sierra leone investor presentation b - raymond gb… · investor presentation february 2016, london...
TRANSCRIPT
CONFIDENTIAL
Sierra Leone Investor Presentation
February 2016, London
1
Sierra Leone is a strategically placed West African country with a
population of 6.3M and GDP of $4.8B in 2014
Source: World Bank
71,740km2
Land area
6.3M Population
$4.8B 2014 GDP
2
It enjoys strategic access to markets and attractive competitive
advantages
4hrs Sea route to Brazil
2hrs from Lagos
6hrs From Europe
8hrs from the Americas
Sierra Leone enjoys natural proximity to key markets …
▪ Freetown has a natural deep-water harbor, located along major global trade routes
▪ Duty-free & preferred access to key markets:
– Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) – ~225 million people
– European Union (EU) via Everything but Arms initiative (EBA) – ~500 million people
– The US via The African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) – ~300 million people
… And competitive advantages to harness the opportunity
Source: SLIEPA
3
The country has emerged from civil war to become a beacon for
religious tolerance and democracy in the region
Source: The Economist
▪ Sierra Leone enjoys remarkable social and religious tolerance
▪ Country has enjoyed two peaceful democratic elections (2007 and 2012) since the end of the civil war underpinning it as one of the more stable countries in the region
Sierra Leone takes religious tolerance seriously. Not only are relations between the two main religious groups in the west African country cordial, but it is not unusual to be both Christian and Muslim….
The Economist – May 31st 2014
“ “
4
GDP annual growth 2009-2014, %
It is now is a fast growing economy with annual GDP growth
forecasted to reach 9% in 2017
Source: World Bank
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
2017f 2016f 2015e 2010 2011 2013 2012 2014
Ebola and commodity price slumps
▪ Sierra Leone was the fastest growing developing nation in 2013
▪ Expected to bounce back rapidly from Ebola and commodity price shocks
5
Sierra Leone ranks above the African average in the World Bank’s
ease of doing business index…
Source: World Bank
World Bank Ease of Doing Business 2015
47
47
49
50
52
55
65
Cameroon
Nigeria
Liberia
Senegal
Ghana
Sierra Leone
Distance to Frontier (DTF) score1
SSA average
1 DTF – shows the gap in an economy’s performance in the Ease of Doing Business indicators in relation to the best in class
Wea
ker
Sco
re
6
… and is recognized for its attractiveness to FDI
Source: FDI Intelligence
Best FDI Strategy – Rank by country 2013/2014
Top cities for FDI growth – Rankings 2013/2014
Rank
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Country
Mauritius
Morocco
Botswana
Namibia
Kenya
South Africa
Sierra Leone
Ghana
Gabon
Ethiopia
Rank
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Country
Nairobi, Kenya
Johannesburg, South Africa
Midrand, South Africa
Casablanca, Morocco
Lagos, Nigeria
Arusha, Tanzania
Freetown, Sierra Leone
Tanger, Morocco
New Cairo City, Egypt
Stellenbosch, South Africa
7
Recent regulatory reforms look set to further improve the country’s
business environment in the near term
▪ Streamlined location clearances and building permits
▪ Bundled Issuing of inspections and permit
▪ Online registration available at www.oarg.gov.sl
▪ Unbundled the utility company (EDSA) from the NPA to improve efficiency
▪ Companies Act amended in 2014 – Inspection rights granted
to minority investors – Court empowered to
protect minority investors
▪ Import clearance and export processes streamlined
▪ Transparent fees and charges
▪ 7 day process with the Land Registry
▪ Fixed prices provide certainty [Stamp duty (0.1%) + 50,000 (~$12) Leones for fast track procedure]
Starting a Business Protecting Minority Investors Registering Property
