scmchap03
TRANSCRIPT
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2001 Prentice Hall
Ch. 3-1
Strategic ManagementStrategic ManagementConcepts & CasesConcepts & Cases
8thedition
Fred R. David
Chapter 3:The External AssessmentPowerPoint Slides By:
Anthony F. Chelte
Western New England College
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Ch. 3-2
Comprehensive Strategic Management ModelComprehensive Strategic Management Model
Vision&MissionStatements
Chapter 2
ExternalAudit
Chapter 3
InternalAudit
Chapter 4
Long-TermObjectives
Chapter 5
Generate,Evaluate,SelectStrategiesChapter 6
ImplementStrategies:Mgmt Issues
Chapter 7
ImplementStrategies:Marketing,Fin/Acct,R&D, CISChapter 8
Measure &EvaluatePerformance
Chapter 9
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Ch. 3-3
External AssessmentExternal Assessment
If you're not faster than your competitor,youre in a tenuous position, and ifyoure only half as fast, youre terminal.
George Salk
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Ch. 3-4
External AssessmentExternal Assessment (Contd)(Contd)
The idea is to concentrate our strengthagainst our competitors relativeweakness.
Bruce Henderson
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Ch. 3-5
External Assessment (Contd)External Assessment (Contd)
External Strategic-Management AuditExternal Strategic-Management Audit
Industry analysis
Environmental scanning
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Ch. 3-6
External AssessmentExternal Assessment (Contd)(Contd)
External audit:External audit:
Focuses on identifying &
evaluating events beyond theimmediate control of the firm
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Ch. 3-7
External AssessmentExternal Assessment (Contd)(Contd)
External audit focuses onExternal audit focuses on:
Increased foreign competition
Population shifts
Demographics (e.g., aging population)
Information technology
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Ch. 3-8
External AssessmentExternal Assessment (Contd)(Contd)
External audit revealsExternal audit reveals:
Key opportunities
Key threats
Managers then formulate strategies:Managers then formulate strategies:
Take advantage of opportunities
Avoid/reduce impact of threats
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Ch. 3-9
External AssessmentExternal Assessment (Contd)(Contd)
External AuditExternal Audit
Aimed at identifying key variables thatofferactionableactionableresponses
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Ch. 3-10
External AssessmentExternal Assessment (Contd)(Contd)
Key External ForcesKey External Forces
Five (5) broad categories:
Economic forces
Social, cultural, demographic, &environmental forces
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Ch. 3-11
External AssessmentExternal Assessment (Contd)(Contd)
Key External ForcesKey External Forces (Contd)(Contd)
Five (5) broad categories:
Political, governmental, & legal forces
Technological forces
Competitive forces
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Ch. 3-12
External AssessmentExternal Assessment (Contd)(Contd)
Key
ExternalForces
CompetitorsSuppliers
DistributorsCreditors
CustomersEmployees
CommunitiesManagers
StockholdersLabor UnionsSpecial Interest Groups
ProductsServices
Opportunities
&Threats
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Ch. 3-13
External AssessmentExternal Assessment (Contd)(Contd)
Process of External AuditProcess of External Audit:
Involve as many managers & employees as possible
Gather competitive intelligence
Information about social, demographic, cultural,environmental, etc.
