scrum turns 21, what is next for scrum for the next 20 years by dave west

1© 1993-2015 Scrum.org, All Rights Reserved

by Scrum.org – Improving the Profession of Software Development

Scrum 21 years and the future

Dave West [email protected]

Eatalivefrogfirstthinginthemorningandnothingworsewillhappentoyoutherestoftheday.”

-MarkTwain


Who am I ?

•Product Owner (CEO) Scrum.org•Former–CPO Tasktop–VP RD Forrester Research–Product Mgr RUP•[email protected]•@DavidJWest•LinkedIn DavidJustinWest


An interesting journey 2001

2004

2009


Improvingtheprofessionofsoftwaredevelopment


90%AgileteamsuseScrum

Over53,693ProfessionalScrumMasters

Over2,351ProfessionalScrumDevelopers

150 ProfessionalScrumTrainers

Americas,Europe,Africa,Oceania&Asia

Over47,361Taught

Over6,916ProfessionalScrumProductOwners

Over748,912Assessments

AsoftheendofJan2016


Taking you back in time…

Needs Reqs

$


• Opportunities for business innovation through software grew

• Innovation led to less agreement on requirements and less certainty on technology

• And techniques, tools, attention and focus could not solve this problem


But there is a better way….

• Built in instability – clear goal but nothing else

• Self organizing teams –Autonomy, pushing the limits, cross functional

• Overlapping development phases – iterations

• Multilearning – Learn by doing• Subtle control – Minor process

controls• Organizational transfer of learning


FrameworkNOTmethod


Because of you - Scrum has reached the age of 21

• >90% of Agile teams use Scrum

• > 500,000 people trained on Scrum

• > 100 books with Scrum in the title

• Forms the basis of the majority of Agile approaches

• Scrum Guide is free to use by anyone


Timetocelebrate?


But overall not such a great story…


Lack of consistency, understanding and knowledge

• If you asked 20 Scrum Masters what should be in a product backlog you would get 21 answers

• Each consultant comes with his / her own version of Scrum

• Some companies have Scrum documented in 1000s of pages


But the reality of Scrum is…

Water Scrum Fall


The Next 20 Years with ScrumImproving the Profession of Software Development

• Measuring the value of agile initiatives

• Improving professionalism• Broadening support for done as

software becomes more critical• Providing a practical framework for

scaling Scrum


Howcanweseparatethevaluablefromthewasteful?


Measure outcomes. Measure direct evidence.

RevenueperEmployeeProductCostRatio

EmployeeSatisfactionCustomerSatisfaction

ReleaseFrequencyRelease

StabilizationCycleTime

InstalledVersionIndex

UsageIndexInnovationRateDefectDensity


Change cannot be outsourced

Measure

Facilitate change

• Skills,Knowledge,Understanding§ Productmanagers§ Managers§ Developers

• Practices,Tools,Standards

CircumstantialEvidence

DirectEvidence

Improve


Software Development Needs Professionalism

Numerousstudiesshowa10-timedifferenceinproductivityandqualityamongsoftwaredevelopersand

teams.

Wouldyoutrustyourlifetosomeonewhowasnotaprofessionalintheirfield?


Who do you work with ?

• Going to form a Scrum team –who is going to be on it…

• 100 developers – who would you include – who has the skills...

• Hiring the right people...– Is Scrum master enough...?


And there is consultants…

• Crucial for driving Agility into any organizations

• BUT• Each consultant comes with their

own approach, experience and ideas

• Get 5 consultants, get 10 different implementation of Scrum


Buildingyourownexpertcommunity(withothers)

Scrumusers

ScrumProfessionals

ExperiencedScrumProfessional

ScrumProfessionalExperts

Consistentvocabulary,baseknowledgeandsharedvalues

Provensituationalknowledgeandexperience

ProvenExpertknowledge,referencesandpeerreview

Externalconsultants


Level Certification

Trainer Professional ScrumTrainer

Expert Knowledge Professional ScrumExpert

ImmediatePractitionerknowledge

Professional ScrumProduct OwnerIIProfessional ScrumMasterIIScaledProfessional Scrum

Foundation knowledge Professional ScrumProduct Owner IProfessional ScrumMasterIProfessional ScrumDeveloper I

CertificationProvesKnowledge


Andprofessionalismhasotherimplications


Professional Scrum is MORE than knowledge

• Commitment – Dedicated to delivering working software

• Focus – On what is the most important

• Openness – frequently inspecting through delivering stuff

• Respect – cross functioning, self organizing team

• Courage – We admit we do not know everything


The definition of done seems confused ?

Wellwearenotdone,done!!


Development Operations Insight

Are We Done Yet ?

Today

Analysis Development Test Release Deploy Manage Instrument Learn Plan

Soon…


Scrum Development Kit™ (SDK)

• Development environment(s)• Done definition• Practices, done to ops• Infrastructure tools• Architecture tools (API,

services)• Development standards• Apps and module calls


Development Operations BusinessAgility

And the future…

Today

Scrum+DevOps

Scrum+DevOps+EBM


ProductBacklog

One Scrum team doing work


Scrum


ProductBacklog

Nine Scrum teams doing work


Introducing the Nexus


The Next 20 Years with ScrumImproving the Profession of Software Development

• Measuring the value of agile initiatives

• Improving professionalism• Broadening support for done as

software becomes more critical• Providing a practical framework for

scaling Scrum


ClosingScaled Professional Scrum

“Success in management requires learning as fast as the world is changing.”

– Warren Bennis


Thank You

scrum turns 21, what is next for scrum for the next 20 years by dave west

Technology