se partnership
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SE Partnership. Need National Setting Existing SE program and accomplishments Future. An Update on Ocean Observing. Sustained and Integrated Ocean Observing Systems (IOOS) are analogous to the weather observing and forecasting network - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
SE Partnership
• Need
• National Setting
• Existing SE program and accomplishments
• Future
An Update on Ocean Observing• Sustained and Integrated
Ocean Observing Systems (IOOS) are analogous to the weather observing and forecasting network
• IOOS has been endorsed by the Pew Commission, the U.S. Commission on Ocean Policy, and in the Administration’s Ocean’s Action Plan (Dec ’04)
Commission on Ocean Policy:recommendations
• New, coordinated national ocean policy framework to improve decision making
• Cutting-edge ocean data translated into high-quality information for managers
• Lifelong ocean-related education
President’s Ocean Action Plan
• Establish the Cabinet-level Committee on Ocean Policy
• Build the Global Earth Observing Network which includes IOOS
• Other actions to support sustainable fisheries, manage watersheds, support marine transportation and provide international leadership
IOOS – 2 Components
• “National Backbone” – the collection of federal agency assets (e.g. coastal tide gauge network, NDBC buoys and CMANs, USGS river gauging network, EPA monitoring, NASA remote sensing)
• Regional Coastal Ocean Observing Systems (RCOOS) – augmentations to the “backbone” that enhance capabilities or provide information of regional interest.
Rationale: SE region is linked oceanographically, experiences similar forcing (winds and river runoff) and has a shared biogeography. A merged information system for the region will help address scientific and societal issues.
III
III
Goal: To increase the quantity and quality of environmental information from the coastal ocean of the SE U.S. and facilitate its use in a range of societal, scientific, and educational applications.
Loop Current/Florida Current/Gulf Stream
Nick Shay, RSMAS
SECOORA – a number of observing groups involved
Systems Examples: Ocean Atmosphere Interaction buoys, towers, and coastal stations
Other sensor systems include profiling floats, gliders, research vessels and instrumented commercial cruise ships.
HF-radar either deployed or funded and examples of data products using two
different radar systems off of Miami and the Outer Banks.
Nowcast/Forecast System Implementation• NFS Model Domains and Models
USFPOM
West FloridaShelf
UMPOM
Florida StraitsEast Florida Shelf
UNCQuoddy
South Atlantic Bight
A circulation model for the SAB coastal ocean nested within a basin scale model
Developing connections to applications
Coast guard search and rescueWeather forecast office marine page
Inundation predictionFisheries oceanography
.Build a
SAR Case
Build aSAR Case
AssembleSearch
Plan
AssembleSearch
Plan
Databases Databases
EnvironmentalNow &
Forecasts
EnvironmentalNow &
Forecasts
DisseminateSearch
Plan
DisseminateSearch
Plan
CaptureSearchResults
CaptureSearchResults
Rescue or
Suspend
Search Results
SearchPlans
Results
Field
1. US COAST GUARD SEARCH AND RESCUE WORKFLOW
REGIONALSYSTEMINPUT
INTERFACING WITH SEARCH AND RESCUE
• USCG has new sophisticated user interface • Seeking additional information sources, especially
high resolution, nearshore• Need to make available in compatible manner –
already satisfied (using OPeNDAP)• Big requirement – develop real-time error
statistics for all information– semantics, format (underway)– Methodology for assessing errors (challenging)
2. WFOs: What was the approach?
To build on information management capacities developed by coastal ocean observing programs in the region through:
Aggregation of near real-time observations from in-situ platforms, models, and remote sensing
Incorporation of technologies developed by SEACOOS, Caro-COOPS, and CORMP
Integration of these with NOAA NWS observations and products
Leveraging of outreach activities within both NOAA NWS and coastal ocean observing systems
Value to Recreational Users
Information can be readily accessed through tabs which provide users with near real-time weather observations, hazards, tides and forecasts.
Real time information on coastal and offshore conditions promotes safety and sound planning.
For example….8% of boating fatalities in 2004 were caused by hazardous waters.DHS Boating Statistics - 2004
Since 2001 in the US:• over 64,000 rip
current rescues• 80% of all surf
rescues
• 100 estimated fatalities each year
• 0.6 fatalites/year due to sharksUnited States
Lifesaving Association
Carolinas Weather Related Fatalities 2001-2005 1. Rip Currents: 33 2. Flooding: 14 3. Lightening: 14 4. Strong Wind: 11 5. Tornado: 4 6. Heat: 3 7. Cold: 1
Another example: Rip Currents
3. Ivan Winds on approach and at Landfall
While Ivan reached category 5 in the Caribbean it was a 4 upon approach and a 3 at landfall.
Category mph knots m/s 1 74-95 64-82 33-43 2 96-110 83-95 44-49 3 111-130 96-113 50-59 4 131-155 113-135 60-70 5 >155 >135 >70
Relative Elevations (Approximate)
Seawall height (and nominal street level): 5’ above mean low water (MLW); 4’ above mean sea level (MSL);
Finished floor heights: 9’ and 11’ above MLW for old and new building codes (8’ and 10’ above MSL (7’ and 9’ above MHW); hence a 2.5m (3m) surge would put water in an older (newer) home.
MLWMSL
1 ft
Seawall and road levels
4 ft5 ft
9 ft11 ft
Old building code
New building code
Meters and Feet 1m = 3.28 ft 3m = 9.84 ft 6m = 19.68 ft
Surge elevation relative to land elevation (left) and wind speed and direction (right) 1 hr after landfall
4. State of Fisheries
FAO World Fisheries Report: 1998
69% of the world’s marine fish stocks are “fully exploited, overexploited or depleted”
2002 75% of the world’s marine fish stocks are “fully exploited,
overexploited or depleted”
Snapper-Grouper Management Unit of the SAFMC 18% overfished/overfishing 14% not overfished/no overfishing 68% status UNKNOWN
Model Results by Settlement
Location (State)2002
2003
2004
Comparison of May 1st spawning for each year
Settlement in South Carolina
Settlement in Georgia
Settlement in Florida
The future
• Preserve what we have
• Grow existing interactions, engage more users
• Move towards more operational footing
Request
• FY07 directed funding
• Authorization for national system
• FY08 – sustained support for IOOS