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Author 6. Conclusions 2. Seismotectonic setup 4.1 Source parameters Abstract Synthetic ground motions of the 8 October 2005 Kashmir earthquake (Mw 7.6): a stochastic finite fault element approach Hamid Sana SCEC Annual Meeting, Palm Springs, California, September 2017 Synthetic ground motions of the 8 October 2005 Kashmir earthquake (Mw 7.6) were generated in the Kashmir basin, NW Himalaya. This earthquake caused paramount amount of damage to life and property. It resulted in death of 86,000 people and destroyed property amounting to millions of dollars. The stochastic finite fault element method with dynamic corner frequency was used to simulate the ground motions of this earthquake throughout the Kashmir basin. The synthetic ground motions were generated at engineering bed rock and later transmitted to the surface using shear wave velocity (Vs30) of the alluvium in the basin. The results are in agreement with the damage trajectory of the earthquake and to the estimates of the ground motion from the field investigations. These results are thus useful in carryout the detailed seismic hazard assessment of the Kashmir basin. Especially when destructive earthquakes like 1555 (Mw 7.6) and 1885 (Mw 6.3) have been reported in the historical archives. Postdoctoral Fellow, Department of Neotectonics and Thermochronology, Institute of Rock Structure and Mechanics, Czech Academy of Sciences, Prague 18209 Czech Republic. email: [email protected]; [email protected] 1. Introduction Kashmir valley is a northwest-southeast directed, Neogene-Quaternary tectonic basin in the NW Himalaya . Due to the active tectonic set-up in and around this basin, this region has been struck by various destructive earthquakes (Ambraseys and Douglas, 2004) The 8 October 2005 Kashmir earthquake (Mw 7.6) was the most recent earthquake that shook the region. Here the synthetic ground motions of this earthquake are presented at engineering bedrock and at the surface level in the Kashmir basin. The Stochastic finite fault element method with dynamic corner frequency was used to simulate the synthetic ground motions. This modelling technique was basically introduced by Boore (1983), since then it has been modified with very useful changes like the finite-fault modelling of Beresnev & Atkinson (1997) and the dynamic corner frequency approach of Motezidian & Atkinson (2005). The synthetic ground motions of the 8 October 2005 Kashmir earthquake (Mw 7.6) are consistent with the reported ground motions and the damage pattern in the Kashmir basin. The results of this study should be incorporated while assessing the seismic hazard of the Kashmir basin from recent instrumental as well as historical earthquakes. Map showing location of the Kashmir basin and surroundings Seismotectonic Sketch map of Kashmir. Region. The synthetic ground motion modelling is usually carried out either by the adopting the Frequency-Wave number integration (F-K) method or the widely used stochastic approach. The stochastic method is preferred here due to ease in the compilation of the strong-motion simulation parameters. Motezidian & Atkinson (2005) was used in this study, as Beresnev & Atkinson (1997) is not sensitive to higher frequencies Parameter 2005 Kashmir earthquake Strike 334° Dip 34° Hypocentre 34.38°N/ 73.47°E Focal Depth 12 Km Magnitude Mw 7.6 Fault Length/Width 97/32 Km Stress Drop 91.5 bar Shear Wave Velocity 3.12 Km/s Crustal Density 3.20 g/cm 3 Qs 253f 0.8 K 0.03 5.1 Synthetic Seismograms 5.2 Synthetic ground motion at bedrock 5.3 Synthetic ground motion at surface 3. Methodology 4.2 Shear wave velocity References Ambraseys, N. and Douglas, J. (2004). Geophysical Journal International, 159:165-206. Boore, D. M. (1983). Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America ,73:1865–1894. Beresnev, I. A. and Atkinson, G. (1997). Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 87: 67-84. Motazedian, D. and Atkinson, G. (2005). Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 95: 995-1010. Shear wave velocity (Vs30) distribution map of the Kashmir basin alluvium 4. Input Parameters 5. Results Synthetic seismograms at Bedrock Synthetic seismograms at Surface Synthetic ground motions of the 8 October 2005 Kashmir earthquake (Mw 7.6) at surface in Kashmir basin. NEHRP site classes Synthetic ground motions of the 8 October 2005 Kashmir earthquake (Mw 7.6) at the bedrock in Kashmir basin.

