seminar covid-19 implication to logistics service … and... · 2020. 10. 8. · services and...
TRANSCRIPT
-
KADIN INDONESIA
COVID-19 IMPLICATION TO LOGISTICS SERVICE PROVIDER :
Services and Performances
Prepared by :
Dr. Nofrisel, SE, MM, CSLP, ESLog
Head of Permanent Committee on Logistics Service, Supply Chain and Human Resources KADIN INDONESIA
Cikarang, 01 October 2020
SEMINARLOGISTICS & SCM DURING & AFTER
COVID-19 PREDICTION
-
KADIN INDONESIA
PROFILE :Dr. Nofrisel, SE, MM, CSLP, ESLog
• More than 30 years experience in logistics, retail and supply chain management, SOE and private companies which Logistics and Supply Chain Management Sertification
• Currently active as :• President Director of PT Dewata Freight International, Tbk• President Commissioner of PT Samulos Harmoni Energi Perkasa• President Director of PT Jawa Barat Logistik• Senior Technical Advisor of PT Gatotkaca Trans Systemindo• Senior Technical Advisor of BNPB for National Humanitarian Logistics Cluster• Executive Director of SEMBADA PRATAMA
• Organizations :• KADIN : Head of Permanent Committee of Logistics, Supply Chain and Human Resources• ALI : Chairman of Board Expert• APTRINDO : Deputy Chairman• ALFI : Deputy Chairman of West Java• APINDO : Member of Transportation Team• ISMS : Head of Logistics and Supply Chain
• Lecturer at several universities majoring in Operation Management, Strategic Management and Logistics & Supply Chain Management
• Consultant in Logistics and Supply Chain• Speakers, Moderators and panelist in various conferences, workshops, FGD, both domestics and international
1
-
KADIN INDONESIA
AGENDA
5
1
2
3
4
INTRODUCTION
CONCLUSION
COVID-19 AND OPPORTUNITIES
LOGISTICS VS COVID-19
2
-
KADIN INDONESIA
INTRODUCTIONS
3
-
KADIN INDONESIA
Global Economic Growth Projections after Covid-19
Global and Indonesia Economic Growth After SARS, Ebola dan COVID-19
Global Growth 2020
Source : IMF (April 2020)
4
-
KADIN INDONESIA
National Economic Growth Predictions after Covid-19
5,3%(APBN 2020)
-0,4%(heavy)
2,3%(Medium
level)
Before COVID-19
After COVID-19
2020
6
Impacts to People Walfere
(Millions People)
Poverty + 4.86 + 1.89Unemployment +5.23 +2.92
Heavy Scenario
Medium Scenario
5
-
KADIN INDONESIA
• Covid-19 has created a terrible economic slowdown
• Logistics is one of 12 sectors that are excluded from the PSBB (lockdown) policy, not because of its urgency but also of its nature
• There are always 2 (two) conditions in every crisis, the lucky and the losers
• For some companies, covid-19 is a momentum for a turning point for survival and growth
COVID-19
6
-
KADIN INDONESIA
COVID-19 : Impacts to business
• As well as serious implications for people’s health, COVID-19 (coronavirus) is significantly impacting businesses and the economy.
