second quarter 2018 social weather survey: 87% say it is ... - opinion on... · q126a-126d. dati na...

2nd Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey

SWS SPECIAL REPORT

20 July 2018, page 1 of 12

52 Malingap St., Sikatuna Village, Quezon City

Website: www.sws.org.ph

Tel: 924-4456, 924-4465

Fax: 920-2181

pr20180720c - Opinion on West PH Sea issues Part 2 (special report_FINAL).doc

Second Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey:

87% say it is important that the Philippines regains control of the islands

occupied by China in the West Philippine Sea

69% say China is afraid to face any court

65% are aware of China's abuses of Filipino fishermen

43% say the government's non-protest of the actions of China is not treachery

Satisfaction with PRRD is lessened by government inaction against China

Social Weather Stations

The Second Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey, conducted from June 27-30, 2018, found

87% of adult Filipinos saying it is important (very important and somewhat important) that the

Philippines regains control of the islands occupied by China in the West Philippine Sea.

The June 2018 survey asked, “In your opinion, is it important that the control of the islands

that China currently occupies in the West Philippine Sea be given back to the Philippines?”

To this, 69% answered very important, 18% somewhat important, 1% somewhat not

important, and 1% not at all important. Eleven percent were undecided about the matter [Chart 1].

69% say China is afraid to face any court

The June 2018 survey found that 69% agree (45% strongly agree and 24% somewhat

agree), and 8% disagree (6% somewhat disagree and 3% strongly disagree, correctly rounded),

with the statement, “China is afraid to face any court because they know that they are not on the

side of justice.” Twenty-two percent were undecided about it [Chart 2].

This gives a net agreement score of +61 (% agree minus % disagree), classified by SWS as

“very strong”.

The SWS terminology for net agreement: +50 and above, "very strong"; +30 to +49,

"strong"; +10 to +29, "moderate", +9 to -9, "neutral"; -10 to -29, "poor"; -30 to -49, "weak"; -50

and below, "very weak".

http://www.sws.org.ph/


SWS SPECIAL REPORT

20 July 2018, page 2 of 12

65% are aware of China's abuses of Filipino fishermen

The June 2018 survey tested four specific issues, presented to the respondents in random

order, about the West Philippine Sea.

The survey found 65% already aware that the Chinese coast guard has forced Filipino

fishermen in the West Philippine Sea to turn over their catch even before the survey. The remaining

35% learned about the issue for the first time during the interview [Chart 3].

Prior to the survey, 64% already knew that the Philippines is unable to prevent Chinese

fishermen from fishing in the West Philippine Sea, 51% already knew that China broke its promise

not to militarize the area, and 50% already knew that China created artificial islands that they use

as military airbases.

43% say the government's non-protest of the actions of China is not treachery

The June 2018 survey also asked, “Because China did not recognize the ruling of the

International Arbitral Tribunal regarding the West Philippine Sea, they have been continuing their

unjust actions in the area such as construction of artificial islands, military airbases, and forcing

Filipino fishermen to turn over the fish they catch in the Philippines’ Exclusive Economic Zone

(EEZ) – these actions of China are not being protested by the government of the Philippines. In

your opinion, is the non-protest by the government of the Philippines a form of treachery by Pres.

Duterte?”

To this, 43% answered No, it is not a form of treachery, and 29% answered Yes, it is a form

of treachery. Twenty-eight percent said they do not know [Chart 4].

Satisfaction with PRRD is lessened by government inaction against China

Pres. Duterte’s net satisfaction rating was a good +44 (64% satisfied, 21% dissatisfied,

correctly rounded) among those who said it is not right to do nothing about China’s intrusion in

claimed territories, one grade below the very good +54 (69% satisfied, 15% dissatisfied) among

those who said that it was right [Chart 5].

At the same time, net satisfaction with the President was a moderate +28 (55% satisfied,

28% dissatisfied, correctly rounded) among those who consider the Philippine government’s non-

protest the against China’s unjust acts in the West Philippine Sea as a form of treachery by Pres.

