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8 2 4 TZ.SH 74 :3LIC OF TANZANIA STRY OP WATER DEVELOPMENT AND POWER K NGDOVl C.">' ; •'HE f\;cyr>-i^RL MINISTRY '• JF- F-QF^EIGN AF^AJREJ SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY WATER MASTER - PL AN STUDY FOR SHINYANGA REGION TECHNICAL ANNEX L. SOCIOLOGY F'-INAL REPORT GC^DBER ig^-i NEDEC;o

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Page 1: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure

8 2 4

TZ.SH 74

:3LIC OF TANZANIA

STRY OP

WATER DEVELOPMENT AND POWER

K N G D O V l C.">'; • 'HE f\;cyr>-i^RL

M I N I S T R Y '• JF-

F-QF^EIGN AF^AJREJ

SHINYANGA WATER

SUPPLY SURVEY

WATER MASTER - PL AN STUDY FOR SHINYANGA REGION

TECHNICAL ANNEX L.

SOCIOLOGY

F'-INAL REPORT

GC^DBER ig^-i

NEDEC;o

Page 2: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure

13 H V

DHV Raadgevend Ingenieursbureau BV

Postbus 85 / 3800 AB AmersfoPostadres voor: |Laan 1914 nr 35, Amersfoort jTelefoon(033)689111 |Olmenlaan 2, Leusden-C iTelefoon (033) 940064Telex 79348Telegramadres dehave

International Reference Centrefor Community Water Supplyand SanitationP.O. Box 55002280 HM RIJSWIJK

t.a.v. : C. Dietvorst

betreft : Shinyanga Water Supply Survey

datum : 21 September 1983

dossiernr.: 3.2 140.53.05

uwref. : 31.408/IS/Die

onze ref. :

bijlage(n) : Technical annex D van final report van bovengenoemd project

Dezebijlage(n)wordt(worden)u toegezonden door: Cobi van 01st

0 overeenkomstig uw verzoekD overeenkomstig onze toezegging• ter kennisneming• met vriendelijke dank voor de inzage• met verzoek ons uw oordeel kenbaar te willen makenD met verzoek om terugzending, na inzageD

Page 3: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure

8 2 4

TZ.SH 74\ 3LIC OF TANZANIA

\ STRY OF

\lATER DEVELOPMENT AND POWER

H

KINGDOM OF THE NETHERLANDS

MINISTRY OF

FOREIGN AFFAIRS

ii- pJ»bAN STUDY ! SHINYANGA REGION

TECHNICAL ANNEX D

SOCIOLOGY

FINAL REPORT

OCTOBER

NEDECO - THE HAGUE

COORDINATION OHV CONSULTING ENGINEERS I1.!.] t S A M E R S ^ O C H T H E N

ILACO INTERNATIONAL L A N D DEVELOPMENT CONSULTANTS P.O.313 ARNHEiM "'•*("••.

Page 4: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure

DHV

DHV Raadgevend Ingenieursbureau BV

Postbus 85 / 3800 AB AmersfoPostadres voor: ILaan 1914 nr 35, AmersfoortTelefoon (033) 689111Olmenlaan 2, Leusden-CTelefoon (033) 940064Telex 79348Telegramadres dehave

International Reference Centrefor Community Water Supplyand SanitationP.O. Box 55002280 HM RIJSWIJK

t.a.v. : C. Dietvorst

betreft : Shinyanga Water Supply Survey

datum : 21 September 1983

dossiernr: 3.2140.53.05

uwref. : 3 1.408/IS/Die

onze ref. :

bljlage(n) : Technical annex D van final report van bovengenoemd project

Deze bijlage(n) wordt (worden) u toegezonden door: Cobi van 01st

Q overeenkomstig uw verzoek• overeenkomstig onze toezeggingD terkennisneming• met vriendelijke dank voor de inzage• met verzoek ons uw oordeel kenbaar te willen maken• met verzoek om terugzending, na inzageD

I!

Page 5: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure

UNITED REPUBLIC OF TANZANIA KINGDOM OF THE NETHERLANDS

MINISTRY OF MINISTRY OF

WATER DEVELOPMENT AND POWER FOREIGN AFFAIRS

SHINYANGA WATER

SUPPLY SURVEY

WATER MASTER - PL AN STUDY FOR SHINYANGA REGION

TECHNICAL ANNEX D

SOCIOLOGYI LIBRARY, I N T ^ N A J ' - ^ A L RiIFE,7E,\!CEjCZMTr:- .- f,< -V1.''.-:-.. ,, Y VVATEiv SUPPLYj A N D o , , . . . ; . - )

i p - ° - t v "' y:- AD Tr.e Hagua.' Tel. (0/0i u. .- :, axt. 141/142

FINAL REPORT

OCTOBER 19-7-4

NEDECO - THE HAGUE

COORDINATION DHV CONSULTING ENGINEERS P.O. B5 AMERSFOORT THE NETHERLANDS

ILACO INTERNATIONAL LAND DEVELOPMENT CONSULTANTS P.O.33 ARNHEM THE NETHERLANDS

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Chapter

Chapter

Chapter

Chapter

Chapter

I

II

II. 1II.2II.3II.4

III

III.lIII.2III.3III. 4III.5

IV

IV. 1IV. 2IV.2.1

IV.2.2IV.2.3IV.2.4

IV.2.5

IV.2.6IV.2. 7IV. 3IV. 4IV.4.1IV.4.2IV.4.3IV. 5IV. 6

V

V.IV.2V.3V.3.1

INTRODUCTION

SUMMARY

DemographyWater consumption |Priority ranking of projectsReqional development and the planningof water supplies

APPROACH OF THE STUDY

Available data and general approachField--S'feu<d.yEvaluation of dataPersonnel and equipmentReferences

DESCRIPTION OF THE REGION

General descriptionSocio-economic areasArea 1, central Shinyanga, west Maswa andsouth-west Bariadi DistrictsArea 2, south-east Kahama DistrictArea 3, north Bariadi DistrictArea 4, south-east Shinyanga and eastMaswa DistrictsArea 5, north-west Shinyanga and eastKahama DistrictsArea 6, north Kahama DistrictArea 7, south-west Kahama DistrictDemographySocial structure of the ReqionAdministrative and political organizationEthnic differentiationSettlement patternsInfrastructure and facilitiesPlanning and socio-economic change

WATER PROVISION IN THE REGION

Traditional sourcesModern sourcesWater consumptionIntroduction

• 7

9

9

no1111

15

15

171920

23

2324

3036

3941

45

454646

V.3.2

V.3.3

Domestic water consumption of the ruralhousehold groupConsumption in integrated rural watersupplies

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V.3.4V.3.5V.4V.5V.6

Chapter VI

VI. 1VI. 2

VI. 2.1VI.2.2VI. 3

Chapter VII

VII. 1VII.2

VII.3VII.4VII. 5

VII.5.1VII.5.2

VII.5.3

VII.6VII.6.1VII.6.2VII.6.3

Urban water suppliesDesign criteriaWater perceptionWater qualityWater supply and social organizations

WATER DEVELOPMENT PRIORITY RANKING

IntroductionPreliminary water development priorityranking for individual villagesThe scoring systemResultsPreliminary water development priorityranking for wards

WATER SUPPLY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT

IntroductionConsiderations for a regional developmentplanDemographical projectionsSocio-economic developmentMigration and its influence on thepopulation distributionGeneralAssumed population distribution for thewater master-planImplications of the earlier development ofagronomic zone 6Planning in the new areasPlanning procedureSettlement patternsWater supply to development areas

596162

65

6566

78

85

85

86899396

104

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LIST OF APPENDICES

1 Questionnaire for ward headquarters 1152 General questionnaire for all villages 1173 Questionnaire for Ujamaa villages 1194 Village questionnaire 1215 Water consumption questionnaire 12 9

(to be used for the interview of household)6 Water consumption questionnaire 135

(to be used for interviews at the source)7 Results of village questionnaire 1418 Ward codes 16 79 Number and population of concentrated settlements 1972 17110 Census Shinyanga town 17311 Population 1967 according to type of settlement and 175

economic activity12 Preliminary water development priority ranking 17713 Preliminary priority ranking for wards 18714 Water meter readings of Usia scheme 189

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:\ :::::: :^::: :\::..• • -^ IF V r •

SERENGEfliNATIONAL PARKV

? I C T \ \ : \ : : : : \c-~1 >BAR I A D I ; DJ ST

^ ^ S } si / ~*«^cu '

; SANG* _ ( ."'•' MWALUQESHA /, J,'

°!c */

X\ \s SITUATION OF SHINYANGA REGION IN TANZANIASCALE 1:20.000,000

SHINYANGA REGION0 20km

contours,elevation in metres

^ approximate contours, elevation in feet

gazetted areas

SEE MAP 3.14.04.01-04 FOR COMPLETE LEGEND

- 3*00'

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Chapter I INTRODUCTION

In August 1971, following an administrative arrangementconcluded between the Governments of Tanzania and the Nether-lands, the Directorate of International Technical Assistance ofthe Netherlands charged the Netherlands Engineering Consultants"Nedeco" with the execution of a water supply survey in theShinyanga Region.The Tanzanian Government has appointed the Ministry of WaterDevelopment and Power as executive authority for the implementa-tion of the project.

The water supply survey started on 15 August, 1971 and theactual fieldwork was terminated in September 1973.Progress Reports on the activities carried out were prepared inNovember 1971, August 1972 and October 1973. In addition, anInterim Report was submitted in December 1972, containing afirst review of available and collected data, their interpreta-tion, and the preliminary approach to a regional water master-plan.Discussions concerning the contents of the Interim Report withthe authorities concerned, their reactions and recommendations(which Nedeco has found very useful) and of course the furthercollection and elaboration of data and information, have led tothe regional water master-plan as presented in this finalreport.

The final report consists of two volumes:Volume I : Main report and drawingsVolume II : Technical Annex A - Hydrology

Technical Annex B - Hydrological dataTechnical Annex C - HydrogeologyTechnical Annex D - SociologyTechnical Annex E - AgricultureTechnical Annex F - Water qualityTechnical Annex G - Civil engineeringTechnical Annex H - Economy and general aspects

The Terms of Reference stipulate that the tasks of the surveyshould include the collection and examination of all existingdemographic, agronomic, livestock and socio-economic featuresof the Region. Where necessary the existing records and datashould be expanded so that a comprehensive evaluation can bemade of the water resources.

The objectives of this survey and the studies involved were toprovide the Government of Tanzania with firm recommendations(master-plan) for the immediate and longterm development of thesurface and groundwater resources of the Shinyanga Region withparticular reference to the supply of water to the rural areasfor human and livestock use.The Tanzanian Government has decided that the implementation ofwater supply projects in rural areas should be finished by 1991

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8

which year has been taken as the termination of the master-planperiod. For Shinyanga Region this means that by that time about2 million people have to be provided with an improved watersupply. At present improved supply schemes are estimated toserve only some 60,000 people in the Region.

The role of the sociological studies was especially todetermine the necessary demographic data and projections overthe plan period, to study water consumption and generalattitudes towards water and to propose a basis for a priorityranking of projects to be implemented.

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Chapter II SUMMARY

II.1. Demography

The population Census of 1967 (ref. 21) has been used as abasis. Additional information has been gathered by:

interviews held at Ward headquarters covering all villagesin the Region;more detailed interviews in 416 villages, approximately 25per cent of the regional total.

The definition "concentrated settlements" in this reportapplies to villages with a partly or mainly concentratedsettlement pattern and a probable population of 400 people ormore in 1972. "Scattered settlements" are all other villages.The survey has covered all concentrated settlements existing in1972 in detailed interviews.

In 1967, 3 per cent of the Region's population of 899,500 livedin towns, 20 per cent in concentrated settlements and 77 percent scattered.People dependent for their livelihood on the agriculturalsector constituted an estimated 95.6 per cent of the totalpopulation. This group is referred to as "farmers".

Agriculture will remain predominant in the regional economy.Only a slight decrease in the proportional size of this groupis anticipated during the implementation of the master-plan upto 1991. Annual growth of the category "farmers" is estimatedat 2.7 per cent versus an overall population growth of 3.0 percent for the Region. On this basis, "farmers" would constitute89 per cent of the total population of 1.83 million by 1991.

It is assumed that concentrated settlements existing in 1972grow by 3 - 5 per cent per year, depending on the populationsize.For the District capitals (Bariadi, Nyalikungu and Kahama) therate is taken to be 5 per cent, and for Shinyanga-town 8 - 9per cent. In view of the decreasing importance of the MwaduiDiamond mine its population is assumed to remain constant overthe plan period.

An active programme to stimulate migration and villagization(see section II.4) may be assumed to come into effect by 1976.The new concentrated settlements to be built under thisprogramme would then help to reduce the proportion of thescattered population to 55 - 60 per cent of the total in 1991.Less than 5 per cent would then live in towns in 1991, 21 percent in concentrated settlements existing in 1972, and 19 percent in new concentrated settlements established between 1976 -1991.

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10

As little is known about population and cattle movements intoor out of the Region, and data similar to that elaborated on bythe survey could not readily be found in the adjacent areas,Nedeco was necessarily forced to consider Shinyanga Region as asingle entity.

II.2. Water consumption

Most people in the Region prefer to use a water source within500 - 800 m of their house. It is clearly felt as a hardship ifthe source is further than 15 minutes walking-distance.Economic activity (farmer or non-farmer), household size anddistance proved to be the factors influencing the waterconsumption at public taps. Education, the type of supply, andstorage facilities proved to have an insignificant influence.Although water is drawn throughout the day two peak periodshave been noticed in the demand of the rural household group,one in the early morning from 7 - 9 a.m., the other one late inthe afternoon (5 - 6 p.m.).

In many villages it appears that there is no well-based opinionon the quality of the water consumed. Treatment by the consumeris seldom practised.Water drawn from a public tap in a piped supply scheme isgenerally regarded as completely safe.

It is recommended that the design of water supplies be based ona net human water consumption of 20 1/caput for drawers atpublic taps (referred to as domestic points) and on a graduallyincreasing consumption for consumers served by private houseconnections, from 100 I/day.caput at present to 150 1 in 1991.The design of water supplies to trading centres should includean additional demand equivalent to 20 per cent of the domesticconsumption of the centre's population.Unless specific data are available the water consumption ofhealth centres or dispensaries with a clinic may be taken at2 m3/day, schools at 5 I/day per student with a minimum of1.5 m3/day, bars and hotels and (other) unmetered privateconnections at 1 m3/day. Separate evaluations are necessary forhospitals or small industries, for which reference is made toTechnical Annex E (which also deals with the water provision tocattle) and Technical Annex G.

It is recommended to promote understanding of the importance ofadequate water supply, especially as far as quality isconcerned, among the rural population. The population'sinvolvement in the construction of improved sources, and inparticular in their maintenance, should be stimulated. In thelong run this might lead to institutionalization at villagelevel of social structures which could share responsibility forthe village water supply with the authorities concerned.

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11

11.3. Priority ranking of projects

The duration of the master-plan, the large number of suppliesto be constructed, and the limited available resources in terrasof manpower, technical facilities, funds etc. make it indispen-sable to develop a system by which the implementation sequenceof various possible schemes can be weighed. In this report asystem is proposed to judge the preliminary water developmentpriority of projects on the basis of a set of objective factorsrelating to "water need" and "development potential", thelatter comprising infrastructural and demographic significanceand agricultural development potential. The final priorityranking, which is derived from the preliminary rankingmentioned above by comparison with economic, financial,technical and organizational criteria, is set out in TechnicalAnnex H.

The information gathered on 416 villages interviewed in detailhas been used to draw up a preliminary water development priorityranking for individual projects. Bariadi District has thelargest proportion of high scoring villages; Kahama Districthas the smallest, due to a low water requirement at present andrather favourable opportunities to exploit shallow groundwater.One should, however, be very careful in extrapolating theresults of this ranking over areas as the villages were notchosen at random. An extrapolation should only be used forcomparing two individual schemes.

A simplified system has been made to weigh the priority ofwhole areas the 95 Wards of the Region being used as units. Inthis case, Kahama has the largest proportion of high scoringWards followed by Maswa, Shinyanga and Bariadi Districts beingapproximately equal.This system is recommended if the priority of the waterprovision to whole areas is in question.

11.4. Regional development and the planning of water

supplies

Optimum yield from the investment to be made in water supplywill only be achieved if the water master-plan is considerednot on its own, but as an integral part of a regional develop-ment plan in which the provision of water, together with othernecessary facilities and utilities, is used to stimulate socio-economic development.In the absence of a regional development plan Nedeco hasoutlined the possibilities as far as these are relevant towater master-planning, the drawing up to a complete plan beingclearly beyond the scope of the survey.

National policy is aimed at self-reliance in labour and givespriority to agricultural development. In addition, almost theentire population of the Region depends on agriculture and this

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12

situation is expected to change only slightly in the master-plan period. In this framework the major aim of a regionaldevelopment plan is the optimalization of the average incomederived from this sector by the rural household or a co-operative group of households. Technical Annex E deals withthis aspect. It is concluded that migration of part of therural population from areas already (too) densely populated tonew development areas should be stimulated.Annex E discusses several alternatives. In the present reportthe implications of the population distribution over themaster-plan period are considered for the two alternativeswhich appear most attractive. The conditions to be fulfilled tooptimalize the agricultural sector would have to include bothfurther modernization of agricultural methods and reduction ofthe livestock herds in order to free land for more profitablecrop production and to prevent to erosion resulting from(heavy) overgrazing which is already noticeable in severalparts of the Region.

The introduction of new methods, optimal use of extensionservices, communical grazing land etc. will be much easier if asettlement pattern with concentrated villages is realized. Theprovision to these settlements of water and other facilitiesrequired will be much facilitated by a concentrated settlementpattern. It is therefore assumed that the opening up of newdevelopment areas will be based on a settlement structurecharacterized by centres of various importance, ranging fromagricultural villages to local centres, areal centres anddistrict or divisional centres with corresponding levels ofdemographic and infrastructural significance.

The alternative migration models considered in this report bothassume that from 1976-1991 a total of 228,000 farmers willactually resettle in new concentrated villages in developmentareas. Inclusive of natural growth and a category of non-farmers these villages will be inhabited by 330,000 people in1991.The alternative models differ in the selection of areas whereemigration should be stimulated. A special problem in thisrespect is formed by the southern parts of the divisions ofNegezi, Kishapu and Meatu (agronomic zone 6, see Annex Efig. V.I for indication of zones), where livestock keeping isrecommended with food crop cultivation for own consumptiononly, whereas in other zones livestock keeping is onlyrecommended as a marginal activity. This calls for a decreaseof the population of zone 6 in relation to other areas.Therefore in the first alternative dealt with it is assumedthat priority will be given to restructuring of agriculture inand stimulation of emigration from the densely populateddivision outside zone 6, which itself is tackled in a laterphase after the end of the master-plan period (1991). In thesecond alternative, zone 6 is dealt with in the preliminaryphase of the implementation of a regional development plan,from 1976 onwards.

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13

Emigrants are supposed to come from the category of thescattered living population, from areas ranked in order ofdeclining population density. On the basis of these assumptionsthe population distribution is calculated over the plan periodat target years with intervals of 5 years differentiatedaccording to type of settlement as required for the planning ofwater supplies (see Technical Annex G).

The calculations, performed on the basis of enumeration areasof the 1967 Census, have been totalized and presented on adivisional basis in line with the accuracy of the data used andthe various underlying assumptions.

The resultant picture of the population distribution, which isfurther used in Technical Annex G to plan the water suppliesrequired, consists of:

Towns, locations known and population estimated over theplan period (87,000 in 1991).Concentrated settlements existing in 1972, a total of 199,of which the locations are known and the population hasbeen estimated over the plan period (375,000 in 1991).

- New concentrated settlements built in development areas.The location are not known in detail, only the generalwater characteristics of the area can be evaluated.By 1991 a total of 34 areal centres, 79 local centres and323 agricultural villages are assumed to accommodate330,000 people.

- Scattered population. This category has been differen-tiated on a divisional basis over the plan periodaccording to those living in:(i) low density areas where for reasons of economy the

application of a maximum distance of 1.5 km to asource cannot be maintained as design criterion;

(ii) medium density areas where the design criteria can beapplied without modification;

(iii)high density areas where the plannning of watersupplies must take into account that emigration fromthese areas should be stimulated either in themaster-plan period itself or shortly thereafter, sayup to the year 2000.

It should be stressed that the above results do not pretend tobe derived from detailing a regional development plan butrather serve the purpose of providing a reasonable basis forwater master-planning. Similarly the outlines of a regionaldevelopment plan given in this report should not be used forthe direct implementation.Other fields of regional development - which have received lessattention here because of their irrelevance for the watermaster plan - will need to be investigated to arrive at abalanced plan and detail surveys will be required to selectsuitable development areas.

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14

The stimulation of development in certain areas within thecontext of a regional development plan implies that in thewater master-plan priority should be given to the constructionof water supplies for the new concentrated settlements to beestablished in these areas, prior to actual settlement takingplace. The same holds of course for other facilities requiredsuch as medical centres, schools etc.

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15

Chapter III APPROACH OF THE STUDY

III.l Available data and general approach

A clear idea of the setting in which the fieldwork was to takeplace became available through two BRALUP publications "Agro-Economic Zones of Sukumaland" and "Preliminary Report of theSukumaland Interdisciplinary Research Project" (ref. 19 and20) .The available maps showed only the largest settlements. TheRegional and District Offices provided most of the recordeddata on medical, educational, agricultural, and livestockfacilities as well as information on Ujamaa villages andexisting water supplies. Nevertheless it turned out to benecessary to obtain almost all demographic material, informa-tion on settlement patterns, infrastructure, communications,and existing water situation during the fieldwork itself. Aregional coverage had to be achieved by interviewing astratified sample.The 1967 Population Census provided data on enumeration areasand their population, age composition, economic activity,household sizes etc.Accurate topographical maps with detailed information had tobe drawn up by the survey from available 1 : 50,000 mapscovering only part of the Region, supplemented by aerialphotomosaics and photos, older geological maps, and extensivefield surveys.

The exhaustive study by White, Bradley and White on rural watersupplies in East Africa provided information on design criteria(ref. 23). Water consumption, according to this source, is 10-20 I/day per head for people living near a standpipe and 4-20I/day per head for areas without a piped supply system.The authors recommend as design principles a daily requirementof 20-30 I/head, and a maximum distance to the source of notmore than one mile. A standpipe should not serve more than 200people and a ringwell not more than 500 people.

In 1972 Shinyanga Region comprised three districts (Kahama,Shinyanga and Maswa) which number later increased to four,Maswa District being split up to form in addition BariadiDistrict.Each District is made up of a varying number of divisions whichin turn consist of Wards totalling 95 for the Region as awhole.The district and regional capitals have separate status.Based on the results of a first orientation it was decided touse the Ward as the main unit of the Sociological Survey.Interviews at Ward and village level have been executed to gaininformation on the following aspects:

demographical situationsocio-economic resources

- water supply situation

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16

human water consumption and factors affecting consumptionwater quality and perception

III.2 Field-study

The actual fieldwork started in February 1972 and continueduntil May 1973.The field-study consisted of the following four parts:1. the gathering of data on a large variety of topics

including demography, socio-economic structure, agricul-ture, livestock, water-availability and topography,executed on an extensive scale;

2. two studies more limited in time, space and variety, whichdealt with water consumption, the factors which influencethe consumption, and the various ways in which water isperceived by the villagers;

3. the mapping of the village interviewed to obtain theabove information (1);

4. census of Shinyanga town.Most of the information was gathered by means of a series ofquestionnaires and observations (see appendices 1 to 6).

In the first part of the study a three-stage approach wasfollowed. After the District Authorities had told the Wardswhat the purpose of the survey was, an interviewer visited eachWard Executive Officer or Ward Branch Chairman and, as a rule,the Diwani, asking for permission to investigate a number ofvillages. The Ward Authorities were then asked to list thenumber and names of the villages in the area in question (seeapp.l). With the aid of separate questionnaires (app. 2 and 3)data was collected on the most important facilities of eachvillage, as well as some basic information on the situationregarding water. In addition, the Ward Officials wererequested to mention the villages in which the greatest water-need existed as well as the villages where demographic growthwas most noticeable. Villages fitting into these categories andshowing a potential for social and economic development, aswell as a selected number of Ujamaa localities, were chosen forinterviewing.

In a second stage these villages were visited by the inter-viewer together with the Ward Representative, and a villagespokesman, usually a hundred-cell-leader.The questions that proved to be cumbersome to answer, forinstance those referring to population numbers, migration anduse of agricultural inputs, were read out and the intervieweewas asked to prepare the answers. In a third stage the finalinterview was held and in the majority of villages a watersample was taken from the most important source. These sampleswere analysed in Nedeco's laboratory in Shinyanga. The lengthyprocedure followed certainly had serious drawbacks in terms oftransportation required and man hours spent. On the other hand,the positive effect from an introduction by and to local

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leadership, the general absence of much basic information andthe need to cover a large number of villages in a relativelyshort time rendered this approach unavoidable.In total 416 villages were interviewed out of an estimatedtotal of some 1200.

The first water consumption study could be executed in a moredirect way because the interviews were held in villagespreviously covered. Fourteen villages were selected accordingto the following criteria:

different types of relevant water supplies, viz. taps,ringwells, water-holes and springs as well as one charcosupply;the presence or absence of a trading centre.

By means of 675 interviews information was gathered during aperiod of three weeks in August 1972 on average amounts ofwater used per head, lengths of journeys to fetch it, andvarious ways in which water as a commodity was perceived aswell as some of the variables that persumably led to variationsamong these.In the second water consumption study one of the largest watersupply schemes serving two major trading centres and a numberof smaller villages and several facilities (schools, healthcentre etc.) was investigated over the period from January toMay 1973. Water meters installed at 10 points in the scheme,local censuses, observations at the source and interviews of amore limited size provided further data on water consumptionand people's attitude towards water.

For the third part of the fieldwork, the mapping of each of thevillages, all localities in the study were revisited in aperiod of about one month by one of the sociologists whoregistered them on a map, and where necessary checked some ofthe information previously obtained.

The fourth part of the fieldwork, the Shinyanga Town Census was.executed during a period of three days from 13-15th June 1972.

III.3 Evaluation of data

Population distribution and growth were determined andestimated from demographic data, available from the 1967 censusand gathered by the survey. Population density maps of eachDistrict were drawn up (maps 3.14.04-06-01 to 03).For estimates of population growth the existing population isdistinguished in relation to the size of settlements, thisfactor being of importance for the determination of the futurewater demand. Moreover, the parts of the Region's populationengaged in agricultural and non-agricultural activities areapproximated.

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The preliminary analysis of the interviews taken at Wardheadquarters ("General questionnaire", app. 2 and "Ujamaaquestionnaire", app. 3) and at village level ("Villagequestionnaire", app. 4) was made in Shinyanga. Detailedprocessing was done in the Netherlands by computer.Results of the "General" and "Ujamaa" questionnaires have beenpresented cartographically, see the Ward Infrastructural Mapsno. 3.14.04-^06-04 to 06. Coded results of all 416 villagesinterviewed in detail are given in app. 7. A number of crossrelations have been investigated. If they yielded significantinformation in either positive or negative sense these resultsare mentioned in this report or in Technical Annex E, Agricul-ture in which all data relevant to crop production andlivestock keeping are presented.

A priority system has been formulated to determine a prelimi-nary ranking order for water supply projects based on factorspertaining to both existing water need and developmentpotential of the location or area concerned. By comparison witheconomic, financial, technical and organizational aspects thiswill be used to decide on the final water development priorityranking (see Technical Annex H).The data of the village questionnaire was used to draw up thepreliminary ranking order for individual supplies, being the416 villages interviewed. It should however be kept in mindthat this is only a sample. The results should not be regardedas representative for the entire Region.A simplified system is proposed for the ranking of whole areasfor which Wards have been chosen. In this case the generalquestionnaires yielded information to compose a representativepicture.

The data gathered in the water consumption surveys has beenused to propose design criteria for the planning of watersupplies, relating the human water consumption in a scheme tothe means of distribution of the water (public taps or privatehouse connections) and the type of settlement.

Finally, water supply is considered against the perspective ofregional development, which had not been formulated at the timeof the survey either as a plan or as more or less clear guidingprinciples; this was preferred to a mere extrapolation of theexisting situation from the results of the above sociologicalstudies.

The drawing up of a regional development plan is of coursebeyond the scope of this study. It seems however reasonable toassume that, in keeping with the national policy of selfreliance in labour and the priority towards agriculturaldevelopment, and in view of the fact that almost the entirepopulation of the Region is engaged in agriculture and animalhusbandry, such a regional plan would be aimed at the

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optimalization- of the average income derived from thesesectors, either per family or per group of families co-operating for instance in an Ujamaa village. Therefore Nedecohas studied the possible development of agriculture and animalhusbandry over the period of the master-plan in outline (seeTechnical Annex E, "Agriculture"). The conditions which willhave to be fulfilled to achieve such development and theconsequences which this may have on the master-plan areconsidered.

