september 2012 abb investor presentation...abb investor presentation september 2012 . chart 2...
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ABB Investor Presentation September 2012
Chart 2
Safe-harbor statement
This presentation includes forward-looking information and statements including statements concerning the
outlook for our businesses. These statements are based on current expectations, estimates and projections
about the factors that may affect our future performance, including global economic conditions, the economic
conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for ABB Ltd. These expectations, estimates
and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as “expects,” “believes,”
“estimates,” “targets,” “plans,” “outlook” or similar expressions.
There are numerous risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control, that could cause our
actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking information and statements made in this
presentation and which could affect our ability to achieve any or all of our stated targets. The important
factors that could cause such differences include, among others:
• business risks associated with the with the volatile global economic environment and political
conditions
• costs associated with compliance activities
• raw materials availability and prices
• market acceptance of new products and services
• changes in governmental regulations and currency exchange rates and
• such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in ABB Ltd’s filings with the U.S.
Securities and Exchange Commission, including its Annual Reports on Form 20-F.
Although ABB Ltd believes that its expectations reflected in any such forward-looking statement are based
upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved.
Introducing ABB
Chart 4
ABB at a glance ABB: A company with global reach
$38 bn in revenue 2011
135 000+ employees in
100 countries
HQ located in
Zurich, Switzerland
Traded on
Switzerland, Sweden and
the US
Market Capitalization1
~$45 bn
1 as of 31 December 2011
Chart 5
ABB at a glance ABB operates in more than 100 countries in the world
Manufacturing sites
Sales offices
Chart 6
Switch, protect, transform and measure
power transmission and distribution for
industries, utilities and power generation
Delivers systems for utilities, industrial and
commercial customers for the generation,
transmission and distribution of electricity
ABB: A global leader in power and automation Five operating divisions: Two Power
Power Products
$10.9 billion1
Power Systems
$8.1 billion1
Market leader across most of the portfolio
1 2011 revenues non-consolidated
Power transmission & distribution
solutions for utilities and industry
Chart 7
Integrated automation
solutions, movement and
control for industrial
applications
Products and solutions to
provide protection, control
and measurement for LV
electrical installations
Products and solutions to
process control, safety,
energy and information
management, plant
maintenance and
performance enhancement
ABB: A global leader in power and automation Five operating divisions: Three Automation
Discrete Automation and Motion
$8.8 billion1
Low Voltage Products
$5.3 billion1
Process Automation
$8.3 billion1
Among Top 3 in most markets
1 2011 revenues non-consolidated
Energy efficiency solutions for process industries (eg, oil &
gas), factory automation and building & construction
Chart 8
End markets served As a percentage of total Divisional revenues; approximations
ABB serves a broad customer base With a variety of channels and demand drivers
20%
10%
10%
5%
5%
10%
15%
5%
5%
15%
2011
Power transmission
Power distribution
Power generation
Buildings
Discrete manufacturing, automotive & transport
Oil, gas & petrochemicals
Minerals & metals
Pulp & paper
Marine
Other
40%
60%
2011
45%
55%
2005
Industrial
customers
(direct and
indirect
channels)
Utility
customers
(mainly direct
channels)
Chart 9
55% 30% 15%
Offering a diverse business mix Products, systems & service
Systems
Service Business Mix Approx. share of orders received 2011
Products
ABB engineers
