Scenarios

USGS Land Cover Change StudyAlaska-Canada Climate-Biome ShiftPermafrost DynamicsNorth Slope Climate AnalysisSitka HydropowerArctic Sea Ice TrendsAlaska Integrated Ecosystem ModelIPY – Ecosystems & SocietyDEC – Oil Spill Preparedness

Network Collaboration

Example - Primary Data Are

TemperaturePrecipitation

Days of freeze/thawGrowing season length

Evapotranspiration

Example - Models

To "run" a model, the planet is a 3D

grid,

Apply the basic equations, and

Evaluate the results.

http://celebrating200years.noaa.gov/breakthroughs/climate_model/modeling_schematic.html

Example - GeovisualizationLink climate projections to ecosystem change

Fire BehaviorSoil Temperature

Permafrost DynamicsBiome Shift

Hydrologic ChangeTerrestrial & Marine Interfaces

Landscape & Community Connectivity

Example - Geovisualization

GeovisualizationComplex Data

Complex ModelsComplex Scenarios

Geovisualization simplifies the communicationGeovisualization builds a powerful story

But must be used correctly

Broadband Data

GeographicDemographic

EconomicTelecoms

Broadband Geographic Data

Geospatial Data from SNAP, Geographic Information Network of Alaska

Alaska Dept of Transportation (RoW)

Anchor InstitutionsSchools – Distance Learning

Clinics – TelemedicinePorts & Airports

Broadband Demographic Data

Decennial Census DataBusiness Surveys

Alaska Permanent Fund DataAnnual Earnings by Occupation (NAICS)

Broadband Economic Data

Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)Consumer Expenditure Survey (CES)Compensation/Earnings by Occupation (SIC, NAICS)National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP)Alaska unemployment and wages (by location)

Broadband Model

Alaska Model may not look like other models

Differences due toData Collection/SourceData AggregationData ScaleModel parameters Model analysis

Outcome Scenarios

Broadband Model References“The Economic Impact of Stimulating Broadband Nationally.” Connected Nation, Inc. “The Effects of Broadband Deployment on Output and Employment: A Cross-Sectional Analysis of U.S. Data. The Brookings

Institute.  “Infrastructure and Productivity: An Extension to Private Infrastructure and IT Productivity. Journal of Econometrics,  “Productivity and ICT: A Review of the Evidence.” “Broadband and Economic Development: A Municipal Case Study from Florida.” Review of Urban and Regional Development

Studies.  “The Broadband Bonus: Estimating Broadband Internet’s Economic Value.” Telecommunications Policy “Evidence of a Modest Price Decline in US Broadband Services.” Information Economics and Policy “What’s Spurious, what’s real? Measuring the Productivity Impacts of ICT at the Firm-level.” Empirical Economics 30 “Building the Rural Economy through High-Growth Entrepreneurs.” Economic Review-Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.  “Costs and Benefits from Infrastructure Competition. Estimating Welfare Effects from Broadband Access Competition.”

Telecommunications Policy.  “Broadband and Contributions to Economic Growth: Lessons from the U.S. Experience.” Telecommunications Policy “Infrastructure Investment and Rural Economic Development: and Evaluation of USDA’s Broadband Loan Program.” Growth and

Change “Estimating the Impact of the Broadband Stimulus Plan. Columbia Institute for Tele-information “The Economic Impact of Broadband on Growth: A Simultaneous Approach.” Telecommunications Policy “Telecommunications Infrastructure and Economic Development: A Simultaneous Approach.” The American Economic Review.

Broadband Geovisualization

Broadband Project data,

Estimates,Uncertaint

y,&

Metadata

Keith Cunningham, PI

1997: PhD - Neural Network Modeling1993 - 2004: President of Spatial Data Research2004 - present: President of Mobile Mapping Corp2009-present: Research Assistant Professor

Digital Elevation ModelingGeovisualizationRemote SensingLiDAR & SAR

Joseph Little, Co-I

2005: PhD – University of New Mexico2005-Present: Assistant Professor of Economics-UAF

-Non-Market Valuation-Applied Economic Analysis-Survey/Experimental Methods

2010-Present: Director, MS in Resource and Applied Economics Program