(sessions 1–6) - inseadfaculty.insead.edu/vanzandt/pm/session13/slides-13-p.pdf · 2012. 10....
TRANSCRIPT
Where are we?
(Sessions 1–6)
Firms are price-takers(Perfect competition)
Firms have market power(Imperfect competition)
(Sessions 7–11)
Individualdecisions
(Sessions 12–15)
Equilibrium
Say: We did uniform pricing and price discrimination atindividual level, but we only bring uniform pricing toequilibrium.
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 1
This distinction now matters …
Qi
Pi
di (Pi )
Sources of market power:
1. Differentiated products: the firm’s branded product is differentiatedfrom other products.
2. Homogeneous goods: Though products are not differentiated, the firmis a big player: increased output pushes down the market price.
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 2
We begin with …
Price competition with differentiated products
Recall the pricing game from Session 12:
Firm BLow Med High
Low19
20
18
25
10
31
Firm A Med24
23
28
31
21
38
High30
15
40
27
34
42
We extend this to a full range of prices.
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 3
Let’s use the same story
Recently appointed Recently appointed
CEO of Firm A CEO of Firm B
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 4
Firm A’s pricing problem
6
12
18
24
30
36
−6
20 40 60 80 100
€
QA
MRA
dA
MCA
Q∗A
P∗A
This is
“uniform pricing with market power”
(Sessions 8 and 9).
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 5
Nash equilibrium
6
12
18
24
30
36
−6
20 40 60 80 100
€
QA
MRA
dA
MCA
Q∗A
P∗A
6
12
18
24
30
36
−6
20 40 60 80 100
€
QB
MRB
dB
MCB
Q∗B
P∗B
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 6
Let’s use the numbers from Airbus-Boeing example
Demand functions:
QA = 60 − 3PA + 2PB
QB = 60 − 3PB + 2PA
Both firms have constant MC = 12 .
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 7
Some best responses … From the demandelasticity exercise
Firm A’s demand curve when PB = 24 and when PB = 30 :
PA
QA
10
20
30
40
30 60 90 120
PB = 30 ⇒ QA = 120 − 3PA
PB = 24 ⇒ QA = 108 − 3PA
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 8
In general: from Topic 9 on shifting demand …
Higher price by Firm B ⇒ Firm A’s demand curve shifts …
Volume? Higher
Elasticity? Lower
⇒ Firm A’s profit-maximizing price goes up
Thus, the pricing decisions are strategic complements
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 9
So remember, with price competition …
When the goods are substitutes,
the pricing decisions are strategic complements.
(Holds for linear demand, and usually in the real world.)
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 10
Firm A’s “residual” demand and best replyQA = 60 − 3PA + 2PB
Constant MC = 12
When Firm B charges PB , Firm A’s demand curve is:
QA = (60 + 2PB ) − 3PA
⇒ Firm A’s choke price is:
20 + 23 PB
⇒ Firm A’s optimal price is:
20+ 23 PB+12
2 = 16 + 13 PB
Firm A’s reaction curve:
PA = 16 + 13 PB
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 11
Nash equilibrium
Prices (P∗A , P∗
B ) such that:
In words … As an equation …
P∗A is a best response by firm A to P∗
B PA = 16 + 13 PB
P∗B is a best response by firm B to P∗
A PB = 16 + 13 PA
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 12
Illustrating Nash equilibrium graphically
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55
PB
PA
PA = 16 + 13 PB
PB = 16 + 13 PA
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 13
Wrap up:
Price competition with differentiated products
1. Each firm’s decision is same as“pricing with market power”: Topics 8&9.
2. Goods are substitutes ⇒ prices are strategic complements.(Always with linear demand; almost always in real life.)
3. Interaction captured by Nash equilibrium.Each firm’s price maximizes its own profit given price of the other firm.
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 14
Next we do …
Quantity competition with homogeneous products
Also called Cournot competition
1. Firms’ goods are perfect substitutes.
2. So firm doesn’t set price; it chooses how much to sell.
3. Market determines market-clearing price.
4. But each firm’s output decision affects this price.
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 15
Corning and glass substrate
Corning has over 50% market share of glass substrate.
There are different grades (“5G, 6G, …”), but for a particular grade theproducts of different suppliers are viewed as close substitutes.
