s. nickovic (ex-wmo sds-was, serbia) e. cuevas, sds-was namee (aemet, spain)
DESCRIPTION
SDS-WAS Research and Development activities 7th meeting of the WWRP JSC (WMO Headquarters, Geneva, 18-20 November 2014). S. Nickovic (Ex-WMO SDS-WAS, Serbia) E. Cuevas, SDS-WAS NAMEE (AEMET, Spain) E. Terradellas SDS-WAS NAMEE (AEMET, Spain) J.M. Baldasano, SDS-WAS NAMEE (BSC-CNS, Spain) - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
WMO
SDS-WAS Research and Development activities
7th meeting of the WWRP JSC(WMO Headquarters, Geneva, 18-20 November 2014)
S. Nickovic (Ex-WMO SDS-WAS, Serbia)
E. Cuevas, SDS-WAS NAMEE (AEMET, Spain)
E. Terradellas SDS-WAS NAMEE (AEMET, Spain)
J.M. Baldasano, SDS-WAS NAMEE (BSC-CNS, Spain)
M. Mikami, SDS-WAS A (MRI/JMA, Japan)
W. Sprigg, SDS-WAS PAC (University of Arizona, USA)
WMO; AREP
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SDS-WAS MissionSDS-WAS Mission
To enhance the ability of countries to deliver To enhance the ability of countries to deliver timely and quality sand and dust storm timely and quality sand and dust storm forecasts, observationsforecasts, observations, information and , information and knowledge to knowledge to users users through an international through an international partnership in partnership in research and operationsresearch and operations
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Publications/year on dust-related subjects (Stout et al, 2008)
Increasing interest for dust research
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SDS-WAS regional structureSDS-WAS regional structure
SDS-WAS Science and Implementation Plan SDS-WAS Science and Implementation Plan
Final draft ready for SSC7 consideration Membership in the SDS-WAS Steering Committee
specified SDS-WAS Trust Fund requested to support global
coordination Updated research plan
SDS-WAS Science and Implementation Plan (2) SDS-WAS Science and Implementation Plan (2)
Limitations Lack of observation data, especially in dust source areas Lack of computer resources for hi-res modelling
Transition to operational activities proposed procedure for designation of a Regional
Specialized Meteorological Center with specialization on Atmospheric Sand and Dust Forecasting (RSMC-ASDF)
Spain became the first designated RSMC-ASDF Asian countries show interest to host the Asian RSMC-
ASDF
CAS CBS
Research
SDS-WAS
Op
eration
al fo
recasts
SDS-WAS
Exp
erimen
tal fo
recasts
Current
Future
Research
From Research to OperationsFrom Research to Operations
Research issues
Hi-res modelling Observation improvements
Data assimilation Model validation/intercomparison
Direct and indirect effects Mineralogy
Dust impacts
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SDS-WAS research projects/studies
http://sds-was.aemet.es/projects-research/SDS-WAS-studies
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PROJECT: Tehran 2014 haboob case – high resolution
modelling contact Goran Pejanovic([email protected])
In-depth case study of the small-scale extreme dust storm occurred in Tehran on 2 June 2014 lasting less than 2 hours
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Dust storm caused several deaths, reduction of visibility to several tenths meters in the city, and adverse disturbance of the public traffic.
All SDS-WAS inter-compared models failed to predict the storm
NAMEE RSG recently proposed a study, exploring if model downscaling more detailed source specification
could improve forecasts
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Groups to participate: Modelling
EMA, Egypt BSC, Spain HMS, Serbia MetOffice, UK NCEP, USA GFDL, USA U of Leipzig ?
