sepsis-3: the new definitions conference 2016 speaker... · mervyn singer bloomsbury institute of...
TRANSCRIPT
M E R V Y N S I N G E R B L O O M S B U R Y I N S T I T U T E O F I N T E N S I V E C A R E M E D I C I N E
U N I V E R S I T Y C O L L E G E L O N D O N , U K
S E P S I S - 3 : T H E N E W D E F I N I T I O N S W H A T T H E Y S H O U L D M E A N T O Y O U
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1S8l5D2xr6w
I N T H E B E G I N N I N G T H E R E W A S “ S E P S I S - 1 ”
A N D “ S E P S I S - 2 ” C O U L D N ’ T R E A L LY A D D T O I T
▪ ‘Sepsis’ means different things to different people
▪ It’s a syndrome with no perfect diagnostic test
▪ .. though the science has moved on since 2001
▪ Is SIRS still fit for purpose to define ‘sepsis’?
▪ No specified criteria to describe ‘organ dysfunction’ or ‘shock’
▪ .. so the epidemiology is a complete mess
▪ Sepsis is a killer .. but is it a mass murderer? Hype +++++
W E ’ V E C O M E T O R E C O G N I S E M A N Y I S S U E S W I T H “ O L D ” S E P S I S
S E P S I S - 3
. . S O W E T R I E D T O D E V E L O P - A S B E S T W E C O U L D - N E W D E F I N I T I O N S B A S E D O N S C I E N C E , D R I V E N B Y D ATA , A N D W H I C H C O U L D B E E A S I LY A N D C O N S I S T E N T LY A P P L I E D . . A N D W I T H T H E E D / WA R D PAT I E N T I N M I N D
T H E R E I S N O R I G H T A N S W E R …
P L E A S E D O R E A D T H E PA P E R S F O R Y O U R S E LV E S
. . S O M E E D I T O R I A L I S T S / T W E E T E R S H AV E C L E A R LY N O T
… A N D G O T I T B A D LY W R O N G !
infection
1991/2002
≥2 of 4 SIRS
severe sepsis
septic shocksepsis
organ dysfunction
CV collapse not responding to fluid
sepsis isn’t just a systemic
pro-inflammatory response
too much overlap between
‘infection’ and ‘sepsis’
does SIRS
really fit within the
sepsis construct??
what does
‘organ dysfunction’
mean?
what does
‘shock’ mean?
infection
1991/2002
≥2 of 4 SIRS
severe sepsis
septic shocksepsis
organ dysfunction
CV collapse not responding to fluid
sepsis isn’t just a systemic
pro-inflammatory response
pro- inflammatory
anti-
inflammatory
cardiovascular
hormonal
metabolic
bioenergetic
endothelial
coagulation
neural
immune
infection
1991/2002
≥2 of 4 SIRS
severe sepsis
septic shocksepsis
organ dysfunction
CV collapse not responding to fluid
too much overlap between
‘infection’ and ‘sepsis’
▪ predominantly taken from large US hospital EHR databases
▪ ~ 5 million patient encounters in wide range of hospitals
▪ ~ 850,000 patients with suspected infection (cultures/Abx)
▪ ~ 90% outside the ICU
“ B I G D ATA ” U S E D T O U N D E R P I N R E C O M M E N D AT I O N S
▪ 12 Pittsburgh/W Pennsylvania hospitals (big + small)
▪ 1.3M patient encounters
▪ 11% (149K) suspected infection (89% ED/ward)
▪ … of these, only 4% (6347) died
▪ … ?? from or with infection (e.g. COPD, cancer)
▪ … how many of these suspected cases were truly infected??
▪ i.e. at most, only 1 in 200 of the entire population died of/with
sepsis (infection + organ dysfunction)
D ATA S P E A K S V O L U M E S
infection
1991/2002
≥2 of 4 SIRS
severe sepsis
septic shocksepsis
organ dysfunction
CV collapse not responding to fluid
does SIRS
really fit within the
sepsis construct??
• SIRS usually represents an appropriate body response to infection .. even a bad cold
• .. but does this make the infection “sepsis” ????
• Need to clearly differentiate straightforward infection from a life-threatening “bad” infection
• SIRS has both sensitivity and specificity issues
SIRS???
n.b. SIRS still has a place when considering possibility of infection but NOT ‘sepsis’
Am J Respir Crit Care Med 2015; 192:958-964
S I R S — > S E N S I T I V E ( - I S H ) B U T P O O R S P E C I F I C I T Y
infection
1991/2002
≥2 of 4 SIRS
severe sepsis
septic shocksepsis
organ dysfunction
CV collapse not responding to fluid
what does
‘organ dysfunction’
mean?
what does
‘shock’ mean?
