san antonio - texas a&m university€¦ · • san antonio ranked #10 among “best-performing...
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SAN ANTONIO
• San Antonio ranked #10 among “Best-Performing Large Cities of 2014”, up two spots from 2013 (Milken Institute, Jan ‘15)
• San Antonio ranked #4 among “Fastest Growing Cities” (U.S. Census Bureau, Nov ’14)
• San Antonio ranked #10 among “Best Cities for Future Job Growth” (Forbes, Jul ’14)
• San Antonio tops the list of preferred cities by millennials – young adults born between 1980 and 2000 (Forbes, Jul ’14)
• San Antonio ranked #16 among “Best Places to Do Business (Forbes, Jul ’14)
• San Antonio MSA in-migration of roughly 43,000 between Jul ‘12 and July ‘13 (USBLS, Mar ‘14)
• San Antonio ranked #5 among “Top 10 Fastest Growing Cities” based on population growth (U.S. Census Bureau, Mar ’14)
• San Antonio ranked #3 among “America’s New Tech Hot Spots” (Forbes, Jan ’14)
• San Antonio ranked #2 among “US Metro Areas with the Most Economic Momentum Going Into 2014” (Forbes, Dec ’13)
• San Antonio ranked #12 among “Best-Performing Large Cities of 2013”, up 10 spots from 2012 (Milken Institute, Dec ‘13)
• San Antonio ranked #20 out of 102 metropolitan areas in the On the Numbers Index (May ’13)
• San Antonio ranked #4 among “Top 12 American Boomtowns” (Bloomberg, Apr ’14)
• San Antonio ranked #9 among “America’s Fastest Growing Cities” (Forbes, Jan ‘13)
SAN ANTONIO ECONOMIC STRENGTH
CENTRAL TEXAS
Year Total Units New Supply Absorption Occupancy Occ. Growth Avg. Rental Rate Rent Growth
2002 106,072 1,813 1,988 92.32% 0.30% $619 -6.55%2003 105,980 2,106 1,671 91.81% -0.51% $635 2.58%2004 107,326 1,346 665 91.65% -0.16% $639 0.63%2005 111,295 3,969 4,591 91.46% -0.19% $626 -2.03%2006 113,839 2,544 1,522 92.03% 0.57% $646 3.19%2007 117,157 3,318 2,642 91.35% -0.68% $669 3.56%2008 120,401 3,244 881 90.59% -0.76% $678 1.35%2009 126,514 6,133 4,632 88.67% -1.92% $677 -0.15%2010 128,212 1,698 4,493 90.59% 1.92% $708 4.58%2011 128,910 698 1,606 92.01% 1.42% $737 4.10%2012 132,802 3,639 4,499 92.40% 0.39% $778 5.56%2013 138,375 5,466 3,594 91.30% -1.10% $806 3.60%2014 143,921 4,767 5,967 91.90% 0.60% $843 4.59%
San Antonio Historic Fundamentals
SAN ANTONIO HISTORICAL DATA
CENTRAL TEXAS
SAN ANTONIO OCCUPANCY AND RENTAL RATES - FOURTH QUARTER
AUSTIN OCCUPANCY AND RENTAL RATES ‐ 2014 FOURTH QUARTER
Class "A" 94.0% $1,115 $1.22Class "B" 93.5% $1,014 $1.09Class "C" 92.2% $689 $0.89
Class Occupancy Average Rent PSF
CLASSAverage Rent
Data Source: Austin Investor Interests
CENTRAL TEXAS
2009 6 6 12 $160M2010 7 14 21 $172M2011 12 20 32 $520M2012 14 46 60 $869M2013 16 49 65 $850M2014 27 41 68 $1.32B
Transactions and Sales VolumeYear
Class A Transactions
Class B/C Transactions
Total SalesTotal Sales Volume
SAN ANTONIO OVERVIEW: TRANSACTIONS - SALES VOLUME - CAP RATES
TRANSACTIONS AND SALES VOLUME
Urban Class "A" 5.00% ‐ 5.50%Suburban Class "A" 5.25% ‐ 5.75%
Class "B" 5.75% ‐ 6.75%Class "C" 6.75%+
Class Q4 2014
Cap RatesCAP RATES
CENTRAL TEXAS
SAN ANTONIO SUPPLY & DEMAND
$0.60
$0.65
$0.70
$0.75
$0.80
$0.85
$0.90
$0.95
$1.00
$1.05
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
SAN ANTONIO HISTORICAL SUPPLY DATA
Units Built Absorption PSF Rents
Data Source: Austin Investor Interests
CENTRAL TEXAS
GENERATING NATIONAL AND TEXAS EXPOSURE
AUSTRALIA
CANADASEATTLE
PORTLAND
SACRAMENTO
SAN FRANCISCO KANSAS CITY
CHICAGO
DAYTON WASHINGTON DC
RICHMONDNORFOLK
RALEIGH-DURHAMCHARLOTTENASHVILLE
ATLANTA
JACKSONVILLE
ORLANDO
BOCA RATONTAMPA
BRAZIL
ISRAEL
BAHRAIN
TULSA
HOUSTONCENTRALTEXAS
IRVINE
PHOENIX
DENVER
DALLAS
COLUMBUS
• ARA Houston, Dallas, Austin & San Antonio are owned jointly = work as a team
- Drives enormous investor traffic to the ARA web page (TX is one of the most popular states for MF today)
- Houston/Dallas/Austin/San Antonio brokers direct investors to deals in each others markets
- More eyes and ears on your deal
• Texas team shares buyer database - we can utilize the bid list from all recent like/kind acquisitions
ARA Central Texas: Pat Jones, Andrew Shih, Matt Michelson, Andrew Childers, and Jim Young
ARA Houston: David Oelfke, Matt Rotan, David Wylie, and David Mitchell
ARA Dallas: Brian O’Boyle, Brian Murphy, and Brian O’Boyle Jr.
ARA EXPERTISE (2006 - 2014 MF SALES)• 2,200+ properties• $48,000,000,000+• $12,300,000,000 in 2014
NATIONAL EXPOSURE• 2nd in nation for multifamily sales• 25+ total offices nationwide• 100+ total brokers• #1 in market share in USA per broker• #2 in market share in USA total volume
ARA SPECIALTY PRACTICE GROUPS• Capital Markets• Student• Affordable• Manufactured Housing
CENTRAL TEXAS