scenario concept mpc conference, juneau, ak 17-19 jan 2011 cecil mcnutt d17 (dxc)

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SCENARIO CONCEPT MPC Conference, Juneau, AK 17-19 Jan 2011 Cecil McNutt D17 (dxc)

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Page 1: SCENARIO CONCEPT MPC Conference, Juneau, AK 17-19 Jan 2011 Cecil McNutt D17 (dxc)

SCENARIO CONCEPT

MPC Conference, Juneau, AK 17-19 Jan 2011Cecil McNutt

D17 (dxc)

Page 2: SCENARIO CONCEPT MPC Conference, Juneau, AK 17-19 Jan 2011 Cecil McNutt D17 (dxc)

Why a fact based Scenario?

Increase Awareness

Focused Discussion

Scenario not a Secret

$$$ tied to Scenario

Page 3: SCENARIO CONCEPT MPC Conference, Juneau, AK 17-19 Jan 2011 Cecil McNutt D17 (dxc)

What the Scenario covers

Over Arching Objectives

Command Posts Still In Formation

The Emergency Phase

Sub-objective Venues

Detail Based On Your Participation

Page 4: SCENARIO CONCEPT MPC Conference, Juneau, AK 17-19 Jan 2011 Cecil McNutt D17 (dxc)

Scenario

Vsl name : And the Winner is!

Anchored Position: 54’ 07”N by 131’ 57.5W

Hull, propeller and rudder damaged

132K gal heavy fuel oil lost

Containers: Lost/sunk – Displaced -- Crushed

Flooding: Ongoing - Pumps --

Page 5: SCENARIO CONCEPT MPC Conference, Juneau, AK 17-19 Jan 2011 Cecil McNutt D17 (dxc)

Vessel Particulars

Vessel: Container Ship Size: 830 feet

Containers: 5576 TEU Largest fuel tank: 1000 M^3 = 265k/gal

Total Heavy Fuel: 11,000 cubic meters (M^3) = 69187.918 barrels/petroleum barrels = 2,905,892.6 gallons [US] of Heavy fuel oil in 8 tanks.

Sample

Page 6: SCENARIO CONCEPT MPC Conference, Juneau, AK 17-19 Jan 2011 Cecil McNutt D17 (dxc)

IMPACT AREAS

Page 7: SCENARIO CONCEPT MPC Conference, Juneau, AK 17-19 Jan 2011 Cecil McNutt D17 (dxc)

70 NAUTIAL MILES

DISTANCES

62 nm

65 nm

88 nm

24 nm

32 nm

35 NM

Page 8: SCENARIO CONCEPT MPC Conference, Juneau, AK 17-19 Jan 2011 Cecil McNutt D17 (dxc)

Resource Risks

Page 9: SCENARIO CONCEPT MPC Conference, Juneau, AK 17-19 Jan 2011 Cecil McNutt D17 (dxc)

Commercial/Recreational Use

Page 10: SCENARIO CONCEPT MPC Conference, Juneau, AK 17-19 Jan 2011 Cecil McNutt D17 (dxc)

Historic Properties/Cultural Resources

Page 11: SCENARIO CONCEPT MPC Conference, Juneau, AK 17-19 Jan 2011 Cecil McNutt D17 (dxc)

Assets/Operations

Page 12: SCENARIO CONCEPT MPC Conference, Juneau, AK 17-19 Jan 2011 Cecil McNutt D17 (dxc)

NOAA/PISCES TRAJECTORY ANALYSIS

Page 13: SCENARIO CONCEPT MPC Conference, Juneau, AK 17-19 Jan 2011 Cecil McNutt D17 (dxc)

Fate of Oil

Page 14: SCENARIO CONCEPT MPC Conference, Juneau, AK 17-19 Jan 2011 Cecil McNutt D17 (dxc)

Y

Page 15: SCENARIO CONCEPT MPC Conference, Juneau, AK 17-19 Jan 2011 Cecil McNutt D17 (dxc)

PPOR Sites

Y65 nm

7 nm

Page 16: SCENARIO CONCEPT MPC Conference, Juneau, AK 17-19 Jan 2011 Cecil McNutt D17 (dxc)

Questions?