section i. indicators definitions, categories indicators in the project cycle designing a system of...
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SECTION I.INDICATORS
Definitions, categories Indicators in the project cycle
Designing a system of indicators
References in IPA regulation
Art. 59. SMCInformation reporting obligation to IPA MC on
progress of […] indicatorsArt. 167. SMC for RD component
Examine results of implementation by reference to result indicators
Art. 169. SAR and SFRSectoral reports shall include result indicators
Definition
An indicator can be defined as the measurement of an objective to be met, a resource mobilised, an effect obtained, a gauge of quality ora context variable.
Definition
An indicator is made of:A definitionA valueA unity of measurement
Its measurement requires:A method (source of data, procedure of data
collection)Allocation of clear responsibilities to
personnel
General Criteria of Good indicators
OVI objectively verifiableSMART
SpecificMeasurableAchievable (acceptable, applicable,
appropriate, attainable or agreed upon)Relevant (reliable, realistic)Time-bound
General Criteria of Good indicators
CREAMClear Precise and unambiguousRelevant Appropriate to the subject at handEconomic Available at a reasonable costAdequate Provide a sufficient basis to assess
performanceMonitorable Amenable to independent
validation
General Criteria of Good Indicators
Another approach:Simple, clear and understandableUseful - # tiles in your office vs # education
sessions conductedValid – does it measure what it is intended to
measure and nothing elseSpecific – Should measure only the conditions or
event under observationReliable – should produce the same result when
used more than once to measure the same event
General Criteria of Good Indicators
Relevant – related to your workSensitive – will it measure changes over timeOperational –should be measurable or
quantifiable using definitions and standardsAffordable – should impose reasonable
measurement costsFeasible – should be able to be carried out
using the existing data collection system
General Criteria of GoodIndicators
Indicators should be expressed in terms of:QuantityQualityPopulationTime
For example, an indicator written for the program objective of “Increasing internet access” might specify:
“Increase from 20% to 60% (quantity) of internet access at the NUTS II regions (quality) of Turkey (population) by January 2014 (time).”
Categorisation of indicators
Challenging, since certain indicators can belong to several categories
Types of indicatorsRelated to the scope Context indicators: changes in the country
under evaluation, the location and the assistance provided
Programme indicators: resources, implementation, results, and impacts of an ongoing activity
Evaluation indicators: related to a programme's relevance, coherence, efficiency and effectiveness
Monitoring indicators: included in the monitoring system
Context indicators
Quantified information on the socio-economic and environmental situationcan express identified needs in quantitative termsExamples:
Economic development: GDP per capita, Direct foreign investment (% of GDP), Debt (% of GDP)
Quality of life and social well being: Under 5 mortality rate, Life expectancy, Primary education completion rate
Programme indicators
Relate to the effects of the intervention.Measure the extent to which the effects of a
programme are expected to change the socio-economic reality or the behaviour of socio-economic actors,
Expressing the quantified objective of the intervention
Examples:Number of start-ups, number of tourists visited the
beneficiary region, number of employment generated
Types of indicatorsRelated to their nature Elementary indicators: basic information from which more
complex indicators can be derived Derived indicators: ratio or rate, from the relationship between
two elementary indicators Compound indicators: combination of several indicators
(elementary or derived) Specific indicators: for an intervention, but not for comparisons Generic indicators: for comparing several activities Key indicators: for internal comparisons between different
activities of a programme and external comparisons with other programmes
Context indicators: for a country, population or a category of the
population
Types of indicatorsAnd more… Descriptive Management Policy Performance Qualitative Quantitative (specific number, percentage) Etc.
