san marcos water rates and politics...• san marcos will need to add 8,800 homes, • all growth...

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San Marcos Water Rates and Politics June 13, 2020 Presented by Tom Scaglione Co‐founder of Friendship of Vallecitos Customers Former AGM / CFO Vallecitos Water District Friendship of Vallecitos Customers We pay for water, not politics friendshipvallecitoswater.org ATS Financial Services The Bridge to Financial Stability (760) 684-1800

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Page 1: San Marcos Water Rates and Politics...• San Marcos will need to add 8,800 homes, • All growth infrastructure needs to be debt financed, and • The new cap fees need to be effective

San Marcos Water Rates and Politics

June 13, 2020Presented by Tom Scaglione

Co‐founder of Friendship of Vallecitos CustomersFormer AGM / CFO Vallecitos Water District

Friendship of Vallecitos CustomersWe pay for water, not politicsfriendshipvallecitoswater.org

ATS Financial ServicesThe Bridge to Financial Stability

(760) 684-1800

Page 2: San Marcos Water Rates and Politics...• San Marcos will need to add 8,800 homes, • All growth infrastructure needs to be debt financed, and • The new cap fees need to be effective

DARK MONEY

2

Special interest‐funded organizations with politically appeasing names.

These names show up on campaign contribution disclosures – not the special interests providing the financial support.

“North County Taxpayers for Responsible Government”$30,000 to Hal Martin

“Deputy Sheriff’s Association of San Diego County PAC”$18,532 to Mike Sannella

“California Taxpayers Coalition”$10,500 to Mike Sannella

“BIA of San Diego County PAC”$20,000 to Mike Sannella

Building IndustryThousands upon thousands to Martin and Sannella

A developer‐backed majority took control of the 

Vallecitos Water District Board in the 

2012 elections

Page 3: San Marcos Water Rates and Politics...• San Marcos will need to add 8,800 homes, • All growth infrastructure needs to be debt financed, and • The new cap fees need to be effective

The Political Shift

3

Board Member Jim Poltl:

“The District’s interest has to do with providing basic services, sewer and water, at the best price. That’s all it is. It has nothing to do with helping out developers.”

Newly elected Board Member Hal Martin:

“I look at the bigger picture.Economic stimulus.

Smaller governmental agencies … make that happen.”

At a Vallecitos Board meeting in 2013

Page 4: San Marcos Water Rates and Politics...• San Marcos will need to add 8,800 homes, • All growth infrastructure needs to be debt financed, and • The new cap fees need to be effective

Public Utilities ‐ 2 Sources of Controllable Revenuecontrollable because the Board can raise and lower rates to adjust the respective reserve balances

Capital Facility Fees from Developers Water and Sewer Bills from Customers

Construction cost for growthDebt service

Cannot legally charge more than the developers’ impacts

What’s left over is the developers’ money or Developer Reserves 4

Operating expensesAsset replacements

Cannot legally charge more than the cost to provide service

What’s left over is the ratepayers’ money or Operating and Replacement Reserves

Page 5: San Marcos Water Rates and Politics...• San Marcos will need to add 8,800 homes, • All growth infrastructure needs to be debt financed, and • The new cap fees need to be effective

5($20,000,000)

($10,000,000)

$0

$10,000,000

$20,000,000

$30,000,000

$40,000,000

 2006  2007  2008  2009  2010  2011  2012  2013  2014  2015  2016  2017  2018  2019

VWD Developer Fund Surplus/(Deficit)

Ratepayers have subsidized developer costs by at least $14.6 million.

Since 2013,developers have not been paying for their full impacts (additional infrastructure).

Ratepayers have been making up the difference.

Page 6: San Marcos Water Rates and Politics...• San Marcos will need to add 8,800 homes, • All growth infrastructure needs to be debt financed, and • The new cap fees need to be effective

6

VWD is the only water agency in San Diego County (possibly all of California) with a deficit in its developer funds.

Page 7: San Marcos Water Rates and Politics...• San Marcos will need to add 8,800 homes, • All growth infrastructure needs to be debt financed, and • The new cap fees need to be effective

7

No other water agency in San Diego County has accumulated more ratepayer money than VWD, money that is being used to continually subsidize development.

Page 8: San Marcos Water Rates and Politics...• San Marcos will need to add 8,800 homes, • All growth infrastructure needs to be debt financed, and • The new cap fees need to be effective
Page 9: San Marcos Water Rates and Politics...• San Marcos will need to add 8,800 homes, • All growth infrastructure needs to be debt financed, and • The new cap fees need to be effective

9

Page 10: San Marcos Water Rates and Politics...• San Marcos will need to add 8,800 homes, • All growth infrastructure needs to be debt financed, and • The new cap fees need to be effective

• “I hate the word deficit for many reasons. It gives credibility to detractors to start with.  … There's no deficit. … Deficit is a bad word. For the nay sayers, it's very easy to say 'deficit!'. … We need to change that terminology somehow ... You can't use the word 'deficit.'  Change that terminology.”     Hal Martin, Board President

• “[How about] 'Capital Facility Revenue Shortfall’,”       General Manager

• “There you go!”Hal Martin, Board President

10

The Cover‐Up – 2019 

Page 11: San Marcos Water Rates and Politics...• San Marcos will need to add 8,800 homes, • All growth infrastructure needs to be debt financed, and • The new cap fees need to be effective

The Cover‐Up – 2019 

11

($14.4)($16.5)

($13.1) ($11.7)($7.8) ($7.6)

($50)

($40)

($30)

($20)

($10)

$0

“… the determined Cap Fees should have no fiscal impact to ratepayers.”

