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TRANSCRIPT
Royal Mail plcHalf Year 2015-16 Results
19 November 2015
Royal Mail plc
Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation contains various statements and graphic representations (together, ‘forward-looking
statements’) that reflect management's current views and projections with respect to future events and financial
and operational performance. The words ‘target’, ‘objective’, ‘growing’, ‘scope’, ‘platform’, ‘future’, ‘forecasts’,
‘expected’, ‘estimated’, ‘accelerating’, ‘expanding’, ‘continuing’, ‘potential’ and ‘sustainable’ and similar
expressions or variations on such expressions identify certain of these forward-looking statements. Others can
be identified from the context in which the statements or graphic representations are made. These
forward-looking statements, as well as those included in any other material discussed as part of this
presentation, involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, assumptions, estimates and other factors, which
may be beyond Royal Mail's control and which may cause actual results or performance to differ materially
from those expressed or implied from such forward-looking statements. All statements (including
forward-looking statements) contained herein are made as of the date of this presentation and Royal Mail
disclaims any obligation to update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information,
future events or results or otherwise. There can be no assurance that forward-looking statements will prove to
be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such
statements. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements due to the
inherent uncertainty therein.
1
Moya GreeneChief Executive Officer
Royal Mail plc
• Accelerated cost savings programme and better than expected performance in GLS delivered
Group operating profit before transformation costs of £342m
• Group revenue flat
• UKPIL revenue down 1%
– Parcel volumes up 4%, revenue up 1% in challenging environment
– Addressed letter volumes down 4% - better end of forecast range - total letter revenue down
3% due to impact of mix largely offsetting price increases
• UKPIL underlying operating costs down 1% benefiting from impact of management
reorganisation programme
• GLS performed better than expected - volumes up 9%, revenue up 8%
• Interim dividend of 7.0p, in line with stated policy
Note: Adjusted results exclude specific items. The figures exclude the results of DPD SL, a subsidiary of GLS Germany sold on 31 March 2015. Underlying change is calculated after adjusting for movements in foreign exchange in
GLS, working days in UKPIL and other one-off items that distort the Group’s underlying performance. For volumes, underlying movements are adjusted for working days in UKPIL and exclude elections in letter volumes.
Strategic focus on costs driving performance
H1 2015-16 Results Overview
3
Royal Mail plc
UK addressable market³ volume growth on average of c.1-2%⁴ annually in short term
4,700
7,700
16,000
22,100
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
2010 2012 2014 2015
1 Verdict E-retail in the UK 2015, projected value e-retail growth vs. overall retail, 2013-2020 2 Competitors include: Collect+, myHermes, UPS Access Point, DHL service points and others, excludes ByBox lockers previously used
for B2B overnight deliveries, degree of overlap is not thought to be material 3 Defined as individually addressed parcels and packets weighing up to 30kg, that do not require special handling and comprise goods that have been
ordered based on Triangle Management Services/RMG Fulfilment Market Measure (December 2014). Excluding identifiable international volumes 4 Internal estimate based on Triangle Management Services/RMG Fulfilment
Market Measure (December 2014), Verdict E-retail in the UK 2014 and RMG market insight.