Construction Permits Getting Electricity Trading Across Border
Source: World Bank Doing Business
8
Underpinning this attractive environment is a transparent
and competitive tax regime
Corporate tax Resident companies Non-resident companies
Basic rate 30 percent 30 percent
Mining companies
30 percent 30 percent
Capital gains 30 percent (subject to a minimum chargeable threshold of Le3.6 million (US$829) per annum or per transaction)
30 percent (subject to a minimum chargeable threshold of Le3.6 million (US$829) per annum or per transaction)
Goods and services tax
15 percent (subject to exemptions for exports for goods (excluding minerals) stores on vessels and aircraft leaving Sierra Leone and various exempt supplies2; and for businesses with an annual turnover of less than Le350 million (US$82,000))
15 percent (subject to exemptions for exports for goods (excluding minerals) stores on vessels and aircraft leaving Sierra Leone and various exempt supplies; and for businesses with an annual turnover of less than Le350 million (US$82,000))
Rental income 10 percent (subject to an allowance of 20 percent for repairs and maintenance and a tax free threshold of Le3.6 million (US$829)
25 percent (final tax for non-resident companies)
Dividends 0 percent (dividends received by a resident company from another resident company are exempt from tax)
10 percent (final tax for non-resident companies)
Interest 15 percent (interest on government development stocks is exempt from tax)
15 percent (final tax for non-resident companies)
Royalties 25 percent 25 percent (final tax for non-resident companies)
Natural resource payments
25 percent 25 percent
Payments to contractors
5 percent 10 percent
Source: Income Tax Act, Sierra Leone: An Investor's Guide
9
Agriculture
Fisheries
Infra- structure
Energy
Mining
Sierra Leone presents investors with opportunities
in 5 key sectors
Sector
A
B
C
D
Description
▪ ~5.4M hectares of fertile agricultural land, 75% uncultivated
▪ 5-year duty free for inputs for agribusiness
▪ Currently an untapped sector with minimal competition
▪ Region is one of the richest fishing grounds in the entire world
▪ Advanced stage plans to develop and integrated fishing harbour
▪ Government currently looking at private sector participation as it rebuild infrastructure
▪ PPP Act eases private sector involvement in infrastructure projects
▪ Government committed to tripling energy capacity by June 2017 from 100MW to 300MW
▪ Key government reforms enacted including separating the distributor and the generating company and National Electricity Act that allows participation of IPPs
▪ Country rich in iron ore, diamonds, bauxite, rutile and gold
▪ Iron ore deposit at Tonkili is 2nd largest in Africa and in bottom 10% of global FOB costs
E
10
Savannah Woodland
Transitional rainforest Savannah Woodland
Rainforest Coastal Plains
2
4
3
1
Emerging opportunities include: ▪ Coastal Plains – Livestock, Aquaculture (Fisheries) ▪ Transitional Rainforest Savannah Woodland – Livestock (Ruminant)
Coastal Plains 2
Savannah Woodland 1 Transitional Rainforest Savannah Woodland
3
Rainforest 4
Rice Rice
Pepper
Cassava
Maize
Rice
Sweet Potato
Beans
Cassava
Cocoa
Coffee
Sierra Leone has the natural agricultural potential to meet local
demand and export to international markets
Source: FAO, African Technology Policy Studies Network, Web Search
Maize
Banana Yams
Rice
Cassava
A
11
GDP contribution 2013, USD millions
▪ Agriculture remains the major contributor to the economy
▪ Mining GDP contribution is estimated to have reduced by >70% in 2014
▪ Coffee and cocoa represent 96% of Sierra Leone’s agricultural exports in 2013
It is currently the largest contributor to GDP and a major source
of exports
Source: FAO Stats, World Bank; Sierra Leone National Accounts Report 2013, Bank of Sierra Leone
4,896
Agriculture
5%
Retail & hosp.