Quantitative indicators
Specific number: number, mean, or median but number of successful examination doesn’t
indicate the rate of success Percentage inidcates the rate of a
performance But rate of preformance doesn’t indicate the
size of the success Both to be used
Qualitative indicators
Imply qualitative assessment ‘Compliance with’, ‘quality of’, ‘extent of’ ‘level
of’ Changes in institutional processes, attitudes,
beliefs, motives, behaviors or perception of individuals
Qualitative data is more time consuming to collect, measure and assess
Hard to verify because involve subjective judgments
The logic we use in implementation
Area of influence external to Organisation
Area of control internal to Organisation
InputsResources
Output
Activities
OutcomeResults Impac
t
Level of indicatorsWhat longer term improvements are we
aiming at? (national goal) = impactWhat improvements are aimed at by the end
of the strategy period? = outcomes, resultsWhat strategic programs should be the focus
of the national response? = outputsWhat financial, human, material, and
technical resources are needed? = inputs
The logic from project aspectA public financial intervention – input
€ Millionsproduces some (physical) outputs, which are the
direct result of a certain operation,kilometres of a railroad constructed
beneficiary obtains some advantages, resultsreduced travelling time
intervention will affect not only final beneficiaries, but socio-economic environment - impactshigher GDP, increase quality of life
Input indicatorsMonitor the expenditure of the funds available
for any operation, measure or programme;Refer to the budget allocated
Financial indicators: progress in terms of commitment and payment in relation to its eligible cost
or to other technical or human resources elementsHuman resources indicator: number of working days
used in relation to total input planned
Output indicators
Looking forward to WORKMonitor the products of activitiesMeasured in physical units (e.g., Kms of
railroad constructed, number of firms supported, number of training days delivered etc.)
Result indicatorsLooking foreward to ACHIEVEMENTSMonitor the direct and immediate effects on direct
beneficiaries (target group)How will we know success or achievement when we see it? Are we moving toward achieving our desired outcomes?”Changesin behaviour, capacity or performance of
beneficiariesPhysical (reduction in journey times, number of successful
trainees, number of roads accidents, etc.)Financial (leverage of private sector resources, decrease in
transportation cost, etc.)
Result indicators
A core instrument for programme management
Impact indicators – difficult (impossible)Output indicators – information only about physical, not
socio-economic effects of an action special importance to result indicatorsFocus on design of high quality system of indicators
Sound analysis of the contextclear definition of the assumed causal chain, baseline, definition of the measurement method and a quantified target.
Impact indicators
Monitor the long-term effects beyond the immediate effects
Direct/Specific: consequences appear or last in the medium or long term for the direct beneficiaries.
Indirect/Global: related people or actors that are not direct beneficiaries
Require statistical data or surveys
Impact indicators
An instrument for strategy decisions(not a legal requirement)Decisive role in programming cycle: ex ante
quantification of impacts is an instrument for the strategic orientation of a programme during its planning phase;
only the impacts of a programme found ex post allow a final judgement on the success or failure
some impacts will only be measurable after a certain time of programme implementation, e.g. after 3 or 4 years.
Impact indicators
how to obtain their values?Data not necessarily obtainable from monitoring
system, only from evaluationValue might be due to factors external to the
programmeconsiderable time lag in availabilityBetter to limit to most important prioritiesNeed for a sound explanatory model to define
causal chain between programme input/output/results and impact values
An example of indicator-set for Entrepreneurship Development
Entrepreneurial Dynamismfocus: capacity to adapt to changing market
conditions creation of new enterprises: % of total no. of
enterprises EU15: 1% – 8%)enterprise survival rate after 3 years: total
number of start-ups in year ‘n’ created in ‘n-3’ against no. of start-ups in year “n-3” (EU15: 70% – 55%)
An example of indicator-set for Entrepreneurship Development
Regulatory and Business Constraints time involved in setting up a company; EU15:
1 – 24 weekscosts involved in setting up a company;
EU15: €100 - €2000business constraints: survey among
representative range of SMEs on lack of skilled labourforce; access to finance; technology change; infrastructure
An example of indicator-set for Entrepreneurship Development
Capital markets / financial conditions focus: availability of early stage venture
capital the total venture capital in % of GDP; EU15:
0,2-0-3% (USA: 0,4%)no. of Business Angel Network, no. of deals
initiated by BAN
An example of indicator-set for Entrepreneurship Development
Enterprise DynamicsInnovative Capacity
public expenditure on R&D as percentage of GDP
share of innovative SME in total (%): introduced new or improved products or processes
Knowledge based economynumber of SME using Internet for commercial
purposes
Use of indicators in the project cycle IPA (and even more SF) comprehensive set of objectives –
priorities, measure, etc – and wide range of actors – COM, ministries, OSs, OBs, beneficiaries;
OB broad set of information concerning the measure controls physical execution of projects physical output and financial indicators
OS less detailed information about specific measure and very little
information about individual projects objective of the programme priority result and impact indicators + some output indicators related
to OB’s efficiencyCOM
programme and priority level result and impact indicators
Challemge: select and record relevant data and direct them to relevant party
Indicators in programmingIntegration in programing;Establishment and Management in partnership
Involvement of suppliers and potential users of information project promoters, beneficiaries OBs – main suppliers, OS monitoring committees, European Commission, European Parliament and national parliaments, external evaluators, wider public, including civic organizations, official statistical services.