Monitor sources of information (key magazines,
articles, etc.) Utilization of Internet
Suppliers, distributors, customers as sources ofinformation
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Ch. 3-14
External AssessmentExternal Assessment (Contd)(Contd)
Key External FactorsKey External Factors:
Vary over time
&
Vary by industry
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Ch. 3-15
External AssessmentExternal Assessment (Contd)(Contd)
Key External FactorsKey External Factors::
Important to achieving long-term
objectives
Measurable
Applicable to all competing firms
Hierarchical
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Ch. 3-16
External AssessmentExternal Assessment (Contd)(Contd)
Examples of Key External FactorsExamples of Key External Factors:
Market share
Breadth of competing products World economies Proprietary & key account advantages
Price competitiveness Technological advancements Interest rates
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Ch. 3-17
Economic ForcesEconomic Forces
Monitor Key Economic VariablesMonitor Key Economic Variables::
Availability of credit
Level of disposable income Interest rates Inflation rates Money market rates
Federal government budget deficits Gross domestic product trend Consumption patterns
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Ch. 3-18
Economic ForcesEconomic Forces (Contd)(Contd)
Monitor Key Economic VariablesMonitor Key Economic Variables:: (Contd)(Contd)
Unemployment trends
Worker productivity levels Value of the dollar in world markets Stock market trends Foreign countries economic conditions
Import/export factors Demand shifts for goods/services Income differences by region/customer
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Ch. 3-19
Economic ForcesEconomic Forces (Contd)(Contd)
Monitor Key Economic VariablesMonitor Key Economic Variables:: (Contd)(Contd)
Price fluctuations
Exportation of labor & capital Monetary policies Fiscal policies Tax rates
ECC policies OPEC policies LDC policies
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Ch. 3-20
Social & Environmental ForcesSocial & Environmental Forces
Social, cultural, demographic, andenvironmental changes:
Major impact on:Products
Services
Markets
Customers
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Ch. 3-21
Social & Environmental ForcesSocial & Environmental Forces
(Contd)(Contd)
World population > 6 billion
U.S. population < 300 millionGreat potential for domestic production
expansion to other markets
Domestic only is a risky strategy
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Ch. 3-22
Social & Environmental ForcesSocial & Environmental Forces(Contd)(Contd)
53.3346 m30 mOceania
28.52392 m305 mNorth America
16.08729 m628 mEurope
60.52809 m504 mLatin America
140.321.8 b749 mAfrica
47.225.3 b3.6 bAsia
% Increase% Increase2050205019981998CountryCountry
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Ch. 3-23
Social & Environmental ForcesSocial & Environmental Forces
(Contd)(Contd)E-commerce PerspectiveE-commerce Perspective
Question:
Is the Internet Revolution BypassingPoor, Minorities?
Answer:
Yes!
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Ch. 3-24
Social & Environmental ForcesSocial & Environmental Forces
(Contd)(Contd)
Internet revolution is widening the gapbetween rich & poor
42% U.S. households have personalcomputers
80% of them are in householdsw/family income > $75,000
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Ch. 3-25
Social & Environmental ForcesSocial & Environmental Forces
(Contd)(Contd) Internet usage lowest (3%) among
Americans earning $10K or less
26.7% of White Americans use Internetat home compared to 9.2% Blacks &8.8% of Hispanics
90% shares of common stock ofAmerican companies held by thewealthiest 10% of Americans
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Ch. 3-26
Social & Environmental ForcesSocial & Environmental Forces(Contd)(Contd)
Key social, cultural, demographic, &Key social, cultural, demographic, &environmental variables:environmental variables:
Childbearing rates Number of special-interest groups Number of marriages Number of divorces Number of births Number of deaths Immigration & emigration rates
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Ch. 3-27
Social & Environmental ForcesSocial & Environmental Forces(Contd)(Contd)
Key social, cultural, demographic, &Key social, cultural, demographic, &environmental variables:environmental variables: (Contd)(Contd)
Life expectancy rates Per capita income Attitudes toward business Average disposable income Buying habits Ethical concerns Attitudes toward saving
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Ch. 3-28
Social & Environmental ForcesSocial & Environmental Forces(Contd)(Contd)
Key social, cultural, demographic, &Key social, cultural, demographic, &environmental variables:environmental variables: (Contd)(Contd)
Racial equality Average level of education Government regulation Attitudes toward customer service Attitudes toward product quality Energy conservation Social responsibility
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Ch. 3-29
Social & Environmental ForcesSocial & Environmental Forces(Contd)(Contd)
Key social, cultural, demographic, &Key social, cultural, demographic, &
environmental variables:environmental variables: (Contd)(Contd)
Value placed on leisure time
Recycling
Waste management
Air & water pollution Ozone depletion
Endangered species
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Ch. 3-30
Political, Govt., & Legal ForcesPolitical, Govt., & Legal Forces
Government RegulationGovernment Regulation
Key opportunities & key threats
Antitrust legislation (Microsoft)
Tax ratesLobbying effortsPatent laws
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Ch. 3-31
Political, Govt., & Legal ForcesPolitical, Govt., & Legal Forces
(Contd)(Contd)
Increasing Global InterdependenceIncreasing Global Interdependence
Impact of political variables
Formulation of strategies
Implementation of strategies
