second national communication of the argentine republic to the conference of the parties to the...

Second National Communication of the Argentine Republic to the

Conference of the Parties to the UNFCC.

2

a- GHG inventories 1990-1994

b- Vulnerability of the aquifers in front C.C.

c- Vulnerability of the Oasis (between 29°S - 30°S)

d- Sea level variation in the Bonaerense Coast (Bahía. Samborombón -

Bahía Blanca)

e- Vulnerability of Agriculture and Energy

f- Impacts of C.C. on human health

1999 Revision of the 1st National Communication

First National Communication (1997)

Included

1- Updating of National GHG inventories

2- VULNERABILITY STUDIES

3- National Mitigation Program

4- Promotion of public awareness

5- Drafting of Second National Communication

Second National Communication Project

Components

1- Vulnerability of the Coastal Zone

2- Vulnerability of the Pampa Bonaerense

3- Vulnerability of agriculture production in the Pampa Húmeda

4- Vulnerability of water resources in the Litoral – Mesopotamia

5- Vulnerability of the Patagonia

6- Overall socio-economic impacts of climate change

7- Vulnerability of the energy system and energy infrastructure

8- Preliminary National adaptation Programs and Regional Adaptation Plans

9- Estimates of regional climate change scenarios through regional climate models

Vulnerability Assessment and Institutional Strengthening for Adaptation

Second National Communication of the Argentine Republic to the Conference of the Parties to the UNFCC.

1- To determine the effects of climate change on the water level along the northeast coastline of the Río de la Plata, particularly the coastline of the Gran Buenos Aires area2- Assessment of specific changes in climate conditions in the area and on the occurrence of natural disasters3- Assessment of the occurrence of degradation on the coastline and river banks4- Mapping of potential zones of risk from results of climate change simulations5- Assessment of the relative importance of changes in climatic events, ENSO, and population settlements on the occurrence of natural disasters in the area6- Guidelines for the development of adaptation measures to reduce the impacts of changing climate conditions on local settlements and on the coastal lines of the Río de la Plata7- Regional socio-economic impacts of the C.C.

Vulnerability of the Coastal Zone

OBJECTIVES AND EXPECTED RESULTS:


1- Assess the relative impact of human action and climatic variation on the occurrence of floods and drought periods in the Pampa Bonaerense2- Determine the likelihood that climate change may indeed be causing increases in both the frequency and magnitude of wet-dry cycles in the area.3- Evaluate the extent of soil degradation in the region and identify areas of risk4- To determine the impact of the human action of region’s ability to adapt to extreme climate condition in the area5- To determine the need to regulate water resource exploitation and land use6- To achieve and adequate assessment of the sensitivity of water resources to climate fluctuations7- Regional socio-economic impact of C.C.

Vulnerability of the Pampa Bonaerense



1- To analyze the structure of agricultural production and natural resources use in the region2- To identify the actual and potential contribution of agricultural activity to factors

generating C.C.3- To estimate the actual GHG production in the region as a result of agricultural activities4- To evaluate the potential of agriculture to respond to C.C.5- To identify and quantify the potential impacts of C.C. on the actual structure of

production6- To define alternative systems of production in the region to respond C.C.7- To determine and quantify the socio-economic impacts of these potential changes in the

structure of production

Vulnerability of the Agricultural Production in the Pampa Húmeda



1- Historic perspective on the trends of the changing climate in the region2- Evaluation of the relative influence of global warming, ENSO, and human action on

documented flooding events3- Maps of areas of risk of flooding and desertification (based on empirical data)4- Assessment of the need for forestation in specific areas5- Assessment of the effectiveness of irrigation and drainage practices in the region and the

need to regulate these practices to reduce soil salinization6- Evaluation of human settlements and land management practices and their impact of the region’s ability to adapt to the effects of C.C.

Vulnerability of the Hydric Resources of the Litoral - Mesopotamia



1- Evaluation of the adequacy of water resources in the Patagonia under current conditions and under projected scenarios of C.C.

2- Specific evaluation of the hydraulic impact of glacial meltdown and evaluate adaptation measures

3- Proposal for water resources management procedures in order to diminish the vulnerability of the region to C.C.

4- Assessment of soil degradation potential of the region and of vulnerability to a likely increase in precipitation

5- Evaluation of sustainability of current land use and land management practices6- To evaluate the socio-economic impacts of C.C on the Patagonia and its potential for

development7- Development of a regional plan to adapt for changing climate conditions and to mitigate this resulting impacts on the province

Vulnerability of the Patagonia



1- Assessment of regional and national social vulnerability to C.C.2- Evaluation of cost of damages that could be caused by C.C.3- Assessment of projected cost of mitigation and adaptation policies4- Evaluation of adaptive capacity in Argentina to various impacts of C.C:5- Identification of areas where adaptation and mitigation initiatives are lacking6- Comparative analysis of mitigation and adaptation cost, and analysis of implication for argentine economy7- To determine economic factibility of projected adaptation measures facing potential C.C.

Overall socio-economic impacts of Climate Change in Argentina



1- Evaluation of energy consumption trends around the country and the varying climate scenarios of C.C.

2- Determination of regional and national vulnerability to C.C.3- Assessment of the environmental impacts of the increase in GHG emissions as

hydropower is substituted4- Determination of national energy infrastructure needs and costs5- Identification of regions where mitigation strategies would be most effective, and

estimation of expected costs of those measures6- To evaluate possible markets for alternative sources of energy and energy efficiency

programs7- To determine the need for increasing the country´s energy infrastructure

Vulnerability of the Energy System and Energy Infrastructure



1- To develop an Adaptation Policy Framework for the preparation of adaptation strategies and policies against C.C.

2- To identify adaptation strategies in line with planned policy interventions3- Portfolio of adaptation strategies to the impacts of C.C. that can be incorporated in

national and regional development plan4- Adaptation strategies to C.C. impact that are compatible with argentine sustainable

development goals

Preliminary National Adaptation Programs and Regional Adaptation Plans



1- To contribute to the climate modeling efforts being carried out in Argentina2- Increased national knowledge and expertise in the generation and use of climate

simulation3- Results from regional climate simulations that can be used in the development of

climate change related to mitigation and adaptation strategies4- Climate impact parameters for hydraulic models5- Updated knowledge on probability of climate change impact in Argentina6- Establish with relevant members of the Steering Committee the most adequate time-

frames for running simulation7- Conduct simulations to assess likely temperature and precipitation’s changes in the

region



Estimates of Regional Climate Change Scenarios through Regional Climate Models

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