RUN TO THE HILLS

Scenario 3

ISSUES Water use Energy supply (including hydropower

development) Security implications

WATER USE Water use and land use

Multi purpose use of waterMore agricultural areasProtected areas reducedPrioritization for drinking water and

irrigation Poor water infrastructure

TECHNOLOGY Inefficient irrigation techniques

MARKETS, FINANCING AND GOVERNANCE Ban on bottled water production and

import Different prices for different users based

on priorities No privatization in the water sector Subsidies for innovative systems that

produce energy and/or water

GENERAL WELL-BEING Increased cooperation – lower risks for

conflicts Bilateral and multilateral conventions

Strategic planning at regional levelSEA

Tool for prioritization of water abstraction Public participation

Education on efficient water use

HYDROPOWER AND ENERGY CAPACITIES Plan investment on regional level Money driven development Shared HPP (building & use) Decisions based on cost-effective

analysis SHPP across the region in line with the

social impact assessment Less TPP and more RES (solar and wind) Renovation of existing HPP capacities Use of biomass

TECHNOLOGY Best affordable technology Effective use of existing technologies Regional industry for wind turbines

MARKETS , FINANCING AND GOVERNANCE Regional markets Investments from life cycle perspective HPP not for export outside of the region Cooperation in trans-boundary water

management Effective use of infrastructure Transparency on production/consumption

information – regional information system Early warning system not operational Shared HPP – improved security Inventory of potential locations for big dams Focus on big reservoirs Big HPP for export within the region

GENERAL WELL-BEING Cooperation – increases general well-

being Multipurpose use of reservoirs Innovation and exchange of know-how

SECURITY IMPLICATIONS 1 HPP security supply

Re-use of treated water from WWTPBrown-outs

Other energy Inability to provide socially protected price

Security of domestic supplyMutual assistanceDiversification of sources

SECURITY IMPLICATIONS - ENVIRONMENT Water quality

Decline as a result of brown-outsMineralization of soil and high-level ground

water due to HPP upstream Quantity

Insufficient supply (due to scarcity of water)More costly to extract drinking water due to

HPP downstream Biodiversity

Loss or gain based on economic conditions

SECURITY IMPLICATIONS 3 Food security

Due to water scarcity and prioritization for drinking water

Navigation security Jeopardized due to water scarcity and water

use prioritizationTransport and recreational tourism

Extreme eventsEarly warning system under establishment

but not functioning well

SECURITY IMPLICATIONS 4 Health security

Inability to provide services due to brown-outs and low drinking water quality

ConflictsPotential if no agreements between

countries for prioritization of water use Water quality and quantity`