The studies result in a picture of the ideal populationdistribution over the Region to be realized to reach the aim ofthe development plan.

A comparison with the present population pattern indicated theareas already densely populated with little developmentpotential, which in future should hold a smaller proportion ofthe Region's rural population.It shows also the more promising parts of the Region, atpresent less densely populated and with good developmentpossibilities, to which migration of part of the ruralpopulation will become necessary. Due to the limited scope ofthe studies the smallest areas considered are divisions.The stimulation of development in certain areas within thecontext of a regional development plan implies for the watermaster-plan that priority should be given to the constructionof water supplies in these areas. In the system described aboveto determine the preliminary water development priorityranking, more emphasis should then be put on the factordevelopment potential, taking both the available and theplanned facilities as indicators.The population of the Region, its size and distribution (asderived on the assumption that the above changes occur),further differentiated according to type of settlement, isestimated at several target years over the course of the planperiod (up to 1991). These estimates are used as the basis forthe water master-plan in Technical Annex G, "Civil engineering".Only if the provision of water is an integrated part of adevelopment plan can it contribute to and stimulate overalldevelopment leading to an optimum use of the investments madein water supply out of the various resources for implementation.

As little is known about population and cattle movements intoor out of the Region and data similar to that elaborated on bythe survey could not readily be found in the adjacent areas,Nedeco was necessarily forced to consider Shinyanga Region asa universe.

III.4 Personnel and equipment

Since no counterpart personnel could be made available toNedeco's sociological staff, it was necessary to recruit andselect interviewers on the spot.

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After a two weeks1 period of theoretical instruction andanother of training in the field, five interviewers remainedattached to the survey for the duration of the fieldwork. Threeof them were Form 4 leavers; the fourth, with five years'experience as interviewer and teacher of interviewing techni-ques, had a Standard VIII educational background. All spokeKiswahili and the local languages Kisukuma and Kinyamwezi, inwhich the interviews were conducted.Mention must be made of the 20 pupils of Buluba SecondarySchool who in three afternoons and evenings participated in theNedeco census of Shinyanga Town and the adjoining urban areasin Kizumbi Ward in a door-to-door survey.

For the fieldwork three Landrovers were used throughout thesurvey. When camping was inpracticable the team was very kindlygiven accomodation by local government officials and Ujama'avillages.Detailed processing of the data of the sociological survey wasdone in the Netherlands, using a IBM computer.

III.5 References

1. The working of Tanzania's Regional Development Fund: Itsimplications for policy-making, planning and localadministration for development. Paul Collins. Institute ofDevelopment Studies at the University of Sussex, U.K.Comparative Administration in East Africa Conference,Arusha, Tanzania, 25-28 September 1971.

2. Tanzania Second Five-Year 1 July 1969-1974.

3. Attempts at measuring cattle water consumption at MkataMorogoro. Em. K. Kwelukilwa and Symon K.P. Bandio. October1971. Bureau of Resource Assessment and Land Use Planning,University of Dar es Salaam.

4. The economics of rural water supply in Tanzania. DennisWarner, Economic Research Bureau University of Dar esSalaam. E.R.B. Paper 70.19.

5. North East Nzega Planning Project, Final report. Bureauof Resource Assessment and Land Use Planning. Universityof Dar es Salaam. Research Report 6/10 November 1970.

6. The extension of the Kisitwi Rubeho Pipeline: a planningstudy. S. Kajula, S. Buberwa, P.N. Mdemu, C.F. Claeson andL. Berry. December 1970.Research report no. 15 (with asking-list)

7. A preliminary assessment of the impact of rural watersupply upon households and villages. Dennis Warner.Ec. Research Bureau, University College Dar es Salaam.E.R.B. paper 70.12. April 1970.

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8. Annual and forward plans 1971-1972, 1972-1973. ShinyangaRegion. By James W. Tomecke. Regional Economic Secretary,Shinyanga Region.

9. Anthropological Quarterly, vol. 35. Problems of social andeconomic in Sukumaland.Tanganyika, Gottfried 0. Martha B. Lang, April 1962.

10. Norman Nees Miller: Village-leadership and modernizationin Tanzania; rural politics among the Nyamwezi people.1967. Yerox Cie, Ann Arbor, Michigan, U.S.A.

11. Water development Tanzania. A critical review ofresearch.Research paper no. 12. Bureau of Resource Assessment andLand Use Planning. University of Dar es Salaam.

12. Variation in income among farming areas in Sukumaland andrelated policy implications. Dr. Arne Larsen. Inter-disciplinary rural research project. University CollegeDar es Salaam. East African Agriculture Economics SocietyConference, April 1970.

13. Choice of sampling population in rural Sukumaland: ''Cooperative membership lists versus ten-cell units.Dr. Arne Larsen. Interdisciplinary Rural Research Project,University College, Dar es Salaam. East African Agricul-tural Economics Society Conference, April 1970.

14. Evaluation of a method of field survey: Survey by randomsample and line-transect methods in North Pare, Tanzania.I.D. Thomas, Department of Geography, University College,Dar es Salaam, East African Agricultural Economic SocietyConference, Dar es Salaam 1970.

15. Dennis Warner: Formulating guidelines for rural waterinvestment: the case of Tanzania.In: East African Journal of Rural Development. Vol. 3, no.1. 1970.

16. Socialism and rural development. Jul. K. Nyerere.

17. A preliminary assessment of the impact of rural watersupply upon households and villages. Dennis Warner,Economic Research Bureau, University College Dar esSalaam. East African Agricultural Economics SocietyConference. Dar es Salaam, 1970.

18. Movement to towns in Tanzania tables and comments.Research notes no. 11. April 1971. Bureau of ResourceAssessment and Land Use Planning. University of Dar esSalaam.Claes-Fredrik Claeson and Bertil Egero.

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19. Preliminary report of the Sukumaland interdisciplinaryresearch project. June 1971. Bureau of Resource Assessmentand Land Use Planning. Research report no. 40.Ton Hankins, Mr. Arne Larsen, J.R. Finucane and R.H.Hills.

20. Agro-economic zones of Sukumaland. Research report no. 16.Bureau of Resource Assessment and Land Use Planning.University of Dar es Salaam, November 1970.

21. Population census 1967.

22. Impact studies of rural water supply, J.D. Heynen andD. Conyers, Bralup 1971.

23. Drawers of water, domestic water use in East Africa, G.F.White, D.J. Bradley and A.W. White University of Chicagopress, 1972.

24. Impact and economics of community water supply.Agr. Dev. studies report No. 6, 1973.I.D. Carruthers.

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Chapter IV DESCRIPTION OF THE REGION

IV.1 General description

The Shinyanga Region is situated in north-west Tanzania,between 2 and 5 southern latitude and 31 - 35 easternlongitude. It resembles a giant butterfly on its way to LakeVictoria. With a wingspan of some 450 kilometres and a lengthof 60 - 200 kilometres it covers roughly five millionhectares.The western and southern boundaries mainly follow rivers andlakes. The eastern boundary runs through the Serengeti NationalPark. In the north the distance between the regional boundaryand the shore line of Lake Victoria varies from 20 - 100 kilo-metres .The Region is divided into four Districts, Kahama, Shinyanga,Maswa and Bariadi with district capitals of the same names.Actually, the present Bariadi District formed part of MaswaDistrict until 1973. The Serengeti National Park, comprisinggame and forest reserves, covers about 35 per cent of theRegion's total area of some 50,100 km2 (see table IV.1, Tech-nical Annex E for detailed figures).The total population of Shinyanga Region in 1972 was estimatedat about 1 million people.

Taking into account the characteristics of rainfall andtemperature, the Region has a semi-arid tropical climate. Thedistinction between seasons is based only on differences inrainfall, other climatological parameters being fairly constantthroughout the year. The wet season is usually from November tothe beginning of May. Average yearly rainfall is about 700 mm.

The monthly average of the maximum daily temperature is fairlyconstant throughout the year. Its value ranges from 29 C(March-June) to 32 C (October). The minimum daily temperaturevaries from 15 C in June-July to 19 C in the last threemonths of the year.

The elevations in the Region are between 1500 metres above sealevel near the border of the Serengeti Park in eastern MaswaDistrict and 1100 metres where the Sibiti, Isanga and Moyowasirivers leave the Region.

With reference to the infrastructure of the area it can be saidthat the Region lacks bitumenized roads, with the exception ofa few in Shinyanga town and in the Mwadui mines, although anumber of all-weather roads exist connecting the main centreswith Mwanza, Tabora and Dar es Salaam. Projects to bitumenizethe Mwanza-Shinyanga road and/or to incorporate part ofit in a new road from Mwanza to Arusha are still beingconsidered. The realization of the latter project willcertainly stimulate the development of the Region.The Region is served by the Mwanza-Tabora railway, which has

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nine stations in the four Districts. Airstrips are located nearthe district capitals of Kahama, Maswa and Shinyanga and thereis one larger airfield serving the Mwadui mines. Apart fromdiamond mining at Mwadui and cotton ginning the Region'seconomic activities consist of agriculture, with cotton as thepredominant cash-crop, trading and the administrative services.The latter are mainly concentrated in the regional and districtcapitals; medical and educational facilities are dispersed overthe Region and as a result of their frequent mission origin areoften as isolated as the homes of most of the population.There are three government and one voluntary agency hospitalsin the Region with a total of some 470 beds, about 0.5 beds per1,000 inhabitants, one of the lowest ratios in the country.When the nine rural health centres supervising a total of 106dispensaries are taken into account, the ratio appears morefavourable. However, lack of personnel with the necessaryeducational attainment, poor hygienic conditions and inadequatewater provisions make an ungrading of the services providedurgently necessary.Shinyanga Region has the lowest school enrolment ration in thecountry. According to the 1967 Population Census about 31 percent of the children in the standard I age-group then attendedschool here as compared to the national average of 45 per cent.One is inclined to attribute this state of affairs to therelative isolation from missionary and central governmentactivities of much of Sukumaland until the end of the secondworld war. On the other hand is has been and still is noticeablethat the Sukuma are not very anxious to get formal educationfor their children, whose labour is needed on the family farms.There are 175 government primary schools in the Region of which115 are lower, 39 extended primary and 21 upper primary. Inaddition there are three secondary schools, one of which isprivate, while a Teacher Training College is to be opened atOld Shinyanga in the near future. The Mwadui mines operate aprivate agricultural training school.

IV.2. Socio-economic areas

Although there are no strongly contrasting variations withinthe Region and boundaries between areas are not clearlydefined, it is possible to distinguish areas that differ fromeach other in social and economic content. As is generally thecase with environments where the subsistence sector is ofimportance, these differences are to a large extent stilldetermined by natural factors such as topography, climate,availability of productive land, and so on. It is likely thatthese variations will even out, shift locations or become moreaccentuated as a result of the Region's increased materialdevelopment, which tends to overcome natural limitations.

The picture presented in the following sub-sections (ref. 20)therefore merely claims to represent temporarily the actualstate of affairs. For more detailed descriptions on hydrology,

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geology or the state of agriculture and animal husbandry,reference is made to the relevant sections of the TechnicalAnnexes A, C and E.

IV.2.1. Area 1, central Shinyanga, west Maswa and south-

west Bariadi Districts

The area runs like a broad strip of land diagonally from thesouth-west to the north-east of Shinyanga, continuing thenorthwards through Maswa and Bariadi Districts up to the Dutwaward in Ntuzu division. It roughly coincides with the Itwangi,Samuye and Mjini divisions, the western part of the Negezi andKishapu divisions and the eastern part of the Mondo divisionand further includes Nunghu, Sengerema, Itilima and the south-western part of the Ntuzu divisions (see fig. IV.1).

It is a flat to undulating zone broken up by granite outcrops,and river valleys. Most of what must have been woodland hasbeen stripped while erosion has caused considerable damage inplaces.The population is mainly Sukuma who account for the earliestsettlements in the Region in west central Maswa/Bariadi, in thecentral part of Shinyanga District, in the Samuye, Itwangi andMjini divisions.

The majority of the Shinyanga Region population is concentratedin this area. Apart from local exceptions most of the productiveland has already been put into use or lies fallow for periodsthat can last to twenty years. The area has experienced thegreatest material change in comparison to other parts of theRegion.

The economy is based on agriculture, trading, mining,industry, the services and animal husbandry. Numerous tradingposts traditionally run by Arabs and Somali dot the countryside,selling general merchandise and frequently forming the nucleiof larger settlements. The presence of the Williamson Diamondsmine at Mwadui, of which the employees and their families numbersome 7,000 people, has been and still is of considerable directand indirect influence on the economy.Three cotton ginneries seasonally employ a further thousandpeople.

The largest towns of the Region lie within the area includingthe administrative centres of Shinyanga town and Nyalikungu(Maswa-town). The former Sukuma Federation capital of Malya,though just outside Shinyanga Region, actually belongs to thisarea.The predominance of livestock is both a blessing, in the sense

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Fig. IV.1 Socio-economic areas (divisional names in capital letters)

Lake Eyasi

LakeKitangiri

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that it represents wealth and security, and an increasingnuisance in that land suffers from heavy overgrazing.In addition the railroad and several all-weather roads whichrun through the greater portion of the area are undoubtedlyboth cause and consequence of the relatively greater developmentvis a vis the rest of the Region.

IV.2.2. Area 2, south-east Kahama District

The area comprises the Kahama and Dakama divisions, the easternpart of the Mweli and the southern part of the Msalaladivisions.Topographically it shows a strong resemblance to the previousarea, with less granite outcropping, more low bush and someforest. The population is mainly of Nyamwezi origin with animportant Sukuma component; the density is lower than in thefirst area. The main sources of livelihood are agriculturecarried out with less use of agricultural inputs, and animalhusbandry with a lower overall stock density than in the firstarea, although large herds occur.

On account of its more recent, often Sukuma settlement, muchbushland has still not been taken into production, while thefarm soil is not as depleted as in the previously describedzone.Apart from the district capital Kahama-town, no large settle-ments are to be found in the area. Material development has notreached the levels previously depicted; the area seems to beopen for increased development.

IV.2.3. Area 3, north Bariadi District

The area includes the northern part of the Ntuzu and the north-eastern part of the Kanadi divisions, bordered by the SerengetiNational Park in the eastern Bariadi District.

This is a flat open plain with wide shallow river valleys withhigher rainfall in the most western part and less than the re-gional average in the eastern part, and with very little erosion.On account of its proximity to the Serengeti plains with theirtsetse and wild animal hazards, the area has only recentlyattracted meaningful numbers of settlers, so that new land isstill available and farms tend to be of larger size than in theprevious two zones.The population density is low, inhabitants are of Sukumaextraction with a number of Luo in the north-east.

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Livelihood depends entirely on agriculture and on livestock,with herds decreasing in size towards the east.Land is not depleted nor heavily grazed; whatever settlementsare to be found are small in population size, homesteads tendto be very dispersed. Although little investment has been madein the area in regard to communications and services, its lowpopulation density and suitable soils offer possibilities forfurther development.

IV.2.4. Area 4, south-east Shinyanga and east Maswa

Districts

The area roughly overlaps the Mwagala and Meatu divisions inMaswa District as well as the south-eastern part of the Kanadidivision in Bariadi District and the southern parts of theNegezi and Kishapu divisions in Shinyanga District. Itsphysical make-up is more heterogeneous than those of the zonespreviously described. The eastern part of the area borderingSerengeti has a hilly, bushcovered profile with fairly welldefined streams. In the west this gives way to slightyundulating countryside broken up by granite outcrops and wide,shallow river valleys.In the south towards the Eyasi and Kitangiri lakes the largeopen mbuga-plain is predominant, extensively used for grazingpurposes but with few permanent habitations. Average rainfalldecreases in the southern part where rainless spells of somemonths occur more frequently even in the wet season.

The western parts have a population density resembling that ofarea 1 (see sub-section IV.2.1.); people from Sukuma stock arepredominant. The population pressure is much lower in theeastern part towards the Maswa game reserve where tsetse andwild animals discourage settlement.The population in the south is restricted to Luo and Chaggafishermen on the lakes and Sukuma, Taturu and Masai herds onthe mbugas.Cotton and cattle dominate the economy of the west, where as aresult of heavy grazing and scarcity of fertile land largetracts have been reduced to waste. Together with the southwhere very little farming is undertaken, these parts have thehighest cattle to man ratio of the Region with herds probablyaveraging over a hundred head.

The eastern part has a very low population and cattle density.Small subsistance plots and tsetse resistant small livestockare the main sources of livelihood.Apart from the west where cotton has brought relative wealth,the area is poor in infrastructure of any kind.

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IV.2.5. Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama

Districts

The fifth identifiable area consists of the western part of theMondo and Nindo divisions and the north-western part of theMsalala division across the Isanga river in Kahama District.As was the case in area 3, this area is best described as aflat, open, grassy plain occasionally interrupted by bushland,stone outcrops in the north and swamps bordering the Isangariver.

The majority of the inhabitants in the area are Sukuma, most ofwhom live in the main settlements connected to each other by anall-weather road running from Old Shinyanga into Geita District(Mwanza Region). The area outside this strip is very sparselypopulated. However, its north seems to attract increasingnumbers of settlers from the Geita and Shinyanga Districts.

The economy is based on agriculture and animal husbandry,neither of which is hampered by land shortage or erosion.Cotton is the important cash crop and the number of livestockper head of population is high.In view of its low population density the area seems to have apotential for further development.The grassy plain of the Nindo and Msalala divisions, however,has not as yet attracted any permanent habitation, on accountof its heavy, poorly drained soils, which render cultivationdifficult, and its type of vegetation, which discourages cattlegrazing.

IV.2.6. Area 6, north Kahama District

The north-western Msalala and the northern Siloka divisionsform a sixth entity. It is undulating forest and low bushlandin which relatively small and widely scattered parts have beencleared for habitation. The population is mainly of Sumbwastock whose numbers decrease towards the west, where Nyamwezibecome predominant. Sukuma settlers are moving in from GeitaDistrict.

The economy is based on a subsistence type of slash and burncultivation, on honey collection and small livestock. Agri-culture is entirely conducted without the aid of moderninnovations.Modern infrastructure hardly exists, there are very few roads.

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IV.2.7. Area 7, south-western Kahama District

The remaining part of the Siloka division in the KahamaDistrict forms the last area. It consists almost entirely ofthe Nikonga River Forest and the Kigosi Game Reserves, a flatforest, covered with an almost zero human population due to thepresence of tsetse and dangerous fauna.

The very few Sumbwa settlements are small in size and widelyscattered.

The economy consists of a subsistence type of agriculture,hunting and honey collection. Apart from some small stock,animal husbandry is negligible.

IV.3. Demography

Most countries in Africa have high rates of population growth.Recently published figures covering the period 1960 - 1969 showthat 23 out of 54 countries surpass the rate of 2.5% per annum.Only a few countries in Africa, with a total population ofapproximately 15,000,000, have a growth rate of less than 2.0%per annum.This strong population growth complicates the attempts of theAfrican governments to achieve improvement in the livingconditions of the population (education, health). Suchcomplications are to a large extent caused by the limitedopportunities for domestic saving, which are a direct result ofthe low income levels prevailing in large segments of thepopulation.The IBRD (World Bank) estimates that the population growth inTanzania has averaged 2.5% per annum over the last decade.For the Shinyanga Region, Nedeco assumes an annual growth of 3percent over the entire master-plan period.Based on the figures of the 1967 Census the total population ofthe Region may be estimated to be over 1 million (1,043,000) in1972.This has put the Shinyanga Region, with an average populationdensity of 20 per square kilometre (against a country-wideaverage of l4/km2), among the four most heavily populated ofthe 18 Regions in Tanzania in 1967.However, figures vary sharply within the Districts, withShinyanga featuring among the most densely populated areas ofTanzania and Kahama among the least. At sub-district level evengreater variations are found. The socio-economic area 7 in theextreme western part of the Region and the eastern part of area3 both have a zero density.The socio-economic areas 6,5, with the exception of Salawe Wardin the south, and the eastern and most southern parts of area 4are sparsely populated.The western part of areas 3 and 4 have a moderate density. Mostpeople in the Region are concentrated in a broad strip in area 1

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Most sources agree that the Bantu speaking people of whom theSukuma-Nyamwezi form part entered the area south of Lake Vic-toria from Bukoba on the west of the lake, settled themselvesin Mwanza and more recently in Kwimba and Geita Districts. Theearliest Sukuma settlements in the Shinyanga Region are to befound in west Bariadi (Itilima division) and in the central andsouth-west parts of the Shinyanga District, socio-economic areal-

Shortage of land is now causing population movements intonorth-eastern and south-eastern Kahama (Msalala, Mweli andKahama Divisions), into north-eastern Bariadi and the southMaswa Districts (Kanadi, Ntuzu and Meatu divisions) and inparticular across the Manonga river, the southern border ofShinyanga District into the Nzega District of the Tabora Region(fig. IV.2).

The design criteria proposed for rural water supplies inTechnical Annex G recommend the construction during the masterplan of piped supply systems with public taps in existingconcentrated settlements with a population of more than 400people in 1972.Therefore a significant part of the demographic analysis inthis report deals with a differentiation in type of settlement.The demographic data and calculations in this report are basedon the following sources:

The population Census of 1967, of which the results havebeen used to compose the population density maps 3.14.04-06-01 to 03.Nedeco's sociological surveys, which provided thenecessary information on types and sizes of settlement in1972.The Nedeco census of Shinyanga town of June 1972.

On the district maps 3.14.04-01-01 to 03 all settlementsinterviewed by the sociological team have been geographicallylocated. They have been categorized as either "concentrated" or"scattered settlements", which terms will be further usedthroughout this report, defined as follows:

concentrated settlements are villages which show a partlyor mainly concentrated pattern and had a probablepopulation of 400 or more people at the time of the surveyin 1972;scattered settlements are all other villages;

All "concentrated settlements" in the Region have beeninterviewed and indicated on the maps. The coverage of"scattered settlements" is about 25%. Appendix 9 gives thenumber of concentrated settlements per division broken down intwo sizes: 400-800 and more than 800.Table IV.1 gives a. summaryof these data with further differentation of sizes.

The sixth column of this table lists the towns of which thepopulation of Kahama and Nyalikungu (Maswa) was not actuallydetermined, but estimated from the 1967 figure (See appendix 11)by applying a yearly growth rate of approximately 5%. Two towns

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Fig. IV.2 Migration patterns

INyahkungu(Maswa) MWAGALA

LakeKitangiri

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in the Bariadi and Maswa Districts, Bariadi and Malampaka, werecovered by the survey.

Table IV.1 Summary of the number, size and population of concentrated settlements in 1972

District

Kahama

Bariadi

Maswa

Shinyanga

Region

400-1

number

27

16

24

71

138

concentrated settlements in

,000

popul.

16,50011,700

15,50045,900

89,600

1,000-2,000

number

2

15

13

17

47

popul.

2,20020,800

17,400*21,400

61,800

rural areas

2,000-4,000

number

4

4

4

12

popul.

4,000

number

_ -

14,300 210,600

11,700

36,600 2

popul.

_

11,200—

-

11,200

towns

number

1

1

1

2

5

popul.

4,1001,3006,000

19,500

30,900

total

popula-tion

22,80059,30049,500

98,500

230,100

* inclusive Malampaka township

The results of the Nedeco census of June 1972 were used for thedemograpic data of Shinyanga town (See appendix 10).Finally Mwadui was estimated on the basis of the 1967 figure(7,383) at some 8,000 in 197 2 and it has been assumed that thisnumber will remain constant during the master-plan period.The total number of concentrated settlements with more than 400people is 204, the category 400-1,000 and 1,000-2,000 beingparticularly meaningful; 95% of the concentrated settlementsbelongs to the category of 400-2,000 inhabitants.The table shows that 3% of the population lives in towns,whereas only 20% of the total population is located inconcentrated settlements.

The data on concentrated settlements gathered by the Nedecoteam in 1972 have been used to determine the populationdistribution for 1967, according to type and size of settle-ment, by the following procedure:

the total population of an area is known from thepopulation Census of 1967;the population of district capitals (Bariadi included) andMwadui is also based on the data of the 1967 Census;

- the differences between the above figures for each areaconstitute the rural population in 1967, divided intopopulation of concentrated settlements in rural areas andscattered population;

- the population of concentrated settlements in rural areasin 1967 is assumed to be in proportion to the populationof those settlements in 1972 by a factor 1 : (1.03) . Forfurther use of these figures the town of Malampaka isincluded in this group. The growth rate of 3% per annumover the period 1967-1972 has been applied to allvillages, as this figure equals the assumed overall growthof the Region's population, and is considered in line withthe growth rate for settlements of 400-2,000 people (seesection VII.3.);

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the balance of the rural population in 1967 is thescattered population (which includes partly or mainly-concentrated villages with less than 400 people in 1972,according to the definition given before).

The resulting 1967 population distribution is given perdivision in appendix 11 and summarized in table IV.2.

Table IV.2 Summary of the 1967 population distribution according to type of settlement

District

KahamaBariadiMaswaShinyanga

Region

Totalpopulation(source:Census 1967)

147,628206,304224,612320,924

899,468

populationdistrict capitalsand Mwadui(source:Census 1967)

3,2111,0954,726

12,518

21,550

totalruralpopulation(rounded)

144,400205,200219,900308,400

877,900

populationconcentratedsettlementsrural areas(rounded)

16,20050,10037,50068,100

171,900

scatteredpopulation

(rounded)

128,200155,100182,400240,300

706,000

note: in actual fact Bariadi District was only formed in 1973, having previously belonged to Maswa District

The Population Census of 1967 allows a further analysis accor-ding to the type of economic activity. A summary of the datafor Shinyanga Region is given in table IV.3.

Table IV.3 Summary of results of 1967 Population Census on employment of population in Shinyanga Region

economicgroup

I employed

II unemployed

total stated (I+II)

non-stated

total population

sector

total stated

professional, administra-tive, executive, manager-ial and clerical workers

agriculture, livestocketc.

mining and industries

shopkeepers/salesmen

others

total stated

children 0 - 9 years

adults over 60 years

others

number of people

473,634

4,323

452,885

6,927

3,047

6,452

411,058

321,222

24,476

65,360

884,692

14,776

899,468

peoplein per

sectortotal

-

0.9

95.6

1.5

0.6

1 .4

-

78.1

6.0

15.9

sngaged:ent of

totalpopula-tion(stated)

53.5

0.5

51.2

0.8

0.3

0.7

46.5

36.3

2.8

7.4

according to the definition used in the Census "employed" refers to anyone who is gainfully occupied (see vol IV, ref. 21)

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It appears that 95.6% of the economically active population wasengaged in agriculture and livestock-keeping in 1967.In view of the composition of the non-active segment of thepopulation, it has been assumed that a simular proportion ofthis group depends for their living on people engaged in theagricultural and animal husbandry sector. The Region'spopulation in 1967 can consequently be divided into two groups:

"farmers", all people engaged in agricultureand livestock keeping, and their dependents 859,891"non-farmers", all others 39,577

total population 899,468

The development of the agricultural sector foreseen during themaster-plan period (see Technical Annex E) would involvemigration of the farming population from areas where a shortageof land would occur. In order to assess the implications ofsuch a policy for the water master-plan, some assumptions havebeen made to determine the 1967 distribution of farmers andnon-farmers according to type of settlement:

the population of the district capitals, including Bariadiwhich actually became so in 1973, and of the Mwadui minesconsists entirely of non-farmers;

- the population of scattered settlements, a group whichaccording to the definition in the previous sub-sectionincludes partly or mainly concentrated villages with apopulation of less than 400 people in 1972, is formedentirely by farmers;farmers and non-farmers constitute together the populationof concentrated settlements. The ratio which can bedetermined for the Region as a whole is assumed to applyto the separate divisions as well.

On the basis of the above assumptions, the 1967 rural popula-tion has been broken down per division in appendix 11. A summaryof the rounded results is given in table IV. 4.

Table IV.4 Summary of 1967 distribution of rural population according to economic activityand type of settlement

District

KahamaBariadiMaswaShinyanga

Region

total ruralpopulation

144,400205,200219,900308,400

877,900

population ofconcentrated settlementsin rural areas

total non-farmers farmers

16,20050,10037,50068,100

171,900

1,7005,3003,9007,100

18,000

14,50044,80033,60061,000

153,900

populationof scatteredsettlements(farmers)

128,200155,100182,400240,300

706,000

totalfarmers

142,700199,900216,000301,300

859,900

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Whereas the above-mentioned demographic data is based on the ;situation in 1967 and 1972, it will be important for the futurewater-supply to dispose of a detailed prognosis for the Region.The evolution of the population distribution according tosettlement pattern and economic activity will be discussed inthe chapter VII.