4
UK Parcels Market – Highly Competitive Environment
• E-retail continues to drive market growth
• Faster growing sectors include clothing & footwear and returns
• Estimated c.20% spare capacity (annualised) combined with
reduced addressable market growth puts pressure on prices
• Technology changing relationship between parcel carriers and
customers
• Total competitor customer collection locations² have more than
quadrupled
• In-store ‘click-and-collect’ growing but comes with cost and not yet
impacting overall addressable market growth rate
• Same day delivery, a premium sector of parcels market, growing in
popularity
• New entrants in international space overcoming previous barriers to
entry and competing for market share
> 4x
Current trendsUK e-retail vs. overall retail growth¹
Competitor customer collection locations²
13% 15%18%
0
100
200
300
400
2013 2015 2020
Overa
ll R
eta
il V
alu
e
(£bn)
Overall Retail E-retail
- E-retail
CAGR 7%
- Overall
retail
CAGR 3%
retail
Royal Mail plc
• Continuing to migrate customers to
2D barcodes
• Rolled out 3,000 finger scanners
across all mail processing centres
• First installation of automated parcel
sortation machine in December
2015, expecting to complete roll-out
over next 2 years
• Selected Delivery Offices piloting
outdoor scanning for 2D barcodes
• Rolling out 76,000 new PDAs,
complete in 2016-17
• Extending strategic partnership with
Alibaba to speed up delivery to UK
for Chinese exporters
• ‘Click & Drop’ launched international
services to 200 destinations
• Extended tracked services to new
destinations
• Extended acceptance time for Royal
Mail Tracked 48® to midnight
• Adding more products to weekend
collection services
• Winning new contracts in faster
growing sectors and from well known
retailers e.g. John Lewis,
Waterstones, House of Fraser, The
Book People, The Hut Group, ASOS
• Increasing focus on same day
services
5
Driving through product innovations and service improvements at pace
Strategic Approach to Maintaining our Pre-eminent Position in Parcels
Business
InternationalConsumer/
SMEs
• Local Collect now available at
c.11,700 locations including c.1,200
RM Enquiry Offices
• Trialling doorstep collections for
marketplace sellers/SMEs in NW
England
• New online returns portal for
consumers
Network
Royal Mail plc
Mailmark®
• Increased customer take up
• Targeting 90% of relevant addressed machine-readable
business, advertising and publishing mail
– Over 25% of relevant mail now bears a Mailmark®
• Customer benefits: cheaper postage rates, better
understanding of delivery performance, transparent billing
• Royal Mail benefits: increased visibility of supply chain,
better management information, revenue protection
Meet the MAILMENAdding value to mail
• Benefits entire UK mail market and helps raise the
profile of mail
• Second campaign ‘This time it’s personal’ highlights
the value consumers place on mail
• Advertisers who would consider using mail in next 12
months increased from 56% to 61%
• Direct mail growing whilst other forms of print media
are in decline¹1 WARC UK expenditure report January-June 2015.
6
Through a combination of product improvement and customer focus, letters provide key
revenue support to USO despite structural decline
Securing the Future of Letters
Keep Me Posted
• 85 leading UK charities, consumer organisations, trade
unions and businesses involved including Money Advice
Trust, Citipost, Age Scotland
• Ensure consumers can choose how they are contacted by
banks, utility and media companies, without unfair charges
Royal Mail plc
1 Cumulative over financial years 2012-13, 2013-14 and 2014-15 2 Cumulative over financial years 2015-16, 2016-17 and 2017-18 3 Collections, processing and delivery in UKPIL core network.
7
Avoided c.£200m of costs over last 3 years¹
Increasing pace of change and targeting to avoid c.£500m more annualised costs by 2017-18²
Strategic Approach to Costs
Distribution and conveyance
• Reducing costs in logistics
• Improving fleet management
• Adopting better route planning
• Promoting better driver behaviour through telemetry
Infrastructure
• IT services transformation
• Optimising property portfolio
• Improving facilities management
Other
• Increasing cross functional working/centralisation
• Reducing overhead costs
• Continuing to embed a ‘cost conscious’ culture
• Targeting productivity improvements in range of 2.0-3.0%³
p.a.
– 2.9%³ achieved in H1 2015-16
• c.3,000 net employees left in H1 2015-16
• Optimising indoor and outdoor processes
• Improving underperforming Delivery Offices
• Progressing on closure of 2 Mail Centres: Ipswich and
Portsmouth
• Introducing new ways of working
– ‘Collections on Delivery’
People costs Non-people costs
Targeting at least 1% lower UKPIL underlying operating costs in 2015-16
Royal Mail plc
• Seeking opportunities to leverage existing assets and capabilities to develop non-mail revenue
streams
– Data: chosen as partner for GOV.UK identity verification programme
– Fleet management: trialling third-party vehicle fleet servicing at 6 locations including Leeds,
Derby and North London
• Enhanced in-house IT capability through purchase of Storefeeder
• Secured stake in Market Engine which integrates the world’s largest e-commerce sites and enables
businesses to manage online shop fronts in global marketplaces
• Investment in Mallzee to help align business with the rapid growth in mobile retail purchases
8
Prudent approach to enhancing our capabilities and leveraging our assets
Investing in Growth and Innovation
Digital
innovation and
building
e-commerce
capability
Leveraging our
existing assets
• Looking to fill gaps in our parcel offering e.g. enhance existing same day services, specialist
networks
• Agreed to acquire eCourier, a leading same day delivery company, to create a significant player in
national same day delivery market
Broadening our
parcel offering
Royal Mail plc
• Mean Business Customer Satisfaction Score¹
of 76 in H1 2015-16 (FY 2014-15: 76)
• Net Promoter Score¹ for business customers of
31 in H1 2015-16 (FY 2014-15: 29)