Duterte, two grades lower than the very good +55 (71% satisfied, 16% dissatisfied) among those

who said otherwise [Chart 6].


SWS SPECIAL REPORT

20 July 2018, page 3 of 12

Public awareness strengthens call for PH to regain control of China-occupied islands

Among those who already knew about the West Philippine Sea conflict before the interview,

93% said it is important that the Philippines regain control of the islands occupied by China in the

West Philippine Sea. This was higher than the 62% among those who learned about the West

Philippine Sea conflict during the survey [Chart 7].

The importance of regaining control of China-occupied islands in the West Philippine Sea

was also higher among those with more knowledge about the West Philippine Sea conflict.

The proportion of those who said it is important to regain control of the islands occupied by

China in the West Philippine Sea was highest among those with extensive knowledge at 98%,

followed by those with adequate knowledge at 95%, those with only a little knowledge at 91%, and

those with very little knowledge about the conflict at 83%.

The importance of regaining control of China-occupied islands was also higher among those

who already knew about the four specific issues about the West Philippine Sea, ranging from 91%

to 94%, compared to those who learned about the issues only during the interview, ranging from

78% to 83% [Chart 8].

Public awareness contributes to the repudiation of the government stance against China

Among those who already knew about the West Philippine Sea conflict before the survey,

31% consider the Philippine government’s non-protest against China’s unjust acts in the West

Philippine Sea as a form of treachery by Pres. Duterte, higher than the 19% among those who

learned about the West Philippine Sea conflict only during the interview [Chart 9].

Also, the belief that the government’s non-protest against China’s unjust acts in the West

Philippine Sea is a form of treachery was directly related to the level of knowledge about the West

Philippine Sea conflict.

The proportion of people who consider the government’s non-protest against China’s unjust

acts in the West Philippine Sea as a form of treachery by Pres. Duterte were highest at 46% among

those with extensive knowledge about the West Philippine Sea conflict, followed by 36% among

those with adequate knowledge, 24% among those with only a little knowledge, and 20% among

those with very little knowledge.

The belief that the government’s non-protest against China’s unjust acts is a form of

treachery was also stronger among those who already knew about the four specific issues involving


SWS SPECIAL REPORT

20 July 2018, page 4 of 12

the West Philippine Sea, ranging from 31% to 33%, compared to those who learned about those

issues only during the interview, ranging from 24% to 25% [Chart 10].

Lower satisfaction with Pres. Duterte among those aware of the West Philippine Sea conflict

Among those who already knew about the West Philippine Sea conflict before the survey,

Pres. Duterte’s net satisfaction rating was a good +44 (65% satisfied, 21% dissatisfied), one grade

lower than the very good +52 (68% satisfied, 16% dissatisfied) among those who learned about the

West Philippine Sea conflict during the survey [Chart 11].

The President’s net satisfaction rating was a good +40 (62% satisfied, 22% dissatisfied)

among those who already knew that Chinese coast guard forced Filipino fishermen in the WPS to

turn over their catch, one grade lower than the very good +56 (71% satisfied, 15% dissatisfied)

among those who learned about the issue only during the interview [Chart 12].

It was also a good +42 (64% satisfied, 21% dissatisfied, correctly rounded) among those

who already knew that the Philippines was unable to prevent Chinese fishermen from fishing in the

WPS, one grade below the very good +51 (68% satisfied, 17% dissatisfied) among those who

learned about the issue only during the interview.

Survey Background

The June 2018 Social Weather Survey was conducted from June 27-30, 2018 using face-to-

face interviews of 1,200 adults (18 years old and above) nationwide: 300 each in Metro Manila,

Balance Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao (sampling error margins of ±3% for national percentages,

and ±6% each for Metro Manila, Balance Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao).

The area estimates were weighted by Philippine Statistics Authority medium-population

projections for 2018 to obtain the national estimates.

The Social Weather Survey items on people’s opinion about the West Philippine Sea

conflict were non-commissioned. They were included on SWS's own initiative and released as a

public service.