IV.4. Social structure of the Region

IV.4.1. Administrative and political organization

In this country of 945,000 square kilometres with poorcommunications, scarcity of trained manpower and geographic andcultural diversity, but bent on a rapid increase in ruralstandards of living, the core of development is the RegionalAdministration which is closely linked with the only politicalparty, the Tanganyika National African Union (TANU).In 1972 a new Regional Administration in which greater powerswere vested than in the previous administrative set-up, wasestablished as the consequence of a national policy todecentralize its decision-making machinery.The Regional Commissioner (RC) continues to combine the highestpolitical function with a secretaryship of the Regional Branchof TANU. Enjoying the status of a cabinet-minister, he isresponsible to the President, has an ex-officio seat in Par-liament and a vote in the National Executive Committee of TANUin Dar es Salaam.A Regional Development Director (RDD) is nominated as head ofthe Administration. He is assisted by three Staff Officers, (aRegional Planning Officer, a Regional Finance Officer and aRegional Personnel Officer).All heads of government departments are now responsible to theRDD whereas previously they addressed themselves to Dar esSalaam.

At the regional level there is also the Regional DevelopmentCommittee, chaired by the RC with the RDD as secretary, alegislative council dealing with matters of development natureand composed of Area Commissioners, Heads of Departments,members of Parliament and senior TANU personnel. This committeedecides on the projects to be accepted for implementation andthe budgets to be allocated. On the party side there is theregional TANU Branch.

A similar structure exists at district level.The Area Commissioner (AC), the highest political official, isDistrict TANU Secretary. A District Development Director (DDD)is in charge of administrative affairs, assisted by theDistrict Planning, the District Personnel and the DistrictFinance Officers.

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Moreover the AC is chairman of the District DevelopmentCommittee, which is composed of Divisional Secretaries, Headsof Departments, TANU Branch Chairmen, and Ward Representatives(Diwanis), and of which the DDD is secretary.

Three levels operate under the District. On the Divisionallevel a Divisional Secretary combines the highest administrativeposition and the Divisional TANU Branch Secretaryship in anarea that coincides with one or more former chiefdoms. On theparty side there is the Divisional TANU Branch.

The Ward has replaced the former Sub-Division or part of it,and is administratively headed by the Ward Executive Officerwho again is secretary of the Ward Development Committee, whichis chaired by the Ward Branch Chairman and composed of thevillages1 hundred-cell-leaders. Additionally, in each Wardthere is the post of Diwani who is delegated to the DistrictDevelopment Committee as ward representative.The lowest level is composed of the villages headed by one ormore TANU hundred-cell-leaders, each representing ten-cell-leaders, who in turn represent ten households. Hundred-cell andten-cell leaders form a Village Development Committee, wherevillage matters are discussed and requests for assistance areformulated, passed on to the previously described committeesfor comment, and finally approved or turned down by theRegional Development Committee. The structure is summarized inthe following scheme:

- Regional development (R.C., R.D.D., A.C.'s)committee Head of Departmens,

M.P.'s TANU officials)

- District development (A.C., D.D.D., Divisionalcommittee Secretaries, Heads of

Departments, TANU BranchChairman, Diwanis)

- Ward development (Ward Executive Officer,committee TANU Branch Chairman,

Hundred-cell Leaders,Diwani)

- Village development (Hundred-cell Leaders,committee Ten-cell Leaders)

IV.4.2. Ethnic differentiation

The Region is inhabited by members of at least 70 tribes butwith a heavy emphasis on the culturally closely related Sukumaand Nyamwezi and the Sumbwa in the western part of the area.The Sukuma account for 90% of the total Maswa and Bariadipopulation as well as for 80% of the inhabitants of Shinyanga

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District. At least one half of the Kahama population is ofNyamwezi and one fourth of Sumbwa origin.Material development is most advanced among the Sukuma andleast among the Sumbwa.People of Iramba extraction are settled in the areas borderingLake Kitangiri, and the largely pastoral Taturu of Nilo Hamiticstock share the south eastern part of Maswa near Lake Eyasiwith Sukuma/ Iramba and some Luo fishermen.A number of Asians are to be found in the towns.Arabs and Somali have settled in rural trading centres asshopkeepers and general merchants.

IV.4.3. Settlement patterns

Most of the rural population live in dispersed homesteads, theremainder having gathered in towns, trading centres and concen-trated settlements of which the largest are found in south-eastern Shinyanga District. Each of the homesteads is as a ruleseparated from its neighbours by a few hundred metres to akilometre of land enabling the farmer, who has little to fearfrom outside menace, to live in his home close to his fields.These homesteads (of Kayas) consist of up to half a dozen huts,grouped together and often surrounded by a sisal or thornbushfence within which livestock is herded for the night.This arrangement reflects the traditional polygamous familystructure in which a man lives with his various wives, each ofwhom inhabits a separate hut with her children, and in whichother close relatives may be occasionally included.The material from which these huts are made depends on what isavailable.The majority of them are rectangular and made of mudbrick,covered by a grassroof laid out on a frame of wooden poles.Arab influence is supposedly associated with the predominanceof flat roofed (tembe type) houses in certain parts of theRegion. Roofs are covered by corrugated iron sheets, wheneverthe owner can afford them. In the forested areas of Kahama,Bariadi and Maswa, wooden huts are general; they are made outof branches filled up with tussocks of grass and often coveredwith turf.

Up to a hundred of these homesteads loosely grouped togetherform a Kibanda, (pi. Vibanda), a social unit characterized bythe observance of traditional relationships. These Vibanda,where family ties are frequently strong and where certain taskspertaining to agriculture and house building are carried out onthe basis of mutual help, have served as models for the Ujamaavillages favoured and encouraged by the government.The prevailing settlement pattern in the Region is therefore awidely scattered one; houses dot the countryside like theBaobab trees.

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Villages in the sense of concentrated settlements are stillexceptional. This survey has found that only a small number ofthe administrative units that carry the name village (orGunguli) and consist of several Vibanda have a mainly con-centrated pattern. The remainder were either partly con-centrated with some of the population living in one or twonuclei, often around a number of shops, and the rest dispersedover a larger area (some 25%), or showed a totally scatteredpattern of settlement (65%).

By far the majority of Ujamaa villages, or rather Ujamaa sites,coincide with or are part of longer established villages or ofVibanda and consequently do not vary in lay-out from the onesdescribed above.The more recently built Ujamaa sites have followed a concentratedpattern. Their population is small, often less than 100 people.

No accurate information was obtainable concerning surface areasof villages. It has been observed, however, that these varyconsiderably. A village survey conducted in 1948 by N.V. Rounce(ref. 22) and including a number of villages that lie withinthe present Shinyanga Region mentions surface areas from 0.4 to41.9 square miles. It is obvious that the provision offacilities such as adequate water supplies to these largelyscattered populations will involve a proportionally largeinvestment per head, bearing in mind that people generallyfetch water from the nearest source, either traditional ormodern.

IV.5 Infrastructure and facilities

For communication purposes within the Region neither theMwanza-Tabora railway, the small airstrips near Shinyanga,Kahama and Nyalikungu, nor the private airfield of the Mwaduimines are of any importance. Inter-regional transport andtraffic take place predominantly by road. More or lessregularly scheduled bus services are available in most parts ofShinyanga Region, but their operation in the wet season ishampered by road conditions.The only main roads, a definition which is understood to applyto roads which are passable throughout the year, have a minimumwidth of some 5 metres and a surfacing of (layers of) granularmaterial, are those connecting Shinyanga town with the otherDistrict capitals and with the adjacent Tabora and MwanzaRegions. As maintenance is apparently restricted to infrequentgrading, and refilling and redistributing the granular materialis only done incidentally, the surface has deterioratedrapidly. Bituminized roads are not found outsite Shinyanga townand the compound of the Mwadui mines.A further distinction can be made between all-weather roads,dry weather roads and tracks. The last term is used when thealignment is apparently not the result of a technical study,

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design or construction job but has rather developed by motorvehicles using existing paths, cattle tracks etc. The differencebetween all-weather and dry—weather roads is not so much thegeneral appearance of either as the fact that dry weather roadscontain sections where the road simply passes through flatundrained areas with a heavy clay (mbuga) soil which remainwater-logged for some days after a fairly heavy shower.Construction of both types of roads consists of clearing,grading and the excavation of drains alongside. It seems that(sub)soil improvement, stabilization and surfacing usuallyreceive insufficient attention. Local terrain conditions, boththe topography and the type of soil, determine the finalaccessability of the road in most cases.The classification of roads as indicated on the various mapswas made during approximately 20 months of intensive fieldsurveys a period which included two wet seasons.The infrastructure is most developed in socio-economic area 1(see sub-section IV.2.1). On a district basis this holds forShinyanga District.

The sociological survey executed at Ward-level (see app. 1) hasyielded information on the presence of some basic facilitiessuch as hospitals, health centres, dispensaries (with orwithout clinics), governmental or private primary schools,secondary schools, trading centres, private and public watersupplies, and further on the number of Ujamaa settlements, thetotal number of all administrative village of the Ward, and theexistence of mission posts. This data is presented on the WardInfrastructural Maps (3.14.04-06-04 to 06).An approximation of the Ward population according to the 1967Census (ref. 21) has been made to enable evaluation of theactual state of development of a certain area by relating theavailable facilities to the population served. Lack of anyaccurate information on the geographical Ward boundariesnecessitated the following approach, which has probablyintroduced a fair margin of error.Former sub-divisional boundaries indicated on the enumerationarea maps of the 1967 Population Census (ref. 21) were adoptedas starting data for the Ward boundaries. The locations whichhad been determined in the course of the survey for allvillages interviewed were used to check the assumed boundaries,as it was known to which Ward each village belonged admini-stratively. Where alterations appeared necessary new boundarieswere chosen to coincide with the border lines of the mostobvious enumeration areas.Furthermore the 1967 Ward population figures were compiled fromthe Census data per enumeration area. The resulting figures,presented on the maps 3.14.04-06-04 to 06, were rounded to thenearest 1,000 for an estimated total population of less than6,000 people, and to the nearest multiple of 2,000 for highernumbers. The Ward boundaries themselves have only been given ina stylized version which suits the administrative arrangementsbut does not pretend to geographical reality.

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In only one instance do the Ward boundaries establishedaccording to the above procedure appear to be in conflict withanother and better defined boundary. Along its eastern part theboundary between the Itilima and Ntuzu divisions of BariadiDistrict locally does not agree with the administrativeboundaries of the Wards Nkoma, Mwamapalala and Bunamhala (seemap 3.14.04-06-06).

For a review of the agricultural services available throughoutthe Region reference is made to Technical Annex E, Agriculture.Maps 3.14.04-07-03 to 05 show the locations of primarysocieties, cotton ginneries, cattle dips, veterinary centres,etc. found to be present in 1972-73.

IV.6. Planning and socio-economic change

The recent history of the Shinyanga Region is one marked by theoccurrence of rapid change, particularily in the materialspheres of life.It is a matter of speculation which institutions have laggedbehind the developments that have been stimulated in theeconomic and administrative sectors. But it is certain thatsome of the changes induced by the administrations in therecent history of Sukumaland have had different impacts onvarious aspects of the Sukuma society, explaining some of theinconsistencies that have hampered the implementation ofpolicies.

Living in widely scattered human colonies that had littlecommunication with each other, the Sukuma had a subsistenceeconomy based on extensive agriculture and livestock keeping.Land was relatively abundant and once exhausted was merely leftbare while the owner either cleared some more virgin land inhis vicinity or moved away.

Seen from a Tanganyikan perspective, the Sukuma with theirmixed economy, their land availability and diverse soils werebetter off than the purely pastoral Masai to the east, or thesedentary Gogo from the Central Plateau of the country, butless endowed with natural resources than the agricultural Hayaaround Bukoba or the Chagga near the Kilimanjaro.Cotton was introduced into this economy by the Germans andgreatly encouraged by the British between the two wars.With the Arabs setting up in trading centres, the arrival ofthe Asian civil servants and merchants and the discovery ofdiamonds, the transformation into a cash economy has reached astage where money is at present used in almost every household.

Development received its greatest impetus in the yearsfollowing the second world war, when Tanganyika became a UnitedNations Trust Territory with prospects of independence.Sukumaland, a relatively neglected part of the country, was

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selected as a prime experimental area for the implementation ofthe Government's new programme.

In order to enlist the support of the people for policiesrelated to the rehabilitation and development of Sukumaland,the pan-tribal Sukumaland Federal Council came into being witha coherent hierarchy of local representative councils fromvillage to federation. Numerous regulations were passedrequiring farmers to plant a certain minimum of cotton and ingeneral to rationalize their agricultural and livestockbreeding methods.The Sukumaland Development Scheme launched in the fifties toincrease the productivity of the land by a redistribution ofpeople and livestock was noteworthy. But as a result of theunpopularity among the farmers/ whose own motivations had neverbeen seriously considered, of the measures taken the FederalCouncil disappeared and the Development Scheme was abandoned inthe late fifties.Meanwhile on purely African initiative a co-operative movementarose out of widely felt discontent with the existing cottonmarketing system. The result was that in 1955 in the formerprovinces around Lake Victoria the Victoria Federation of Co-operative Unions was the largest African owned and operated co-operative organization on the continent, and virtually allproducers sold their cotton through it, see ref. 23.Independence set a new train of events into motion. A rapidAfricanization of posts took place, traditional authoritieswere disposed of and a new administration again placed a heavyemphasis on development through the primary sector, this timewith less use of compulsion.The results of this effort are a mixed nature and were negativedue to factors both within and outside the responsibilities ofthe planning and policy agencies.In the spirit of the Arusha Declaration and Ujamaa policy aprogramme was launched with the aim of transforming theTanzanian society into a socialist state with the aid ofexisting traditional elements.In 1972 approximately 150 villages or parts of villages wereregistered in the Region as Ujamaa units in various stages ofadvancement.

It is unfortunately too early to pass valid judgement on theefficacy of this programme as its implications are of anoverwhelmingly complicated nature, involving drastic changes inthe cultural values of a population whose traditional forms ofcooperation were restricted to the family and were even thenlimited in scope.Therefore planning and its subsequent implementation, thoughrelatively recent, are not new phenomena in the Region.The fact that some of the goals were never fully reached, as inthe case of the agricultural measures taken, is due to theirattainment not being seen as a sufficient improvement to theexisting situation, or often being proved outright not to be sofrom the individual point of view.

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As an example, when farmers were obliged to sell off part oftheir cattle they were left with no security in times of cropfailure, with the result that these measures created strongresentment, were rejected and finally abandoned as a policy ofthe Region.

Looking over the development of the last 50 years in retrospect,one can draw the conclusion that the economic and administrativesectors have undergone the most visible changes, since thesewere acceptable to the larger strata of the Sukuma society.Alterations in social aspects of Sukuma life (that are not of adirect conditional nature to the material or political spheres)like education, nutritional habits, family organization andsettlement pattern have been less remarkable. One is inclinedto believe, on the basis of the experiences described above,that an important precondition for the adoption of mutations inthese value systems is their existing or prearranged desirabilityin the culture of the inhabitants of the Shinyanga Region.

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Chapter V WATER PROVISION IN THE REGION

The Region offers a large variety of water sources,ranging from the highly sophisticated warm and cold watertap in some of the urban houses to the turbid dry seasonpool where both man and livestock drink for lack ofalternative. For reasons of expediency these sources havebeen divided into two categories, traditional and modern,reflecting the distinction between waterpoints of a typedating from before the arrival of Arab and Europeaninfluences and those of a kind requiring more advancedtechniques of construction. A detailed description of theexisting water supply situation is given in Technical AnnexG, "Civil engineering".

V.I. Traditional sources

The large majority of inhabitants use water from rivers,streams, ponds, natural or hand-dug waterholes, unlinedwells, natural springs and paddy fields.Since settlement among the Sukuma is traditionallystrongly determined by the locality of farmland, in thesense that farmers as a rule place a high value on livingon or very close to their plots, the distance of habi-tations to water sources is highly variable. As aconsequence water for drinking, cooking and dishwashing isusually carried home or hauled on bicycle or donkey, whilethere is a tendency to bathe and wash clothes at thewaterpoint itself.During the wet season, the only period that the numerousstreams have a run-off, water is collected directly fromthe rivers or from pools that have formed in depressionsimmediately after rainshowers. Whether consumers will turnto whatever type of source is made available dependsmainly on distance and only in the second place on thewater quality.During the dry season when there is no flowing water,inhabitants rely increasingly on ponds, natural springs andwaterholes, often in the then dry riverbeds.Manmade wells seldom reach a depth of more than a fewmetres and are usually unlined. Waterholes are preferablydug into riverbeds where the watertable is relatively easyto reach.The general appearance that these waterpoints offer, inparticular towards the end of the dry season, is one thatinvites concern. In the case of ponds or larger waterholesone is more often than not confronted with shallow mudpools, heavily polluted by both man, livestock andinsects, while the hygienic of smaller waterholes dependto some extent on the adequacy of provisions to limitaccess to humans.

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V.2. Modern sources

Involvement with the conditions of rural water suppliesled to the introduction of several types of modernprovisions. Some of these, like the shallow wells, areprobably just as much the result of Arab as of Europeaninfluence; rainstorage facilities (hand)pumps, charcos,artificial lakes with dams, windmill powered pipedsupplies and boreholes were introduced by the missions,the Williamson diamond mine and the colonial government,which took a greater interest in the Region during theyears following the second world war. The dams at Malyaand Nyalikungu are a few of many examples of thisinterest, maintained by the Tanzanian Authorities afterIndependence. During the time of the survey constructionof yet another dam across the Ningwa river near Old-Shinyanga was started.At present only a small number of families, benefit bythese modern supplies. In Technical Annex G, "Civilengineering", it is estimated that only 8 per cent of thetotal population of the Region has access to "safe andadequate" sources, a description applying almost exclu-sively to modern sources.Most rural water supply schemes consist solely of asource, or have a very simple distribution system wherewater is drawn from public taps and carried home in avariety of containers. In fact, the consumption pattern atboth traditional and modern sources is the same. It hasoften been observed, and research in other parts ofTanzania confirms this finding, that distance is theimportant factor in the decision from which source watershould be obtained. To this it may be added that habitplays a major role. When traditional supplies arepreferred to open reservoirs formed by dams, or lakes,quality plays an important role.Dams are ideally suited for cattle waterpoints with theresult that the water they contain is often of such poorquality that people would prefer to use an alternate source,

V.3. Water consumption

V.3.1. Introduction

The rural supplies which serve the average villager rangefrom natural sources to piped supply schemes withdistribution by private taps. In fact, according to thedefinition used in Tanzania rural supply applies to anyscheme in which no consumers are charged for the use ofwater, in the sense that the scheme does not incorporateprivate house connections equipped with integrating meters.This implies that even the supplies which serve large concen-trated villages and some of the largest integrated schemes such

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47

as the Usia dam scheme (serving the villages of Tinde and Didiaand several smaller ones in the same area) belong to the groupof rural supplies in distinction to urban supplies.

Two surveys were made to study the water consumption in ruralsupplies.The first study carried out in August-September 1972 was aimedat determining the domestic use of the rural population (seesub-section V.3.2.).A second survey conducted in the beginning of 1973 was directedinvestigating the overall consumption in schemes which do notonly provide water to the rural household groups, but also toschools, health centres, etc.The results of this second survey are reported in sub-sectionV.3.3.Data on urban supplies are evaluated in sub-section V.3.4.Finally design criteria for human water consumption areproposed in sub-section V.3.5.

V.3.2. Domestic water consumption of the rural household

group

Fourteen villages were selected representing the spectrum ofwater supplies from traditional sources to schemes with pipesdistribution facilities. The water consumption at public taps(also referred to as domestic points) was studied by- interviewing households on the number of times they draw

water per day, the amounts used expressed in containerslike buckets or debes, the composition of the householdgroup, and factors influencing the water use;observations at the source to confirm the above data,study the fluctuation of the water demand over the day,and obtain information on reasons underlying the choice ofthe source.

Investigation of the selected villages was rather intensive:20 to 25 per cent of the households were interviewed.

The averages for the per capita consumption, which havebeen calculated over large totals, can be expected toreflect the norm, provided that two caveats are taken intoconsideration.Firstly - except for standard containers such as bigbuckets and debes, which represented the great majority ofcontainers used - the interviewers had to estimate thecontents of the pots, calabashes and small buckets inwhich water was drawn. As those types of containers weresmall in number and the estimation of the interviewers,when checked, appeared to be rather accurate the errorincurred in this way is considered acceptable.Secondly, the interviewers were instructed to give extra

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48

attention to shopkeepers and in general to other occu-pations than fanners. Consequently in some villages thiscategory is somewhat overrepresented, leading to slightlyhigher per head consumption in those sites. This errorhowever is eliminated when only the farmers in the sampleare taken into consideration.

All questionnaires taken together, representing 657 house-holds, consisting of 4069 household members yielded anaverage consumption per head of 12.7 litres per day.Broken down over villages the average values range from 8to 17 litres (see table V.I)

Table V. 1 Average per head consumption for 14 villages

(August 1972)

Villages Totaldrawn

MbuluShagihiluIbojaNyang'hwaleBulyanyemuNhumbiMwamaduluChembeliMipaMwamagembeBugoroIgologotoMwamkangaUzogore

of liters

460633$6639942293822448672953885259432052064138521891963

Total numberof persons ofinterviewedhouseholds

264211400286270359589347235292202141240233

Average perhead consump-tion in litres/day

17161615141212111111101098

To sum up, the average per head use for the whole samplecan safely be put between 12 and 13 litres per day.

In the analysis of the factors which may influence thewater consumption different categories were contrasted.One of the most striking differences was found betweenfarmers and non-farmers, the first category averaging 12.4litres per day, the second 18.4 or about 50% more.Household size proved to be another important variable. Itmay be assumed that in large household groups a lower percapita consumption will be found, an assumption that wasconfirmed in the research. Farmers with medium to large

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49

households (five people or over) had an average dailyconsumption of 11.6 litres, while farmers with families offour people or less consumed an average of 16.5 litres.This difference is not found among the category of non-farmers, but in this case the sample is too small to drawreliable conclusions.Also the distance between source and homestead showed asignificant effect on use of water. To prevent distortionof the results by the occupation variable (it might beassumed that more shopkeepers live near the source) onlythe largest group of the sample, being farmers with bigfamilies, was used in the analysis. In this group farmersliving at five minutes1 walking distance from the watersource or less had a per capita average of 14.1 litres.Those living more than five minutes away use 11.6 litres aday.Concerning the level of education there, is some influencein consumption. People with standard V or over averaged14.7 litres against the others 12.5 However this dif-ference is not very significant.A comparison of villages on infrastructural importance inrelation to water use did not result in significantdifferences. Contrasting high and low scores of thepreliminary water development priority ranking (seechapter VI), based on a combination of factors concerningwater need and infrastructural importance, did not produceclear differences.Villages possessing a public tap showed a slightly higher (10%)average water consumption than villages without.As will be shown in section V.4 quality perception issomewhat defective, to say the least, and actual waterquality consequently does not influence the consumption.Available storage facilities do not seem to influence thewater consumption either. Almost every villager storeswater in big brown earthware pots which are locally madeand inexpensive so that their number can easily beadjusted to the need.

Water is drawn throughout the day. To assess the dailyfluctuation of the demand people were asked to list thetime(s) at which they go and fetch water. The resultsobtained from the questionnaires are shown in the graph offig.V.I and were confirmed by observations at the source.It shows that a large proportion of the consumers drawwater between 7 and 9 a.m., whereas another peak period,though smaller, occurs around 5-6 p.m. The period from 10-16 hours is particularly slack.Long waiting periods were observed at many sources.Fetching water is ordinarily the task of women and girlsand the majority of the water drawers were women. Still,men came to fetch water fairly often (30%), especially ifthe distance from the source necessitated the use of avehicle. Children were occasionally sent to draw water,

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mostly with small buckets or gourds. Adults almost withoutexception used big buckets or debes. If a vehicle was usedto fetch water, this was mostly a bicycle, on the rear-carrier of which two debes could be strapped. Only inMwamadulu, where the distance was very great, tractors oroxen carts and even cars were used, as well as one group ofdonkeys. Shopkeepers fairly regularly employ people todraw water for them or buy it at Shs 0.25 a debe. Indifficult situations, however, not only does the pricego up to Shs 1.00 (Mwamadulu) or over (it is said thatprices in Maganzo reach Shs 1.50 to Shs 2.00), but evenfarmers use their scarce cash to buy water.

350 n

300-

250-

t :1200

1150

ii100-

t .c 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21

hours of the day -»

Fig. V.1 Fluctuation of water demand over the day

The majority of the consumers at water sources which wereobserved by the sociological team, came from a distance ofapproximately 500 to 800 metres. There were also someextreme cases however, as for example Mwamadulu, wherepeople walk 13 kilometres to the water source. White,Bradley and White calculated that under those circum-stances people spent 75% of the daily caloric intakesolely by drawing water (ref. 23).

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51

The question whether water drawing uses up valuable timethat might have been spent in other pursuits is not easyto answer.During the interviews the question was asked whether anypeople normally drawing water did not do so during theperiod of harvesting and land preperation.An affirmative answer was received from only 17 per centof the farmers, whereas in addition one third of this pro-portion lives at a distance of less than 5 minutes walkingfrom the source.Obviously water drawing does not interfere with agri-cultural activities at present.From a study of nine Tanzanian villages Warner reportsthat agricultural work occupies the largest share of thetime of a majority of women (ref. 19). Water carrying wasranked second. When asked what they would do if they hadmore time available more than 50 per cent showed apreference to spend more time on domestic duties. The restindicated increased agricultural work. The above reportconcludes that an improved water supply would not freemuch additional labour for crop production activities inmost of Sukumaland. It is clear that improved watersupplies would result in labour savings especially in thedry season, but there is no evidence that the labour freedfrom water carrying would be put directly to productiveuse. However it can be stated that any time saved hassocial and economic benefits at the present stage ofdevelopment, since at least the energy saved will make iteasier to maintain the often precarious balance betweenhealth and disease.

The most prominent reason for using a source proved to bethe distance. From a population of 370 respondents 18 percent had no choice due to the fact that only one sourcewas available in the area. Fifty per cent of the res-pondents in the remaining group said that distance was themain factor for their choice among available supplies. Thenext consideration proved to be the quality of the water(32%). Avoidance of crowding around the source was not amain concern and the same could be said of the technicalconvenience of the source.These results prove that the consumers' choice is not com-pletely bound to the traditional group valuation. There isa sensitivity for the choices that are offered and there isalso some judging according to a simple set of individualperceptions.

In the survey female respondents were asked what uses theythought accounted for the largest amount of waterconsumed in their household during the wet and dryseason.In both periods drinking and cooking were said to be themost important items, followed by washing of utensils and

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52

finally washing of clothes. Bathing of adults appearedunimportant. Bathing and the washing of clothes are oftendone at the water source itself.

Improving the water situation in the villages, is analmost universal wish. Even in the villages where thesupply is rather modern (taps) and looks amply sufficientfor the consumers - Shagihilu and Bulyanyemu - fifty percent or over of all respondents stated that the villagewater supply should be improved, as against 90 per cent inless well-endowed villages. When asked if a simple ring-well without a pump would do to that end, the response wasquite negatieve. Less than 25 per cent considered this agood solution.

V.3.3. Consumption in integrated rural water supplies

A total of 10 water meters were installed in the Usia-damscheme near Tinde and Didia in Itwanji division (ShinyangaDistrict) in January 1973 with the kind co-operation of theRegional Water Engineer. A schematical lay-out of the projectand the locations of the meters is given in fig. V.2.Average daily water consumption as registered at the measuringpoints has been calculated over monthly periods (see app. 14).From these figures, the average daily consumption of serviceareas over February to May has been estimated and summarized intable V.2.

Surveys were made at the distribution points themselves and insome service areas to determine the number of domesticconsumers and further to gather additional information on wateruse habits already studied in the first survey (see sub-sectionV.3.2.). A total of 317 people representing 1658 householdmembers were interviewed at all domestic points. In the largersettlements door-to-door censuses were held to determine theactual number of domestic consumers. It is concluded from theresults of the census-figures that the people interviewedaccount for 60-65(=63) per cent of the total number of peoplewho rely on the Usia-scheme for domestic water consumption.Table V.3 gives the results and estimated domestic consumersper service area. No information has been gathered on consump-tion aspects within the Bugisi mission.

In view of the consumers not covered by the figures of tableV.3 the total population served by the Usia dam scheme isestimated at some 3,500 to 4,000 people with a daily consump-tion of some 75 m3.A comparative analysis of the consumption data of table V.2with the estimated number of consumers (table V.3) should take

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Table V.2 Average daily consumption of service areas of Usia-dam water supply

Main area

description

Branche-line from

Usia-dam to Tinde

Branche-line fromUsia-dam to Itwangipumping stationand Didia village

registeredconsumption(1)m /day

32.3*

no pertinentdata available <

service areascovered

Tinde

cattle trough near Kisumani

Kituli upper primary school

Ngangamala, Kisumani,Nyandekwa. Isegalajaand Usia vilages

Kadati village and domesticpoints along the main nearline of Imenya, pumpingstation, primary court(Itwangi), and Itwangijunction

Imenya and Igomelovillages

Uwela

Didia and Lohumbo

Bugisi

Consumption of service areas

registered

(2)m3/day

25.5

2.1*

1.5

)

4.3

1.5

24.5

5.7

calculatedfrom(1)-(2)m3/day

3.2

Distribution facilities

6 domestic points (one outof order) and 13 privateconnections

cattle trough

elavated storage tank,some public taps

5 domestic points

5 domestic points

1 domestic points

1 domestic point

9 domestic points

not surveyed

Remarks

service area includes primaryschool (enrollment 280 chil-dren), health centre, tradingcentre, hotel, bar

enrollment estimated at 150-200, houses for staff includedin service area

domestic consumption only

domestic consumption only

domestic consumption only

domestic consumption only

service area includes primaryschool (enrollment estimatedat 200 children), trading centre,hotel, bar

mission compound

figures based on observations over two months only.

