september, 15th “happy city” in yokohamabin.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp/model18/presentation/o.pdfhiroshima...

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“Happy City” in Yokohama Promoting active transportation for health and wellness September, 15 th 2018 Ryuki Watanabe; April Ann Tigulo; Maya Safira Hiroshima University - Team O

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Page 1: September, 15th “Happy City” in Yokohamabin.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp/model18/presentation/O.pdfHiroshima University –Team O “HAPPY CITY” in Yokohama Female Male parameter t-statistic

“Happy City” in YokohamaPromoting active transportation for

health and wellness

September, 15th 2018

Ryuki Watanabe; April Ann Tigulo; Maya SafiraHiroshima University - Team O

Page 2: September, 15th “Happy City” in Yokohamabin.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp/model18/presentation/O.pdfHiroshima University –Team O “HAPPY CITY” in Yokohama Female Male parameter t-statistic

Hiroshima University – Team O “HAPPY CITY” in Yokohama

MODAL SHARE in all cities in Japan"Person Trip Survey Data" (conducted by the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport

and Tourism for 47 cities in Japan, H27 (2008)

Train13%

Bus2%

Car54%

Motorbike2%

Bycicle11%

Walk/others18%

Japanese use too much Walk (and train)

But, many policy failed

Need for new policy

Environment

Economically

I have no interest

Understand Japanese travel behavior

Lifestyle diseases rank high as cause of deaths in Japan

Background 2

Page 3: September, 15th “Happy City” in Yokohamabin.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp/model18/presentation/O.pdfHiroshima University –Team O “HAPPY CITY” in Yokohama Female Male parameter t-statistic

Hiroshima University – Team O “HAPPY CITY” in Yokohama

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What is Happy City?

Happiness has 6 parameters (World Happiness Report):

・ GDP

・ Social support

・ Healthy life

・ Degree of freedom

・ Tolerance

・ Social corruption

We want to make Yokohama citizens more happy.

Good health = Happiness

Happy City 3

Page 4: September, 15th “Happy City” in Yokohamabin.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp/model18/presentation/O.pdfHiroshima University –Team O “HAPPY CITY” in Yokohama Female Male parameter t-statistic

Hiroshima University – Team O “HAPPY CITY” in Yokohama

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Promote bike use and walking for commuting in Yokohama→Yokohama citizens walk an average of 3 km when commuting

Focus 4

Our goal, to generate data on travel behavior differences:• across generations • between gender

Page 5: September, 15th “Happy City” in Yokohamabin.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp/model18/presentation/O.pdfHiroshima University –Team O “HAPPY CITY” in Yokohama Female Male parameter t-statistic

Hiroshima University – Team O “HAPPY CITY” in Yokohama

Basic Analysis of Yokohama (Transportation Behavior) 5

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350

Male

Female

Male

Female

Male

Female

Male

Female

Male

Female

Male

Female

<10

00

100

1-2

000

20

01-3

000

3001

-40

0040

01-5

000

>500

0

Bicycle Bus Car Rail Walk

Mode choice by gender and distance, Yokohama City

Page 6: September, 15th “Happy City” in Yokohamabin.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp/model18/presentation/O.pdfHiroshima University –Team O “HAPPY CITY” in Yokohama Female Male parameter t-statistic

Hiroshima University – Team O “HAPPY CITY” in Yokohama

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180

Male

Female

Male

Female

Male

Female

Male

Female

20

s3

0s

40

s5

0s

Mode choice by age in 3 km trips, Yokohama City

Bicycle Bus Car Rail Walk

Basic Analysis of Yokohama 6

Page 7: September, 15th “Happy City” in Yokohamabin.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp/model18/presentation/O.pdfHiroshima University –Team O “HAPPY CITY” in Yokohama Female Male parameter t-statistic

Hiroshima University – Team O “HAPPY CITY” in Yokohama

MNL for Mode Choice

BicycleBus

Walk RailWalk

Objective:• to determine travel behavior differences

across generations and between gender.