1 Royal Mail business customer satisfaction survey conducted by Ipsos MORI 2 Regulated measures.
9
Driving strong customer satisfaction to increase customer loyalty in core markets
Being Customer Focused
Providing a
high quality
service
Improving our
online
channels
Focus on
better ways of
bringing
parcels and
people
together
• Rolled out booking-in tool to c.460 Enquiry
Offices in time for Christmas 2015
• Over 3 years since launch of ‘Delivery To
Neighbour’
– ‘Nominate a Neighbour’ now RM standard
• Rolling out new ‘With your Neighbour’ slips
• New business portal launched for SMEs to
improve awareness of RM products and help
promote cross-selling
• Improved online claims process to resolve
claims faster
Target H1 2015-16
First Class 93.0% 92.9%
Second Class 98.5% 98.9%
Quality of Service²
Royal Mail plc
Regulation
10
• 16 June - Ofcom announced fundamental review of the regulation of Royal Mail
• September - Royal Mail submitted response
• Review expected to be completed and revised regulatory framework in place during 2016
• 28 July - Ofcom’s Statement of Objections issued
• Royal Mail believes the Competition Act investigation is unfounded and we will continue to submit evidence to defend our
position
Fundamental Review of Regulation
Competition Act investigation
Royal Mail plc 11
Continued good performance
Being a Successful Parcels Business - GLS
Italy
Group
Germany
France
• Given H1 performance, we now expect margin decline
to be at the better end of 50-100bps range in
2015-16
• Good volume growth, benefiting from strong growth
in international volumes
• Good revenue growth but lags volume growth due to
pricing pressure and mix, impacted by lower parcel
weights
• Profit impacted by effect of German minimum wage,
partly mitigated by:
– Better than expected volumes from new and
existing customers
– Planning and operational initiatives
• Continued revenue growth
• Losses reduced to €8m (H1 2014-15: €9m)
• Growth rate ahead of expectations
• Stable franchise system and competitor disruptions
likely to have driven market share gains
• Continuing to implement initiatives to mitigate impact
of German minimum wage e.g. pre-sorting parcels
• Formed ParcelLock GmbH with DPD and Hermes to
develop and introduce parcel box systems
– Field tests commenced in Germany with go-live
expected later in 2016-17
• Ongoing franchisee acquisition strategy
• Next phase of turnaround is more challenging
Going forwardH1 2015-16
Matthew LesterChief Finance Officer
Royal Mail plc
Note: Adjusted results exclude specific items. H1 2014-15 figures exclude the results of DPD SL, a subsidiary of GLS Germany sold on 31 March 2015. Underlying change is calculated after adjusting for movements in foreign
exchange in GLS, working days in UKPIL and other one-off items that distort the Group’s underlying performance 1 Continuing operations.
