open standards & devices

Robin Chase

[email protected]

Blog: NetworkMusings.blogspot.com@rmchase
mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]


30/30

Robin [email protected]

@rmchase
mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]

robin chase-climate change future of transportation

Documents