sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions

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Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions BRADLEY JEMMETT-SMITH 1 , ANDREW ROSS 1 , PETER SHERIDAN 2 , JOHN HUGHES 1 21 st Symposium on Boundary Layers and Turbulence Leeds, UK 9 June 2014 1 Institute of Climate and Atmospheric Science, University of Leeds, UK 2 Met Office, Exeter, UK

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Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions Bradley Jemmett-Smith 1 , Andrew Ross 1 , Peter Sheridan 2 , John Hughes 1 21 st Symposium on Boundary Layers and Turbulence Leeds, UK 9 June 2014. 1 Institute of Climate and Atmospheric Science , University of Leeds, UK - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions

Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions

BRADLEY JEMMETT-SMITH1, ANDREW ROSS1, PETER SHERIDAN2, JOHN HUGHES1

21st Symposium on Boundary Layers and Turbulence Leeds, UK

9 June 2014

1Institute of Climate and Atmospheric Science, University of Leeds, UK2Met Office, Exeter, UK

Page 2: Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions

Jeremy Price (Met Office)

Clun Valley, Shropshire, UK

Page 3: Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions

Nocturnal Boundary Layer• Develop around sunset, forming in dips,

hollows, valleys or basins etc.

• Cold air pools (drainage flows/katabatic

winds) and/or cools in-situ.

• Break-up following sunrise as CBL

establishes.

• Ideal conditions; low wind speeds, no

cloud cover, stable atmospheres. (Whiteman, 2000)

Cold air-pools (CAPs) in complex terrain

Page 4: Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions

Why?

• Hazardous driving conditions; frost, fog, persistence of lying snow.

• Health risks; pollution episodes.

• Representation in Numerical Weather Prediction models; unresolved

scales, SBL parameterizations, surface energy balance.

• Improve understanding of SBL processes; better representation of

minimum temperature, fog, frost etc.

• Recent capabilities allow high resolution modelling of scales <1km.

• Application of downscaling techniques, e.g., for improved road

temperature forecasts.

Page 5: Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions

• Comprehensive field campaign, June 2009 to April 2010.

• University of Leeds, Met Office, NCAS.

• Satellite weather stations (HOBOS, AWS), wind, temperature and pressure.

• Large flux towers; components of the energy budget – see Price et al, (2011).

• Valley depths ~200m, widths typically 1km.

COLd air Pooling EXperiment (COLPEX)Unique data set of SBL observations

Page 6: Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions

9–month climatology

• Nights with temperature inversions greater than

4oC occur 23% of the time.

• Strong CAPs frequent during October and April –

periods of prolonged high pressure.

• Strongest CAP observed 7-8th January, exceeding

9.9oC: ~5oC/100m. Tmin = -18.2oC.

How often do they occur?

Page 7: Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions

IOP 16 4-5 March 2010

• High pressure

• Low wind speeds

• Clear skies

IR sat image 00:00 UTC 5 March 2010

Analysis 00:00 UTC 5 March 2010

“Ideal” case study – Synoptic conditions

Page 8: Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions

4–5 March 2010

WarmingCooling

Theta and ELR evolution

Potential temp Env. Lapse rate

Page 9: Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions

Episodes of evolution disruption

LIDAR vertical velocity 4-5 March 2010

Page 10: Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions

Episode 1 – Gravity wave activity?

LIDARVertical velocities

Radiosondeascent rate

Page 11: Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions

Wind speed t-series

Episode 2 – Momentum mixed down?

Hill topValley Bottom

Page 12: Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions

Episode 3 – Nocturnal Low Level Jet (NLLJ)

Duffryn sondes

Nocturnal Jet Drainage flow

Supergeostrophic

Hill tops

Veering

Wind directionWind speed

Page 13: Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions

Bulk Richardson number

Evolution of valley stability

Page 14: Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions

Model representation

Momentum mixed down

Gravity wave activity

Higher sustained

wind speeds

Wind speed and direction vertical profile, from valley bottom, Duffryn

Page 15: Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions

• CAPs observed frequently throughout COLPEX.

• Relatively small changes in synoptic wind affect CAP evolution during ‘’ideal’’ case study.

• CAP evolution was disturbed, and characterised by three episodes:• Gravity wave activity; possibly caused by wind speed/directional shear.

• Downward momentum transport of the developing NLLJ, accelerating hill top wind speeds.

• Established NLLJ, with hill top winds of 4—5 m/s.

• The developing NLLJ appears to be the overriding factor.

Summary

Page 16: Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions

Thank you for listening. Any questions?

Page 17: Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions

Publications

Vosper, S., Hughes, J., Lock, A., Sheridan, P., Ross, A., Jemmett-Smith, B., and Brown, A. 2013: Cold pool formation in a narrow valley. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. doi: 10.1002/qj.2160

Price J. D. , Vosper S., Brown A., Ross A., Clark P., Davies F., Horlacher V., Claxton B., McGregor J. R., Hoare J. S., Jemmett-Smith B., and Sheridan P. 2011: COLPEX: Field and Numerical Studies over a Region of Small Hills. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 92, 1636–1650. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2011BAMS3032.1

Sheridan, P. F., Vosper, S. B., and Brown, A. R. 2013. Characteristics of cold pools observed in narrow valleys and dependence on external conditions. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.

Price J. D. , Vosper S., Brown A., Ross A., Clark P., Davies F., Horlacher V., Claxton B., McGregor J. R., Hoare J. S., Jemmett-Smith B., and Sheridan P. 2011: COLPEX: Field and Numerical Studies over a Region of Small Hills. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 92, 1636?1650. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2011BAMS3032.1

COLPEX Publications

Page 18: Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions

Momentum mixed down

Nocturnal Low Level JetGravity wave

Hill top level

Sunrise Final break-up of CAP

m/s

NLLJ the overriding factor?

LIDAR vertical velocity 4-5 March 2010

Page 19: Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions

Recurrence of the NLLJ

Mean of 5 profiles on separate CAP nights

Page 20: Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions

Recurrence of the NLLJ?

Consistent

Page 21: Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions

Strong CAPs in the Clun Valley…….

Conditions ideal for CAPs to form

Ideal conditions: Ambient wind <3 m/s Msl pressure >1029 hPa Wind dir from N Low values of Flw, i.e.,

0.80.

Preferentially form when: Ambient wind <7 m/s Msl pressure >1008 hPa Wind dir from N or NW Dry, clear (Flw < 0.91)

Results from 9–month climatology: July 2009 – April 2010

Andrew Ross
Figure quite small. Anything you want to enlarge specifically, or just talk about it in general?This is all broadly what one might expect to see – still useful though.