The Second Quarter Social Weather Report on a) people’s awareness of, and level of

knowledge about, the West Philippine Sea conflict, and b) opinion on what’s right and not right for

the Philippine government to do to resolve the West Philippine Sea conflict was reported on July

14, 2018.


SWS SPECIAL REPORT

20 July 2018, page 5 of 12

The Second Quarter Social Weather Report on public satisfaction with Pres. Rodrigo

Duterte was reported on July 10, 2018.

Questionnaire

The exact survey questions were:

Q126a-126d. Dati na po ba ninyong alam ang tungkol sa mga sumusunod ukol sa isyu ng West

Philippine Sea, o ngayon lamang po ninyo ito narinig? [Were you previously aware

regarding the following issues about the West Philippine Sea, or did you know about this

only now?]:

Q126a. Ang China ay gumawa ng mga artipisyal na islang ginagamit nila bilang

mga military airbase (China has created artificial islands that they use as

military airbases).

Q126b. Ang China ay nangakong hindi mimilitarisahin ang lugar ngunit lumabag

sa pangakong ito (China made a promise not to militarize the area but

broke this promise).

Q126c. Ang coast guard ng China ay pinuwersa ang mga mangingisdang Pilipino

na nangingisda sa West Philippine Sea na ibigay ang kanilang mga

nahuling isda (The Chinese coast guard forced the Filipino fishermen

fishing in the West Philippine Sea to turn over the fish they catch).

Q126d. Hindi napipigilan ng Pilipinas ang mga mangingisdang Tsino na

mangisda sa West Philippine Sea (The Philippines is unable to prevent

Chinese fishermen from fishing in the West Philippine Sea).

Q127. Sa inyong palagay, importante po ba para sa inyo na maibalik ang kontrol sa Pilipinas ng

mga islang kasalukuyang inookupahan ng China sa West Philippine Sea? Masasabi po ba

ninyo na ito ay… (SHOWCARD: Talagang importante; Medyo importante; Hindi tiyak kung

importante o hindi; Medyo hindi importante; Talagang hindi importante)? [In your opinion,

is it important that the control of the islands that China currently occupies in the West

Philippine Sea be given back to the Philippines? Would you say that this is…

(SHOWCARD: Very important; Somewhat important; Undecided if important of not;

Somewhat not important; Not at all important)?]


SWS SPECIAL REPORT

20 July 2018, page 6 of 12

Q128. Gaano po kayo sumasang-ayon o hindi sumasang-ayon sa pangungusap na ito: “Takot na

humarap ang Tsina sa kahit na anong korte dahil alam nilang wala sila sa katarungan.”

(SHOWCARD: Lubos na sumasang-ayon; Medyo sumasang-ayon; Hindi tiyak kung

sumasang-ayon o hindi sumasang-ayon; Medyo hindi sumasang-ayon; Lubos na hindi

sumasang-ayon) [How much do you agree or disagree with this statement: “China is afraid

to face any court because they know that they are not on the side of justice” (SHOWCARD:

Strongly agree; Somewhat agree; Undecided if agree or disagree; Somewhat disagree;

Strongly disagree)]

Q129. Dahil hindi kinilala ng China ang desisyon International Arbitral Tribunal tungkol sa West

Philippine Sea, patuloy ang mga hindi makatarungang gawain nila sa lugar gaya ng

paggawa ng mga artipisyal na isla, mga military airbase, at pag-puwersa sa mga

mangingisdang Pilipino na ibigay ang kanilang mga nahuling isda sa Exclusive Economic

Zone (EEZ) ng Pilipinas – ang mga kilos na ito ng China ay hindi pino-protesta ng

pamahalaan ng Pilipinas. Sa inyong palagay, ang hindi pagpo-protesta ba ng pamahalaan

ng Pilipinas ay isang uri ng pagtatraydor ni Pang. Duterte? (SHOWCARD: Oo, ito ay isang

uri ng pagtatraydor; Hindi, it ay hindi isang uri ng pagtatraydor) [Because China did not

recognize the ruling of the International Arbitral Tribunal regarding the West Philippine

