Sektor 3.0

A few of my favorite things…

Some bits of now and later shaping society, technology and civil society…

• Social Media

• Mobile

• BOP Design

• Demographics

• 3DPrinting

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Social Media

Let’s start with an easy one…

8.26 million users in Poland vs 38 million population1.17 million joined in the last 6 months

SO WHAT? What does it mean for civil society?

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Example: Restart Challenges in RO

• 2 topics

• 800 ideas generated

• 250+ ideas entered

• 8,000 unique profiles created

• more than 150k unique visits, more than 1.3 million hits

• 2,400+ hours of IT volunteerism

• 14 websites

• Mass democratic dialog and citizen engagement

• Interesting leaders

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What’s important in social media …

• Democratization of dialog

• Seeding Grass-roots

• Aggregation potential

• Ability to challenge ‘democracy’

The death of Authority … we need not apply

A few of my favorite things…

• Social Media

• Mobile

• BOP Design

• Demographics

• 3DPrinting

Mobile…

Smart phones: democratize computing as social media democratizes dialog

Today the revolution is in services,

• Farmers

• Bankers

• Mobile medical

Tomorrow?

Mobile ahead…

1) The App Revolution

Behavior Change

Campaign

Problem

Mobile ahead…

2) Data

A few of my favorite things…

Some bits shaping society, technology and civil society…

• Social Media

• Mobile

• BOP Design

• Demographics

• 3DPrinting

These go together because their

interaction may change everything…

Definitions:

• BOP Design: Business services or processes for

people living at/below their country’s poverty level.

• 3D printing: Additive technology

• Demographics: population stuff…

Base of Pyramid/Bottom of the Pyramid

Serving the Un-served: a Social Market

Examples:

- Banking, Farming, etc…

A couple stats:

2.6 billion under $3k/year = $7 trillion

1.4 billion at $3k - $20k = $18.5 trillion

= $25.5 trillion

That’s a decent amount of zloty…

By market segment:

• $100 billion ICT market ($10B in E. Europe)

• $300 billion Health

• $900 billion energy market

Yeah, but we are in Europe…

The BOP market in Eastern Europe is estimated

at nearly $700 billion per year.

= 64% of the people

= 36% of total income generated…

It is our market, we know it better than anyone

and it is in flux…

BOP Demographics

Population Growth… it took:

250,000 years to hit 1 billion people

1 century to hit 2 billion (1927)

32 years to hit 3 billion…

44 years to double that…

Now 12 years/B babies…

.. 9.3 Billion by 2050…

Insert Malthusian Scream…

OMG.

That’s bad right?

Eh. Maybe.

Growth does not necessarily = BAD

– Violence is not increasing

– Pollution is not increasing

Eh. Maybe.

We do need to get smarter about:

– Food

– Population bubbles

– Having more babies…

Go back a bit

More babies?

FYI : Fewer babies are the future…

Growth of mankind peaked in 1960 at 2%.

It is now 1% and dropping.

Much of the world is already shrinking…

My favorite question… So WHAT?

So what if there are fewer babies?

So what if we peak at 10 Billion people and

start shrinking?

What happens then?

• Income goes up rapidly…

• Premium on services for the elderly

• Need for Adaptive Technology

• Healthcare keeps on growing

• Education changes

• Migration changes

• Change in consumer patterns

• … a lot changes …

Demographics, Us, and Technology?

Today we talk about:

…youth, over-consumption, environmental

degradation, politics, engagement, fighting

the ghosts of communism, health care,

capitalism …

No idea how this is going to hit us but the

ability of new tech to listen and gather data

will keep us in the game.

BOP

Demographics3DPrinting

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Additive Tech…

3D printing will change mankind the way the

factory changed us during the industrial revolution.

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What’s being printed?

Everything:

• Cars,

• Organs,

• Machines,

• Tools,

• Prosthetics…

Changes

• Consumerism

• Movement

• Consumption

We are just beginning to ride this wave…

Recap

• Population goes down

• Income goes up

• Consumerism changes

Market economics if flipped on head…

What about our models?

Put it all together and…

Interaction Models ?

Expectation

CommsPower

Mobile

Social

3D Printing

Civil Society

Techno –democracy

Put it all together and…

We have a lot of learning, thinking and

decentralizing of our own to do.

Hope: we can listen and engage better than

ever, we can influence behavior based on

people’s own willingness to change, we will

have more resources to do it with, we need

partners…

GET GOING

Start with social

Get mobile

And think about the rest…

Thank you.

Contact:Chris Worman

Director Communications and Special Projects, Europe

chris@techsoup.ro