securing affordable and sustainable energy...sustainable energy finance & investment summit,...
TRANSCRIPT
Securing Affordable and Sustainable Energy
Sustainable Energy Finance & Investment Summit
Geneva, 17 November 2011
Giles DicksonVP Government Relations Europe, Alstom
© ALSTOM 2010. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
Sustainable Energy Finance & Investment Summit, Croatia 2011, Dr. Ghazi Kablouti/Sophie Hennes
Equipment & services for power generation
Alstom Thermal Power
Equipment & services for rail transport
Alstom Transport
Equipment & services for power transmission
Alstom Grid
Alstom Renewable Power
Alstom = 4 businesses
© ALSTOM 2010. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
Sustainable Energy Finance & Investment Summit, Croatia 2011, Dr. Ghazi Kablouti/Sophie Hennes
Alstom Group Presentation - July 2011
Gas Coal
Hydro Nuclear (Conventional island) Wind
Oil
Solar Geothermal Biomass
Alstom: all forms of power generation
© ALSTOM 2010. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
Sustainable Energy Finance & Investment Summit, Croatia 2011, Dr. Ghazi Kablouti/Sophie Hennes
Stabilizing emissions = huge investments
Emissions CO 2(Gt/year)
2008 IEA 2010 Current Policies Scenario
IEA 2010New
Policies Scenario
IEA 2010 450 ppm Scenario
Technology Mix
Efficiency
CCS
B-A-U Scenario
Challenge: more than doubling today’s investment levels (US$165 billion/year) while dropping emissions intensity to a quarter of today’s level (0.52 kgCO2/MWh)
-10GtCO2/year
-14GtCO2/year
8'500
9'000
9'500
10'000
10'500
11'000
11'500
IEA 2010New Policies
Scenario
IEA 2010450 ppm Policies
Scenario
Total required investments in power generation sector over the period 2010–2035 in US$bn
US$60 billion/year
9’632
11’100
© ALSTOM 2010. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
Portfolio needed
© ALSTOM 2010. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
Sustainable Energy Finance & Investment Summit, Croatia 2011, Dr. Ghazi Kablouti/Sophie Hennes
Nuclear PlantsSteam Plants
GT PlantsHydro Plants
OthersWind Plants
2008GW
EU Power Generation
1998
1988
1968
AgeYear
1978
Source:Alstom & UDI0 10 20 30 40
1
5
9
13
17
21
25
29
33
37
41
45
49
2%
7%
21%
18%
15%
37%
Fossil fuels still dominate
coal
gas
nuclear
hydro
© ALSTOM 2010. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
Sustainable Energy Finance & Investment Summit, Croatia 2011, Dr. Ghazi Kablouti/Sophie HennesClean Power Day The Netherlands- Clean Power Strategy - November 3rd, 2011 - P 7
Make power generation more efficient
New
Plants
Retrofit
60% of the 2030 installed base still to be built
60% of Carbon emitted in 2030 will come from today’s installed base
Automation Retrofit
- 1% CO2
Coal: +5 p.p in efficiency saves 10% emissions
Plant Optimisation:
-5% CO2
Turbine retrofit:
-5% CO2
Boiler retrofit:
-3% CO2
Fleet automation
Optimization of the use of CO2 free power
Gas: +5 p.p in efficiency saves 8% emissions
© ALSTOM 2010. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
Sustainable Energy Finance & Investment Summit, Croatia 2011, Dr. Ghazi Kablouti/Sophie HennesClean Power Day The Netherlands- Clean Power Strategy - November 3rd, 2011 - P 8
Make power generation more flexible
Fuel Flexibility
Operational Flexibility
Ensuring CO2 reductions and Energy Security
Maximising renewable technologies – greater choice to fleet operators
Automation & Controls
Incl: Monitoring & Diagnostics
Biomass Co-firing
Gas Plants
Solar Hybrids
For Steam and Gas
Hydro Pumped Storage
Solar CSP
Thermal Storage
© ALSTOM 2010. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
Sustainable Energy Finance & Investment Summit, Croatia 2011, Dr. Ghazi Kablouti/Sophie Hennes
Restructure the Grid … today’s AC Grid
© ALSTOM 2010. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
Sustainable Energy Finance & Investment Summit, Croatia 2011, Dr. Ghazi Kablouti/Sophie Hennes
Restructure the Grid …. what’s needed
© ALSTOM 2010. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
Sustainable Energy Finance & Investment Summit, Croatia 2011, Dr. Ghazi Kablouti/Sophie Hennes
Smart Grid
Operate CCGT between 9am and 4pm at 80% and
standby for Grid services
Tomorrow Weather : Sunny & warmWindgeneration
forecast 25MW
Charge Hybrid Cars with Solar Panels
Buy 150kW green energy balance to market
for Air Cond
Day Ahead Price at 60Euros/MWh &
20Euro/Carbon tonSource: Alstom
© ALSTOM 2010. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
Sustainable Energy Finance & Investment Summit, Croatia 2011, Dr. Ghazi Kablouti/Sophie Hennes
Energy Positive Buildings
100KW Generation 1MW Generation
1,5MW Generation-Storage 10MW Generation-Storage-FlexDemand
© ALSTOM 2010. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
Clean Power Day The Netherlands- Clean Power Strategy - November 3rd, 2011 - P 13
Wind: focus on offshore
• On shore wind part of the main Power Generation stream
• Broad geographical applications
© ALSTOM 2010. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
Sustainable Energy Finance & Investment Summit, Croatia 2011, Dr. Ghazi Kablouti/Sophie Hennes
Completed
Presentation Title - Presenters Initials - dd mmm yyyy - P 14
Vattenfall Schwarze Pumpe
Germany - 30 MWthOxy - Lignite
Vattenfall JänschwaldeGermany - 250 MWe
Oxy - Lignite
Dow Chemical Co. USA, West Virginia Adv. Amines - Coal Transalta
Canada - >200 MWe Post - Coal
Alstom BSF WindsorUS - 15 MWthOxy - Coals
Getica - CET TurceniRomania – >250MWe
Chilled Ammonia - Lignite
Selected by Alberta and Federal Canadian funding
PGE BelchatowPoland – 260 MWe Adv.