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54

into account that water is not drawn exclusively for domesticuse of the rural household group in the larger settlements ofTinde and Didia.For Tinde, the following estimates have been made regarding theadditional consumption of:

2 m3/day(private connection)1.5 m3/day

the health centre:

the primary school:12 private connections(including hotel andbar) : 1 m3/day each

(see also sub-sectionV.3.4.)

Table v.3 Estimated numbers

Service area orvillage

(1)

Tinde

Ngangamala

Kisumani

Nyandekwa

Isegalaja

Usia

Kadati

Imenya

Igomelo

Uwela

domestic consumersas determinedfrom door-to-doorcensus

(2)

Of

401

146

112

Primary court (Itwangi)

Itwangi junction 119

Didia and Lohumbo 881

Total (rounded)

domestic consumers of water for Usia-dam

number ofinterviews

(3)

59

10

8

12

11

12

9

12

11

10

12

17

134

results of interviews at tap points

domestic consumerscovered by interv.

(4)

(4)of

271

52

39

76

51

63

46

66

50

46

43

75

552

water supply

as proportion(2)

(5)

67%

52%

59%

63%

63%

estimated totalnumber of domesticconsumersI=<2)or!2 ;<4>]

(6)

401

• 146+324 = 470

75

\ 185I75

| 190

881

2,280

For Didia, where no actual private connections exist, theschool is assumed to draw 1.5 m3/day, whereas the consumptionof the hotel and bar is taken at 1 m3/day each, as in the caseof Tinde.It has further been assumed that the trading centre function ofboth Tinde and Didia leads to additional water use in propor-tion to the domestic consumption. Although the survey has not

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BUGISI

roads

railways

pipe lines

pump houses

• water meters

D domestic points

— J cattle troughs

:p: distribution areas

D Imenya Igomek)

TINDE

Fig. V.2 Location of the water meters in the Usia dam scheme

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yielded sufficient information to come forward with a conclusivefigure, the assumption of a 20 per cent increase of thedomestic consumption in villages which have a trading centrefunction seems justified, as is shown below.Taking into account the various estimates and assumptionsrendered above, the domestic consumption at public taps inTinde and Didia can be calculated and compared with figures forvillages served by the scheme where water is used for domesticconsumption only. The results are listed in table V.4.Generally they seem to indicate a slightly higher consumptionthan the results presented in sub-section V.3.2., and toconfirm the plausibility of the assumptions made regarding thesources and quantities of additional water use in Tinde andDidia.

Table V.4 Estimate of per capita domestic consumption at publictaps in Usia-dam water supply

Service area orvillage

Tinde

Ngangamala,)Kisumani, )Nyandekwa )Isegalaja, )and Usia )

Imenya and Igomelo

Uwela

Didia and Lohumbo

estimated daily, watertion in m3

totalseetableV.2

25.5

3.2

4.3

1.5

24.5

privateconnec-tionsandotherfacili-ties

15.5

3.5

totalconsump-tion ofpublictaps

10.0

21.0

consump-

domesticconsump-tion ofpublictaps

8.3*

3.2

4.3

1.5

17.5*

per capitadomesticconsumptionat publictaps inI/day

21

7

23

20

20

times total consumption of public taps

The slightly higher per capita consumption estimated for thelarger villages of Tinde, Didia and Imenya may at least partlybe explained by the fact that practically all respondents saidthat they came from within 5 minutes, walking distance.

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Moreover the figures include losses due to leakage and spillingin contrast to those of sub-section V.3.2.The survey revealed that practically the entire population ofDidia relies on the Usia-dam scheme for water supply, but thatin Tinde a considerable proportion, some 60 per cent, usesother, traditional sources.

The fluctuation in the water demand over the day has beendetermined for Tinde and Didia from 1119 observations at tappoints during 14 days from 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. The results arepresented in fig. V.3. and compared with those of sub-sectionV.3.2. (see fig. V.I) over the same daily period. Although theconsumptive pattern is generally the same, the extreme valuesof peak and slack demand are less pronounced in the case ofTinde and Didia. The relatively large consumption additional tothe domestic use of the rural households themselves is theobvious reason for this phenomenon. In order to be on the safeside, maximum storage capacity to be provided in rural watersupplies to even out fluctuations in the demand over the dayshould be determined from fig. V.I (see Technical Annex G, 'Civil engineering).

Finally, the observations at the source showed that only 37 outof 311 people observed (or 12 per cent) cleaned the watercontainers at the tap before drawing this domestic water. Theaverage time spent on cleaning was 2 0 seconds.

ii

20

15

10

S

n

=

. . . . . . . . . . . .

— —

' 7 B 9 10 n 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

hours of the day

I s3 o

100

90

80

70

60

50

40

I 30

> 20i

10 /

t1

. ' /

/

f

y

/*7

"7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 V 18 19

hours of the day

water consumption according to fig. V.1

water consumption Tinde and Didia

Fig. V.3 Comparison of the fluctuation of water demand from 7-19 hrs

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.V.3.4. Urban water supplies

The strict application of the definition used in Tanzaniato distinguish between rural and urban supplies (seesubsection V.3.1.) limits the latter group to the watersupply systems of the four district capitals Shinyanga,Kahama, Nyalikungu (Maswa) and Bariadi, and of thetownship of Malampaka.With the exception of Bariadi, the survey has been able tocollect information on the population served in thesetowns both by private connections and public taps, and theconsumption at both types of supply. The towns have pipedsupplies with a relatively large number of private houseconnections and some public taps.The data are summarized in the following table.

Table V.5. Summary of daily water consumption in townships

township

KahamaMalampakaMaswaShinyanga

population(rounded)

40001300400010000

part of thetion served

private *connec-tions

%

33383054

popula-by

publictaps

%

32152526

average dailyconsumption

privateconnec-tionsI/head

6590150100

publictaps

I/head

20232321

*) based on an average of 7 people per private connection.

V.3.5. Design criteria

The results of the foregoing sub-sections have led to therecommendations of the following design criteria for humanwater consumption to be applied for the design of rural watersupplies:

human consumption at public taps is 20 1 per day per headof the design population, which is the maximum number ofpeople estimated to be served by the scheme over theperiod of its economic lifetime;

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water supplies of trading centres should be designedtaking into account a 20 per cent increase of the domesticdemand of the design population;

- consumption of unmetered private connections for domesticuse should be taken at 1 m3/day;

consumption of bars and hotels should be taken at 1 m3/dayeach regardless of whether they are actually provided witha private connection or not;

consumption of health centres and dispensaries withclinics should be taken at 2 m3/day; for hospitalsindividual estimates should be made;

daily consumption of schools should be taken at 5 1 perhead of the total enrolment with a minimum of 1.5 m3/dayand augmented by the domestic demand of staff houses, ifpresent.

The above criteria are further dealt with in Technical Annex G,Civil engineering, in which "design population" is specifiedand additional technical criteria (c.q. to account for lossesdue to leakage and spilling) are presented.

For urban water supplies the same criteria can be used exceptthat private connections for domestic use will be equipped withintegrating meters. It is assumed that human consumptionthrough private connections will increase from 100 I/head atpresent to 150 I/head by 1991.

Estimates of water demands for cattle and agriculture arediscussed in Technical Annex E, Agriculture. Industrial useshould be evaluated separately, of course, case by case.

V.4. Water perception

Data reported in this section have been derived from thesurvey conducted in August-September, 1972.It is clear that water is not a commodity that arousesstrong feelings in the villagers of the Region, unless thecircumstances under which it is to be obtained become toosevere. The distance to the watersource is the mostdecisive circumstance. As a rule the villager will get hiswater at the closest source, and convenience of use orquality is not a main concern.In general he will avoid travelling a longer distance than15 minutes. It is only in situations where this is notpossible that he perceives his situation as a hardship.The lack of inclination to travel too far or too often isalso the reason that water for drinking is always drawn atthe same source as the water for other household purposes.

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The most common complaint concerning the quality of thewater was that it was dirty. The survey showed that in thewet season 60 per cent of the people complained aboutdirty water, a percentage that decreased to 50 in the dryseason. Next to "dirty" the qualification "salty" is usedin particular in the wet season. Due to the obviouscontradiction between the answers for wet and dry season,the results were not considered reliable. It was concludedthat in many villages no clear insight exists concerningwater quality. Fairly unanimous opinions are only found atthe top and bottom of the quality scale, and theseopinions do not correspond well with results of laboratoryanalyses of water samples. In one village many peoplecomplain about the salinity of water that tests prove tobe well under any limit that one might put for noticeablesaltiness. At another site splendid spring water is hardlyrated half way up the quality scale, while in a third casewater that contains enough nitrogen to give it at least anunpleasent taste is rated as very good.

As high contents of fluoride are not perceptible to theconsumer, water is frequently used that is fact isdetrimental to health (see Technical Annex F, "Waterquality")Water was only evaluated as diseased or contaminated in aminority of cases. Users of unimproved water sourcesordinarily attempt to prevent pollution by washing andbathing outside the water hole and by using other sourcesfor livestock. Only in some instances and mostly undercircumstances of urgent need, a distinction betweensources for human use and those for livestock is notmaintained.

Concerning tap water the villagers generally have the ideathat a tap removes all danger which is in itself a potent-ially dangerous misconception.Fourteen per cent of the villagers in the sample popu-lation treated their water before use. A few villagesshowed a proportion between 30 and 50 per cent. The levelof education of the consumer proved to be of influence onthe decision to process water before drinking. Of therespondents without any education only 10 per cent gavesome treatment to the water, while this figure was 20 percent for those who had had schooling for a period of 1 to4 years. Forty per cent of the respondents with aneducational level exceeding four years treated theirdrinking water.

The actual treatment may vary. In most cases the water wasboiled.However, some people filter it through a cloth or simplyallow the water to settle before using it.

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V.5. Water quality

In this section, general information only is given on thewater quality to complete a rough description of theexisting state of water provision to the Region'spopulation. The subject of water quality is dealt withextensively in Technical Annex F.The quality of the water in the Region depends on the typeof source, as well as on the type of supply.

Surface water can be drawn from rivers only during the wetseason. The physical properties of this water, such ascolour and turbidity, are bad.However, these factors are not relevant to the health ofthe consumer but only to his appreciation of the water.Some bacteriological and organic pollution is likely. Asfar as chemical substances which may affect health areconcerned, the water usually meets the W.H.O. standardsfor drinking water.After the wet season, the rivers dry up and surface wateris drawn from reservoirs, charcos and hafirs. The qualityof surface water stored during the dry season graduallydeteriorates.Bacteriological and organic pollution can become veryserious.The chemical quality worsens, mainly due to evaporation.The lack of adequate supply facilities outside the storagearea often contributes to pollution. There is a danger ofbilharzia in the reservoirs.

Where people collect groundwater from a large number ofunlined shallow wells and hand-dug waterholes in riverbedsduring the dry season, bacteriological and organicpollution is again serious.The same applies to most open wells and to those linedwells which are not sufficiently protected to preventinfiltration of polluted water into the well.

High fluoride and salt contents are the main hazards tothe potability of the groundwater in the Shinyanga andMaswa Districts.These factors have an influence on the health of theconsumer. In particular, the boreholes and wells in theShinyanga township area, the Manonga depression and someparts of Maswa show high fluoride contents of 5 - 10 ppmor even more, whereas elsewhere in the Region this figureis usually below 5 ppm. In the areas already mentioned thegroundwater is locally salty at shallow depth. Theconductivity of deep groundwater generally suggests saltcontents exceeding 1500 ppm total dry solids.Speaking in general terms the water consumed in the Regionvery often does not even meet the "maximum allowable"limits" set by the W.H.O. for physico-chemical quality.

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62

Whereas its very poor bacteriological quality certainlyforms a major hazard to public health.

V.6. Water supply and social organizations

Since very little or no effort needs to be put into theconstruction of traditional sources and their upkeep doesnot seem to require much labour or other energy, nointricate cultural arrangements with regards to wateraccessibility have ever evolved among the inhabitants ofthe Region and use of water is almost without restriction.Everyone seems to be free to fetch water at any particulartraditional water-supply regardless of whether he hascontributed in its construction or upkeep.In fact the only limitation noticed during the period ofstudy was that livestock is barred from certain waterholesby means of thornbush to avoid excessive pollution andfrom cattle watering places which the livestock owner didnot help to dig.At first sight this appears to be a rather favourable phe-nomenon, particularly in the type of society that Tanzaniais striving to realize. In this society exclusive water-rights might easily form an additional impediment in theprocess of water improvement.However, the absence of individuals or groups whotraditionally enjoy rights as a consequence of theirinvolvement in the construction and or maintenance ofwaterpoints and who could charge others for their use ofthem has the negative side effect that there are noidentifiable groups to carry responsibility for their up-keep at the village level.

The problem here, paradoxical as this may sound, is thatseen from the perspective of the consumer, water is to alarge extent a free commodity, and the need for highquality water is not yet felt at a level on which personalsacrifices are made for its acquisition.This, and the absence of specialized know-how, account toa great measure for the prevalence of poor waterpointsthroughout the Region.

The Ministry of Water and Power has taken responsibilityfor the construction and maintenance of improved supplies,a task that on the whole is carried out by, or under theauspices of the Regional Water Engineer.Up to now, this office has- in line with the Ministry'spolicy-concentrated on schemes with piped distributionfacilities which serve consumers who live in more or lessconcentrated villages. So far less effort has been spenton the provision of water to the many times larger groupof people living dispersed, for whom in most cases animproved or modern source on its own (without distribution

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63

system) is the feasible solution,or on the upkeep of suchsources once provided. Some years ago, the Regional WaterDevelopment Committee was established with the specifictask of looking after watersupply to the scatteredpopulation by the construction of shallow wells, of whicha limited number have been completed. A more completepicture of the regional water organization is given insection IV.6 of Technical Annex G, "Civil engineering".

It is possible to foresee that the tendency toward neglectof maintenance will continue unless a greater involvementof the rural population in the construction and especiallythe maintenance of water sources is encouraged andachieved. It seems highly recommendable that simultaneousto further water-resource developments a concerted effortis undertaken to render the rural population aware of theundesirability of polluted water. And once the need forsafe water is felt at the individual level of the villagefarmer it should be easier to institutionalize socialstructures at the village level which would share theresponsibility for the upkeep of water provisions with theregional and national authorities.

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CHAPTER VI WATER DEVELOPMENT PRIORITY RANKING

VI.1. Introduction

The realization of a programme to provide the entire ruralpopulation of the Region with adequate water supplies will takemany years. To make best use of the available resources ofmanpower, technical facilities and funds it is indispensable todevelop a system for comparing the various possible schemes inorder to arrive at a water development priority ranking, takinginto account the guiding principles of the Tanzanian Govern-ment.The main purpose of the appraisal of water demand from datagathered during the sociological survey is to provideinformation for a priority ranking to be based on variablesconcerning:1. the existing water need, which is determined by the

presence or absence of a supply and the quantity andquality of the water provided;

2. the development potential of the area or projectconcerned.

Before discussing the ranking order in detail it is useful tostate clearly the advantages of a priority ranking system for awater supply programme.

A standardized system of priority ranking allows aconsistent water-supply policy to be maintained for anumber of years, limiting subjective considerations in theintroduction of new improvements.A fixed ranking system offers a standardized instrumentfor the urgency ranking of sites and areas and can be usedat all levels of the decision-making structure.It may also be applicable when sites not previouslyconsidered have to be integrated into a water supplyprogramme.The variables used in the ranking order can easily beadapted to new circumstances or changed lines of planningwithout disturbing the system itself.

The ranking order based on the factors water need anddevelopment potential is still a provisional one. Its resultshave to be checked with the practical and technical possibili-ties and the desirability of implementing water supplies in theorder indicated. This point which is dealt with in extenso inTechnical Annex H, "Economy and general aspects", can best beillustrated here by two examples.The type of water supply may range from a simple source e.g. ashallow well, to sources which are more difficult to build suchas a borehole or a charco, or even to a larger integratedscheme serving serveral communities with a piped distributionsystem. The construction requirements for each type of watersupply differ to various degrees. For example, equipment andskilled manpower necessary for drilling boreholes is specializ-ed and cannot effectively be used for other purposes.

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Thus, a certain balance will have to be maintained between thedifferent types of water supplies to be implemented each year.Secondly, the technical aspects of providing an area with watersupply may require an integrated approach. This can vary fromthe combined supply to two or more villages to the more or lesssimultaneous construction of a sufficient number of charcos toserve a whole area. Failure to build these charcos at the sametime would result in an excessive number of consumers at thebeginning of the dry season so that the source would be dried-up before its end.Resuming, a final water development priority ranking must bederived from the results of the provisional one, which has beenbased on sociological and socio-economic factors (water needand development potential) by comparison with technical,economic and organizational criteria.

This chapter is concerned solely with the preliminary waterdevelopment priority ranking. The final ranking with recommenda-tions for implementation programmes for the water master-planis contained in Technical Annex H.

Section VI.2 deals with a ranking system which can be applied toindividual villages. A total of thirteen indicators are used todetermine the scores, for which information from the "villagequestionaire" (app. 3) provided the necessary information. Thevillages interviewed in such detail (see section III.3) havebeen chosen selectively. For this reason the information onwater need and development potential of the individual villagesshould not be regarded as a representative picture of thesituation in larger areas.A simplified form of the ranking system is therefore introducedin section VI.3 in which a preliminary priority ranking of theWards is obtained from the results of the "general questionaire"(app. 2) which covers all villages in the Region.

VI.2 Preliminary water development priority ranking for

individual villages

VI.2.1. The scoring system

The basic assumption underlying the ranking order is the ideathat both the development potential of the site or area and thequantity and quality of existing water supplies should be takeninto consideration in any decision concerning water supplyimprovement. Studies on the relationship between improved watersupply and rural development have shown that new water suppliesdo not quarentee social and economic development. Only whenpriority is given to the construction of water supplies inareas or villages with a promising development potential, cansuch supplies contribute to and stimulate economic and socialgrowth.

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The individual ranking order can be applied to the 416 villagesin the Region covered by the sociological survey on villagelevel. These villages were selected in first instance afterconsultation of the Ward Executive Officer, who was asked tolist the villages in which the greatest water need existed, aswell as those with a significant demographic growth and thosewith the most developed infrastructure. Villages which fallinto one or more of these categories were interviewed. At alater stage the survey was extended to cover all concentratedsettlements, in the sense of the definition given in sectionIV. 3.

A large number of variables pertaining to either "water need"or "development potential" were determined for each village.

Three criteria were applied for the assessment of waterneed:a. Insufficient water supply in dry and wet season.b. An official request for improvement submitted.c. Distance to the most commonly used dry season source.Originally water quality was also considered a potentiallyimportant variable in the ranking order model. However nocorrelation appeared to exist between the villagers opinion ofthe quality of the water and the results of laboratoryanalyses. Consequently local opinion could not be used as avalid measure for the water quality of the sources. On theother hand it was not possible to include the laboratoryanalyses in the ranking order, because a systematic sampling ofall the sources in the interviewed villages proved to beunfeasible.

The development potential was dicided by factors which can bedivided into five groups of indicators:

a. Infrastructural characteristicsb. Demographic structurec. Settlement patternd. State of agriculturee. Agricultural potentialTo assess the infrastructural significance of a village, thequestionnaire (see app. 3 and 4) listed 32 different facilities,a number of which were selected as being relevant to thecalculation of the ranking order. One of the underlyingguidelines in the allocation of weight has been the considera-tion that provision of both medical and educational facilitiesenjoys a high priority in national planning. Thereforesubstantial scores were given to hospitals, health centres,dispensaries and schools.The demographic structure has been split into two items: popu-lation size and the net migration surplus over a period of twoyears. The scoring is based on the consideration that largesettlements have a higher priority than small ones andsimilarly growing villages a higher one than villages with astatic or diminishing population.

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68

Settlement pattern is a third criterion of the developmentpotential. Relative weight was given according to the degree ofconcentration of dwellings and buildings and the ease ofaccessibility to the settlement. The provision of an adequatewater supply to a largely scattered population is - consideringthe large investment per head - difficult to realize.Furthermore, bringing water to where people live clashes withthe governmental policy objective of villagization. Thereforea higher priority has been given to settlements with some con-centration of dwellings and buildings in the belief thatimproved water supplies can stimulate further concentration.Access, mostly by road, is another indicator linked to the rateof concentration and offering ample opportunities for socialand economic development.The following factor in the priority ranking system is theagricultural situation. Three indicators are used in evaluatingthis. Modernization of agriculture is the main criterionunderlying the scoring. Methods of cultivation, use of manureand regular selling of cattle are relevant items in thisrespect. It is assumed that priority will be given to areas andsites where agricultural modernization is under way. Finally"quality of the soil" and "availability of land" are indicatorsfor future expansion of the area.

Table VI.1 gives in detail the scores assigned to the indicatorsof the priority factors with reference to relevant informationfrom the sociological survey of which the results are presentedin app. 7.

Table VI.1 Indicators and scores for the preliminary water development priority ranking.

Indicators and (no.) of question in questionnaire

(see app. 4)

WATER NEED

1. Supply (59)— sufficient supply— insufficient supply in dry season only— insufficient supply in wet

and dry season

2. Official requast (64. 65)

— no request/not known- official request for improvement

of supply sent to district/regionalauthorities and no constructionunder way

3. Distance to water source (57)

— less than 1 mile- 1-3 miles- 3 - 5 miles— 5—7 miles— more than 7 miles

position (print colu

31 ; 1 and 31 ; 231 ;2 (and not 31

31 ; 1 and 31 ; 2

34 ;1

3 4 ; 2

3 0 ; 23 0 ; 23 0 ; 23 0 ; 23 0 ; 2

Information according to results

sociological survey (see app. 7)

mn ; line)

; i)

code*

12

2

0.2 or 9

2 . 3 , 4 . 6 or 7

12345

p

per code*

08

20

0

5

037

1115

riortty tcores

maximum per indicator

20

5

15

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69

Table VI.1 continued

I n d . c a t o d i l l< s a » « p p . 4 )

DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL

4. Infraitructural significance (4)

— hospital, health centre or dispensary— government school of the other school

shops {information from app. 2}o more than 15o 6 to 15o 1 to 5

— flour mill- tractors— other facilities

5. Population size (3)

- 0-400- 401-800- more than 800

6. Migration surplus (3.9,12)

— emigration surplus 2% or more- emigration surplus 0—1.9%— no surplus- immigration surplus 0-1.9%- immigration surplus 2-3.9%— immigration surplus 4% or more

7. Type of settlement (7)

— dispersed or not known— some concentration— mainly concentrated

8. Location (5)

— situated on dry-water roads, tracks etc.- situated on all-weather road and/or

railroad

9. Type of cultivation (17)

- hoe- ox and plough— tractor and plough

10. Use of manure (22)

- no use of manure— by few farmers- by maiority of farmers

11. Selling of cattle (52)

- no selling of cattle— by some people only— by most people

12. Farmers opinion of soil quality (39)

— medium or bad- Qood

13. Availability of land (38)

— just enough or insufficient— abundant

Maximum obtainable score for all indicators

Information according to resultssociological survey (see app. 7)

position (print column ; line)

5 ; 2 , 6 ; 2 . 7 ; 2 o r 8 ; 23 ; 2 or 4 ; 2

26; 226.226; 224; 213; 1

9 to 23 ; 2 . 25 ; 2 or 27 ; 2

5; 15; 15. 1

36,236; 2

36 ;1 and/or 236; 136; 136; 1

8 ; 18 ; 18 ; 1

7 ; 1

7 ; 1

12. 112; 112; 1

14; 114; 114; 1

24; 124; 124; 1

17; 117; 1

16; 116; 1

1 7

1 .2

code*

11

3211

3 , 4, 5 , 6 , 7 or 81

123

2 to 98101

2 or 34 to 98

Oor 123

Oor 3

4 or 5

1

23

1

23

321

2 or 31

1 or 23

per code*

non-recurrentnon-recurrent

42111

if code occurstwice or more

035

012345

035

0

5

017

027

0

14

01

0

1

Priority scores

: 10: 3

: 1

maximum par indicator

20

5

5

5

5

7

7

4

1

1

100

code* possible according to app. 7 but not listed m this table have been assigned a score of 0 points.

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Out of a total maximum score of 100, the indicators for "waterneed" account for a possible 40 points, while the developmentcriteria may come to 60, weighting the ranking order slightlyin favour of the "development potential". However, a villagewith a strong score for insufficient water supply can easilyachieve a high priority ranking if only a small number ofvariables for the development potential are positive.Obviously the maximum of 100 points is purely theoretical.Scores between 50 and 70 points are already a strong indicationfor high priority.

VI.2.2. Results

For the 416 villages interviewed separately by the survey, thescores to be assigned to the various indicators of table VI.lcan be determined from the information contained in app. 7.Acomputer printout from the priority scores is given in app. 12,Table VI.2 summarizes the results.

The figures of app. 12 allow a detailed comparison of the fourDistricts with regard to the contribution of the severalindicators to the final priority score. The frequencydistribution of priority indicators and scores is given intable VI.3, broken down per District for the Region as a whole.The water need indicators are important for Maswa, Bariadi andShinyanga, where more than two thirds of the villagesinterviewed show an insufficient supply in the dry season.Kahama on the other hand is in a relatively favourableposition: 42 per cent of the villages interviewed in thisDistrict are not short of water.The majority of the settlements in the Region (66%) have sentan official request for an improvement of the water supply tothe authorities. Again it is found that in Kahama thepercentage is less than elsewhere.Distance to the water source shows a strong correlation withthe water supply indicators. Approximately 30 per cent of thevillages in Shinyanga, Maswa and Bariadi have water sources ata distance of more than 3 miles from the village, while inKahama 93 per cent of the settlements find the water within arange of 3 miles.The frequency distribution for the water need clearly showsthat in particular for Maswa, Bariadi and Shinyanga a signifi-cant part of the total priority score is determined by thewater need factor in the ranking order.

The infrastructural significance score for developmentpotential is high for Bariadi and Maswa. In both Districts asubstantial number of the villages interviewed - respectively42 and 35 per cent - has a score of from 10 to 20 points. Thesame can be said of population size and the migration surplus,indicating that in these two Districts a large part of thevillages interviewed belong to the larger settlements.

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Table VI.2 Summary of the results of the preliminary water developmentpriority ranking for individual villages

SHINYANGA DISTRICT

villageN Y A C , M ! M K T

r i A G A i i / ••

Mil l / - . " / .ISLM! 1.

UUMAHH.J YJUUS1!" L iMrtfVU.LYl :LY~3 I NG ! i \MWAMAD'.M U-'JJ V-1WUGori LK A S I f h . I L 13 U B I K T

W I SHI Tr L ' J / ,

oEsr>' *KA5HISH!TIM-UMWALUK.Wf.I BAL)A KUL I

1DIKT (<riNDOL ;. L: j I

StKtMW-\bt-NL"-.IOUBULASELCMIMWAMAh^TAM I PANSAYUOLD-!:. i lH iYANi iAMASFT-iGWAI T w A ' l G IITUMGll ITAl .CKlSHf.PUPAMDAGICHIZAH A H . I M H L

IMALABUPIrJAMHUx-i/; ; , l . i U RYNCGi Z 1

MAS/.f' i i^MWANASlil i-1b;.KULANDHTpI UQLi LiJK IGvJA^(,«HQ:iA-UJ^ZO13;JG -.1N Y A S A M t ^ f - U J A M A A»J L L r- Z • 1U N Y A t i Y r H t : : ;N Z I M i-

priority scorefc96 6t i :6 1

5 95 95757

» 56565 656565554535?515)51

5 0

5050504 9494 94 94 94 6474747474 64 b45454 5454444

1 M £ h 4 44 44 44 34 343

village

I S r L /

1 <J i '• ! /

w;u.

KI L :l

1 TJNI'UI.U

I GAG/.U K h ! G lK i lMWA\! 1 .iLYUbUri!' L ' -i<v/,Gi'.L AILUMI L-i

3 U L Y A I « I 7 . : ' M . ~

LC3HU:U' , r i -DIDI ABUG-J:- :;J I Me.i-111 will-iTi , 1 !

b A O iK l ZUMi'I

MWAKT L'IGJ.

NoAYUKAZA'- i i l i . i

UZOG f:!?:r

WZAMZAI G J P r L i

M A 0 1 I

r - j Y A S M } ' • • . • > ; .

BUGf>'.!