13
H1 2015-16 Financial Summary
• Group operating profit before transformation
costs flat driven by tight cost control in
UKPIL and better than expected
performance in GLS
• Group operating profit margin after
transformation costs of 5.6% due to higher
voluntary redundancy costs
• Free cash flow down £68m due to higher
voluntary redundancy costs partly offset by
DPD SL proceeds
• Net debt up £94m from FY 2014-15 mainly
due to dividend payments
£mAdjusted
H1 2015-16
Adjusted
H1 2014-15
Underlying
change
Revenue 4,395 4,478 Flat
Operating profit
before transformation costs342 348 Flat
Operating profit margin
before transformation costs7.8% 7.8% Flat
Operating profit
after transformation costs248 301 (16%)
Operating profit margin
after transformation costs5.6% 6.7% (110bps)
Profit before tax 240 287
Earnings per share 18.1p 21.7p
Free cash flow 49 117 (68)
Net debt (369)
Dividend per share 7.0p 6.7p 4%
£mH1 2015-16
Reported Adjusted
Operating profit before
transformation costs208 342
Profit before tax 116 240
EPS¹ 8.8p 18.1p
Royal Mail plc
UKPIL Results
• Revenue down 1%
– 1% increase in parcel revenue
partially offset 3% decline in total letter
revenue
• Tight cost control delivered 1% reduction in
operating costs
• Higher transformation costs driving 130bps
reduction in operating profit margin after
transformation costs
£mAdjusted
H1 2015-16
Adjusted
H1 2014-15
Underlying
change
Revenue 3,651 3,703 (1%)
Operating costs (3,367) (3,415) 1% lower
Operating profit
before transformation costs284 288
Operating profit margin
before transformation costs7.8% 7.8% Flat
Transformation costs (94) (47)
Operating profit
after transformation costs190 241
Operating profit margin
after transformation costs5.2% 6.5% (130bps)
14
Note: Adjusted results exclude specific items. Underlying change is calculated after adjusting for movements in working days in UKPIL and other one-off items that distort the Group’s underlying performance.
Royal Mail plc
1%
15
UKPIL Revenue
Parcels - Revenue £1,479m Volume 518m
• Growth in account and low AUR import parcels more than offset
decline in higher AUR consumer/SME and export volumes
• Strong Parcelforce volume growth of 17% driven by business
wins from new and existing customers, but prices under pressure
• Performance in part reflects relatively weak comparative period
• Price/mix remain under pressure due to competitive environment
• H2 2015-16: tougher comparative period and will depend on our
performance during Christmas trading period
Letters - Revenue £2,172m Volume 6,195m¹
• Addressed letter volume decline 4%, better end of forecast range,
return of direct delivery volumes had +1ppt impact
• Declines in higher AUR consumer/SME and export letters, and
unaddressed letters largely offset impact of price increases
• Marketing mail revenue of £0.6bn, up 3%
• Reduction in door-to-door marketing spend in certain sectors
impacted unaddressed volumes, down 14%
3,7033,663 3,663
3,721
3,651 3,651
40
805810
3,500
3,550
3,600
3,650
3,700
3,750
H1 2014-15 Parcel priceand mix
Parcelvolume
Letter price,mix, elections and
unaddressed
Addressedletter volume
H1 2015-16
1%
(4%)(3%)
£m
(3%)
(1%)
4%
Note: Adjusted results exclude specific items. Underlying change is calculated after adjusting for movements in working days in UKPIL and other one-off items that distort the Group’s underlying performance. For volumes,
underlying movements are adjusted for working days in UKPIL and exclude elections in letter volumes 1 Addressed letter volumes.
Royal Mail plc 16
UKPIL People Costs
• Productivity improvements of 2.9%¹, top end of our target
range
• Pay and other includes frontline pay award of 2.8%, lower
pay increases in other functions and volume driven costs in
Parcelforce
• Management reorganisation programme savings of £32m
– Achieved c.£80m annualised savings
2,331
2,285 2,2852,301 2,301
46 3248
2,240
2,250
2,260
2,270
2,280
2,290
2,300
2,310
2,320
2,330
2,340
H1 2014-15Adjusted
Average hoursreduction
Payand other
Management reorganisationprogramme
H1 2015-16Adjusted
Productivity
improvements
2.9%¹
Pay award and
Parcelforce£m
(1%)
• People costs down 1%, of which:
– Pay award offset by productivity
improvements (c.0.5%)
– Volume driven costs in Parcelforce c.0.5%
– Management reorganisation programme (c.1%)
FY 2016-17: c.£70m increase in National Insurance due to
single-tier state pension scheme
Note: Adjusted results exclude specific items. Underlying change is calculated after adjusting for movements in working days in UKPIL and other one-off items that distort the Group’s underlying performance 1 Collections,
processing and delivery in UKPIL core network.