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Page 8: September, 15th “Happy City” in Yokohamabin.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp/model18/presentation/O.pdfHiroshima University –Team O “HAPPY CITY” in Yokohama Female Male parameter t-statistic

Hiroshima University – Team O “HAPPY CITY” in Yokohama

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Our Model 𝑈train = 𝜃1(time train) + b1(age) + 𝑏train + 𝜀train

𝑈bus = 𝜃1(time bus) + b2(age) + 𝑏bus + 𝜀bus

𝑈Walk = 𝜃1(timeWalk) + b3(age) + 𝑏𝑐𝑎𝑟 + 𝜀𝑐𝑎𝑟

𝑈bike = 𝜃1(timebike) + b4(age) + 𝑏bike + 𝜀bike

𝑈walk = 𝜃1(timewalk) + 𝑏𝑤𝑎𝑙𝑘 + 𝜀𝑤𝑎𝑙𝑘

𝑈train = 𝜃1(time train) + b1(age) + e1(purpose) + 𝑏train + 𝜀train

𝑈bus = 𝜃1(time bus) + b2(age) + e2(purpose) + 𝑏bus + 𝜀bus

𝑈Walk =𝜃1(timeWalk) + b3(age) + e3(purpose) + 𝑏𝑐𝑎𝑟 + 𝜀𝑐𝑎𝑟

𝑈bike = 𝜃1(timebike) + b4(age) + e4(purpose) + 𝑏bike + 𝜀bike

𝑈walk = 𝜃1(timewalk) + 𝑏𝑤𝑎𝑙𝑘 + 𝜀𝑤𝑎𝑙𝑘

→ Segmented into Male and Female

Model Formula (MNL) 8

Page 9: September, 15th “Happy City” in Yokohamabin.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp/model18/presentation/O.pdfHiroshima University –Team O “HAPPY CITY” in Yokohama Female Male parameter t-statistic

Hiroshima University – Team O “HAPPY CITY” in Yokohama

Female Male

parameter t-statistic parameter t-statistic

B1 Constant (Train) 7.315 1.052 -3.562 -2.992

B2 Constant (Bus) 0.865 0.128 10.400 1.433

B3 Constant (Walk) 1.318 0.198 -0.055 -0.070

B4 Constant (Bike) -3.108 -0.406 5.066 5.925

D1 Travel time -11.661 -4.598 -9.972 -9.350

C1 Age (Train) -0.075 -0.503 0.102 3.744

C2 Age (Bus) 0.060 0.425 -0.354 -1.641

C3 Age (Walk) 0.064 0.455 0.024 1.311

C4 Age (Bike) 0.099 0.623 -0.143 -6.375

Sample size 83 461

L0 -127.957 -627.608

LL -72.538 -483.900

rho-square 0.433 0.228

adjusted rho-square 0.362 0.214

Estimation Result (MNL)

Age especially for males is a significant factor for people’s inclination to bike.

Page 10: September, 15th “Happy City” in Yokohamabin.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp/model18/presentation/O.pdfHiroshima University –Team O “HAPPY CITY” in Yokohama Female Male parameter t-statistic

Hiroshima University – Team O “HAPPY CITY” in Yokohama

Female Maleparameter t-statistic parameter t-statistic

B1 Constant (Train) -0.387 -0.066 1.343 1.315B2 Constant (Bus) -0.216 -0.043 -0.190 -0.063B3 Constant (Walk) 0.118 0.025 0.795 1.106B4 Constant (Bike) 1.788 -0.341 1.913 1.926D1 Travel time -4.361 -2.049 -9.757 -10.016C1 Age (Train) -0.018 0.141 -0.006 -0.280C2 Age (Bus) 0.071 0.665 -0.080 -1.195C3 Age (Walk) 0.054 0.525 -0.0004 -0.024C4 Age (Bike) -0.038 -0.330 -0.083 -3.226Purpose (Train) 2.258 1.480 0.422 1.746Purpose (Bus) -1.100 -0.831 3.486 2.569Purpose (Walk) 0.103 0.081 0.738 2.741Purpose (Bike) 1.911 1.763 -0.302 -0.612Sample size 83 461LC -100.57 -581.885L0 -127.957 -627.608LL -87.191 -443.214rho-square 0.318 0.293adjusted rho-square 0.216 0.273

MNL (Purpose: Meal and shopping)

Elderly male don`t prefer to bike. Positive effect on walking for males when purpose is meals and shopping. Female prefer to bike for shopping and meals.

Page 11: September, 15th “Happy City” in Yokohamabin.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp/model18/presentation/O.pdfHiroshima University –Team O “HAPPY CITY” in Yokohama Female Male parameter t-statistic

Hiroshima University – Team O “HAPPY CITY” in Yokohama

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Policy Implications:

Promote bike use and walking for commuting in Yokohama by:

• Connecting nodes through scenic paths or subways with plenty of rest stations;

• Mixed land use

• Separated bike lanes and foot paths

• Bike share program with options for carriers

Focus 11

Page 12: September, 15th “Happy City” in Yokohamabin.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp/model18/presentation/O.pdfHiroshima University –Team O “HAPPY CITY” in Yokohama Female Male parameter t-statistic

Hiroshima University – Team O “HAPPY CITY” in Yokohama

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Thank You!

We welcome comments and suggestions.

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