working at onshore
gas processing plant
Industrial robots in
furniture industry
Power Generation
Solutions: Switchyard
Power Plant
Chart 10
48%
32%
20%
A balanced portfolio across cycles Early, mid and late cycle businesses
Share of orders 2011 Approximate; Percent
Early cycle
Late cycle
Mid cycle
Low-Voltage Products
Discrete Automation and Motion
Process Automation
Power Products
Power Systems
Industrial production (machinery, electronics)
Utility (T&D) and industry capex, renewables
Construction, early-cycle industry (GDP)
Demand for commodities, industrial capex
Key macro drivers
Chart 11
Geographically balanced portfolio Tapping profitable growth opportunities wherever they arise
Orders by region % of 2011 orders (non-consolidated)
Americas
23%
Europe
38%
Middle East and Africa
9%
Asia
30%
Chart 12
A broad base of emerging market demand Emerging markets account for nearly half of total orders
Order growth 2006-11*
Mature markets 5%
Emerging markets 7%
Total ABB 6% * CAGR, local currencies
Top emerging markets by orders received in 2011
> $1 billion
> $100 million
Chart 13
5-year performance through the cycle Steady growth and earnings
$34.4
$38.3
$31.0 $32.7
$40.2
-6%
-3%
0%
3%
6%
$-
$5.0
$10.0
$15.0
$20.0
$25.0
$30.0
$35.0
$40.0
$45.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
$29.2
$34.9 $31.8 $31.6
$38.0
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
$0.0
$5.0
$10.0
$15.0
$20.0
$25.0
$30.0
$35.0
$40.0
$45.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
ABB Orders received vs GDP growth1 US$ bn,
ABB Revenues & op EBITDA margin US$ bn,
1 Source: Global Insight
Chart 14
The ABB investment case: Steady growth, earnings & cash generation through the cycle
A leader in attractive long-term growth markets:
High-efficiency power grids and industrial automation
Product and geographic scope allows us to capture
profitable growth opportunities wherever they arise
Strength in fast-growing emerging markets ensures both
growth and long-term competitiveness
Proven track record in quickly adjusting costs and
production footprint to changing market demands
Solid balance sheet and credit rating provide a foundation
for both organic and inorganic growth
Steady dividend payout through the cycle
Strategy 2011-2015
Chart 16
2011-2015 strategy Competitiveness today underpins future growth
1
Drive competitiveness
and stay relevant in our current markets
2
Capitalize on
megatrends
3
Aggressively
expand core
business
4
Disciplined
M&A
5
Exploit
disruptive
opportunities
Chart 17
Drive competitiveness and stay relevant in our markets
Strengthen the base
Continue to drive cost and quality
competitiveness
Invest in technology leadership
Use assets efficiently: cash,
intellectual property and brand
Invest in people development
Execution is top priority
To develop, produce, source and sell optimally to match
market needs, profitability growing the business while
increasing levels of productivity and quality
Our ambition
1
Drive competitiveness
Chart 18
75% 74% 70% 50%
25% 26% 30% 50%
2009 2010 2011 2015F
Annual R&D spend as % of sales Share of total employees by market
Drive competitiveness and stay relevant in our markets Technology development: In country for country
Moving closer to customers and markets allows ABB to
move at local speeds and develop products for local
markets
In country for country
Emerging markets
Mature markets
2.9% 3.3% 3.4% 3.6%
4.0%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2015F
Chart 19
Processes & systems
Improved quality processes
Proactive risk management
Common ERP structure
People
Training & certification
Supportive organizational structure
Strategic vs. transactional thinking
Collaboration with suppliers
Drive competitiveness and stay relevant in our markets Reducing costs while improving quality
Strategy
“Glocalized” strategic commodity
management
Maximum efficiency in logistics
Cost savings
Supply Chain Management
Leverage volumes, Boost supply chain competences
Operational Excellence
Quality improvements, on-time delivery
Global Footprint
Optimize geographic footprint
50%
45%
5%
Chart 20