Royal Mail plc 17
UKPIL Non-people Costs
Distribution and conveyance costs £361m
• Down 2%
• Lower terminal dues driven by lower export volumes
• Improved fleet management – lower vehicle maintenance
and fuel costs
Infrastructure costs £413m
• Reduced property spend due to better facilities management
• Impacted by reclassification of internal costs, excluding
which, infrastructure costs down 2%
Other costs £292m
• Impacted by reclassification of internal costs, excluding
which, other costs down 1%
Ongoing
• Continue to target non-people costs in strategic manner
1,0841,078
1,051 1,051
1,066
15
6
27
1,030
1,040
1,050
1,060
1,070
1,080
1,090
H1 2014-15Adjusted
Distribution andconveyance
Infrastructure Other H1 2015-16Adjusted
£m
Note: Adjusted results exclude specific items. Underlying change is calculated after adjusting for movements in working days in UKPIL and other one-off items that distort the Group’s underlying performance.
(2%)
Royal Mail plc
£21m£30m
£19m
£63m
£7m
H1 2014-15 H1 2015-16 FY 2015-16
Business transformation payments Voluntary redundancy Project costs
£1m
≥ £180m
18
Transformation Costs – Income Statement
H1 2015-16
• Higher transformation costs due to
increased voluntary redundancy costs
associated with better people cost savings
FY 2015-16
• Accelerated efficiency improvements mean
transformation costs expected to be at least
£180m
£94m
£47m
Royal Mail plc
Note: H1 2014-15 excludes revenue €59m, costs €58m and volumes 22m from DPD SL, a subsidiary of GLS Germany sold on 31 March 2015.
19
GLS Results
• Good revenue growth
• Reported results impacted by 12%
strengthening of Sterling vs. Euro
• Strong performances in Italy and Poland,
partially offset by lower profits in Germany
• Operating losses in France reduced to €8m
(H1 2014-15: €9m)
• 30bps margin decline due to impact of
German minimum wage legislation
• Given H1 performance, we now expect
margin decline to be at the better end of
50-100bps range in 2015-16
€mH1
2015-16
H1
2014-15Change
Revenue 1,029 949 8%
Operating costs (957) (880) 9%
Operating profit 72 69
Operating profit margin 7.0% 7.3% (30bps)
Volume (m) 204 186 9%
Average £1 = € 1.39 1.24 12%
£mH1
2015-16
H1
2014-15
Revenue 741 766
Operating costs (689) (710)
Operating profit 52 56
Royal Mail plc 20
GLS Revenue
• Revenue growth across all markets except Portugal
• Competitive pricing and lower parcel weights impacting
price/mix
• No one customer represents more than c.1% of GLS Group
Note: H1 2014-15 excludes revenue €59m from DPD SL, a subsidiary of GLS Germany sold on 31 March 2015.
766
684
741
82
9
66
620
640
660
680
700
720
740
760
780
H1 2014-15 FX Priceand mix
Volume H1 2015-16
£m
8%
• Germany revenue up 5%, driven by higher volumes from
new and existing customers
• Continued good revenue growth in Italy, up 15%
• France continues to grow top line, up 6%
• H2 2015-16: lapping strong comparative period
Royal Mail plc
Note: H1 2014-15 excludes costs €58m from DPD SL, a subsidiary of GLS Germany sold on 31 March 2015.
21
GLS Costs
• People costs up 8% due to:
– Semi-variable costs
linked to volume c.4.0%
– Pay inflation/incentives c.3.5%
– Acquisitions c.0.5%
• Distribution and conveyance costs up 9%
due to higher volumes and German
minimum wage impact
• Infrastructure costs higher largely due to
depreciation and amortisation costs from
IT investments
€mH1
2015-16
H1
2014-15Change
People costs 233 216 8%
Distribution and conveyance costs 628 577 9%
Infrastructure costs 69 62 11%
Other operating costs 27 25 7%
Operating costs 957 880 9%
Royal Mail plc
Note: Adjusted results exclude specific items. H1 2014-15 figures exclude the results of DPD SL, a subsidiary of GLS Germany sold on 31 March 2015.
22
Group Profit After Tax
£mAdjusted
H1 2015-16
Adjusted
H1 2014-15
Operating profit after transformation costs 248 301
Finance costs (9) (16)
Finance income 1 2
Net finance costs (8) (14)
Profit before taxation 240 287
Tax charge (57) (70)
Profit for the period from continuing operations 183 217
Earnings per share from continuing operations 18.1p 21.7p
Royal Mail plc
1 Including RMSEPP deficit payment of £5m 2 Calculated based on value of Employee Free Shares of c.£555m (including National Insurance) pro-rated over the period of vesting, adjusted for level/mix of leavers.