From temporary working group to monitoring platform
Indicators in programmingProportionality:
as complex as necessary and as small as possible impact and result indicators should cover priorities or
measures which represent the bulk of expenditure or are of strategic importance
Quality checksystem of indicators for coverage, balance, and
manageability;and individual indicators using quality criteria
relevance, sensitivity, availability, costs.
Indicators in programmingCoherence between programme documentsCoherence with indicators of established EC
policiesRole of ex ante evaluation
if benchmarks and past experience do not provide a sufficient basis for establishing and quantifying impact indicators
impact indicators complex task for programmersverify the causality between outputs, results and
impactsclose cooperation with planners
Indicators in programming
Programme Elaboration: Analytical part, definition of context indicators
Definition of Programme Strategy and Prioritiesdefinition of objectives at the Programme and
Priority level establishment output, result and impact and
core indicators
Indicators in programming
Planning Implementation Arrangementsdesigning the monitoring system: electronic
data processing, quality check of indicators,designing the evaluation system: planning
evaluation, with a description of indicator data needed to evaluate the Programme;
selecting indicators, information on which should be delivered by an evaluation exercise
Establishing rules and conditions for a smooth and efficient cooperation between monitoring and evaluation systems
Indicators in programming
Integration of Ex Ante Evaluation Ex ante evaluation as a parallel process to
Programme design: Close co-operation between the evaluators and programme designers as regards the indicator system, monitoring and evaluation arrangements
Examination of the evaluation recommendations and their possible consideration in the design of the Programme
Indicators during implementationData collection, updating and transferring
to users Task of OS and OBsConsolidation, improvement and rationalisation
of data Risk of excessive data requirementsOS to check periodically the reliability of the
information collected to provide additional guidance, if needed
Use and improvement of indicator system is a continuous task – strengthening administrative capacities
Indicators during implementation
Annual Reporting on ImplementationPreparation of the selected indicator data and
their preliminary interpretation for the Annual Reports
possible linkage between interim evaluation exercise and annual reporting
Indicators during implementationPresenting the data to the monitoring committee
(cont’d)Different knowledge and experiences of MC membersOS should:
Put quantitative information into its qualitative context,Reduce the volume of information provided, compared
to current experience,Present information in standardised manner,Undertake some preliminary analysis, highlighting
critical information, andUse appropriate presentation techniques
Turn monitoring findings into concrete actions
Indicators during interim evaluation
Evaluation of the programme performance as regards particular priorities or themes by using indicators as necessary
Review of indicators linked to a possible review of the programme strategy
Review of functioning of the monitoring system (quality of indicators, data collection and their transfer to the users)
Indicators during ex post evaluation
Indicators provided from Monitoring system (output and result)
Use of macro-economic models to evaluate impact
Indicators during evaluationIndicators are major source of information for evaluationsIndicators are most frequently used to measure
effectiveness and efficiency ratios
Objectives
Indicators Effectiveness
Efficiency
Measure/action
Financial/physical output
Actual/planned output
Outputcompared to cost
Priority Result (impact)
Actual/planned results
Result compared to cost
Programme
Impact (results)
Actual/planned impact
Impact compared to cost
Designing system of indicators
From input-driven implementation to a results-oriented indicator system
Element of judgement is required in addition to data processing
Designing system of indicators
A clear, focused strategyLimited number of prioritiesUnderstanding of intervention logic
Measures priorities programme Priorities should make explicit its underlying economic
and social rationaleExample
what is the mechanism through which capital grants are supposed to enhance the competitiveness of enterprises?