Capitalize on mega trends
Focus on industries growing faster than world GDP
Traditional mature markets still with significant opportunity
Anticipate, participate and lead in key markets
Resource
Economies Green Urbanization
Emerging economies
and power shift
Digital
information Electrification
Transportation
mobility (people,
goods)
Global megatrends will mitigate short-term volatility
2
Capitalize on
megatrends
Chart 21
Aggressively expand core business
Key drivers
Tap leading installed base
Integrate service into product design
Optimize software business model
Invest in service sales
Secure next level of growth
Drive competitiveness
Integration IT and OT 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Grow service to ~25% of revenues
Information
Technology
Operations
Technology
Energy Management Infrastructure
3
Aggressively
expand core
business
Chart 22
Disciplined M&A
Key drivers for a successful
acquisition
Deeply grounded in strategy
Disciplined approach to valuation
Rigorous due diligence
Integration planning from Day One
Across products, markets and geographies
Increase North
American exposure
Increase software
exposure
4
Disciplined
M&A
Chart 23
Exploit disruptive opportunities Addressing major developments
# 9 ABB’s Technology – FACTs
An enabler for a “smarter grid”
• Increase transmission capacity
• Improve system stability
• Improve power quality
ABB position
• World’s leading supplier
• Delivered >50% of world total
installations
• Pioneer and technology leader
#1 Smart Phone
#2 Social
Networking
#3 Voice Over
IP
Top technologies of the decade
1
5
Exploit
disruptive
opportunities
1 Institute of Electrical
and Electronics Engineers
Chart 24
Key drivers for market growth to 2015
2010 2015
Key Drivers Aging network in North America and
Europe
Remote renewable integration and
interconnections
Emerging market grid and generation
build-out
Wind and solar to reach grid parity in
many markets by 2015
Smart grids to manage power
system volatility
Power
Estimated total market sizes and expected growth rates US$ bn and percent change
$100 bn
$130 bn
6% CAGR
Assumes average annual global GDP growth of 3-4%
Chart 25
Key drivers for market growth to 2015
2010 2015
Key Drivers
Energy efficiency
Commodity demand
Use of energy (oil & gas)
Factory automation
Transportation and mobility
Automation
Estimated total market sizes and expected growth rates US$ bn and percent change
$285 bn
$380 bn
6% CAGR
Assumes average annual global GDP growth of 3-4%
Chart 26
2011 – 2015 new targets Overview
2 Organic incl. acquisitions closed as of end-Oct. 2011; CAGR = Compound annual growth rate, base year 2010
+3% to 4%
Within the same corridor
+3%
Same conversion rate
Depends on acquisition timing,
steady over the long term
Group targets1
7 – 10%
13 – 19%
10 – 15%
Annual average >90%
>20% by 2015
1 See Appendix for definition of non-GAAP measures
Organic revenue
growth (CAGR2)
Operational EBITDA
margin corridor
Organic EPS growth
(CAGR2)
Free cash flow
conversion
Cash flow return on
invested capital
2011-15
Targets2 Metric Potential Impact from M&A
Chart 27
0
2
4
6
2009.520102010.520112011.520122012.520132013.520142014.520152015.5
2011 – 2015 plan assumptions
Key assumptions
Economic slowdown in next 18 months,
not a deep recession
World GDP to grow 3–4%1, emerging market
(EM) growth >2x developed markets
Global industrial capex to grow 5–6%1,
EM capex share growing to 65% from <60%
ABB’s markets to grow 6%1
World GDP growth assumptions2 Real GDP growth %
We expect to outgrow global GDP by more than 2x
ABB’s organic revenue growth target
(CAGR) = >2x GDP
1 Compound annual
growth rate, base
year 2010; 2 Source: Global Insight
3% CAGR
4% CAGR
2010 2015 2011 2014 2012 2013
Chart 28
Market assumptions
Emerging markets keep commodity prices high – good for business,
challenge for input costs
Plan assume stable forex, changes compensated by hedging policy and
balanced footprint
Price pressure and emerging market competition are a fact of life –
continuous cost savings required to incrementally improve gross margin
Strategic parameters
Portfolio remains focused on Power and Automation – no divestments
