rohit talwar - future 0f travel - world travel forum - lucerne - april 23rd 2009 handout

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The World in 2029 World Tourism Forum Lucerne Rohit Talwar CEO Fast Future April 23 rd 2009 [email protected] Tel +44 (0)20 8830 0766

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Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel - World Travel Forum - Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

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Page 1: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

The World in 2029

World Tourism Forum Lucerne

Rohit Talwar CEO

Fast Future April 23rd 2009

[email protected]

Tel +44 (0)20 8830 0766

Mob +44 (0)7973 405145

Page 3: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

81%81% 76%76%

62%62% 80%80%

Page 4: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

Demographic Destinies Over 2 billion more people in 40 years –

Demographics is Driving Economics

1998

445 665

769

5266

4034

731

965

339

572

Source : United Nations2008 2050 Source: UN

Page 5: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

Changing European Ethnicity

Page 6: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

Life Redefined – Lifespans are Increasing

Page 7: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

Food – Up or Salty?

Page 8: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

Politics gets Complex

Page 9: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

Economic Power Shifts

The Top 20 in 2025?

Source: www.gs.com

Page 10: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

How will the Downturn Develop?

Page 11: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

US Bank Exposure to Default RiskDerivates as % of Risk Capital Q408

Page 12: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

Love is in the Air

Road to Nowhere

Suspicious Minds

Dancing in the Dark

GDP Growth India and China

8-10%

6-7%

1-2%

Recession 0% 1-2% 2-3%

GDP Growth Europe, the USA and Japan

Prepare for Alternative Scenarios

Page 13: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

http://media.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/photo/2008/06/16/PH2008061601786.jpg

Sustainability – Hope Fulfilled?

Page 14: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

Don’t Break What you Can’t Fix“For too long, environmentally-friendly technology and issues about the environment have been seen as a corporate social responsibility issue and not an opportunity to create new wealth in the future. Governments alone cannot solve the problems we face unless the capitalist world invests in a sustainable future.”

Sir Richard Branson.

Virgin Atlantic

http://www.easier.com/view/News/Motoring/Saab/article-110953.htmlhttp://www.bizbuzzmedia.com/Admin/ImageGallery/BizBuzzMedia/Rob%20Coppinger/Virgin-low-res.jpg

http://www.bizbuzzmedia.com/Admin/ImageGallery/BizBuzzMedia/jackiet/Silverjet%20plane%20taking%20off.jpg

Page 15: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

Don’t Make What you Don’t Need

From requirement analysis through contract negotiation to implementation and demobilization in months Source: Siemens Industrial Solutions & Services - Airport Logistics

Page 16: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

Masdar – Tomorrow’s Energy Blueprint?

Image sources: http://www.outnext.com/on/2007/05/masdar_city_gre.html

Masdar in Abu Dhabi completes in 2015 as one of the first planned eco-cities – the solutions developed could be rolled out globally. Could you be part of that?

Page 17: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

Opening Up Education

Page 18: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

Transforming Healthcare

Page 19: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

Rethinking Infrastructure

Page 20: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

Telephony• Voice• Messaging• SIM card• Phonebook• Ring Tones• Security

Connectivity• Cellular• Up to 14 bands• WLAN/BT• GPS• NFC• FM

Data/Enterprise• 100Mbps• Email• IMS• Browsing• VPN• PIM• Ecommerce• Payments

Software• Protocols• Middleware• Applications• User Interface• Minimize fragmentation

Multimedia• Camera 8-16M• Camcorder• 24M Color Display • Memory (160GB)• Multiformat A/V • HD Video/TV out• Games

(50-100M Tps)• DRM

Technology – The World in your Hand?

Page 21: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

The Only Way to Fly?The Only Way to Fly?

Page 22: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

Society – me, we or all of us?

http://bloginitiative.typepad.com/photos/uncategorized/crowd.jpg

Page 23: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

The Middle East – Against the Wind?

US$ 4.1 Trillion investment by 2025

170 million Tourists by 2020

Capacity for 320 million extra passengers by 2012

Over 1170 new hotels offering 820,000+ rooms by 2025

1130 new aircraft by 2030

Page 24: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

Airlines in Crisis

http://www.papermag.com/blogs/air-india-new-livery4.jpg

Page 25: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

Airports - Endangered Species?

http://www.visitingdc.com/images/jfk-airport-address.jpg

Page 26: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

Promise Fulfilled?

http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2005/1907769952_82c4b8d1fb_o.jpg

Page 27: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout
Page 28: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

What does the timeline of developments look like for your

key markets?

Page 29: Rohit Talwar - Future 0f Travel  - World Travel Forum -  Lucerne - April 23rd 2009 Handout

Conclusions - Designing the Future

• Restricting entry will become the issue

• Eco-political risks rising

• Technology will transform experiences

• New business models must evolve

• Sustainability in question