shirley murillo –noaa/oar/aoml hurricane research division … · 2017-11-01 · 4 our process...
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Shirley Murillo – NOAA/OAR/AOML Hurricane Research DivisionChris Landsea – NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center
The JHT is funded by the US Weather Research Program in NOAA/OAR's Office of Weather and Air Quality
AMSAnnualMeeting:SeventhConferenceonTransitionofResearchtoOperations,Tuesday24Jan.2017
• OurMission: transfer
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JHT: By the numbers
• Numberofprojectssupported:89• 81 completed• 55acceptedforoperationalimplementation• 20 projectscompletedbutnoaccepted• 2 projectscompleted,deferredpendingfurtherinvestigation• 2 projectswithdecisionssoonforthcoming(FY13-15:7th rd)
• 8 projectsstarted1Sept.2015(FY15-17:8th rd)
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Our process
• CallforProposals– draftedanddisseminated(bi-annually)• PrincipalInvestigatorsapplyforfundingthroughNOAA• SevenmemberSteeringCommitteeratesallproposals• Fundedprojectsaretestedduring1or2hurricaneseasonsinconjunctionwithNHC/EMCpointsofcontact
• Attheproject’send,eachareevaluatedbyNHC/EMCstaff• ImplementationofsuccessfulprojectsarethencarriedoutbyNHC/EMCstaff/PIs
1000TrackRealizations34kt0-120hCumulativeProb.
Wind Speed ProbabilitiesHurricane Bill 20 Aug 2009 00 UTC
WindSpeedProbabilities
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Current Project Highlights - FY15-17: 8th roundTropical Cyclone Genesis Index: Dunion
Eyewall Replacement Cycle ARCHER: Wimmers
NRL web page upgrades: Cossuth
Rapid Intensity Forecasting: Jiang
RI SHIPS improvement: Rozoff
• Forecast or Analysis Benefit:
• Efficiency:
• Compatibility:
• Sustainability:
• DedicatedAdmin.Staff– JHTDirectorandAdmin.Assistant:workcloselywithopscenterandPIs– ITcomputerprogrammerforJHTprojects
• Processisproposaldriven– IncludesNHC/CPHC/JTWCandEMC’sareasofpriority– Provideinfoonoperationalcenter’sITenvironment
• SevenmemberSteeringCommittee– RepresentativesfromtheTropicalCyclonecommunity– Reviewandrankproposals
• Whenprojectsbegin,PIsarepartneredwithforecasters– Continuousinteractionthroughouttransitionprocess– PIprovidesemi-annualprogressreports
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The Joint Hurricane Testbed
www.nhc.noaa.gov/jht
Rappaport et. al., 2012 - BAMS
Shirley Murillo – NOAA/OAR/AOML Hurricane Research DivisionChris Landsea – NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center
The JHT is funded by the US Weather Research Program in NOAA/OAR's Office of Weather and Air Quality
AMSAnnualMeeting:SeventhConferenceonTransitionofResearchtoOperations,Tuesday24Jan.2017