23
Specific Items
• Difference in pension charge and actual
cash paid out is £134m
– Expected to be c.£255m for FY
2015-16
• Lower Employee Free Shares charge due
to timing and reduction in accelerated good
leavers charge
– Charge for FY 2015-16 expected to be
c.£160m² including effect of additional
1% shares allocated to employees in
October 2015 by Government
• FY 2015-16 pension interest credit now
expected to be £113m due to restatement
of accounting surplus following change in
accounting policy
• £31m profit on sale of DPD SL
£mH1
2015-16
H1
2014-15
Pension charge to cash difference¹ (134) (69)
Employee Free Shares charge (76) (91)
Legacy costs 2 (25)
Total operating specific items (208) (185)
Profit on disposal of property, plant & equipment 27 27
Net pension interest 57 38
Profit on disposal of discontinued operations 31 -
Total non-operating specific items 115 65
Total specific items before tax (93) (120)
Royal Mail plc
1 Including RMSEPP deficit payment of £5m 2 Cash tax paid quarterly in arrears therefore different to income statement amount 3 Cash collected on behalf of customers, payment on delivery.
24
Group Free Cash Flow
• In-year trading cash flow down £79m mainly
driven by:
– Higher transformation opex spend due
to voluntary redundancy payments
– Phasing of capex
• Proceeds from the sale of DPD SL of £41m
£mH1
2015-16
H1
2014-15
EBITDA before transformation costs 343 416
Pension charge to cash difference¹ 134 69
Adjusted EBITDA 477 485
Trading working capital movements (159) (153)
Share-based award charge to cash difference 2 -
Investment (299) (237)
Income tax paid² (9) (6)
Net finance costs paid (11) (9)
In-year trading cash inflow 1 80
Other working capital movements (10) 17
Cash cost of operating specific items (2) (2)
Proceeds from disposal of property, plant & equipment 34 34
Proceeds from disposal of discontinued operations 41 -
Acquisition of business interests (7) (4)
London property portfolio costs (8) (8)
Free cash flow 49 117
£mH1
2015-16
H1
2014-15
Stamps used but
purchased in prior
periods/deferred revenue
(6) (29)
Timing of payroll
payments for monthly
paid staff
- 45
Client cash in GLS³ (4) 1
Other working capital (10) 17
Royal Mail plc
£66m £74m
£72m£89m
£99m
£136m
H1 2014-15 H1 2015-16
• Transformation opex:
• Replacement capex largely in relation to IT and
property projects
• Growth capex includes spend on parcel systems
and parcels automation
• Acceleration of efficiency programme results in
increased transformation costs leading to net
investment in FY 2015-16 of c.£620m
25
Group Investment – Cash
£mH1
2015-16
H1
2014-15
Business
transformation payments1 7
Voluntary redundancy
– Management reorganisation
programme
- 39
Voluntary redundancy
– Ongoing105 29
Project costs 30 24
Total 136 99
Net
£265m
Net
£203m
(£34m) (£34m)
Transformationopex
Growthcapex
Replacementcapex
Operational asset disposals
Royal Mail plc
1 €500m liabilities net of discount and fees at spot rate €/£0.73, revalued at balance sheet date 2 Including arrangement/commitment fees and finance leases 3 Includes client cash of £16m.
