shirley murillo –noaa/oar/aoml hurricane research division … · 2017-11-01 · 4 our process...

11
Shirley Murillo – NOAA/OAR/AOML Hurricane Research Division Chris Landsea – NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center The JHT is funded by the US Weather Research Program in NOAA/OAR's Office of Weather and Air Quality AMS Annual Meeting: Seventh Conference on Transition of Research to Operations, Tuesday 24 Jan. 2017

Upload: others

Post on 11-Aug-2020

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Shirley Murillo –NOAA/OAR/AOML Hurricane Research Division … · 2017-11-01 · 4 Our process •Call for Proposals –drafted and disseminated (bi-annually) •Principal Investigators

Shirley Murillo – NOAA/OAR/AOML Hurricane Research DivisionChris Landsea – NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center

The JHT is funded by the US Weather Research Program in NOAA/OAR's Office of Weather and Air Quality

AMSAnnualMeeting:SeventhConferenceonTransitionofResearchtoOperations,Tuesday24Jan.2017

Page 2: Shirley Murillo –NOAA/OAR/AOML Hurricane Research Division … · 2017-11-01 · 4 Our process •Call for Proposals –drafted and disseminated (bi-annually) •Principal Investigators

• OurMission: transfer

Page 3: Shirley Murillo –NOAA/OAR/AOML Hurricane Research Division … · 2017-11-01 · 4 Our process •Call for Proposals –drafted and disseminated (bi-annually) •Principal Investigators

3

JHT: By the numbers

• Numberofprojectssupported:89• 81 completed• 55acceptedforoperationalimplementation• 20 projectscompletedbutnoaccepted• 2 projectscompleted,deferredpendingfurtherinvestigation• 2 projectswithdecisionssoonforthcoming(FY13-15:7th rd)

• 8 projectsstarted1Sept.2015(FY15-17:8th rd)

Page 4: Shirley Murillo –NOAA/OAR/AOML Hurricane Research Division … · 2017-11-01 · 4 Our process •Call for Proposals –drafted and disseminated (bi-annually) •Principal Investigators

4

Our process

• CallforProposals– draftedanddisseminated(bi-annually)• PrincipalInvestigatorsapplyforfundingthroughNOAA• SevenmemberSteeringCommitteeratesallproposals• Fundedprojectsaretestedduring1or2hurricaneseasonsinconjunctionwithNHC/EMCpointsofcontact

• Attheproject’send,eachareevaluatedbyNHC/EMCstaff• ImplementationofsuccessfulprojectsarethencarriedoutbyNHC/EMCstaff/PIs

Page 5: Shirley Murillo –NOAA/OAR/AOML Hurricane Research Division … · 2017-11-01 · 4 Our process •Call for Proposals –drafted and disseminated (bi-annually) •Principal Investigators

1000TrackRealizations34kt0-120hCumulativeProb.

Wind Speed ProbabilitiesHurricane Bill 20 Aug 2009 00 UTC

Page 6: Shirley Murillo –NOAA/OAR/AOML Hurricane Research Division … · 2017-11-01 · 4 Our process •Call for Proposals –drafted and disseminated (bi-annually) •Principal Investigators

WindSpeedProbabilities

Page 7: Shirley Murillo –NOAA/OAR/AOML Hurricane Research Division … · 2017-11-01 · 4 Our process •Call for Proposals –drafted and disseminated (bi-annually) •Principal Investigators

7

Current Project Highlights - FY15-17: 8th roundTropical Cyclone Genesis Index: Dunion

Eyewall Replacement Cycle ARCHER: Wimmers

NRL web page upgrades: Cossuth

Rapid Intensity Forecasting: Jiang

RI SHIPS improvement: Rozoff

Page 8: Shirley Murillo –NOAA/OAR/AOML Hurricane Research Division … · 2017-11-01 · 4 Our process •Call for Proposals –drafted and disseminated (bi-annually) •Principal Investigators

• Forecast or Analysis Benefit:

• Efficiency:

• Compatibility:

• Sustainability:

Page 9: Shirley Murillo –NOAA/OAR/AOML Hurricane Research Division … · 2017-11-01 · 4 Our process •Call for Proposals –drafted and disseminated (bi-annually) •Principal Investigators

• DedicatedAdmin.Staff– JHTDirectorandAdmin.Assistant:workcloselywithopscenterandPIs– ITcomputerprogrammerforJHTprojects

• Processisproposaldriven– IncludesNHC/CPHC/JTWCandEMC’sareasofpriority– Provideinfoonoperationalcenter’sITenvironment

• SevenmemberSteeringCommittee– RepresentativesfromtheTropicalCyclonecommunity– Reviewandrankproposals

• Whenprojectsbegin,PIsarepartneredwithforecasters– Continuousinteractionthroughouttransitionprocess– PIprovidesemi-annualprogressreports

Page 10: Shirley Murillo –NOAA/OAR/AOML Hurricane Research Division … · 2017-11-01 · 4 Our process •Call for Proposals –drafted and disseminated (bi-annually) •Principal Investigators

10

The Joint Hurricane Testbed

www.nhc.noaa.gov/jht

Rappaport et. al., 2012 - BAMS

Page 11: Shirley Murillo –NOAA/OAR/AOML Hurricane Research Division … · 2017-11-01 · 4 Our process •Call for Proposals –drafted and disseminated (bi-annually) •Principal Investigators

Shirley Murillo – NOAA/OAR/AOML Hurricane Research DivisionChris Landsea – NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center

The JHT is funded by the US Weather Research Program in NOAA/OAR's Office of Weather and Air Quality

AMSAnnualMeeting:SeventhConferenceonTransitionofResearchtoOperations,Tuesday24Jan.2017