News item from December 2005 (for example):
The aggressive capacity added by both Corning of the U.S., theworld’s No. 1 substrate supplier, and AGC, the No. 2, will lead toprice drops for glass substrates and will especially benefit TV panelmakers …
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 16
Indonesian Cement Market
Three major players:
• 45%: Semen Gresik [State-owned]
• 37%: Indocement [Owned by HeidelbergCement since 2001]
• 17%: Holcim Indonesia [Owned by Holcim (Swiss) since 2006]
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 17
The protagonists
Indocement Semen Gresik
CEO of Indocement CEO of Semen Gresik
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 18
Nash equilibrium
6
12
18
24
30
36
−6
20 40 60 80 100
€
Q1
MR1
d1
MC1
Q∗1
P∗1
6
12
18
24
30
36
−6
20 40 60 80 100
€
Q2
MR2
d2
MC2
Q∗2
P∗2
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 19
Market demand curve vs. Indocement’s demand curve
MARKET DEMAND
Q = 1500 − 50P
5
10
15
20
25
30
500 1000 1500
P
Q
INDOCEMENT’S DEMAND
When Qother = 500
5
10
15
20
25
30
500 1000 1500
P
Qi
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 20
Indocement’s quantity decision (Constant MC = 10)
When Qother = 200
5
10
15
20
25
30
500 1000 1500
P
Qi
When Qother = 500
5
10
15
20
25
30
500 1000 1500
P
Qi
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 21
Nash equilibrium
200
400
600
800
1000
200 400 600 800 1000
Q2
Q1
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 22
Wrap up:
Quantity competition with homogeneous goods
1. Each firm’s output decision is same as“pricing with market power”: Topics 8&9.
2. Quantities are strategies substitutes.(Always with linear demand; almost always in real life.)
3. Use this model (rather than price competition)
• for homogeneous products like oil, lycine, glass substrate,
• to analyze investments in capacity.
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 23
Finally …
Imperfect competition with exit/entry
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 24
Falafel vendors on the beach of Beirut
Beach
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 25
Numerical example: Cournot See website for details, but youdon’t have to be able to do this.
• Market demand curve:
Q = 1500 − 50P
• Constant MC = 10 .
Then I calculate the Nash equilibrium for any number N of firms.
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 26
Transition from monopoly to perfect competition
Number
of firms
Total
OutputPrice
Output
per firm
Profit per
firm
Q = 1500 - 50P || P = 30 - Q/50
1 500 20.00 500 5,000
2 667 16.67 333 2,222
3 750 15.00 250 1,250
4 800 14.00 200 800
5 833 13.33 167 556
6 857 12.86 143 408
7 875 12.50 125 313
8 889 12.22 111 247
9 900 12.00 100 200
10 909 11.82 91 165
11 917 11.67 83 139
12 923 11.54 77 118
13 929 11.43 71 102
14 933 11.33 67 89
15 938 11.25 63 78
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 27
So what happens if fixed costs are lower??
Lower fixed costs ⇒
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 28
Recall special case of “free entry”
All firms are identical, including unlimited pool of potential entrants.
We focus on this case for simplicity.
In reality, small or large differences between firms (competitivedis/advantage) determine who is in, and who is out.
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 29
How fixed cost affects entry and price
Number
of firms
Total
OutputPrice
Output
per firm
Profit per
firm
Q = 1500 - 50P || P = 30 - Q/50
1 500 20.00 500 5,000
2 667 16.67 333 2,222
3 750 15.00 250 1,250
4 800 14.00 200 800
5 833 13.33 167 556
6 857 12.86 143 408
7 875 12.50 125 313
8 889 12.22 111 247
9 900 12.00 100 200
10 909 11.82 91 165
11 917 11.67 83 139
12 923 11.54 77 118
13 929 11.43 71 102
14 933 11.33 67 89
15 938 11.25 63 78
FC 350 1000
N∗ 6 3
P∗ 12.86 15.00
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 30
Let’s try again, this time using insights from IC+FE
Q: Why do pharmaceutical companies charge so much for AIDS medicine?
A: Because they have to recover R&D expenses.
Higher R&D expenses do lead to higher prices, but …Not because any firm takes them into account when settingprices.Instead, because the higher R&D expenses limit entry.The resulting lack of competition is what leads to higher prices.
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 31
Wrap up:
Imperfect competition with free entry
1. Entry has two effects on profit:
• smaller market shares
• greater competitive pressure on prices
2. Higher FC ⇒ less entry ⇒ less intense competition ⇒ higher prices
(Even though no firm bases pricing on its fixed cost.)
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 32
What have we done today?
Firms are price-takers(Perfect competition)
Individualdecisions
Equilibrium
Firms have market power(Imperfect competition)
Individualdecisions
Equilibrium
Price competition Quantity competition(Different firms’ goods are
substitutes or complements
) (Different firms’ goods are
perfect substitutes
)
Fixed set of firms
Entry and exit
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 33
What have we done today?
Price competition Quantity competition(Different firms’ goods are
substitutes or complements
) (Different firms’ goods are
perfect substitutes
)
Fixed set of firms Calculations Main ideas
Entry and exit Heuristic picture Interpret tables
P1 Sep–Oct 2012 • Timothy Van Zandt • Prices & Markets
Session 13 • Imperfect competition Slide 34