LYAMU'J

M W A M - . K - LC H L U , . L i

priority score

434343

424?i y

4141

404040404039393938383638383838383737373737363636363636363635353534343434343433

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Table VI.2 continued

72

SHINYANGA DISTRICT

village

MAT IN AI TU rU . . - i ] L ' lK A K l l A

JL'J MHUNZl.KABAL tTUPLiNL'ANTMWAMAl Al L I N D I L HI S H F G F N Y A

NSHJSHJNULUPAMBEH I L I S H IMWAMAGPMhFMHUGhSHAT I MBAlKaN;>£KALAIJGAU:

I KaMfM.HUKIK I T Y : - L : \MWABUUHAt A

U S U L L

t iUG'.NlKAJ B A T L .

MHAM GOIDU lU L:"iJT IL IMAI HAL)MWAMANHMGAbUTONJAISOMbANKULAMASKATIN HUM 1 IL IW I M A T F

MWABFNJASUSWAMWA'iKANGAMfr iJO.)

MWAMA LASAMIZA.MZANJINt iOKIMANOAGULIMAWtlMI LUKAZIMANHORMlAQUTU1RAZUNZULIMWASHlNUfJG'HGLJNo ' HOMAKI TUN GO

priority score

333333?3333332323237

3232323232313 1

3X3131.

3030303030292979292828232828262727272727272727262626

IHLA 2 62626

village

MANGiti WAMG H 1MHUG!NGU'lUK^l'j.iLiI 61 L /MWASI i'JGUS H I L J I L !. <I MALAN' . ' IZU

KAKJL;BUS' iMGi !MDUGUTIMWA.-JG'H/ LA.1CAM W A U . T -MAL- - :NDTMUNG:.M 7 " T /

SHAG1HJ I I I

priority score

25252424242423232322222212222?.

^ ^21

ISHULOI ;"bUMU'lYU

MWAMo'i t- ' , lo .MWATAGt

SHIKh;" '1« r

bUKHMG'.BUY-.IG.J

IGALULJ

201918171.717173.7163.41413

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Table VI.2 continued

73

MASWA DISTRICT

tillage

KINANG* A I GULLMALAWI PAK AIGWAT/".I T l . j r i T i i i j j :NGGGTMnMWABV'-MYAMWAMiUTII MALA., "K JKIDtf-U'

priority score

) 606059

1 5956535352?\51

MWAB A Y^NIIAMWAS!TiOADIBUDi-KWAB UDt: K W A - ! J J A ?-1 A AZEBfiYAMWANDUMWAbi, YANJi,MWALUKULIKH1 DHGO

MALT'A-U JAM A AKULIMIKIZUNGUMASLLASHI SHIYUIGUNYAKISESAI LAM AT-"NGAr-lANGULIGULI

MWANYOM6AMWAMIi\DOMWABUSALUSHOKv^ SHDKAMA5ANWALALAGOSAYU-SAYULlNGfKAMWAMAL'iLtMWAiNMUZII PI LI LUMWAGWllASHINYAMGALALING'WABULIMBUMwAbUZUMWAM'JUYA

5049484348484747454544444343434343424141

4040393939393838333737363635353535

village

MWA-IY,"'•jYAfUr

i w r t • v

K A B I ' I DV1 wANOLKULiMILU3Y1GMBUS'11MWAMA5L'JGU.VU

SANGA-foULUfWSEMW/.'1WAMANM^AMY fSENA'! INYAi>.!INKOM/M W A t • ' • • !

M W AM A S'•Hi' '-At.*1

HWAMIM

J S I U L Iv| WANUi'.1

• - -

j ' !

i

. • i

T '

•\

IG

j iHI

•'it-;

' . - • • ' •

h i1 ;

A>J

-, ..

ITT

^.;.-ujA-uUl.U

I LI

A L J G L ^ U

GJJA

.'>

-IJJA-1A'.-.r * • • ) ! K ;•*

G L L -;ZA

-UJAMAA

priority score

34\ 34

343433333232323 !31

3029292929?9282827272621

1917

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Table VI.2 continued

74

KAH AM A DISTRICT

village

IJTUb .1MPUNZtNGDGWALUN&UYA

KlLAGi i

NYAM&WALfc

LUWA

NHUME".1! SAKvAMBUl.U

UTUNGULUI GUNDAIBANZAK A B U D J AUSHT ROMIM

LUHALAI BOYAI 3JJA

MBIKAl. A

priority score

545151

4747474646454545454242424141

40403C>

3 1

KALUNDr,M HI v c. 0I SAGnH>-:

BUKWIMb ANUNDil

NGAYAKASHISHILJYU&O

K.IM! SHIHAKI3JKFULJWAUL'JWA-UJAMAA

KINANHUNDU

BUT I MBA

NSANGOCHONAMAHANGA-UJAMAASANG ILWABUTOGOL 3ZONG'?M'7RA

3838373737

3737353433333332

30292828272727

village

K I NAVM-Pi. i l . , - .

I G>VM.tiULUoM. •'6UL\ " • '

MALINDJBULil'. 'GW^BLJKJMr-,-

I TUGi.lNH! II LL'IV^:

CHAMLO

I TUL A :"- ' ' ' M 1 ts l

M W AN A f, I

K I 3iJK " - i . l J A ' b . \•NYLiJY ;-'LA

MHONG- ' ! l •"<

S A B A - S A b I : J iUY1VUSFKi"bUT 1 ' • • - ' - ' • •_> J G J

U L t.-.!NYA£-'.7..-

I N Y A - . ' G .

IGU',<K.A'JY;; \Yr -UJ.-i.'-IA;;K A;-li H "NGULUV J G * W . - . / i A > : U l

BUf;J'^ BAuAMAT.'-L A'i«:;:-'MWALC1

N Y A ' ^ I . U L •'•'•

BUM-H M«U\-UJ 'A 1A/.

BUG'Jr i i lI T i ) ( i V i ' " - : J G ' H - t L J

SHU-IUI B-'1J.'.-UJ •\M/.,\MWALUGU^IJhi A Mi!

UBAGu ~.MWALH-; IJ .".fiA/.

MSA5 /'KATUNGUl U

TUL JL r . -UJA-1 .AM P r ^ •'•

I ^Ub.A L I L i!

priority score

272727272 625?525252424242423232322222221212121

2020

i 20202019191916161515141 ^141313i 3

131212

111010

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Table VI.2 continued

75

KAHAMA DISTRICT BARIADI DISTRICT

village

BUDUSHISC'NGAMlit-LEMONO1 ANH4LAMB0

priority score9977

BARIADI DISTRICT

village

MAHfcMi.}?-: •SAPIWIBARIACIKASOL INIKQL'JLOMWALUSHUMWAMWITAMALINONIM W A - U P A L A L A

NYAKABJNMLUGJRU GINN=RYIGEGUSAGATAMWALUSHU-UJAMAA

BARIAOI-UJAMAALUGURUZANZUIMNAMWtL II SANG A

MAT DIM GONHESHANKOLOLO-UJAMAANHOBO LAKIDALATASAKWED AS I N *OUT^A

priority score

6 86 8646261595757555554545453525251515151

5049484747474545

villageMWALALAbIM b 1T II KUKAJLYAISYJHASK A S l l . INHtT '••.I iA'IfiA-KAGAl •-.NG f WANG1 WALIMALI MH JI

GAMd;' SINGU3ASWAMWAMHGt/S HAI HAL'- •SULULUMG1 A T^.'G IKU3UP4U0M1ILA

^YAiHJL'-GIMAGAIIZ'lM AS 1 ; v-iA

SU'UULAIHUSMIMANGAMHU1Z' ;

NYAMT. L-'.MA6Ai)r>l1 ItiUKl i'i Ji.AMrii I;JKOL-JG 1M AUG* WAM'jTi)NGULYATI

SEK:,NO-IrtALAWABETAI TAt'.AMANDANJ- . l l . 'L ' Z ISAMU:)AGAMHMSTI KU:JGUL Y4ZASAK.WF-UJAMAAMWAMKUMHUWANS ANGULYATI-UJAMAAM-A&UKI-UJAMAA

NYAMIGUNGABUBAL!

priority score

454 4

HI 43424242414141

40403938383838

3837373636?636353534343333

30303030302929292727

1 212121

1513

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7 6

Table VI.3 Frequency distribution of priority scores for individual villages per indicator

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

6.

7.

8.

9.

10.

11.

12.

13.

INDICATOR

water need

official request

distance to water source

infrastructural significance

population size

migration surplus

type of settlement

location

type of cultivation

use of manure

selling of cattle

soil quality

availability of land

Score

08

20

05

037

1115

0 - 45 - 9

10-1415-20

03

CJl

012345

035

05

017

027

014

01

01

Kahama

4258

4159

6528

430

57186

19

503911

332

1997

30

274132

5248

9460

592714

582913

3169

2872

frequency distribution in °/o

Shinyanga

157510

3169

293715145

59141215

175231

221415141322

408

52

6238

4945

6

70237

295516

3763

4159

Maswa

1285

3

3169

303917104

32331025

154243

216

12151036

281359

8218

106426

8811

1

364222

1981

5149

Bariadi

1482

4

3664

323715133

39191428

172261

12112113'8

35

211762

7921

211168

9541

5247

1

1585

3763

Region

2074

6

3466

383513104

50191120

244234

231016131028

311851

6634

473419

75187

414514

2971

3961

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77

Shinyanga occupies a middle-range position while for Kahama themajority of the villages have lower priority scores withregard to infrastructural significance and population size.The data for the degree of concentration and the location ofthe village represent the settlement structure in the Region.51 per cent of the villages interviewed are more or lessconcentrated and 34 per cent are located along an all-weatherroad.

A comparison of the situation in the four Districts shows that :the most concentrated settlements are found in Bariadi, Maswaand Shinyanga. The category "some concentration" is dominant inKahama, while in Shinyanga the dispersed settlements are moststrongly represented (40%).

The indicators for the agricultural situation - type of culti-vation, use of manure and selling of cattle - give grounds forconcluding that the degree of modernization in the Region islimited. Only 19 per cent of the villages interviewed make useof the tractor, while manure is restricted to 25 per cent ofthe settlements. In 41 per cent of the cases no selling ofcattle takes place, whereas if we include those where thisoccurs only very occasionally the figure rises to 4 5 per cent.There are however significant differences between theDistricts.Concerning the type of cultivation it is remarkable that inBariadi and Maswa the use of tractor and plough is more commonthan elsewhere in the Region. 68 per cent of the villages inBariadi use a tractor and 26 per cent in Maswa.All the Districts show a very limited use of manure with aslightly higher percentage for Kahama (14%).The majority of the farmers have a favourable opinionconcerning the quality of the soil in their settlements (71%for the Region), in particular in Bariadi and Maswa, 85% and81% respectively. The availability of land, giving ampleopportunities for new settlers, is considered highly favourablein Kahama and Bariadi. For both indicators one point is allotedto the ranking order.

In the total priority scores, which is a summation of thescores for the respective indicators, five priority categorieshave been differentiated. Table VI.4 gives the frequencydistribution for the Region and the four Districts.

The frequency distribution given in table VI.4 is alsopresented in a diagram of fig. VI.1.

From the data it will be clear that the majority of thevillages with a high priority are found in Bariadi, Maswa andShinyanga. Kahama has a rather favourable picture with only 4per cent of the villages in the highest priority group of 51points or more.The analysis of the frequency distribution for the several

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indicators in the ranking order proved that in Maswa anaBariadi the high priority is mainly based - in addition towater need - on the significant scores for infrastructuralfacilities, population size, immigration surplus, type ofsettlement and type of cultivation.The development potential is less important for Shinyanga,giving substantial scores only for infrastructural signifi-cance, population size and location.The contribution to the total score of the use of manure,cattle selling and quality and availability of land is limitedand differences between the Districts appear less significant.

Table VI.4 Frequency distribution for 5 priority categoriesin Region and Districts.

Region

Kahama

Shinyanga

Maswa

Bariadi

Proportion5 priority

0-20

1.1

29

7

2

2

of villagescategories

21-30 31-40

24

31

26

17

18

31

21

33

39

28

in %

41-50

21

15

22

28

24

" Ifor

51 ormore

13

4

12

14

28

numberofvillages

416

96

176

72

72

The results of the preliminary water development priorityranking have alse been indicated on the District maps no.3.14.04-06-07 to 09 on which the five priority categoriesmentioned above can be distinguished.

VI.3 Preliminary water development priority rankingfor Wards

A simplified form of the priority ranking system described insub-section VI.2.1 has been used to assess the priority re-lationship between larger areas. In keeping with the ad-ministrative organization it appeared obvious to choose the 95Wards of the Region as areal units for this exercise. The areasaround the four District capitals (Kahama, Shinyanga,Nyalikunguand Bariadi) which have a separate status - as division or sub-division - have not been included.

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%40-

35-

30-

25-

II III IV VRegion

I II III IV V

Kahama

I II III IV VShinyanga

I II III IV V

Maswa

I II III IV V

Bariadi

I = 0-20 points

II = 21-30 points

III = 31-40 points

IV = 41 -50 points

V = 51 or more points

Fig. VI.1 Frequency distribution for 5 priority categories

The Ward ranking is applied in Technical Annex H, "Economy andgeneral aspects", to determine the priority within the watermaster-plan of areas instead of individual villages for theimplementation of:a. integrated supply systems in cases where individual

supplies are not feasible from the technical or economicpoint of view;

b. water supplies which though individual by nature can bestbe built as part of a construction programme. Forpractical reasons, such a programme should develop theprovision of water to the (scattered) population in wholeareas rather than on a village by village basis.

As one example of the above points the provision of water bymeans of charcos has already been mentioned in section VI.1.

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Another example is a large scale construction programme forshallow wells which is recommended as part of the water master-plan (see vol.1 Main Report and vol.11 Technical Annex H).Obviously the execution of such a programme, in which theactual time spent on the construction of a well is short inrelation to the time spent for shifting of locations, transportof materials, site surveys etc., can only be done effectivelyif all wells necessary in a certain area are built at the sametime. This particular programme is further proposed to beeffected in a relatively short period of some six years only,so that there is no need for a large differentiation. Pro-visionnally three priority groups are considered sufficient.

As in the case of the ranking system for individual villages,scores are allocated to factors related to "water need" and"development potential". The information obtained at Wardheadquarters on all villages in the Ward ("general question-naire", see app. 2) presented on the Ward Infrastructural maps3.14.04-06-04 to 06 has been used.The reliability of the data available at Ward level is lowerthan that of the data used for the individual ranking order. Onthe one hand, the information from Ward headquarters could notbe checked in detail. On the other hand some factors arerelated to the Ward's population, so that reasonable approxima-tions had to be made regarding the geographical position of theWard boundaries in relation to enumeration area borders used inthe Census. Obviously, the results are subject to a fair marginof the error. Therefore, a dual scoring procedure is introduced:

first, the revelant indicators are distinguished for eachfactor and a score is assigned to each indicator as in thesystem described in section VI.2; the Ward scores aredetermined for one factor and the Wards are listed inorder of decreasing scores;secondly, the provisional ranking order per factor isdivided into three equal parts and all Wards within onepart receive the same final score for this factor. Theseparts or groups are further referred to as "categories".

The relative water need of the wards, the first factor ofpriority ranking, is determined by relating the number andtypes of existing modern water sources and supplies to the1967 population of the Ward. Indicators used are:a. the number of the villages with (connection to) a piped

water supply system (=A)b. the number of lined shallow wells and boreholes (=B);c. the number of other improved sources such as dams, and

charcos (=C);d. the estimated 1967 population (=P).Different importance is assigned to the various types ofsupplies; the relative weight of group (B) is taken to be twicethat of group (c) and that of group (A) five times that ofgroup (B). The provisional ranking order of the Wards for the

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factor water need follows now from the value of 10 A + 2 B + C

Obviously, priority for water development should be given tothe category of Wards where the above factor has the highestvalues. In keeping with the scoring system of sub-sectionVI.2.1. the category I scores 40 points. The categories II anIII get 20 and 0 points respectively.

For the "development potential" two factors are taken intoaccount being "facilities" and "infrastructure". Following thesame reasoning as applied in section VI.2 priority should begiven to the implementation of water supplies in the categoryof Wards which are relatively most developed in terms offacilities and infrastructure. Out of a maximum possible scoreof 60 points for "development potential" both factors areallotted 30, 15 and 0 points each for the categories I, II andIII respectively. It was not possible to include at Ward levelfactors related to the state of agriculture or the agriculturalpotential.

The indicators used for the factor "facilities" are:a. the number of medical facilities, being

hospitals and health centres (=D); or- dispensaries with or without clinic (=E) ;

b. the number of schools, distinguished asgovernmental or private primary schools (=F); orsecondary schools (=G);

c. the number of trading centres inconcentrated settlements (=H); orother settlements (=1), for definition see sectionIV. 3;

d. the number of missions (=J).

Again following the scoring system for individual villages,different importance should be given to the above indicators.Moreover the total of (weighted) facilities should be relatedto the estimated population (=P) in order to compare differentWards and determine their relative priority. The Wardsbelonging to category I are those for which the factor10D + 5E + 3F + 6G + 4H + 21 + J has the highest values.

PThe relative weighting of the various indicators follows fromthe co-efficients in the above formula.The values of the variables D to J can be read from the WardInfrastructural maps no. 3.14.04-06-04 to 06.

The factor "infrastructure" is assessed for each Ward on thebasis of:(a) the total length of railroad and all-weather roads in km

(=K) ;(b) the total length of dry-weather roads in km (=L);which indicators are related to:

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(c) the total area of the Ward in km (=W), exclusive of gazettedareas. In this case category I contains the Wards with the

highest values of 2K + LW

App. 13 gives the scores per Ward of the three factors, and thecategory to which each Ward belongs in the preliminary waterdevelopment priority ranking. The category with the highestpriority comprises wards scoring 65 points or more, whereas thelowest priority is indicated by scores of 40 points or less. Asummary of the preliminary ranking order is presented in tableVI. 5.

Table VI.5 Summary of preliminary water development priority ranking of wards

district

Kahama

Shinyanga

Barladi

Maswa

division

Dakama

Kahama

Msalala

Mweli

Siloka

1 twang i

Kishapu

Mondo

Negezi

Nindo

Samuye

Mjini

Itilima

Kanadi

Ntuzu

Meatu

Mwagala

Nung'hu

Sengerema

Wards

category 1 - highest priority

Ukamba

Busangi, Ngaya, Lunguya

Ulewe

Mbogwe

Usule

Mwakidoya

Bunambiyu, Bugoro, Songwa, Lohumbo

Talaga

Solwa

Mwamala

Somanda, Bunamhala, Mwabubingi, Gabu

Itinje. Imalaseko

Busilili, Dakama

Masela

Bad.

category II - medium priority

Mpunze

Isaka, Zongomera

Ngogwa

Ushetu, Uyogo

Runzewe, Ushirombo

Didia, Isemeta, Tinde

Uchunga, Kishapu

Bubiki, Mondo, Maganzo

Ibadakuli, Itilima, Ukenyenge, Mwamashele

Iselemagazi, Nyang'ombe

Usanda/Singita, Samuye

Kizumbi

Luguru, Mwamapalala

Lagangabilili, Bumera

Nkololo, Mhangu, Dutwa

Bukundi, Nkoma

Lalago, Sukuma

Buchambi

Malampaka, Nyabubunza

category III = lowest priority

Ukune

Isagehe, Mhongolo

Masumbwe

Kola, Itwangi

Shagihilu, Masanga, Mwamalasa, Somagedi

KHoleli, Lagana, Ngofila

Salawe, Mwantini, Lyabukande

Chi be

Zagayu, Nkoma, Mbita

Chinamili, Sagala

Nyakabindi

Mwabuzo, Semu-Kimali, Kisesa

Mpindo, Ipililo

Isanga

Kulimi.Shishiyu

Contrary to the results of the preliminary priority ranking ofindividual vilages, Kahama District has the largest proportionof Wards belonging to category I, the highest priority. Littledifference is found between Shinyanga and Bariadi Districts,which have clearly lower proportions of high scoring Wards thanMaswa District.A summary of the frequency distribution of the scores perindicator (see table VI.6) shows that water need is very highin Maswa District, still considerable in Bariadi, whereas thesituation in Kahama and Shinyanga District is rather favourable.

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This reflects the good shallow groundwater potential of Kaharaa(see Technical Annex C, Hydrogeology) and the relatively largenumber of existing supplies in the Shinyanga District.As regards the factor facilities Kahama scores very favourablebecause of the large number of facilities in relation to thepopulation. This circumstance is not apparent in the ranking ofindividual villages (see sub-section VI.2.2) as the facilitiesare spread out and not concentrated in larger villages. Thevery low score for the Wards in Bariadi District points to theexact opposits.Finally the results for the indicator infrastructure confirmthe predominant position of Shinyanga District in this respect.

Table VI.6 Frequency distribution of priority scores for wards per indicator

INDICATOR

1. water need

2. facilities

3. infrastructure

Total score

Score

0

20

40

0

15

30

0

15

30

0-40

45-60

65-100

Kahama

39

44

17

17

22

61

22

56

22

22

45

33

frequency distribution in %

Shinyanga

49

33

18

33.3

33.3

33.3

23

23

54

33

44

23

Maswa

19

19

62

38

29

33

57

24

19

38

33

29

Bariadi

12

41

47

41

53

6

35

47

18

35

41

24

Region

33.6

33.6

32.8

32.8

33.6

33.6

32.8

33.6

33.6

33

41

26

The three priority categories are also indicated on a regionalmap, no. 3.14.04-06-10, which may serve to distinguish areas ofpriority for improvement of the water supply situation.

The preliminary priority ranking of Wards determined in thissection is recommended in Technical Annex H as a guideline forthe implementation of a crash programme for the construction ofshallow wells to improve the water supply to the rural areas.

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The suitability of this type of supply depends, however, on thehydro-geological conditions of the area, which constrainingfactor has to be applied to the preliminary water developmentpriority ranking of Wards in order to arrive at the final one.

On map 3.14.04-06-10 the Wards have, therefore, been furtherclassified in the following three groups:

shallow wells generally feasible;shallow wells limitedly feasible;shallow wells generally infeasible.

This point is further dealt with in Technical Annex H, "Economyand general aspects".

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Chapter VII WATER SUPPLY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT

VII.1. Introduction

The commitment of Tanzania to provide adequate rural watersupplies and the general guidelines along which this commitmentwill be fulfilled are concisely spelt out in the Second FiveYear Plan and were amply discussed in the Conference on RuralWater Supplies in East Africa held in April 1971 in Dar esSalaam. The plan mentions the various economic and socialbenefits ensuing from improved water supplies, including thatof a more efficient settlement pattern. It points out, however,that in the face of limited resources a fully satisfactorysolution cannot be reached in the near future, and as aconsequence gives the highest short-term priority in the shortterm to low cost projects benefitting a maximum number ofpeople. Planners are reminded that the provision of rural watershould in principle be aimed at (ref. 2.):( I) Development of Ujamaa villages;( II) Areas of acute scarcity of water;(III) Areas of population concentration;( IV) Promotion of productive activities for

agriculture and livestock.

In his opening address to the conference on Rural WaterSupplies, the Minister for Water and Power reiterated therecommendations made in the plan. He pointed out that the ruralareas should be provided with safe and adequate water withinthe next twenty years. Moreover, he urged planners not toforget that the implementation of projects will always dependon political decisions, the priority to Ujamaa Villages beingan example.A master-plan should not merely provide information onavailable and potential water resources but should come forwardwith a ranking of areas according to water requirements anddevelopment potential, having taken manpower and financialrestraints into account. In more explicit terms this means thatin addition to an assessment of present water needs data mustbe collected on agriculture possibilities, social and economicinfrastructure, and demography, and that the planning of watersupplies should be closely co-ordinated and related to thedevelopment programmes.

Based on these principles a preliminary priority ranking systemhas been developed by Nedeco, see chapter VI.Only if priority is given to the construction of water suppliesin areas or projects with a good development potential, can theprovision of such supplies contribute to and stimulate anoverall development.Several studies exist on the relationship between improvedwater supply and an overall rural development. For Tanzania theresearch of Warner (ref. 11.) and Heynen en Conyers (ref. 22.)are the most relevant in this respect. However their conclusions

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are tentative because of the limited scale of the surveys. Themajor finding is that very few of the benefits expected fromwater occur spontaneously. Water in itself proves to beinsufficient to stimulate rural development. It appears,therefore, that water must be provided as part of a "packagedeal" and that the people should fully participate in theproject. These conclusions are confirmed by I.D.Carruthers,mainly based on the study of rural water investment in Kenya.He states that ".. water investment, though perhaps necessaryfor creating a progressive rural environment, is clearly notsufficient" (ref. 24). The same can be said with regard to astimulation of concentrated settlements. In Nzega rapid growthof settlements seems to have occurred around water pointslocated in existing villages, and more moderate growth aroundthose located not in a village but on a road, the combinationof road and water providing a nucleus. However, the pointslocated elsewhere have not yet attracted any noticeablesettlement. It may be concluded that water is not the mainfactor determining the location of settlements.Therefore if optimum use is to be made of the investment in thewater supply from the various resources for implementation thewater development programme should not be considered on itsown.It should be an integral part of an overall regional develop-ment programme.The drawing up of a regional development plan is beyond thescope of this study. It seems reasonable however, to assume, inkeeping with the national policy of self reliance in labour andthe priority towards agricultural development and in view ofthe fact that almost the entire population of the Region isengaged in agriculture and animal husbandry, that such aregional plan would be aimed at the optimization of the averageincome derived from these sectors, either per family or pergroup of families cooperating, (e.g. in an Ujamaa village).Nedeco has therefore studied in outline the possible develop-ment of agriculture and animal husbandry over the period of themaster-plan, the main conditions that have to be fulfilled toachieve such a development and the consequences this may haveon the master-plan. Reference is made to Technical Annex E,"Agriculture".The method applied is based on an optimum use of the availableland, capital or labour, whichever is scarcest. Promisingcrops, yield projections, input requirements, availability ofland, labour and capital, price and market projections, andchanges in the composition of the livestock herd are estimated.

VI1.2. Considerations for a regional development plan

As has been said, the design of a regional water master-plancannot be considered without taking into account the socio-economic developments in the Region for the coming decades. Inmany countries a water master-plan has been developed as an

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isolated planning programme, mainly based on demographicextrapolations.In this study the future water supply is seen as an integratedpart of a regional development plan. In keeping with thestatements made by the Tanzanian Government (see section VII.1)the purpose of the water master-plan will be to provide everyinhabitant of the Region with adequate and safe water by 1991.The socio-economic development which would result from theimplementation of a regional development plan will determinethe future population distribution and the settlement pattern,both essential elements for the planning of future watersupplies. The design criteria proposed in Technical Annex G,"Civil engineering", clearly illustrate the importance to theplanning of socio-economic developments, as they relate thetypes of supply to the number of consumers, type of settlement,standard of living, development potential of the area, etc.

As the majority of the population in the Region is occupied inagriculture, the socio-economic development will mainly bedetermined by the agricultural sector, the more so since theprospects for other economic activities during the period 1974-1991 are considered very limited indeed. The Ministry ofAgriculture, Food and Co-operatives (Kilimo) intends to buildan abattoir possibly with a fertilizer plant, and a spinningmill is also on the list of new projects.Generally speaking, however, the Region does not (yet) providea suitable environment for industrial development.

In the description of the Region under section IV.3 ondemography it has been said that for the coming decades anannual growth rate of 3% is expected for the population as awhole. The 1967 population of 899,468 will then increase to1,828,000 in 1991.In view of the predominance of agriculture in the regionaleconomy the growth rate of the agricultural population (thoseemployed in this sector together with their dependents) istaken to be only slightly lower than the overall-growth, i.e.2.7 per cent per year (see the demographical projections of thenext section VII.3). On this assumption, some 1,630,000 peoplewill constitute the agricultural population of the Region by1991. It is clear that this considerable increase will makedemands on the agricultural output. Considering the Region as awhole, with the present system of land use, the increasingpopulation can be accommodated only for some 10-15 years from1972 onward. That is why a more intensive use of land will benecessary to accomodate the farmers within the regionalboundaries. The scope of the Nedeco survey precludes theconsideration of the effects of developments outside theRegion, such as immigration from Mwanza Region into Shinyangaor emigration from Shinyanga to Tabora Region.

In the report on agriculture, Technical Annex E, detailedrecommendations are formulated to improve the gross and net

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production values per hectare. Based on a division of sixagronomic zones, covering the Region, the agricultural carryingcapacity is calculated with an extrapolation to 1991, in whicha significant increase of the average yield has been included.If these figures per division are related to the distributionof the farming population in 1991 it appears that in a numberof divisions the population will surmount the carryingcapacity. The population density in these areas will increaseto such an extent that the land available for each productionunit, being the rural household group, will be less thananticipated under conditions of improving agricultural output,and moreover that very marked differences in income will occur.An additional disadvantage would be that if farm sizes decreaseit may be expected that as food crops have first priority thearea with cash crops, such as cotton, paddy and oil seed, willdiminish.In particular in the Itilima, Sengerema, Itwangi, Mondo,Negezi (north), Samuye and Mjini divisions the futurepopulation will exceed the carrying capacity of the land. Onthe other hand there are areas like Kahama that have a vastquantity of arable land, where the carrying capacity will notbe utilized by the local population in 1991, leaving ampleopportunities for new settlers.On the basis of the above considerations it is concluded inTechnical Annex E that a redistribution of the farmingpopulation could play a decisive role in the intensification ofland-use and as such should be a basic element of thedevelopment plan and of the water master-planning.Technical Annex E, "Agriculture", deals with the possibledevelopment models which would further suit the above objec-tive. The alternative which would provide the agriculturalpopulation, especially in the long run, with the highest incomeand the most even distribution of this income, has beenelaborated. It calls for an active migration to be started in1976, which would make it possible that as far as cropproduction and livestock-keeping are concerned the Region willnot be fully occupied before 2005 - 2010. Criteria aresuggested for the selection of emigration areas, from whichpeople should be encouraged to move, and immigration areas towhich new settlers should be attracted. The effects of theimplementation of such active migration policy on thepopulation distribution over the period up to 1991 are relevantto the water masterplan.