October 2, 2019 Staff Report on Modification of Cap Feeshttp://www.vwd.org/home/showdocument?id=11092, page 33

• Water Cap Fees were overstated by  29%• Sewer by 51%• Included $28 million in bond proceeds with no intention to issue

From VWD Adopted 2019 Budget5‐Year Developer Deficit Projection

A Subsidy Funded by Ratepayersin $Millions

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

Page 12: San Marcos Water Rates and Politics...• San Marcos will need to add 8,800 homes, • All growth infrastructure needs to be debt financed, and • The new cap fees need to be effective

The Cover‐Up – 2019 

12

($14.4)($19.6) ($19.1)

($20.3)

($29.0)

($49.4)($50)

($40)

($30)

($20)

($10)

$0

“… the determined Cap Fees should have no fiscal impact to ratepayers.”

October 2, 2019 Staff Report on Modification of Cap Feeshttp://www.vwd.org/home/showdocument?id=11092, page 33

$49.4 Million in the Cost of Urban DevelopmentPaid for by Ratepayers

5‐Year Developer Deficit ProjectionWith Actual Cap Fees and No Debt

A Subsidy Funded by Ratepayersin $Millions

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

Page 13: San Marcos Water Rates and Politics...• San Marcos will need to add 8,800 homes, • All growth infrastructure needs to be debt financed, and • The new cap fees need to be effective

The Cover‐Up – 2020 

13

“… General Manager Pruim stated rate payer funds do not help subsidize development in the Vallecitos service area. There is currently a deficit in the developer fund; however, the recently approved capital 

facility fees were increased which will erase that deficit.”February 27, 2020 minutes to the board meeting

http://www.vwd.org/home/showdocument?id=11380, page 3

• 4 months later, bondholders were paid $3.1 million out of ratepayer funds.  The bonds were issued to build growth infrastructure – development.

• According to the study that set the Cap Fees, to “erase” the deficit:• San Marcos will need to add 8,800 homes,• All growth infrastructure needs to be debt financed, and• The new cap fees need to be effective in 2016 – they were 

effective January 2, 2020.

Page 14: San Marcos Water Rates and Politics...• San Marcos will need to add 8,800 homes, • All growth infrastructure needs to be debt financed, and • The new cap fees need to be effective

14

The Board and the Public were warned in advance of the escalation of ratepayer reserves and the plummeting developer deficit.  Since the Board started ignoring staff’s warnings and providing accommodations to developers, all but one manager resigned within five years.

Page 15: San Marcos Water Rates and Politics...• San Marcos will need to add 8,800 homes, • All growth infrastructure needs to be debt financed, and • The new cap fees need to be effective

15

($15.0)

($21.6)

($11.9)

($12.7)

($7.0)

($7.2)

($50)

($45)

($40)

($35)

($30)

($25)

($20)

($15)

($10)

($5)

$0

From VWD Adopted 2020 Budget5‐Year Developer Deficit Projection

A Subsidy Funded by Ratepayersin $Millions

• Includes $10 Million in Debt Proceeds in Year 2• with no Capital Expenditures to Finance

• Includes $50 million in Debt Proceeds in the 5‐Year period• with only $35 million in Debt‐Eligible Capital Expenditures

• No Intention to Issue Bonds• Assumed Unachievable Growth

The Cover‐Up – 2020

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 22025

Page 16: San Marcos Water Rates and Politics...• San Marcos will need to add 8,800 homes, • All growth infrastructure needs to be debt financed, and • The new cap fees need to be effective

162020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

The Cover‐Up – 2020

($15.0)

($21.6) ($22.0)($22.6)

($43.2)

($52.5)($55)

($50)

($45)

($40)

($35)

($30)

($25)

($20)

($15)

($10)

($5)

$02020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

5‐Year Developer Deficit ProjectionWith No Debt

A Subsidy Funded by Ratepayersin $Millions

$52.5 Million in the Cost of Urban DevelopmentPaid for by Ratepayers

Page 17: San Marcos Water Rates and Politics...• San Marcos will need to add 8,800 homes, • All growth infrastructure needs to be debt financed, and • The new cap fees need to be effective

Projected Reserve Projection for FY 2022 as Adopted

Cover‐Up 2020Excerpt from the VWD Budget 

Adopted May 20, 2020

Finance 101 – No one will loan you money so your projected $22 million deficit will only be a $12 million deficit.  You can only issue tax‐exempt debt to finance capital expenditures with a public benefit.

Page 18: San Marcos Water Rates and Politics...• San Marcos will need to add 8,800 homes, • All growth infrastructure needs to be debt financed, and • The new cap fees need to be effective

$80.8 

$63.7 

$54.0 $51.4 

$32.9 

$25.2 $20

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

$90

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Projected Total Fund Balance without Debtin millions

Even if VWD realizes that they do need to issue bonds, when they have eligible capital expenditures to finance in 2024, it is not likely they will be able to borrow, or at least 

get a favorable credit rating.  Considering recent and projected financial planning and decisions, at this rate of decline, Vallecitos could be bankrupt in 8 years, without 

significantly increasing water and sewer rates.  

This projected decline (VWD’s numbers) assumes a 3.5% to 4% increase in water and sewer rates each year.

Page 19: San Marcos Water Rates and Politics...• San Marcos will need to add 8,800 homes, • All growth infrastructure needs to be debt financed, and • The new cap fees need to be effective

friendshipvallecitoswater.orgfacebook.com/tom.scaglione.520

[email protected]

ATS Financial ServicesThe Bridge to Financial Stability

(760) 684 -1800

San Marcos Water Rates and Politics