selection of appropriate indicators: instrument to clarify the content of measures and priorities
develop indicators within the discussion on the action
Designing system of indicatorsBaselinesBaseline data: initial value against which an indicator is
measured, e.g no. of SMEs in the regionConcepts:
Static: simple statement of a value for an indicator at a certain reference point in the past number of SMEs active in research in a certain year number of SMEs active in research supported by the
programme in a certain year of the pastDynamic: one projects the value of a certain indicator
during the programming period (baseline scenario or counterfactual situation)
Use depends on target area: region with a developed road network vs region without major roads
Designing system of indicatorsBaselines (cont’d) – information sourcesofficial statisticsProblematic
non-availability of data at an appropriate geographical level;
non-availability of data that is sufficiently disaggregated by sector;
delays in the publication of data; gaps in official statistics in relation to the
requirements of the programme (for example no distinction between full-time and part-time workers);
Designing system of indicators
Ex ante quantificationquantification of a target for an indicator is a
quality check of programminginstruments: use of historic time series and
the use of reference or benchmark valuesall outputs should be quantified at measure
levelin a next step quantification of result
indicators for the most important parts of a programme
Designing system of indicatorsCore indicatorsLarge number of indicators exist in a programmeCOM needs limited number of “core” indicatorsCore indicators specific for a programme
describe objectives of each priority in terms of expected results capture the core elements of the expected changes explaine in a qualitative manner in the programming document programme monitoring will pay particular attention to their attainment link with general policy frameworks, such as the Lisbon agenda
Common minimum core indicators programme indicators are not directly comparable across programmes physical and financial indicators used to make comparisons or
aggregations of data across similar programmes, priorities or measures
Horizontal issuesBC may wish to integrate horizontal objectives: sustainable
development, equal opportunities, crossborder cooperation, etc.
some general principles:should be embedded into the general indicator system of
a programme and not be separated into a specific indicator system.
The establishment of any indicator system is costly. Indicators for horizontal priorities should be applied first of all for measures that have a significant impact on a given horizontal theme.
step by step approach. It is equally important to be open to
where the nature of the assistance permits, the statistics shall be broken down by gender (SF)
Strategic environmental assessment: for significant effects on the environment of implementing a plan or programme;
Stages for setting up an indicator system
1. Pre-assessment of roles and responsibilities and capacity requirements
2. Defining outcomes based on agreement with stakeholders
3. Selecting Key Indicators4. Defining Baseline Data5. Selecting Results Targets M&E activities
The use of indicatorsMore indicators combined provide an image of
the situation, although often not a complete one. Other non objectively verifiable (measurable)
information is often eployed to improve understanding of the situation
Timely understanding the situation is needed by decision makers, in order to evaluate, assess, decide and apply decisions.
Decision making and application justify monitoring.