The promotion of a settlement pattern where people live inconcentrated villages is also considered a major objective ofthe regional development plan. This is in line with thenational policy of villagization which is more or less aprerequisite for any co-operative undertakings, a necessarycondition for the improvement of the agricultural production.

In addition, seen from a different angle, the provision ofadequate facilities, water supply being one of these, is very

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much hampered by the existing settlement pattern under whichmost people live widely dispersed.As has been said earlier, the design of a complete RegionalDevelopment Plan is beyond the scope of the present report.However, the above mentioned objectives are reasonable assump-tions for an overall planning on which a water master-plan canbe based.

VII.3. Demographical projections

The present population in the Shinyanga Region is to a largeextent dependent on agriculture. According to the Census of1967 the percentage of the population employed in farming andlivestock was 95.6% of the active population, being 53.5% ofthe total population of the Region (see table IV.3).For the period 1972 - 1991 it may be assumed that the economicdevelopment will be mainly determined by the agriculturalpotential of the Region. A significant increase of the othereconomic sectors is not likely. This fact is illustrated by thefew possibilities for industrialization as mentioned in theprevious section and the diminishing importance of diamondmining at Mwadui.Based on these economic considerations it may be assumed thatonly a slight increase of the non-farming population during theplanning period may be expected. Therefore the annual growthrate for the farming population in the Region has beenestimated at 2.7% versus an overall growth rate of the Regionof 3% annually.The extrapolation of the 1967 population up to 1991 are basedon these growth-rate assumptions. Table VII.1 shows theestimated population of Shinyanga Region in 1967 and 1991 byeconomic activity.

Table VII.1. Population of Shinyanga Region in 1967 and 1991by economic activity

total population of the Regionfarmersnon-farmersnon-farmers in % of totalpopulation

899,468 1,828,000859,891 1,630,00039,577 198,000

J —' - / f \J ~s A.

3 9 , 5 7 7

4.4% 1 0 . 8 %

Up to now, the population distribution has been given inaccordance with the type of settlement in 1967. The data fromthe sociological survey indicated a correlation betweenpopulation-size and type of settlement and the rate of growth.

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The growth rates for existing concentrated settlements in 1972have been estimated from this relationship and are listed intable VII.2. For Shinyanga town the Nedeco census, carried outin June 1972 actually showed an annual growth of more than 9%for the period 1967 - 1972 (see appendix 10).

Table VII.2. Annual growth rates for concentrated settlements(existing in 1972)

settlement

Kahama/Bariadi/Maswa townsShinyanga townMwadui minesconcentratedsettlements

population sizein 1972

2,000 -11,5008,000

400 -

1,000 -2,000 -

more than

6,000

1,000

2,0004,0004,000

economicactivity

growth-rate%/yr

non-farmers 5samesame

8-90

farmers andnon-farmers 3samesamesame

3-3.53.5-4.55

The above mentioned growth rates have been applied for thecalculations of the population distribution in 1991, shown intable VII.3. The procedure followed was:

a. The population in the district capitals and the Mwaduimines is derived from the figures of 1972 and consistsentirely of non-farmers.

19Kahama/Bariadi/Maswa towns: 1,05" x 11,400Shinyanga town : 1,08 x 11,500Mwadui mines : constant

29,00050,0008,000

The total population of the concentrated settlements inthe area in 1972 was calculated by applying differentgrowth rates for the respective sizes of the settlements,Concentrated settlements, 1972 pop.400

10002000

1000:2000:4000:4000:

1,03l,0321,04:

19 89,600 =y x 61,800 =x 36,600 =x 11,200 =

157,000113,00077,00028,000

Total 375,000

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c. Besides the existing concentrated settlements a group ofnew settlements in development areas, according to theimplementation of a regional development plan, has beendistinguished, (see sections VII.5 and 6). The totalfarming population for this category was estimated at some278,000 people in 1991 in Technical Annex E, "Agriculture",sections V.7 and 8.

d. The differentiation between farming and non-farmingpopulation was calculated as follows. The non-farmingpopulation, living outside the district towns and theMwadui mines amounts to 198,000 - 87,000 = 111,000 people.It may be assumed that this group will be located inconcentrated settlements proportionally divided betweenthe old and new settlements. The proportion then becomes16% for both types of concentrated settlements.

e. The population of the scatterd settlements follows fromthe Regional total and the totals for concentratedsettlements.

Table VII.3. Estimated population distribution in 1991by type of settlement and economic activity.

Type of settlement

I.

II.

Ill

IV.

District capitals and Mwadui

estimated populationby economic activity

non-farmers farmers

87,000

- Shinyanga town 50,000- Kahama, Bariadi, Maswa town 2 9,000- Mwadui mines 8,000

Concentrated settlements in 1972 59,000

- 1972 population 400 - 10001000 - 20002000 - 4000

4000

.New concentrated settlementsin development areas.

Scattered villages

Total for the Region

52,000

198,000 1,

316,000

278,000

036,000 1

630,000 1

in 1991

Total

87,000

50,00029,0008,000

375,000

157,000113,00077,00028,000

330,000

,036,000

,828,000

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Comparing the data of this table with the figures of 1972 itappears that the population living in towns in the Region willincrease from 30,900 to 87,000, while the population ofexisting concentrated settlements will grow from 199,2 00 to37 5,000 to which number 33 0,000 has to be added, being thepopulation of the new concentrated settlements in thedevelopment areas.The proportion of the scattered population would decreaseduring the planning period from 77% in 1967 to 55-60% in 1991.

The farming population in existing concentrated settlements in1967 was 153,900 (see app. 11), while for 1991 a population of316,000 is expected. This means for the period 1969 - 1991 anannual increase of 3.0 per cent, slightly more than the growthrate of the total farming population, being 2.7. The implicationis that during the planning period a slight tendency among thefarming population to settle near existing concentratedvillages is assumed. The validity of this assumption issuggested by the results of the sociological survey.The overall growth of the farming population having been takenat 2.7 per cent a year, the growth of the scattered farmingpopulation of 1967 (706,000), a group which by 1991 is dividedinto those who have migrated to new concentrated settlements indevelopment areas and those remaining in scattered villages,might be assumed to amount to 2.62 per cent a year over theperiod 1967 - 1991. Though consistent from the mathematicalpoint of view, it would indicate an unrealistic confidence inthe accuracy of the data and assumptions underlying thepredicted growth rates of table VII.2 to use this figure forthe annual growth of scattered settlements. Given the occupationof their inhabitants the overall rate applied to the category"farmers" of 2.7% a year is proposed instead.The use of this figure in section VII.5 leads to an estimate ofthe scattered population of 1,060,400 in 1991 or an overestimationof 2.4% as compared with table VII.3. This negligible discrepancyover a period of 24 years indicates a satisfactory degree ofconsistency between the assumptions made for growth ratesdifferentiated according to natural access, economic activity,or type of settlement.

On the basis of the demographical data in this section detailedcalculations will be made in section VII.5 per division for thepopulation distribution over the master-plan period at the(interim) years 1976, 1981 and 1986. The results are relevantto the water master-plan and will further be used in TechnicalAnnex G on 'Civil engineering1.Summarizing the implications of demographic developments forthe water master-plan it can be said that:

(i) The increase of the population of district capitals, theMwadui mines and the existing concentrated settlement isknown for the entire master-plan period; the topographicallocations are shown on maps 3.14.04-01-01 to 03.

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(ii) The number and population of new concentrated settlementsto be supplied with piped water in each period of fiveyears is known; the area in which the new settlements willbe located can only be assessed generally within adivision (see Technical Annex E).

(iii)The scattered population of each division can be determinedfor each interim year, as well as its average distributionover the areas with a different water potential.The latter two points depend of course entirely on thepriority criteria to be adopted for the selection ofimmigration and emigration areas. The migration alternativesl.a.c and l.a.d defined in Technical Annex E, arediscussed as are the results of their implementation onthe population distribution.

VII.4. Socio-economic development

In view of the predominant role of agriculture in the regionaleconomy a regional development plan should be aimed at theoptimalization of the average income derived from the cropproduction and animal husbandry sectors, either per family orper group of families, cooperating in an Ujamaa or other formsof co-operative villages. Planning of water supply should beclosely co-ordinated with the region-wide development planningof crop and livestock production in the present farming areasand the farm settlement areas to be developed.In the report on agriculture some alternative developmentmodels of the regional agricultural potential, dependent ontopography, soil texture, fertility, rainfall and evaporationdistribution, as well as present and future conditions ofpastures and bush encroachment, are considered. In this sectionthe main aspects of the actual and future economic developmentof the area are discussed.

Technical Annex E divides the whole Region into six agronomiczones. Within each zone the natural conditions are assumed tobe more or less constant, enabling the optimum choice of acombination of crops suitable for the area with an averageyield per ha deviating only to a limited degree. The zones havebeen located within existing administrative boundaries whereverpossible.

The zones are indicated on fig. V.I of Technical Annex E.Generally boundaries could be matched with administrative,divisional boundaries. For the divisions Negezi, Kishapu andMeatu a distinction between a northern and southern part wasnecessary.

For each agronomic zone a number of promising crops, adapted tothe natural conditions, were considered. Yield estimates weremade on the assumption that agriculture in the Region would

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develop both along current lines and, by active promotion ofmodern husbandry methods, as a package deal including extensionservice and credit facilities, co-operative villages, etc. Itis shown that by 1991 the latter development model would leadto a very considerable improvement of the Net Production Value(NPV) derided from agriculture per average farming household.

Table VII.4. Sub-division of the Region into agronomic zones

number zone

1

2

3

4

5

6

agronomic zone

South & West Kahama

East Kahama

West Shinyanga

Central ShinyangaEast

Maswa & Bariadi

East Shinyanga &

East Maswa

SoutheastShinyanga &South Maswa

constitutingdivision(s)

Dakama, Mweli,Siloka

Kahama, Msalala

Itwangi, Nindo

Samuye, Mjini,Mondo

Sengerema, NunghuItilima, Ntuzu,Kanadi

Negezi (north),Kishapu (north)Mwagala, Meatu(north)

Negezi (south),Kishapu (south),Meatu (south)

District

Kahama

Kahama

Shinyanga

Shinyanga

MaswaBariadi

Shinyanga

Maswa

ShinyangaMaswa

The optimum cropping patterns to achieve this, and from thesethe average farm sizes, have been calculated for each agronomiczone. The cropping patterns assume that each household or groupof households will provide its own labour and will give firstpriority to the cultivation of its own food crops, in line withboth the present system and the government's policy.

It appears that in zones 1 to 5 preference should be given tocrop production instead of livestock keeping, provided ofcourse, that the land is suitable to this purpose. For zone 6 acombination of food crop production and livestock keeping wouldoffer the best solution.As a next step the number of people of the farming population,

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who can be accommodated so that each member has an area ofagricultural land that he can handle optimally, has beenestimated for the various divisions of each agronomic zone.This number is referred to as the "carrying capacity" of thedivision. If the carrying capacities are related to a mereextrapolation of the 1967 population of each division, theanalysis given in the agricultural report makes it clear thatin several divisions the 1991 population will surmount itscarrying capacity, notably in the divisions Itilima, Sengerema,Itwangi, Mondo, Negezi(north), Samuye and Mjini, while inparticular in Kahama District the population is far less thanits carrying capacity.This is to say that in the divisions mentioned the availabilityof land to each production unit will be less than anticipatedand therefore the possibilities based on labour will not beutilised adequately. Consequently the average income will beless than that possible, the more so as available land willfirstly be allocated to the cropping of food crops, while cashcrops will only be grown on the remainder. The excess ofpopulation under natural growth over the carrying capacity isespecially large in zone 6, where livestock keeping requires anaverage grazing area per household or group of households whichis about two times the size of arable land to be allocated tocash crop production in the other agronomic zones. On the otherhand there will be areas in the Region where quite a lot ofland will be idle, Kahama serving as an example. The differencesin land distribution would not only imply failure to obtainmaximun NPV's in too densely populated divisions, but wouldalso lead to considerable variations in the distribution ofincome in the agricultural sector. This situation already ofundesirable proportions in 1991 would worsen steadily in lateryears.

Taking not only the water master-plan period (up to 1991) butalso the farther future into consideration it should be one ofthe aims of a regional development plan to reach an optimaliza-tion of the average income in the agricultural sector, makingfull use of the production development potentials of the wholeRegion. It is obvious that this calls for a partical redistribu-tion of the population allowing each production unit, the farmingfamily, to cultivate the maximum quantity of land which it canhandle as long as arable land is still available in the Region.Technical Annex E estimates, that under such a policy thefarming population of the Region can be accommodated up to theyear 2 005 - 2 010. The number of people to be migrated in thecourse of the years (see next section) is so large, thatimplementation of an active migration programme should beundertaken shortly. Its effluence on the population distributionup to 1991 will be an important input for the water master-plan.

The development of the agricultural potential of the Regionrequires further that a regional development plan pays due

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attention to the modernization of agriculture and to a markedreduction of the average livestock density (see Technical AnnexE). These factors also influence the water master-plan.

Improvement of the efficiency of the extension service, the useof farm machinery and controlled grazing - necessary both toput an end to the present, serious overgrazing in some areasand to free land for crop production - call for farmers of eachvillage to be organized under a co-operative system. It istherefore assumed that a regional development plan willemphasize "villagization" in the sense that settlers in newdevelopment areas will be accommodated in well-plannedconcentrated settlements and that a similar settlement patternwill also be promoted in the already more densely populatedareas, though then the process will undoubtedly be moredifficult and slower. Obviously, this type of settlement haseconomic and technical advantages and implications for theprovision of water as is dealt with further in Technical AnnexG, 'Civil engineering1.The urgent need to reduce the livestock herd and to lower theaverage livestock density (shown in Technical Annex E as aprerequisite to improve the animal husbandry sector and furtherneeded in densely populated areas to make land available formore porfitable crop production), has led to the recommendationthat provision of water to cattle should only be included inthe water master-plan in areas where controlled grazing ispractised at the optimum density.

VII.5. Migration and its influence on the populationdistribution

VII.5.1. General

In Technical Annex E an attempt has been made to estimate therequired volume of migration during the water master-planperiod up to 1991. The calculations have been made on adivisional scale related to migration from the too denselypopulated divisions (emigration divisions) to the scarcelypopulated ones (immigration divisions), a process which iscalled "inter-divisional migration".Two land-suitability alternatives are distinguished. It hasbeen calculated that taking into consideration alternative 1 amigration with a capacity gradually built up during 1976 - 1981to 14,000 people annually, can lead to an optimum populationdistribution in the Region in 2008. That is to say that a totalnumber of 430,000 people should migrate to new sites inimmigration divisions. Under land suitability alternative 2which is less favourable the figures are 16,000 annually and464,000 people in total in 2007.Given the period of the master-plan (up to 1991) and the smalldifferences which both alternatives involve for that period,

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the figures of alternative 1 are used for the master-plan.An estimate is also given for the migration required within thedivisions from one area to another, referred to as "intra-divisional migration". Starting in 1981, it is estimated thatfrom 1986 onwards some 5,700 people would have to be resettledannually, totalling 102,600 members of the farming populationby 2,008.Several alternative migration schedules are considered, basedon different priority criteria to be applied to emigration andimmigration divisions.As feasible dates for implementation 1976 has been chosen forthe inter-divisional migration and 1981 for the intra-divisional migration. The provision of adequate institutionalsupport, the size of the operation and the necessity to executethe migration policy as a part of a detailed regional developmentplan seem to prohibit realization at an earlier date. A periodof five years is foreseen during which the migration capacitywill gradually increase to the required levels of 14,000 FP(members of the farming population)/year and 5,700 FP/yrrespectively.

It is proposed that people who migrate settle down in concentra-ted villages, planned in development areas according to a de-tailed plan and equipped with the necessary facilities such aspiped water supply, schools, medical provisions, agriculturalsupport and the like. The planning and sub-division of suchdevelopment areas is discussed later, in section VII.6.Sub-section VII.5.2 deals with the effect of the implementationof migration alternative l.a.c (see Technical Annex E),considered the most appropriate one for the water master-plan.The resulting distribution of the farming population at 5 yearintervals (1976, 1981, 1986 and 1991) is discussed on the basisof the data given in app. 10 of Technical Annex E.

Under migration alternative l.a.c the situation in agronomiczone 6 would develop along natural lines until 1991. Therestructuring required to turn this into an area whereagricultural activities would concentrate on rational andoptimalized livestock keeping on a small-holder scale, with thecultivation of food crops for own consumption only, will posehuge problems. Especially so, because under this system farfewer people can be accommodated than under present land-usepractices, and large scale emigration will be required. Byextrapolation of the 1967 figures to 1976 the population ofMeatu south would be 86% of the carrying capacity, that ofKishapu south 185% and Negezi south 247%. For 1991 thesefigures would read 128, 276 and 368%I Stimulation of emigrationin the first phases of a regional development plan will also behampered by the current attitude of the farming populationwhich indicates the inclination to move into zone 6 rather thanaway from it. It is therefore argued that an active emigrationpolicy should not be applied to zone 6 before the populationpressures in other areas have been reduced and the positive

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effects of the new system have been clearly demonstrated.Consequently migration alternative l.a.c is chosen as the basisfor the water master-plan.In sub-section VII.5.3, however, the implications of majordifferences in the population distribution relative to thatassumed are assessed, particularly those resulting from anearlier emigration of the "excess" farming population from zone6 (migration alternative l.a.d).

VII.5.2. Assumed population distribution for the water

master-plan

Farmers and their families who emigrate are assumed to belongto the category of the scattered population. The effect ofmigration will generally be that the scattered population ineach division will be smaller then that which would follow froman extrapolation of the 1967 situation. A corresponding numberof farmers will be accommodated in new settlements in developmentareas, either in the same division or in an immigrationdivision.In this sub-section the figures presented in Technical Annex Efor migration alternatieve l.a.c are considered.

The number of farmers migrating to new development areas eitherunder inter-divisional or intra-divisional movements have beencalculated from tables 10.5, 10.8 and 10.10 (Technical Annex E,appendix 10) for three five-yearly periods from 1976 - 1991,and are summarized in table VII.5 below. Technical Annex E doesnot specify the sequence of the execution of intra-divisionalmigration during the relevant period 1981 - 1991, but it isassumed that priority will be given to the divisions which havethe highest overall density of the farming population. Acomparison between tables IV.1 and V.I of Technical Annex Ethen renders the following sequence for the divisions whereintra-divisional migration is foreseen in the agriculturalreport:

from 1981 to 1986: Itilima, Sengerema, Nunghu, Ntuzu andMwagala (partly);

from 1986 to 1991: Mwagala (partly), Kahama, Kishapu(north), Nindo, Meatu (north), Dakamaand Msalala.

The total population of the new concentrated settlements indevelopments areas by 1991 is estimated in table VII.5 from thefarmers who actually migrate, their descendants and a proportion

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of non-farmers taken at 16 per cent of the agriculturalpopulation (see section VII.3).

Table VII.5. Population of new concentrated settlements indevelopment areas

x 1,000

district ordivision

KAHAMA

DakamaKahamaMsalalaMweli

SHINYANGA

Kishapu northNindo

BARIADI

ItilimaNtuzu

MASWA

Meatu northMwagalaNung1huSengerema

REGION (total)

farming populationresettling in devel-opment areas

1976-81 1981-86

1.2 59.94.6

44.63.3

5.1

1.711.6

4.63.00.91.1

i 1986-91

4.06.21.5

77.7

1.112.0

3.03.0

1991 population of newconcentrated settle-ments in developmentareas

farmers non- total(resett- farmerslers anddescendants

74.011.559.881.4

1.117.8

2.013.2

8.66.41.01.2

278.0

13.82.2

11.215.2

0.23.3

0.42.5

1.61.20.20.2

52.0

87.813.771.096.6

1.321.1

2.415.7

10.27.61.21.4

330.0

Note: for each period the number of people given representsthose who actually migrated in that period (42,000 in1976-81; 87,100 in 1981-86; 98,500 in 1986-91)inclusive 2.7% annual growth over the year(s) fromthe moment of migration to the end of the 5-yearperiod under consideration.

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The water master-plan should take into account type, number,size and locations of the new settlements. Generally, developmentareas will have to be found in areas where the 1967 populationdensity was below 40 capita per square kilometre (see maps3.14.04-06-01 to 03). Exact locations can only be determinedafter further detailed survey, beyond the scope of the watermaster-plan study. Type, number and size of the new settlementswill be discussed in section VII.6.

Assuming than no other migration will take place than thatreferred to above, the number of farmers and their families whoremain in scattered settlements can be deduced for the targetyears 1976, 1981, 1986 and 1991 by extrapolation of the 1967figures (see app. 11) and subtration of those resettling indevelopment areas (see table VII.5). Their distribution overeach division is important to assess the various types ofimproved sources which will be required for the supply of waterto this group. Merely for the sake of the water master-planemigration is therefore assumed to take place from the mostdensely populated areas in a division.The planning produce for water supply to the scatteredpopulation by means of the improved sources described inTechnical Annex G, Civil engineering, further requires that adistinction is made between:

low-density areas, where strict application of a maximumwalking distance to the source (1.5 km is proposed as atarget) is inpracticable as it would lead to excessivecost for relatively expensive supplies such as boreholesor charcos. The population is assessed from an extrapolationof the 1967 figures at an annual growth rate of 2.7 percent.

- medium density areas; the adopted design criteria can beapplied unabridged and the population and its distributionare derided from an extrapolation of the 1967 situation.

- high density areas; the planning of the water suppliesmust take into account that emigration from these areasshould be encouraged, whether it be during the master-planperiod itself or over a relevant period thereafter, say upto the year 2000.

The resulting distribution of the scattered population up to1991 is given in table VII.6. Low, medium and high densityareas were actually determined on the basis of the 1967population distribution maps but totalized for presentation perdivision, in line with the accuracy of data available andassumptions made regarding migration.Low density areas are in general those where the totalpopulation density in 1967 was 0-19 people per km2.

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Table VI1.6 Assumed distribution of the scattered population over the course of the master-plan period according to the migration alternative i.a.c(see section VII.5.1) (numbers are rounded to nearest 100; calculations based on unrounded figures).

x 100 people

district or division

KAHAMADakamaKahamaMsalalaMweliSiloka

BARIADIItilimaKanadiNtuzu

MASWAMeatu northMeatu southMwagalaNung'huSengerema

SHINYANGAItwangiKishapu northKishapu southMondoNegezi northNegezi southNindoSamuyeM/ini

REGION

total 1967

128238734524494

212

1551364388799

1824277436475235401

2403344162161352400138380181285

7060

low-density areas*

1967 1991

28 5334 65

145 27388 167

100 189

22 4236 6855 104

121 23034 6462 1189 168 15

5 100 00 03 57 140 0

96 1820 00 0

medium density areas*

1967

316220

746

112

109253513

1160

2214086

11126

0108

00

1245927

1991

599416140

12213

207479973

2200

42075

162

21239

0203

00

23511252

high density areas

1967

43912500

23399

231

40402192186307

32836

161241393138160122258

1976

551153300

296126294

55512244236391

41646

205306500175204155328

1981 1986

63 57132 12837 37

0 00 0

338 280143 164336 336

70 56585 668284 302270 287423 328

320 24854 57

249 284399 294390 326200 228233 223177 126277 227

1991

421103300

175112306

46763239246279

21457

30524129926018494

206

total 1991

2312694591446179402

2466424659

1383

2893496827777337456

2933245296305449313260601206258

10604

Note: the population at interim years follows from extrapolation of the 1967 figures assuming a compound annual growth rate of 2.7 per cent.

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High density areas were determined as being those from whicheither inter- or intra-divisional emigration would be likely totake place before 2000. They were found mathematically by thefollowing procedure:

the 1967 population census figures and the data from theNedeco survey of all concentrated settlements in 197 2 wereextrapolated and used to estimate the farming populationin 197 6 for each area of the population density maps,differentiated as scattered "farmers" and those living inconcentrated settlements;

the density of the total farming population per area ofeach division was calculated for 1976;

the areas within a division were arranged according todeclining magnitude of the above density;

the assumed number of emigrants per division for theperiod 1976-81 was derived from appendix 10 of TechnicalAnnex E, Agriculture;

emigration was supposed to start in the area of a divisionwith the highest density of the agricultural populationand to affect the scattered population only. If thedensity figure dropped to the level of the second highestranking area and further emigration was still necessary,both areas were considered jointly, and so on;

the farming population of each area of a division in 1981followed from extrapolation of the 1976 situation takinginto account the decrease of the scattered population inemigration areas;

- the new density of the farming population of eacharea could be calculated for 1981, and the procedurerepeated for 1981-86, etc.

Table VII.7 gives a summary of the high density areas determinedin the above way. They have been indicated according to thedensity class to which their minimum overall population densitybelonged in 1967, as shown on the maps 3.14.04-06-01 to 03.

VII. 5. 3. In;<plications_of_earlier_development_of_agrgnomic_zone_6

The implications for a water master-plan designed for theassumed population distribution as dealt with in sub-sectionVII.5.2, supposing that a regional development plan were togive priority during the master-plan period up to 1991 torestructuring agronomic zone 6 (Negezi south, Kishapu south andMeatu south) as a cattle keeping area, will be discussed on the

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basis of migration alternative l.a.d set out in Technical AnnexE. This alternative differs from the l.a.c alternativepreviously dealt with in that emigration divisions are simplyranked according to decreasing value of relative populationdensity, which is the ratio between actual or extrapolatedagricultural population and the carrying capacity of adivision.

Table VII.7. Classification of high-density areas

district ordivision

KAHAMA

DakamaKahamaMsalalaBARIADIItilimaKanadiNtuzuMASWAMeatu northMeatu southMwagalaNung'huSengerema

populationdensity in 1967(people / km2)of more than

808080

808080

6020604040

district or minimumdivision population

density in 3 967(people / km2)of more than

SHINYANGA

ItwangiKishapuKishapuMondoNegeziNegeziNindoSamuyeMjini

40north 40south 5

40north 20south 20

604040

Livestock keeping in zone 6 with food crop cultivation only forown consumption calls for a relatively low population density.Emigration from zone 6 would therefore receive high priority,especially for Kishapu south and Negezi south. Table 10.1 ofappendix 10, Technical Annex E, gives comparable figures forthe migration alternatives. From these the reductions to beapplied to the scattered population in the high density areasof zone 6 as listed in table VII.6 for alternative l.a.c can bedetermined for l.a.d. The results are presented in table VII.8.In case of migration alternative l.a.d the planning of watersupplies in zone 6 would not in fact have to reckon withscattered population in Negezi and Kishapu divisions and with amore or less constant scattered population of some 50,000people in Meatu south. It should however be kept in mind thatin accordance with the recommendations made on the rationalizedcattle-keeping system in the agricultural report, water supplyto the livestock of the area would have to be included.

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Table VII.8. Comparison of the scattered population in highdensity areas of zone 6 for migration alterna-tives l.a.c and l.a.d. (rounded figures)

Migration alternativel.a.c. (see table VII.6.

1976

182151

90

1981

202559

104

1986

232867

118

1991

263176

133

division

Negezi southKishapu southMeatu south

Zone 6 total

migrationl.a.d.

1976

182151

90

1981

2659

67

X 1 ,000

alternative

1986

01

51

52

1991

48

48

In regard to the distribution of the scattered population inthe other divisions than zone 6, alternative l.a.d would simplydelay the emigration from high density areas some 4-5 years,and consequently lead to population figures about 13 per centhigher than those listed in table VII.6.A switch from migration alternative l.a.c to l.a.d would notaffect the distribution of the scattered population in low ormedium density areas.Neither would it have any implications for the population ofnew concentrated settlements in development areas (see tableVII.5) as the ranking of these areas remains unchanged.

Vll. 6 Planning in the new areas

VII. 6.1. Planning procedure

Although it is not the aim of either this report on the watermaster-plan to outline a regional development plan, it will benecessary to indicate some guiding principles to serve as areference for the future water supply of the Region. Moreover,as has been indicated in the foregoing section large scalemigration from relatively sparsely populated areas will benecessary for an optimization of the agricultural income. Sincelarge scale migration of people and livestock is a majoroperation, a framework for the resettlement programme has to beconsidered.