26
Group Net Debt and Liquidity
• S&P investment grade rating:
BBB stable outlook
• Blended interest rate on gross debt
expected to be c.3%² in 2015-16
• Net debt:
£m
Loans/bonds (364)
Finance leases (224)
Cash and cash equivalents³ 199
Pension escrow (RMSEPP) 20
Net debt at 27 September 2015 (369)
275
369
143
49
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
At29 March
2015
Freecash flow
Dividend At27 September
2015
Facility RateFacility
£m
Drawn
£m
Facility
end date
Euro bond¹ 2.5% 364 364 2024
Revolving
credit facility
LIBOR
+0.55%1,050 – 2020
Total 1,414 364
Movement in net debt
£m
Royal Mail plc 27
Pensions
• Estimated actuarial surplus of £1.5bn at
September 2015 vs. £1.8bn at March 2015
• 2015 triennial valuation commenced
• Liabilities projected to accrue to March
2018 have been hedged in advance
against movements in interest rates and
inflation rates
– c.£500m of surplus relates to
liabilities yet to be recognised
• Expect no material actuarial surplus or
deficit by March 20183.4
3.1
0.2
0.1
3.0
3.0
3.1
3.1
3.2
3.2
3.3
3.3
3.4
3.4
3.5
RestatedAccounting surplus at
29 March 2015
Movementin assets
Movementin liabilities
Accounting surplus at27 September 2015
Accounting basis Actuarial basis
£bn
• Accounting surplus at March 2015 restated
for change in accounting policy
– Pension liabilities no longer include
an estimate of future pension
administration costs
– £188m liabilities at March 2015
moved into reserves, ongoing charge
will continue to be recognised through
income statement
Royal Mail plc 28
Exploring options and adopting a flexible approach to realise value
Property
Site Acres Key features Action
Nine Elms 13.9 • Large site with outline planning consent for up to 1,870
residential units
• Rapidly evolving area with considerable potential
• Asset held for sale
• Continue to market site
• Reprovision spend required
• Beginning enabling works to maintain
planning permission
Mount
Pleasant
8.6 • Full planning permission received for up to c.680 residential
units
• Significant further investment
required to separate operational site
• Beginning separation works
Paddington proceeds reinvested into larger London sites to optimise value
Moya GreeneChief Executive Officer
Royal Mail plc 30
Responding at Pace to Challenging Market Conditions
Driving through product innovations and service improvements
Enhancing our capabilities and leveraging our assets
Accelerating cost savings and efficiency programme
Investing in technology and driving operational improvements to support pace of change
Appendix
Royal Mail plc
Note: Adjusted results exclude specific items. H1 2014-15 figures exclude the results of DPD SL, a subsidiary of GLS Germany sold on 31 March 2015. Underlying change is calculated after adjusting for movements in foreign
exchange in GLS, working days in UKPIL and other one-off items that distort the Group’s underlying performance 1 These objectives do not represent any forecast, target or expectation as to future results or performance.
H1 2015-16 Value Drivers (adjusted basis)
Revenue Operating costs Transformation costsProfit after
transformation costsCash
People costs
down 1%
Non-people
costs
up 1%
Transformation costs
£94m
EBITDA
£477m
down £8m
Cash investment
£299m
up £62m
Low single digit
revenue growth
Net operating cost growth below
rate of revenue growthDrives margin expansion
Drives growth in
free cash flow
Flat 1% Growth Down 110bps
Free cash flow
£49m
down £68m
Profit after
transformation costs
£248m
Margin
5.6%
UK parcels
up 1%
UK letters
down 3%
UKPIL
down 1%
GLS
up 8%
Objective¹H1 2015-16
33
Royal Mail plc 34
Segmental Summary
£mAdjusted
H1 2015-16
Adjusted
H1 2014-15
Underlying
change
Revenue
UKPIL 3,651 3,703 (1%)
GLS 741 766 8%
Other 3 9
Total 4,395 4,478 Flat
Operating profit before transformation costs
UKPIL 284 288
GLS 52 56
Other 6 4
Total 342 348
Operating profit after transformation costs
UKPIL 190 241
GLS 52 56
Other 6 4
Total 248 301
Note: Adjusted results exclude specific items. H1 2014-15 figures exclude the results of DPD SL, a subsidiary of GLS Germany sold on 31 March 2015. Underlying change is calculated after adjusting for movements in foreign
exchange in GLS, working days in UKPIL and other one-off items that distort the Group’s underlying performance.
