s tate of the i ndustry - t he o utlook for i nvestment
TRANSCRIPT
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NAT I ONA L A E ROS PAC E FORE I G N D I REC T I N VE ST M E N T E X PO
LT. GOVERNORS’ CIRCLE BREAKFAST
SPONSORED BY:
Tony VelocciRetired Editor-in-Chief
Aviation Week & Space Technology
STATE OF THE INDUSTRY -THE OUTLOOK
FOR INVESTMENT
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Spot Price of Jet Fuel/Gallon
Source: Airlines4America, Energy Information Administration
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Potential Market Disruptors
• Airframe OEMs fail to execute on huge order backlogs.
• Supply chain fails to keep pace.
Foreign currency fluctuations.
• Unforeseen exogenous event.
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Business Jet Demand by Region
2014-2024
North
Am
erica
Latin
Am
erica
Euro
pe
Mid
dle
East
& A
frica
Asia P
acifi
c0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Source: Honeywell Aerospace
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Launch-Vehicle Providers2011-2014
Source: Aviation Week Intelligence Network
CIS China U.S. Europe0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
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All Others55%
Thales Alenia18%
*CAST10%
ISS Reshetnev6%
Space Systems/Loral
6%
Airbus Defense & Space
5%
Commercial Satellites(Unit Production)
Percentage of Market Share
Total Five-Year Production: 608
*Chinese Academy of Space Technology All percentages rounded.Source: Forecast International
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Targets of Opportunity for States
Asia/Pacific
• Indonesia
• Japan
• Malaysia
• South Korea
• Taiwan
Second- and Third-Tier European Suppliers
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Creating the right initiatives aligned with your goals requires key actions:
• Determine what is strategic.
• Understand the value chain of aerospace industry sectors.
• Understand the technology cycle.
• Replenish seed corn by fostering investment in research and development in your state.
• Align incentives with areas that matter to business.
• Exploit the role that non-U.S-based companies can play as a partner to American primes and OEMs.
• Use the full range of tools at your disposal.
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Who’s Investing In Their Future?*
Apple
Hewle
tt Pa
ckar
dIB
M
Amaz
on
Micr
osof
t
Googl
eIn
tel
Cisco
Oracle
Qualco
mm
0
5
10
15
20
25
R&
D a
s a
% o
f sa
les
Source: Capital Alpha Partners*FY 2014