Sea, they have been continuing their unjust actions in the area such as construction of

artificial islands, military airbases, and forcing Filipino fishermen to turn over the fish they

catch in the Philippines’ Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) – these actions of China are not

being protested by the government of the Philippines. In your opinion, is the non-protest by

the government of the Philippines a form of treachery by Pres. Duterte? (SHOWCARD: Yes,

it is a form of treachery; No, it is not a form of treachery)]

The SWS terminology for Net Trust Ratings: +70 and above, “excellent”; +50 to +69,

“very good”; +30 to +49, “good”; +10 to +29, “moderate”, +9 to –9, “neutral”; –10 to –29,

“poor”; –30 to –49, “bad”; –50 to –69, “very bad”; –70 and below, “execrable.” SWS considers

the movement from one classification to another as either an “upgrade” or “downgrade.”

SWS employs its own staff for questionnaire design, sampling, fieldwork, data-processing,

and analysis, and does not outsource any of its survey operations. This report was prepared by Leo

Laroza, with special tabulations by Joanne Evangelista.

#


SWS SPECIAL REPORT

20 July 2018, page 7 of 12

Chart 1

Second Quarter 2018 Social Weather ReportJune 27-30, 2018 National Survey

LEVEL OF IMPORTANCE THAT PHILIPPINES REGAIN

CONTROL OF THE ISLANDS OCCUPIED BY CHINA

IN THE WEST PHILIPPINE SEA: PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018

Very important

Undecided

% o

f ad

ult

s

Note: Don’t Know and No Answer figures are not shown.

Q127. Sa inyong palagay, importante po ba para sa inyo na maibalik ang kontrol sa Pilipinas ng mga islang kasalukuyang inookupahan ng China sa West Philippine Sea? Masasabi po ba ninyo na ito ay… (SHOWCARD: Talagang importante; Medyo importante; Hindi tiyak kung importante o hindi; Medyo hindi importante; Talagang hindi importante)?

69

18

1111

Somewhat important

Somewhat not important

Not at all important

87% Important

2% Not important

Chart 2


AGREE-DISAGREE: “China is afraid to face any court

because they know that they are not on the side of justice”:

PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018

Stronglyagree

Undecided

% o

f ad

ult

s

* % Agree minus % Disagree, correctly rounded. Don’t Know and No Answer figures are not shown.

Q128. Gaano po kayo sumasang-ayon o hindi sumasang-ayon sa pangungusap na ito: “Takot na humarap ang Tsina sa kahit na anong korte dahil alam nilang wala sila sa katarungan.” (SHOWCARD: Lubos na sumasang-ayon; Medyo sumasang-ayon; Hindi tiyak kung sumasang-ayon o hindi sumasang-ayon; Medyo hindi sumasang-ayon; Lubos na hindi sumasang-ayon)

Somewhat agree

Somewhat disagree

Strongly disagree

69% Agree

8% Disagree

45

24

22

6 3

Net* = +61


SWS SPECIAL REPORT

20 July 2018, page 8 of 12

Chart 3


AWARENESS OF SPECIFIC ISSUES ABOUT THE

WEST PHILIPPINE SEA: PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018

Aware of the issue before the survey

Aware of itjust now


Q126a-126d. Dati na po ba ninyong alam ang tungkol sa mga sumusunod ukol sa isyu ng West Philippine Sea, o ngayon lamang po ninyo ito narinig?