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Ch. 3-32
Political, Govt., & Legal ForcesPolitical, Govt., & Legal Forces
(Contd)(Contd)
Increasing Global InterdependenceIncreasing Global Interdependence
Strategists in a global economyForecast political climates
Legalistic skillsDiverse world cultures
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Ch. 3-33
Political, Govt., & Legal ForcesPolitical, Govt., & Legal Forces
(Contd)(Contd)
Globalization of IndustryGlobalization of Industry
Worldwide trend toward similar
consumption patterns
Global buyers & sellers
E-commerce
Instant transmission of money &information across continents
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Ch. 3-34
Political, Govt., & Legal ForcesPolitical, Govt., & Legal Forces(Contd)(Contd)
Key Political, govt., & legal variables:Key Political, govt., & legal variables:
Government regulation/deregulation
Tax law changes
Special tariffs
Political Action Committees (PACs)
Voter participation rates Number of patents
Changes in patent laws
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Ch. 3-35
Political, Govt., & Legal ForcesPolitical, Govt., & Legal Forces(Contd)(Contd)
Key Political, govt.,Key Political, govt.,
& legal variables:& legal variables: (Contd)(Contd)
Environmental protection laws Equal employment legislation
Level of government subsidies
Antitrust legislation/enforcement
Sino-American relationships
Russian-American relationships
European-American relationships
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Ch. 3-36
Political, Govt., & Legal ForcesPolitical, Govt., & Legal Forces(Contd)(Contd)
Key Political, govt.,Key Political, govt.,
& legal variables:& legal variables:(Contd)(Contd)
African-American relationships Import-export regulations
Monetary policy
Political conditions in other countries
Government budgets
World oil, currency, & labor markets
Location and severity of terrorist activities
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Ch. 3-37
Technological ForcesTechnological Forces
Technological ChangeTechnological Change
Dramatic effect on businessFiber opticsBiometricsEFTComputer engineeringSuperconductivity advancements
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Ch. 3-38
Technological ForcesTechnological Forces (Contd)(Contd)
Internet impact on opportunities & threats:Internet impact on opportunities & threats:
Altering life cycles of products
Increasing speed of distribution Creating new products & services
Erasing limitations of traditional
geographic markets
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Ch. 3-39
Technological ForcesTechnological Forces (Contd)(Contd)
Internet impact on opportunities & threats:Internet impact on opportunities & threats:(Contd)(Contd)
Altering economies of scale Changing entry barriers
Redefining relationships
Industries & suppliers, creditors, customers,and competitors
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Ch. 3-40
Technological ForcesTechnological Forces (Contd)(Contd)
Capitalizing on Information Technology (IT)
Chief Information Officer (CIO)
Chief Technology Officer (CTO)
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Ch. 3-41
Competitive ForcesCompetitive Forces
External Audit & Competing FirmsExternal Audit & Competing Firms
Identifying rival firms
StrengthsWeaknessesCapabilitiesOpportunities
ThreatsObjectivesStrategies
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Ch. 3-42
Competitive ForcesCompetitive Forces (Contd)(Contd)
Competitor InformationCompetitor Information Sources:
Moodys Manuals
Standard Corporation DescriptionsValue Line Investment Surveys
Duns Business Rankings
Standard & Poors Industry SurveysIndustry Week
Forbes, Fortune, Business Week
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Ch. 3-43
Competitive ForcesCompetitive Forces (Contd)(Contd)
Most competitive firms in AmericaMost competitive firms in America Seven Characteristics
Market share matters
Understand what business you arein
Broke or not, fix itInnovate or evaporate
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Ch. 3-44
Competitive ForcesCompetitive Forces (Contd)(Contd)
Most competitive firms in AmericaMost competitive firms in America(Contd)(Contd)
Seven Characteristics
Acquisition is essential to growth
People make a difference
No substitute for quality
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Ch. 3-45
Competitive Analysis: Porters Five-Forces ModelCompetitive Analysis: Porters Five-Forces Model
Potential developmentof substitute products
Rivalry amongcompeting firmsBargaining powerof suppliers
Potential entry of newcompetitors
Bargaining powerof consumers
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Ch. 3-46
Global ChallengeGlobal Challenge
Differences U.S. and MNCsDifferences U.S. and MNCs
Affect strategic management:
LanguageCulturePoliticsEconomy
Government interferenceLabor relationsTrade barriers
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Ch. 3-47
Industry Analysis (EFE)Industry Analysis (EFE)
External Factor Evaluation MatrixExternal Factor Evaluation MatrixSummarize & evaluate:
CompetitivePoliticalCultural
TechnologicalEnvironmentalSocial
GovernmentalDemographicEconomic
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Ch. 3-48
Industry Analysis (EFE)Industry Analysis (EFE)(Contd)(Contd)
Five-Step process:Five-Step process:
List key external factors (10-20)Opportunities & threats
Assign weight to each (0 to 1.0)Sum of all weights = 1.0
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Ch. 3-49
Industry Analysis (EFE)Industry Analysis (EFE)(Contd)(Contd)
Five-step process:Five-step process:
Assign 1-4 rating to each factorFirms current strategies response to the
factor
Multiply each factors weight by itsratingProduces a weighted score
d l ( )I d t A l i (EFE)
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Ch. 3-50
Industry Analysis (EFE)Industry Analysis (EFE)(Contd)(Contd)
Five-step process:Five-step process:
Sum the weighted scores for eachDetermines the total weighted score
for the organization.