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Page 1: SCEC Annual Meeting, Palm Springs, California, September 2017 · SCEC Annual Meeting, Palm Springs, California, September 2017 Synthetic ground motions of the 8 October 2005 Kashmir

Author

6. Conclusions

2. Seismotectonic setup

4.1 Source parameters

Abstract

Synthetic ground motions of the 8 October 2005 Kashmir earthquake (Mw 7.6): a stochastic finite fault element approach

Hamid Sana SCEC Annual Meeting, Palm Springs, California, September 2017

Synthetic ground motions of the 8 October 2005 Kashmir earthquake (Mw 7.6) were generated in the Kashmir basin, NW Himalaya. This earthquake caused paramount amount of damage to life and property. It resulted in death of 86,000 people and destroyed property amounting to millions of dollars. The stochastic finite fault element method with dynamic corner frequency was used to simulate the ground motions of this earthquake throughout the Kashmir basin. The synthetic ground motions were generated at engineering bed rock and later transmitted to the surface using shear wave velocity (Vs30) of the alluvium in the basin. The results are in agreement with the damage trajectory of the earthquake and to the estimates of the ground motion from the field investigations. These results are thus useful in carryout the detailed seismic hazard assessment of the Kashmir basin. Especially when destructive earthquakes like 1555 (Mw 7.6) and 1885 (Mw 6.3) have been reported in the historical archives.

Postdoctoral Fellow, Department of Neotectonics and Thermochronology, Institute of Rock Structure and Mechanics, Czech Academy of Sciences, Prague 18209 Czech Republic.email: [email protected]; [email protected]

1. Introduction Kashmir valley is a northwest-southeast directed, Neogene-Quaternary tectonic basin in the NW

Himalaya . Due to the active tectonic set-up in and around this basin, this region has been struck by various

destructive earthquakes (Ambraseys and Douglas, 2004) The 8 October 2005 Kashmir earthquake (Mw 7.6) was the most recent earthquake that shook the

region. Here the synthetic ground motions of this earthquake are presented at engineering bedrock and at

the surface level in the Kashmir basin. The Stochastic finite fault element method with dynamic corner frequency was used to simulate the

synthetic ground motions. This modelling technique was basically introduced by Boore (1983), since then it has been

modified with very useful changes like the finite-fault modelling of Beresnev & Atkinson (1997) and the dynamic corner frequency approach of Motezidian & Atkinson (2005).

The synthetic ground motions of the 8 October 2005 Kashmir earthquake (Mw 7.6) are consistent with the reported ground motions and the damage pattern in the Kashmir basin.

The results of this study should be incorporated while assessing the seismic hazard of the Kashmir basin from recent instrumental as well as historical earthquakes.

Map showing location of the Kashmir basin and surroundings

Seismotectonic Sketch map of Kashmir. Region.

The synthetic ground motion modelling is usually carried out either by the adopting the Frequency-Wave number integration (F-K) method or the widely used stochastic approach.

The stochastic method is preferred here due to ease in the compilation of the strong-motion simulation parameters.

Motezidian & Atkinson (2005) was used in this study, as Beresnev & Atkinson (1997) is not sensitive to higher frequencies

Parameter 2005 Kashmir earthquake

Strike 334°Dip 34°

Hypocentre 34.38°N/73.47°E

Focal Depth 12 KmMagnitude Mw 7.6

Fault Length/Width 97/32 KmStress Drop 91.5 bar

Shear Wave Velocity 3.12 Km/sCrustal Density 3.20 g/cm3

Qs 253f0.8

K 0.03

5.1 Synthetic Seismograms

5.2 Synthetic ground motion at bedrock

5.3 Synthetic ground motion at surface

3. Methodology

4.2 Shear wave velocity

ReferencesAmbraseys, N. and Douglas, J. (2004). Geophysical Journal International, 159:165-206.Boore, D. M. (1983). Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America ,73:1865–1894.Beresnev, I. A. and Atkinson, G. (1997). Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 87: 67-84.Motazedian, D. and Atkinson, G. (2005). Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 95: 995-1010.

Shear wave velocity (Vs30) distribution map of the Kashmir basin alluvium

4. Input Parameters

5. Results

Synthetic seismogram

s at Bedrock

Synthetic seismogram

s at Surface

Synthetic ground motions of the 8 October 2005 Kashmir earthquake (Mw 7.6) at surface in Kashmir basin.

NEHRP site classes

Synthetic ground motions of the 8 October 2005 Kashmir earthquake (Mw 7.6) at the bedrockin Kashmir basin.