• The initial outbreak of the coronavirus in China disrupted global supply chains.• Most small businesses lack the cash reserves to weather a month-long
interruption, and forecasts indicate more than 7 million workers could lose their jobs in just several weeks
• Hospitality, travel and restaurant are three of the biggest industries impacted by COVID-19
• Manufacturing and construction have largely held off on layoff decisions, but these industries could suffer the strain as consumer demand drops
8
https://www.businessinsider.com/hotel-industry-could-lose-4-million-jobs-coronavirus-covid19-unemployment-2020-3https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-impact-america-travel-industry-airlines-economy-2020-2https://www.businessinsider.com/housing-market-starts-coronavirus-slams-biggest-dip-since-decline-construction-2020-4
-
KADIN INDONESIA
LOGISTICS VS COVID-19
9
-
KADIN INDONESIA
• Logistics is one of the business that is predicted to remain booming
• Online based logistics will continue to increase
• The impact of Covid-19 is expected to last 1-2 years
• A company that survives is not a big one, but one that can adapt
• Some companies face cash flow if they do not make changes to innovations and business model changes quickly
• Covid-19 inspired many companies to build new normal in business
LOGISTICS Vs COVID-19
10
-
KADIN INDONESIA
Covid-19 Implications on Logistics
LOGISTICS
LSP Manufacturing/
Project
Infrastructures
Logistics Actors
(Producer of goods)
Logistics Service
Providers
Bulk-Based
Logistics
Courier-Based
Logistics
• B 2 B
• G 2 G
• B 2 C
• C 2 C
>50%
30%
80%
Source : multi perspectives (2020)
11
-
KADIN INDONESIA
COVID-19 AND OPPORTUNITIES
12
-
KADIN INDONESIA
Opportunities
• Product Innovation
• Process innovation and improvement
• Implementation of relevant technologies
• Differentiation and Diversification
• Building capabilities and HR Competencies
• Collaboration and partnerships
• New business model and customers
13
-
KADIN INDONESIA
LOGISTICS SERVICE :Big Data Management
LOGISTICS SERVICE
INTEGRATION PLATFORM
CARGO SOURCES
Pengolahan
Trading
Konstruksi
Hasil Alam
TRANSPORTER
Kereta Api
Truck
Laut
Udara
WAREHOUSE AND YARD
DistributionCentre
Warehouse
Container Yard
USERS
Petani &Peternak
Trader
Pabrik & Proyek
Importir & Exportir
Several Logistics Service Providers can collaborate on a powerfulbig data and digitization force…
14
-
KADIN INDONESIA
Industri 4.0 and Logistics Responses
Automation :• Port Management•Warehouse
Management• Transportation
Management•Distribution Center• Courier Service• Cold chain
management• Fulfilment Center• Ect.
15
-
KADIN INDONESIA
NEW NORMAL :New Direction of Logistics and SCM Development
• Artificial intelligence
• IOT
• Sharing Economy
• eCommerce and online shops
• Ecommerce logistics
Very influential on
the business
model and
operating system
Need to prepare adaptive process
design and business models
16
-
KADIN INDONESIA
Shared Capacity
Logistics
Intelligent
Connected
End-to-End
Visibility
Financing Value
Chain
Ecosystem
PlatformAutomation
Manufacturer
(FMCG, others)
BUMN/OtherEnterprise
Distributor/
Logistcs Player
Rural/ UMKM
Managed
Logistics
Total ICT
Services
Managed
Logistics
Operation
Services
Managed
Logistics
Business
Services
Distribution Center
Depo
Point
Toko
Warung
EndCustomer
Cross Border
Partners - collaboration
SCM and Value-Added Service
Long-term Platform in Logistics Business
17
-
KADIN INDONESIA
Logistics Training Framework
Training
Inclass Training
On floor Training
Cross Function
On The Job
Training
Project Assignment
Coaching & Mentoring
Formal
Learning
Informal
Learning
20%
80%
18
-
KADIN INDONESIA
Explicit and Tacit Knowledge :two factors that influence each other’s business development
Tacit Knowledge- Embedded in individual experience
- Highly personal
- Hard to articulate
Source: Nonaka and Takeuchi (1995)
Explicit Knowledge- Can be articulated
- Expressible in words and numbers
19
-
KADIN INDONESIA
CONCLUSION
20
-
KADIN INDONESIA
FIRM SERVICE
QUALITY
NE
TW
OR
K
CA
PA
BIL
ITIE
S
HIGH
HIGH
LOW
LOW
Normal
Operation
Out Perform
Firm
High Firm
Absorptive Capacity
Industrial
Adjustment Policy
Organic
Growth Policy
Source : Nofrisel (2009)
Policy implications
Policy implications
MACRO AND MICRO ALIGNMENT STRATEGIC DIRECTION
Low Firm
Absorptive Capacity
21
-
KADIN INDONESIA
How to compete in supply chains era?
Adding
customer
value
Reducing
costs, and
expanding
margins
In highly competitive markets, we can compete
by doing one or both of the following:
22
-
KADIN INDONESIA
Menara Kadin Indonesia 3rd, 24th & 29th FloorH.R. Rasuna Said X-5 Kav 2-3 Jakarta 12950 Indonesia
Phone : +62 21 5274484 (Hunting) Fax : +62 21 5274331, 5274332
TERIMA KASIHDr. Nofrisel, SE, MM, CSLP, ESLog
Email : [email protected]
23