planned
M&A capacity to potentially increase top line CAGR1 by 3 – 4 % (not
included in targets)
2011 – 2015 plan assumptions Execution to balance cost AND growth remains key
1 Compound annual
growth rate, base
year 2010
Chart 29
Clearly defined credit and investment targets Solid single A rating remains our standard
Long-term
rating Outlook
Standard and Poor’s* A Stable
Moody’s* A2 Stable
1 Organic growth, R&D, and capex
2 Paying annual dividend in line with policy
3 Value-creating acquisitions
4 Returning additional cash to shareholders
Investment priorities
Cash return > WACC within 3 years
IRR > WACC + specific hurdles
M&A Investments criteria
Net debt /
EBITDA
Gross
Gearing
ABB Target ~1.5-2x < 40%
ABB at end-June 2012 0.7x 37%
Key debt ratios
* As of March 31, 2012
Credit Rating by Agency
Chart 30
R&D locations to grow regional markets with locally developed products
Location of ABB’s corporate research centers, 2011
Raleigh USA
Ladenburg Germany
Baden Switzerland
Västeras Sweden
Krakow Poland
Bangalore India
Beijing China
Shanghai China
>$1.3 bn invested
annually in R&D
7,500 R&D scientists
Collaboration with 70 universities • MIT (US)
• Tsinghua (China)
• KTH Royal Institute of Technology (Sweden)
• Indian Institute of Science (Bangalore)
• ETH (Switzerland)
• Karlsruhe (Germany)
• AGH University of Science and Technology (Poland)
Chart 31
Technology: Our competitive advantage Localized R&D: New products for new markets
Examples of new products launched in 2011
Gas Insulated Switchgear
type ELK-14
Space saver for high-voltage substations
Highly modular, easy to customize
Electric Vehicle
fast-charger
Operating in Europe, Asia
Full charge <30 mins.
Software connectivity to grid
Door entry systems
Residential/commercial, indoor/outdoor
Modular design for network configuration
New generation DCS upgrade for installed base
Widely used in power and water applications
Symphony Distributor
Control System
Chart 32
Sustainability one of highest business priorities Balancing economic success, environmental stewardship and social progress
Offer eco-friendly products that minimize waste and
reduce environmental impact
Helping customers in implementing environmentally
sound processes and technologies
Complying with all applicable environmental, health,
safety standards and social legislation
Working to achieve best practices in occupational
health, safety for employees and our customers
Integrity embedded in ABB DNA, e.g. zero tolerance
to fraud, bribery and corruption
Code of Conduct followed by all ABB employees
No business with sensitive countries such as
Somalia and North Korea
Completed withdrawal from Sudan in 2009
Not pursuing new business in Iran since 2007 and
completed our withdrawal from oil and gas in Iran in
2011
Chart 33
Press Release June 11, 2012
Making a more efficient world Our products are inherently sustainable
ABB electric drives save 310
million megawatt hours in 2011
Equivalent to the output of 41 nuclear reactors
Chart 34
Sustainability in product
development
Focus on resource and energy
efficiency over product lifecycle
Independently verified
Environmental Product
Declarations for main products
Sustainability in operations
Reduce use of energy, raw
materials, hazardous substances
Example: China
63% lower energy use per unit
of revenue from 2002 to 2010
Developing sustainability of products and operations Lowering environmental impact and costs
Chart 35
ABB’s vision and culture
• Global leader in power and automation technologies that enable utility and industry customers to improve performance while lowering environmental impact.
Vision
• Demonstrate personal, professional and corporate responsibility, showing respect for the views and needs of others and applying our shared determination to win.
Business Principles
• Committed to high moral and ethical standards and conduct business with integrity and in full compliance with regulations, local laws and our own corporate policies.
Integrity
• Balance economic success, environmental stewardship and social progress to benefit all our stakeholders.
