session 2 - capacity planning

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  • 7/25/2019 Session 2 - Capacity Planning

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    M213M213OPERATIONS MANAGEMENTOPERATIONS MANAGEMENT

    Capacity PlanningCapacity Planning

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    How much long-range capacity is needed

    When more capacity is needed

    Where facilities should be located

    (location)

    How facilities should be arranged (layout)

    Facility planning answers:

    Facility PlanningFacility Planning

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    Forecast

    Demand

    Compute

    Needed

    Capacity

    Compute

    Rated

    Capacity

    Evaluate

    Capacity

    Plans

    Implement

    Best Plan

    Qualitative

    Factors

    (e.g., Skills)

    Select Best

    Capacity

    Plan

    Develop

    Alternative

    Plans

    Quantitative

    Factors

    (e.g., Cost)

    Capacity Planning ProcessCapacity Planning Process

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    Definition and Measures of CapacityDefinition and Measures of Capacity

    Capacity: The throughput, or number of units a

    facility can hold, receive, store, or

    produce in a period of time.

    Utilization: Actual output as a percent of design

    capacity.

    Effectivecapacity:

    Capacity a firm can expect to receivegiven its product mix, methods ofscheduling, maintenance, andstandards of quality.

    Efficiency: Actual output as a percent of effective

    capacity.

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    Actual or Expected OutputActual or Expected Output

    Actual (or Expected) Output= (Effective Capacity)(Efficiency)

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    UtilizationUtilization

    Measure of planned or actual capacity

    usage of a facility, work center, or

    machine

    UtilizationUtilizationActual Output

    Design Capacity

    Planned hours to be used

    Total hours available

    =

    =

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    EfficiencyEfficiency

    Measure of how well a facility or

    machine is performing when used

    EfficiencyEfficiencyActual output

    Effective Capacity

    Actual output in unitsStandard output in units

    Average actual time

    Standard time

    =

    =

    =

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    Breakeven AnalysisBreakeven Analysis

    Technique for evaluating process &

    equipment alternatives

    Objective: Find the point (currency or units)at which total cost equals total revenue

    Assumptions

    Revenue & costs are related linearly to volume All information is known with certainty

    No time value of money

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    Breakeven AnalysisBreakeven Analysis

    Fixed costsFixed costs: costs that continue even if no

    units are produced: depreciation, taxes,

    debt, mortgage payments Variable costsVariable costs: costs that vary with the

    volume of units produced: labor, materials,

    portion of utilities

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    Breakeven ChartBreakeven Chart

    Fixed cost

    Variable cost

    Total cost line

    Total revenue line

    ProfitBreakeven pointTotal cost = Total revenue

    Volume (units/period)

    C

    ostinC

    urrency

    Loss

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    Breakeven VolumeBreakeven Volume

    BESBESFixed Cost

    1 (Variable Cost/Selling Price)=

    BEVBEVFixed Cost

    Selling Price Variable Cost=

    Breakeven SalesBreakeven Sales

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    Net Present ValueNet Present Value

    This measure shows the profit of an investment

    after funding costs have been deducted. It uses

    the principle of discounting cash flows.

    For example, if someone is offered $100 now or

    $100 in one years time, they will choose to

    receive $100 today, because if interest rates are

    10% and the $100 is invested, in one year it willhave grown to $110. This is the concept of the

    time value of money.

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    Net Present Value (NPV)Net Present Value (NPV)

    F= future value

    P = present valuei = interest rate

    N = number of years

    N

    i

    F

    P)1(

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    Net Present Value (NPV)Net Present Value (NPV)

    0.5830.6230.6650.7117

    0.5400.5820.6270.6778

    0.5000.5440.5920.6459

    0.7350.7630.7920.8234

    0.6810.7130.7470.7845

    0.6300.6660.7050.7466

    0.7940.8160.8400.86430.8570.8730.8900.9072

    0.8570.9350.9430.9521

    8%7%6%5%Year

    N

    i

    FP

    )1(

    Present value of $1.00

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    Limitations of Net Present ValueLimitations of Net Present Value

    Investments with the same present value mayhave significantly different project lives anddifferent salvage values

    Investments with the same net present valuesmay have different cash flows

    We assume that we know future interest rates -which we do not

    We assume that payments are always made atthe end of the period - which is not always thecase