Fishing
Other
8%
9%
13%
21% Mining
39%
Tourism
Total
Manufacturing 2%
Transport & Comm. 4%
A
12
SLIEPA has already identified 11+ opportunities across
7 key value chains
Source: SLIEPA
Commodity Brief Description
Rice ▪ Suitable areas for mechanical cultivation include Torma Bum Rice Fields (51,300 ha in
Bonthe District) and Gbondapi Rice Fields (41,000 ha in Pujehun District)
Oil Palm
▪ Production of Palm and Kernel Oil (PKO) and other ancillary products including soap, bio-fuel, cooking oil, etc
▪ Opportunities for integrated production & refining of ethanol (sugar, Cassava) & biodiesel (oil palm)
Sugar and Ethanol Production
▪ Excellent growing conditions
▪ Opportunity to satisfy local consumption demand (currently 50% local demand met through imports) as well as import to EU & West Africa
Cocoa, Coffee and Cashew Processing
▪ Large areas under cultivation but require rehabilitation, replanting, new planting, value addition
▪ Sierra Leone has enormous potential for improvement and growth - improved quality afforded Sierra Leone a 10% premium on world prices
Carbon Trading ▪ The Gola Forest and other protected areas offer significant potential for carbon
credits, Wild life, Flowers
Poultry products ▪ High potential, strong local demand, and a nascent industry to build on
Cassava ▪ Many opportunities for processing cassava flour, flakes, ethanol, etc,
A
13
The Government is also looking for private partnership
in two additional investments
Source:
Agriculture projects
PPP Oil Palm Plantation Management Project
Generation of seeds for the farming community to farm and feed the nation
MDA sponsor
MAFFS
MAFFS
Current status
Policy concept
Policy concept
A
14
Sierra Leone enjoys abundant fish reserves in close proximity
to key European and West African markets
Source: Sierra Leone: An Investor's Guide
B
Sierra Leone has extensive fishing waters…
…with large quantities of fish and strong local and international markets
▪ Sierra Leone marine ecosystems gives it a comparative advantage in West Africa
– Hosts high fish biomass with healthy potential yields around tuna, shrimp, pelagic and demersal fish
▪ There’s a large domestic market with fish making 80% of the animal protein consumed by Sierra Leoneans
▪ Key challenge for the fisheries sector is illegal fishing. Estimated to cost the country ~$29M annually
15
SLIEPA has identified 10+ bankable opportunities across
8 key value chains
Source: SLIEPA
Aquaculture ▪ Potential to develop aquaculture in Sierra Leone from current production levels - less
than 40 tons per annum - to commercial levels
Oyster farming ▪ Oyster farming in estuaries provides opportunity for mariculture ▪ Sierra Leone also has marine environments suitable for a range of shellfish and finfish
farming activities in the longer term
Fish processing
▪ Involves value added processing, packaging and marketing of fisheries products to national regional and other export markets
▪ Opportunities include, processing rooms, chill rooms, vacuum packaging, blast freezing, cold storage, boxing and containerization
Boat Building ▪ Design and construction of fit for purpose industrial fishing boats and sale to local
small fishing enterprises
Transportation ▪ Transportation of fish products from a wide network of landing centers to processing
and packaging centers for exports
Fishing and sales ▪ Fishing operations using own vessels and sales of production catches to larger buyers
for processing and export
Construction of a fish harbor complex
▪ An opportunity for the construction of a fish harbour in Freetown that serve as transhipment hub
Construction of fish landing sites
▪ Opportunities for the construction and operation of fish landing sites at 5 major locations
A
16
The Government is also looking for private partnership in three
additional investments
Source:
MDA sponsor Current status Fisheries projects
Fisheries Harbour & industrial estate for processing
MFMR Policy concept
Fisheries regional distribution network MoFMR Policy concept
AfDB Fish landing sites at Goderich, Tombo, Shenge and Bonthe
MFMR Project agreement
A
17
Country’s infrastructure has for long been wanting
but government keen to improve this
Source:
▪ Water: Under the Agenda for Prosperity blueprint, government aiming for 74% of Sierra Leoneans have access to potable water by 2017
▪ Port: Government is planning on developing a new Deepwater port and associated rail infrastructure
▪ Airport: Concession awarded to CIRG for development of a new international airport outside Freetown
▪ Investment incentives: Infrastructure projects with development costs exceeding $20M are exempt from income taxes for 15yrs
▪ PPP unit: Government lacks finances for all planned projects so has set up the PPP Unit to facilitate private sector involvement
Country’s infrastructure destroyed during the war
▪ Close to 50% of Sierra Leoneans lack access to safe water supply and sanitation services
▪ Efficiency at Freetown Port low due to poor infrastructure in and around the port.