Royal Mail plc 35
UKPIL Data
H1 2015-16 FY 2014-15 Target
Gross hours (2.7%) (2.3%)
Workload 0.2% 0.1%
Productivity 2.9% 2.5% 2.0-3.0%
Leavers Joiners Net
Natural attrition/joiners (c.4,000) c.3,000 (c.1,000)
Voluntary redundancy (c.2,000) (c.2,000)
Total (c.6,000) c.3,000 (c.3,000)
People
LettersH1
2015-16
H1
2014-15
Volumes (m)
Non-access 2,501 2,763
Mandatory access 3,463 3,457
International 231 246
Total addressed 6,195 6,466
Change (4%) (3%)
Unaddressed 1,347 1,560
Change (14%) 4%
Revenue (£m) 2,172 2,242
Change (3%) 1%
ParcelsH1
2015-16
H1
2014-15
Volumes (m)
Royal Mail core network 473 459
Change 3% 2%
Parcelforce 45 39
Change 17% 9%
Total volume 518 498
Change 4% 2%
Revenue (£m) 1,479 1,461
Change 1% (1%)
Volumes and Revenue
Note: Adjusted results exclude specific items. Underlying change is calculated after adjusting for movements in working days in UKPIL and other one-off items that distort the Group’s underlying performance. For volumes,
underlying movements are adjusted for working days in UKPIL and exclude elections in letter volumes.
Royal Mail plc
1 Pension Salary Exchange (PSE) was introduced in August 2015 2 Non-operating specific item 3 Set based on year end bond rates and RPI 4 Average employer contribution rate for the period.
36
Pensions
£mH1
2015-16
H1
2014-15
RMPP (320) (265)
RMDCP (22) (17)
GLS (2) (3)
PSE¹ (23) -
People costs (367) (285)
Pension costs relating to VR (26) 7
Total EBIT pension costs (393) (278)
Pension interest credit² 57 38
Total net PBT pension costs (336) (240)
Pensionable payroll (£bn) – RMPP 1.1 1.1
Income statement rate (%)³
Number of active
members
RMPP 29.8% 23.6%
RMDCP 6% 5%
RMPP c.96,000 c.103,000
RMDCP c.40,000 c.37,000
£mH1
2015-16
H1
2014-15
RMPP (181) (192)
RMDCP (22) (16)
GLS (2) (3)
PSE¹ (23) -
RMSEPP deficit (5) (5)
Cash contributions (233) (216)
Pension payments relating to VR (36) (11)
Total cash payments (269) (227)
Pensionable payroll (£bn) – RMPP 1.1 1.1
Cash rate (%)
RMPP 17.1% 17.1%
RMDCP 6% 5%
Cash flowIncome statement
Royal Mail plc 37
Group Taxation
Income statement tax
UK
• Adjusted: broadly in line with UK statutory rate
• Reported: lower rate mainly due to profits made on
operational property disposals offset by reinvestment relief
– Only expect to incur tax on property disposals if there
are insufficient reliefs to shield profits
GLS
• Adjusted: rate reduced marginally (H1 2014-15 33%) due to
lower French losses, for which no deferred tax asset is
recognised, and a change in tax rules in certain territories
Cash tax
UK
• Low tax payments in UK mainly due to utilisation of brought
forward losses and capital allowances
– Now expected to normalise by 2018-19 mainly due to
relief available from additional Employee Free Shares
allocations
GLS
• Cash tax rate lower than income statement rate due to
timing of tax payments in Europe
£mReported H1 2015-16¹ Adjusted H1 2015-16
UK GLS Group UK GLS Group
Profit before tax 66 50 116 190 50 240
Income statement tax charge 10 16 26 41 16 57
Effective tax rate 15% 32% 22% 22% 32% 24%
Cash tax payments/(receipts) 1 8 9 n/a n/a n/a
Cash tax rate 2% 16% 8% n/a n/a n/a
1 Continuing operations only.
Royal Mail plc 38
Deferred Tax – Balance Sheet
201
8 8 613 30 442
(700)
(600)
(500)
(400)
(300)
(200)
(100)
0
100
200
• UK deferred tax assets arise due to brought forward tax losses and capital allowances
– Tax losses are expected to reverse in the short term and capital allowances in the medium term
• Gross deferred tax liability of £643m comprises future tax charges in respect of:
– Employee Free Shares, £42m – full tax relief in H1 2015-16 for additional Employee Free Shares allocations, unwinds over
vesting period
– Pensions, £571m – mainly due to pension surplus. Expected to unwind over a longer period as the surplus reduces
– GLS – mainly due to goodwill
UK GLS Group
£412m
net
liabilityUnable to net off
deferred tax asset and
liabilities across
different territories
£m