% of adults

The Chinese coast guard forced

Filipino fishermen in the West

Philippine Sea to turn over their catch

The Philippines was unable to prevent

Chinese fishermen from fishing in the

West Philippine Sea

China broke their promise not to

militarize the area

China created artificial islands that they

use as military airbases50

51

64

65

50

49

36

35

10 30 50 70 90

Chart 4


IS PH GOVERNMENT’S NON-PROTEST ON CHINA’S UNJUST

ACTS IN THE WEST PHILIPPINE SEA A FORM OF TREACHERY

BY PRES. DUTERTE?: PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018

No, it is not a form of treachery

Don’t know

% o

f ad

ult

s


Q129. Dahil hindi kinilala ng China ang desisyon International Arbitral Tribunal tungkol sa West Philippine Sea, patuloy ang mga hindi makatarungang gawain nila sa lugar gaya ng paggawa ng mga artipisyal na isla, mga military airbase, at pag-puwersa sa mga mangingisdang Pilipino na ibigay ang kanilang mga nahuling isda sa Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) ng Pilipinas – ang mga kilos na ito ng China ay hindi pino-protesta ng pamahalaan ng Pilipinas. Sa inyong palagay, ang hindi pagpo-protesta ba ng pamahalaan ng Pilipinas ay isang uri ng pagtatraydor ni Pang. Duterte? (SHOWCARD: Oo, ito ay isang uri ng pagtatraydor; Hindi, it ay hindi isang uri ng pagtatraydor)

Yes, it is a form of treachery

43

29

28


SWS SPECIAL REPORT

20 July 2018, page 9 of 12

Chart 5


Total PH

Right

Not right

Right

Not right

Right

Not right

Right

Not right

Right

Not right

SATISFACTION WITH PRES. DUTERTE, BY OPINION ON WHAT’S

RIGHT AND NOT RIGHT FOR THE GOVT TO DO TO RESOLVE THE

WPS CONFLICT: TOTAL PH, JUN 2018 (Row percent)

* % Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied, correctly rounded. Don’t Know and No Answer figures are not shown.

% of adults

Am

on

g t

ho

se w

ho

said

[a

cti

vit

y]

was…

Satisfied Undecided Dissatisfied

Satisfaction with Pres. Rodrigo Duterte

Net*

Leave China alone with its infrastructures and military presence in the claimed territories

Strengthen the military capability of the Philippines, especially the Navy

Bring the issue to international organizations for diplomatic negotiations

Have direct, bilateral negotiations between the Philippines and China

Ask other countries to mediate the issue of the claimed territories 59

68

64

66

62

66

66

65

64

69

65

16

14

16

14

16

14

16

15

15

16

15

25

17

19

20

22

19

18

20

21

15

20

10 30 50 70 90

+34

+51

+45

+46

+40

+47

+48

+45

+44

+54

+45

Chart 6


SATISFACTION WITH PRES. DUTERTE, BY WHETHER PH GOVT’S

NON-PROTEST ON CHINA’S UNJUST ACTS IN THE WEST

PHILIPPINE SEA A FORM OF TREACHERY BY PRES. DUTERTE:

TOTAL PH, JUN 2018 (Row percent)


% of adults

Total PH

A form of treachery

Not a form of

treachery



Net*

Among those who said that the non-

protest by the government of the Philippines is… by

Pres. Duterte.71

55

65

13

17

15

16

28

20

10 30 50 70 90

+55

+28

+45


SWS SPECIAL REPORT

20 July 2018, page 10 of 12

Chart 7


IMPORTANCE THAT PHILIPPINES REGAIN CONTROL OF THE

ISLANDS OCCUPIED BY CHINA IN THE WPS, BY AWARENESS OF

THE WPS CONFLICT: TOTAL PH, JUN 2018 (Row percent)

Important Undecided

% of adults

Total PH

Aware before the survey

Extensive

Adequate

Only a little

Very little

Aware only during the

interview 62

83

91

95

98

93

87

34

15

7

3

1

5

11

3

1

2

1

0

1

2

10 30 50 70 90

Not important

Among those who

were… about the

WPS conflict Among

those with… knowledge about the

WPS conflict

Importance that PH regain control of islands occupied by China in the WPS

Chart 8


IMPORTANCE THAT PHILIPPINES REGAIN CONTROL OF THE

ISLANDS OCCUPIED BY CHINA IN THE WPS, BY AWARENESS OF

ISSUES ABOUT THE WPS: TOTAL PH, JUN 2018 (Row percent)

