seizing an opportunity: transition to adulthood working group iii – indicator and data overview...
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Seizing an Opportunity:Transition to Adulthood
Working Group III – Indicator and Data OverviewSeptember 27, 2013
The situation in Fresno
Children’s Summit 2013 Working Group 3
Poverty
Source(s): County Health Rankings and Roadmaps; kidsdata.org; Portrait of California, 2011.
Median Income
Unemployment
1 in 3 children
1 in 7 adults
Hispanic Black White All
$31,468
$22,118
$45,873 $46,000
California, $65,476
Fed. Poverty Line $23,550
30% or more below state
The situation in Fresno
Children’s Summit 2013 Working Group 3
FRESNO COUNTY FAMILY POVERTY% Below Poverty Level, 2007 - 2011
Source(s): 2007-2011 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates.
Success in a changing economy
Children’s Summit 2013 Working Group 3
What do youth need to succeed in today’s changing economy?
At least a high school education Hard skills and “soft skills”
What is a key indicator of future success?
Youth are college and/or career ready
In 1973, people with a high school education or less made up 70% of the workforce, and earned a middle class wage
Over the next 30 years, all job growth in America was generated exclusively by positions that required at least some post-secondary education
By 2007, jobs that require at least some college have exploded while opportunities for those with just a high school education shrunk dramatically
Success in a changing economy
Children’s Summit 2013 Working Group 3
Today’s economy increasingly demands some form of post-secondary education
Source(s): Pathways to Prosperity, Harvard Graduate School of Education
Success in a changing economy
Children’s Summit 2013 Working Group 3
Source(s): How Children Succeed, Paul Tough
“Soft skills” include:
• Curiosity• Conscientiousness• Optimism• Following through on a plan • Self-control• Social fluidity
Hard skills and Soft Skills;Social emotional learning (SEL)
Social-emotional learning (SEL) is the capacity to:
• Recognize and manage emotions• Solve problems effectively• Establish positive relationships
with others
Are Fresno youth college and/or career ready?
Children’s Summit 2013 Working Group 3
What does youth preparedness currently look like in Fresno?
Guidance counseling/supportive school environment Educational attainment
High school graduation Post-secondary education
School connectedness
State of youth preparedness in Fresno
Children’s Summit 2013 Working Group 3
Source(s): A Portrait of California, 2011; Fresno Area Strive 2012 Baseline Report
Guidance counselingCalifornia’s ratio of 1.1 guidance counselors per every 1,000 students is the lowest in the nation.
Between 2008 and 2010, only 36% of 11th graders strongly agreed that there was a caring adult at school.
Source(s): American Community Survey, 2011
Fresno County – Education Attainment of Population Aged 25 and Over, 2011
Children’s Summit 2013 Working Group 3
Educational AttainmentIn Fresno county, nearly 30% of the adult population over the age of 25 has not completed high school.
Combined, the population that has obtained either an Associate’s, Bachelor’s, graduate or professional degree is less than 25%.
State of youth preparedness in Fresno
Less than 9th grade
9th to 12th grade, no diploma
High school grad. (incl. equivalency)
Some college, no degree
Associate's degree
Bachelor's degree
Grad. or prof. degree
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
17%
11%
24%
23%
7%
13%
6%
Source(s): American Community Survey, 2009 – 2011; kidsdata.org, 2012; PolicyLink.
Children’s Summit 2013 Working Group 3
Disconnected YouthIn 2011, roughly 9% of Fresno County youth aged 16 to 19 were not enrolled in school and were unemployed.
Nationwide, nearly 6 million young people ages 16 to 24 are neither working nor in school - 51% are youth of color. Individuals who lack successful work experiences by age 25 are at greater risk of lifelong poverty and involvement with the criminal justice system.
Engagement in school or the workforce is critical to the transition from adolescence to adulthood and
development toward productive, self-sufficient adult lives.
State of youth preparedness in Fresno
Barriers to success
Children’s Summit 2013 Working Group 3
What gets in the way of youth being in college and/or career ready?
Financial economic security Teen pregnancy/births Youth felony arrests/criminal activity Gang membership
Barriers to success
Children’s Summit 2013 Working Group 3
Family economic securityA U.S. Department of Education study on tenth graders in California found that 38% left high school because they found a job.
Other barriers include:
• Rising costs of college• Inadequate financial aid • Jobs disconnected to
course of study
Source(s): A Portrait of California, 2011; Pathways to Prosperity, 2011.
Barriers to successTeen childbearing results in negative consequences, including:• lower levels of educational
attainment• less stable employment• more single parenthood• more pregnancy-related problems• less healthy infants• delay of cognitive development and
behavioral problems among preschool children
Children’s Summit 2013 Working Group 3
Teen birthsIn 2011, Fresno County’s teen birth rate was 45.2 live births for every 1,000 teens(ages 15 – 19).
Teen birth rates in California by race/ethnicity, 2006 - 2010
Source(s): Fresno Bee, 2011
17%
64%
14%
5.40%
African American/Black
Hispanic/Latino
White
Other
Barriers to success
Source(s): kidsdata.org, 2012
Children’s Summit 2013 Working Group 3
Juvenile Felony Arrests Age 0-17, by Race/Ethnicity, 2012
Juvenile Felony Arrests Age 10 – 17, 2009 - 2011
Youth felony arrestsYouth involvement in the juvenile justice system contributes to higher rates of: • dropping out of school• adult criminal behavior • substance use• InjuryYouth who are arrested or detained face greater difficulty obtaining the education necessary for employment and success as adults.
2009 2010 2011
1,481
1,102 1,008
Barriers to success
*Validated gang members that have had contact and often multiple contacts with law enforcement)
Source(s): County of Fresno Gang & Juvenile Prevention Initiative, 2009
Children’s Summit 2013 Working Group 3
Age 13 Age 14 Age 15 Age 16 Age 17 Age 18 Age 19 Age 200%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
0.05%0.25%
0.56%
1.30%
1.91%
2.67%
3.30%
4.67%
Gang involvementOne out of every 10 Fresno County gang members* are between the ages of 5 and 19. Three out of every four are Hispanic.
The likelihood of gang involvement increases significantly between the ages of 14 and 19.
% of Overall Gang Population by Age, 2009
Barriers to success
Children’s Summit 2013 Working Group 3
What will happen if we don’t improve youth’s college and/or career readiness?
Decreased wage earnings Increased unemployment Decreased economic benefits for the region and state
The economic outlook for Fresno
Children’s Summit 2013 Working Group 3
Source(s): U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2011.
Wage earnings by education levelA 2011 study by the Bureau of Labor Statistics illustrates that a bachelor’s degree increases average earnings by $1,053 per week.
The economic outlook for Fresno
Children’s Summit 2013 Working Group 3
A large unskilled and unemployed population
Fresno youth will join the millions of high school dropouts nationwide facing a severe shortage of jobs for people without a high-school education.
A stagnant or declining economy
In a single year, Fresno County’s regional economy loses the benefit of: $40 million in increased earnings An additional $28 million in spending and $10 million in investing $6 million in increased tax revenue 350 new job sand economic growth of $51 million Increased home sales of $117million and auto sales of $3million Increased human capital
Source(s): PolicyLink; 2011; Alliance for Excellence in Education, 2010.
Children’s Summit 2013 Working Group 3
Investing in young people's future is an investment in our community and our economy.