SECTION II.MONITORING VISITS AND
ON-THE-SPOT CHECKS Definitions and differences
Conducting Monitoring visits Risk assessment
On-the-spot-checklist
Monitoring visits & OTS checksOften confusing for both beneficiaries and project
managersMonitoring visitTool for data and information collectingEnabling managers:
to deal with problemsto find solutionsto adapt to changing circumstances in order to improve
project performanceto make personal contacts
Monitoring visit is not ... Auditing or inspecting Approving Beneficiary reports or contract amendments
… but also to help and support beneficiary
Monitoring visits & OTS checks
OTS checkpart of the controlcomplementary to desk control of filesto check the reality of actions and and the
reality of the expensescarried out by the OS/OB/CFCU
Monitoring visitsObjectivesInformation collecting on progress of project on the
spotActivities undertaken compared to ContractTiming of activities compared to milestonesFulfillment of indicators
Problem managementProblems already discovered by authoritiesProblems presented by ContractorRisk identificationDiscussing solutions to prevent or handle risksDefining scope of intervention
Monitoring visitsTypes1st monitoring visit
Usually during first 45 days of project implementation
Correctness of contract dataManagement and implementation capacity of the
ContractorDecide/update performance indicators of the projectIdentify the needs in the project implementationInform contractor on contractual obligations and
general EU rules Decide monitoring visit schedule for regular visits
Monitoring visitsTypesRegular monitoring visit
Correspondence between implemented, planned activities and the expenditures
Physical existence of purchased equipment Delivery and performance of sub-contracted
services Performance indicators The difficulties/bottlenecks Addendum/notification needs Early Warning and Irregularity Corrective actions (If needed)
Monitoring visits
TypesExceptional monitoring visit
In case of sudden problem to be solved urgently Personal contact is required (complex problem to be
clarified) Need to verify project data/results on the spot
(works)In case of risk identified with Contractor
Difficulties in communication Lack or regurarly delayed or bad quality reports
Monitoring visits
PlanningYearly monitoring visit schedule
Breakdown by months and contractors/beneficiaries
To be approved by OSRisk assessmentConsidering reporting period – before
deadlineDefining % of projects visited within a prioritySet-up of expert pool
Risk assessmentObjectives:
Optimal allocation of resourcesDefining samples to be checked on the spotDefining corrective/preventive measures
Risk is the expected value of the totality of damages incurring in a specific period of time
R = ptdt where pt: probability, dt: value of damage Task: defining probability and value of damage
Categorisation From highly probable to not probable From significant to unsignificant
Risk assessmentProgress (Dynamic) Risk Rate-variable
BudgetActivitiesProcurementVisibility & publicityNumber of objectionRules of originNumber of Addendum Rejected
Risk Rate by monitoring staffCompletion of project within budgetCompletion of project within planned duration
Overall Risk Rate
Risk assessment
Initial (Static) Risk Rate-constantNumber of activities,Total Budget,Experience in the relevant fields,Related EU project implementation experience,Is there external independent audit in the project,Number of partners,Legal status of the beneficiary,Co-finance ratio,Number of procurement above 5000€,Is there an accountant in the organization?
Risk assessment
Risk assessment criteria matrixRisk map or tableDefinition of monitoring visit needs
corresponding to risk categoriesResult: risk categorisation of projects
monitoring visit frequency defined
Monitoring visitsMonitoring expert poolNeed for technical knowledgeCapacity problems within authoritiesPublic procurement procedureManagement of expert pool
Planning of resource allocationVerifying performance
Time allocation Quality of performance
Confilct of interest, impartiality, confidentiality
Monitoring visitsPreparation Reminder of relevant information
Contractual obligations Timeschedule, milestones Outputs, indicators
Overview of relevant documents Call for proposal/tender documents, application/technical proposal Contract and annexes Notification on changes, contract modifications Progress reports Minutes of previous visits or meetings Documents of irregularity procedures
Define issues prior to meeting Preparing experts Letter of mandate
Conducting monitoring visitsNotification on visitFixing date with Contractor/beneficiary (informal)Notification letter (formal)
Date and place of visit Purpose of visit
Completion of activities Timeshcedul of implementation Actual status of technical progress Results achieved Achivement of indicators and visibility measures Moreover: assessment of problems, corrective/remedial actions
Participants from authorities Requested participants from Contractor/beneficiary Requested document (hint: office infrastructure to print minutes on the spot)
Conducting monitoring visitsConducting the visitPresenting letter of mandateDirected discussion based on questionnaire/checklist
Can the Contractor/beneficiary prove the status of the progress made?
Do activities undertaken aim at achieving contractual results?Are activities undertaken in line with EU and local
regulations/guidelines? Is achievment of indicators expected based on their actual
values? Have there been any risks emerged endangering project
completion? If yes, have appropriate corrective measures been undertaken?
Is there any need for immediate intervention? Is timing of progress appropriate, are there any significant
delays? Is there any need foe expert support to Contractor/beneficiary?