Highest possible weighted score forthe organization is 4.0; the lowest,1.0. Average = 2.5
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Ch. 3-51
.201.20Clinton Administration
.202.10Bad media exposure from FDA
.102.05Smokeless market SE region U.S.
.153.05Production limits on tobacco
.202.10Legislation against the tobacco industry
Th rea t s .303.10More social pressure to quit smoking
2.101.00TOTAL
.604.15Pinkerton leader in discount market
.051.05Astronomical Internet growth
.153.05Increased demand
.151.15Global markets untapped
Weighted
scoreRatingWeight
USTKey External Factors
Oppo r t un i t i e s
d l i ( )
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Ch. 3-52
Industry Analysis (EFE)Industry Analysis (EFE)(Contd)(Contd)
Total weighted score of 4.0 =
Organization response is outstanding to
threats & weaknesses
Total weighted score of 1.0 =
Firms strategies not capitalizing on
opportunities or avoiding threats
I d t A l i (EFE)I d t A l i (EFE)
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Ch. 3-53
Industry Analysis (EFE)Industry Analysis (EFE)(Contd)(Contd)
UST (in the previous example), has
a total weighted score of 2.10indicating that the firm is belowaverage in its effort to pursue
strategies that capitalize on externalopportunities and avoid threats.
I d t A l i (EFE)I d t A l i (EFE)
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Ch. 3-54
Industry Analysis (EFE)Industry Analysis (EFE)(Contd)(Contd)
ImportantImportant
Understanding of the factors used in theEFE Matrix is more important than theactual weights and ratings assigned.
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Ch. 3-55
Industry Analysis (CPM)Industry Analysis (CPM)
Competitive Profile MatrixCompetitive Profile Matrix
Identifies firms major competitorsand their strengths & weaknesses inrelation to a sample firms strategicposition
(CPM)
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Ch. 3-56
(CPM) ProcterAvon LOreal & Gamble
2.803.253.151.00Total
0.1530.2040.0510.05Market Share0.4020.4020.8040.20Global Expansion
0.2020.4040.4040.10Customer Loyalty
0.4530.4530.6040.15Financial Position0.3030.3030.4040.10Management
0.4040.3030.3030.10Price Competition
0.3030.4040.4040.10Product Quality
0.6030.8040.2010.20Advertising
ScoreRatingScoreRatingScoreRatingWeightrit ical SuccessFactor
K T & CK T & C t
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Ch. 3-57
Key Terms & ConceptsKey Terms & Concepts
America Online Chief Information Officer
(CIO)
Chief Technology Officer
(CTO) Competitive advantages
Competitive analysis
Competitive intelligence
(CI) Competitive Profile
Matrix (CPM)
Critical success factors Cyberspace
Decruiting
Director of competitive
analysis Downsizing
Econometric models
Environmental scanning
External audit External Factor
Evaluation (EFE) Matrix
K T & C (C d)K T & C t (C td)
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Ch 3 58
Key Terms & Concepts (Contd)Key Terms & Concepts (Contd)
External forces Industry analysis
Information Technology(IT)
Industrial policies Internet learning from
the partner
Linear regression
Lifecare facilities Porters Five-Forces
Model
Netscape
On-Line databases Rightsizing
Trend extrapolation
World Wide Web (www)