Observations IRIMO, Iran Env Agency, Iran
Analysis AEMET, Spain U of Belgrade, Serbia …
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SDS-WAS models forecasts (12UTC 2 June 2014)
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× × ×
× × ×
× × ×
Preliminary simulation results (Pejanovic et al, 2014)
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× × ×
Tehran location
Time of haboob
Time of haboob
12:30UTC
PROJECT:Dust model evaluation against lidar data
contact Ioannis Binietoglou ([email protected])
Ability of models to reproduce vertical dust distribution of dust never systematically evaluated
lidars co-located with photometers using the LIRIC algorithm Period January 2011 – June 2013 No. cases 69 No. stations 10 No. models 4
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Participating models
BSC-DREAM8bV2 (BSC, Barcelona) NMMB/BSC-Dust (BSC, Barcelona) DREAMABOL (ISAC-CNR, Bologna) DREAM8-NMME-MACC (Serbian HM Service)
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Participating stations
10 EARLINET / AERONET
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Parameters examined:
Center of mass Dust load (vertically integrated) Peak (maximum) value
Article in preparation
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Center of mass
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Average profiles
PROJECT: Forecasting a North African dust
outbreak towards Europe Contact: Nicolás Huneeus ([email protected])
Assessing prediction capabilities of intense Saharan dust outbreak over Western Europe and Scandinavia between 5-11 April 2011
Comparing models against observations aerosol optical depth (AERONET and MODIS) Aerosol vertical profiles (CALIPSO) dust surface concentration (AQ stations) 10-m winds and vertical wind profiles (SYNOP,
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24, 48 and 72 hour forecasts Models
BSC-DREAM8b (BSC; regional) NMMB/BSC-Dust (BSC; regional) DREAM8-NMME-MACC (Serbian HM Service) Met-UMTM (UK Met Office; global) MACC-II (ECMWF; global)
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AERONET (orange), surface concentration (red), surface wind (green) and radio-sounding (brown) stations used in the study
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Article to be submitted:Forecasting the North African dust outbreak towards Europe in April 2011: A model intercomparison N. Huneeus, S. Basart, S. Fiedler, J.-J. Morcrette, J. Mulcahy, E. Terradellas, C. Pérez, G. Pejanovic, P. Arsenovic, S., M. Schulz, J.M. Baldasano, A. Benedetti, E. Cuevas, J. Pey, S. Nickovic
Dust Mineralogy –new databases
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Nickovic et al, 2012 Journet al, 2014
Importance of dust mineral composition for • radiation, • dust-cloud interactions, • health
Book: Mineral Dust - A key player in the Earth system, edited by Peter Knippertz and Jan-Berend W. Stuut, 2014,Springer.
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SDS-WAS Nodes
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Regional Steering Groups (RSG)
Asian Node Chair: Masao MIKAMI (MRI/JMA, Japan), Co Chairs:
Xiao-Ye ZHANG (CMA, China), Eunha LIM (NIMR/KMA, Korea)
NAMEE Node Chair: Slobodan Nickovic (HM Service, Serbia)
Pan American Node Chair: William Sprigg (U of Arizona, US)
Nodes Status
Asymmetric developments NAMEE most active and developed PA with good potential but not yet well
established Asian Node – most of the research
(modelling and observation) facilities available – still more coordination needed
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Management issues
Implementation Plan finalized – to be approved in this meeting
Regional Node activities – self-funded SDS-WAS Trust Fund to be established
(Secretariat assistance n needed) Steering Committee (SC) to be established for
SDS-WAS global coordination
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Contributions from the SDS-WAS Nodes
SDS-WAS NAMEE Node
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Web portal Archive
OBSERVATION
Monthly plots of PM10/PM2.5
Daily back-trajectoriesEUMETSAT RGB-DUST
imagesUKMO MSG retrievals
OBSERVATION
Monthly plots of PM10/PM2.5
Daily back-trajectoriesEUMETSAT RGB-DUST
imagesUKMO MSG retrievals
PREDICTION
Numerical model forecastsJoint visualization of forecast
Surf. ConcentrationJoint visualization of forecast
DOD 550Monthly-averaged mapsMulti-model productsGuidance for forecasters
PREDICTION
Numerical model forecastsJoint visualization of forecast
Surf. ConcentrationJoint visualization of forecast
DOD 550Monthly-averaged mapsMulti-model productsGuidance for forecasters
FORECAST EVALUATION
NRT evaluation with AERONET. Monthly plots
Evaluation with AERONET (monthly, seasonal, annual scores)
Evaluation with MODISEvaluation with MODIS
deepblue
FORECAST EVALUATION
NRT evaluation with AERONET. Monthly plots
Evaluation with AERONET (monthly, seasonal, annual scores)
Evaluation with MODISEvaluation with MODIS
deepblue
April 2014April 2014
Models intercomparison Download statistics