▪ Transport between Freetown and the International Airport at Lungi limited to boats and ferries – need for more airport access options
▪ Less than 10% of roads are paved – making travelling within the country difficult during the rainy season
Improvements being made countrywide
C
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The government is looking for private partners in 8 major
infrastructure projects
Source:
Project Type Project Description Status Project Type Project Description Status
▪ Construction & Operation of a Heavy Duty Toll Roads (238 Km)
PPP/BOT Ministry data available
▪ Development of passenger Jetty terminals and Logistic Depot for Oil Exploration including development of a Tank Farm
PPP/BOT Ministry data available
▪ Extension of the Freetown Elizabeth Quay PPP/BOT Ministry data available
▪ Real Estate Development Investment PPP/BOT Ministry data available
▪ Construction & Operation of a Heavy Duty Toll Roads (238 Km)
PPP/BOT Ministry data available
▪ Fishing & Transport Infrastructure Development – investments in harbour infrastructure
PPP Ministry data available
▪ Construction of Lungi – Freetown Bridge PPP/BOT Ministry data available
▪ Improvement of Transfer facilities between the Lungi International Airport and the Main land
PPP/BOT Ministry data available
▪ ICT Infrastructure – to support the landed fibre optic PPP Ministry data available
C
19
Private partnership also required in a number of transport
projects
Source:
MDA sponsor Current status Project description
Freetown Estuary integrated transport study MoTA Pre-feasibility
Deep Sea port & Rail (bulk minerals) MoTA Pre-feasibility
Road maintenance services project MoTA & RMFA Policy concept only
Freetown water network and distribution MoWR Policy concept
Regional clinics MoHS Policy concept
King Jimmy Market & Mall Freetown CC Pre-feasibility
Affordable housing MoWHI Policy concept
Freetown Estuary integrated transport study MoTA Pre-feasibility
Deep Sea port & Rail (bulk minerals) MoTA Pre-feasibility
Road maintenance services project MoTA & RMFA Policy concept only
C
20
The country’s energy needs are underserved and require
substantial investment going forward
-251
300
49
Demand Supply
Demand Supply1
Peak supply/demand, 2012-20, MW Current, 2012
Forecast, 2020
Surplus/ deficit
Surplus/ deficit
-1,031
1,380
349
Generation Transmission Distribution
▪ Installed capacity of 164.8 MW but effectively producing 100 MW during rainy season and 65 MW during dry season
▪ Very limited access - Overall electrification rate of 5%; urban: 11%, rural: 1%
▪ T&D system is old and poorly maintained, losses are as high as 45%
▪ Average retail tariff is about 28.6 USD cents/kWh; high due to high cost of generation, low revenue collection rate and mainly utilizing diesel/oil
▪ Supply is intermittent, with 81.8 % firms mentioning electricity as major constraint to their business.
Source: UDI, World Bank, World Bank Enterprise surveys, Enerdata
1 Incl. all planned capacity, at present availability ~25%-30% 2 Including all planned capacity at improved availability of 50%
D
21
Sample of some of the PPP opportunities in power generation
Source:
PPP Energy Sector
Energy projects MDA sponsor Current status
Hydro Bekonkgor Hydro Power Project (160MW)
MoE Pre-feasibility
Hydro Manage Hydro Power Project (100MW)
MoE Pre-feasibility
Hydro Hydro Power Plant at Rokon site on Seli river (31 MW)
MoE Pre-feasibility
Hydro Moyamba Hydro project (25MW)
MoE Project
Hydro Bumbuna II Hydro 200MW
MoE Project
HFO Freetown 128 MW thermal plant (HFO) for Freetown
MoE Project agreement
Thermal power plant 300-600 MW Thermal plant (Coal and/or gas)
MoE Pre-feasibility
Renewable energy Solar projects on the national grid and off-grid
MoE Pre-feasibility
Solar mini projects Solar Era Pilot project
MoE Project agreement
D
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For further information, please consult the Herbert Smith
investors guide or request a consultation with SLIEPA
… as well as in person from any SLIEPA representative
Further advice is available from the investor guide, promotional video and website …
D