s(1) asian maize conference, 11th
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Presentacion de 11th Asian Maize Conference which took place in Beijing, China from November 7 – 11, 2011.TRANSCRIPT
11th Asian Maize Conference
Nanning, 2011 Dr. Thomas Lumpkin - CIMMYT
Director General
“MAIZE CRP and Relevance for Asia”
Outline of Presentation
CIMMYT Background
Challenges for Food Security
CIMMYT’s Response
CIMMYT Mission Statement
To sustainably increase the productivity of maize and wheat systems to ensure global
food security and reduce poverty.
CIMMYT Locations 160 researchers from 40 countries in 19 offices worldwide.
Partners include universities, private companies, advanced research institutes, NGOs and farmer associations.
$100+ million budget.
Global Challenges
Water groundwater
surface water
Biodiversity extinction emerging pests
Nutrients & Soils fertilizer cost depleted soils
Energy petroleum
biofuels
Climate Change heat, drought, extreme events
Demand population growth, changing diets
Bangladesh, Cambodia, and the Philippines included in list of top 10 countries most vulnerable to climate change. (Maplecroft,
2012)
Pakistan Flooding 1.3 million hectares of crops destroyed
Worst flood in 80 years (2010)
Repeated flooding in 2011
“Pakistan’s agricultural industry – a pillar of the economy – could take up to two years to start recovering” Asian Development
Bank.
Projected Temperature Increases
Krechowicz, et. al., “Weeding Risk: Financial Impacts of Climate Change and Water Scarcity on Asia’ Food and Beverage Sector”, World Resources Institute, 2010.
Up to 23% of South Asia’s maize crop could will be lost due to higher temperatures by 2050.
Biofuels
Demand Table 1: Projected Trends in Total Maize Demand in Asian Regions. IMPACT model projections under the Global Futures Project with IFPRI.
Year Asia East Asia South Asia Southeast Asia West Asia North Asia
Base (thousand tonnes)
2000 198,642 144,612 16,164 24,222 10,774 2,870
2010 268,447 197,851 22,519 31,795 12,962 3,320
2020 331,463 239,682 31,344 40,139 16,727 3,570
2030 385,552 271,206 42,569 47,406 20,684 3,686
2040 443,874 302,112 57,952 55,732 24,358 3,720
2050 509,170 334,402 78,707 64,461 27,918 3,683
Changing Diets
Half of the world’s pork is eaten in China. Chicken and beef are becoming important.
Dependence on Maize Imports
Indonesia imported 1.6 million tons in 2010. This year, Indonesia will import an estimated 3.2 million tons.
At 16 million tons, Japan is the world’s largest importer of maize.
China became a new importer of maize last year for the first time in 14 years.
By 2015, China is expected to import 15 million metric tons of maize from the US alone.
Percentage of Annual Income Used to Purchase Food + Malnutrition Rates
CIMMYT’s Response to the Challenges and Opportunities Facing Maize
Ten Point Action Agenda for MAIZE “Strategic Initiatives”
1. Socioeconomics and policies for maize futures
2. Sustainable intensification and income opportunities for the poor
3. Smallholder precision agriculture
4. Stress tolerant maize for the poorest
5. Towards doubling maize productivity
6. Integrated postharvest management
7. Nutritious maize (with CRP4)
8. Seeds of Discovery – tackling the black box of genetic diversity
9. New tools and methods for NARS and SMEs
1-9. Strengthening local capacities
MAIZE CRP Target Areas
Expected Impact
Increased productivity of target populations by 7% in 2020 and 33% by 2030.
An added annual value of $2.0 billion by 2020 and $8.8 billion in 2030.
Reach 40 million smallholder farm family members by 2020 and 175 million by 2030.
Provide enough maize to meet the annual food demand of an additional
– 135 million consumers in 2020
– 600 million by 2030.
Our Partners
SAGARPA - Mexico
KARI - Kenya, Syngenta Foundation
Syngenta Foundation for Sustainable Agriculture
130 national agricultural research institutes
18 regional and international organizations
21 advanced agricultural research institutes
75 universities
Another xample: BISA Borlaug Institute for South Asia
General Objective: Develop state-of-the art research facilities to support maize and wheat research and development and capacity building.
Train partners in cutting-edge biotechnology and bioinformatics tools.
Train agronomists in conservation and precision agriculture.
Develop wheat varieties which increase yields up to 50%.
Initiate a Second Green Revolution.
谢谢 Thank you