Regional planning is oriented towards the future; it looks tothe relation between social purposes and spatial arrangements.

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The process of planning may, in general, be regarded as onewhich leads to the formulation and clarification of goals andto their ultimate reduction to specific courses of action,programmes and projects. Thus regional development planning maybe described as the process of formulating and clarifyingsocial objectives in the ordering of activities in a certainarea.The basic question therefore is in what way activities have tobe distributed in space in order to achieve the socialobjectives. Alternatively, what are the proper social objectivesin accordance with which activities are to be allocated in aplanning area. One of the main functions of regional planningis to state the ordering of centers within an area, toindentify the functions to be performed by each center and tostudy the interrelationship.

A regional development programme will suggest different thingsto different individuals, but is likely to suggest to everyonenot a single programme but a number of related programmesfocusing on common objectives. For a development agency, aregional development programme implies scores of individualprojects ranging from those involving engineering to thosebasically educational in nature.

In general the following steps can be distinguished in theplanning procedure.

A. Formulating the targets.This is the phase in which the main objectives for theRegion and the different sub-areas are formulated andagreed upon by the authorities. A distinction may be madebetween ideal and real targets.

B. Investigation.It is essential that the planners possess information onthe situation on which the planning is to be based and themeans available. This phase makes it necessary toinvestigate in detail the several areas on which theregional plan will be focused.

C. Designing the plan.Here the planning agency should begin by analysing thepresent situation and by measuring it against the targetsto be reached. The next step will be to determine whataction programmes can be employed within the existingsituation to achieve the targets fixed in an earlierphase. Also the time and methods required for therealization of the programmes have to be determined, whilea selection has to be made from among the optimum and thefeasible programmes.In most instances a number of action programmes have to beintegrated.The final plan can be drawn up on the basis of theseconsiderations.

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D. Confirming the plan.Here the regional plan has to be presented to thepolitically reponsible authorities for approval ormodification, while the implication for the budget alsohas to be considered.

E. Implementation.When approval has been obtained, the plan is ready forimplementation, which may be entrusted either wholly ofpartly to government agencies.

F. Evaluation.If the process of planning is to function properly, it isessential that some idea be gained of the effect of agiven action. Once that is known, it is possible todetermine to what extent the plan measures up to expex-tations.Such evaluation is of essential importance when plans haveto be drawn up on the basis of insufficient data.

Within the framework of this planning procedure, theregional authorities will have to formulate the details ofthe development plan for the area. The proposed watersupply programme and the implications of the necessaryresettlement of people in concentrated and consolidatedvillages, makes it necessary to outline the generalrequirements for the implementation of the settlementprogramme.

Some guidelines have been given in Technical Annex E.Three phases have been distinguished: the pre-settlement 'planning, the execution of the resettlement and the post-settlement development. This sequence can be found in thegeneral planning procedure, discussed earlier in thischapter.The main elements of the first phase are:

identification of areas suitable for settlement;assessment of the degree of mechanization to beintroduced both in clearance and reclamation of theselected sites and in the subsequent cultivation ofthe lands;the determination of the optimum size of thesettlement units;the preparation of a blueprint for an optimumsettlement pattern, including the mapping out of newroads, watering points and sites for markets andsocial facilities;the indication of the boundaries of the areassuitable for crop and/or animal husbandry and - inthe case of a communal settlement - the setting ofboundaries between individually and collectivelycultivated and/or grazed land;the drawing up of a tentative schedule for theexecution of the settlement operation;

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- the assessment of the manpower requirements for theexecution;

- the assessment of all material and financialassistance required.

In the execution of the resettlement there are three maintasks:

opening up the settlement areas by constructingroads, clearance and reclamation of lands and thelocation of villages accommodated with some socialfacilities such as schools, dispensaries and aboveall drinking water supply;simultaneously the recruitment of settlers will takeplace.They will have to be selected from the rural poor inthe relatively densely populated areas. The mostdifficult task will be the motivation of theprospective candidates in order to make them willingto leave their area.

- the migration process. For the relocation of thesettlers' families from their area(s) of origin tothe new settlements proper organization is needed.Not only the people but their cattle, goods andchattels will have to be moved.

Finally the third phase is of crucial importance for thesuccess of the programme. It is here that the Governmentnot only provides the infrastructure in the new area, butalso reclaims and develops the land, assists in theconstruction of houses and in the development ofagricultural production, as well as in communitydevelopment.

The great variety of tasks to be carried out in theframework of the execution of the plan will involve manygovernment agencies. Road construction and clearance ofland will have te be carried out by the Ministry ofCommunications, Transport and Labour (Comworks), whichalso has to be involved in the construction of publicamenities like schools and dispensaries.Drinking water for the human livestock population willhave to be provided under the supervision of the RegionalWater Engineer.

Reclamation and bringing under cultivation of the landshould be done by the settlers themselves with assistanceof the Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Co-operatives'regional staff.Facilities and funds for the provision of services in thefield of agricultural credit, supply of agriculturalinputs and marketing of agricultural surplus will have tobe provided by the Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Co-operatives and through existing agencies.

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All these activities and organizations will have to be co-ordinated within a regional planning board, part of theoffice of the Regional Commissioner.

For the guidance of the activities within the new areas,two types of personnel are necessary. In the first placecommunity development workers are needed especially in theearly stage of development.It is felt that the number of settlements to be served bythe community development workers should preferably notexceed four villages.Next to the community development workers agriculturalextension officers will be necessary in dealing with thedevelopment of the agricultural production and marketingof surplus. Both community development workers andagricultural extension personal should co-operate veryclosely in the promotion of rural development.

Before the implementation of the settlement plan it wouldappear necessary to start the programme with an experimentalphase, during which the organizing institutions try out theimplications and feasibility of the project. Such a project, ifproperly prepared and managed, would soon be a source ofpractical information to be applied on a larger scale duringthe plan period.It is advisable to select a favourable area for this experi-mental phase, while the structuring of the settlement patternhas to be done in an integral way, that is to say including anareal centre, the appropriate local centres and the agricult-ural villages belonging to the service area of the centres.

VII.6.2. Settlement patterns

As has been said earlier, the promotion of concentratedsettlements of farmers is one of the main objectives of theplan, and more or less a condition for an adequate water supply(see Technical Annex G).A number of guiding principles were drawn up for the Region.It was felt necessary that social and economic facilitiesshould henceforth be concentrated as far as possible in centressince this course of action would have the following advant-ages :

a. the various service units influence one another, andbecause of this interaction a concentration of facilitiesis usually more effective than an identical numberdistributed throughout a whole area;

b. a concentration of this sort increase the possibility ofestablishing useful public facilities which can help toraise living standards considerably;

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c. the centres, on which social and economic activity must befocussed, will be able to improve the structuring of thepresent organization of rural areas.

Concentrating of facilities in the centres may be expected tolead to their becoming focal points of social and economicactivity. This could exert a positive influence on the formingof rural communities.

It will be clear that this process can only succeed if thepopulation is invited to help in getting centres running.

Starting from the general principle that facilities should beconcentrated in centres, the following distinctions serve asgeneral indication for a comprehensive settlement programme inthe new areas.

1. District and/or divisional centre. This provides servicesincluding such institutions as a district office,hospital, etc. throughout a District, not in the admini-strative sense of the word but rather as a group ofdevelopment areas roughly covering one division or some(parts of) smaller divisions. The district capitals andlarger existing concentrated settlements may be suitableto serve as such.

2. Areal center. The activities of these centres are limitedto a certain area; in the resettlement programme a centrecould be allocated to a new area that will come undercultivation. These centres would provide services forwhich there is a regular demand. The activities areestimated to cover a radius of 8-10 km. Starting from thisassumption settlements of this kind should preferably besituated at a point where a main road intersects one ormore secondary roads.

3. Local centre. Activities of this type of settlement are ona local scale, providing facilities for which there is adaily need such as schools, and shops. Their activitiescover a radius of 4-5 km, while the extent of the totalarea which they serve is estimated to be some 40-60 km2.Such centres should preferably be situated at a pointwhere a secondary road intersects one or more tertiaryroads.

4. The agricultural village. This type of settlement is thelowest echelon in the settlement pattern, having as a mainfunction the concentrated housing of the farmers. Thevillage will cover an area of approximately 10 km2 andwill preferably not exceed a total agricultural populationof 700-800.

This plan has to be considered as an outline for a resettlement

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programme, indicating how the allocation of people and servicescan be structured.The different types of centres should generally be located inthe heart of the area concerned and must be easily accessiblefrom every part of that area. Furthermore a centre should belaid out in such a way as to leave space for eventual expansionof the service units even when the population of the servicearea has reached its maximum number. Every effort should bemade to locate the centre in such a way as to make the fullestpossible use of the facilities already in existence. Finally,care will have to be taken to ensure that the centre or villageis in tune with its natural surroundings.

In general it is estimated that one out of four agriculturalvillages will be a local centre while one out of every fourlocal centres will be planned as an areal centre. The inter-relationship between the types of settlement is laid out infig. VII.1.

Fig. VII.1 Interrelationship between the types of settlements

It will be clear that this scheme functions solely as a model;the actual structuring will be carried out taking into accountthe administrative units, like divisions and sub-divisions,

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whereas different sizes of agricultural villages may berequired in different areas.

In the following table the characteristics and the functions ofthe respective types of settlements are given systematically.One area would include 12 agricultural villages, 3 localcentres, and 1 areal centre with a total agricultural popula-tion of 12,000. Assuming for 1991 the category of non-farmersto constitute some 16 per cent of the total population of thesenew settlements (see section VII.5) they would number some2,000-2,500 people. By assuming distribution of the non-farmersmore or less in accordance with the importance of the differenttypes of villages, the maximum total population of arealcentres, local centres, and agricultural villages has beenestimated at 1,300, 1,100 and 800 people respectively. Again itshould be remarked that these figures are to be regarded asreasonable averages to base the water master-plan on ratherthan strict criteria for the regional development plan to come.

Table VII.9 Settlement scheme

type of settlement

— ArealCentre

- LocalCentre

— Agriculturalvillage

estimatedmaximumpopulation

maximumpopulationserved

1300 14000 -14500

1100 ± 3,500

800 ± 800

radiuskm

8-10

4— 5

1.8-2

areakm 2

agriculturalfacilities

200 - 300 • tractorworkshop

- cottonbuying post

- sub-centrecommunitydevelopment

- sub-centreagriculturalextension

• (veterinarianofficer)

40 — 60 -tradingcentre

- cottonstore- tractors• communitydevelopmentworkers

- agriculturalextensionworker

+ 10 • tractor• store

otherfacilities

• dispensary

and clinic• Tanu-Headquarters

• school• shops

• market• restaurant• petrolpump

• school• shops

tvpeof access

water supply

all piped supplyweatherroad

dry piped supplyweatherroad

track piped supply

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In view of the fact that in the plan for centres the establish-ment of service units is based on an altogether new policy, thevarious work methods that have been used up to the present willhave to be changed and new methods, for instance with regard tofinancial planning, will have to be introduced to ensuresuccess.The government should assume control of the lands concerned assoon as possible, while legislation concerning physicalplanning is particularly needed. Plans regarding publicutilities can be worked out in detail now and adapted to thefuture structure.It is possible to fit the plan for centres into the plans forpolitical decentralization. The centres service areas could,for the matter, serve as political units. Service areas wouldthus be assigned a new and important function.

VII.6.3. Water supply to development areas

For a further water master-plan attached to a new settlementprogramme, it will be necessary to have an approximation of thenumber of new settlements, differentiated according to type,which may be implemented before 1991.For the implementation of the settlement structure designed itis felt necessary that in new areas the programme will startwith the allocation of the area centre or/and the localcentre(s). Before the number of people reaches the maximum andduring the development of the centres within a certain area,the lay-out of the agricultural villages belonging to thecentre has to be started.As soon as the population within the centres reaches a certainlevel - the determination of which will depend on the type ofcentre and the expected demographic growth rate in the future -new migrants are directed to the agricultural villages withinthe radius of the centres.The development of the settlement structure therefore isstarted from the upper level, gradually extending towards thelower echelons, in particular the agricultural villages. Theadvantage of this policy is that the functions of the centresare built up immediately after the occupation of the new land,while furthermore - because of the facilities offered withinthe centres - a concentrated settlement pattern is started atthe very beginning of the colonization. This will have ademonstration effect on the settlement structure of the wholearea.

The number of new settlements required for each period of 5years from 1967-1991 is estimated from the figures of tableVII. 5, on the envisaged volume of the resettling farmingpopulation, by observing the following assumptions:

to allow for growth, the farming population of a newsettlement at the time it is established, is taken at

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550-600 people. This means that the village reaches itsoptimum size in some 10-15 years after which the excessagricultural population should be accommodated elsewhere.In view of the very small migration volumes in the firstyears (1976-81) this factor is disregarded in the watermaster-plan.

the total number of settlements required per division foreach period of five years follows from dividing the"farming population resettling in development areas" (seetable VII.5) by the above initial agricultural population;

the first settlement to be established in an area will bethe areal centre followed by agricultural villages.However, the fifth, ninth and thirteenth settlements to beestablished will be local centres.

The results are listed in table VII.10. Between 1976 and 1991 atotal of 34 areal centres, 79 local centres and 323 agricult-ural villages in development areas will have to be equippedwith an adequate water supply.

In order to use the water supply, being one of the facilitiesand utilities, which must be provided as a factor to stimulatemigration to the new development areas a piped water supplysystem is recommended.

As argued already in section III.3 the provision of water asas integral part of development of the new areas, and in viewof the priority assigned to this development, requires that thewater supply to new settlements in these areas receives absolutepriority and is realized at the time the settlement is esta-blished. The same reasoning applies to the other facilities andservices foreseen, of course.

Nett human water consumption can be estimated for theabove type of centres in keeping with the criteria proposedin sub-section V.3.5 ^at an average 35.7 m /day forareal centres, 27.9 m /day for local centres, and16.0 m /day for agricultural villages.The total designcapacity of a scheme should be determined by addition to theseamounts of the waterconsumption of cattle, if applicable,and a fair margin for spillage and other water losses. Seefurther Technical Annex G, "Civil engineering".

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Table VII.10 Number and types of concentrated settlements tobe established in development areas during thewater master-plan period.

district of

KAHAMADakamaKahamaMsalalaMweli

SHINYANGAKishapu northNindo

BARIADIItilimaNtuzu

MASWAMeatu northMwagalaNung'huSengerema

REGION (total)

number and

1976-1981A

1

5

6

L

15

15

type of concentrated

V

1

58

59

1981A

61

1

1

12

1111

16

-1986L V

201

1

2

3

11

29 1

786

4

6

215

6311

22

settlements

1986-1A

118

11

12

L

2

26

4

21

35

991V

782

101

116

34

142

A = areal centreL = local centreV = agricultural village

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Appendix 1. QUESTIONNAIRE FOR WARD HEADQUARTERS(Selection of villages to be interviewed separately)

1. What are the names of all the villages in this ward?

1 16

2 17

3 18

4 19

5 20

6 21

7 22

8 23

9 24

10 25

11 26

12 2 7

13 28

14 29

15 30

2. In which village is the waterneed (INTERVIEWER) Only ONE village:

most urgent?

3. Compared to the other villages in

ward, would you say that the num- 1. Very large 2. Large 3. Medium,

ber of inhabitants in this villa- 4. Small,

ge is :

4. Which village has the largest (INTERVIEWER) Only ONE village

population growth?

5. Compared to the other villages

this ward, would you say that the 1. Very large 2. Large 3. Medium

number of inhabitants in this 4. Small 5. Very small,

village is:

6. Which village has the most facili- (INTERVIEWER) Only ONE village

ties located within a concentration?

7. Compared to the other villages in

this ward, would you say that the 1. Very large 2. Large 3. Medium

number of inhabitants in this 4. Small 5. Very small,

village is:

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8. Which village is entirely Ujamaa or contains Ujamaa subvillages?

Village Subvillage

1 1

2

2 1

2

3 1

2

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Appendix 2. GENERAL QUESTIONNAIRE FOR ALL VILLAGES

(To be completed at Ward headquarters)

Name of the vil lage Name of the ward.

1. Yes 2. No1. Is there a school in the village?

a. If yes, number of standards or

forms?

b. Is the school isolated or part of

a concentration? 1. Isolated 2. In concentration

c. does the school get it's water from? 1. A piped supply 2. Borehole

3. Cistern 4. Well 5. Rainstorage

tank 6. Other

d. Which of these sources are out of

order?

2. Is there in the village:

1. A hospital 1. Yes (number of beds ) 2. No

2. A health centre 1. Yes (number of beds ) 2. No

3. A dispensary with clinic 1. Yes (number of beds ) 2. No

4. A dispensary without clinic 1. Yes 2. No

a. If any of these are present, are

they isolated or part of a concen-

tration? 1. Isolated 2. In concentration

b. Where do they get their water from? 1. A piped supply 2. Borehole

3. Cistern 4. Well 5. Rainstorage

tank 6. Other

c. Which of these sources are out of

order?

3. Is the village: 1. Completely scattered

2. Scattered concentrations

3. Mainly concentrated

4. Is the village a tradingcentre?

5. Is the village connected to a piped

supply?

6. Is there a dam within or sufficient-

ly near to the village for people

to make use of it?

a. Do people use it for human drink-

water?

7. How many cemented wells are there?

8. How many boreholes are there?

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

2. No

2. No

2. No

2. No

Number not used.

Number not used.

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9. How many rainstorage tanks? Number not used.

10.Is there a missionpost in the

village area? 1. Yes 2. No

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Appendix 3. QUESTIONNAIRE FOR UJAMAA VILLAGES

Name of the Ujamaa village Provisional number.

Name of the ward Name interviewer. . .

Name of the district Function informant.

Subvillage of Date interview

1. In which year was this Ujamaa village established?

2. Of how many people did the Ujamaa village consist

at the date of it's establishment?

3. Of how many people does the village consist at

present?

4. Which activities are undertaken 1. Agriculture

cooperatively? 2. Livestock

3. Other; mention which

5. If agriculture is done cooperatively, how large

was the area reserved for collective farming at

the date of the establishment? acres

6. How large is this collective farming area at

present? acres

7. If livestock is collectively managed how large

was the communal herd at the date of establishment? heads

8. How large is the collective herd at present? heads

9. If the number of people of the

Ujamaa village decreased since

the date of establishment, what

would you say is it's reason?

10. If the number of acres or heads

of cattle decreased since the

date of it's establishment,

what would you say to be the

reason?

11. If the Ujamaa village has not

yet reached it's final, planned acres

size, of how many acres and/or

of how many heads of cattle and heads of cattle

of how many people should the

village consist when this goal people

has been reached?

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12. Does the Ujamaa village make 1. Yes

yearly use of fertilizers? 2. No

13. Does the Ujamaa village make 1. Yes

yearly use of insecticides? 2. No

14. If the answer to questions 12

and 13 is NO, explain why insec-

ticides and/or fertilizers ,

are not used yearly1. ,

15. What would you say are some of

the main obstacles that this

village faces in it's way

towards Ujamaa?

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1 2 1

Appendix 4 . VILLAGE QUESTIONNAIRE

Name of the village Provisional number.

Name of the ward Name interviewer. . .

Name of the d i s t r i c t Function informant.

Date interview

Form checked by Remarks.

Check date

Qualification G.Lang

Number of inhabitants,

A. SOCIO-ECONOMIC INFRASTRUCTURE

1. How many hundred cell-leaders are there in this village? ,

2. How many ten cell-leaders are there in this village?

(including the hundred cell-leader)

3. What are the names of the subvillages; how many tencel1-leaders has

each subvillage; what is the number of households in each ten cell?

Names Subvillages Number of cellleaders Number of H.H.

1.

2.

3.

1.

2.

3.

1.

2.

3.

1.

2.

3.

TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS

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122

4. Which of the following facilities

numb.)

1. Gov't Primary School

2. Other school

3. Number of standards or

forms

4. Dispensary with clinic

5. Dispensary no clinic

6. Health centre

7. Hospital (number of beds )

8. Police station

9. Post office

10.Railway station

ll.Tanu headquarters

12.Village training centre

13.Marketplace

14 . Shops (number )

15.Hotel

16.Restaurant

17.Bar

18.Petrol pump

19.Garage

20.Agricultural repair shop

are there in this village? (Circle the

21. Cotton buying post

22. Cotton primary society

23. Cotton ginnery

24. Flour mill

25. Other industries (which?

26. Cattle market

27. Cattle weight bridge

28. Cattle crush

29. Cattle holding ground

30. Veterinary centre

31. Mosque temple or church

32. Mission post

33. Cattle dip

34. Ujamaa village.

(if Ujamaa sub village:

Name of the subvillage(s))

5. Is the village situated on?

6. How many cooperative societies

are there in this village?

7. Is the settlement completely

scattered or are there some

concentrations of houses and

facilities?

8. Are the facilities within a con-

centration of houses or are they

mainly separated from these con-

centrations?

9. How many people OR households

have moved into the village?

1. Railroad

2. Mainroad

3. Secondary road

1. Completely scattered

2. Some concentration in subvillages

3. Most houses concentrated in one

location.

1. They are a part of a concentration

2. They are isolated from concentra-

tions .

People

1970 plus

1971 plus

Households

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123

10. Why have they come into this

village?

1. For new shambas

2. For good grazingland

3. For water (human consumption)

4. For water (animal consumption)

5. Better facilities (mention which)

6. Other (mention which)

11. Where do these people come from? District Ward Village

12. How many people OR households

have moved out of the village?

13. Do the young people here stay

in the village or are they most-

ly leaving the village after

adulthood?

People Households

1970 plus ,

plus

1. All stay in the village

2. Majority stays in the village

3. Some stay in the village

C. AGRICULTURE

14.

15.

16.

17.

18.

19,

What are the maincrops in the vil-

lage? ASK FOR THE ORDER OF IMPORTAN-

CE I

Which crops are cultivated in order

to be sold?

Which crops are grown for food?

What is the most common type of

cultivation? (Only one answer)

How many tractors are there in the 1.

village? 2.

To whom do these belong? 1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

Hoe cultivation

Ox and plough

Tractor and plough

None

Individually owned

Group of families

Co-operative

Contractor

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20. How many farmers use manure?

21. For which crops mainly?

1. None

2. Few

3. Majority

22. How many farmers use fertilizers? 1. None

2. Few

3. Majority

23. Which kind mainly? 1. Nitrogen

2. Phosphate

3. Other

24. For which crops mainly? 1. Nitrogen:

25. Where do they obtain these from?

26 If farmers use fertilizers what is

on the average the quantity used

per acre?

27. How many farmers use insecticides? 1.

28. For which crops mainly?

29. Where do they obtain these from?

30. If farmers use insecticides what

is on the average the quantity

used per acre?

31. What is the average size of land

under crop of one household?

32. Of all land in use by one house-

hold how much is left fallow each

year?

33. What is the size of the smallest

farm in this village?

34. What is the size of the largest

farm in this village?

35. Do farmers use improved seeds?

2. Phosphate:

3. Other.

ki los

None

Few

3. Majority

acre

, % OR .acre

.acre

.acre

1. None

2. Few

3. Majority

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125

36. For which crops mainly?

37. Of the average size of land used 1. Cash crops acres

by one household, how much is 2. Foodcrops acres

planted with cashcrops, how much

with food?

38. Is there enough land available for 1. No, there is a shortage

agriculture? 2. There is enough but not abundant

3. There is sufficient land

4 . Remarks :

39. How is the quality of the soil? 1. Good

2. Medium

3. Bad

40. If bad, for what reason? 1. Stays flooded too long

2. Rocky

3. Shallow soil

4. Poor fertility

41. Can you describe the main types of

soils found within the village

area?

INTERVIEWER: MENTION IN SEQUENCE ,

OF IMPORTANCE:

42. Does water stay on the field for 1. Yes

more than 3 days after heavy 2. Occasionally

rains? 3. No

43. If water stays on the field what

is approximately the acreage of

this flooded area in this vil-

lage?

44. Which credit facilities are used 1. Bank 2. Mobile bank 3. Money

by the farmers in this village? lender 4. Co-operative 5. None

45. For which purposes are these 1. Agriculture

credits used? 2. Cattle

3. Other

46. Suppose that farmers in this 1. To buy more cattle

2. To obtain more land

3. To buy fertilizers/insecticides

4. To get an additional wife

5. To buy articles like a transis-

tor, bicycle or corrugated iron

6. Save it

Suppose that farmers in this

village would suddenly earn con-

siderably more cash than they have

been doing until present, what do

you think they would use this

money for?

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126

D. LIVESTOCK

47. How many farmers have cattle in

this village?

48. How large is the average herd of

cattle in this village?

49. Has the number of cattle increased

or decreased during the last

years?

50. Where do people graze their live-

stock?

51. If outside the village, why?

1.2.

3.

4.

5.

1.

2.

3.

4.

1.

2.

3.

100%75%

50%

25%

Less than 25%

5 - 1 0 heads

10 - 20 heads

20 - 40 heads

Larger than 40 heads

Increased

Decreased

More or less the same

WET SEASON DRY SEASON

52. Do people regularly sell cattle

for commercial reasons?

53. Where is in general cattle belon-

ging to fanners in this village

sold?

54. If cattle is grazed outside the

village, what is the distance of

the grazingland to the village?

1. Near their shambas 1.

2. Outside village 2.

Lack of grazing land in village

Lack of water

Other reasons

Most of them do

Some do

Nobody does

WET SEASON DRY SEASON

.miles .miles

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127

E. WATER

55. Where does the water for human consumption come from in this village?

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

6.

7.

8.

9.

10.

11.

12.

13.

WET SEASON Number

River or Stream

Spring

Natural lake or pond

Handdug waterhole in river-

bed

Handdug waterhole else

Well

Borehole(s)

Pumpsupplies from river

and stream

Lake with dam

Charcos

Rainstorage tanks

Cistern

PaddyfieId

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

6.

7.

8.

9.

10.

11.

12.

13.

DRY SEASON Number

River or Stream

Spring

Natural lake or pond

Handdug waterhole in river-

bed

Handdug waterhole else

Well

Borehole(s)

Pumpsupplies from river

and stream

Lake with dam

Charcos

Rainstorage tanks

Cistern

Paddyfield

56. Which watersupply is used by most WET SEASON DRY SEASON

people in this village?

INTERVIEWER: Code numbers from list in previous question and mention only

one source for each season!

57. What would you say is the distance WET SEASON source: mile

of this watersource to the centre DRY SEASON source: mile

of the village?

58. Which of the constructed water-

sources are out of order? INTER- WET SEASON

VIEWER Code numbers from list

in Q. 55.

59. Is there in general enough water WET SEASON

for human consumption available 1. Yes

throughout the year? 2. No

60. What do the villagers think about

the quality of the drinking water? WET SEASON

1. Good

2. Reasonable

3. Bad

DRY SEASON

DRY1.

2.

DRY

1.

2.

3.

SEASONYes

No

SEASON

Good

Reasonable

Bad

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128

61. Do people from other villages

make use of the same watersour-

ces?

62. Is there enough water for cattle

in this village?

63. If there is not enough water for

cattle, how far is cattle being

driven to drink?

64. Have people in this village made

an official request for an im-

provement of their watersupplies?

65. If so, what was the reaction of

the authorities?

1. No

2. Yes; which villages?

WET SEASON DRY SEASON

1. Yes 1. Yes

2. No 2. No

WET SEASON DRY SEASON

miles miles

1. Yes

2. No

1. New installation under construc-

tion

2. New installation promised

3. Authorities visited the village

4. No reaction.

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129

Appendix 5. WATER CONSUMPTION QUESTIONNAIRE

(To be used for the interview of household)

Name of the v i l l age . .

Name of the ward

Name of the district.

Form checked by

Check date

Final control

Provisional number..

Name of interviewer.

Function informant..

Date interview

Remarks

1. What kind of containers doadults in your household useto carry water?

IF OTHER THAN A DEBE IS USED ASK:

1. debe2. bucket*3. gourd*4. pot*

5. skin*6. no adults

carry water7. no children

carry water

How many of these containers are needed to fill a debe?(INTERVIEWER: If farmer does not know, you examine

the container and make an estimate yourself) .

2. What kind of containers use 1.children in your household 2.to carry water 3.(code answer from list in Q. 1.) 4.

* IF OTHER THAN A DEBE IS USED ASK:

5.

7.

1 .2 .

1 .2 .

YesNo

YesNo

How many of these containers are needed to fill a debe?(INTERVIEWER: If farmer doesnot know, you examine

the container and make an estimate yourself.

3. Do men in your household evencarry water?

4. Does your household get waterfrom another source in thedry season (chu) than in thewet season (kiduku)?

5. Why do you get water fromfrom another source in thein the dry season (chu)?

6. How many trips do members ofyour household make daily tothe water source

1. Wet season source dries up2. Wet season source becomes

polluted (diseased)3. Wet season source becomes salty

or other bad quality (dirty,bad, taste, etc.)

WET SEASON DRY SEASON

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130

7. How much water is brought backon each trip

WET SEASON DRY SEASON

LNTERVIEWER: Estimate theequivalent in debes if othercontainers are used.