118,676
213,124300,270
781,725
??? under-reported
??? over-reported
‘unequivocal’ septic shock + MOF due to Gm- bacteraemia
Electronic questionnaire:
94 experienced clinicians (most ICU)
W H A T I S ‘ S E P S I S ’ ?
W H A T I S ‘ S E P S I S ’ ?
‘unequivocal’ septic shock + MOF due to Gm- bacteraemia
Electronic questionnaire:
94 experienced clinicians (most ICU)
S Y S T E M A T I C R E V I E W O F C R I T E R I A U S E D F O R S E P T I C S H O C K
hypotension (SAP <90, MAP <60 or <70, fall in SAP >40) AND/OR
.. that persists despite adequate fluid resuscitation (either unspecified or after challenges of either 20 ml/kg OR 1000 ml)
AND/OR biochemical variables (e.g. lactate >2 or >4, or base deficit >5)
AND/OR use of inotropes and/or vasopressors [±dose specified]
AND/OR new onset organ dysfunction (defined variably using APACHE II, APACHE III,
or SOFA cardiovascular component)
n = 44 observational studies
Shankar-Hari et al, JAMA 2016
S E P T I C S H O C K VA R I A B LY D E F I N E D — > 4 - F O L D VA R I A T I O N I N M O R TA L I T Y 1 0 - F O L D VA R I A T I O N I N I N C I D E N C E
A D E F I N I T I O N — > W H A T S O M E T H I N G ‘ I S ’ , T H E ‘ E S S E N C E ’ O F S O M E T H I N G . .
Sepsis is defined as life–threatening organ dysfunction due to a
dysregulated host response to infection
Septic shock is defined as a subset of sepsis where underlying
circulatory and cellular/metabolic abnormalities are profound
enough to substantially increase mortality
B E T T E R - D E F I N E D T E R M I N O L O G Y
Organ dysfunction is characterized by a rise in total SOFA ≥2
- assume SOFA = 0 unless patient known to have abnormal score prior
- SOFA ≥2 associated with >10% chance of dying in hospital
- For formal characterisation of ‘sepsis’ SOFA can be scored retrospectively …
… but actively treat patient in interim
B E T T E R - D E F I N E D T E R M I N O L O G Y
Shock is characterised by lactate >2 mmol/l and vasopressors needed
to elevate MAP≥65 mmHg despite adequate fluid resuscitation
Septic shock is defined as a subset of sepsis where
underlying circulatory and cellular/metabolic abnormalities
are profound enough to substantially increase mortality
why didn’t we use lactataemia OR hypotension???
• 28,150 infected patients with ≥2 SIRS criteria + ≥1 organ dysfunction
after fluid resuscitation
• Hospital mortality
• 42.3% in patients having both hypotension + hyperlactataemia
• 25.7% with hyperlactataemia alone
• 30.1% with fluid-resistant hypotension alone
• 25% with organ dysfunction but lactate ≤2 and MAP ≥65
S U R V I V I N G S E P S I S C A M PA I G N ( S S C ) R E G I S T R Y
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 2 4 6 8
ARISE
ALBIOS
ProCESS
TRISS
PHOENIXSEPSISPAM
lactate (mmol/l)
90 day mortality (%) ED enrolled ICU enrolled
ProMISe
I S I C U L A C TA T E T H E S A M E A S E D L A C TA T E ? ?
N I C E - G U I D E L I N E S O N S E P S I S ( 2 0 1 6 )
Q S O FA = Q U I C K B E D S I D E S T R A T I F I C A T I O N T O O L . . NOT A D I A G N O S T I C F O R S E P S I S
tachypnoea (≥22/min)
low systolic BP (≤100 mmHg)
altered mentationqSOFA
qSOFA mortality (%)0 ~11 ~32 ~8-103 >20
cardiovascular dysfunction?
neurological dysfunction?
respiratory ± metabolic
dysfunction?
Dr currently called at NEWS 5 (or 4)
S U M M A R Y
▪ SEPSIS-3 offers (we hope) objectivity, reproducibility and
generalizability for research, for coding, for epidemiology ..
▪ qSOFA may be a useful bedside prompt to highlight at-risk patients
▪ needs prospective validation
▪ embedded within NEWS (standard-of-care EWS in UK)
▪ NOT the final word - it’s an iterative process ..
▪ … Sepsis-4 will improve on Sepsis-3
▪ .. but I do hope it is progress!!!