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Saratoga Race of the Day Analysis optixeq.com

Quad Stats

RACE ANALYSIS

The morning line favorites #5 PENJADE and #6 RYMSKA are coming off extended layoffs. Both are deep closers who are in a race with very light pace contention and SpeedRate. However in these short fields the pace dynamics change dramatically. The pace generally tends to be slower and the field more bunched. It all depends how hard the #2 DYNATAIL and #4 MALIBU STACY go at it early. Both fillies have aggressive speed riders and if both are intent on going the three squares could be poised late. The #6 RYMSKA is classy enough to overcome any pace scenario and has won before off a 200 plus day layoff. She has not run a bad race in her career and she is most definitely the filly to beat.

The value horse in the race is the #1 MY IMPRESSION. I am expecting her to run an improved effort if she gets firm ground today. According to OptixNOTES she did not handle the soft ground last time and in her prior race she was against a track profile that favored front runners. Based not he PLOT she might be a bit more tactical than the morning line favorites so she could get jump on them and if they are not ready to fire their best shots she could be dangerous.

Race of the Day Explainer Page optixeq.com

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EARLY SPEED

STALKERS

CLOSERS

QUICK TIPS

• OptixPLOT is a graphical representation of the anticipated pace of the race (i.e., race shape).

• The most reliable/interpretable races have a GREEN PlotFit.

• Individual horses are represented either by SQUARES (strong finishing ability) or CIRCLES (less-than-average finishing ability).

• QUADRANT 1 (early pace) horses win the highest percentage of races.

• SQUARES (late-pace horses) win nearly 2x more than CIRCLES. The larger the SQUARE, the stronger the finishing ability of the horse.

• CIRCLES in QUADRANTS 3 & 4 have a very low win-percentage. Large CIRCLES indicate horses with weak finishing ability.

• An OptixPLOT with a High Contention (flame) and a SpeedRate >= 40 typically favors SQUARES in QUADRANTS 2 & 4.

• An OptixPLOT with a Low Contention (snowflake) and a SpeedRate <= 15 typically favors QUADRANT 1 horses.

Standard OptixPLOT Quad Position; Shape & Size

OptixFIG Range

OptixNOTES Keywords

OptixNOTES Grade

& OptixFIGS

Previous 3 Race Dates and Class

Program #, Horse Name, Morning Line, Days Since Last Race, RunStyle

Quadrant 1

Quadrant 3

Quadrant 2

Quadrant 4

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