Amines - Lignite
AEP MountaineerUSA – 235MWe
Chilled Ammonia - Coal
Make CCS happen
DOE/Alstom WindsorUS – 3 MWth
Chemical looping, Coal Drax - SelbyUK - 426 MWe
Oxy – Hard Coal
NER300
2 Gen
NER300
NER300
NER300
Selected for receiving EEPR funding
NER300: Applied for EU ETS New Entrant Reserve funding
EoN Karlshamn Sweden - 5 MWth
Chilled Ammonia -Fuel
WE – Energie USA WI - 5 MWth
Chilled Ammonia, Coal
ON HOLD
ON HOLD
AEP MountaineerUSA - 58 MWth
Chilled Ammonia, Coal
Total LacqFrance - 30 MWth
Oxy - Gas
Under Construction
TCM MongstadNorway - 40 MWth
Chilled Ammonia - Gas
EDF – Le HavreFrance – 5 MWth Adv.
Adv. Amines - Coal
Operating
Alstom Labs VäxjöSweden – 0.25 MWthPost C. – multi purpose
RFCS EU - Darmstadt Germany - 1 MWth
Chemical looping, Coal
2 Gen
Pre-commercial Projects
© ALSTOM 2010. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
IEA 2010 NewPol Gas + Coal
IB
450 ppm Gastarget
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
IEA 2010 Cur PolGas + Coal IB
450 ppm Gastarget
EU27 - CO2 emissions path to 450 ppm objective
Deploy CCS on gas ….
Mt CO2Current Policies scenarioCurrent Policies scenario New Policies scenarioNew Policies scenarioMt CO2
Under both scenarios, CCS needed also on gas to rea ch 450 ppm
20302030 20302030
© ALSTOM 2010. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
IEA 10 CurPol Gas IB
RealisticCCS
Missing 450 ppmGas target
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
IEA 10 NewPol Gas IB
RealisticCCS
Missing 450 ppmGas target
… retrofit CCS on gas
Mt CO2Current Policies scenarioCurrent Policies scenario New Policies scenarioNew Policies scenarioMt CO2
50% of reduction target 46% of
reduction target
If no retrofit CCS on existing gas plants, only 50% of required 2030 emissions reduction
© ALSTOM 2010. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
Sustainable Energy Finance & Investment Summit, Croatia 2011, Dr. Ghazi Kablouti/Sophie HennesClean Power Day The Netherlands- Clean Power Strategy - November 3rd, 2011 - P 17
Real CO2 impact of investments
Methodology & Results verified by PwC – July 2010
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
MiotCO 2/year
27
62
84
104
131
120
152
175Independent audit byPriceWaterHouseCoopers(PwC) in 2010
Reducing CO2 emissions by > 175 million tons of CO2/yr
Cumulative annual CO 2 reductions from the operation of Alstom Power offerings commissioned between 2002 and 2009
© ALSTOM 2010. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
Sustainable Energy Finance & Investment Summit, Croatia 2011, Dr. Ghazi Kablouti/Sophie Hennes
8465
0
100
200
300
400
Nuclea
r
Hydro
Geo
ther
mal
CCGT CCS 2
015
Ons
hore
Wind
PC Har
dcoa
l CCS 2
015
Offs
hore
Wind
Solar
PV
Solar
The
rmal
€ / MWh CoE - Low Carbon technologies Europe in 2011-2016 period
Reference case
Source : Alstom analysis 2011. CCS 2015 costs, including on shore T&S and CO2 price (Flue Gas Recirculation case for CCSGas CC, average Amine/Oxy for CCS Hardcoal)
Affordability of clean energy
© ALSTOM 2010. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
Sustainable Energy Finance & Investment Summit, Croatia 2011, Dr. Ghazi Kablouti/Sophie Hennes
Investments not happening
2010-2020
$140 billionClean energy
investments $bn
More ambitious policies requiredSource: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, UNEP, SEFI
© ALSTOM 2010. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
Sustainable Energy Finance & Investment Summit, Croatia 2011, Dr. Ghazi Kablouti/Sophie HennesClean Power Day The Netherlands- Clean Power Strategy - November 3rd, 2011 - P 20