How many people and whichpeople go along on each trip

WET SEASON DRY SEASON

9. When did the farmer beginusing the wet season sourcelast year

10. When will the farmer probablystop using this source thisyear

11. What kind of source do you getyour water from?

12. How far is the source of yourwater from your house(in miles one way)

WET

0 =

1 =

2 =3 =

4 =

5 =

6 =7 =

8 =

WET

0 =1 =

2 =

3 =

4 =

5 =6 =7 =8 =

SEASON DRY

flowing waterriver or streamhanddug holein river orstream bedspringnatural lakeor pondhand dug wellor water hole(no pump)hand dug wellwi th pumpbore holetap on villagewater supplysystemother

SEASON DRY

don't knowless than 100yards100 yards to kmile% mile to \mile% mile to 1mile1 to 2 miles2 to 3 miles3 to 5 milesover 5 miles

SEASON

01

23

4

5

67

8

SEASON

01

2

3

4

5678

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131

13. How long it takes to walk fromyour house to the water source

14. Which water use usuallyconsumes the largest amountof water in your household

15. Which water use usually consu-mes the second largest amountof water in your household(code answer from list inprevious question)

16. Do you have to contribute anylabour or pay any money for theuse and upkeep of your watersupply

17. Would you say that the wateryou use for drinking is ofgood quality, bad quality or isin between good and bad

18. What is wrong that yourwater is not good quality

WET SEASON DRY

12345678

= under 5 min.= 5 to 10 min.= 10 to 15 min.= 15 to 30 min.= 30 min. to 60= 1 to 1^ hrs.= 1% to 2% hrs.= over 2\ hrs.

WET SEASON DRY

012

345

678

= drinking= cooking= washing uten-

sils

SEASON

12345678

SEASON

012

= washing clothes3= bathing babies= bathing adults

and children= animals= house building= irrigation

WET SEASON DRY

012345678

WET SEASON DRY

1

2

YES; explainwhat you do

NO

WET SEASON DRY

123

= good= bad= in between

WET SEASON DRY

1234

5

dirtysaltydiseasedpolluted byanimalsother, specify

45

678

SEASON

012345678

SEASON

1

2

YES; explainwhat you do

NO

SEASON

123

= good= bad= in between

SEASON

1234

5

dirtysaltydiseasedpolluted byanimalsother specify

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132

19. Do you do anything to yourwater before you drink it

(I I answer is NO, continue wiLhnext question 21)

20. Why don't you do anything toyour water

21. Where do members of yourhousehold usually bathe

22. How long does it take to walkto the bathing place fromyour house (one way)

23. On the average, how many timesper week do the adults childrenand babies in your householdtake a bath

WET SEASON DRY

1 YES1 = boil2 = allow to sett

-le3 = add dawa4 = other; speci-

fy

2 NO

WET SEASON DRY

1 water goodno need

2 no time3 too expensive4 nothing can bedone to make thewater better

5 don't know howto improve water

0 At home withwater carried tothe house

1 River or stream2 Handdug hole in

river or streambed

3 Natural lake orpond

SEASON

1 YES12

3.4

2 NO

SEASON

1

234

5

0

12

3

4 hand dug well or4waterhole (nopump)

5 hand dug wellwith pump

6 bore hole7 tap on village8 other

WET SEASON DRY

l=less than 5 min.2=5 to 10 min.3=10 to 15 min.4=15 to 30 min.5=30 to 60 min.6=1 to X3j hrs.7=l^hrs to 2!jhrs8=over 2\ hrs9=other; specify

WET SEASON DRY

1= no times2= once3= twice4= three times

5

678

SEASON

123456789

r SEASON

1234

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133

WET SEASON DRY SEASON

5= four times 56= five times 67= over five times78= other, specify 8

24. Are there problems that preventmembers of your household frombathing as often as they want

WET SEASON DRY SEASON

25. Does your water supply everfail in the dry season so thatyour household doesn't haveall of the water you need

26. How often does it fail?

1 Yes, what are they 11= not enough water 12= too far to carry 2

water3= too far to walk 34= not enough time 45= other, specify 5

2 NO2 NO

0 Yes

1 No

1. Every year or nearly every year2. About every other year3. About 1 year in every 3 years4. Less often than one year in 35. Other; specify

27. How long does this period ofwater shortage usually last?

1. less than 1 month2. 1 to 2 months3. 2 to 3 months4. 3 to 6 months5. 6 to 9 months6. other specify.

28. How long does it take to driveyour cattle to where they getwater (one way).

WET SEASON

1. under 30 min.2. 30 to 60 min.3. 1 hr. to 2 hrs.4. 2 to 4 hrs.5. 4 to 6 hrs.6. 6 to 8 hrs.7. over 8 hrs.

DRY SEASON

1.2.3.4.5.6.7.

29. Is there always enough waterfor the cattle

WET SEASON

0 Yes1. No2. Other, specify

DRY SEASON

01.2.

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30. Do you have to do any work orpay any money to maintain thissource

WET SEASON DRY SEASON

0 Yes; explain 0what

1. No 1.

31. How many families are therewithin the same householdgroup

32. Composition of the household group. List:

No. Function Sex Age Remarks

33. How long has the householdgroup been living within thevillage area

34. Where did it come from

35. Why did it come to this place

years

Village .WardDistrict

36. How many babies were born inthis household group in 19 71

37. How many people died in thishousehold group in 19 71

38. How many houses are thereon the compound of thehousehold group includingbarns.

Males FemalesFirst

familySecond

familyThird

family

Males ..

Females

Age

Age

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135

Appendix 6. WATER CONSUMPTION QUESTIONNAIRE(To be used for interviews at the source)

Name of the village : Form checked by :

Name of the interviewer : Check date :

Date of the interview : Coding Date .

Interviewee: Adult collecting water at source.Introduction: Explain to the interviewee that the water supply in Shinyanga

Region is a problem and needs to be improved. To find outwhat the situation is here, we would like to ask some ques-tions about the water supply of your household group.

1.

2.

3.

Age

Sex

Level of education: 00000

NoneStandard I/IVStandard V/VIIIForm I-IIHigher than form II

4. How many families are there in your householdgroup:

5. What is the composition of the householdgroup?

No adults No children No babies (0/1 y)

Fami ly I

Family II

Family III

Total

6. Have you never lived in a village other than this one: Yes/No

7. Why have you migrated:

8. What is your occupation: 0 FarmerO ShopkeeperO0 Cotton0 CerealsO

9. What is your main crop:

10. How far have you travelled to this water source?Don't knowLess than 100 yardsO 100 yards to k mileO i to 5 mileO *j to 1 mileO 1 to 2 milesO 2 to 3 milesO 3 to 5 milesO 5 miles and more0 other:

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136

11. Do you use the water you get here for drinking? Yes/No.

12. Which other water sources do you use during the dry season?

For drinking water For other purposes

None

River/stream

Spring

Natural lake/pond

Handdug waterhole in

Handdug waterhole elsewhere

Ring-well

Borehole

Pumpsupply or stream from river

Dam

Storage tank

Paddyfield

Tap

13. Do you use any other water source during the wet season?

For drinking water For other purposes

None

River/stream

Spring

Natural lake/pond

Handdug waterhole in r iver bed

Handdug waterhole elsewhere

Ring-well

Pumpsupply or stream from river

Dam

Storage tank

Paddyfield

Tap

14. If you use any other sources, why do you do this?

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137

15. Is there any water source closer to your home than this one? Yes/NoIf yes, why don't you use that one?0 Polluted (diseased)0 Salty/dirty/bad taste0 Crowded0 Difficult to use0 Other:

16. Why do you use this one?

0 Close to home0 Good water0 Not crowded0 Easy to use0 Others: . .

NOTE

If more answers are given, list inorder of importance.

17. Which two of the following water sources do you prefer, and whyRiver/streamSpringNatural lake/pondHanddug waterhole in river bedHanddug waterhole elsewhereRing-wellBoreholePumpsupply from river streamDamStorage tankPaddyfieldTap

18. How often do you come to this water source? To get howmany debes per day?

19. Why don't you come more often?(not necessary/too far/have to work in fields/others:

20. What are you going to do/have you done today?

21. What is your opinion about the quality of the water of this source:

Dry season Wet season

GoodFairBad

22. Do you do anthing to your water before you drink it?(No/yes, boil/yes, allow to settle/yes, add dawa/yes, other: )

23. Do you think this village needs a new water supply? Yes/No.

24. If yes, of what kind? (well/borehole/pumpsupply from river/stream/damstorage tank/other: )

25.

26,

(a) Would you work for a week to construct it? (Yes/No/don't know)(b) If water here became very scarce, and you knew that there was an

abundance of it in a village nearby, would you go and live there?(Don't know/may be/yes/no).

Does the head of your household ever buy water?(Regularly/occasionally/never)If yes from whom?When, and for what reason do you buy water? ...,What is the price per debe?

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138

27. What members of your householdgroup carry water daily, and how manytimes?

Men: age Men: times Women: age Women: times Chidren: times1 :2:3:

4:

28. What is the time they spend walking from your home to here?

hours minutes.29. At what time of the day do the household members usually go to carry

water?

Morning from toAfternoons from toEvenings from to

30. How much water did the following family members bring YESTERDAY?

Number debes Number litres NOTE: If no debes wereused, examine

Number men containers &Number women give estimatedNumber children number of litresTotal

31. Do members of your household use carts, bicycles or animals to carrywater?

Type of transport:

AlwaysSometimesNever

32. What type of storage do you use for drinking water?

33. Which water uses consume the largest and second largest amount of car-ried water in your household?

Wet season Dry season

DrinkingCookingWashingBathingAnimalsHousing/buildingIrrigationOthers :

34. Where do members of your household usually bathe?

Wet season Dry season

At homeAt traditional sourceAt modern sourceDistance miles yards

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139

35. What work do you have to do or amount of money to pay for the use andupkeep of your water supply?Wet season 'Dry season

36. Does your water supply ever fail during the dry season, so that yourhousehold doesn't have all the water they need?(never/occasionally/regularly)

37. How often does it fail? times in the dry season

38. If a good and constant water, supply for the cattle was nearby inanother village, would you go and live there? (Yes/No).

Page 145: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure
Page 146: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure

141

Appendix 7.

EXPLANATION

RESULTS OF VILLAGE QUESTIONNAIRE

GEHEPAV CODEO-NOT ANSWEREDl -YES2-NO9-NOT RELEVANT

PRINT COLUMN .LINE QUESTION KEY TO COOING

9I 0

10II

H12

121 3

13

NAME OF VILLAGECODE NUMBERWARD

NAME OF DISTRICT

GOVERNMENT PRIMARY SCHOOLUJAHAA VILLAGEOTHER THAN GOVT.PRIN. SCHOOLPOPULATION S H E

D1SPFNSARY WITH CLINICTOTAL PRIORITY SCORE

DISPENSARY WITHOUT CLINICLOCATION OF VILLAGE

HEALTH CENTRETYPE OF SETTLEMENT

SEE APi5. 8

1.-SHINVAVGA

HOSPITALIMMIGRATION DURING LASTTWO YEARS

POLICE STATIONEMIGRATION DURING LASTTWO YEARSPOST OFFICE

CROPS

2 RAILWAY STATION1 HOST COMHOW TYpe OF

CULT!VAT 1 OH

2 TANU O F M C E1 NUMBER OF TRACTORS 1H THE

VILLAGE

VILLAGE TRAINING CtNTRE

3-K/IHAT'iA-B/R1/•[•.!GENERAL COOE-GEMERAl CODEGENER/U CODt0-NOT ANSWERED1-0 TO 400 PEOPLE2 - 4 0 ) TO 600 PEOPLE3-MORE THAN 800 PEOPLE-GENERAL CODE0-NOT L5TERMINED

EXACT NUMBERGENERAL CODE0-NOT ANEWFREDI -AT RAILROAD2-GN ALL-WEATHER ROAD3-ON OTHER ROAD4-L • 25-\ + 3GENERAL CODE0-NOT ANSWEREO\-COMPL£TELY SCATTERED2-PARTLY OR MAINLY CONCENTRA-

TED WITH POPULATION OF NOTMORE THAN 400 PECPLE IX ' T 2

3-PARTLY OR MAINLY CONCENTRA-TED WITH POPULATION OF HCRETHAN AOO PEOPLE IN 1972

GENERAL CODE0-NONE

- EXACT NUMBER9 9 8 - 9 9 8 PEOPLE OR MORE999-NOT AHSWEREDGENERAL CODEA$ COLUMN q LINE I

GENERAL CODE0-NOT ANSWEREDl-COTTOX ONLY2-COTTON ANU NAIZfc3-COTTCH AND RIC£i|-COTTO»:,HAIZE ANP RICE5-KA1ZE OWLY6-MAI Z£ AND RICE

7-RICfc ONLYGENERAL CODE0-NOT ANSWERED1-HOE2-OX AHL PLOUGH3-TRACTCS AND PLOUGHGENERAL CODE0-NOT ANSWERED1-7EXACT NUMBER6 - 8 OR WKB9-NONEGENERAL CODE

Page 147: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure

EXPLANATION continued

142

PRINT COLUMN LINE QUESTION

14 1 MOW PANY FAP.fCFS U U

KEY TO CODING

C-.N1T tNShH

IA

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t-vf.'tcz- s i z e ' . r L / - ' J C U \ P C PCHOP F!> HCU5KI-CI.(: -F.X4CT

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Page 148: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure

EXPLANATION continued

143

PRINT COLUMN

2620

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LINE

1

QUESTION

r. i i i . i f 'C re- r f .TTLi ' r : i »I <\L •"? AM.NS

HLOUr. M I L LO ' O L L I T l ;'=• Of F A C I l . I T I t t r C rA M . V . ' L HUSi iANORY.FCR PPFSJNCJSHE L I N E I

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Sr.U-CTS F'."^ H L ^ f t XATf.nCUNSUMi'TION IN DF.Y JfASCN« H : C M VsATtK SUPPLY 13 U f foY "i(.ST t\"GPLc IN THT V>£TSEAiCN

ATES SUPPLY IS USEC,,Y w e n PFCPLt" IK ThC DRY

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Page 149: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure

144

EXPLANATION continued

PRINT COLUMN LINE

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I j 'ihCKT I N C f N r ^ A i : : i , r uCHK'ATl.:C FUU CATTLI": / . v m . A l i L h I NTHIS- V U L A C - IN T M Vgf.T SEASINIS T H I K ' . IN tjFNf.B/.L CNCUGHifATLt H:'.< CAUL! - A V / K M i L E I NTHIS V i l L * C ~ IN THF \iR Y S3ASCNu n i C i . ' . L t.[ :.;L'LST SL i 'M ITT -DFDP. IwH\ iTVL v : : t i7 CH hiTCRSUPPLYf.^ACTlCM uf A U I H C M T I 2 S TO• i r r i c i ^ L K:: ;u-cr re L I N H x

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Page 150: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure

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Page 151: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure

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Page 161: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure

COLUMN 1

Mwagalla division (continued)

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Page 162: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure

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Page 163: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure

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Page 164: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure

COLUMN 1

Mweli division (continusd)

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Page 165: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure

COLUMN 1

Siloka division (continued)

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Page 166: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure

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Page 167: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure

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_NWAMNGfSHA_ CODE MR. A" '

NKOLOGaMA.. COOCW"».. "<,•

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64

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a>en

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167

Appendix 8. WARD CODESCode numbers as applied in app. 7

3.1. Shinyanga District

Negezi division

IBADAKULI 11ITILIMA 12UKENYENGE 13MWAMASHELE 14KILOLELI 15LAGANA 16TALAGA 17NGOFILA 18

Itwangi division

USULE 21DIDIA 22IMESELA 23TINDE 24ILOLA 25ITWANGI 26

Mondo division

BUBUKI 31BUNAMBIYU . 22BUGURO 33MONDO 34.SONGWA 35LOHUMBO MWADUI 37MAGANZO 38

Kishapu division

UCHUNGA 41MWAKIDOYA 42SHAGIHILU 43MASANGA 44MWAMALASA 45SOMAGEDI 46KISHAPU 47

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168

Mjini division

CHIBE 51KIZUMBI ' 52Shinyanga has a separate status

Nindo division

SOLWA 61SALAWE 62MWANTINI 63ISELAMAGAZI 64LYABUKANDE 65NYANG'OMBE 66

Samuye division

MWAMALA 71USANDA SINGITA 72SAMUYE 73

8.2. Maswa District

Nung'hu division

BUCHAMBI 12MASELA 13ISANGA 14

Sengerema division

MALAMPAKA 31BADI 32KULIMI 33NYABUBINZA 34SHISHIYU 35

Meatu division

ITINJE 51MWANBUZO 53IMALASEKO 54SEMU-KIMALI 55KISESA 56BUKUNDI 57NKOMA (Meatu division) 58

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169

Mwagala division

SUKUMA 73BUSILILI 74MPINDO 75DAKAMA 76IPILILIO 77LALAGO 72

8.3. Kahama District

Kahama division

ISAGEHE 12ISAKA/JANA 13MHONGOLO 15ZONGOMERA 16

Dakama division

UKUNE 21UKAMBA 22MPUNZE 23

Mweli division

ULEWE 31USHETU 32UYOGO 33

Siloka division

RUNZEWE 41USHIROMBO 42MASUMBWE 43MBOGWE 44

Msalala division

NGOGWA 51BUSANGI 52NGAYA 53LUNGUYA 54

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170

.4. Bariadi District

Itilima division

LUGURU 21ZAGAYU 22NKOMA (Itilima division) 23MWAMAPALALA 24MBITA 25

Ntuzu division

SOMANDA 41NKOLOLO 42MHANGO 43BARIADI 44BUNAMHALA 45NYAKABINDI 46MWABUBINGI 47DUTWA 48GABU 49

Kanadi division

CHINAMILI 61SAGATA 62LAGANGABILILI 63BUMERA 64

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171

Appendix 9. NUMBER AND POPULATION OF CONCENTRATEDSETTLEMENTS 19 72

district or division

Kahama District

DakamaKahamaMsalalaMweliSiloka

Bariadi District

t til ima

Kanadi

Ntuzu

Maswa District

MeatuMwagalaNung'huSengerema

Shinyanga District

ItwangiKishapuMondoNegeziNindoSamuyeMjini

Region

number of concentratedsettlements in rural areas

pop. 400-800

22 (pop. 12,100)

85522

11 (pop. 7,100)

506

20 (pop. 11,900)

9245

59 (pop. 35,300)

16967894

112 (pop. 66,400)

pop. > 800

7 (pop. 6,600)

-.-

»->

to

to

27 (pop. 50,900)

113

13

20 (pop. 31,600)

6843

33 (pop. 43,700)

3968322

87 (pop. 132,800)

total populationof concentratedsettlements (")

18,700

6,8004,6003,3002,0002,000

58,000

26,1003,300

28,600

43,500

14,30015,0008,8005,400

79,000

12,80019,70010,20015,8008,2007,5004,800

199,200

(* ) not included: Shinyanga, Bariadi, Maswa & Kahama towns and Mwadui

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173

333

,808,711f983

33%32%35%

Appendix 10. CENSUS SHINYANGA TOWN (13-15 June 1972)

10.1. Total population

Men of 16 years and olderWomen of 16 years and olderChildren 0-15 years

Total population 1972 11,502 100%

10.2. Population growth 1967-1972

Total population 1972 11,502Correction for new boundaries establishedafter 1967 1,191

Total population 1972 within 1967boundaries 10,311Total population 1967 5,135

Population growth 5,176

10.3. Water distribution Shinyanga town

Estimated number of people using water fromprivate tap 5,410Estimated number of people using water frompublic tap 2,615Estimated number of people using other water 1,399Number of people with no response 2,078

Total 11,502

10.4. Population of adjacent urban area in Kizumbi Ward

Men of 16 years and olderWomen of 16 years and olderChildren 0-15 years

3,041 100%

10.5. Water distribution urban area in Kizumbi Ward

Estimated number of people using water fromprivate tap 160Estimated number of people using water frompublic tap 712Estimated number of people using other water 1,683Number of people with no response 486

Total 3,041

895851

1,295

29%28%43%

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175

Appendix 11. POPULATION 1967 ACCORDING TO TYPE OFSETTLEMENT AND ECONOMIC ACTIVITY

districtor

f Jivision

1

Kahama District

Dakama

Kahama town

Kahama

Msalala

Mweli

Siloka

Bariadi DistrictI til ima

Kanadi

Ntuzu

Maswa District

MeatuNorth*

Meatu-South*

Mwagala

(Mung'hu

Sengerema

Shinyanga District

Itwangi

Kishapu-North*

Kishapu-South*

Mondo

Negezi-North*

NegeziSouth*

Nindo

Samuye

Mjini

Shinyanga-town

Mwadui

Region

totalpopulation

2

147,628

44,601

3,211

38,403

27,280

11,219

22,914

206,304

58,986

41,628

105,690

224,612

34,390

49,284

60,883

35,287

44,768

320,924

45,389

21,871

27,395

44,012

47,347

20,064

45,115

24,493

32,720

5,135

7,383

899,468

populationdistrictcapitals(incl.Bariadi andMwadui)

3

3,211

0

3,211

0

0

0

0

1,095

1,095

4,726

0

0

388

4,338

0

12,518

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

5,135

7,383

21,550

total ruralpopulation

4

144,417

44,601

0

38,403

27,280

11,219

22,914

205,209

58,968

41,628

104,595

219,886

34,390

49,284

60,495

30,949

44,768

308,406

45,389

21,871

27,395

44,012

47,347

20,064

45,115

24,493

32,720

0

0

877,918

populationconcentr.settlementsrural areas

5

16,170

5,858

0

3,940

2,857

1,777

1,738

50,065

22,568

2,845

24,652

37,502

6,670

5,656

12,970

7,549

4,657

68,106

10,990

5,659

11,286

8,823

7,328

6,319

7,089

6,431

4,181

0

0

171,843

non farmerstotal

6 - 0.044total (2)

39,577

non-farmersconcentr.settlementsrural areas

7 * *

1,696

615

0

413

300

186

182

5,251

2,367

298

2,586

3,935

700

593

1,361

792

489

7,145

1,153

594

1,183

926

768

663

744

675

439

0

0

18,027

farmers inconcentr.settlementsrural areas

8= 5-7

14,474

5,243

0

3,527

2,557

1,591

1,556

44,814

20,201

2,547

22,066

33,567

5,970

5,063

11,609

6,757

4,168

60,961

9,837

5,065

10,103

7,897

6,560

5,656

6,345

5,756

3,742

0

0

153,816

farmersscattered

9 - 4 - 5

128,247

38,743

0

34,463

24,423

9,442

21,176

155,144

182,384

27,720

43,628

47,525

23,400

40,111

240,300

34,399

16,212

16,109

35,189

40,019

13,745

38,026

18,062

28,539

0

0

706,075

farmerstotal

10=8 + 9

142,721

43,986

0

37,490

26,980

11,033

22,732

199,958

56,619

41,330

102,009

215,951

33,690

48,691

59,134

30,157

44,279

301,261

44,236

21,277

26,212

43,086

46,579

19,401

44,371

23,818

32,281

0

0

859,891

Technical Annex E differentiates between the northern and southern parts of the Meatu, Kishapu and Negezi divisions for calculationson future population distributions.The boundary line is indicated on fig. V.1, see Technical Annex E.

tot(6)-tot(3) , c .7 = — • 5)

tot(5)

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177

Appendix 12. PRELIMINARY WATER DEVELOPMENT PRIORITYRANKING

i '•«. I J K i :\ '; i C i: "I •." Y

; > . . r H ! L i . . : i I - u l ' R Y I I M i\L 1 / . M / i ! I V . Y S r ^ M ' N•II-- 11. I ;.i. r.,.,jiJ; M f-C - Iz-il-'-^-V." v f f \ T i f w t . T F ^ 5 L P P L Y•j I I T - i N C ' l J S.:iJI-:Ci.

••;• ! \ r - ' ^ . i T - - I C T i J t - . / L i I ( , r : I F I C A f . C iV. i ^ " P U L / T l C N : J L L Z :

t. •HGr^Tr^7 TYI-T r F S :-. 1 !" L c M I.i i Hi • • L '.'• C i T I L< T!

i ¥ P , L f r U L T I V A T I LT.

^ ; ; ' , u U 1./-I-. G . r L i _ I i ^ o ".if L P T T L C !.: S O I L D U A L I T Y.'• .••. V A I L A i 5 . 1 L i T Y f«l- L A i i O

Page 183: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure

178

NAME

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595957575 757565 656565656555555545454545453535353525252525151515151515151515151

Page 184: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure

179

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Page 189: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure

184

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Page 190: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure

185

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Page 191: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure
Page 192: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure

187

Appendix 13. PRELIMINARY PRIORITY RANKING FOR WARDS

district

Kahama

Shinyanga

Bariadi

division

Dakama

Kahama

Msalala

Mweli

Siloka

Itwangi

Kishapu

Mondo

Negezi

Nindo

Samuye

Mjini

Itilima

ward

UkuneUkambaMpunzeIsageheIsakaMhongoloZongomeraNgogwaBusangiNgayaLunguyaUleweUshetuUyogoRunzeweUshiromboMasumbweMbogweUsuleDidiaIsemelaTindellolaItwangiUchungaMwakidoyaShagihiluMasangaMwamalasaSomagediKishapuBubikiBunambiyuBugoroMondoSongwaLohumboMaganzoIbadakuliItilimaUkenyengeMwamasheleKiloleliLaganaTalagaNgofilaSolwaSal aweMwantiniIselemagaziLyabukandeNyang'ombeMwamalaUsanda/SingitaSamuyeChibeKizumbiLuguruZagayuNkomaMwamapalalaMbita

factorwater need

2040

0000

200

20204040202020

00

2040

020

020

02040

00000

202020

02040

00

400000

404020202020

02020

040

00

200

202040

priority score

l;ictorfacilities

01530

015150

3030303030301530303030

0150

300000

30151515150

301530303030150

15153015150

3000

1530303030

00

150

1515150

factorinf liistructurc

1515153030153030151515

00

150

150

153030303015303030

0000

303015303030303030153030

00

300

1515151500

153015303030

00

150

total

357045304530506065658570505050453065704550603530507030151515455065656080

10060455545453015854065353550305065605530455015355040

prioritycntHgory

I I II

III I III

I I IIIIIIIII

IIIIIIII

IIIII

IIIIII

I I II I IIII

IIIIIIIIII I IIIIIII

IIII

IIIIIIIIII

I I II I I

II I I

II I II I III

I I IIII

IIII

I I IIIII

I I II I III

I I I

Page 193: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure

Appendix 13 continued

188

OISTl ICt

Bariadi(continued)

Maswa

riii/i^ionU l v 191 \Ji 1

Kanadi

Ntuzu

Meatu

Mwagala

Nung'hu

Sengerema

ward

ChinamiliSagataLagangabililiBumeraSomandaNkololoMhanguBunam'halaNyakabindiMwabubingiDutwaGabuItinjeMwabuzoImalasekoSemu-KimaliKisesaBukundiNkomaLalago-MjiniSukumaBusililiMpindoDakamaIpililoBuchambiMaselaIsangaMalampakaBadiKulimiNyabubmzaShishiyu

factorwater need

4020404020204040

040204040404020404040

04020404040

040

00

40204020

priority score

factorfacilities

01500

150

1530

015151530

030

00

151530

030

0150

3030

03015150

15

factorinfrastructure

00

15153030

0

15151515150000000

3015150

150

300

153030

0150

total

403555556350558515705070704070204055556055654070406070156085355535

prioritycategory

I I II I IIIIII

IIIII

I I II

IIII

I I II

I I II I IIIIIIIIII

I I II

I I IIII

I I IIII

I I III

Page 194: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure

189

Appendix 14 WATER METER READINGS OF USIA SCHEME

Meter nr.

7650454

7666014

7666017

7650406

7666016

7666015

7650453

7650409

7650407

7650408

Location

in pipeline to Tinde

Kituli Upper PrimarySchool

in pipeline to cattletrough between Kisumaniand Tinde P.S.in discharge pipe fromTinde storage tank

in pipeline to Imenya/Igomelo

in pipeline to Uwela

in pipeline to pump sumpof Itwangi P.S.in pipeline to Didia

in pipeline to Didia

in pipeline to Bugisimission near Didia

Month

FebruaryMarchJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayFebruaryMarch

JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayFebruaryMarchAprilMayFebruaryMarchAprilMayFebruary

FebruaryMarchAprilMayFebruaryMarchAprilMayFebruaryMarchAprilMay

Averagedaily waterconsumption

(m3)

31.17232.6951.1981.2701.4241.5042.0251.9492.218

27.30325.32024.69324.06728.1604.0094.6574.2784.3260.4251.4332.0061.038

11.41014.09811.98113.34410.99713.11410.48612.5855.1566.6775.1485.760

Page 195: SHINYANGA WATER SUPPLY SURVEY - IRC...Area 5, north-west Shinyanga and east Kahama Districts Area 6, north Kahama District Area 7, south-west Kahama District Demography Social structure