Conducting monitoring visitsConducting the visitMethods of information collecting
Checking, analysing documentsTargeted interviews with project managers,
project leadersInspecting of conrete outputs
Collecting/preparing documentary evidencesSupporting documents on transactionsPhotos on facilities equipped/built
Conducting monitoring visits
Conducting the visitPreparation of minutes
Project dataParticipantsLetter of mandate presented (signed by
Contractor)List of output inspectedList of supporting documentsForthcoming activities, expected milestonesFindings, remarks
Minutes of monitoring visits
Findings, remarks of Minutes (cont’d)Use of fundsProgress according to timescheduleAvailability of supporting documentsStatus of indicators, expected achievementsProject management, human capacityBest practice observedHorizontal aspects
Identification of problems encountered and measures undertaken/planned
Minutes of monitoring visitsExpert’s observations, recommendationsMeasures, actions to be undertaken by
Contractor/beneficiaryActionResponsible partyMeasurable result Deadline
SummaryCategories: further measure needed from Contractor
Y/N/further measure needed from authorities Y/NSupplementary documents needed Y/NRemarks (measures to be undertaken, follow-up visit to
be foreseen)Remarks of Contractor/beneficiaryTo be signed on the spot
Conducting monitoring visits
Follow-upSupplementary documentsMeasures to be undertaken by
Contractor/beneficiaryWatching deadlinesRequesting supporting documentsIrregularity procedureRegistration in MIS
Monitoring information daysSupplementary tool for monitoringGeneral information concerning project
implementationPresentation of End recepients guidelinesSpecific information on procedures of
Reporting Payments Contract modification Irregularities
Q&A session
OTS checksInternal control elementDetermine whether
the implementation is in accordance with the EU rules
internal control system is established and operating (grants)
Main areas coveredFinancial and accounting aspectsTechnical aspectsPublic procurementproject control
OTS checks
System checkto determine whether the system of internal
control is functioning efficientlyNational Fund at NIPAC and CAs
accuracy of expenditures presented to COMconformity of financial documents with the
originalsoverall objective to protect EU financial
intereststo prevent compensation obligation to the EC
for improper use of the EU funds.
OTS checks
System check by NFexistence of written procedures
Manual of Procedures conform to regulationsManual is actually used and systematically
updated all relevant documents on project
implementation existdocuments are kept in accordance with
archiving rules
OTS checks
System checkOS/OB/CFCU at Contractor/beneficiary
Accounting system is functionning properlyConformity of documents submitted with
originalsTo exclude double fundingTotality of tender documents compared to
submitted onesManagement structure
OTS system checks
Projects Financial Procedures & Systems Are there segregation of duties? What are the
arrangements to monitor and control project expenditure? Who prepares claims and who checks and signs claims?
Is the project meeting its spend targets? If not, why? Is a re-profile necessary (target spend -/+ 10%)
How are assets recorded and evidenced? Is the register up to date? (Record evidence seen)
Are adequate records being kept in relation to outputs/results/impacts? Provide details
OTS system checksFinancial managementDescription of the financial and administration
practicesHow do partners report their expenses?How are money transfers within the project
organised? VAT, Interests?Financial controlling practices
Follow- up of budget lines ;How the costs are followed? Which costs are reported under each budget line?How costs are controlled to stay within planned
budget
OTS project checksFinancial managementCheck of reported cost types
Staff costsOperational costsTravel and SubsistenceEquipments Indirect costs, overheads
Co-financingWhat are the sources?How are they recorded?
OTS project checks
Contract performanceEquipments, works in line with technical
specifications/designEquipments, works used for purposes and by
target groups and at the place defined in contract
OTS project checksContract performance – some aspects for training OTS
checkParticipants
number at the beginning and at the end compared to indicators
list of participants filled and how regularly during the training
target groups representedLength of the trainingCurriculum presented compared to originally agreedDistributed materials: quantity and qualityTraining tools used (entry/exit tests, exam,
certificate given)
Monitoring visit vs. OTS checksPotential over-lapping of scope
Contract performanceInspection of facilities
Different actorsMonitoring visits: mostly OB/OS task
managersOTS: mostly CA administrators/finance
officersWhy not harmonising the two? (HU CFCU
model)