Important Undecided

% of adults

Total PH

Aware before

Aware just now

Aware before

Aware just now

Aware before

Aware just now

Aware before

Aware just now

Not important

Importance that PH regain control of islands occupied by China in the WPS

The Chinese coast guard forced Filipino fishermen in the WPS to turn over their catch

The Philippines was unable to prevent Chinese fishermen from fishing in the WPS

China broke their promise not to militarize the area

China created artificial islands that they use as military airbases

Am

on

g t

ho

se w

ho

were

…

of

sp

ecif

ic issu

e

81

94

83

92

78

92

80

91

87

17

5

15

7

19

6

18

7

11

3

1

2

1

2

1

2

1

2

10 30 50 70 90


SWS SPECIAL REPORT

20 July 2018, page 11 of 12

Chart 9


IS PH GOVT’S NON-PROTEST ON CHINA’S UNJUST ACTS IN THE

WPS A FORM OF TREACHERY BY PRRD?, BY AWARENESS OF

THE WPS CONFLICT: TOTAL PH, JUN 2018 (Row percent)

Yes No

% of adults

Total PH


Extensive

Adequate

Only a little

Very little


interview

Don’t know (Vol.)

Among those who

were… about the

WPS conflict Among


WPS conflict

In your opinion, is the non-protest by the government of the Philippines a form of

treachery by Pres. Duterte?


19

20

24

36

46

31

29

39

43

46

44

41

44

43

42

36

30

20

13

24

28

10 30 50 70 90

Chart 10


IS PH GOVT’S NON-PROTEST ON CHINA’S UNJUST ACTS IN THE

WPS A FORM OF TREACHERY BY PRRD?, BY AWARENESS OF

ISSUES ABOUT THE WPS: TOTAL PH, JUN 2018 (Row percent)


% of adults

Total PH

Aware before

Aware just now

Aware before

Aware just now

Aware before

Aware just now

Aware before

Aware just now





Am

on

g t

ho

se w

ho

were

…

of

sp

ecif

ic issu

e

Yes No Don’t know (Vol.)

In your opinion, is the non-protest by the government of the Philippines a form of

treachery by Pres. Duterte?

25

33

25

33

24

32

25

31

29

38

49

41

46

42

44

41

45

43

37

19

34

21

34

24

35

24

28

10 30 50 70 90


SWS SPECIAL REPORT

20 July 2018, page 12 of 12

Chart 11


SATISFACTION WITH PRES. RODRIGO DUTERTE, BY AWARENESS

OF THE WPS CONFLICT: TOTAL PH, JUN 2018 (Row percent)

% of adults

Total PH


Extensive

Adequate

Only a little

Very little


interview

Among those who

were… about the

WPS conflict Among


WPS conflict

* % Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied, correctly rounded. Don’t Know and No Answer figures are not shown.



Net*

68

67

63

67

61

65

65

16

16

16

13

15

15

15

16

18

21

19

24

21

20

10 30 50 70 90

+52

+49

+41

+48

+36

+44

+45

Chart 12

Second Quarter 2018 Social Weather Report

June 27-30, 2018 National Survey

SATISFACTION WITH PRES. RODRIGO DUTERTE,

BY AWARENESS OF ISSUES ABOUT THE WPS:

TOTAL PH, JUN 2018 (Row percent)


% of adults

Total PH

Aware before

Aware just now

Aware before

Aware just now

Aware before

Aware just now

Aware before

Aware just now





Am

on

g t

ho

se w

ho

were

…

of

sp

ecif

ic issu

e



Net*

65

65

64

66

68

64

71

62

65

15

15

15

15

15

15

14

16

15

19

20

20

19

17

21

15

22

20

10 30 50 70 90

+46

+45

+44

+47

+51

+42

+56

+40

+45

second quarter 2018 social weather survey: 87% say it is ... - opinion on... · q126a-126d. dati na...

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