Sustainability
2011 Financial Performance
Chart 37
Full-year 2011: Financial highlights
Record orders and revenues
Net income up $600 million vs. 2010
Cash from operations close to 2010
record
Cash return on invested capital
reflects initial impact of Baldor
acquisition
Outstanding results in a tough environment
2011 Change vs 2010
Orders 40,210 +18%1
(organic. +11%)
Revenues 37,990 +15%1
(organic +9%)
Operational EBITDA 6,014 +25%
Operational EBITDA % 15.8%
+0.5 percentage
points
Net income 3,168 +24%
EPS (basic) 1.38 +23%
Dividend per share (CHF)
0.65 +8%
Cash from operations 3,612 -14%
Cash return on invested
capital 14%
-7 percentage
points
Financial highlights US$ mill unless otherwise stated
Chart 38
55%
5%
40%
ABB’s cost-out focus embedded in its DNA
Over $4 bn in savings since in 2009
Continued commitment to cost-out for 2012 at 3-5 % of cost of sales
Cost savings:
Offset price pressure (in 2011, $970 mill)
Fund M&A activities
1.5 1.5
1.1
2009 2010 2011
Exceeded 2011 cost savings target Savings continued to outpace negative market impact
Savings by category, 2011 Percent
Operational
Excellence Sourcing
Global
footprint
$1.1 bn
Historical savings, 2009-2011 US$ bn
Chart 39
0.24
0.48 0.48 0.51
0.60 0.65
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Ensuring steady cash flows for
investors over the cycle
2011 dividend up 8% vs. 2010
2011 dividend paid: CHF 0.65 per share Equivalent to 47% payout ratio, 3.3% yield1
Dividend payout 2005-2011 CHF per share
A steadily rising, sustainable annual dividend over time
Dividend policy
1 as of 15 February 2012
Chart 40
2011-2015 New targets First-year performance against our targets
Group targets1
2 Organic incl. acquisitions closed as of end-Oct. 2011; CAGR = Compound annual growth rate, base year 2010
Starting well above the range
Still a good buffer thanks to cost
programs
A strong first year
High capital spending; to normalize
over time
1st year show impact of Baldor
acquisition
7 – 10%
13 –19%
10 – 15%
Annual average >90%
>20% by 2015
1 See Appendix for definition of non-GAAP measures
Organic revenue
growth (CAGR2)
Operational EBITDA
margin corridor
Organic EPS growth
(CAGR2)
Free cash flow
conversion
Cash flow return on
invested capital
15%
15.8%
23%
82%
14%
2011
Perfomance2
2011-15
Targets2 Metric Comment
Chart 42
Appendix Definitions of non-GAAP measures
Chart 43
Appendix: Definitions of non-GAAP measures (1)
Operational EBITDA: Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) excluding depreciation and
amortization, adjusted for i) unrealized gains and losses on derivatives (FX, commodities,
embedded derivatives), ii) realized gains and losses on derivatives where the underlying
hedged transaction has not yet been realized, iii) unrealized foreign exchange movements
on receivables/payables (and related assets/liabilities), iv) restructuring and restructuring-
related expenses, and v) acquisition-related expenses and certain non-operational items
Operational EBITDA margin: Operational EBITDA as a percentage of Operational revenues
Gross gearing: Total debt divided by total debt plus total stockholders’ equity (including non-
controlling interests)
Net cash (Net debt): Cash and equivalents plus marketable securities and short-term
investments, less total debt
Free cash flow (FCF): Net cash provided by operating activities adjusted for i) changes in
financing and other non-current receivables; ii) purchases of property, plant and equipment
and intangible assets; and iii) proceeds from sales of property, plant and equipment
Chart 44
Appendix: Definitions of non-GAAP measures (2)
Free cash flow conversion: Free cash flow as a percentage of net income attributable to ABB
CROI: Cash return on capital invested, calculated as i) cash provided by operating activities
plus interest paid, divided by ii) capital employed plus accumulated amortization and
depreciation
Chart 45
For more information, call ABB Investor Relations or visit our website at www.abb.com/investorrelations
Telephone e-mail
Alanna Abrahamson
(Zurich) +41 43 317 3804 [email protected]
John Fox
(Zurich) +41 43 317 3812 [email protected]
Tatyana Dubina
(Zurich) +41 43 317 3816 [email protected]
Annatina Tunkelo
(Zurich) +41 43 317 3820 [email protected]