MODEL DOWNLOADS
BSC-DREAM8b 313MACC 172
DREAM-NMME-MACC
98
NMMB/BSC-Dust 155GEOS-5 85NGAC 84
MEDIAN 80
TOTAL 987Users 233
Observation SDS-Africa: new AERONET stations
Available since Feb 2012
Available since Jun 2013
8-12 Dec 2013: 3rd Training Course on WMO SDS-WAS products. Muscat, Oman
8-12 Dec 2013: 3rd Training Course on WMO SDS-WAS products. Muscat, Oman15-16 Dec 2013: McIDAS-V Tutorial with focus on atmospheric dust cases. Muscat, Oman
15-16 Dec 2013: McIDAS-V Tutorial with focus on atmospheric dust cases. Muscat, Oman28-31 Oct 2013: Workshop on Meteorology, Sand and Dust Storm, Combating Desertification and Erosion. Istanbul, Turkey
28-31 Oct 2013: Workshop on Meteorology, Sand and Dust Storm, Combating Desertification and Erosion. Istanbul, Turkey
Capacity building 2013
10-14 Jun 2013: Training Course on the use of satellite products for agro-meteorological applications, Accra, Ghana
10-14 Jun 2013: Training Course on the use of satellite products for agro-meteorological applications, Accra, Ghana
Capacity building 2014
5-9-May 2014: Cours sur l’utilisation des produits satellitaires aux applications agrometeorologiques, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso
5-9-May 2014: Cours sur l’utilisation des produits satellitaires aux applications agrometeorologiques, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso
Operational forecasts
Jakarta, Sep 2012: The CBS recommends designation of the consortium AEMET/BSC-CNS to host the first RSMC with specialization on sand and dust forecast
Jakarta, Sep 2012: The CBS recommends designation of the consortium AEMET/BSC-CNS to host the first RSMC with specialization on sand and dust forecast
Geneva, Jun 2013: The WMO EC meets the recommendation and designates the consortium to host the RSMC-ASDF for NA-ME-E
Geneva, Jun 2013: The WMO EC meets the recommendation and designates the consortium to host the RSMC-ASDF for NA-ME-E
Barcelona, Mar 2014: The Barcelona Dust Forecast Center starts operations
Barcelona, Mar 2014: The Barcelona Dust Forecast Center starts operations
dust.aemet.es
SDS-WAS Asian Node
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Current status of the SDS-WAS Asian node
In July 2014, several RSG members were replaced with new members
Basic communication within RSG is secured. Establishing RSMC-ADSF will be discussed in the
next 2015 RSG meeting In 2012 (Tsukuba) is agreed to keep working groups
activities – to be reinforced
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RSG Working groups
Data Share (responsible to KMA)
Common Portal Site (responsible to CMA)
Model Inter-comparison (responsible to JMA)
Issue to be discussed in the next Asian RSG meeting
Designation of a Regional Specialized Meteorological Center with specialization on Atmospheric Sand and Dust Forecasting (RSMC-ASDF)
At least two countries show the interest Transition from research (SDS-WAS) to operational
activities (RSMC-ASDF) is now proposed in the Science and IP with conditions and procedures needed to be followed
Common action of CAS and CBS bodies needed
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SDS-WAS Pan American Node
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Pan-American Centre
Moving the Node Center hosting from the Chapman University to University of Arizona
Petitioning the University and Board of Regents for official approval to host the Pan-American Center (PAC)
Team Atmospheric Sciences, Hydrology, Engineering School of Public Health, Office of Arid Lands, College of Agriculture and Life Sciences,
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Other institutions wishing to contribute hosting Desert Research Institute California Department of Public Health California Public Health Institute Possible solution: a coalition of hosts, capitalizing on
the complementarity
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Serving SocietyServing Society
W.A.Sprigg - July 2014
Atmospheric Observations & Modeling NOAA/GFDL/NCEP
NASA JPL & MSFC, Navy
Surface SourceComposition & Characteristics
Mapping & MonitoringNASA, USGS
Information PortalPublic & Partner
NOAA/NCDC
WMO Sand/Dust Warning System
GEONETCast
Public Access
Client BasePractitioner & Policy Maker
Health, Air/Water Quality,Transportation, AgricultureNational/State Health & AQ OfficesPan American Health OrganizationValley Fever Center of Excellence
Valley Fever
Critical SourcesEPA, USGS, USDA
Climate Change Air Quality Assessments
Simulations & Experimental Forecasts
NOAA/NWS/NCEPUSN/NRL
NASA Earth ScienceUniversity Research
Pan-America Centre Start-Up
Director Web Page Science Steering Group Leadership Council
Maintain Compass Heading: Serving Science & the Public
Promote Objectives & Goals
Guide Policy t Communicate Science to the Public, assess priorities & Services for today & tomorrow
Coordinate North, Central and South American Participation in SDS-WAS
Forecasts & Simulations with models & satellite observations
Computing Center
W.A.Sprigg - July 2014
www.wmo.int
Thank you